Introduction to Analytical Activism Classic Activism Analytical Activism Tree of Environmental...

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Transcript of Introduction to Analytical Activism Classic Activism Analytical Activism Tree of Environmental...

  • Slide 1
  • Introduction to Analytical Activism Classic Activism Analytical Activism Tree of Environmental Problems Local Pollution Conservation Parks Climate Change Freshwater Scarcity Deforestation Ozone Depletion Freshwater Pollution Soil Deterioration Chemical Pollution Easy Problems Difficult Problems Climate Change A formal, analytical approach based on the Scientific Method An informal, intuitive approach based on tradition and common sense
  • Slide 2
  • The Universal Problem Solving Process 1. Identify the patient 2. Describe the symptoms 3. Perform a diagnosis 4. Determine the treatment 5. Apply the treatment 6. Measure the outcome
  • Slide 3
  • Solving the Sustainability Problem 1. Identify the patient 2. Describe the symptoms 3. Perform a diagnosis 4. Determine the treatment 5. Apply the treatment 6. Measure the outcome The human system Global environmental unsustainability Excessive impact in the IPAT equation A. Find the proper practices B. Tell the people about them C. If that fails, exhort and inspire (done) Solution failure The IPAT Equation I mpact = P opulation x A ffluence x T echnology Population is total people. Affluence is consumption per person per year. Technology is impact per unit of consumption. The IPAT Equation I mpact = P opulation x A ffluence x T echnology Population is total people. Affluence is consumption per person per year. Technology is impact per unit of consumption. With solution failure due to an error in step 2, 3, or 4
  • Slide 4
  • What part of the system is not well? The environmental movement An environmentalist is anyone who is actively helping to solve environmental problems. - Grassroots activists - Career professionals in government - Politicians - Well known retired vice-presidents - Academics - Corporate managers - Writers - Famous people - Many more
  • Slide 5
  • Solving the Solution Failure Problem 1. Identify the patient 2. Describe the symptoms 3. Perform a diagnosis 4. Determine the treatment 5. Apply the treatment 6. Measure the outcome The environmental movement Unable to solve the sustainability problem
  • Slide 6
  • The Collapse of Easter Island
  • Slide 7
  • The Same Pattern Continues Today
  • Slide 8
  • Solving the Solution Failure Problem 1. Identify the patient 2. Describe the symptoms 3. Perform a diagnosis 4. Determine the treatment 5. Apply the treatment 6. Measure the outcome The environmental movement Unable to solve the sustainability problem Use of the wrong tools on difficult problems, due to use of Classic Activism. This causes pushing on low leverage points. Use of the right tools on difficult problems, due to use of Analytical Activism. This will allow pushing on high leverage points. (not yet done) Solution success ?
  • Slide 9
  • Solving the Sustainability Problem 1. Identify the patient 2. Describe the symptoms 3. Perform a diagnosis 4. Determine the treatment 5. Apply the treatment 6. Measure the outcome The human system Excessive impact in the IPAT equation A. Find the proper practices B. Tell the people about them C. If that fails, exhort and inspire (done) Solution failure Systemic change resistance Application of the right analytical tools will lead to pushing on high leverage points. (to be done) Solution success With solution success due to a correct diagnosis Global environmental unsustainability False Diagnosis Correct Diagnosis
  • Slide 10
  • Assessment of Process Maturity Problem Domain 9. The analysis centers on a social system structural analysis. 10. Low and high leverage points have been identified and tested. 11. Why change resistance is so successful has been determined. Problem Domain 9. The analysis centers on a social system structural analysis. 10. Low and high leverage points have been identified and tested. 11. Why change resistance is so successful has been determined. Analytical Activism 5. Formal definition, management, and continuous improvement of a process that fits the problem. 6. A true analysis of the problem is performed. 7. The Scientific Method is used to prove all key assumptions. 8. Learning from past failures and successes is maximized. Analytical Activism 5. Formal definition, management, and continuous improvement of a process that fits the problem. 6. A true analysis of the problem is performed. 7. The Scientific Method is used to prove all key assumptions. 8. Learning from past failures and successes is maximized. Classic Activism 1. Identify the problem. 2. Find the proper practices. 3. Tell people the truth about the problem and the proper practices. 4. If that fails, exhort and inspire the people to support the proper practices. Classic Activism 1. Identify the problem. 2. Find the proper practices. 3. Tell people the truth about the problem and the proper practices. 4. If that fails, exhort and inspire the people to support the proper practices.
  • Slide 11
  • The Two Basic Approaches to Solving Activist Problems Classic Activism An intuitive approach Find the proper practices Tell the people the truth about the proper practices and why they should follow them If that doesnt work, exhort and inspire the people to follow the proper practices Pushing on low leverage points Success on easy problems Failure on difficult problems Analytical Activism An analytical approach A process that fits the problem Simulation modeling Experimentation to support the Scientific Method Pushing on high leverage points Success on easy problems Success on difficult problems
  • Slide 12
  • Difficult Problems Easy Problems The Alternative of Analytical Activism Classic Activism Analytical Activism Tree of Environmental Problems Local Pollution Conservation Parks Climate Change Freshwater Scarcity Deforestation Ozone Depletion Freshwater Pollution Soil Deterioration Chemical Pollution A process that fits the problem Simulation Modeling Experimentation Strategy Maps Correct Diagnosis Correct Treatment Pushing on High Leverage Points Tree of Life A formal, analytical approach based on the Scientific Method An informal, intuitive approach based on tradition and common sense The Dueling Loops of the Political Powerplace The Proper Coupling Package Politician Decision Ratings Introduction to the New Paradigm
  • Slide 13
  • For Further Study The Dueling Loops paper, 29 pages The Dueling Loops book, 142 pages The Analytical Activism book, 389 pages