Introduction to Technology Management - EUI UPM · Technology Management-Student material- ......

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Introduction to Technology Management -Student material- Manuel Lorenzo Hernández Head of Technology & Innovation, Ericsson España S.A. E-mail: [email protected] Last updated: 16 March 2010 with a big Thank You to Chalmers University

Transcript of Introduction to Technology Management - EUI UPM · Technology Management-Student material- ......

Page 1: Introduction to Technology Management - EUI UPM · Technology Management-Student material- ... market, understanding the whole product ... Source: Hofer and Schendel (1978)

Introduction toTechnology Management

-Student material-Manuel Lorenzo Hernández

Head of Technology & Innovation, Ericsson España S.A.E-mail: [email protected]

Last updated: 16 March 2010

with a big Thank You to Chalmers University

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Outline

Introduction 10’

The Dynamics of High Technology 50’

Market & Technology 25’

Strategy & Technology 25’

Questions 10’

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The Dynamics of High TechnologyTechnology Adoption/ Diffusion of Innovations

How does adoption of technology evolve with time?

Num

bero

fAdo

pter

s

Time

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The Dynamics of High TechnologyTechnology Adoption/ Diffusion of Innovations

s-shaped Curve / Bass Diffusion model (F. Bass)

Cumulative Number of Adopters

Num

bero

fAdo

pter

s

TimeSource: Rogers, E.(1962->2003) Diffusion of Innovations

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The Dynamics of High TechnologyTechnology Adoption/ Diffusion of Innovations

s-Curve for Cumulative Adoption & Bell Curve for New Adoption

New Adopters

Cumulative Number of Adopters

Num

bero

fAdo

pter

s

TimeSource: Rogers, E.(1962->2003) Diffusion of Innovations

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The Dynamics of High TechnologyTechnology Adoption/ Diffusion of Innovations

What is the social Influence on Technology Adoption?

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The Dynamics of High TechnologyTechnology Adoption/ Diffusion of Innovations

Social Model for Technology Adoption(E. Rogers)

Source: Rogers, E.(1962->2003) Diffusion of Innovations

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The Dynamics of High TechnologyTechnology Adoption/ Diffusion of Innovations

Case of Discontinuous Technology Changes (Moore):Between Early Adopters (visionaries) and Early Majority (pragmatists) there is a chasm that only some technologies and business models succeed in crossing

Techniques to successfully cross the "chasm," include choosing a niche target market, understanding the whole product concept, positioning the product, building a marketing strategy and choosing the most appropriate distribution channel and pricing

The Chasm

Source: Moore, G.(1991-1999) Crossing the Chasm

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The Dynamics of High TechnologyTechnology LifeCycle: Innovation

Performance Evolution vs. Time (or Engineering Effort)

Per

form

ance

Time or Engineering Effort

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The Dynamics of High TechnologyTechnology LifeCycle: Innovation

Performance Evolution vs. Time (or Engineering Effort)

PerformanceLearning

Per

form

ance

Time or Engineering Effort

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The Dynamics of High TechnologyTechnology LifeCycle: Innovation

The conventional Technology S-Curve

First Technology

Second Technology

Third Technology

Per

form

ance

Time or Engineering EffortSource: Christensen, C.(1997) The Innovator’s Dilemma

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The Dynamics of High TechnologyTechnology LifeCycle: Innovation

Disruptive Technology S-Curve

Per

form

ance

in M

arke

tA

Technology 1

Per

form

ance

in M

arke

tBTechnology 2

Time or Engineering EffortSource: Christensen, C.(1997) The Innovator’s Dilemma

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The Dynamics of High TechnologyTechnology LifeCycle: Innovation

The impact of Sustaining and Disruptive technological change

Time or Engineering Effort

Per

form

ance

Progress due to sustaining

technologies

Performance at the highend of the market

Performance at the lowend of the market

Source: Christensen, C.(1997) The Innovator’s Dilemma

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The Dynamics of High TechnologyTechnology LifeCycle: Innovation

The impact of Sustaining and Disruptive technological change

Time or Engineering Effort

Per

form

ance

Progress due to sustaining

technologies

Progress due to sustaining

technologiesDisruptiveTechnological

Innovation

Performance at the highend of the market

Performance at the lowend of the market

Source: Christensen, C.(1997) The Innovator’s Dilemma

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The Dynamics of High TechnologyLearning Cycles & Competition

Time

Lear

ning

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The Dynamics of High TechnologyLearning Cycles & Competition

A number of technologies (most of them disruptive) proliferate. Different companies bet on different ones.

At the end a particular technology (e.g. gasoline engine in the car industry) dominates and the many companies that bet on a different technology disappear

Technologies

At this stage performance is measured primarily on a single dimension (e.g. image resolution). Competition is often focused solely on that single dimension

The competitive advantage goes to the company able to execute the learning cycles faster

Performance

Source: Davila et al (2005) – Making Innovation Work

As product performance improves, certain customer segments start valuing different product dimensions –price, availability, …

The winners are those companies that are able to read the market and understand the differences across market segments

Segmentation

As the technology market is becoming mature, competing players focus more and more in efficiency and sustaining technologies

Radical innovations may appear and force the start a new lifecycle

Efficiency

The focus shifts to manage complementarities: synergies with other products and businesses, networks with partners, …

At this stage companies are most vulnerable to radical changes in their environment

Complementarities

Time

T P S E C

Lear

ning

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Market and TechnologyThe Business Model construct

Business Model?

TechnicalInputs

•Feasibility•Performance

•Other

EconomicOutputs

•Value•Price•Profit•Other

Measured in Technical Domain Measured in Social Domain

Source: Henry Chesbrough (2003) Open Innovation: The new imperative for creating and profiting from technology

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Market and TechnologyThe Business Model construct

A new cool Technology does not have a value per se;a suitable Business Model must be found and applied

Business Model:Value propositionMarket SegmentPosition in the Value ChainCost Structure and Target MarginsValue networkCompetitive strategy

TechnicalInputs

•Feasibility•Performance

•Other

EconomicOutputs

•Value•Price•Profit•Other

Measured in Technical Domain Measured in Social Domain

Source: Henry Chesbrough (2003) Open Innovation: The new imperative for creating and profiting from technology

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Market and TechnologyThe Business Model construct

VALUE PROPOSITION What ? COST STRUCTURE

AND MARGINS How much ?

VALUE NETWORK Who with ?MARKETSEGMENT Who to?

POSITION IN VALUE CHAIN Where ? COMPETITIVE

STRATEGY How to?

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Market and TechnologyBusiness Model Examples

Subscription business model Razor and blades business model (bait and hook) Pyramid scheme business model Multi-level marketing business model Network effects business model Monopolistic business model Cutting out the middleman model Auction business model Online auction business model Bricks and clicks business model Loyalty business models Collective business models Industrialization of services business model Servitization of products business model Low-cost carrier business model Online content business model Freemium business model Premium business model Direct sales model Value Added Reseller model Professional open-source model Various distribution business models

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Business_modelSee

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Strategy and Technology

What is strategy?

“the match an organization makes between itsinternal resources and skills…and the

opportunities and risks created by its externalenvironment.”

Source: Hofer and Schendel (1978)

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Strategy and Technology

The two basic principles of StrategicManagement of Technology are:

1. Focus on your Customers

2. Leverage your Core Competencies

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Strategy and TechnologyMake or Buy?

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Strategy and TechnologyMake or Buy?

Low High

Est

ablis

hed

Em

ergi

ngTe

chno

logy

/Kno

wle

dge

In-house Level of Knowledge

BUY-IN

DEVELOP

OPTIMIZEAND/OR

OUTSOURCE

RESEARCHLow

High

Business A

pplication

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Strategy and TechnologyAdaptability

Defining and executing a strategy is a must

… but unplanned things happen …

and adaptability is equally important

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Strategy and TechnologyAdaptability: Core Competencies & Core Rigidities

The development and use of competencies and resources are

guided by the firm’s dominant management logic

Competenciesbecome routines,

which are difficult to change

Companies miss out innovation opportunities

Core Competencies become Core Rigidities

So sometimes (only sometimes, but sometimes) it is right:Not to ask your customer… and review the business landscape around

Not to stick to your core competencies… and learn again

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Strategic Direction

Ericsson ResearchGroup Function R&D

DevelopmentUnits

Strategic and New Areas

External ResearchCooperations

Business Decision

Strategy and TechnologyR&D Long-term & Short-term (Ericsson Approach)

UniversitiesOperatorsEU FP projects

FocusNow 5 years 10 years

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References

Rogers, E. M. (1962, latest edition 2003). Diffusion of innovations (5th ed.). New York: Free Press.Moore, G. (1991, revised 1999) Crossing the Chasm: Marketing and Selling High-tech Products to Mainstream Customers. Collins Business EssentialsChristensen, C. (1997).The Innovator’s dilemma. Collins Business EssentialsChesbrough, H. (2003). Open Innovation:The new imperative for creating and profiting from Technology. Harvard Business School PressDavila, T. (2003). Making innovation work. Wharton School PublishingAdner, R (2005). Disruptive Technologies and the emergence of competition. RAND Journal of Economics, Vol. 36, No. 2, Summer 2005, pp. 229–254