Investor Presentation · 2017-02-28 · Investor Presentation February 2017. 2 Forward-Looking...
Transcript of Investor Presentation · 2017-02-28 · Investor Presentation February 2017. 2 Forward-Looking...
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Investor Presentation
February 2017
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Forward-Looking Statements
Statements contained in this press release that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements within the meaning
of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. Forward-looking
statements include words or phrases such as “anticipate,” “believe,” “estimate,” “expect,” “intend,” “plan,” “project,”
“could,” “may,” “might,” “should,” “will” and similar words and specifically include statements involving expected financial
performance, effective tax rate, expected expense savings, day rates and backlog, estimated rig availability; rig
commitments and contracts; contract duration, status, terms and other contract commitments; estimated capital
expenditures; letters of intent or letters of award; scheduled delivery dates for rigs; the timing of delivery, mobilization,
contract commencement, relocation or other movement of rigs; our intent to sell or scrap rigs; and general market,
business and industry conditions, trends and outlook. Such statements are subject to numerous risks, uncertainties and
assumptions that may cause actual results to vary materially from those indicated, including commodity price
fluctuations, customer demand, new rig supply, downtime and other risks associated with offshore rig operations,
relocations, severe weather or hurricanes; changes in worldwide rig supply and demand, competition and technology;
future levels of offshore drilling activity; governmental action, civil unrest and political and economic uncertainties;
terrorism, piracy and military action; risks inherent to shipyard rig construction, repair, maintenance or enhancement;
possible cancellation, suspension or termination of drilling contracts as a result of mechanical difficulties, performance,
customer finances, the decline or the perceived risk of a further decline in oil and/or natural gas prices, or other reasons,
including terminations for convenience (without cause); the cancellation of letters of intent or letters of award or any
failure to execute definitive contracts following announcements of letters of intent or letters of award; the outcome of
litigation, legal proceedings, investigations or other claims or contract disputes; governmental regulatory, legislative and
permitting requirements affecting drilling operations; our ability to attract and retain skilled personnel on commercially
reasonable terms; environmental or other liabilities, risks or losses; debt restrictions that may limit our liquidity and
flexibility; our ability to realize the expected benefits from our redomestication and actual contract commencement dates;
tax matters including our effective tax rate; and cybersecurity risks and threats. In addition to the numerous factors
described above, you should also carefully read and consider “Item 1A. Risk Factors” in Part I and “Item 7.
Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” in Part II of our most recent
annual report on Form 10-K, as updated in our subsequent quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, which are available on the
SEC’s website at www.sec.gov or on the Investor Relations section of our website at www.enscoplc.com. Each forward-
looking statement speaks only as of the date of the particular statement, and we undertake no obligation to publicly
update or revise any forward-looking statements, except as required by law.
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Executive Summary
• Positive medium-/long-term outlook for offshore market
• Ensco is well positioned to capitalize on future recovery
• Strong record of proactive capital, expense and fleet management
• Record operational utilization and safety performance
• #1 customer satisfaction – seven consecutive years (EnergyPoint Research)
• High-quality rig fleet that leverages standardization
• Global presence and large/diverse customer base
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Agenda
• Market Conditions
• Decisive actions to persevere through the downturn
– capital & expense management
– fleet restructuring
– investments in engineering and innovation to improve operational &
safety performance
• Outlook for offshore drilling
– efficiency & cost improvements
– attrition of older rigs & deferral/cancellation of newbuild deliveries
– catalyst markets
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$218
$208
$181
$126$120
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$ billions
Major & European IOCs’ Upstream Capital Spending Outlook
Market Conditions
Source: IHS Energy as of August 2016
Notes: Group of Major & European integrated oil companies includes BP, Chevron, Eni, ExxonMobil, OMV, Repsol, Shell/BG, Statoil and Total;
historical years include acquisitions; 2016 and 2017 estimates exclude acquisitions
• Substantial reduction in
upstream capex among
Major & European IOCs’
since 2013
− unprecedented decline in
exploration spending
• 2016 upstream capex for
Major & European IOCs’
expected to decline ~30%
year-over-year, but
bottoming in 2017
• Significant pullback in
spending will affect supply
in the future
- 45%
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• Capital management
• Expense management
• Fleet restructuring
• Investments to improve
operational & safety
performance
– engineering & innovation
– process improvements
Decisive
Actions To
Persevere
Through The
Downturn
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Proactive Capital Management
Manage Cash Outlays Reduce Debt Increase Liquidity
Dividend Reduction$130M Cash Savings1
Debt Tender$460M Cash Savings2 $861M Debt Reduction
Equity Offering$586M Liquidity
Open Market Repurchases$93M Cash Savings2 $270M Debt Reduction
Revolver Extension$1.13B Liquidity3
Convertible Debt Offering & Tender Exchange$650M Debt Refinancing $476M Liquidity
1Annualized cash savings based on approx. 235 million shares issued and outstanding at the time of dividend reduction2Cash savings through maturity dates; $286 million of interest savings and $267 million of principle discount3$2.25 billion revolving credit facility until September 30, 2019, then $1.15 billion of availability under revolving credit facility until September 30, 2020
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Benefits of Capital Management Actions
Note: Cash interest (defined as the sum of the principal amounts for outstanding debt maturities multiplied by the corresponding annual interest rate of each debt maturity) and net debt
(defined as long-term debt less cash and short-term investments). Net debt is a non-GAAP financial measure that should be considered as a supplement to, and not as a substitute for, or
superior to, financial measures prepared in accordance with GAAP. Pro forma values are adjusted for the January 2017 completion of an exchange of $650 million aggregate principal
amount of senior notes that were repurchased with a combination of $332 million of new senior notes and $333 million of cash consideration. To provide comparable figures that adjust for
debt issuance dates, cash interest amounts have been annualized as follows: in 2015, $18.5mm of cash interest paid for 2025 5.2% senior notes issued during the year has been
annualized to $37.0mm of cash interest; and in 2017, expected cash interest payments of $12.7mm for 2024 3% convertible senior notes and $13.3mm for 2024 8% senior notes have been
annualized to $25.5mm and $26.6mm of cash interest, respectively. 4Q15 net debt is calculated as follows: long-term debt of $5.9 billion, less $1.3 billion of cash and short-term
investments. 4Q16 pro forma net debt is calculated as follows: long-term debt of $4.9 billion, less $2.3 billion of cash and short-term investments.
2.25 2.25
1.30
2.26
4Q15Actual
4Q16Pro forma
Revolver Cash + Short-term investments
$4.6
$2.7
4Q15Actual
4Q16Pro forma
Net Debt ($B)
$3.55
$4.51
$334
$284
2015Annualized
Pro formaAnnualized
Cash Interest ($M)
Manage Cash Outlays Reduce Debt Increase Liquidity
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2044
Liquidity & Debt Maturities*
$292
$551
$309 $956
$669
$850
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2027 2040
$300
$ millions
$1,001
$150
$1,805
Liquidity
$2,255
$2,250
Ava
ilab
le R
evo
lve
rC
ash
$4,505
Convertible Senior NotesSenior Notes
$1.15B of Maturities to 2024
*Pro forma as of 31 December 2016 adjusted for the January 2017 completion of an exchange of senior notes that were repurchased with new notes and
cash.
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Capital Expenditure Outlook
$335
$225
$75
2017E 2018E 2019E
Newbuild Capital Expenditures
New rig construction
$ millions
Note: Estimates for 2017, 2018 and 2019; capex estimates to be determined upon completion of annual budget process and subject to change based
on rig contracting; new rig construction represents contractual commitments plus anticipated capex associated with rig construction; 2018 and 2019 rig
enhancements capex are estimates and not earmarked for any specific projects at this time; capex for minor upgrades and improvements are based
on the currently active fleet.
60 50 50
30 50 50
2017E 2018E 2019E
Other Capital Expenditures
Rig enhancements Minor upgrades & improvements
$ millions
$90 $100$100
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2015 Actions
• 15% reduction in offshore unit labor cost
• $60+ million of annual savings from reduction in onshore support headcount
– consolidated business unit reporting structure from five to three
– centralized certain functions
• $100+ million of additional contract drilling expense savings
2016 Actions
• Instituted lower base salary structure for new hire offshore crews
• $70+ million of additional expected annual savings from reduced onshore
support costs
• $60+ million of additional contract drilling expense savings
– repair and maintenance rate reductions and lower rig insurance premiums
– other savings through negotiated discounts with vendors
Expense Management Actions
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Fleet Management Strategy
• Leverage record uptime/safety performance to negotiate extensions for contracted rigs
• Maintain warm stacked rig availability in each region in order to bid into new opportunities, examples include:
– West Africa: ENSCO DS-7
– U.S. Gulf of Mexico: ENSCO 8505* & ENSCO 68
– Asia: ENSCO DS-9, ENSCO 8504 & ENSCO 106
– Middle East: ENSCO 140/1 & ENSCO 110
– North Sea: ENSCO 120/1 & ENSCO 102
• Maintain high-spec capacity via preservation stacking that may be reactivated within 90 – 120 days
• Retire older, less capable rigs as they roll off contract as part of continuous high-grading/expense management
*Note: Current contract expires in 1Q17.
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(1) Includes ENSCO DS-10 newbuild currently scheduled for delivery in 1Q19
(2) Includes ENSCO 7500 that is expected to be retired from Ensco’s go-forward fleet
Note: adjusted for 2011 acquisition of Pride International; ultra-deepwater defined as 7500 ft. or greater
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Fleet Restructuring: Floaters
Newbuilds(1)
Current
Fleet
Year-End
2009
Retirements
& Sales(2)
+13 -10 20
17 years Lower average fleet age
Greater drilling capabilities
10 years
4 ultra-deepwater
capable floaters
7 floaters with
15k psi BOPs
15 ultra-deepwater
capable floaters
18 floaters with
15k psi BOPsEnhanced well control
14
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Fleet Restructuring: Jackups
Current
Fleet
Year-End
2009
+7 -26 32
6 newbuild jackups delivered
since 2013
Jackup sales since 2009 have
generated ~$600 million in
proceeds
Newbuilds(1)
Retirements
& Sales(2)
(1) Includes ENSCO 140 and ENSCO 141 newbuilds that were delivered in August and November 2016, respectively, and ENSCO 123 which is
scheduled for delivery in 1Q18.
(2) Includes ENSCO 56, ENSCO 81, ENSCO 82, ENSCO 86, ENSCO 90 & ENSCO 99 that are expected to be retired from Ensco’s go-forward fleet
Note: adjusted for 2011 acquisition of Pride International
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Investment in Engineering:
8500 Series Mooring Upgrade
Source: IHS Markit RigPoint as of February 2017; Ultra deepwater defined as 7500 ft. or greater
Dynamically Positioned
293
Rig CountGlobal Floater
Fleet
Ultra-deepwater capable
15K+ psi & 6+ ram BOP
8 mooring
winches
200
165
129
8
• Low-cost mooring
upgrade increases the
versatility of our 8500
Series rigs, placing
them among a select
group of floaters
– ability to operate in a
dynamically
positioned and/or
moored capacity
– superior technological
capabilitiesENSCO 8503
ENSCO 8504
ENSCO 8505
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• Improving the drilling process
– advanced hybrid DP/moored 8500 Series semis
– ENSCO 120/140 Series cantilever advantage
• Asset uptime and efficiency
– Ensco Asset Management System
• Re-engineering the support structure
– business unit consolidation
– centralization of staff functions
Investments in Innovation
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High Levels of Operational Utilization
99% 99% 99% 99%
2013 2014 2015 2016
Jackups
92%93%
94%
99%
2013 2014 2015 2016
Floaters
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Excellent Safety Performance
Total Recordable
Incident Rate
• Record 2016 TRIR
• Leading-edge safety
management systems
• Enhancing process
safety to drive further
improvements
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Ensco Industry
Note: IADC industry statistics are as of 3Q16.
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High Levels of Customer Satisfaction
Rated #1• Total Satisfaction
• Health, Safety & Environment
• Performance & Reliability
• Job Quality
• Ultra-Deepwater Wells
• Deepwater Wells
• Shelf Wells
• Special Applications
• Horizontal & Directional Wells
• Latin America & Mexico
• Middle East & North Africa
• Sub-Saharan Africa
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Outlook for
Offshore Drilling
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Offshore Exploration & Production
• Offshore production is ~33% of global supply
• Offshore reserves are a critical part of major E&P portfolios and
are vital to the economies of several countries
• Excessive costs/inefficiencies crept into sector during the $100+
oil environment
• Industry is proactively responding to commodity price pressures
and breakeven commodity prices for offshore programs are
declining
• Unprecedented decline in E&P spending will lead to supply side
challenges – the longer the duration of the pullback, the greater
the chance of significant upward movements in commodity prices
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Catalyst
Markets
Offshore
Rig Supply
Path to Recovery
Breakeven Economics
Commodity
• Improvement /
stabilization in oil
prices
• Re-engineering /
standardization /
innovation
• Cost deflation
and efficiency
gains
• Brazil opens pre-
salt to more
players
• Mexico offshore
lease sales and
entrance of
international
operators
• Retirement of
older, less
capable assets
• Deferral and
cancellation of
newbuild
deliveries
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• Cost estimates reduced to $9 billion from previous estimate of $22
billion
• Project re-engineering through standardization and scope
optimization, coupled with industry deflation, resulted in significantly
less capital required to develop approximately 90% of resources
Industrywide Re-Engineering,
Efficiency Gains & Cost Deflation
BP Mad Dog:
Phase 2
Shell
Appomattox
Statoil
• 20% reduction in project costs from supply chain savings, design
improvements, etc.
• “Standardization is the new innovation”
Total Block
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• Capital expenditure estimate reduced by $4 billion to $16 billion
• Optimized project design and contracting strategy
Customer Commentary on Deepwater ProjectsOffshore Outlook
• Customers attention
has turned to project
re-engineering,
efficiency gains and
better expense
management
• Cost deflation across
supply chain:
operators, service
companies
• Break-even
economics are
improving
significantly for
offshore projects
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• Cost reductions have led to an average project breakeven
of $40 to $45 per barrel
• Average breakeven prices for future projects on
Norwegian continental shelf have been reduced from $70
per barrel to approximately $27 per barrel
• Project breakevens for pre-FID deepwater projects have
been reduced to below $40 per barrel
− Brazilian pre-salt project breakevens well below $40 per barrel
on average
Offshore Breakeven
Economics Improving
Sources: Shell 2 February 2017 earnings conference call; Maersk 8 February 2017 earnings conference call; Statoil 7 February 2017 Capital
Markets Day; Chevron 29 April 2016 earnings conference call
• Deepwater single-well breakeven economics between $20
per barrel and $40 per barrel for brownfield developments
in U.S. Gulf of Mexico
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Strategic Combinations & Alliances
Among Offshore Service Companies
Innovation, efficiencies
and cost reductions in
deepwater projects
Enhance project delivery,
improve recovery and
optimize cost/efficiency of
subsea developments
Overhaul subsea field
operations to drive
efficiencies
Integrated FPSO solutions
to reduce costs of offshore
developments
Optimize the cost and
efficiency of subsea well
intervention systems
Develop production
solutions to boost output,
increase recovery rates
and reduce costs for
subsea fields
Strategic combinations and alliances drive greater efficiencies and lower the
breakeven commodity prices for offshore projects
Portfolio diversification to
provide end-to-end oilfield
equipment, technology
and services solutions at
scale
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Attrition of Older Rigs
~70 more floaters could be candidates for retirement
based on age and contract expirations
Retired to Date
75 floaters retired
since 3Q14
Currently Idle
~40 floaters >30 years of
age idle without follow-
on work
Expiring Contracts~30 floaters >30 years of
age have contracts expiring
before YE18 without follow-
on work
Source: IHS Markit RigPoint as of February 2017
Note: ‘Retired’ includes scrapped rigs, announced scrapping and rigs converted to non-drilling units; Competitive jackups are independent leg cantilever rigs.
Up to ~155 additional jackups could be retired as expiring contracts
and survey costs lead to the removal of older rigs from drilling supply
Retired to Date
31 competitive
jackups retired
since 3Q14
Currently Idle91 competitive
jackups >30 years of age idle without follow-
on work
Expiring Contracts65 jackups >30 years of
age have contracts expiring
before YE18 without follow-
on work
FLO
AT
ER
SJA
CK
UP
S
27
Newbuild Order Book
Source: IHS Markit RigPoint as of February 2017; marketed competitive floaters and jackups (independent leg cantilever rigs). Jackups numbers
above do not include recently announced intention by Middle East Joint Venture to order up to 20 rigs to be delivered over ten years beginning as
early as 2021.
Floaters
2
Uncontracted,
On Order
3
Contracted
45%27
Uncontracted,
Under
Construction
5%
3%
47%
News reports
suggest SETE
Brasil program
could be reduced to
8 newbuilds in total
Jackups
8 – 28
SETE Brasil
3
Contracted,
Established
Drillers
34
Uncontracted,
Established
Drillers
? – 62
Uncontracted,
Speculators
3%
34%
63%
Zero rigs built in
China by
speculators have
been contracted
28
Jackup Delivery Deferrals
0
10
20
30
1Q
14
2Q
14
3Q
14
4Q
14
1Q
15
2Q
15
3Q
15
4Q
15
1Q
16
2Q
16
3Q
16
4Q
16
1Q
17
2Q
17
3Q
17
4Q
17
1Q
18
2Q
18
3Q
18
4Q
18
1Q
19
2Q
19
3Q
19
4Q
19
1Q
20
2Q
20
3Q
20
4Q
20
May 2014 Delivery Schedule
Delivered Under Costruction
0
10
20
30
1Q
14
2Q
14
3Q
14
4Q
14
1Q
15
2Q
15
3Q
15
4Q
15
1Q
16
2Q
16
3Q
16
4Q
16
1Q
17
2Q
17
3Q
17
4Q
17
1Q
18
2Q
18
3Q
18
4Q
18
1Q
19
2Q
19
3Q
19
4Q
19
1Q
20
2Q
20
3Q
20
4Q
20
February 2017 Delivery Schedule
Delivered Under Costruction
Source: IHS Markit RigPoint as of February 2017
Note: February 2017 delivery schedule includes 20 new orders and excludes 11 orders cancelled since May 2014. Numbers above do not include recently
announced intention by Middle East Joint Venture to order up to 20 rigs to be delivered over ten years beginning as early as 2021.
104 Scheduled Deliveries50 Actual Deliveries
136 Scheduled Deliveries 9 Scheduled Deliveries
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Future Catalyst Markets: Brazil
• New law eliminated requirement for
Petrobras to manage all pre-salt
operations and hold a minimum 30%
stake in pre-salt projects
• Statoil recently acquired Petrobras’ 66%
operating interest in BM-S-8 offshore
Brazil including the Carcará discovery for
$2.5 billion; Total, BP, Rosneft and QGEP
have also recently farmed-in to other
acreage
• Diversification of customer base offshore
Brazil is ongoing with outstanding
tenders from Chevron, Premier, Statoil
and Total
We still believe in the
fundamentals of the
resource base.
We are looking with interest
to the next licensing
round that will probably
come this year.
– Ben van Beurden,
Shell CEO
February 2017
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Future Catalyst Markets: Mexico
• During 4Q15, an auction was completed
for shallow-water blocks offshore Mexico,
awarding licenses to several exploration
and production companies
• Deepwater acreage auctioned in 4Q16
with eight of ten blocks awarded to large
companies including several majors,
integrated, and national oil companies
• ENSCO 8503 awarded contract to
operate in Mexico – marking our
entrance into the country’s promising
floater market
Regardless of what
happens in the
international context,
Mexico will move forward
with the energy reform
implementation.
– Enrique Peña Nieto,
President of Mexico
February 2016
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Offshore Drilling Recovery
Commodity Price Improvement
Customer Activity Increases
Utilization Rises
Day Rates Recover
• Up from cyclical lows experienced in 2016
• Further improvement expected1
• Tenders & inquiries for new offshore projects
• Offshore acreage acquisitions
• Increased rig demand and continued scrapping of
older, less capable units improve the supply & demand
balance of offshore rigs
• Rising utilization leads to greater pricing power
and a recovery in day rates
Source: 1EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook
Jackups
− lower project breakevens
− shorter cycle times
− proximity to existing
infrastructure
Floaters
− initial demand for infield projects near
existing infrastructure
− larger, more complex projects in
ultra-deepwater to follow
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Preparing for a Market Recovery
Improve financial
flexibility
Differentiate fleet
through better
performance &
reliability
Preserve core
operational & safety
competencies
• manage cash outlays
• reduce debt
• increase liquidity
• invest in newbuilds,
engineering and
innovation
• win new contracts to
keep rigs ready to work
Our actions and investments position Ensco to meet higher
levels of customer demand and capitalize on opportunities
as we navigate through the market cycle
33
34
Source: IHS Markit RigPoint as of February 2017; competitive floaters and jackups (independent leg cantilever rigs); ‘contracted’ includes rigs currently under
contract or with a future contract; Newbuilds do not include recently announced intention by Middle East Joint Venture to order up to 20 jackups to be delivered
over ten years beginning as early as 2021; Candidates for retirement include currently idle rigs >30 years of age without follow-on work and rigs that are >30 years
of age and have contracts expiring before year-end 2018 without follow-on work.(1) News reports suggest SETE Brasil program could be reduced to 8 newbuilds in total
Appendix:
Global Rig Fleet
Newbuilds
Floaters Jackups
Contracted 142 237
Idle/Other 64 138
Cold Stacked 67 45
Total 273 420
Established Drillers 32 37
Uncertain (SETE Brasil(1) or Speculator) 28 62
Total 60 99
Candidates for Retirement
by Year-End 2018(based on age and contract status)
~70 ~155
DeliveredFleet
Attrition
-? -?
-? -?