Investor Presentation€¦ · 2016 2017 2018 Key Metrics 4 2016 2017 2018 Sales $582.2 $590.4...
Transcript of Investor Presentation€¦ · 2016 2017 2018 Key Metrics 4 2016 2017 2018 Sales $582.2 $590.4...
© 2019 Albany International Corp.
Investor Presentation
March 4, 2019
www.albint.com | AIN | #albint
© 2019 Albany International Corp.
This presentation contains the following non-GAAP measures:
Adjusted EBITDA (in absolute dollars and as a percentage of sales; for each segment,
and the Company as a whole); and
Net debt.
We think such items provide useful information to investors regarding the Company’s operational
performance.
This presentation also may contain statements, estimates, or projections that constitute “forward-
looking statements” as defined under U.S. federal securities laws. Forward-looking statements are
subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from
the Company’s historical experience and our present expectations or projections. We disclaim
any obligation to update any information in this presentation to reflect any changes or
developments after the date on the cover page.
Certain additional disclosures regarding our use of these ‘non-GAAP’ items (including
reconciliations to GAAP measures) and forward-looking statements are set forth in the Appendix
to this presentation and in our SEC filings, including our most recent annual and quarterly reports.
Our use of such items in this presentation is subject to those additional disclosures, which we
urge you to read.
‘Non-GAAP’ Items andForward-Looking Statements
2
© 2019 Albany International Corp.
NYSE: AIN
$2.4B Market Cap
Headquartered in Rochester, NH
22 plants
10 countries
4,400 employees
Albany International Corp.
3
Two Businesses
Machine Clothing
(paper industry)
Aerospace
Composites
© 2019 Albany International Corp.
* Non-GAAP measures. See slides 30 and 31 for definition, reconciliation and other information.
Adjusted EBITDA*($ million)
$168.9 $169.4
$228.9
$0
$40
$80
$120
$160
$200
$240
$280
2016 2017 2018
Key Metrics
4
2016 2017 2018
Sales $582.2 $590.4 $611.9
Adj.
EBITDA*$194.6 $194.8 $212.1
2016 2017 2018
Sales $197.6 $273.4 $370.6
Adj.
EBITDA*$16.4 $15.5 $63.3
MC Segment($ million)
AEC Segment($ million)
Net Sales($ million)
$779.8$863.7
$982.5
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
2016 2017 2018
© 2019 Albany International Corp.
One Advanced Textiles and Materials Processing Company - Two Businesses
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Machine Clothing Paper and other process
industries Global market leader Mature Stable, strong cash generation
Albany Engineered Composites Aerospace Uniquely positioned Tier 2 Emerging Negative cash flow, but
intense growth potential
© 2019 Albany International Corp.
One Investment Proposition
6
A small cap that combines:
The cash generation potential of a value stock
The revenue potential of a growth stock
with
MC Adjusted EBITDA($ million)
$194.6 $194.8$212.1
$0
$40
$80
$120
$160
$200
$240
2016 2017 2018
AEC Organic Revenue Potential($ million)
$370.6
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
2018 2020 potential
$500-$550
© 2019 Albany International Corp.
Albany Engineered Composites
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Establish AEC as the broadest and most capable Tier 2 supplier of advanced composite parts in the aerospace industry
$500M - $550M sales, 18%-20% Adjusted EBITDA as a percentage of sales by 2020
Execute on existing contracts
Leverage breadth of technology and operational capabilities for additional organic growth
Stay open to opportunities to accelerate growth through complementary acquisitions
Vision
Objective
Strategy
© 2019 Albany International Corp.
AEC Operations
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LEAP Plant 1
Rochester
300,000 ft2
Boerne
150,000 ft2
LEAP Plant 2
Commercy
300,000 ft2
Salt Lake City
610,800 ft²
LEAP Plant 2
Commercy
300,000 ft2
Rochester
200,000 ft²
LEAP Plant 3
Querétaro 1
288,850 ft2
8 Plants
1,250 Employees
$16M R&D
Albany
Headquarters
R&DGE9X
Querétaro 2
78,000 ft²
© 2019 Albany International Corp.
AEC Technology
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LEAP Plant 2
Commercy
300,000 ft2
3D Woven Composites Simulation Analysis & DesignThrough Thickness Reinforcement
2D Laminated Composites Automated Material PlacementBraiding
Filament Winding
© 2019 Albany International Corp.
AEC Growth Potential
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Program Area Type
Composite
Technology
2020 $
potential*
Upside
after 2020
LEAP Civil, Engine 3D RTM (primary),
2D RTM
$240-260M Volume, Next- Gen
Engine for New Platform
CH-53K Military, Aerostructures 2D Prepreg Autoclave,
Subassembly
$50-60M Ramp, Foreign Military
Sales, Additional Content
Boeing 787 Fuselage
Frames
Civil, Aerostructures 2D Prepreg Autoclave $45-50M New Platforms
F-35 Military, Aerostructures 2D prepreg Autoclave,
Automated Fiber
Placement
$55-65M Spares
Lockheed Missiles (JASSM, LRASSM)
Military, Aerostructures Braiding, Resin Infusion $15-20M New Variants, Volume,
Additional Content
Other Engines (eg, GE 9x,
F-35 LiftFan® components)
Civil, Military, Engines 3D/2D RTM $60-75M New Wins, Additional
Content, Volume
Other Aircraft Equipment (eg, Waste Tanks,
Evacuation Slide Packs)
Civil, Aircraft Equipment Filament Winding, 2D
Prepreg Autoclave
$20-25M New Platforms
Boeing NMA Civil, Engine, Airframe 3D RTM, 2D Prepreg
Autoclave
NA 2025 EIS?
New DOD Platforms Air, Space, Land 3D/2D Resin Infusion $5-10M New Wins,
New Platforms
*existing contracts only
© 2019 Albany International Corp.
The LEAP Engine
Single-Aisle = ~70% of all new
aircraft*
CFM (GE + Safran) = ~70% of
engines for single-aisle aircraft
LEAP is the new CFM engine
AIN is exclusive, life-of-
program supplier of composite
cases and blades for LEAP
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©CFM
* Boeing Current Market Outlook, 2017
© 2019 Albany International Corp.
The LEAP Engine
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$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
$140
$160
$180
$200
$220
$240
$260
$280
$300
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Annual AEC Revenue PotentialMillions
Backlog: 15,620 engines
Share:
o 100% Boeing 737Max
o ~59% Airbus A320neo
o 100% Comac C919
©CFM
© 2019 Albany International Corp.
AEC Major Programs, Airframes
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F-35 Joint Strike Fighter Airframe
787 Forward Fuselage Frames
CH-53K Airframe
Forward Fuselage
FramesWing Skins
Access CoverBull Nose
Blade Seal
Tail Rotor Plyon
Sponsons
Horizontal
Stabilizer
Ramp: 2016 – 2019 Boeing 787-9 and -10 $45-50M/year potential
by 2020
Ramp: 2018 – 2020 228 parts across
CTOL, STOVL, CV $55-65M/year
potential by 2020
Ramp: 2019 – 2023 $50-60M/year
potential by 2020 $>100M/year
potential by full production
© 2019 Albany International Corp.
AEC Organic Growth Potential
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0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2018 2020 potential
engine airframe
$500M - $550M
$371M
$ Millions
© 2019 Albany International Corp.
Machine Clothing
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Consumable
High value-added
High switching costs
Low threat of product
substitutes
© 2019 Albany International Corp.
PRESSINGFORMING
PROCESS
BELTS
Shoe Press Belt,
Transbelt
DRYING
Consumable Product # Fabrics Average Life
Forming 2 45-60 Days
Pressing 4 40-50 Days
Drying 8 6-18 Months
Belts 2 8-16 Months
Paper Machine Clothing
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© 2019 Albany International Corp.
Paper Production, Global
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2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
World
Demand
% CH
424
1.9
424
0.1
430
1.3
435
1.3
434
-0.3
439
1.3
448
2.0
Operating Rate 0.89 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.87 0.88 0.89
North America
Production
%CH
82
0.2
83
0.7
85
2.1
86
2.1
86
-0.7
87
0.9
88
2.1
Western Europe
Production
%CH
86
1.9
87
0.8
87
0.4
87
0.2
87
-0.9
87
0.3
87
0.4
China
Production
%CH
116
2.1
111
-3.9
110
-0.9
109
-0.7
109
-0.9
109
0.7
111
1.8
Other Far East
(x Japan)
Production
%CH
51
3.5
54
5.4
56
3.6
59
5.1
60
1.8
62
3.3
64
3.0
Latin America
Production
%CH
22
0.1
23
3.6
23
3.0
24
3.1
24
1.4
25
3.2
26
2.6
© 2018 RISI, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Million Tons
© 2019 Albany International Corp.
World Demand for Paper
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1993-
2002
2003-
2012
2013-
2022 2015 2016 2017 2018
World GDP 3.2 4.0 3.4 3.1 3.0 3.6 3.8
Total Paper 2.9 2.0 1.2 0.3 1.1 1.8 1.7
Printing and Writing Papers 3.3 0.7 -1.5 -2.3 -2.2 -0.7 -0.8
Newsprint 1.3 -1.9 -5.8 -8.7 -4.6 -7.0 -5.5
Tissue 4.0 3.4 3.5 4.1 3.9 3.4 3.5
Containerboard 4.0 3.7 2.8 2.5 2.8 4.2 3.4
Other Paper 1.6 2.2 1.8 0.7 2.0 2.0 2.2
© 2018 RISI, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
~22% MC sales
Average Annual Growth Rates
© 2019 Albany International Corp.
Market leader ~ 30% global share
Broadest product line, geographic reach
Overexposed to growth grades, regions
#1 supplier to top papermakers, every region
Deepest talent
Technology leader, rich R&D pipeline
Global footprint aligned with market High-quality, low-cost production in growth
markets
Reduced fixed costs in mature markets
Strong field presence in all regions
Historical Annual Adj. EBITDA of
$180M - $195M (above historical range
in current economic and currency
environment)
Albany Machine Clothing
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Albany, approx. 30%
Next Largest Competitor,
est. 18%
All Other Competitors
Global PMC Market Share
© 2019 Albany International Corp.
One Investment Proposition
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A small cap that combines:
The cash generation potential of a value stock
The revenue potential of a growth stock
with
MC Adjusted EBITDA($ million)
$194.6 $194.8$212.1
$0
$40
$80
$120
$160
$200
$240
2016 2017 2018
AEC Organic Revenue Potential($ million)
$370.6
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
2018 2020 potential
$500-$550
© 2019 Albany International Corp.
Appendix
21
© 2019 Albany International Corp.
• Businesses with a strategic fit to existing competencies, including adjacencies
that enhance our competitive position.
• Specifically for AEC:
• Engineered aerospace composite businesses (both commercial and
defense), non-metallic components, subassemblies & solutions.
• Differentiated materials, processes and products with proprietary
knowhow and IP.
o CMCs, Thermoplastics, CNTs, and Specialty Composites.
o Automated Processes.
o Aero Engines, Aero Structures, and Equipment.
• Businesses with existing content on growth aero engine and structure
programs.
Acquisition Criteria
22
© 2019 Albany International Corp.
2D Laminated Composites
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Sheets of fiber pre-impregnated with resin (“prepreg”) cut on machine into “plies”
Plies are individually layered onto a tool(“lay-up”)
“Lay-up” is vacuum-bagged to tool and put into an autoclave to cure
Conventional Composites
© 2019 Albany International Corp.
3D Woven RTM Composites
Thousands of individually controlled fibers,
Woven in three dimensions into a near net-shape “preform,”
Which is trimmed and formed,
And into which resin is injected and then cured in a net-shaped tool.
The weight-savings of 2D Laminated composites
Greater impact resistance
More complex shapes
No delamination
Use of high-temp fibers
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Innovative Results
© 2019 Albany International Corp.
3D Weaving
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© 2019 Albany International Corp.
3D Weaving Proprietary Capabilities
Manufacturing
Process
3D Weaving
Contour, Steered Weaving
3D Woven RTM, Resin
Infusion
Fiber Insertion
Woven
Structures
3D, 2D/3D hybrid, T Forms,
3D spiraled cones, Pi
preforms,
etc .
Manufacturing
Equipment
Loom designs
Loom operating systems
Loom take-up, harness
configuration, etc
Thru thickness fiber
insertion
SoftwareCAD/CAM
CAE
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© 2019 Albany International Corp.
Joint R&D
General Collaboration
Agreement Mutual exclusivity on
engines to 2025
Long-term Supply
Agreement Life of LEAP program
Co-located in Rochester
and Commercy
Albany Safran
Composites AEC subsidiary
dedicated to Safran
Mutual exclusivity for all
Safran applications
Rights to AEC IP
10% Safran ownership
Initial Valuation, $280M
Safran Buy-out Option if
and only if AIN is sold to
a competitor or fails to
perform
2000 2019
The Safran-Albany Partnership
19 Years of Joint Effort
27
© 2019 Albany International Corp.
AIN Consolidated Capital Structure
($ millions) Dec. 31, 2017 Dec. 31, 2018
Ratios:
- Debt to Total Invested Capital 47.4% 46.3%
- Debt to Total Market Capital 20.7% 17.7%
Data:
Total Debt 516.2 524.9
Shareholder's Equity (Book) 573.0 608.3
Total Invested Capital 1,089.2 1,133.2
AIN Stock Price 61.45 75.47
Outstanding Shares at Period End 32.2 32.3
Market Value of Equity 1,978.7 2,437.7
Total Market Equity plus Debt 2,494.9 2,962.6
Less: Cash 183.7 197.7
Enterprise Value 2,311.2 2,764.9
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© 2019 Albany International Corp.
Matures Rate
$685m Revolving Credit November 2022 L+ 150 bps
$186m UNdrawn 27.5 bps
__________________________________________________
$198m Total Available Cash
__________________________________________________
As of 12/31/18:
AIN Consolidated Financial Capacity
29
© 2019 Albany International Corp.
Non-GAAP Reconciliation
$ millions
Total Company2016 2017 2018
Net income $52.8 $32.6 $83.0
Interest expense, net 13.5 17.1 18.1
Income tax expense/ (benefit) 25.4 22.1 32.2
Depreciation and amortization 67.5 72.0 79.0
Restructuring 8.4 13.5 15.6
Currency revaluation (gain)/
loss(4.0) 8.8 (0.3)
Pension Settlement/Curtailment - - 1.5
Write-off of inventory in a
discontinued product line- 2.8 -
Acquisition expenses 5.4 - -
(Income)/ loss attributable to
noncontrolling interest in ASC (0.1) 0.5 (0.2)
Adjusted EBITDA $168.9 $169.4 $228.9
$ millionsDec. 31
2016
Dec. 31
2017
Dec. 31
2018
Notes and
loans payable$0.3 $0.3 $ -
Current
maturities of
long-term debt
51.7 1.8 1.2
Long-term
debt432.9 514.1 523.7
Total debt 484.9 516.2 524.9
Cash 181.7 183.7 197.7
Net debt $303.2 $332.5 $327.2
* From continuing operations
Total Adjusted EBITDA* and Net Debt
30
© 2019 Albany International Corp.
Non-GAAP Reconciliation Segment-Adjusted EBITDA*
31
Machine Clothing AECCorporate expenses and
Other
$ millions 2016 2017 2018 2016 2017 2018 2016 2017 2018
Net income $152.5 $153.9 $169.8 ($15.4) ($31.7) $16.6 ($84.4) ($89.7) ($103.5)
Interest expense, net - - - - - - 13.5 17.1 18.1
Income tax expense/
(benefit)- - - - - - 25.4 22.1 32.2
Depreciation and
amortization36.4 33.5 30.8 24.2 33.5 43.2 6.8 4.9 5.0
Restructuring 6.1 3.4 12.3 2.3 10.1 3.1 - - 0.3
Currency revaluation (gain)/
loss(0.4) 4.0 (0.8) - 0.3 0.6 (3.4) 4.6 -
Pension
Settlement/Curtailment- - - - - - - - 1.5
Write-off of inventory in a
discontinued product line- - - - 2.8 3.2 - - -
Acquisition expenses - - - 5.4 - - - - -
(Income)/ loss attributable to
noncontrolling interest in
ASC
- - - (0.1) 0.5 (0.2) - - -
Adjusted EBITDA $194.6 $194.8 $212.1 $16.4 $15.5 $63.3 ($42.1) ($41.0) ($46.4)
* From continuing operations