Investing in the Future
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Transcript of Investing in the Future
Investing in the Future
2013 Mensa AGDallas/Ft. Worth
Twitter: @JHLINDE
Part One
6 Emerging Technologies to Watch
Part One 6 Emerging Technologies to Watch
Three Criteria:
Currently exist in some form Transformational Likely to become multi-billion dollar
businesses within the next 10-20 years
#1 Three-Dimensional Printing
Math in 3D
3D Printer + 3D Scanner = 3D Photocopier
3D Scanner + Internet +3D Printer = 3D Fax
What Can You REALLY do?
3D printing Ecosystem
3D Printer Manufacturers 3D Systems Corp (DDD), Stratasys (SSYS)
3D Scanners Faro (FARO), Microsoft (MSFT), Align
(ALGN)Design Software
Dassault Systems (DASTY), Parametric Technology (PMTC), AutoDesk (ADSK), Trimble (TRMB)
#2 Regenerative Healthcare
Regenerative Healthcare Companies
3D Bioprinting, Bioreactors Organovo (ONVO), Harvard Biosciences
(HBIO)
Stem Cell Research Mesoblast (MBLTY), Atherysys (ATHX),
Osiris Therapeutics (OSIR)
Cell Therapy
#3 OLEDs
OLEDs Everywhere
OLEDs
Displays Samsung , Sharp, LG, Sony and Dupont
(DD) Lighting
Phillips Materials
Universal Display Systems (PANL)
#4 Robotics
#4 Who’s Who in Robotics Industrial Robotics
Kuka (Germany), Fanuc (Japan), Adept (ADEP) Defense Contractors
Boeing, General Dynamics (GD), Northrup Grumman (NOC), Raytheon (RTN), Aerovironment (AVAV)
Consumer iRobot (IRBT)
Medical Intuitive Surgical (ISRG), Accuray (ARAY)
Agriculture John Deer (DE)
#5 The Internet of Things
#5 M2M Ecosystem
Internet Infrastructure Cisco (CSCO), Qualcomm (QCOM)
Wireless Carriers AT&T (T), Sprint (S), Verizon (VZ), Rogers (RCI)
Cloud Computing Companies Google (GOOG), Amazon (AMZN), Rackspace (RAX)
Equipment Suppliers CalAmp (CAMP), Sierra Wireless (SWIR)
Hybrid Hardware/Service Motorola Solutions (MSI), ADT (ADT), Honeywell
(HON), Gemalto (GTOMY), General Electric (GE)
#6 Graphene
A Modern Miracle Material
Super-strongSuper-conductiveAnti-corrosivePhoto-voltaicAnti-bacterialWater filteringSelf-coolingDoubles lithium-ion battery life
A Small World for Graphene
Graphite Mining Northern Graphite (FCSMF) Focus Graphite (NGPHF)
Manufacturing CVD Equipment Corp (CVV)
Part TwoOpportunity Meets Reality
Find Ideas Here:
ShapingTomorrow.com TechnologyReview.com Wired.com ScienceDaily.com/news NewScientist.com Spectrum.ieee.org FutureLeap.com
What themes keep reappearing? How are they related? What is the ecosystem?
Riding the Gartner Hype Cycle
Riding the Gartner Hype Cycle
Riding the Gartner Hype Cycle
Convergence Investing
Strategic Foresight (where to invest?)
Fundamental Analysis (what to buy?)
Technical Analysis (when to do it?)
Strategic Foresight
Keep a Scanning Journal Diigo, Shaping Tomorrow, OneNote,
Scoop.it Develop relationships with people
who have similar interests Blogs, Twitter, Google+, World Future
Society Draw Mind Maps of how emerging
trends fit together Inspiration, Visio (or a big piece of
paper!)
Fundamental Analysis
Get the facts Yahoo Finance, Value Line, Reuters Quarterly and annual reports, investor
presentations What is the Price/Earnings multiple?
Is the company expensive or cheap relative to historic P/E multiples? Relative to competitors?
3 yr. Earnings Growth/ (P/E) > 1 Look for the “pure plays”
Technical Analysis
Newton’s 1st Law of Motion An object in motion remains in motion,
and at a constant velocity, unless acted upon by a force.
Jim Lee’s 1st Law of Momentum For investments, rising prices are a good
thing, but too much price momentum is a problem.
The Perfect Entry?
The Perfect Entry?
The Perfect Entry?
The Recipe
Find trends, technologies, and themes that you get excited about.
Buy reasonably-priced stocks that are going up.
Sell expensive stocks are going down
What Excites You?
Email to [email protected] Twitter @jhlinde Read more at
www.resilience-economics.com www.stratfi.com www.wfs.org
Thank you!
Disclosures
Strategic Foresight Investments LLC ("StratFI") is a Registered Investment Advisor ("RIA"), registered in the State of Delaware. StratFI provides asset management and related services for clients nationally. StratFI will file and maintain all applicable licenses as required by the state securities boards and/or the Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC"), as applicable. StratFI renders individualized responses to persons in a particular state only after complying with the state's regulatory requirements, or pursuant to an applicable state exemption or exclusion. This presentation provides general information. It is not intended to offer investment advice. Information regarding investment products and services are provided solely to read about our investment philosophy, our strategies and to be able to contact us for further information.
Market data, articles and other content in this presentation are based on generally-available information and are believed to be reliable. StratFI does not guarantee the accuracy of the information contained in this presentation. The information is of a general nature and should not be construed as investment advice.
Information posted by StratFI on third-party websites is also for educational purposes. Information on these sites may include content contributed by StratFI or its advisory persons. As StratFI does not control this content, StratFI cannot guarantee its accuracy.
StratFI will provide all prospective clients with a copy of our current Form ADV, Part 2 ("Brochure") prior to commencing an Advisory relationship. Existing clients will receive a copy on an annual basis. However, at anytime, you can view our current Form ADV, Part 2 online. This document also details our firm's Privacy Policy. In addition, you can contact us at [email protected] This e-mail address is being protected from spambots.
If you have any questions regarding Compliance and Regulatory information, please contact us.
As of July 1, 2013, the advisor held shares of the following in his own account and/or those of his clients: DDD, SSYS, CAMP, GOOG, CVV, , DE, CHGI, NGC, FCSMF.