Investment Banking I Industry Spotlight - 53.com · Technology, Media, & Telecom I Industry...
Transcript of Investment Banking I Industry Spotlight - 53.com · Technology, Media, & Telecom I Industry...
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Technology, Media, & Telecom I Q4 2017
Investment Banking I Industry Spotlight
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Technology, Media, & Telecom I Industry Spotlight
Q4 2017
Key TMT Contacts
Investment Banking
Debt Capital Markets
Equity Capital Markets
Andrew Hensley Managing Director
Corporate Banking
Kevin Khanna Managing Director & Group Go-Head
Peter Foley Managing Director & Group Go-Head
Technology, Media, & Telecom Investment Banking
Coverage Responsibilities Capital Markets Capabilities
Focus on Middle Market and Mid-Cap Companies operating in the following industries and sectors:
Technology
Software
Services
Hardware
Semiconductors
Media
Digital Marketing & Advertising
Filmed Entertainment & TV
Publishing
TV Broadcasting
TV Networks
Radio Broadcasting
Telecom
Multichannel Video Operators
Towers
Business Process Outsourcing
Wireless
Wireline
Full-service Capital Markets platform staffed with over 200 professionals, offering the following capabilities:
Investment Banking
M&A Advisory
Capital Raising
Strategic Alternatives
Debt Capital Markets (DCM)
Loan Capital Markets:
– Pro Rata
– Institutional
Bond Capital Markets:
– Investment Grade
– High Yield
– Acquisition & Bridge Finance
Securitization & Private Placements
Equity Capital Markets (ECM)
Initial Public Offerings (IPO’s)
Follow-On Offerings
Convertible Debt
Technology, Media & Telecom Group Overview
Curtis Baker Vice President
Michael Ryan Managing Director
Susannah Lunke Director
Experienced Senior Leadership
Over 30 years experience in financial services primarily focusing on Mergers & Acquisitions and corporate finance advisory services
Seventeen years focused on media, telecom, and technology corporate finance and M&A advisory
BA – Colgate University
MBA – Fordham University
Over 30 years of financial services experience with a focus on buy and sell-side Mergers & Acquisitions and capital raises for Middle Market companies
Extensive experience with telecommunications and business services companies
BS – University of Virginia
MBA – Georgia State University
Jeffrey Hoff Managing Director
Alan McClure Managing Director
Jeffrey Hoff Managing Director
Zac Kennedy Associate
Alan McClure Managing Director
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Technology, Media, & Telecom I Industry Spotlight
Q4 2017
Total Addressable Market Statistics The EdTech industry is a highly fragmented and consolidating segment, exhibiting heightened M&A activity from strategic and financial acquirers over the past twelve months
Strategic acquisition activity in the first three quarters of 2017 remained similar to the same period in the prior fiscal year
Majority and minority acquisition activity from financial sponsors has increase in the first three quarters of 2017 when compared to the same period in 2016
Deal value has experienced an uptick in 2017, mainly driven by venture deals and large financial M&A transactions
Key EdTech Industry Drivers
Performance, Reporting, & Accountability
− Every Student Succeeds Act (“ESSA”) focuses on reporting outcomes across all domains of data with local control to states, districts, and schools
Parent Engagement & Transparency
− Involvement from parents, teachers, and administrators to close expectation gap
− Leveraging ubiquitous technology (e.g., email, text, smartphones, etc.)
Personalized Learning
− Individualized learning plans for each child targeting academic gaps
− Transition to digital tools generating more student performance data
Districts Consolidating Technology Purchasing
− Schools to consolidate purchasing a single comprehensive/ integrated platform
− Increased demand for platforms offering solutions addressing workflows
Formative Assessments
− Common Core and State standards driving districts to measure mastery of standards throughout the year in addition to end of year high stakes tests
− Formative assessment, integrated w/ data analytics, required for student mastery
Spend Analysis by Vertical
In the year-ended 2017, total EdTech U.S. user spends within the higher education and primary & secondary end-markets are expected to reach $15.2 billion and $11.6 billion, respectively
− Total market expected to reach ~ $26.8 billion in user spending
By 2021, education technology user spending within higher education and primary & secondary end-markets is expected to reach $30.9 billion
− Overall market expected to grow by a CAGR of ~4% from 2017 to 2021
Spend Analysis by Sub-Segment
No specific sub-segment represents more than ~33% of the overall education technology market comprising higher education and primary & secondary education
− EdTech software sub-segment accounts for largest portion of market in expected year-end 2017 (~33%)
− IT Services sub-segment represents second largest share of market (~21%)
The software industry segment is expected to grow at a 2017 to 2021 CAGR of ~7%
Market Insights: Education Technology (“EdTech”)
Source: Gartner, NCES as of 2015, S&P Capital IQ, Wall Street Research
AD Index
EV/EBITDA
trading above
10.0x as of
6/21
EdTech Market User Spending ($ in millions)
EdTech Higher Education User Spending by Sub-Segment ($ in millions)
EdTech Primary & Secondary User Spending by Sub-Segment ($ in millions)
56 & 61MM+ Students
Estimated # of students enrolled in primary & secondary schools in 2017 and by 2025 , respectively
20 & 23MM+ Students
Estimated # of students enrolled in postsecondary institutions in 2017
and by 2025, respectively
1.2T+ Expenditures
Estimated $ volume of expenditures in overall
education industry
$0
$1,000
$2,000
$3,000
$4,000
$5,000
$6,000
$7,000
2015 YR 2016 YR 2017 YR 2018 YR 2019 YR 2020 YR 2021 YR
Software IT Services Data Center Systems Devices Telecom Services
$0
$1,000
$2,000
$3,000
$4,000
$5,000
$6,000
2015 YR 2016 YR 2017 YR 2018 YR 2019 YR 2020 YR 2021 YR
Software IT Services Data Center Systems Devices Telecom Services
$14,032 $14,526 $15,147 $15,764 $16,330 $16,922 $17,513
$10,773 $11,164 $11,619 $12,064 $12,465 $12,883 $13,357
$24,805 $25,690 $26,765 $27,828 $28,795 $29,804 $30,870
2015 YR 2016 YR 2017 YR 2018 YR 2019 YR 2020 YR 2021 YR
Higher Education Primary and Secondary
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Technology, Media, & Telecom I Industry Spotlight
Q4 2017
4.0x
6.0x
8.0x
10.0x
12.0x
14.0x
Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17
Telecom Index Media Index Technology Index S&P 500
(10%)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17
Telecom Index Media Index Technology Index S&P 500
Sub Sector Indices’ Stock Price Performance
5-Year Share Price Performance
80.9%
45.7%
5-Year EV / Forward EBITDA Performance1
Public Market Valuation Trends
87.5%
21.0%
11.9x
7.8x
11.3x
9.1x
Source: Company Filings, S&P Capital IQ See slide 14 for details on the composition of each subsector index 1MSFT excluded due to incorrect share count
Sub-SectorNumber of
Companies
Median Enterprise Value Median
% Change in Stock Price
Median TEV /
LTM Multiples
Median TEV /
Forward Multiples
$ in millions 1 Year 3 Years Revenue EBITDA Revenue EBITDA
Telecom 16 $42,649.0 3.9% 28.7% 2.6x 8.3x 2.6x 8.2x
Multichannel Video Operators 3 159,263.3 14.3% 0.7% 3.0x 10.8x 3.0x 10.4x
Towers 3 53,585.9 34.1% 41.8% 15.6x 24.3x 12.6x 22.2x
Wireless 4 206,862.9 (5.2%) 26.8% 2.2x 7.4x 2.1x 7.1x
Wireline 4 14,536.8 (53.0%) (76.1%) 1.9x 6.7x 1.9x 6.0x
Fiber 2 2,492.1 9.9% 29.9% 5.8x 15.4x 5.5x 13.5x
Media 22 $8,478.8 (1.3%) (4.9%) 2.4x 9.6x 2.6x 9.4x
TV Broadcasting 5 5,962.6 13.3% 35.6% 2.7x 9.6x 3.0x 9.8x
Radio Broadcasting 2 803.7 43.7% 76.2% 2.4x 11.2x NA NA
Entertainment 3 9,920.4 24.0% 23.2% 2.3x 12.9x 2.1x 13.5x
TV Networks 4 17,021.1 (5.1%) (26.5%) 2.7x 7.8x 2.6x 7.9x
Advertising 8 9,610.2 (9.6%) (6.6%) 1.9x 10.1x 1.9x 8.9x
Technology 16 $35,338.6 29.8% 66.2% 6.0x 17.8x 5.7x 14.4x
Software 5 185,248.4 29.8% 57.1% 4.9x 18.4x 4.8x 13.8x
Payment Processors 6 33,137.3 22.2% 81.3% 4.6x 17.1x 4.7x 15.1x
Semiconductors 5 15,100.5 34.0% 66.2% 6.0x 15.9x 5.7x 13.7x
EdTech Software 5 3,184.1 70.2% 123.8% 6.4x 34.9x 6.2x 25.7x
S&P 500 500 18.9% 27.9% 2.4x 12.2x 2.2x 10.5x
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Technology, Media, & Telecom I Industry Spotlight
Q4 2017 Public Company Comparables: Technology
Operating & Trading Statistics ($ in millions, except per-share data)
*Excluded from mean and median Source: Company Filings, S&P Capital IQ
Stock % of 52- Enterprise Value /
Price at Week Market Enterprise LTM Financials Revenue Growth LTM Margins Debt / Price / Revenue EBITDA
12/29/17 High Cap Value Revenue EBITDA '15A-'16E '16E-'17E Gross EBITDA EBITDA Earnings LTM 2017E LTM 2017E
Software
Alphabet Inc. $1,053.40 97.0% $729,458 $633,279 $104,596 $34,441 20.4% 21.3% 59.9% 32.9% 0.1x 35.2x 6.1x 5.8x 18.4x 14.4x
Microsoft Corporation 85.54 97.8% 659,906 615,246 92,560 32,108 5.4% 12.5% 62.5% 34.7% 2.8x 30.2x 6.6x 6.1x 19.2x 15.4x
International Business Machines Corporation 153.42 83.9% 142,035 176,292 76,657 16,839 (2.2%) (1.6%) 46.3% 22.0% 2.7x 12.8x 2.3x 2.2x 10.5x 9.2x
Oracle Corporation 47.28 89.0% 195,720 185,248 38,907 15,143 1.8% 3.4% 58.4% 38.9% 4.0x 20.3x 4.8x 4.8x 12.2x 10.3x
SAP SE 112.32 93.0% 134,660 135,345 27,634 6,959 3.1% 21.4% 69.6% 25.2% 1.0x 30.9x 4.9x 4.8x 19.4x 13.8x
Mean 5.7% 11.4% 59.3% 30.7% 2.1x 25.9x 4.9x 4.7x 15.9x 12.6x
Median 3.1% 12.5% 59.9% 32.9% 2.7x 30.2x 4.9x 4.8x 18.4x 13.8x
Payment Processors
Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. $94.09 97.3% $31,414 $39,907 $9,240 $2,529 40.1% (0.8%) 32.6% 27.4% 3.6x NM 4.3x 4.4x 15.8x 13.2x
First Data Corporation 16.71 86.9% 15,431 36,516 7,991 2,820 1.0% 53.3% 60.5% 35.3% 6.6x 22.0x 4.6x 3.0x 12.9x 12.0x
Alliance Data Systems Corporation 253.48 95.2% 14,004 34,161 3,160 1,503 10.8% 8.7% 22.4% 47.6% 15.6x 27.1x 10.8x 4.4x 22.7x 17.0x
Fiserv, Inc. 131.13 98.3% 27,327 32,113 5,611 1,763 4.8% 2.9% 46.6% 31.4% 2.9x 31.2x 5.7x 5.7x 18.2x 15.8x
Total System Services, Inc. 79.09 98.2% 14,540 17,100 4,787 986 50.0% (19.0%) 27.6% 20.6% 3.0x 35.1x 3.6x 5.1x 17.3x 14.4x
Global Payments Inc. 100.24 95.6% 15,952 20,190 4,277 1,191 30.3% (6.7%) 49.2% 27.9% 4.4x NM 4.7x 5.7x 16.9x 17.4x
Mean 22.8% 6.4% 39.8% 31.7% 6.0x 28.9x 5.6x 4.7x 17.3x 15.0x
Median 20.6% 1.0% 39.6% 29.6% 4.0x 29.2x 4.6x 4.7x 17.1x 15.1x
Semiconductors
Analog Devices, Inc. $89.03 94.7% $32,820 $39,623 $5,108 $2,117 49.3% 11.7% 67.0% 41.5% 3.7x 43.0x 7.8x 6.9x 18.7x 13.8x
Microchip Technology Incorporated 87.88 91.6% 20,556 22,259 3,721 1,398 56.8% 13.8% 59.2% 37.6% 2.2x 36.2x 6.0x 5.7x 15.9x 13.0x
Maxim Integrated Products, Inc. 52.28 94.3% 14,716 13,431 2,310 874 4.6% 3.6% 64.0% 37.8% 1.7x 25.6x 5.8x 5.6x 15.4x 13.7x
Xilinx, Inc. 67.42 89.7% 16,919 15,100 2,430 764 6.1% 5.3% 69.5% 31.4% 2.3x 28.4x 6.2x 6.1x 19.8x 19.3x
ON Semiconductor Corporation 20.94 94.5% 8,882 10,947 5,427 1,170 11.8% 38.1% 36.3% 21.6% 2.5x 22.8x 2.0x 2.0x 9.4x 8.8x
Mean 25.7% 14.5% 59.2% 34.0% 2.5x 31.2x 5.6x 5.3x 15.8x 13.7x
Median 11.8% 11.7% 64.0% 37.6% 2.3x 28.4x 6.0x 5.7x 15.9x 13.7x
EdTech Software
Tyler Technologies, Inc. $177.05 94.1% $6,651 $6,487 $816 $183 27.9% 11.6% 47.4% 22.4% 0.0x NM 7.9x 7.7x 35.4x 25.7x
Blackbaud, Inc. 94.49 90.4% 4,440 4,761 770 138 14.6% 8.1% 54.4% 18.0% 2.4x NM 6.2x 6.0x 34.4x 24.4x
2U, Inc. 64.51 93.1% 3,369 3,184 257 (19) 37.1% 38.5% 80.6% NM NM NM 12.4x 11.2x NM 300.1x *
Chegg, Inc. 16.32 97.9% 1,770 1,567 245 (6) (15.7%) (0.8%) 67.2% NM 0.0x NM 6.4x 6.2x NM 34.8x
Instructure, Inc. 33.10 90.4% 1,002 935 147 (47) 51.5% 41.1% 71.2% NM 0.0x NM 6.4x 6.0x NM NM
Mean 23.1% 19.7% 64.2% 20.2% 0.6x NM 7.9x 7.4x 34.9x 28.3x
Median 27.9% 11.6% 67.2% 20.2% 0.0x NM 6.4x 6.2x 34.9x 25.7x
Mean 19.5% 12.7% 54.9% 30.8% 3.1x 28.6x 6.0x 5.5x 18.5x 16.1x
Median 11.8% 8.7% 59.2% 31.4% 2.6x 29.3x 6.0x 5.7x 17.8x 14.4x
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Technology, Media, & Telecom I Industry Spotlight
Q4 2017 Public Company Comparables: Media
Operating & Trading Statistics ($ in millions, except per-share data)
*Excluded from mean and median Source: Company Filings, S&P Capital IQ
Stock % of 52- Enterprise Value /
Price at Week Market Enterprise LTM Financials Revenue Growth LTM Margins Debt / Price / Revenue EBITDA
12/29/17 High Cap Value Revenue EBITDA '15A-'16E '16E-'17E Gross EBITDA EBITDA Earnings LTM 2017E LTM 2017E
TV Broadcasting
TEGNA Inc. $14.08 52.8% $3,030 $5,963 $3,297 $1,077 9.5% (23.8%) 64.9% 32.7% 3.1x 8.2x 1.8x 2.3x 5.5x 7.4x
Sinclair Broadcast Group, Inc. 37.85 87.9% 3,851 7,271 2,720 848 23.3% (0.0%) 51.6% 31.2% 4.8x 14.6x 2.7x 2.7x 8.6x 9.0x
Nexstar Media Group, Inc. 78.20 97.2% 3,563 7,827 2,088 697 23.1% 118.4% 60.4% 33.4% 6.3x 28.9x 3.7x 3.2x 11.2x 9.7x
Gray Television, Inc. 16.75 95.7% 1,474 3,139 887 327 36.0% 7.6% 39.7% 36.9% 5.6x 9.2x 3.5x 3.6x 9.6x 11.3x
The E. W. Scripps Company 15.63 64.7% 1,280 1,552 889 140 31.8% (3.3%) 36.3% 15.7% 2.8x NM 1.7x 1.7x 11.1x 14.0x
Mean 24.7% 19.8% 50.6% 30.0% 4.5x 15.2x 2.7x 2.7x 9.2x 10.3x
Median 23.3% (0.0%) 51.6% 32.7% 4.8x 11.9x 2.7x 2.7x 9.6x 9.7x
Radio Broadcasting
Urban One, Inc. $1.75 50.0% $81 $1,030 $445 114 1.2% NA 69.2% 25.7% 8.7x NM 2.3x NA 9.0x NA
Beasley Broadcast Group, Inc. 13.40 73.7% 386 577 227 43 29.0% NA 25.8% 18.9% 4.8x 6.3x 2.5x NA 13.4x NA
Mean 15.1% NA 47.5% 22.3% 6.8x 6.3x 2.4x NA 11.2x NA
Median 15.1% NA 47.5% 22.3% 6.8x 6.3x 2.4x NA 11.2x NA
Entertainment
Twenty-First Century Fox, Inc. $34.53 96.3% $63,640 $78,539 $28,996 7,105 4.3% 2.2% 37.1% 24.5% 2.8x 21.3x 2.7x 2.7x 11.1x 10.8x
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. 42.57 90.6% 8,803 9,920 9,589 670 15.3% 8.2% 26.3% 7.0% 3.5x NM 1.0x 1.1x 14.8x 14.0x
Lions Gate Entertainment Corp. 33.81 97.3% 6,812 9,131 3,955 416 36.4% 36.9% 44.1% 10.5% 5.9x 31.8x 2.3x 2.1x 21.9x * 15.3x
Mean 18.7% 15.8% 35.8% 14.0% 4.0x 26.5x 2.0x 2.0x 12.9x 13.3x
Median 15.3% 8.2% 37.1% 10.5% 3.5x 26.5x 2.3x 2.1x 12.9x 14.0x
TV Networks
Viacom, Inc. $30.81 65.9% $12,596 $22,658 $13,263 $2,966 6.2% 0.5% 45.0% 22.4% 3.7x 6.6x 1.7x 1.7x 7.6x 7.1x
Discovery Communications, Inc. 22.38 74.0% 12,200 20,096 6,383 2,524 1.6% 4.9% 62.7% 39.5% 5.8x 11.8x 3.1x 2.9x 8.0x 8.0x
Scripps Networks Interactive, Inc. 85.38 96.5% 11,092 13,946 3,401 1,525 12.7% 5.8% 67.6% 44.8% 1.7x 18.3x 4.1x 3.9x 9.1x 9.5x
AMC Networks Inc. 54.08 80.0% 3,346 6,169 2,808 876 6.8% 4.4% 53.5% 31.2% 3.6x 10.7x 2.2x 2.1x 7.0x 7.1x
Mean 6.8% 3.9% 57.2% 34.5% 3.7x 11.9x 2.8x 2.7x 7.9x 7.9x
Median 6.5% 4.6% 58.1% 35.4% 3.7x 11.3x 2.7x 2.5x 7.8x 7.5x
Advertising
WPP plc $18.13 69.6% $23,018 $29,650 $19,814 $3,570 (1.5%) 14.2% 86.3% 18.0% 2.7x 10.3x 1.5x 1.5x 8.3x 8.7x
Omnicom Group Inc. 72.83 83.3% 16,790 20,643 15,339 2,327 1.9% (1.2%) 18.1% 15.2% 2.1x 14.5x 1.3x 1.4x 8.9x 8.9x
Publicis Groupe S.A. 68.02 82.1% 15,374 17,775 11,207 1,969 (1.5%) 11.7% 38.7% 17.6% 1.9x NM 1.6x 1.5x 9.0x 8.7x
The Interpublic Group of Companies, Inc. 20.16 78.4% 7,834 9,493 7,806 1,105 3.1% 1.9% 35.3% 14.2% 1.9x 13.9x 1.2x 1.2x 8.6x 8.2x
Lamar Advertising Company 74.24 93.8% 7,308 9,728 1,530 651 10.9% 3.5% 65.1% 42.5% 3.8x 23.5x 6.4x 6.3x 14.9x 14.5x
Outfront Media Inc. 23.20 83.2% 3,216 5,438 1,059 388 0.0% 0.3% 45.2% 36.6% 5.7x 27.6x 5.1x 3.6x 14.0x 12.2x
Endurance International Group Holdings, Inc. 8.40 85.3% 1,205 3,093 1,175 277 49.9% 4.7% 50.5% 23.5% 7.1x NM 2.6x 2.7x 11.2x 9.5x
Web.com Group, Inc. 21.80 84.0% 1,063 1,720 748 152 30.7% 6.4% 68.9% 20.3% 4.4x 44.4x 2.3x 2.3x 11.3x 9.0x
Mean 11.7% 5.2% 51.0% 23.5% 3.7x 22.4x 2.8x 2.5x 10.8x 10.0x
Median 2.5% 4.1% 47.8% 19.2% 3.3x 19.0x 1.9x 1.9x 10.1x 8.9x
Mean 15.7% 10.2% 48.7% 25.5% 4.0x 17.8x 2.6x 2.5x 10.2x 10.1x
Median 11.8% 4.4% 45.1% 24.0% 3.8x 14.6x 2.4x 2.3x 9.6x 9.5x
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Technology, Media, & Telecom I Industry Spotlight
Q4 2017
Operating & Trading Statistics ($ in millions, except per-share data)
Public Company Comparables: Telecom
*Excluded from mean and median Source: Company Filings, S&P Capital IQ
Stock % of 52- Enterprise Value /
Price at Week Market Enterprise LTM Financials Revenue Growth LTM Margins Debt / Price / Revenue EBITDA
12/29/17 High Cap Value Revenue EBITDA '15A-'16E '16E-'17E Gross EBITDA EBITDA Earnings LTM 2017E LTM 2017E
Multichannel Video Operators
Comcast Corporation $40.05 95.0% $187,185 $250,221 $83,636 $28,419 7.9% 5.3% 70.1% 34.0% 2.3x 19.2x 3.0x 3.0x 8.8x 8.9x
Charter Communications, Inc. 335.96 82.2% 83,946 159,263 41,254 14,781 197.3% * 43.6% 52.8% 35.8% 4.6x NM 3.9x 3.8x 10.8x 10.4x
DISH Network Corporation 47.75 71.8% 22,269 37,148 14,542 2,963 0.2% (3.0%) 33.0% 20.4% 5.5x 23.2x 2.6x 2.5x 12.5x 12.1x
Mean 4.0% 15.3% 52.0% 30.1% 4.1x 21.2x 3.1x 3.1x 10.7x 10.5x
Median 4.0% 5.3% 52.8% 34.0% 4.6x 21.2x 3.0x 3.0x 10.8x 10.4x
Towers
American Tower Corporation $142.67 91.9% $61,185 $81,393 $6,409 $3,861 21.3% 14.3% 69.0% 60.2% 5.0x NM 12.7x 12.3x 21.1x 20.2x
Crown Castle International Corp. 111.01 96.6% 45,101 53,586 3,436 2,206 7.0% 6.9% 63.4% 64.2% 6.9x NM 15.6x 12.8x 24.3x 22.4x
SBA Communications Corporation 163.36 93.9% 19,202 28,021 1,603 1,119 (0.3%) 5.0% 73.6% 69.8% 8.0x NM 17.5x 16.3x 25.0x 23.5x
Mean 9.3% 8.7% 68.7% 64.8% 6.6x NM 15.3x 13.8x 23.5x 22.0x
Median 7.0% 6.9% 69.0% 64.2% 6.9x NM 15.6x 12.8x 24.3x 22.4x
Wireless
Verizon Communications Inc. $52.93 96.5% $215,925 $330,721 $124,419 $43,975 (4.3%) (2.6%) 59.2% 35.3% 2.7x 13.6x 2.7x 2.7x 7.5x 7.4x
AT&T Inc. 38.88 90.4% 238,684 355,947 160,711 48,829 11.6% (1.5%) 53.4% 30.4% 3.4x 18.7x 2.2x 2.2x 7.3x 6.8x
T-Mobile US, Inc. 63.51 92.2% 52,838 83,005 39,055 10,612 16.2% 8.3% 56.3% 27.2% 2.9x 24.9x 2.1x 2.1x 7.8x 7.8x
Sprint Corporation 5.89 61.0% 23,562 55,528 33,172 11,176 3.6% 0.4% 57.9% 33.7% 3.4x NM 1.7x 1.7x 5.0x 5.1x
Mean 6.8% 1.1% 56.7% 31.6% 3.1x 19.0x 2.2x 2.2x 6.9x 6.8x
Median 7.6% (0.5%) 57.1% 32.0% 3.1x 18.7x 2.2x 2.1x 7.4x 7.1x
Wireline
CenturyLink, Inc. $16.68 60.4% $17,831 $42,649 $16,622 $5,941 (2.4%) (5.5%) 57.0% 35.7% 4.2x 28.7x 2.6x 2.6x 7.2x 7.2x
Frontier Communications Corporation 6.76 11.8% 530 18,014 9,320 3,645 59.5% 3.1% 61.6% 39.1% 4.9x NM 1.9x 2.0x 4.9x 5.0x
Windstream Holdings, Inc. 1.85 22.2% 338 11,059 5,664 1,806 (6.6%) 10.0% 47.6% 31.9% 6.0x NM 2.0x 1.9x 6.1x 5.6x
Cincinnati Bell Inc. 20.85 85.3% 880 2,098 1,147 282 1.5% (3.6%) 43.8% 24.6% 4.0x 22.4x 1.8x 1.8x 7.4x 7.2x
Mean 13.0% 1.0% 52.5% 32.8% 4.8x 25.6x 2.1x 2.1x 6.4x 6.2x
Median (0.4%) (0.2%) 52.3% 33.8% 4.5x 25.6x 1.9x 1.9x 6.7x 6.4x
Fiber
Zayo Group Holdings, Inc. $36.80 98.8% $9,103 $14,454 $2,338 $1,061 27.8% 13.6% 63.9% 45.4% 5.3x NM 6.2x 5.8x 13.6x 11.6x
Cogent Communications Holdings, Inc. 45.30 82.6% 2,028 2,492 465 146 9.3% 11.5% 58.1% 31.3% 4.9x NM 5.4x 5.1x 17.1x 14.8x
Mean 18.5% 12.5% 61.0% 38.3% 5.1x NM 5.8x 5.4x 15.4x 13.2x
Median 18.5% 12.5% 61.0% 38.3% 5.1x NM 5.8x 5.4x 15.4x 13.2x
Mean 10.2% 6.6% 57.5% 38.7% 4.6x 21.5x 5.2x 4.9x 11.7x 11.0x
Median 7.0% 5.1% 58.0% 34.7% 4.7x 22.4x 2.6x 2.6x 8.3x 8.4x
8
Technology, Media, & Telecom I Industry Spotlight
Q4 2017
$587
$700 $704$664
$612 $641 $618
$688 $715 $733 $739
'06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16
Cu
mu
lati
ve
Dry
Po
wd
er
($ i
n b
illi
on
s)
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
Overhang by Vintage
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
$1,400
$1,600
$1,800
'00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17
U.S. corporate cash balances remain at record levels and are driving activity in strategic buyer M&A
Historically, M&A cycles have not extended past seven years; 2017 was year eight of the current cycle
2017 demonstrated signs that the buyout cycle is slowing, however, numerous positive drivers remain
− The public equity bull market continues to support M&A activity and elevated valuation multiples
Note: This data represents the entire U.S. market (all industries) Source: PitchBook, S&P Capital IQ, and S&P Capital IQ LCD
0
4,000
8,000
12,000
16,000
20,000
24,000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Under $25mm $25 to $500mm Above $500mm Undisclosed
Transaction Volume
Recession Recession
▼ 9% ▲30%
S&P 500 – Aggregate Corporate Cash & Equivalents
Over $1.7 trillion
Global Private Equity Capital Overhang by Year
Private equity firms continue to sit on a built up level of dry powder, driving a need to deploy it for acquisitions
Over $735 billion
U.S. M&A Volume and Valuation Trends M&A activity remains elevated, driven by the public equity market’s thirst for growth and excess capital
($ in billions) ($ in billions)
9
Technology, Media, & Telecom I Industry Spotlight
Q4 2017
M&A activity has experienced a slight slowdown in 4Q 2017 from a an deal volume perspective, but has increased in in announced aggregate value Q-o-Q from 3Q 2017
The TMT sector’s M&A growth was driven by large transaction announcements − The Walt Disney Company’s
announced acquisition of Twenty-First Century Fox on December 14, 2017 for $70.1 billion
− Broadcom Limited’s announced acquisition of QUALCOMM Incorporated on November 6, 2017 at an enterprise value of $89.9 billion
Deal volume was slightly lower than 4Q 2016 and slightly lower when compared to the previous quarter
The average FYR 2017 deal multiple for middle market transactions edged higher, while the large transaction average multiple decreased when compared to 2016 − Both averages still remain over
10.0x Strategic buyers continue to
aggressively pursue transactions as a means for growth
Financial buyers have capital to deploy
U.S. TMT M&A Announced Deal Value ($ in billions)
U.S. TMT M&A Announced Deal Volume
U.S. TMT M&A Closed Deal Average EV / EBITDA Multiple
Source: Fifth Third Securities, S&P Capital IQ Note: Middle Market defined as transactions with disclosed deal values less than $1 billion. EV – Enterprise Value NA – Not Available
M&A Trends TMT Specific Activity
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
1Q
201
0
2Q
201
0
3Q
201
0
4Q
201
0
1Q
201
1
2Q
201
1
3Q
201
1
4Q
201
1
1Q
201
2
2Q
201
2
3Q
201
2
4Q20
12
1Q
201
3
2Q
201
3
3Q
201
3
4Q
201
3
1Q
201
4
2Q
201
4
3Q20
14
4Q
201
4
1Q
201
5
2Q
201
5
3Q
201
5
4Q
201
5
1Q
201
6
2Q
201
6
3Q
201
6
4Q
201
6
1Q
201
7
2Q
201
7
3Q
201
7
4Q
201
7
Middle Market >$1 Billion
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1Q
201
0
2Q
201
0
3Q
201
0
4Q
201
0
1Q
201
1
2Q
201
1
3Q
201
1
4Q
201
1
1Q
201
2
2Q
201
2
3Q
201
2
4Q
201
2
1Q20
13
2Q
201
3
3Q
201
3
4Q
201
3
1Q
201
4
2Q
201
4
3Q
201
4
4Q
201
4
1Q
201
5
2Q
201
5
3Q
201
5
4Q
201
5
1Q
201
6
2Q
201
6
3Q
201
6
4Q20
16
1Q
201
7
2Q
201
7
3Q
201
7
4Q
201
7
12.9x 13.2x 13.2x 13.1x 14.2x13.0x
10.9x13.4x
10.3x
14.5x11.8x 10.9x
16.1x17.7x
13.9x11.5x
0.0x
5.0x
10.0x
15.0x
20.0x
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Middle Market >$1 Billion
10
Technology, Media, & Telecom I Industry Spotlight
Q4 2017
Technology, Media, and Telecom ($ in millions)
Source: Company Filings, S&P Capital IQ; PitchBook
M&A Trends Sector Transaction Detail
Announced Enterprise LTM LTM
Date Acquirer Target Value (EV) Revenue EBITDA Revenue EBITDA
Telecom
11/27/2017 Zayo Group Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:ZAYO) Spread Networks, LLC $127 NA NA - -
11/27/2017 RiverStreet Management Services, LLC Peoples Mutual Telephone Company and Peoples Mutual Long Distance Company $21 NA NA - -
10/31/2017 American Tower Corporation (REIT) (NYSE:AMT) Over 500 Sites in United States $465 NA NA - -
10/30/2017 SBA Communications Corporation (NasdaqGS:SBAC) 35 Communication Sites $24 NA NA - -
8/21/2017 GTT Americas, LLC Transbeam, Inc. $28 NA NA - -
8/1/2017 Verizon Communications Inc. (NYSE:VZ) WideOpenWest, Inc., Fiber-Optic Network Assets $225 NA NA - -
7/31/2017 RigNet, Inc. (NasdaqGS:RNET) Energy Satellite Services, LLC $22 NA NA - -
7/24/2017 SpeedCast International Limited (ASX:SDA) UltiSat Inc. $100 $60 $9 1.7x 11.6x
7/18/2017 Crown Castle International Corp. (NYSE:CCI) Lightower Fiber Networks LLC $7,100 NA NA - -
7/10/2017 Cincinnati Bell Inc. (NYSE:CBB) Hawaiian Telcom Holdco, Inc. (NasdaqGS:HCOM) $662 $380 $103 1.7x 6.4x
Media
12/14/2017 The Walt Disney Company (NYSE:DIS) Twenty-First Century Fox, Inc. (NasdaqGS:FOXA) $70,171 $28,996 $7,089 2.4x 9.9x
12/5/2017 Cineworld Group plc (LSE:CINE) Regal Entertainment Group (NYSE:RGC) $5,925 $3,114 $601 1.9x 9.9x
12/4/2017 Discovery Communications, Inc. (NasdaqGS:DISC.A) The Oprah Winfrey Network, LLC $70 NA NA - -
11/26/2017 Meredith Corporation (NYSE:MDP) Time Inc. (NYSE:TIME) $2,813 $2,884 $388 1.0x 7.2x
9/26/2017 Educational Media Foundation, Inc. KSWD(FM), KSWD-FM2, KSOQ-FM, WGGI(FM), And WGGI-FM1 $58 NA NA - -
9/22/2017 Round Hill Music, LLC Carlin America, Inc. $245 NA NA - -
9/18/2017 Standard General L.P. National CineMedia, Inc. (NasdaqGS:NCMI) $1,620 $425 $188 3.8x 8.6x
9/13/2017 HC2 Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:HCHC) Class A and Low Power Television Stations $29 NA NA - -
8/30/2017 RTL Group SA (BDL:006146252) SpotXchange, Inc. $404 NA NA - -
8/1/2017 The E. W. Scripps Company (NYSE:SSP) Katz Broadcasting, LLC $307 NA NA - -
7/31/2017 Discovery Communications, Inc. (NasdaqGS:DISC.A) Scripps Networks Interactive, Inc. (NasdaqGS:SNI) $14,920 $3,472 $1,604 4.3x 9.3x
Technology
12/13/2017 Target Corporation (NYSE:TGT) Shipt, LLC $550 NA NA - -
12/11/2017 Iron Mountain Incorporated (NYSE:IRM) IO Data Centers, LLC $1,375 $144 NA 9.6x -
11/30/2017 Altran US Aricent Inc. $2,000 $687 $192 2.9x 10.4x
11/29/2017 Aristocrat Technologies, Inc. Big Fish Games, Inc. $990 $458 $83 2.2x 11.9x
11/28/2017 Appen Limited (ASX:APX) Leapforce, Inc. $80 $47 $9 1.7x 9.1x
11/27/2017 Thoma Bravo, LLC Barracuda Networks, Inc. (NYSE:CUDA) $1,406 $367 $33 3.8x 43.1x
11/27/2017 Marlin Equity Partners, LLC Bazaarvoice, Inc. (NasdaqGS:BV) $524 $206 NM 2.5x NM
11/20/2017 Marvell Technology Group Ltd. (NasdaqGS:MRVL) Cavium, Inc. (NasdaqGS:CAVM) $6,643 $950 $180 7.0x 36.8x
11/6/2017 Broadcom Limited (NasdaqGS:AVGO) QUALCOMM Incorporated (NasdaqGS:QCOM) $89,865 $22,291 $6,472 4.0x 13.9x
10/26/2017 Fintrax Group Holdings Ltd. Planet Payment, Inc. (NasdaqCM:PLPM) $246 $53 $13 4.6x -
10/26/2017 Elliott Management Corporation; Elliott International Capital Advisors Inc. Gigamon Inc. (NYSE:GIMO) $1,484 $303 NA 4.9x -
10/23/2017 Cisco Systems, Inc. (NasdaqGS:CSCO) BroadSoft, Inc. (NasdaqGS:BSFT) $1,917 $362 $24 5.3x 80.7x
10/20/2017 First Data Corporation (NYSE:FDC) BluePay, Inc. $760 NA NA - -
10/17/2017 Siris Capital Group, LLC IntraLinks Holdings, Inc. $1,021 $296 $22 3.5x 46.1x
10/8/2017 bpost SA/NV (ENXTBR:BPOST) Radial, Inc. $820 NA NA - -
9/28/2017 Dassault Systèmes Simulia Corp. Exa Corporation $386 $73 $1 5.3x NM
9/18/2017 Itron, Inc. (NasdaqGS:ITRI) Silver Spring Networks, Inc. (NYSE:SSNI) $958 $452 NM 2.1x NM
8/29/2017 Vista Equity Partners Education Advisory Board $1,550 NA NA - -
11
Technology, Media, & Telecom I Industry Spotlight
Q4 2017
U.S. Private Equity deal flow was down during the fourth quarter of 2017 on both a volume and deal value basis
Several factors may be fueling the reluctance to complete deals, with two of the biggest centering on price and quality
− Pricing pressures persist with median deal multiples remaining above 10.0x, and the number of viable targets is likely lower than normal following the record levels in 2015 and 2016 on both the strategic and PE sides
− Low yields and low returns on cash holdings may increase the pressure firms feel who want committed capital put to work
Technology, Media, and Telecom capital invested in 4Q 2017 continued to be driven by large and middle market deals, including:
− Thoma Bravo’s $1.4 billion go-private acquisition of Barracuda Networks, Inc.
− Siris Capital Group’s $1.0 billion acquisition of IntraLinks Holdings, Inc.
Overall U.S. Private Equity Deal Flow ($ in billions)
Source: Fifth Third Securities, PitchBook ND – No Transaction Values Disclosed *4Q17 preliminary PitchBook data
Private Equity Activity
U.S. TMT Private Equity Deal Flow ($ in billions)
U.S. TMT Private Equity Exits ($ in millions)
$190 $190$168 $162
$309$330
$205
$344
81 107134 141
198 202 206
283
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Median Deal Size ($) # of Exits
$26 $39
$51 $72
$54 $53
$174 $74
418477 512 537
624 658 686781
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Capital Invested ($) # of Deals Closed
0
500
1,000
1,500
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
1Q
11
2Q11
3Q11
4Q
11
1Q
12
2Q
12
3Q
12
4Q
12
1Q
13
2Q
13
3Q
13
4Q
13
1Q
14
2Q
14
3Q
14
4Q
14
1Q
15
2Q
15
3Q
15
4Q
15
1Q
16
2Q
16
3Q
16
4Q
16
1Q
17
2Q17
3Q17
4Q
17*
Deal Value ($) # of Deals Closed
12
Technology, Media, & Telecom I Industry Spotlight
Q4 2017
Note: This data represents the entire U.S. middle market (all industries) Note: The middle market is defined as deal size < $100 million and borrower sales < $500 million [1] Includes both non-sponsored and sponsored transactions; sufficient data not available for MM NR loans in 1Q15 and 1Q17 Source: Bloomberg, S&P Capital IQ LCD, and Thomson Reuters LPC
U.S. Middle Market Loan Market Trends
Loan Volume: Low Level of Supply Continues Yields Decline for Middle Market B-rated & Non-rated Issuers [1]
Middle Market Covenant-Lite Volume Declines in 3Q 2017 Leverage Multiples Remain Aggressive on Middle Market LBOs
$0.0
$10.0
$20.0
$30.0
$40.0
$50.0
$60.0
Non-Sponsored Sponsored($ in billions)
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
MM B-rated MM NR
5.97%
5.90%
$0.0
$1.0
$2.0
$3.0
$4.0
$5.0
$6.0
$7.0
MM Covenant-Lite Volume($ in billions)
0.0x
1.0x
2.0x
3.0x
4.0x
5.0x
6.0x
7.0x
1st Lien Debt to EBITDA Junior Debt to EBITDA
13
Technology, Media, & Telecom I Industry Spotlight
Q4 2017 Economic Dashboard
Retail Gas Prices Consumer Sentiment Housing Starts
Source: Energy Information Administration Source: University of Michigan
National Unemployment Rate Real GDP Growth Additions to Non-Farm Payrolls
Housing Starts
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
Source: United States Census Bureau
(in thousands of employees)
(in thousands of units)
2.3%2.0%
2.6%
2.0%
0.9% 0.8%1.4%
3.5%
2.1%
1.4%
2.6%3.0%
4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q
'15 '16 '170
100
200
300
400
750
850
950
1,050
1,150
1,250
1,350
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
75
80
85
90
95
100
105
$1.50
$2.00
$2.50
$3.00
$3.50
$4.00
14
Technology, Media, & Telecom I Industry Spotlight
Q4 2017 Notes & Definitions
S&P 500 Index- A broad index that includes American Companies. EBITDA- A company's earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, is an accounting measure calculated using a company's net earnings, before interest expenses, taxes, depreciation and amortization are subtracted, as a proxy for a company's current operating profitability. Dry Powder- Refers to cash reserves kept on hand to cover future obligations or to purchase assets. GDP- Gross domestic product is the market value of the goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States Consumer Sentiment Index- The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index is a consumer confidence index published monthly by the University of Michigan. The index is normalized to have a value of 100 in December 1964 National Unemployment Rate- the percentage of the total labor force that is unemployed but actively seeking employment and willing to work. Non-Farm Payroll- Nonfarm payroll employment is a compiled name for goods, construction and manufacturing companies in the US. It does not include farm workers, private household employees, non-profit organization employees, or government employees . It is an economic indicator released monthly by the United States Department of Labor as part of a comprehensive report on the state of the labor market. Housing Starts- are the number of new residential construction projects that have begun during any particular month. The Economist- offers authoritative insight and opinion on international news, politics, business, finance, science, technology and the connections between them LBO -- leveraged buyout (LBO) is the acquisition of another company using a significant amount of borrowed money to meet the cost of acquisition. The assets of the company being acquired are often used as collateral for the loans, along with the assets of the acquiring company. Industrial Production Index (IPI)- is an economic indicator published by the Federal Reserve Board of the United States that measures the real production output of manufacturing, mining, and utilities Capital Goods Orders. Covenant-lite loans- means that debt is being issued, both personally and commercially, to borrowers with less restrictions on collateral, payment terms, and level of income. IRR-Internal Rate of Return. Composition of Public Company Indices From Slide 4: Telecom: CHTR, CMCS.A, DISH, AMT, SBAC, CCI, VZ, T, TMUS, S, CTL, FTR, CBB, WIN, ZAYO, CCOI, LMOS Media: NXST, SBGI, GTN, SSP, TGNA, ROIA.K, BBGI, FOXA, LGF.A, LYV, AMCX, VIAB, DISC.A, SNI, OMC, IPG, LSE:WPP, ENXTPA:PUB, WEB, EIGI, OUT, LAMR Technology: GOOGL, MSFT, ORCL, IBM, DB:SAP, FISV, FIS, TSS, GPN, FDC, ADS, ADI, XLNX, MCHP, MXIM, ON, TYL, BLKB, TWOU, CHGG, INST
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