Investing in the Future

34
Investing in the Future 2013 Mensa AG Dallas/Ft. Worth Twitter: @JHLINDE

description

Some of the most exciting investment opportunities can be found in emerging technology stocks. A few promising technologies of the next decade include 3D printing, OLEDs, graphene, robotics and regenerative healthcare. Great ideas are sometimes good investments, but it is important to separate hype from reality. The use of basic financial screens and market timing techniques may help improve your success rate and bottom line.

Transcript of Investing in the Future

Page 1: Investing in the Future

Investing in the Future

2013 Mensa AGDallas/Ft. Worth

Twitter: @JHLINDE

Page 2: Investing in the Future

Part One

6 Emerging Technologies to Watch

Page 3: Investing in the Future

Part One 6 Emerging Technologies to Watch

Three Criteria:

Currently exist in some form Transformational Likely to become multi-billion dollar

businesses within the next 10-20 years

Page 4: Investing in the Future

#1 Three-Dimensional Printing

Page 5: Investing in the Future

Math in 3D

3D Printer + 3D Scanner = 3D Photocopier

3D Scanner + Internet +3D Printer = 3D Fax

Page 6: Investing in the Future

What Can You REALLY do?

Page 7: Investing in the Future

3D printing Ecosystem

3D Printer Manufacturers 3D Systems Corp (DDD), Stratasys (SSYS)

3D Scanners Faro (FARO), Microsoft (MSFT), Align

(ALGN)Design Software

Dassault Systems (DASTY), Parametric Technology (PMTC), AutoDesk (ADSK), Trimble (TRMB)

Page 8: Investing in the Future

#2 Regenerative Healthcare

Page 9: Investing in the Future

Regenerative Healthcare Companies

3D Bioprinting, Bioreactors Organovo (ONVO), Harvard Biosciences

(HBIO)

Stem Cell Research Mesoblast (MBLTY), Atherysys (ATHX),

Osiris Therapeutics (OSIR)

Cell Therapy

Page 10: Investing in the Future

#3 OLEDs

Page 11: Investing in the Future

OLEDs Everywhere

Page 12: Investing in the Future

OLEDs

Displays Samsung , Sharp, LG, Sony and Dupont

(DD) Lighting

Phillips Materials

Universal Display Systems (PANL)

Page 13: Investing in the Future

#4 Robotics

Page 14: Investing in the Future

#4 Who’s Who in Robotics Industrial Robotics

Kuka (Germany), Fanuc (Japan), Adept (ADEP) Defense Contractors

Boeing, General Dynamics (GD), Northrup Grumman (NOC), Raytheon (RTN), Aerovironment (AVAV)

Consumer iRobot (IRBT)

Medical Intuitive Surgical (ISRG), Accuray (ARAY)

Agriculture John Deer (DE)

Page 15: Investing in the Future

#5 The Internet of Things

Page 16: Investing in the Future

#5 M2M Ecosystem

Internet Infrastructure Cisco (CSCO), Qualcomm (QCOM)

Wireless Carriers AT&T (T), Sprint (S), Verizon (VZ), Rogers (RCI)

Cloud Computing Companies Google (GOOG), Amazon (AMZN), Rackspace (RAX)

Equipment Suppliers CalAmp (CAMP), Sierra Wireless (SWIR)

Hybrid Hardware/Service Motorola Solutions (MSI), ADT (ADT), Honeywell

(HON), Gemalto (GTOMY), General Electric (GE)

Page 17: Investing in the Future

#6 Graphene

Page 18: Investing in the Future

A Modern Miracle Material

Super-strongSuper-conductiveAnti-corrosivePhoto-voltaicAnti-bacterialWater filteringSelf-coolingDoubles lithium-ion battery life

Page 19: Investing in the Future

A Small World for Graphene

Graphite Mining Northern Graphite (FCSMF) Focus Graphite (NGPHF)

Manufacturing CVD Equipment Corp (CVV)

Page 20: Investing in the Future

Part TwoOpportunity Meets Reality

Page 21: Investing in the Future

Find Ideas Here:

ShapingTomorrow.com TechnologyReview.com Wired.com ScienceDaily.com/news NewScientist.com Spectrum.ieee.org FutureLeap.com

What themes keep reappearing? How are they related? What is the ecosystem?

Page 22: Investing in the Future

Riding the Gartner Hype Cycle

Page 23: Investing in the Future

Riding the Gartner Hype Cycle

Page 24: Investing in the Future

Riding the Gartner Hype Cycle

Page 25: Investing in the Future

Convergence Investing

Strategic Foresight (where to invest?)

Fundamental Analysis (what to buy?)

Technical Analysis (when to do it?)

Page 26: Investing in the Future

Strategic Foresight

Keep a Scanning Journal Diigo, Shaping Tomorrow, OneNote,

Scoop.it Develop relationships with people

who have similar interests Blogs, Twitter, Google+, World Future

Society Draw Mind Maps of how emerging

trends fit together Inspiration, Visio (or a big piece of

paper!)

Page 27: Investing in the Future

Fundamental Analysis

Get the facts Yahoo Finance, Value Line, Reuters Quarterly and annual reports, investor

presentations What is the Price/Earnings multiple?

Is the company expensive or cheap relative to historic P/E multiples? Relative to competitors?

3 yr. Earnings Growth/ (P/E) > 1 Look for the “pure plays”

Page 28: Investing in the Future

Technical Analysis

Newton’s 1st Law of Motion An object in motion remains in motion,

and at a constant velocity, unless acted upon by a force.

Jim Lee’s 1st Law of Momentum For investments, rising prices are a good

thing, but too much price momentum is a problem.

Page 29: Investing in the Future

The Perfect Entry?

Page 30: Investing in the Future

The Perfect Entry?

Page 31: Investing in the Future

The Perfect Entry?

Page 32: Investing in the Future

The Recipe

Find trends, technologies, and themes that you get excited about.

Buy reasonably-priced stocks that are going up.

Sell expensive stocks are going down

Page 33: Investing in the Future

What Excites You?

Email to [email protected] Twitter @jhlinde Read more at

www.resilience-economics.com www.stratfi.com www.wfs.org

Thank you!

Page 34: Investing in the Future

Disclosures

Strategic Foresight Investments LLC ("StratFI") is a Registered Investment Advisor ("RIA"), registered in the State of Delaware. StratFI provides asset management and related services for clients nationally. StratFI will file and maintain all applicable licenses as required by the state securities boards and/or the Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC"), as applicable. StratFI renders individualized responses to persons in a particular state only after complying with the state's regulatory requirements, or pursuant to an applicable state exemption or exclusion. This presentation provides general information. It is not intended to offer investment advice. Information regarding investment products and services are provided solely to read about our investment philosophy, our strategies and to be able to contact us for further information.

Market data, articles and other content in this presentation are based on generally-available information and are believed to be reliable. StratFI does not guarantee the accuracy of the information contained in this presentation. The information is of a general nature and should not be construed as investment advice.

Information posted by StratFI on third-party websites is also for educational purposes. Information on these sites may include content contributed by StratFI or its advisory persons. As StratFI does not control this content, StratFI cannot guarantee its accuracy.

StratFI will provide all prospective clients with a copy of our current Form ADV, Part 2 ("Brochure") prior to commencing an Advisory relationship. Existing clients will receive a copy on an annual basis. However, at anytime, you can view our current Form ADV, Part 2 online. This document also details our firm's Privacy Policy. In addition, you can contact us at [email protected] This e-mail address is being protected from spambots.

If you have any questions regarding Compliance and Regulatory information, please contact us.

As of July 1, 2013, the advisor held shares of the following in his own account and/or those of his clients: DDD, SSYS, CAMP, GOOG, CVV, , DE, CHGI, NGC, FCSMF.