Investing into Belarus
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Transcript of Investing into Belarus
Investing into Belarus
September 2009
Disclaimer: This report was prepared for informational purpose only and does not constitute an offer or solicitation of a strategic transaction. Points of view, forecasts and evaluations presented in this report reflect our opinion as of the publication date and may be changed without notice. Although the information contained herein has been obtained from sources we believe to be reliable and although we ensured their accuracy as of the publication date, we cannot guarantee, expressly or impliedly, practicality of this report regarding future events or current or future value evaluation. Any investment decision based on this report should be made only at the discretion of the investor and UNITER or its employees or any third party shall not be responsible in any form and in no circumstances for any action of any party taken on the basis of this report. Nor UNITER, nor any of its employees, nor any third party shall be responsible for losses that result from such actions.
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1. Putting Belarus on the mapKey highlights 2008
Territory - 207 600 sq km ( ranked 86 in the world)
Population – 9.67 mln (ranked 79 in the world)
Population density - 49 per sq km
Workforce – 4.5 mln
Literacy - 99.6%
Capital – Minsk (1.81 mln people)
Regional centres: Gomel (480 thou), Mogilev (390 thou),
Vitebsk (360 thou), Grodno (320 thou), Brest (300 thou)
Total GDP – USD 59.9 billion
Real GDP growth rate – 10%; nominal GDP growth rate –
34%
GDP per capita (USD) - 6192
Inflation rate – 14.8%
Exports – USD 34.1 billion (46% of total external trade
turnover), Imports – USD 40 billion (54%)
Imports / GDP ratio = 0.66;
Exports/GDP ratio = 0.57;
Unemployment Rate = 1% (officially); 4.1 % (independent
estimates)
Current Account Deficit (% of GDP) - 8.4
FDI inflow (% of GDP) - 3.78
Gross Foreign Debt (% of GDP) - 28.4
Year-average government bond yield - Not issued
Moody’s Rating - B1
Average weighted exchange rate: (EUR/BYR)- 3045.9
Average weighted exchange rate: (USD/BYR)- 2149.4
The Republic of Belarus:
lies in the Eastern Europe and offers a favourable
geographical position as a transit country
possesses well-developed traditional industries that remain
key drivers of the economic growth
occupies leading positions in machine building, oil
processing, agriculture and food production, and
metalworking on the Russian and global markets
operates an open, export-oriented economy: external trade
turnover to GDP ratio exceeds 1 over the last 10 years
depends heavily on supplies of Russian natural resources
and raw materials and on exports of value-added products to
Russia
has 70% of national GDP generated by state-controlled
enterprises with share in total exports exceeding 80%
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Key highlights 1H 2009
2. Economic Development: Results 1H 2009
Figures
Statistical 0.3% real GDP growth versus sharp decrease in neighboring countries
In 2001-2008 the Belarusian economy demonstrated a stable GDP growth. In 2008 the Belarusian nominal GDP reached $59.9 bln. (4.8 times increase compared to that in 2001). In 2008 real GDP growth amounted to 10%. Since the beginning of the economic crisis Belarusian GDP growth rates have been decelerating significantly. Based on 1H 2009 results, real GDP growth amounted to 0.3% and nominal GDP dropped by 16.22%.
Manufactured goods stocks reached 95% of monthly production
1H 2009 production volume was equal to 21 bln. $ in money terms compared to 29 bln. $ in 2008.Devaluation of national currency played a significant role. According to official statistics, over 1H 2009 the Belarusian industrial production declined by 3.6%, while, for example, in Russia industrial production decrease reached 14.8% over 1H 2009, in Ukraine - 31.1%.In Belarus the situation was accompanied by a sharp growth of stocks. While as of 01.06.2008 manufactured goods stocks amounted to 52.6% of monthly production, they reached 95% by 01.06.2009.
Real income dropped by 4.5% in dollar terms
In 2008 an average annual nominal income amounted to 3 582 $ per capita. In real terms (inflation adjusted) 2008 income growth reached 12% yoy. According to IMF`s requirements concerning stand-by loan arrangements, Belarus had to set a moratorium on salaries and pensions increase.Over 1H 2009 real income of the Belarusian population increased by 5.5 % according to official statistics. Nevertheless, in dollar terms 1H 2009 financial income of the Belarusian population dropped by 4.5%.
Nominal GDP fluctuations in Belarus over H1 of 2008 and 2009, bln. $
3,84,4
4,14,4
5,3
3,4 3,33,7
3,8 3,83,83,5
-1,3%
-5,2%
+2,2%+1,5%+0,4%
+4,2%
0,0
1,0
2,0
3,0
4,0
5,0
6,0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
-6,0%
-4,0%
-2,0%
0,0%
2,0%
4,0%
6,0%
2008 2009 Real GDP fluctuations in Belarus over H1 2009 (yoy), % (BYR)
Industrial output in Belarus over H1 of 2008 and 2009, bln. $
4,54,9 4,8
3,23,5
5,45,2
4,43,6
3,73,53,5
+1,20%
-2,60%-5,80%
-8,90%
-0,90%
-4,60%
0,0
1,0
2,0
3,0
4,0
5,0
6,0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
-10,00%
-8,00%
-6,00%
-4,00%
-2,00%
0,00%
2,00%
20082009Fluctuations of real industruial output volumes in Belarus over H1 2009, (yoy) %
Income of Belarusian population over H1 of 2008 and 2009 (thou $ per capita)
2,52,6
2,5
2,7
2,9
2,6
2,8
2,62,6
2,5
+6,30%+6,80%
+1,40%
+5,30%
+7,70%
2,2
2,3
2,4
2,5
2,6
2,7
2,8
2,9
3,0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May
0,00%
1,00%2,00%
3,00%4,00%
5,00%6,00%
7,00%8,00%
9,00%
20082009Dynamics of real income of population in Belarus over H1 2009 (yoy), %
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Key highlights 1H 2009
2. Economic Development: Results 1H 2009
Figures
High consumer and producer inflation negatively influences macroeconomic and financial stability
2008 CPI growth in Belarus reached 13.3% (December-to-December) and overcame that index of 2007. Average annual inflation rate reached 14.8%. Over 1H 2009, an average growth of CPI in Belarus reached 14.6% yoy, PPI grew by 18.9% yoy on average, while tariffs for cargo transportation soared by 45.6% yoy. Surely, high inflation rate negatively influences savings and income of population, and also leads to negative consequences for monetary policy, making cost of credit resources significantly higher.
Gradual devaluation of national currency does not influence foreign trade indicators
For the past 7 years stability of the national currency has become the most important stabilizing factor, influencing general macroeconomic situation in Belarus. However, in the context of chronic BOP deficit, this policy led to a serious imbalance. As a result of developing economic crisis, sharp demand drop for traditionally exported Belarusian goods and decline in foreign currency revenues, the Belarusian government had to held sharp one-time devaluation of national currency by 20% on 01.01.2009. Over 1H 2009 the Belarusian national currency was depreciated practically by 30%. However, the measures taken have not led to positive changes in foreign trade util present. At IMF`s demand, NBRB had extended a corridor of possible national rubble fluctuations versus currency triplex up to +/- 10% till the end of 2010.
Foreign loans – a single way to support macroeconomic and financial stability
As of 01.04.2009, the Belarusian aggregated foreign debt reached 16.3 bln. $ and grew by 7% over the Q1 2009. By now Belarus received $500 mln. from Venezuela, $1.5 bln. from the Russian Federation, and $1.48 bln. from IMF (the total amount of a stand-by loan to be received was increased to $3.5 bln in June 2009).
Prices and tariffs fluctuations in Belarus over H1 2009 (month-over-month), %
40,9%
15,1%15,7%
15,5% 14,7% 13,6% 13,4%
19,9% 21,4% 21,4% 19,2% 16,5% 15,4%
43,7%46,3%47,6% 47,0% 48,4%
0,0%
10,0%
20,0%
30,0%
40,0%
50,0%
60,0%
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
CPI PPI Cargo transportation
Official avarage exchange rate of BYR against key currencies in Nov-Apr
28432801
2832284428122639
21992153
3970
37973744372935983548
29212736 87,2
84,382,3
78,4
82,2
77,978,1
91,4
0
500
1000
1500
20002500
3000
3500
4000
4500
Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
70
75
80
85
90
95
USD EUR RUB
Growth of aggrigate foreign loan debt in Belarus, bln. $
16,3
4,23,93,0
4,9 5,16,8
12,715,1
-2,04,06,08,0
10,012,014,016,018,0
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
01
.04
.20
09
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3. Internal and external factors influencing the Belarusian economy in 2009-2010
External factors Internal factors
Access to the
Russian market
Price increase for oil
products and potash
fertilizers
Access to credit resources Privatization and
liberalization
Conservation and
money issue
Yes
The growth of industrial
production, industrial
stocks reduction,
foreign currency inflow,
stable operation of
enterprises, tax
revenue growth,
national currency
stability
Growth of foreign
exchange earnings, ability
fully repay the Belarusian
external debt, reduction of
negative trade balance,
national currency stability
Ability to cover foreign trade
deficit and balance of
payments, ability to
refinance old debts,
maintenance of the national
currency, increase of the
debt burden on the
Belarusian economy to the
critical 60%, would require a
large annual expenditure on
external debt service,
reduction the investment
attractiveness of Belarusian
assets
Currency inflow to Belarus,
establishment of efficient
enterprises, reduction of
devaluation possibility,
reduction of
unemployment
Current trends
conservation, default
by the winter 2009,
currency devaluation,
hyperinflation
No
Production stagnation,
overstorage of goods
produced, low foreign
exchange earnings,
mass dismissals, threat
of ruble devaluation,
the loss of the Russian
market
The same level of foreign
currency inflow, chronic
negative trade balance,
devaluation of national
currency, high possibility
of default
Devaluation of national
currency, high possibility of
default
Current trends
conservation, default by
the winter 2009, currency
devaluation, hyperinflation
Currency inflow to
Belarus, establishment
of efficient enterprises,
reduction of
devaluation possibility,
reduction of
unemployment
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4. Economic Development: Forecast 2009 (1)
Sources: EIU, IMF
Forecast real GDP growth in 2009
- Positive growth rate in 2009
- Negative growth rate in 2009
x % - GDP growth in 2009 (negative values in brackets)
2%
(3.3%)
(4%)
(3%)
(1%)
(2.4%)
(3.2%)
(3%)
(3.5%)
(10%)
(4.7%)
(3%)
(5.3%)
(3.4%)
(4.5%)
(7.3%)
(3.6%)
(15%)
(8.5%)
(1.5%)
(1%)
(4%)
(2%)
(0.4%)
(4.2%)
(1.8%)
(6%)
(0%)
(2%)
(1.5%)
(3.3%)
(5.3%)
(3.7%)
(4.4%)
(10%)
(4%)
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Forecast
4. Economic Development: Forecast 2009 (2)
Figures
In 2004-2008, the Belarusian economy demonstrated high economic growth rates:Real GDP growth rates approached 10%The period was characterized by macroeconomic stability (stable national currency, significant slowdown in inflation, low foreign debt)
In 2009:
The IPM research Centre (Belarus) has prepared 2 scenarios of further economic indicators development until 2012 in light of the ongoing global economic crisis.
The difference between Scenarios 1 and 2 is devaluation towards the US Dollar in 2010: 5% according to the Scenario 1 and 70% for the Scenario 2.
Both scenarios foresee negative growth of real GDP in 2009 and 2010. However, in the subsequent years Scenario 2 looks more positive: both nominal and real GDP are growing faster than in Scenario 1. Nevertheless, in Scenario 2 the economy will face higher inflation rates, leading to much more higher National Bank refinancing rates as a cure.
Source: IPM research Centre (forecast)
Scenario 1
-10,0
-5,0
0,0
5,0
10,0
15,0
20,0
25,0
2009 2010 2011 2012
Nominal GDP growth Real GDP growthCPI inflation (annual average) NBRB refinancing rate
Scenario 2
-10,0-5,0
0,05,0
10,015,0
20,025,030,035,0
40,045,0
2009 2010 2011 2012
Nominal GDP growth Real GDP growthCPI inflation (annual average) NBRB refinancing rate
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5. Most attractive industry sectors
Industry Sector Key DriversFinancial Sector (Banking and Insurance)
Most developed in terms of corporate governanceHuge potential for development (during 2002-2008 Banks’ equity grew 7 times, Total Assets soar more than 7 times but still the penetration is low if compared to peer countries)Insurance sector has a very low level of penetration if compared to peer countries
Telecommunications Less affected by the world crisisRoom for privatization (Beltelecom, MTIS – cable networks)Low penetration of telecom services if compared to peer countries (Cable Networks, Internet)
Pharmaceuticals Good production base in genericsStrong position at the local market (pharma market size is $500 m in retail prices) Privatization declared
Food and Beverages Sizeable domestic market (population of 10 m, significant bigger than Baltic States) and equal income distributionHigh-quality local resource base (agricultural sector heavily supported by the State)Low level of industry consolidation in some subsectors (milk and cheese production, meat processing)Open niches (juices)
Food Retail Low penetration of modern formats. Bad access of local firms to financing provides strong advantages to international players. So far little international competition.
Wood processing Rich local resources base (woods) if compared to EU countriesExcellent exports potential (EU markets)
Transports Transit opportunitiesUnderdeveloped logistic industry (by now - no logistic centers of “A” class operating)
Basic construction materials (cement, gravel, gypsum)
Heavy (100%) state domination in the sectorStrong domestic demand, strong exports potential due to closeness of Russian market
Construction Heavy state domination in the sector, underdeveloped facilitiesNo large private / independent construction companiesGrowing demand for high quality construction services (especially from foreign investors)
Machinery Strong position at a rapidly growing CIS countries market (tractors and agricultural machinery, road building machines, equipment and machines for mining)
Petrochemical complex Solid industrial base created in Soviet times (yarns and fibers, PET, basic petrochemical products, oil refining)Close oil and oil products transports links with Russia (main supplier of petroleum)
Energy sector Underdeveloped sector, a serious restructuring needed
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6. Investment environment
Increasing FDI attractiveness was made priority by the President (Belarus is aiming to become a top 30 investment location by 2010)
Belarus became a Top 10 reformer (moving up from rank 115 to rank 85) in the World Bank’s Report “Doing Business 2009”
Opening opportunities for privatization
70% of GDP is still produced by state-controlled enterprises, including petrochemical, oil-refining, raw materials, automotive and machinery, agriculture and food industries;
Government takes clear steps towards liberalization of the stock market and privatization: abolishment of “golden share”; phase-out of the moratorium on circulation of shares acquired during preferential privatization; lists of hundreds of enterprises to be reorganized into open joint stock companies and list of companies ready for selling to investors; governmental program encompassing 52 clear steps towards further simplification of Doing Business in Belarus.
Key highlights 2008
Certain liberalization steps will be made (substantial changes in tax legislation, administrative procedures)
Significant deterioration in the external trade conditions for traditionally exported Belarusian products due to the global financial crisis, tension of competition in traditional industries and markets will lead to the governmental policy of aggressive search for external sources of the Belarusian economy financing (IMF funding, loans from Russia)
A more consistent privatization policy will be realized
2009 forecast
10
7. FDI and M&A activity in Belarus
The total estimated value of M&A deals in 2008 exceeded USD 1.5 billion showing a significant increase if compared to 2006-2007. The number of M&A cross border deals amounted to 21, with a total declared value of USD 831 mln.
These figures do not account for acquisition of Beltransgaz shares by Gazprom (the Belarusian budget to be paid USD 625 mln annually from 2007 till 2010). They also do not count for real estate industry transactions.
The majority of deals was completed in the financial sector (13 deals in 2008, 9 – in 2007). The value of M&A deals in the banking sector reached USD 175 mln.
In 1H 2009 there were no large M&A deals. At the same time:
a. The Belarusian government is negotiating with the Russian Sberbank sale of the BPS-Bank (#4 bank in Belarus)
b. Russian milk company Unimilk was allowed to establish a JV with the Belarusian Shklov milk plant. Russian investors such as Wimm-Bill-Dann and Unimillk have repeatedly shown their interest in acquiring milk enterprises in Belarus, however, the government was not ready to start privatization in the industry.
FDI inflow into the Belarusian economy speeded up in 2007-
2008. In 2007 it increased 5 times compared to 2006. In 2008 it grew by 28.9% yoy and reached USD 2.23 billion. This is a logical bottom line of consistent governmental steps made towards reformation of the investment environment and further economic liberalization of the Belarusian economic life.
In 2007 FDI inflows per capita amounted to 181 USD and for the first time during 1990s-2000s surpassed results of some neighboring countries (Ukraine). In 2008 FDI per capita reached USD 235.7.
Key highlights 2008 Quantity of M&A transactions
Value of M&A transactions, $ mio Industries
2007 2008 2007 2008
Banking sector 7 6 87 175
Insurance 2 5 n/a n/a
Leasing 0 2 n/a n/a
Retail 3 1 n/a 11
Machine-building 1 1 7 6
Transports 0 1 0 6
Food & Beverages 1 3 n/a 133
Telecommunications 1 2 350 500
TOTAL 15 21 444 831
FDI dynamics in Belarus in 2001-2008, mln.$.
96453
163303 351
1769
2279,8
170-20%
+404,0%
+374,7%
-62,4%
-4,6%
+86,2%
+16,0%28,9%
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
-100%
0%
100%
200%
300%
400%
500%
FDI,mln.$ Growth rates,%
11
GazProm is in the process of acquiring a controlling stake in BelTransGaz for USD 2.5 billion during the period 2007-2010
Russian banks and insurance companies strengthened their positions in Belarus through acquisitions of controlling stakes in 4 medium-sized Belarusian banks (VTB, Alfa Bank, VneshEconomBank, RosBank - SocGen) and in 2 insurance companies (RESO Group)
Mobilkom Austria Group acquired 70% of mobile service provider MDC (Velcom) for EUR 730 mln
Turk Cell acquired state-owned mobile phone operator BEST for USD 600 mln
Heineken NV bought Syabar brewery the second-largest beer brand in Belarus for EUR 70 mln and 51% stake in Rechitsa brewery (#4) for EUR 6.4 mln
Olvi plc (Finland) acquired a controlling stake in Lidskoe Pivo Brewery for USD 32 m
Baltic Beverages Holding (Carlsberg) acquired Alivariya brewery (#3)
Ergo Group acquired a private insurance company in 2008
Getin Holding (Poland) acquired small-sized Belarusian bank Sombelbank
FransaBank (Lebanon) acquired small-sized Belarusian Bank GT-Bank
Home Credit Group (Czech Republic) acquired a controlling stake in Lorobank
PPF / Generali created a risk insurance company in Belarus
Horizon Capital (US based PE fund) is the ever first PE fund that entered Belarus through acquisition of the Minsk Transit Bank in 2008
Silvano Fashion Group (Estonia) was the first company owning predominantly Belarusian assets (Milavitsa lingerie manufacturer) listed at foreign capital market (Warsaw stock exchange)
Kesko (Finland) acquired the leading construction materials retailer in Belarus
Largest transactions 2007-2008
8. Selected M&A deals
PE Case Study: Syabar Brewery
2002: Detroit Brewing established SPV named DBBC for investing into Belarus. IFC joined the project this year
2003: Successful negotiations with the Belarusian Government resulted in acquisition of an underperforming regional brewery chosen as the target for investments
2005: USD 19 mln were invested in re-construction and new equipment purchase. Beer production started
2006: The 2nd round of investments (USD 12 mln) allowed to move to the 2nd Belarusian market position
2007: Beer production increased 62% reaching 600 thou hectoliters
2008: Acquisition of Syabar Brewery by Heineken N.V. announced for as much as EUR 70 mlnAnnounced large privatization plans
In 2008 the Belarusian Government issued lists of enterprises to be reorganized into open joint stock companies (505 enterprises) and to be privatized (144 enterprises) in 2008-2010
Moreover, plans for privatization of the leading companies in the financial sector (banks and insurance companies) were declared. In addition, the Government is lifting constraints on sale of shares obtained by individuals during privatization in 1990s
Thus, by the beginning of 2009 privatization plans included:
4 leading Belarusian banks: sale of controlling stakes to strategic buyers or IPOs on the foreign capital markets
2 leading Insurance companies: sale of controlling stakes to strategic buyers or IPOs on the foreign capital markets
2 largest state-owned Belarusian breweries: sale of controlling stakes to strategic buyers
Leading pharmaceuticals manufacturers: sale of controlling stakes to strategic buyers, JVs
Energy sector: JVs and green field projects offered
12
Vnesheconombank acquired 53% of BelvnesheconomBank for USD 24 mln
Alfa-Bank acquired a 39% stake in MezhtorgBank for ca. USD12 mln
2007 June NovMay
VneshTorgBank acquired 50% of SlavneftBank for USD 25mln
May2008 Jul OctJuneApr
Russian gas giant signed an agreement with the Belarusian government on 50% stake purchase in Beltransgaz for USD 2.5 bln
Heineken brewery invested 6.4 Euro mln. in 51% stake in Rechitsa brewery
Mobilkom Austria acquired 70% stake in the Belarusian mobile carrier Velcom for EUR 730 mln
Turk Cell acquired formerly state-owned mobile phone operator BEST for USD 600 mln
Olvi plc acquired 51% of the Belarusian “Lidskoe Pivo” brewery for USD 32 mln
9. Privatization deals
Largest privatization transactions
13
10. Privatization structure (1)
In 2008 the Belarusian Government issued lists
of enterprises to be reorganized into open joint stock companies
(505) and to be privatized (144) in
2008-2010
Moreover, plans for privatization of the
leading companies in the financial sector
(banks and insurance companies) were
declared. In addition, the Government is
lifting constraints on sale of shares got by
individuals during privatization in 1990s
Banking sector
Insurance sector
•Belarusbank (#1)
•Belargoprombank (#2)
Fin
an
cia
l secto
r
•Belpromstroibank (#4)
•Belinvestbank (#5)
•Paritetbank (a small bank)
Sale of controlling stakes to strategic buyers
IPO on the foreign capital markets (London, Warsaw, Frankfurt) in form of
GDR issue
•Belgosstrakh (#1 in risk insurance)
•Stravita (#1 in life insurance)
Sale of non-controlling stakes to strategic buyers
Sale of controlling stakes to strategic buyers
Oth
er
secto
rs
Food and Beverages
•Krinitsa Brewery (#1)
•Brest Brewery (#5)
•Dairy and meat processing
Sale of controlling stakes to strategic buyers
Pharmaceuticals
•Borimed (#1)
•Other state-owned companiesSale of controlling stakes to strategic buyers
Other
•Energy generation and distribution, alternative energy Joint Ventures, green field projects
•Machine building and components
•Petrochemical complex
•Construction materials
•Telecoms
Joint Ventures, strategic alliances
The list of companies to be privatized is open, especially, in case strong international or regional buyers show interest.
14Privatized enterprise
PM / Other state bodies
Provides proposals to the President
Council of ministers
Issue the decision on the sale of state-owned shares
President of Belarus
Takes final decision on sale / privatization
State Property Committee
Prepares documents for the Council of Ministries:
a) The draft decisionb) The form of salec) Price determination
Ministry of Economy Anti-monopoly
committee
Approves in case of any requirements
Ministry of Finance
Registers the transaction
As the analysis of practice of privatization
in 2007-2009 showed, often privatization
ideas could be initiated by potential buyers /
investors. In this case the Government of
Belarus is rather flexible in defining
possible terms of privatization and in
amending lists of companies to be
privatized.
At the same time, the decisions on sale of
state-owned stakes in large state-controlled
companies are usually made individually and
approved personally by the President of
Belarus.
10. Privatization structure (2)
Existing privatisation decision making overview of Belarus
15
10. Privatization structure (3)
On January 12, 2009 the IMF Executive Board approved a 15-month Stand-By Arrangement (SBA) in the amount of SDR 1.6 billion ($2.5 billion, 418.8 percent of quota), and a first purchase of SDR 517.8 million was made following the Board meeting.In June 2009 the IMF Executive Board completed the first review of Belarus’s performance under the program. The conclusion was that all end-March 2009 quantitative and continuous performance criteria and structural benchmarks were met, except for the net international reserves (NIR) target, which was missed by $221 million. The Board recognized that the Belarusian authorities have committed to adjust exchange rate and monetary policies, to maintain a balanced budget despite lower revenue, and to deepen their structural reform efforts.As a result of discussions, the IMF Executive Board decided to increase the financial support to SDR 2.27 billion (about US$3.52 billion), equivalent to 587 percent of Belarus’s quota or 7 percent of its GDP. The Board also granted a waiver of nonobservance of end-March performance criterion on net international reserves.Moreover, the IMF Executive Board approved a modification of the end-June performance criteria. Among other criteria the IMF demads the following:“A stepped-up privatization effort. The government, working with the World Bank, will submit a draft Privatization Law to Parliament by September 2009. They will also submit to the President, by September, a draft decree on establishing a Privatization Agency charged with preparing enterprises for privatization, with power to hire advisors from banks, accounting firms, and other private companies to support the process. The Agency, once established, will consult with the World Bank and identify, by November 2009, five large SOEs as candidates for privatization. It will further select a reputable financial advisor to facilitate the process, with the aim of offering the controlling stakes in these SOEs for sale through an open, international, transparent, and competitive tender by February 2010.”“Structural reforms supporting business and investment. The authorities are committed to reducing further the list of social goods and services subject to administrative price controls. They will also take steps to stop the application of mandatory wage policy and output and employment targets to companies in which the government has a minority shareholding.”
Source: IMF Country Report No. 09/260. Republic of Belarus: First Review Under the Stand-By Arrangement, and Request for a Waiver of Performance Criterion, Augmentation of Access, and Modification of Performance Criteria—Staff Report; Staff Supplement; Staff Statement; Press Release on the Executive Board Discussionhttp://www.imf.org/external/pubs/cat/longres.cfm?sk=23203.0
IMF demands to step up privatization process
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Daniel KrutzinnaAssociate PartnerE-mail: [email protected]
Roman OsipovInvestment and Financial AdvisoryE-mail: [email protected]