Introduction Risk Management Systems in Banks NOTES ...
Transcript of Introduction Risk Management Systems in Banks NOTES ...
RISK MANAGEMENT IN BANKS
NOTES SESSION 1-30
Risk Management Systems in Banks
Introduction
Banks in the process of financial intermediation are confronted with various kinds of financial
and non-financial risks viz., credit, interest rate, foreign exchange rate, liquidity, equity price,
commodity price, legal, regulatory, reputational, operational, etc. These risks are highly
interdependent and events that affect one area of risk can have ramifications for a range of other
risk categories. Thus, top management of banks should attach considerable importance to
improve the ability to identify, measure, monitor and control the overall level of risks
undertaken.
The broad parameters of risk management function should encompass:
i) organisational structure;
ii) comprehensive risk measurement approach;
iii) risk management policies approved by the Board which should be consistent with the
broader business strategies, capital strength, management expertise and overall
willingness to assume risk;
iv) guidelines and other parameters used to govern risk taking including detailed structure of
prudential limits;
v) strong MIS for reporting, monitoring and controlling risks;
vi) well laid out procedures, effective control and comprehensive risk reporting framework;
vii) separate risk management framework independent of operational Departments and with clear
delineation of levels of responsibility for management of risk; and
viii) periodical review and evaluation.
2. Risk Management Structure
2.1 A major issue in establishing an appropriate risk management organisation structure is
choosing between a centralised and decentralised structure. The global trend is towards
centralising risk management with integrated treasury management function to benefit from
information on aggregate exposure, natural netting of exposures, economies of scale and easier
reporting to top management. The primary responsibility of understanding the risks run by the
bank and ensuring that the risks are appropriately managed should clearly be vested with the
Board of Directors. The Board should set risk limits by assessing the bank’s risk and risk bearing
capacity. At organisational level, overall risk management should be assigned to an independent
Risk Management Committee or Executive Committee of the top Executives that reports directly
to the Board of Directors. The purpose of this top level committee is to empower one group with
full responsibility of evaluating overall risks faced by the bank and determining the level of risks
which will be in the best interest of the bank. At the same time, the Committee should hold the
line management more accountable for the risks under their control, and the performance of the
bank in that area. The functions of Risk Management Committee should essentially be to
identify, monitor and measure the risk profile of the bank. The Committee should also develop
policies and procedures, verify the models that are used for pricing complex products, review the
risk models as development takes place in the markets and also identify new risks. The risk
policies should clearly spell out the quantitative prudential limits on various segments of banks’
operations. Internationally, the trend is towards assigning risk limits in terms of portfolio
standards or Credit at Risk (credit risk) and Earnings at Risk and Value at Risk
(market risk). The Committee should design stress scenarios to measure the impact of unusual
market conditions and monitor variance between the actual volatility of portfolio value and that
predicted by the risk measures. The Committee should also monitor compliance of various risk
parameters by operating Departments.
2.2 A prerequisite for establishment of an effective risk management system is the existence of a
robust MIS, consistent in quality. The existing MIS, however, requires substantial upgradation
and strengthening of the data collection machinery to ensure the integrity and reliability of data.
2.3 The risk management is a complex function and it requires specialised skills and expertise.
Banks have been moving towards the use of sophisticated models for measuring and managing
risks. Large banks and those operating in international markets should develop internal risk
management models to be able to compete effectively with their competitors. As the domestic
market integrates with the international markets, the banks should have necessary expertise and
skill in managing various types of risks in a scientific manner. At a more sophisticated level, the
core staff at Head Offices should be trained in risk modelling and analytical tools. It should,
therefore, be the endeavour of all banks to upgrade the skills of staff.
2.4 Given the diversity of balance sheet profile, it is difficult to adopt a uniform framework for
management of risks in India. The design of risk management functions should be bank specific,
dictated by the size, complexity of functions, the level of technical expertise and the quality of
MIS. The proposed guidelines only provide broad parameters and each bank may evolve their
own systems compatible to their risk management architecture and expertise.
2.5 Internationally, a committee approach to risk management is being adopted. While the Asset
- Liability Management Committee (ALCO) deal with different types of market risk, the Credit
Policy Committee (CPC) oversees the credit /counterparty risk and country risk. Thus, market
and credit risks are managed in a parallel two-track approach in banks. Banks could also set-up a
single Committee for integrated management of credit and market risks. Generally, the policies
and procedures for market risk are articulated in the ALM policies and credit risk is addressed in
Loan Policies and Procedures.
2.6 Currently, while market variables are held constant for quantifying credit risk, credit
variables are held constant in estimating market risk. The economic crises in some of the
countries have revealed a strong correlation between unhedged market risk and credit risk. Forex
exposures, assumed by corporates who have no natural hedges, will increase the credit risk
which banks run vis-à-vis their counterparties. The volatility in the prices of collateral also
significantly affects the quality of the loan book. Thus, there is a need for integration of the
activities of both the ALCO and the CPC and consultation process should be established to
evaluate the impact of market and credit risks on the financial strength of banks. Banks may also
consider integrating market risk elements into their credit risk assessment process.
3. Credit Risk
3.1 General
3.1.1 Lending involves a number of risks. In addition to the risks related to creditworthiness of
the counterparty, the banks are also exposed to interest rate, forex and country risks.
3.1.2 Credit risk or default risk involves inability or unwillingness of a customer or counterparty
to meet commitments in relation to lending, trading, hedging, settlement and other financial
transactions. The Credit Risk is generally made up of transaction risk or default risk and portfolio
risk. The portfolio risk in turn comprises intrinsic and concentration risk. The credit risk of a
bank’s portfolio depends on both external and internal factors. The external factors are the state
of the economy, wide swings in commodity/equity prices, foreign exchange rates and interest
rates, trade restrictions, economic sanctions, Government policies, etc. The internal factors are
deficiencies in loan policies/administration, absence of prudential credit concentration limits,
inadequately defined lending limits for Loan Officers/Credit Committees, deficiencies in
appraisal of borrowers’ financial position, excessive dependence on collaterals and inadequate
risk pricing, absence of loan review mechanism and post sanction surveillance, etc.
3.1.3 Another variant of credit risk is counterparty risk. The counterparty risk arises from
nonperformance of the trading partners. The non-performance may arise from counterparty’s
refusal/inability to perform due to adverse price movements or from external constraints that
were not anticipated by the principal. The counterparty risk is generally viewed as a transient
financial risk associated with trading rather than standard credit risk.
3.1.4 The management of credit risk should receive the top management’s attention and the
process should encompass:
a) Measurement of risk through credit rating/scoring;
b) Quantifying the risk through estimating expected loan losses i.e. the amount of loan losses that
bank would experience over a chosen time horizon (through tracking portfolio behavior over 5 or
more years) and unexpected loan losses i.e. the amount by which actual losses exceed the
expected loss (through standard deviation of losses or the difference between expected loan
losses and some selected target credit loss quantile);
c) Risk pricing on a scientific basis; and
d) Controlling the risk through effective Loan Review Mechanism and portfolio management.
3.1.5 The credit risk management process should be articulated in the bank’s Loan Policy, duly
approved by the Board. Each bank should constitute a high level Credit Policy Committee, also
called Credit Risk Management Committee or Credit Control Committee etc. to deal with issues
relating to credit policy and procedures and to analyse, manage and control credit risk on a bank
wide basis. The Committee should be headed by the Chairman/CEO/ED, and should comprise
heads of Credit Department, Treasury, Credit Risk Management Department (CRMD) and the
Chief Economist. The Committee should, inter alia, formulate clear policies on standards for
presentation of credit proposals, financial covenants, rating standards and benchmarks,
delegation of credit approving powers, prudential limits on large credit exposures, asset
concentrations, standards for loan collateral, portfolio management, loan review mechanism, risk
concentrations, risk monitoring and evaluation, pricing of loans, provisioning, regulatory/legal
compliance, etc. Concurrently, each bank should also set up Credit Risk Management
Department (CRMD), independent of the Credit Administration Department. The CRMD should
enforce and monitor compliance of the risk parameters and prudential limits set by the CPC. The
CRMD should also lay down risk assessment systems, monitor quality of loan portfolio, identify
problems and correct deficiencies, develop MIS and undertake loan review/audit. Large banks
may consider separate set up for loan review/audit. The CRMD should also be made accountable
for protecting the quality of the entire loan portfolio. The Department should undertake portfolio
evaluations and conduct comprehensive studies on the environment to test the resilience of the
loan portfolio.
3.2 Instruments of Credit Risk Management
Credit Risk Management encompasses a host of management techniques, which help the banks
in mitigating the adverse impacts of credit risk.
3.2.1 Credit Approving Authority
Each bank should have a carefully formulated scheme of delegation of powers. The banks should
also evolve multi-tier credit approving system where the loan proposals are approved by an
‘Approval Grid’ or a ‘Committee’. The credit facilities above a specified limit may be approved
by the ‘Grid’ or ‘Committee’, comprising at least 3 or 4 officers and invariably one officer
should represent the CRMD, who has no volume and profit targets. Banks can also consider
credit approving committees at various operating levels i.e. large branches (where considered
necessary), Regional Offices, Zonal Offices, Head Offices, etc. Banks could consider delegating
powers for sanction of higher limits to the ‘Approval Grid’ or the ‘Committee’ for better rated /
quality customers. The spirit of the credit approving system may be that no credit proposals
should be approved or recommended to higher authorities, if majority members of the ‘Approval
Grid’ or ‘Committee’ do not agree on the creditworthiness of the borrower. In case of
disagreement, the specific views of the dissenting member/s should be recorded. The banks
should also evolve suitable framework for reporting and evaluating the quality of credit decisions
taken by various functional groups. The quality of credit decisions should be evaluated within a
reasonable time, say 3 – 6 months, through a well-defined Loan Review Mechanism.
3.2.2 Prudential Limits
In order to limit the magnitude of credit risk, prudential limits should be laid down on various
aspects of credit:
a) stipulate benchmark current/debt equity and profitability ratios, debt service coverage ratio or
other ratios, with flexibility for deviations. The conditions subject to which deviations are
permitted and the authority therefor should also be clearly spelt out in the Loan Policy;
b) single/group borrower limits, which may be lower than the limits prescribed by Reserve Bank
to provide a filtering mechanism;
c) substantial exposure limit i.e. sum total of exposures assumed in respect of those single
borrowers enjoying credit facilities in excess of a threshold limit, say 10% or 15% of capital
funds. The substantial exposure limit may be fixed at 600% or 800% of capital funds,
depending upon the degree of concentration risk the bank is exposed;
d) maximum exposure limits to industry, sector, etc. should be set up. There must also be systems
in place to evaluate the exposures at reasonable intervals and the limits should be adjusted
especially when a particular sector or industry faces slowdown or other sector/industry specific
problems. The exposure limits to sensitive sectors, such as, advances against equity shares, real
estate, etc., which are subject to a high degree of asset price volatility and to specific industries,
which are subject to frequent business cycles, may necessarily be restricted. Similarly, high-risk
industries, as perceived by the bank, should also be placed under lower portfolio limit. Any
excess exposure should be fully backed by adequate collaterals or strategic considerations; and
e) banks may consider maturity profile of the loan book, keeping in view the market risks
inherent in the balance sheet, risk evaluation capability, liquidity, etc.
3.2.3 Risk Rating
Banks should have a comprehensive risk scoring / rating system that serves as a single point
indicator of diverse risk factors of a counterparty and for taking credit decisions in a consistent
manner. To facilitate this, a substantial degree of standardisation is required in ratings across
borrowers. The risk rating system should be designed to reveal the overall risk of lending, critical
input for setting pricing and non-price terms of loans as also present meaningful information for
review and management of loan portfolio. The risk rating, in short, should reflect the underlying
credit risk of the loan book. The rating exercise should also facilitate the credit granting
authorities some comfort in its knowledge of loan quality at any moment of time. The risk rating
system should be drawn up in a structured manner, incorporating, inter alia, financial analysis,
projections and sensitivity, industrial and management risks. The banks may use any number of
financial ratios and operational parameters and collaterals as also qualitative aspects of
management and industry characteristics that have bearings on the creditworthiness of
borrowers. Banks can also weigh the ratios on the basis of the years to which they represent for
giving importance to near term developments. Within the rating framework, banks can also
prescribe certain level of standards or critical parameters, beyond which no proposals should be
entertained. Banks may also consider separate rating framework for large corporate / small
borrowers, traders, etc. that exhibit varying nature and degree of risk. Forex exposures assumed
by corporates who have no natural hedges have significantly altered the risk profile of banks.
Banks should, therefore, factor the unhedged market risk exposures of borrowers also in the
rating framework. The overall score for risk is to be placed on a numerical scale ranging between
1-6, 1-8, etc. on the basis of credit quality. For each numerical category, a quantitative definition
of the borrower, the loan’s underlying quality, and an analytic representation of the underlying
financials of the borrower should be presented. Further, as a prudent risk management policy,
each bank should prescribe the minimum rating below which no exposures would be undertaken.
Any flexibility in the minimum standards and conditions for relaxation and authority therefor
should be clearly articulated in the Loan Policy. The credit risk assessment exercise should be
repeated biannually (or even at shorter intervals for low quality customers) and should be
delinked invariably from the regular renewal exercise. The updating of the credit ratings should
be undertaken normally at quarterly intervals or at least at half-yearly intervals, in order to gauge
the quality of the portfolio at periodic intervals. Variations in the ratings of borrowers over time
indicate changes in credit quality and expected loan losses from the credit portfolio. Thus, if the
rating system is to be meaningful, the credit quality reports should signal changes in expected
loan losses. In order to ensure the consistency and accuracy of internal ratings, the responsibility
for setting or confirming such ratings should vest with the Loan Review function and examined
by an independent Loan Review Group. The banks should undertake comprehensive study on
migration (upward – lower to higher and downward – higher to lower) of borrowers in the
ratings to add accuracy in expected loan loss calculations.
3.2.4 Risk Pricing
Risk-return pricing is a fundamental tenet of risk management. In a risk-return setting, borrowers
with weak financial position and hence placed in high credit risk category should be priced high.
Thus, banks should evolve scientific systems to price the credit risk, which should have a bearing
on the expected probability of default. The pricing of loans normally should be linked to risk
rating or credit quality. The probability of default could be derived from the past behaviour of the
loan portfolio, which is the function of loan loss provision/charge offs for the last five years or
so. Banks should build historical database on the portfolio quality and provisioning / charge off
to equip themselves to price the risk. But value of collateral, market forces, perceived value of
accounts, future business potential, portfolio/industry exposure and strategic reasons may also
play important role in pricing. Flexibility should also be made for revising the price (risk premia)
due to changes in rating / value of collaterals over time. Large sized banks across the world have
already put in place Risk Adjusted Return on Capital (RAROC) framework for pricing of loans,
which calls for data on portfolio behaviour and allocation of capital commensurate with credit
risk inherent in loan proposals. Under RAROC framework, lender begins by charging an interest
mark-up to cover the expected loss – expected default rate of the rating category of the borrower.
The lender then allocates enough capital to the prospective loan to cover some amount of
unexpected loss- variability of default rates. Generally, international banks allocate enough
capital so that the expected loan loss reserve or provision plus allocated capital covers 99% of
the loan loss outcomes. There is, however, a need for comparing the prices quoted by
competitors for borrowers perched on the same rating /quality. Thus, any attempt at price-cutting
for market share would result in mispricing of risk and ‘Adverse Selection’.
3.2.5 Portfolio Management
The existing framework of tracking the Non Performing Loans around the balance sheet date
does not signal the quality of the entire Loan Book. Banks should evolve proper systems for
identification of credit weaknesses well in advance. Most of international banks have adopted
various portfolio management techniques for gauging asset quality. The CRMD, set up at Head
Office should be assigned the responsibility of periodic monitoring of the portfolio. The portfolio
quality could be evaluated by tracking the migration (upward or downward) of borrowers from
one rating scale to another. This process would be meaningful only if the borrower-wise ratings
are updated at quarterly / half-yearly intervals. Data on movements within grading categories
provide a useful insight into the nature and composition of loan book. The banks could also
consider the following measures to maintain the portfolio quality:
1) stipulate quantitative ceiling on aggregate exposure in specified rating categories, i.e. certain
percentage of total advances should be in the rating category of 1 to 2 or 1 to 3, 2 to 4 or 4 to 5,
etc.;
2) evaluate the rating-wise distribution of borrowers in various industry, business segments, etc.;
3) exposure to one industry/sector should be evaluated on the basis of overall rating distribution
of borrowers in the sector/group. In this context, banks should weigh the pros and cons of
specialisation and concentration by industry group. In cases where portfolio exposure to a single
industry is badly performing, the banks may increase the quality standards for that specific
industry;
4) target rating-wise volume of loans, probable defaults and provisioning requirements as a
prudent planning exercise. For any deviation/s from the expected parameters, an exercise for
restructuring of the portfolio should immediately be undertaken and if necessary, the entry level
criteria could be enhanced to insulate the portfolio from further deterioration;
5) undertake rapid portfolio reviews, stress tests and scenario analysis when external
environment undergoes rapid changes (e.g. volatility in the forex market, economic sanctions,
changes in the fiscal/monetary policies, general slowdown of the economy, market risk events,
extreme liquidity conditions, etc.). The stress tests would reveal undetected areas of potential
credit risk exposure and linkages between different categories of risk. In adverse circumstances,
there may be substantial correlation of various risks, especially credit and market risks. Stress
testing can range from relatively simple alterations in assumptions about one or more financial,
structural or economic variables to the use of highly sophisticated models. The output of such
portfolio-wide stress tests should be reviewed by the Board and suitable changes may be made in
prudential risk limits for protecting the quality. Stress tests could also include contingency plans,
detailing management responses to stressful situations.
6) introduce discriminatory time schedules for renewal of borrower limits. Lower rated
borrowers whose financials show signs of problems should be subjected to renewal control
twice/thrice an year.
Banks should evolve suitable framework for monitoring the market risks especially forex risk
exposure of corporates who have no natural hedges on a regular basis. Banks should also appoint
Portfolio Managers to watch the loan portfolio’s degree of concentrations and exposure to
counterparties. For comprehensive evaluation of customer exposure, banks may consider
appointing Relationship Managers to ensure that overall exposure to a single borrower is
monitored, captured and controlled. The Relationship Managers have to work in coordination
with the Treasury and Forex Departments. The Relationship Managers may service mainly high
value loans so that a substantial share of the loan portfolio, which can alter the risk profile,
would be under constant surveillance. Further, transactions with affiliated companies/groups
need to be aggregated and maintained close to real time. The banks should also put in place
formalised systems for identification of accounts showing pronounced credit weaknesses well in
advance and also prepare internal guidelines for such an exercise and set time frame for deciding
courses of action. Many of the international banks have adopted credit risk models for evaluation
of credit portfolio. The credit risk models offer banks framework for examining credit risk
exposures, across geographical locations and product lines in a timely manner, centralising data
and analysing marginal and absolute contributions to risk. The models also provide estimates of
credit risk (unexpected loss) which reflect individual portfolio composition. The Altman’s Z
Score forecasts the probability of a company entering bankruptcy within a 12-month period. The
model combines five financial ratios using reported accounting information and equity values to
produce an objective measure of borrower’s financial health. J. P. Morgan has developed a
portfolio model ‘CreditMetrics’ for evaluating credit risk. The model basically focus on
estimating the volatility in the value of assets caused by variations in the quality of assets. The
volatility is computed by tracking the probability that the borrower might migrate from one
rating category to another (downgrade or upgrade). Thus, the value of loans can change over
time, reflecting migration of the borrowers to a different risk-rating grade. The model can be
used for promoting transparency in credit risk, establishing benchmark for credit risk
measurement and estimating economic capital for credit risk under RAROC framework. Credit
Suisse developed a statistical method for measuring and accounting for credit risk which is
known as CreditRisk+. The model is based on actuarial calculation of expected default rates and
unexpected losses from default. The banks may evaluate the utility of these models with suitable
modifications to Indian environment for fine-tuning the credit risk management. The success of
credit risk models impinges on time series data on historical loan loss rates and other model
variables, spanning multiple credit cycles. Banks may, therefore, endeavour building adequate
database for switching over to credit risk modelling after a specified period of time.
3.2.6 Loan Review Mechanism (LRM)
LRM is an effective tool for constantly evaluating the quality of loan book and to bring about
qualitative improvements in credit administration. Banks should, therefore, put in place proper
Loan Review Mechanism for large value accounts with responsibilities assigned in various areas
such as, evaluating the effectiveness of loan administration, maintaining the integrity of credit
grading process, assessing the loan loss provision, portfolio quality, etc. The complexity and
scope of LRM normally vary based on banks’ size, type of operations and management practices.
It may be independent of the CRMD or even separate Department in large banks.
The main objectives of LRM could be:
● to identify promptly loans which develop credit weaknesses and initiate timely corrective
action;
● to evaluate portfolio quality and isolate potential problem areas;
● to provide information for determining adequacy of loan loss provision;
● to assess the adequacy of and adherence to, loan policies and procedures, and to monitor
compliance with relevant laws and regulations; and
● to provide top management with information on credit administration, including credit
sanction process, risk evaluation and post-sanction follow-up.
Accurate and timely credit grading is one of the basic components of an effective LRM. Credit
grading involves assessment of credit quality, identification of problem loans, and assignment of
risk ratings. A proper Credit Grading System should support evaluating the portfolio quality and
establishing loan loss provisions. Given the importance and subjective nature of credit rating, the
credit ratings awarded by Credit Administration Department should be subjected to review by
Loan Review Officers who are independent of loan administration.
3.2.7 Banks should formulate Loan Review Policy and it should be reviewed annually by the
Board. The Policy should, inter alia, address:
Qualification and Independence
The Loan Review Officers should have sound knowledge in credit appraisal, lending practices
and loan policies of the bank. They should also be well versed in the relevant laws/regulations
that affect lending activities. The independence of Loan Review Officers should be ensured and
the findings of the reviews should also be reported directly to the Board or Committee of the
Board.
Frequency and Scope of Reviews
The Loan Reviews are designed to provide feedback on effectiveness of credit sanction and to
identify incipient deterioration in portfolio quality. Reviews of high value loans should be
undertaken usually within three months of sanction/renewal or more frequently when factors
indicate a potential for deterioration in the credit quality. The scope of the review should cover
all loans above a cut-off limit. In addition, banks should also target other accounts that present
elevated risk characteristics. At least 30-40% of the portfolio should be subjected to LRM in a
year to provide reasonable assurance that all the major credit risks embedded in the balance sheet
have been tracked.
Depth of Reviews
● The loan reviews should focus on:
● Approval process;
● Accuracy and timeliness of credit ratings assigned by loan officers;
● Adherence to internal policies and procedures, and applicable laws / regulations;
● Compliance with loan covenants;
● Post-sanction follow-up;
● Sufficiency of loan documentation;
● Portfolio quality; and
● Recommendations for improving portfolio quality
3.2.8 The findings of Reviews should be discussed with line Managers and the corrective actions
should be elicited for all deficiencies. Deficiencies that remain unresolved should be reported to
top management.
3.2.9 The Risk Management Group of the Basle Committee on Banking Supervision has released
a consultative paper on Principles for the Management of Credit Risk. The Paper deals with
various aspects relating to credit risk management. The Paper is enclosed for information of
banks.
4. Credit Risk and Investment Banking
4.1 Significant magnitude of credit risk, in addition to market risk, is inherent in investment
banking. The proposals for investments should also be subjected to the same degree of credit risk
analysis, as any loan proposals. The proposals should be subjected to detailed appraisal and
rating framework that factors in financial and non-financial parameters of issuers, sensitivity to
external developments, etc. The maximum exposure to a customer should be bank-wide and
include all exposures assumed by the Credit and Treasury Departments. The coupon on non
sovereign papers should be commensurate with their risk profile. The banks should exercise due
caution, particularly in investment proposals, which are not rated and should ensure
comprehensive risk evaluation. There should be greater interaction between Credit and Treasury
Departments and the portfolio analysis should also cover the total exposures, including
investments. The rating migration of the issuers and the consequent diminution in the portfolio
quality should also be tracked at periodic intervals.
4.2 As a matter of prudence, banks should stipulate entry level minimum ratings/quality
standards, industry, maturity, duration, issuer-wise, etc. limits in investment proposals as well to
mitigate the adverse impacts of concentration and the risk of illiquidity.
5. Credit Risk in Off-balance Sheet Exposure
5.1 Banks should evolve adequate framework for managing their exposure in off-balance sheet
products like forex forward contracts, swaps, options, etc. as a part of overall credit to individual
customer relationship and subject to the same credit appraisal, limits and monitoring procedures.
Banks should classify their off-balance sheet exposures into three broad categories - full risk
(credit substitutes) - standby letters of credit, money guarantees, etc, medium risk (not direct
credit substitutes, which do not support existing financial obligations) - bid bonds, letters of
credit, indemnities and warranties and low risk - reverse repos, currency swaps, options, futures,
etc.
5.2 The trading credit exposure to counterparties can be measured on static (constant percentage
of the notional principal over the life of the transaction) and on a dynamic basis. The total
exposures to the counterparties on a dynamic basis should be the sum total of:
1) the current replacement cost (unrealised loss to the counterparty); and
2) the potential increase in replacement cost (estimated with the help of VaR or other methods to
capture future volatilities in the value of the outstanding contracts/ obligations). The current and
potential credit exposures may be measured on a daily basis to evaluate the impact of potential
changes in market conditions on the value of counterparty positions. The potential exposures also
may be quantified by subjecting the position to market movements involving normal and
abnormal movements in interest rates, foreign exchange rates, equity prices, liquidity conditions,
etc.
6. Inter-bank Exposure and Country Risk
6.1 A suitable framework should be evolved to provide a centralised overview on the aggregate
exposure on other banks. Bank-wise exposure limits could be set on the basis of assessment of
financial performance, operating efficiency, management quality, past experience, etc. Like
corporate clients, banks should also be rated and placed in range of 1-5, 1-8, as the case may be,
on the basis of their credit quality. The limits so arrived at should be allocated to various
operating centres and followed up and half-yearly/annual reviews undertaken at a single point.
Regarding exposure on overseas banks, banks can use the country ratings of international rating
agencies and classify the countries into low risk, moderate risk and high risk. Banks should
endeavour for developing an internal matrix that reckons the counterparty and country risks. The
maximum exposure should be subjected to adherence of country and bank exposure limits
already in place. While the exposure should at least be monitored on a weekly basis till the banks
are equipped to monitor exposures on a real time basis, all exposures to problem countries should
be evaluated on a real time basis.
7. Market Risk
7.1 Traditionally, credit risk management was the primary challenge for banks. With progressive
deregulation, market risk arising from adverse changes in market variables, such as interest rate,
foreign exchange rate, equity price and commodity price has become relatively more important.
Even a small change in market variables causes substantial changes in income and economic
value of banks. Market risk takes the form of:
1) Liquidity Risk
2) Interest Rate Risk
3) Foreign Exchange Rate (Forex) Risk
4) Commodity Price Risk and
5) Equity Price Risk
8. Market Risk Management
8.1 Management of market risk should be the major concern of top management of banks. The
Boards should clearly articulate market risk management policies, procedures, prudential risk
limits, review mechanisms and reporting and auditing systems. The policies should address the
bank’s exposure on a consolidated basis and clearly articulate the risk measurement systems that
capture all material sources of market risk and assess the effects on the bank. The operating
prudential limits and the accountability of the line management should also be clearly defined.
The Asset-Liability Management Committee (ALCO) should function as the top operational unit
for managing the balance sheet within the performance/risk parameters laid down by the Board.
The banks should also set up an independent Middle Office to track the magnitude of market
risk on a real time basis. The Middle Office should comprise of experts in market risk
management, economists, statisticians and general bankers and may be functionally placed
directly under the ALCO. The Middle Office should also be separated from Treasury Department
and should not be involved in the day to day management of Treasury. The Middle Office should
apprise the top management / ALCO / Treasury about adherence to prudential / risk parameters
and also aggregate the total market risk exposures assumed by the bank at any point of time.
8.2 Liquidity Risk
8.2.1 Liquidity Planning is an important facet of risk management framework in banks. Liquidity
is the ability to efficiently accommodate deposit and other liability decreases, as well as, fund
loan portfolio growth and the possible funding of off-balance sheet claims. A bank has adequate
liquidity when sufficient funds can be raised, either by increasing liabilities or converting assets,
promptly and at a reasonable cost. It encompasses the potential sale of liquid assets and
borrowings from money, capital and forex markets. Thus, liquidity should be considered as a
defence mechanism from losses on fire sale of assets.
8.2.2 The liquidity risk of banks arises from funding of long-term assets by short-term liabilities,
thereby making the liabilities subject to rollover or refinancing risk.
8.2.3 The liquidity risk in banks manifest in different dimensions:
i) Funding Risk – need to replace net outflows due to unanticipated withdrawal/nonrenewal of
deposits (wholesale and retail);
ii) Time Risk - need to compensate for non-receipt of expected inflows of funds, i.e. performing
assets turning into non-performing assets; and
iii) Call Risk - due to crystallisation of contingent liabilities and unable to undertake profitable
business opportunities when desirable.
8.2.4 The first step towards liquidity management is to put in place an effective liquidity
management policy, which, inter alia, should spell out the funding strategies, liquidity planning
under alternative scenarios, prudential limits, liquidity reporting / reviewing, etc.
8.2.5 Liquidity measurement is quite a difficult task and can be measured through stock or cash
flow approaches. The key ratios, adopted across the banking system are:
i) Loans to Total Assets
ii) Loans to Core Deposits
iii) Large Liabilities (minus) Temporary Investments to Earning Assets (minus)
Temporary Investments, where large liabilities represent wholesale deposits which are market
sensitive and temporary Investments are those maturing within one year and those investments
which are held in the trading book and are readily sold in the market;
iv) Purchased Funds to Total Assets, where purchased funds include the entire inter-bank and
other money market borrowings, including Certificate of Deposits and institutional deposits; and
v) Loan Losses/Net Loans.
8.2.6 While the liquidity ratios are the ideal indicator of liquidity of banks operating in
developed financial markets, the ratios do not reveal the intrinsic liquidity profile of Indian banks
which are operating generally in an illiquid market. Experiences show that assets commonly
considered as liquid like Government securities, other money market instruments, etc. have
limited liquidity as the market and players are unidirectional. Thus, analysis of liquidity involves
tracking of cash flow mismatches. For measuring and managing net funding requirements, the
use of maturity ladder and calculation of cumulative surplus or deficit of funds at selected
maturity dates is recommended as a standard tool. The format prescribed by RBI in this regard
under ALM System should be adopted for measuring cash flow mismatches at different time
bands. The cash flows should be placed in different time bands based on future behaviour of
assets, liabilities and off-balance sheet items. In other words, banks should have to analyse the
behavioural maturity profile of various components of on / off-balance sheet items on the basis
of assumptions and trend analysis supported by time series analysis. Banks should also undertake
variance analysis, at least, once in six months to validate the assumptions. The assumptions
should be fine-tuned over a period which facilitate near reality predictions about future
behaviour of on / off-balance sheet items. Apart from the above cash flows, banks should also
track the impact of prepayments of loans, premature closure of deposits and exercise of options
built in certain instruments which offer put/call options after specified times. Thus, cash outflows
can be ranked by the date on which liabilities fall due, the earliest date a liability holder could
exercise an early repayment option or the earliest date contingencies could be crystallised.
8.2.7 The difference between cash inflows and outflows in each time period, the excess or deficit
of funds, becomes a starting point for a measure of a bank’s future liquidity surplus or deficit, at
a series of points of time. The banks should also consider putting in place certain prudential
limits to avoid liquidity crisis:
1. Cap on inter-bank borrowings, especially call borrowings;
2. Purchased funds vis-à-vis liquid assets;
3. Core deposits vis-à-vis Core Assets i.e. Cash Reserve Ratio, Liquidity Reserve Ratio and
Loans;
4. Duration of liabilities and investment portfolio;
5. Maximum Cumulative Outflows. Banks should fix cumulative mismatches across all time
bands;
6. Commitment Ratio – track the total commitments given to corporates/banks and other
financial institutions to limit the off-balance sheet exposure;
7. Swapped Funds Ratio, i.e. extent of Indian Rupees raised out of foreign currency sources.
8.2.8 Banks should also evolve a system for monitoring high value deposits (other than interbank
deposits) say Rs.1 crore or more to track the volatile liabilities. Further the cash flows arising out
of contingent liabilities in normal situation and the scope for an increase in cash flows during
periods of stress should also be estimated. It is quite possible that market crisis can trigger
substantial increase in the amount of draw downs from cash credit/overdraft accounts, contingent
liabilities like letters of credit, etc.
8.2.9 The liquidity profile of the banks could be analysed on a static basis, wherein the assets and
liabilities and off-balance sheet items are pegged on a particular day and the behavioural pattern
and the sensitivity of these items to changes in market interest rates and environment are duly
accounted for. The banks can also estimate the liquidity profile on a dynamic way by giving due
importance to:
1) Seasonal pattern of deposits/loans;
2) Potential liquidity needs for meeting new loan demands, unavailed credit limits, loan policy,
potential deposit losses, investment obligations, statutory obligations, etc.
8.2.10 Alternative Scenarios
The liquidity profile of banks depends on the market conditions, which influence the cash flow
behaviour. Thus, banks should evaluate liquidity profile under different conditions, viz. normal
situation, bank specific crisis and market crisis scenario. The banks should establish benchmark
for normal situation, cash flow profile of on / off balance sheet items and manages net funding
requirements.
8.2.11 Estimating liquidity under bank specific crisis should provide a worst-case benchmark. It
should be assumed that the purchased funds could not be easily rolled over; some of the core
deposits could be prematurely closed; a substantial share of assets have turned into
nonperforming and thus become totally illiquid. These developments would lead to rating down
grades and high cost of liquidity. The banks should evolve contingency plans to overcome such
situations.
8.2.12 The market crisis scenario analyses cases of extreme tightening of liquidity conditions
arising out of monetary policy stance of Reserve Bank, general perception about risk profile of
the banking system, severe market disruptions, failure of one or more of major players in the
market, financial crisis, contagion, etc. Under this scenario, the rollover of high value customer
deposits and purchased funds could extremely be difficult besides flight of volatile deposits /
liabilities. The banks could also sell their investment with huge discounts, entailing severe
capital loss.
8.2.13 Contingency Plan
Banks should prepare Contingency Plans to measure their ability to withstand bank-specific or
market crisis scenario. The blue-print for asset sales, market access, capacity to restructure the
maturity and composition of assets and liabilities should be clearly documented and alternative
options of funding in the event of bank’s failure to raise liquidity from existing source/s could be
clearly articulated. Liquidity from the Reserve Bank, arising out of its refinance window and
interim liquidity adjustment facility or as lender of last resort should not be reckoned for
contingency plans. Availability of back-up liquidity support in the form of committed lines of
credit, reciprocal arrangements, liquidity support from other external sources, liquidity of assets,
etc. should also be clearly established.
9. Interest Rate Risk (IRR)
9.1 The management of Interest Rate Risk should be one of the critical components of market
risk management in banks. The regulatory restrictions in the past had greatly reduced many of
the risks in the banking system. Deregulation of interest rates has, however, exposed them to the
adverse impacts of interest rate risk. The Net Interest Income (NII) or Net Interest Margin (NIM)
of banks is dependent on the movements of interest rates. Any mismatches in the cash flows
(fixed assets or liabilities) or repricing dates (floating assets or liabilities), expose banks’ NII or
NIM to variations. The earning of assets and the cost of liabilities are now closely related to
market interest rate volatility.
9.2 Interest Rate Risk (IRR) refers to potential impact on NII or NIM or Market Value of Equity
(MVE), caused by unexpected changes in market interest rates. Interest Rate Risk can take
different forms:
9.3 Types of Interest Rate Risk
9.3.1 Gap or Mismatch Risk:
A gap or mismatch risk arises from holding assets and liabilities and off-balance sheet items with
different principal amounts, maturity dates or repricing dates, thereby creating exposure to
unexpected changes in the level of market interest rates.
9.3.2 Basis Risk
Market interest rates of various instruments seldom change by the same degree during a given
period of time. The risk that the interest rate of different assets, liabilities and off-balance sheet
items may change in different magnitude is termed as basis risk. The degree of basis risk is fairly
high in respect of banks that create composite assets out of composite liabilities. The Loan book
in India is funded out of a composite liability portfolio and is exposed to a considerable degree of
basis risk. The basis risk is quite visible in volatile interest rate scenarios. When the variation in
market interest rate causes the NII to expand, the banks have experienced favourable basis shifts
and if the interest rate movement causes the NII to contract, the basis has moved against the
banks.
9.3.3 Embedded Option Risk
Significant changes in market interest rates create another source of risk to banks’ profitability
by encouraging prepayment of cash credit/demand loans/term loans and exercise of call/put
options on bonds/debentures and/or premature withdrawal of term deposits before their stated
maturities. The embedded option risk is becoming a reality in India and is experienced in volatile
situations. The faster and higher the magnitude of changes in interest rate, the greater will be the
embedded option risk to the banks’ NII. Thus, banks should evolve scientific techniques to
estimate the probable embedded options and adjust the Gap statements (Liquidity and Interest
Rate Sensitivity) to realistically estimate the risk profiles in their balance sheet. Banks should
also endeavour for stipulating appropriate penalties based on opportunity costs to stem the
exercise of options, which is always to the disadvantage of banks.
9.3.4 Yield Curve Risk
In a floating interest rate scenario, banks may price their assets and liabilities based on different
benchmarks, i.e. TBs yields, fixed deposit rates, call money rates, MIBOR, etc. In case the banks
use two different instruments maturing at different time horizon for pricing their assets and
liabilities, any non-parallel movements in yield curves would affect the NII. The movements in
yield curve are rather frequent when the economy moves through business cycles. Thus, banks
should evaluate the movement in yield curves and the impact of that on the portfolio values and
income.
9.3.5 Price Risk
Price risk occurs when assets are sold before their stated maturities. In the financial market, bond
prices and yields are inversely related. The price risk is closely associated with the trading book,
which is created for making profit out of short-term movements in interest rates. Banks which
have an active trading book should, therefore, formulate policies to limit the portfolio size,
holding period, duration, defeasance period, stop loss limits, marking to market, etc.
9.3.6 Reinvestment Risk
Uncertainty with regard to interest rate at which the future cash flows could be reinvested is
called reinvestment risk. Any mismatches in cash flows would expose the banks to variations in
NII as the market interest rates move in different directions.
9.3.7 Net Interest Position Risk
The size of nonpaying liabilities is one of the significant factors contributing towards
profitability of banks. When banks have more earning assets than paying liabilities, interest rate
risk arises when the market interest rates adjust downwards. Thus, banks with positive net
interest positions will experience a reduction in NII as the market interest rate declines and
increases when interest rate rises. Thus, large float is a natural hedge against the variations in
interest rates.
9.4 Measuring Interest Rate Risk
9.4.1 Before interest rate risk could be managed, they should be identified and quantified.
Unless the quantum of IRR inherent in the balance sheet is identified, it is impossible to measure
the degree of risks to which banks are exposed. It is also equally impossible to develop effective
risk management strategies/hedging techniques without being able to understand the correct risk
position of banks. The IRR measurement system should address all material sources of interest
rate risk including gap or mismatch, basis, embedded option, yield curve, price, reinvestment and
net interest position risks exposures. The IRR measurement system should also take into account
the specific characteristics of each individual interest rate sensitive position and should capture
in detail the full range of potential movements in interest rates.
9.4.2 There are different techniques for measurement of interest rate risk, ranging from the
traditional Maturity Gap Analysis (to measure the interest rate sensitivity of earnings), Duration
(to measure interest rate sensitivity of capital), Simulation and Value at Risk. While these
methods highlight different facets of interest rate risk, many banks use them in combination, or
use hybrid methods that combine features of all the techniques.
9.4.3 Generally, the approach towards measurement and hedging of IRR varies with the
segmentation of the balance sheet. In a well functioning risk management system, banks broadly
position their balance sheet into Trading and Investment or Banking Books. While the assets in
the trading book are held primarily for generating profit on short-term differences in
prices/yields, the banking book comprises assets and liabilities, which are contracted basically on
account of relationship or for steady income and statutory obligations and are generally held till
maturity. Thus, while the price risk is the prime concern of banks in trading book, the earnings or
economic value changes are the main focus of banking book.
9.5 Trading Book
The top management of banks should lay down policies with regard to volume, maximum
maturity, holding period, duration, stop loss, defeasance period, rating standards, etc. for
classifying securities in the trading book. While the securities held in the trading book should
ideally be marked to market on a daily basis, the potential price risk to changes in market risk
factors should be estimated through internally developed Value at Risk (VaR) models. The VaR
method is employed to assess potential loss that could crystalise on trading position or portfolio
due to variations in market interest rates and prices, using a given confidence level, usually 95%
to 99%, within a defined period of time. The VaR method should incorporate the market factors
against which the market value of the trading position is exposed. The top management should
put in place bank-wide VaR exposure limits to the trading portfolio (including forex and gold
positions, derivative products, etc.) which is then disaggregated across different desks and
departments. The loss making tolerance level should also be stipulated to ensure that potential
impact on earnings is managed within acceptable limits. The potential loss in Present Value Basis
Points should be matched by the Middle Office on a daily basis vis-à-vis the prudential limits set
by the Board. The advantage of using VaR is that it is comparable across products, desks and
Departments and it can be validated through ‘back testing’. However, VaR models require the
use of extensive historical data to estimate future volatility. VaR model also may not give good
results in extreme volatile conditions or outlier events and stress test has to be employed to
complement VaR. The stress tests provide management a view on the potential impact of large
size market movements and also attempt to estimate the size of potential losses due to stress
events, which occur in the ’tails’ of the loss distribution. Banks may also undertake scenario
analysis with specific possible stress situations (recently experienced in some countries) by
linking hypothetical, simultaneous and related changes in multiple risk factors present in the
trading portfolio to determine the impact of moves on the rest of the portfolio. VaR models could
also be modified to reflect liquidity risk differences observed across assets over time.
International banks are now estimating Liquidity adjusted Value at Risk (LaVaR) by assuming
variable time horizons based on position size and relative turnover. In an environment where
VaR is difficult to estimate for lack of data, non-statistical concepts such as stop loss and
gross/net positions can be used.
9.6 Banking Book
The changes in market interest rates have earnings and economic value impacts on the banks’
banking book. Thus, given the complexity and range of balance sheet products, banks should
have IRR measurement systems that assess the effects of the rate changes on both earnings and
economic value. The variety of techniques ranges from simple maturity (fixed rate) and repricing
(floating rate) to static simulation, based on current on-and-off-balance sheet positions, to highly
sophisticated dynamic modelling techniques that incorporate assumptions on behavioural pattern
of assets, liabilities and off-balance sheet items and can easily capture the full range of exposures
against basis risk, embedded option risk, yield curve risk, etc.
9.7 Maturity Gap Analysis
9.7.1 The simplest analytical techniques for calculation of IRR exposure begins with maturity
Gap analysis that distributes interest rate sensitive assets, liabilities and off-balance sheet
positions into a certain number of pre-defined time-bands according to their maturity (fixed rate)
or time remaining for their next repricing (floating rate). Those assets and liabilities lacking
definite repricing intervals (savings bank, cash credit, overdraft, loans, export finance, refinance
from RBI etc.) or actual maturities vary from contractual maturities (embedded option in bonds
with put/call options, loans, cash credit/overdraft, time deposits, etc.) are assigned time-bands
according to the judgement, empirical studies and past experiences of banks.
9.7.2 A number of time bands can be used while constructing a gap report. Generally, most of the
banks focus their attention on near-term periods, viz. monthly, quarterly, half-yearly or one year.
It is very difficult to take a view on interest rate movements beyond a year. Banks with large
exposures in the short-term should test the sensitivity of their assets and liabilities even at shorter
intervals like overnight, 1-7 days, 8-14 days, etc.
9.7.3 In order to evaluate the earnings exposure, interest Rate Sensitive Assets (RSAs) in each
time band are netted with the interest Rate Sensitive Liabilities (RSLs) to produce a repricing
‘Gap’ for that time band. The positive Gap indicates that banks have more RSAs than RSLs. A
positive or asset sensitive Gap means that an increase in market interest rates could cause an
increase in NII. Conversely, a negative or liability sensitive Gap implies that the banks’ NII
could decline as a result of increase in market interest rates. The negative gap indicates that
banks have more RSLs than RSAs. The Gap is used as a measure of interest rate sensitivity. The
Positive or Negative Gap is multiplied by the assumed interest rate changes to derive the
Earnings at Risk (EaR). The EaR method facilitates to estimate how much the earnings might be
impacted by an adverse movement in interest rates. The changes in interest rate could be
estimated on the basis of past trends, forecasting of interest rates, etc. The banks should fix EaR
which could be based on last/current year’s income and a trigger point at which the line
management should adopt on-or off-balance sheet hedging strategies may be clearly defined.
9.7.4 The Gap calculations can be augmented by information on the average coupon on assets
and liabilities in each time band and the same could be used to calculate estimates of the level of
NII from positions maturing or due for repricing within a given time-band, which would then
provide a scale to assess the changes in income implied by the gap analysis.
9.7.5 The periodic gap analysis indicates the interest rate risk exposure of banks over distinct
maturities and suggests magnitude of portfolio changes necessary to alter the risk profile.
However, the Gap report quantifies only the time difference between repricing dates of assets
and liabilities but fails to measure the impact of basis and embedded option risks. The Gap report
also fails to measure the entire impact of a change in interest rate (Gap report assumes that all
assets and liabilities are matured or repriced simultaneously) within a given time-band and effect
of changes in interest rates on the economic or market value of assets, liabilities and offbalance
sheet position. It also does not take into account any differences in the timing of payments that
might occur as a result of changes in interest rate environment. Further, the assumption of
parallel shift in yield curves seldom happen in the financial market. The Gap report also fails to
capture variability in non-interest revenue and expenses, a potentially important source of risk to
current income.
9.7.6 In case banks could realistically estimate the magnitude of changes in market interest rates
of various assets and liabilities (basis risk) and their past behavioural pattern (embedded option
risk), they could standardise the gap by multiplying the individual assets and liabilities by how
much they will change for a given change in interest rate. Thus, one or several assumptions of
standardised gap seem more consistent with real world than the simple gap method. With the
Adjusted Gap, banks could realistically estimate the EaR.
9.8 Duration Gap Analysis
9.8.1 Matching the duration of assets and liabilities, instead of matching the maturity or repricing
dates is the most effective way to protect the economic values of banks from exposure to IRR
than the simple gap model. Duration gap model focuses on managing economic value of banks
by recognising the change in the market value of assets, liabilities and off-balance sheet (OBS)
items. When weighted assets and liabilities and OBS duration are matched, market interest rate
movements would have almost same impact on assets, liabilities and OBS, thereby protecting the
bank’s total equity or net worth. Duration is a measure of the percentage change in the economic
value of a position that will occur given a small change in the level of interest rates.
9.8.2 Measuring the duration gap is more complex than the simple gap model. For approximation
of duration of assets and liabilities, the simple gap schedule can be used by applying weights to
each time-band. The weights are based on estimates of the duration of assets and liabilities and
OBS that fall into each time band. The weighted duration of assets and liabilities and OBS
provide a rough estimation of the changes in banks’ economic value to a given change in market
interest rates. It is also possible to give different weights and interest rates to assets, liabilities
and OBS in different time buckets to capture differences in coupons and maturities and
volatilities in interest rates along the yield curve.
9.8.3 In a more scientific way, banks can precisely estimate the economic value changes to
market interest rates by calculating the duration of each asset, liability and OBS position and
weigh each of them to arrive at the weighted duration of assets, liabilities and OBS. Once the
weighted duration of assets and liabilities are estimated, the duration gap can be worked out with
the help of standard mathematical formulae. The Duration Gap measure can be used to estimate
the expected change in Market Value of Equity (MVE) for a given change in market interest rate.
9.8.4 The difference between duration of assets (DA) and liabilities (DL) is bank’s net duration.
If the net duration is positive (DA>DL), a decrease in market interest rates will increase the
market value of equity of the bank. When the duration gap is negative (DL> DA), the MVE
increases when the interest rate increases but decreases when the rate declines. Thus, the
Duration Gap shows the impact of the movements in market interest rates on the MVE through
influencing the market value of assets, liabilities and OBS.
9.8.5 The attraction of duration analysis is that it provides a comprehensive measure of IRR for
the total portfolio. The duration analysis also recognises the time value of money. Duration
measure is additive so that banks can match total assets and liabilities rather than matching
individual accounts. However, Duration Gap analysis assumes parallel shifts in yield curve. For
this reason, it fails to recognise basis risk.
9.9 Simulation
9.9.1 Many of the international banks are now using balance sheet simulation models to gauge
the effect of market interest rate variations on reported earnings/economic values over different
time zones. Simulation technique attempts to overcome the limitations of Gap and Duration
approaches by computer modelling the bank’s interest rate sensitivity. Such modelling involves
making assumptions about future path of interest rates, shape of yield curve, changes in business
activity, pricing and hedging strategies, etc. The simulation involves detailed assessment of the
potential effects of changes in interest rate on earnings and economic value. The simulation
techniques involve detailed analysis of various components of on-and off-balance sheet
positions. Simulations can also incorporate more varied and refined changes in the interest rate
environment, ranging from changes in the slope and shape of the yield curve and interest rate
scenario derived from Monte Carlo simulations.
9.9.2 The output of simulation can take a variety of forms, depending on users’ need. Simulation
can provide current and expected periodic gaps, duration gaps, balance sheet and income
statements, performance measures, budget and financial reports. The simulation model provides
an effective tool for understanding the risk exposure under variety of interest rate/balance sheet
scenarios. This technique also plays an integral-planning role in evaluating the effect of
alternative business strategies on risk exposures.
9.9.3 The simulation can be carried out under static and dynamic environment. While the current
on and off-balance sheet positions are evaluated under static environment, the dynamic
simulation builds in more detailed assumptions about the future course of interest rates and the
unexpected changes in bank’s business activity.
9.9.4 The usefulness of the simulation technique depends on the structure of the model, validity
of assumption, technology support and technical expertise of banks.
9.9.5 The application of various techniques depends to a large extent on the quality of data and
the degree of automated system of operations. Thus, banks may start with the gap or duration gap
or simulation techniques on the basis of availability of data, information technology and
technical expertise. In any case, as suggested by RBI in the guidelines on ALM System, banks
should start estimating the interest rate risk exposure with the help of Maturity Gap approach.
Once banks are comfortable with the Gap model, they can progressively graduate into the
sophisticated approaches.
9.10 Funds Transfer Pricing
9.10.1 The Transfer Pricing mechanism being followed by many banks does not support good
ALM Systems. Many international banks which have different products and operate in various
geographic markets have been using internal Funds Transfer Pricing (FTP). FTP is an internal
measurement designed to assess the financial impact of uses and sources of funds and can be
used to evaluate the profitability. It can also be used to isolate returns for various risks assumed
in the intermediation process. FTP also helps correctly identify the cost of opportunity value of
funds. Although banks have adopted various FTP frameworks and techniques, Matched Funds
Pricing (MFP) is the most efficient technique. Most of the international banks use MFP. The FTP
envisages assignment of specific assets and liabilities to various functional units (profit centres)
– lending, investment, deposit taking and funds management. Each unit attracts sources and uses
of funds. The lending, investment and deposit taking profit centres sell their liabilities to and
buys funds for financing their assets from the funds management profit centre at appropriate
transfer prices. The transfer prices are fixed on the basis of a single curve (MIBOR or derived
cash curve, etc) so that asset-liability transactions of identical attributes are assigned identical
transfer prices. Transfer prices could, however, vary according to maturity, purpose, terms and
other attributes.
9.10.2 The FTP provides for allocation of margin (franchise and credit spreads) to profit centres
on original transfer rates and any residual spread (mismatch spread) is credited to the funds
management profit centre. This spread is the result of accumulated mismatches. The margins of
various profit centres are:
Deposit profit centre:
Transfer Price (TP) on deposits - cost of deposits – deposit insurance- overheads.
Lending profit centre:
Loan yields + TP on deposits – TP on loan financing – cost of deposits – deposit insurance -
overheads – loan loss provisions.
Investment profit centre:
Security yields + TP on deposits – TP on security financing – cost of deposits – deposit
insurance - overheads – provisions for depreciation in investments and loan loss.
Funds Management profit centre:
TP on funds lent – TP on funds borrowed – Statutory Reserves cost – overheads. For illustration,
let us assume that a bank’s Deposit profit centre has raised a 3 month deposit @ 6.5% p.a. and
that the alternative funding cost i.e. MIBOR for 3 months and one year @ 8% and 10.5% p.a.,
respectively. Let us also assume that the bank’s Loan profit centre created a one year loan @
13.5% p.a. The franchise (liability), credit and mismatch spreads of bank is as under:
Profit Centres
Deposit Funds Loan
Total
Interest Income 8.0 10.5 13.5 13.5
Interest Expenditure 6.5 8.0 10.5 6.5
Margin 1.5 2.5 3.0 7.0
Loan Loss Provision (expected) - - 1.0 1.0
Deposit Insurance 0.1 - - 0.1
Reserve Cost (CRR/ SLR) - 1.0 - 1.0
Overheads 0.6 0.5 0.6 1.7
NII 0.8 1.0 1.4 3.2
Under the FTP mechanism, the profit centres (other than funds management) are precluded from
assuming any funding mismatches and thereby exposing them to market risk. The credit or
counterparty and price risks are, however, managed by these profit centres. The entire market
risks, i.e interest rate, liquidity and forex are assumed by the funds management profit centre.
9.10.3 The FTP allows lending and deposit raising profit centres determine their expenses and
price their products competitively. Lending profit centre which knows the carrying cost of the
loans needs to focus on to price only the spread necessary to compensate the perceived credit risk
and operating expenses. Thus, FTP system could effectively be used as a way to centralize the
bank’s overall market risk at one place and would support an effective ALM modeling system.
FTP also could be used to enhance corporate communication; greater line management control
and solid base for rewarding line management.
10. Foreign Exchange (Forex) Risk
10.1 The risk inherent in running open foreign exchange positions have been heightened in
recent years by the pronounced volatility in forex rates, thereby adding a new dimension to the
risk profile of banks’ balance sheets.
10.2 Forex risk is the risk that a bank may suffer losses as a result of adverse exchange rate
movements during a period in which it has an open position, either spot or forward, or a
combination of the two, in an individual foreign currency. The banks are also exposed to interest
rate risk, which arises from the maturity mismatching of foreign currency positions. Even in
cases where spot and forward positions in individual currencies are balanced, the maturity
pattern of forward transactions may produce mismatches. As a result, banks may suffer losses as
a result of changes in premia/discounts of the currencies concerned.
10.3 In the forex business, banks also face the risk of default of the counterparties or settlement
risk. While such type of risk crystallisation does not cause principal loss, banks may have to
undertake fresh transactions in the cash/spot market for replacing the failed transactions. Thus,
banks may incur replacement cost, which depends upon the currency rate movements. Banks
also face another risk called time-zone risk or Herstatt risk which arises out of time-lags in
settlement of one currency in one centre and the settlement of another currency in another
timezone. The forex transactions with counterparties from another country also trigger sovereign
or country risk.
10.4 Forex Risk Management Measures
1. Set appropriate limits – open positions and gaps.
2. Clear-cut and well-defined division of responsibility between front, middle and back offices.
The top management should also adopt the VaR approach to measure the risk associated with
exposures. Reserve Bank of India has recently introduced two statements viz. Maturity and
Position (MAP) and Interest Rate Sensitivity (SIR) for measurement of forex risk exposures.
Banks should use these statements for periodical monitoring of forex risk exposures.
11. Capital for Market Risk
11.1 The Basle Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS) had issued comprehensive
guidelines to provide an explicit capital cushion for the price risks to which banks are exposed,
particularly those arising from their trading activities. The banks have been given flexibility to
use in-house models based on VaR for measuring market risk as an alternative to a standardized
measurement framework suggested by Basle Committee. The internal models should, however,
comply with quantitative and qualitative criteria prescribed by Basle Committee.
11.2 Reserve Bank of India has accepted the general framework suggested by the Basle
Committee. RBI has also initiated various steps in moving towards prescribing capital for market
risk. As an initial step, a risk weight of 2.5% has been prescribed for investments in Government
and other approved securities, besides a risk weight each of 100% on the open position limits in
forex and gold. RBI has also prescribed detailed operating guidelines for Asset- Liability
Management System in banks. As the ability of banks to identify and measure market risk
improves, it would be necessary to assign explicit capital charge for market risk. In the
meanwhile, banks are advised to study the Basle Committee’s paper on ‘Overview of the
Amendment to the Capital Accord to Incorporate Market Risks’ – January 1996 (copy enclosed).
While the small banks operating predominantly in India could adopt the standardized
methodology, large banks and those banks operating in international markets should develop
expertise in evolving internal models for measurement of market risk.
11.3 The Basle Committee on Banking Supervision proposes to develop capital charge for
interest rate risk in the banking book as well for banks where the interest rate risks are
significantly above average (‘outliers’). The Committee is now exploring various methodologies
for identifying ‘outliers’ and how best to apply and calibrate a capital charge for interest rate risk
for banks. Once the Committee finalises the modalities, it may be necessary, at least for banks
operating in the international markets to comply with the explicit capital charge requirements for
interest rate risk in the banking book.
12. Operational Risk
12.1 Managing operational risk is becoming an important feature of sound risk management
practices in modern financial markets in the wake of phenomenal increase in the volume of
transactions, high degree of structural changes and complex support systems. The most important
type of operational risk involves breakdowns in internal controls and corporate governance. Such
breakdowns can lead to financial loss through error, fraud, or failure to perform in a timely
manner or cause the interest of the bank to be compromised.
12.2 Generally, operational risk is defined as any risk, which is not categoried as market or credit
risk, or the risk of loss arising from various types of human or technical error. It is also
synonymous with settlement or payments risk and business interruption, administrative and legal
risks. Operational risk has some form of link between credit and market risks. An operational
problem with a business transaction could trigger a credit or market risk.
12.3 Measurement
There is no uniformity of approach in measurement of operational risk in the banking system.
Besides, the existing methods are relatively simple and experimental, although some of the
international banks have made considerable progress in developing more advanced techniques
for allocating capital with regard to operational risk. Measuring operational risk requires both
estimating the probability of an operational loss event and the potential size of the loss. It relies
on risk factor that provides some indication of the likelihood of an operational loss event
occurring. The process of operational risk assessment needs to address the likelihood (or
frequency) of a particular operational risk occurring, the magnitude (or severity) of the effect of
the operational risk on business objectives and the options available to manage and initiate
actions to reduce/ mitigate operational risk. The set of risk factors that measure risk in each
business unit such as audit ratings, operational data such as volume, turnover and complexity and
data on quality of operations such as error rate or measure of business risks such as revenue
volatility, could be related to historical loss experience. Banks can also use different analytical or
judgmental techniques to arrive at an overall operational risk level. Some of the international
banks have already developed operational risk rating matrix, similar to bond credit rating. The
operational risk assessment should be bank-wide basis and it should be reviewed at regular
intervals. Banks, over a period, should develop internal systems to evaluate the risk profile and
assign economic capital within the RAROC framework. Indian banks have so far not evolved
any scientific methods for quantifying operational risk. In the absence any sophisticated models,
banks could evolve simple benchmark based on an aggregate measure of business activity such
as gross revenue, fee income, operating costs, managed assets or total assets adjusted for
off-balance sheet exposures or a combination of these variables.
12.4 Risk Monitoring
The operational risk monitoring system focuses, inter alia, on operational performance measures
such as volume, turnover, settlement facts, delays and errors. It could also be incumbent to
monitor operational loss directly with an analysis of each occurrence and description of the
nature and causes of the loss.
12.5 Control of Operational Risk
Internal controls and the internal audit are used as the primary means to mitigate operational risk.
Banks could also explore setting up operational risk limits, based on the measures of operational
risk. The contingent processing capabilities could also be used as a means to limit the adverse
impacts of operational risk. Insurance is also an important mitigator of some forms of operational
risk. Risk education for familiarising the complex operations at all levels of staff can also reduce
operational risk.
12.6 Policies and Procedures
Banks should have well defined policies on operational risk management. The policies and
procedures should be based on common elements across business lines or risks. The policy
should address product review process, involving business, risk management and internal control
functions.
12.7 Internal Control
12.7.1 One of the major tools for managing operational risk is the well-established internal
control system, which includes segregation of duties, clear management reporting lines and
adequate operating procedures. Most of the operational risk events are associated with weak
links in internal control systems or laxity in complying with the existing internal control
procedures.
12.7.2 The ideal method of identifying problem spots is the technique of self-assessment of
internal control environment. The self-assessment could be used to evaluate operational risk
alongwith internal/external audit reports/ratings or RBI inspection findings. Banks should
endeavour for detection of operational problem spots rather than their being pointed out by
supervisors/internal or external auditors.
12.7.3 Alongwith activating internal audit systems, the Audit Committees should play greater
role to ensure independent financial and internal control functions.
12.7.4 The Basle Committee on Banking Supervision proposes to develop an explicit capital
charge for operational risk.
13. Risk Aggregation and Capital Allocation
13.1 Most of internally active banks have developed internal processes and techniques to assess
and evaluate their own capital needs in the light of their risk profiles and business plans. Such
banks take into account both qualitative and quantitative factors to assess economic capital. The
Basle Committee now recognises that capital adequacy in relation to economic risk is a
necessary condition for the long-term soundness of banks. Thus, in addition to complying with
the established minimum regulatory capital requirements, banks should critically assess their
internal capital adequacy and future capital needs on the basis of risks assumed by individual
lines of business, product, etc. As a part of the process for evaluating internal capital adequacy, a
bank should be able to identify and evaluate its risks across all its activities to determine whether
its capital levels are appropriate.
13.2 Thus, at the bank’s Head Office level, aggregate risk exposure should receive increased
scrutiny. To do so, however, it requires the summation of the different types of risks.
Banks,across the world, use different ways to estimate the aggregate risk exposures. The most
commonly used approach is the Risk Adjusted Return on Capital (RAROC). The RAROC is
designed to allow all the business streams of a financial institution to be evaluated on an equal
footing. Each type of risks is measured to determine both the expected and unexpected losses
using VaR or worst-case type analytical model. Key to RAROC is the matching of revenues,
costs and risks on transaction or portfolio basis over a defined time period. This begins with a
clear differentiation between expected and unexpected losses. Expected losses are covered by
reserves and provisions and unexpected losses require capital allocation which is determined on
the principles of confidence levels, time horizon, diversification and correlation. In this
approach, risk is measured in terms of variability of income. Under this framework, the
frequency distribution of return, wherever possible is estimated and the Standard Deviation (SD)
of this distribution is also estimated. Capital is thereafter allocated to activities as a function of
this risk or volatility measure. Then, the risky position is required to carry an expected rate of
return on allocated capital, which compensates the bank for the associated incremental risk. By
dimensioning all risks in terms of loss distribution and allocating capital by the volatility of the
new activity, risk is aggregated and priced.
13.3 The second approach is similar to the RAROC, but depends less on capital allocation and
more on cash flows or variability in earnings. This is referred to as EaR, when employed to
analyse interest rate risk. Under this analytical framework also frequency distribution of returns
for any one type of risk can be estimated from historical data. Extreme outcome can be estimated
from the tail of the distribution. Either a worst case scenario could be used or Standard Deviation
1/2/2.69 could also be considered. Accordingly, each bank can restrict the maximum potential
loss to certain percentage of past/current income or market value. Thereafter, rather than moving
from volatility of value through capital, this approach goes directly to current earnings
implications from a risky position. This approach, however, is based on cash flows and ignores
the value changes in assets and liabilities due to changes in market interest rates. It also depends
upon a subjectively specified range of the risky environments to drive the worst case scenario.
13.4 Given the level of extant risk management practices, most of Indian banks may not be in a
position to adopt RAROC framework and allocate capital to various businesses units on the basis
of risk. However, at least, banks operating in international markets should develop, by March 31,
2001, suitable methodologies for estimating economic capital.
Guidelines for Asset Liability Management (ALM) System in Financial Institutions (FIs)
In the normal course, FIs are exposed to credit and market risks in view of the asset-liability
transformation. With liberalisation in Indian financial markets over the last few years and
growing integration of domestic markets with external markets, the risks, particularly the market
risks, associated with FIs’ operations have become complex and large, requiring strategic
management. FIs are operating in a fairly deregulated environment and are required to determine
interest rates on various products in their liabilities and assets portfolios, both in domestic as well
as foreign currencies, on a dynamic basis. Intense competition for business involving both the
assets and liabilities, together with increasing volatility in the domestic interest rates as also in
foreign exchange rates, has brought pressure on the management of FIs to maintain a good
balance amongst spreads, profitability and long-term viability.
These pressures call for structured and comprehensive measures for institutionalising an
integrated risk management system and not just ad hoc action. The FIs are exposed to several
major risks in the course of their business – generically classified as credit risk, market risk and
operational risk – which underlines the need for effective risk management systems in FIs. The
FIs need to address these risks in a structured manner by upgrading the quality of their risk
management and adopting more comprehensive ALM practices than has been done hitherto.
2. The envisaged ALM system seeks to introduce a formalised framework for management of
market risks through measuring, monitoring and managing liquidity, exchange rate and interest
rate risks of a FI that need to be closely integrated with the FIs’ business strategy. This note lays
down broad guidelines for FIs in respect of liquidity, exchange rate and interest rate risk
management systems which form part of the ALM function. The initial focus of the ALM
function would be to enforce the discipline of market risk management viz. managing business
after assessing the market risks involved. The objective of a good risk management systems
should be to evolve into a strategic tool for effective management of FIs.
3. The ALM process rests on three pillars:
ALM Information System
Management Information System
● Information availability, accuracy, adequacy and expediency
● ALM Organisation
● Structure and responsibilities
● Level of top management involvement
● ALM Process
● Risk parameters
● Risk identification
● Risk measurement
● Risk management
● Risk policies and tolerance levels.
4. ALM Information System
ALM has to be supported by a management philosophy which clearly specifies the risk policies
and tolerance limits. This framework needs to be built on sound methodology with necessary
supporting information system as the central element of the entire ALM exercise is the
availability of adequate and accurate information with expedience. Thus, information is the key
to the ALM process. There are various methods prevalent world-wide for measuring risks. These
range from the simple Gap Statement to extremely sophisticated and data intensive Risk
Adjusted Profitability Measurement methods. The present guidelines would require
comparatively simpler information system for generating liquidity gap and interest rate gap
reports.
5. ALM Organisation
5.1 Successful implementation of the risk management process would require strong
commitment on the part of the senior management in the FI, to integrate basic operations and
strategic decision making with risk management. The Board should have overall responsibility
for management of market risks and should decide the risk management policy of the FI and set
limits for liquidity, interest rate, exchange rate
and equity price risks.
5.2 The ALCO is a decision-making unit, consisting of the FI's senior management including
CEO, responsible for integrated balance sheet management from risk-return perspective
including the strategic management of interest rate and liquidity risks. While each FI will have to
decide the role of its ALCO, its powers and responsibilities as also the decisions to be taken by
it, its responsibilities would normally include:
● monitoring the market risk levels of the FI by ensuring adherence to the various risk-limits
set by the Board;
● articulating the current interest rate view and a view on future direction of interest rate
movements and base its decisions for future business strategy on this view as also on other
parameters considered relevant.
● deciding the business strategy of the FI, both - on the assets and liabilities sides, consistent
with the FI’s interest rate view, budget and pre-determined risk management objectives. This
would, in turn, include:
● determining the desired maturity profile and mix of the assets and liabilities;
● product pricing for both - assets as well as liabilities side;
● deciding the funding strategy i.e. the source and mix of liabilities or sale of assets; the
proportion of fixed vs floating rate funds, wholesale vs retail funds, money market vs capital
market funding, domestic vs foreign currency funding, etc.
● reviewing the results of and progress in implementation of the decisions made in the previous
meetings
5.3 The ALM Support Groups consisting of operating staff should be responsible for analysing,
monitoring and reporting the risk profiles to the ALCO. The staff should also prepare forecasts
(simulations) reflecting the impact of various possible changes in market conditions on the
balance sheet and recommend the action needed to adhere to FI's internal limits.
5.4 Composition of ALCO
The size (number of members) of ALCO would depend on the size of each institution, business
mix and organisational complexity. To ensure commitment of the Top Management and timely
response to market dynamics, the CEO/CMD/DMD or the ED should head the Committee.
Though the composition of ALCO could vary across the FIs as per their respective set up and
business profile, it would be useful to have the Chiefs of Investment, Credit, Resources
Management or Planning, Funds Management / Treasury (forex and domestic), International
Business and Economic Research as the members of the Committee. In addition, the Head of the
Technology Division should also be an invitee for building up of MIS and related
computerisation. Some FIs may even have Sub-committees and Support Groups.
5.5 Committee of Directors
The Management Committee of the Board or any other Specific Committee constituted by the
Board should oversee the implementation of the ALM system and review its functioning
periodically.
6. ALM Process
The scope of ALM function can be described as follows:
● Liquidity risk management
● Management of market risks
● Trading risk management
● Funding and capital planning
● Profit planning and growth projection
The guidelines contained in this note mainly address Liquidity and Interest Rate risks.
6.1 Liquidity Risk Management
Measuring and managing liquidity needs are vital for effective operation of FIs. By assuring a
FI's ability to meet its liabilities as they become due, liquidity management can reduce the
probability of an adverse situation developing. The importance of liquidity transcends individual
institutions, as liquidity shortfall in one institution can have repercussions on the entire system.
FIs’ management should measure not only the liquidity positions of FIs on an ongoing basis but
also examine how liquidity requirements are likely to evolve under different assumptions.
Experience shows that assets commonly considered to be liquid, such as Government securities
and other money market instruments, could also become illiquid when the market and players are
unidirectional. Therefore liquidity has to be tracked through maturity or cash flow mismatches.
For measuring and managing net funding requirements, the use of a maturity ladder and
calculation of cumulative surplus or deficit of funds at selected maturity dates is adopted as a
standard tool. The format of the Statement of Liquidity is furnished in Annexure I.
6.2 The Maturity Profile, as detailed in Appendix I, could be used for measuring the future cash
flows of FIs in different time buckets. The time buckets, may be distributed as under:
i) 1 to 14 days
ii) 15 to 28 days
iii) 29 days and upto 3 months
iv) Over 3 months and upto 6 months
v) Over 6 months and upto 1 year
vi) Over 1 year and upto 3 years
vii) Over 3 years and upto 5 years
viii) Over 5 years and upto 7 years
ix) Over 7 years andupto 10 years
x) Over 10 years.
6.3 The investments are assumed as illiquid due to lack of depth in the secondary market and are,
therefore, generally shown, as per their residual maturity, under respective time buckets.
However, some of the FIs may be maintaining securities in the ‘Trading Book’, which are kept
distinct from other investments made for retaining relationship with customers. Securities held in
the 'Trading Book’ should be subject to the following preconditions:
i) The composition and volume of the Trading Book should be clearly defined;
ii) Maximum maturity/duration of the trading portfolio should be restricted;
iii) The holding period of the trading securities should not exceed 90 days;
iv) Cut-loss limit(s) should be prescribed;
v) Product-wise defeasance periods (i.e. the time taken to liquidate the ‘position’ on the basis of
liquidity in the secondary market) should be prescribed;
vi) Such securities should be marked-to-market on a daily/weekly basis and the revaluation
gain/loss should be charged to the profit and loss account; etc.
FIs which maintain such ‘Trading Books’ consisting of securities that comply with the above
standards, are permitted to show the trading securities under 1-14 days, 15-28 days and 29-90
days buckets on the basis of the defeasance periods. The Board/ALCO of the banks should
approve the volume, composition, maximum maturity/duration, holding/defeasance period, cut
loss limits, etc., of the ‘Trading Book’. FIs, which are better equipped, will have the option of
evolving with the approval of the Board / ALCO, an integrated Value at Risk (VaR) limit for
their entire balance sheet including the “Banking Book” and the “Trading Book”, for the rupee as
well as foreign currency portfolio. A copy of the approved policy note in this regard, should be
forwarded to the Department of Banking Supervision, FID, RBI.
6.4 Within each time bucket there could be mismatches depending on cash inflows and outflows.
While the mismatches upto one year would be relevant since these provide early warning signals
of impending liquidity problems, the main focus should be on the short-term mismatches viz.,
1-14 days and 15-28 days. FIs however, are expected to monitor their cumulative mismatches
(running total) across all time buckets by establishing internal prudential limits with the approval
of the Board / ALCO. The negative gap during 1-14 days and 15-28 days time-buckets, in
normal course, should not exceed 10 per cent and 15 per cent respectively, of the cash outflows
in each time bucket. If a FI in view of its current assetliability profile and the consequential
structural mismatches needs higher tolerance level, it could operate with higher limit sanctioned
by its Board / ALCO giving specific reasons on the need for such higher limit. The discretion to
allow a higher tolerance level is intended for a temporary period, i.e. till March 31, 2001. While
determining the tolerance levels, the FIs may take into account all relevant factors based on their
asset-liability base, nature of business, future strategy, etc. The RBI is interested in ensuring that
the tolerance levels are determined keeping all necessary factors in view and further refined with
experience gained in Liquidity Management.
6.5 The Statement of Liquidity (Annexure I ) may be prepared by placing all cash inflows and
outflows in the maturity ladder according to the expected timing of cash flows. A maturing
liability will be a cash outflow while a maturing asset will be a cash inflow. It would also be
necessary to take into account the rupee inflows and outflows on account of forex operations.
Thus, the foreign currency resources raised abroad but swapped into rupees and deployed in
rupee assets, would be reflected in the rupee liquidity statement. Some of the FIs have the
practice of disbursing rupee loans to their exporter clients but denominating such loans in foreign
currency in their books which are extinguished by the export proceeds. Such foreign currency
denominated loans too would be a part of rupee liquidity statement since such loans are created
out of rupee resources. As regards the foreign currency loans granted out of foreign currency
resources on a back-to-back basis, a currency-wise liquidity statement for each of the foreign
currencies in which liabilities and assets have been created, will need to be prepared in
formats at Annexure I-A and Annexure II-A, which are similar to the formats prescribed for
rupee resources.
7. Currency Risk
7.1 Floating exchange rate arrangement has brought in its wake pronounced volatility adding a
new dimension to the risk profile of FIs’ balance sheets. The increased capital flows across free
economies following deregulation have contributed to increase in the volume of transactions.
Large cross border flows together with the volatility has rendered the FIs' balance sheets
vulnerable to exchange rate movements.
7.2 Dealing in different currencies brings opportunities as also risks. If the liabilities in one
currency exceed the level of assets in the same currency, then the currency mismatch can add
value or erode value depending upon the currency movements. Mismatched currency position,
besides exposing the balance sheet to movements in exchange rate, also exposes it to country risk
and settlement risk. FIs undertake operations in foreign exchange such as borrowings and
making loans in foreign currency, which exposes them to currency or exchange rate risk. The
simplest way to avoid currency risk is to ensure that mismatches, if any, are reduced to zero or
near zero. However, irrespective of the strategies adopted, it may not be possible to eliminate
currency mismatches altogether.
7.3 At present, only five FIs (viz. EXIM Bank, ICICI, IDBI, IFCI and IIBI) have been granted by
RBI (ECD) restricted authorisation to deal in foreign exchange under FERA 1973 while other
FIs are not authorised to deal in foreign exchange. The FIs are, therefore, unlike banks, are not
subject to the full rigour of the reporting requirements under Exchange Control regulations.
Hence, the MAP and SIR statements prescribed for banks vide AD (MA Series) circular no. 52
dated 27 December 1997 issued by RBI (ECD), are not applicable to FIs. In order, however, to
capture the liquidity and interest rate risk inherent in the foreign currency portfolio of the FIs, it
would be necessary to compile, on an ongoing basis, currency-wise Statement of Liquidity and
IRS Statement, separately for each of the currencies in which the FIs have an exposure. These
statements should be compiled in the formats prescribed at
Annexure I-A and Annexure II-A – which are similar to the formats prescribed for the rupee
resources, at Annexure I and Annexure II to these guidelines.
8. Interest Rate Risk (IRR)
8.1 Interest rate risk is the risk where changes in market interest rates might adversely affect a
FI's financial condition. The immediate impact of changes in interest rates is on FI's earnings (i.e.
reported profits) by changing its Net Interest Income (NII). A long-term impact of changing
interest rates is on FI's Market Value of Equity (MVE) or Net Worth as the economic value of
bank’s assets, liabilities and off-balance sheet positions get affected due to variation in market
interest rates. The interest rate risk when viewed from these two perspectives is known as
‘earnings perspective’ and ‘economic value’ perspective, respectively. The risk from the earnings
perspective can be measured as changes in the Net Interest Income (NII) or Net Interest Margin
(NIM). There are many analytical techniques for measurement and management of Interest Rate
Risk. In the context of poor MIS, slow pace of computerisation in FIs, the traditional Gap
analysis is considered to be a suitable method to measure the Interest Rate Risk in the initial
phase of the ALM system. However, the FIs, which are better equipped, would have the option
of deploying advanced IRR management techniques with the approval of their Board / ALCO, in
addition to the Gap Analysis prescribed under the guidelines. It is the intention of RBI to move
over to the modern techniques of Interest Rate Risk measurement like Duration Gap Analysis,
Simulation and Value at Risk over time when FIs acquire sufficient expertise and sophistication
in acquiring and handling MIS. The Gap or Mismatch risk can be measured by calculating Gaps
over different time intervals as at a given date. Gap analysis measures mismatches between rate
sensitive liabilities and rate sensitive assets (including off-balance sheet positions). An asset or
liability is normally classified as rate sensitive if:
i) within the time interval under consideration, there is a cash flow;
ii) the interest rate resets/reprices contractually during the interval;
iii) it is contractually pre-payable or withdrawable before the stated maturities;
iv) It is dependent on the changes in the Bank Rate by RBI.
8.2 The Gap Report should be generated by grouping rate sensitive liabilities, assets and
off-balance sheet positions into time buckets according to residual maturity or next re-pricing
period, whichever is earlier. All investments, advances, deposits, borrowings, purchased funds,
etc. that mature/re-price within a specified timeframe are interest rate sensitive. Similarly, any
principal repayment of loan is also rate sensitive if the FI expects to receive it within the time
horizon. This includes final principal repayment and interim instalments. Certain assets and
liabilities carry floating rates of interest that vary with a reference rate and hence, these items get
re-priced at pre-determined intervals. Such assets and liabilities are rate sensitive at the time of
re-pricing. While the interest rates on term deposits and bonds are generally fixed during their
currency, the interest rates on advances could be re-priced any number of occasions, on the
pre-determined reset / re-pricing dates and the new rate would normally correspond to the
changes in PLR.
The interest rate gaps may be identified in the following time buckets:
i) 1-28 days
ii) 29 days and upto 3 months
iii) Over 3 months and upto 6 months
iv) Over 6 months and upto 1 year
v) Over 1 year and upto 3 years
vi) Over 3 years and upto 5 years
vii) Over 5 years and upto 7 years
viii) Over 7 years and upto 10 years
ix) Over 10 years
x) Non-sensitive
The various items of rate sensitive assets and liabilities and off-balance sheet items may be
classified into various time-buckets, as explained in Appendix - II and the Reporting Format for
interest rate sensitive assets and liabilities is given in Annexure II.
8.3 The Gap is the difference between Rate Sensitive Assets (RSA) and Rate Sensitive Liabilities
(RSL) for each time bucket. The positive Gap indicates that it has more RSAs than RSLs
whereas the negative Gap indicates that it has more RSLs. The Gap reports indicate whether the
institution is in a position to benefit from rising interest rates by having a positive Gap (RSA >
RSL) or whether it is in a position to benefit from declining interest rates by a negative Gap
(RSL > RSA). The Gap can, therefore, be used as a measure of interest rate sensitivity.
8.4 Each FI should set prudential limits on interest rate gaps in various time buckets with the
approval of the Board/ALCO. Such prudential limits should have a relationship with the Total
Assets , Earning Assets or Equity. In addition to the interest rate gap limits, the FIs which are
better equipped would have the option of setting the prudential limits in terms of Earnings at
Risk (EaR) or Net Interest Margin (NIM) based on their views on interest rate movements with
the approval of the Board/ALCO.
9. General
9.1 The classification of various components of assets and liabilities into different time buckets
for preparation of Gap reports (Liquidity and Interest Rate Sensitivity) as indicated in
Appendices I & II is the benchmark. FIs which are better equipped to reasonably estimate the
behavioural pattern, embedded options, rolls-in and rolls-out, etc of various components of assets
and liabilities on the basis of past data / empirical studies could classify them in the appropriate
time buckets, subject to approval from the ALCO / Board. A copy of the note approved by the
ALCO / Board may be sent to the Department of Banking Supervision, Financial Institutions
Division.
9.2 The impact of embedded options (i.e. the customers exercising their options for premature
closure of term deposits, premature encashment of bonds and pre-payment of loans and
advances) on the liquidity and interest rate risks profile of FIs and the magnitude of embedded
option risk during the periods of volatility in market interest rates, is quite substantial. FIs should
therefore evolve suitable mechanism, supported by empirical studies and behavioural analysis, to
estimate the future behaviour of assets, liabilities and off-balance sheet items to changes in
market variables and estimate the impact of embedded options. In the absence of adequate
historical database, the entire amount payable under the embedded options should be slotted as
per the residual period to the earliest exercise date.
9.3 A scientifically evolved internal transfer pricing model by assigning values on the basis of
current market rates to funds provided and funds used is an important component for effective
implementation of ALM System. The transfer price mechanism can enhance the management of
margin i.e. lending or credit spread, the funding or liability spread and mismatch spread. It also
helps centralising interest rate risk at one place which facilitate effective control and
management of interest rate risk. A well defined transfer pricing system also provide a rational
framework for pricing of assets and liabilities.
CAPITAL FUNDS & CAPITAL REQUIREMENTS
General Guidelines
1 General
Capital adequacy standards for standalone Primary Dealers (PDs) in Government Securities
(G-Sec) market have been in vogue since December 2000. The guidelines were revised on
January 07, 2004, keeping in view the market developments, experience gained over time and
introduction of new products like exchange traded derivatives. The present circular has been
updated with the guidelines on capital funds and capital requirements issued since then.
2 Capital Funds
2.1 Capital funds include Tier-I and II capital.
2.2 Tier-I Capital
Tier-I capital means paid-up capital, statutory reserves and other disclosed free reserves.
Investment in subsidiaries (where applicable), intangible assets, losses in current accounting
period, deferred tax asset and losses brought forward from previous accounting periods will be
deducted from the Tier-I capital.
In case any PD is having substantial interest/exposure (as defined for NBFCs) by way of loans
and advances not related to business relationship in other Group companies, such amounts will
be deducted from its Tier-I capital.
2.3 Tier-II Capital
Tier-II capital includes the following:
(i) Undisclosed reserves and cumulative preference shares1 (other than those which are
compulsorily convertible into equity). Cumulative preferential shares should be fully paid-up and
should not contain clauses which permit redemption by the holder.
(ii) Revaluation reserves, discounted at a rate of fifty five percent.
(iii) General provisions and loss reserves (to the extent these are not attributable to actual
diminution in value or identifiable potential loss in any specific asset and are available to meet
unexpected losses), up to a maximum of 1.25 percent of total risk weighted assets.
(iv) Hybrid debt capital instruments, which combine certain characteristics of equity and debt.
(v) Subordinated Debt (SD):
The instrument should be fully paid-up, unsecured, subordinate to the claims of other creditors,
free of restrictive clauses, and should not be redeemable at the initiative of the holder or without
the consent of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI).
SD instruments with an initial maturity of less than 5 years or with a remaining maturity of one
year or less should not be included as part of Tier-II capital.
SD instruments eligible to be reckoned as Tier-II capital will be limited to 50 percent of Tier-I
capital.
The SD instruments may be subjected to progressive discount at the rates shown below:
Residual Maturity of Instruments
Rate of Discount (%)
Less than one year 100
One year and more but less than two years 80
Two years and more but less than three years60
Three years and more but less than four years 40
Four years and more but less than five years 20
2.4 Guidelines on SD Bonds (Tier-II Capital)
The amount to be raised may be decided by the Board of Directors of the PD. The PDs may fix
coupon rates as decided by their Board. The instruments should be 'plain vanilla' with no special
features like options, etc. The debt securities should carry a credit rating from a Credit Rating
Agency registered with the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI). The issue of SD
instruments should comply with the guidelines issued by SEBI vide their circular
SEBI/MRD/SE/AT/36/2003/30/09 dated September 30, 2003 (ref: www.sebi.gov.in/circulars), as
amended from time to time, wherever applicable. In case of unlisted issues of SD, the disclosure
requirements as prescribed by the SEBI for listed companies in terms of the above guidelines
should be complied with. Necessary permission from the Foreign Exchange Department of the
RBI should be obtained for issuing the instruments to Non-Resident Indians/Foreign Institutional
Investors (FIIs). PDs should comply with the terms and conditions, if any, prescribed by SEBI /
other regulatory authorities with regard to issue of the instruments.
Investments by PDs in SD of other PDs/banks will be assigned 100% risk weight for capital
adequacy purpose. Further, the PD’s aggregate investments in Tier-II bonds issued by other PDs,
banks and financial institutions should be restricted to 10 percent of the investing PD's total
capital funds. The capital funds for this purpose will be the same as those reckoned for the
purpose of capital adequacy.
The PDs should submit a report to the Chief General Manager, Department of Non-Banking
Regulation (DNBR), RBI, , giving details of the capital raised, such as, amount raised, maturity
of the instrument, rate of interest together with a copy of the offer document, soon after the issue
is completed.
2.5 Minimum CRAR ratio
PDs are required to maintain a minimum Capital to Risk-Weighted Assets Ratio (CRAR) of 15
percent on an ongoing basis.
3 Measurement of Risk Weighted Assets
The details of credit risk weights for various on-balance sheet and off-balance sheet items and
methodology of computing the risk weighted assets for the credit risk are listed in Annex A. The
procedure for calculating capital charge for market risk is detailed in Annex B.
4. Capital Adequacy requirements
4.1 The capital charge for credit risk and market risk as indicated in Annex A and Annex B, need
to be maintained at all times.
4.2 In calculating eligible capital, it will be necessary first to calculate the PD’s minimum capital
requirement for credit risk, and thereafter its market risk requirement, to establish how much
Tier-I and Tier-II capital is available to support market risk. Of the 15% capital charge for credit
risk, at least 50% should be met by Tier-I capital, that is, the total of Tier-II capital, if any, should
not exceed one hundred per cent of Tier-I capital, at any point of time, for meeting the capital
charge for credit risk.
4.3 Subordinated debt as Tier-II capital should not exceed 50 per cent of Tier-I capital.
4.4 The total of Tier-II capital should not exceed 100% of Tier-I capital.
4.5 Eligible capital will be the sum of the whole of the PD’s Tier-I capital, plus all of its Tier-II
capital under the limits imposed, as summarized above.
4.6 The overall capital adequacy ratio will be calculated by establishing an explicit numerical
link between the credit risk and the market risk factors, by multiplying the market risk capital
charge with 6.67 i.e. the reciprocal of the minimum credit risk capital charge of 15 per cent.
4.7 The resultant figure is added to the sum of risk weighted assets worked out for credit risk
purpose. The numerator for calculating the overall ratio will be the PD’s total capital funds
(Tier-I and Tier-II capital, after applicable deductions, if any). The calculation of capital charge is
illustrated in PDR III format, enclosed as Annex C.
5 Regulatory reporting of Capital adequacy
All PDs should report the position of their capital adequacy in PDR III return (Annex C) on a
quarterly basis. Apart from the Appendices I to V which are to be submitted along with PDR III
return, PDs should also take into consideration the criteria for use of internal model to measure
market risk capital charge (Annex D) along with the "Back Testing" mechanism (Annex E).
6 Diversification of PD Activities
6.1 The guidelines on diversification of activities by stand-alone PDs have been issued vide
circular IDMD.PDRS.26/03.64.00/2006-07 dated July 4, 2006 and detailed in the Master
Circular on Prudential Guidelines for Primary Dealers dated July 1, 2015.
6.2 The capital charge for market risk {Value-at-Risk (VaR) calculated at 99 per cent confidence
level, 15-day holding period, with multiplier of 3.3} for the activities defined below should not
be more than 20 per cent of the Net Owned Fund2 (NOF) as per the last audited balance sheet:
Investment / trading in equity and equity derivatives
Investment in units of equity oriented mutual funds
Underwriting public issues of equity
6.3 PDs may calculate the capital charge for market risk on the stock positions/ underlying stock
positions /units of equity oriented mutual funds using Internal Models (VaR based) as per the
guidelines prescribed in Appendix III of Annex C. As regards credit risk arising out of exposure
in equity, equity derivatives and equity oriented mutual funds, PDs may calculate the capital
charge as per the guidelines prescribed in Annex A.
7 Risk reporting of derivative business
In order to capture interest rate risk arising out of Rupee interest rate derivative business, all PDs
are advised to report the Rupee interest rate derivative transactions, as per the format enclosed in
Annex F, to the Chief General Manager, IDMD, RBI, Central Office, Mumbai-400001, as on last
working day of every month.
Annex B
(See paras 3 and 4.1 of the main guidelines)
MEASUREMENT OF MARKET RISK
Market risk may be defined as the risk of loss arising from movements in market prices or rates
away from the rates or prices set out in a transaction or agreement. The objective in introducing
the capital adequacy for market risk is to provide an explicit capital cushion for the price risk to
which the PDs are exposed to in their portfolio.
2. The capital charge for market risks should be worked out by the standardised approach and the
internal risk management framework based Value at Risk (VaR) model. The capital charge for
market risk to be provided by PDs would be higher of the two requirements. However, where
price data is not available for specific category of assets, PDs may follow the standardised
approach for computation of market risk. In such a situation, PDs should disclose to RBI, details
of such assets and ensure that consistency of approach is followed. PDs should obtain RBI’s
permission before excluding any category of asset for calculations of market risk. PDs would
normally consider the instruments of the nature of fixed deposits, commercial bills etc., for this
purpose. Such items will be held in the books till maturity and any diminution in the value will
have to be provided for in the books.
Note: In case of underwriting commitments, following points should be adhered to:
In case of devolvement of underwriting commitment for G-Sec, 100% of the devolved amount
would qualify for the measurement of market risk.
In case of underwriting under merchant banking issues (other than G-Sec), where price has been
committed/frozen at the time of underwriting, the commitment is to be treated as a contingent
liability and 50% of the commitment should be included in the position for market risk.
However, 100% of devolved position should be subjected to market risk measurement.
3. The methodology for working out the capital charges for market risk on the portfolio is as
below:
A. Standardized Approach
Capital charge will be the measure of risk arrived at in terms of paras A1 – A3 below, summed
arithmetically.
A1. For Fixed Income Instruments
Duration method would continue to apply as hitherto. Under this, the price sensitivity of all
interest rate positions viz., Dated securities, Treasury bills, Commercial papers,
PSU/FI/Corporate Bonds, Special Bonds, Mutual Fund units and derivative instruments like IRS,
FRA, IRF etc., including underwriting commitments/devolvement and other contingent liabilities
having interest rate/equity risk will be captured.
In duration method, the capital charge is the sum of four components namely:
a) the net short or long position in the whole trading book;
b) a small proportion of the matched positions in each time-band (the “vertical disallowance’’);
c) a larger proportion of the matched positions across different time-bands (the “horizontal
disallowance’’) ;and
d) a net charge for positions in options, where appropriate.
Note 1: Since short position in India is allowed only in derivatives and G-Sec, netting as
indicated at (a) and the system of `disallowances’ as at (b) and (c) above are applicable currently
only to the PDs entering into FRAs / IRSs / exchange traded derivatives and G-Sec.
However, under the duration method, PDs with the necessary capability may, with RBI’s
permission use a more accurate method of measuring all of their general market risks by
calculating the price sensitivity of each position separately. PDs must select and use the method
on a consistent basis and the system adopted will be subjected to monitoring by the RBI. The
mechanics of this method are as follow:
first calculate the price sensitivity of all instruments in terms of a change in interest rates
between 0.6 and 1.0 percentage points depending on the duration of the instrument (as per Table
1 given below );
slot the resulting sensitivity measures into a duration-based ladder with the thirteen time-bands
set out in Table 1;
subject the lower of the long and short positions in each time-band to a 5% capital charge
towards vertical disallowance designed to capture basis risk;
carry forward the net positions in each time-band for horizontal offsetting across the zones
subject to the disallowances set out in Table 2.
Note 2: Points (iii) and (iv) above are applicable only where opposite positions exist as explained
at Note 1 above.
Table 1
Duration time-bands and assumed changes in yield (%)
Zone 1
0 to 1 month 1.00
1 to 3 months 1.00
3 to 6 months 1.00
6 to 12 months1.00
Zone 2
1 to 2 years 0.95
2 to 3 years 0.90
3 to 4 years 0.85
Zone 3
4 to 5 years 0.85
5 to 7 years 0.80
7 to 10 years 0.75
10 to 15 years 0.70
15 to 20 years 0.65
Over 20 years 0.60
Table 2
Horizontal disallowance
Zones Time-band Within the zone Between adjacent zones Between zones 1 and
3
Zone 1 0 – month 40% 40% 100%
1 – 3 months
3 – 6 months
6 – 12 months
Zone 2 1 – 2 years 30%
2 – 3 years
3 – 4 years
Zone 3 4 – 5 years 30%
5 – 7 years
7 – 10 years
10 – 15 years
15 – 20 years
Over 20 years
The gross positions in each time-band will be subject to risk weighting as per the assumed
change in yield set out in Table 1, with no further offsets.
A1.1 Capital charge for interest rate derivatives
The measurement system should include all interest rate derivatives and off balance-sheet
instruments in the trading book which react to changes in interest rates, (e.g. FRAs, other
forward contracts, bond futures, interest rate positions).
A1.2 Calculation of positions
Derivatives should be converted into positions in the relevant underlying and subjected to market
risk charges as described above. In order to calculate the market risk as per the standardized
approach described above, the amounts reported should be the market value of the principal
amount of the underlying or of the notional underlying.
A1.3 Futures and Forward Contracts (including FRAs)
These instruments are treated as a combination of a long and a short position in a notional
government security. The maturity of a future contract or an FRA will be the period until
delivery or exercise of the contract, plus - where applicable - the life of the underlying
instrument. For example, a long position in a June three-month IRF taken in April is to be
reported as a long position in a government security with a maturity of five months and a short
position in a government security with a maturity of two months. Where a range of deliverable
instruments may be delivered to fulfill the contract, the PD has flexibility to elect which
deliverable security goes into the maturity or duration ladder but should take account of any
conversion factor defined by the exchange. In the case of a future on a corporate bond index,
positions will be included at the market value of the notional underlying portfolio of securities.
A1.4 Swaps
Swaps will be treated as two notional positions in G-Sec with relevant maturities. For example,
an IRS under which a PD is receiving floating rate interest and paying fixed will be treated as a
long position in a floating rate instrument of maturity equivalent to the period until the next
interest fixing and a short position in a fixed-rate instrument of maturity equivalent to the
residual life of the swap. For swaps that pay or receive a fixed or floating interest rate against
some other reference price, e.g. a stock index, the interest rate component should be slotted into
the appropriate re-pricing maturity category, with the equity component being included in the
equity framework.
A1.5 Calculation of capital charges
Allowable offsetting of matched positions - PDs may exclude from the interest rate maturity
framework altogether (long and short positions, both actual and notional) in identical instruments
with exactly the same issuer, coupon and maturity. A matched position in a future or forward and
its corresponding underlying may also be fully offset, and thus excluded from the calculation.
When the future or the forward comprises a range of deliverable instruments, offsetting of
positions in the future or forward contract and its underlying is only permissible in cases where
there is a readily identifiable underlying security which is most profitable for the trader with a
short position to deliver. The leg representing the time to expiry of the future should, however, be
taken into account. The price of this security, sometimes called the "cheapest-to-deliver", and the
price of the future or forward contract should in such cases move in close alignment.
In addition, opposite positions in the same category of instruments can in certain circumstances
be regarded as matched and allowed to offset fully. To qualify for this treatment the positions
must relate to the same underlying instruments and be of the same nominal value. In addition:
(i) For futures: offsetting positions in the notional or underlying instruments to which the futures
contract relates must be for identical products and mature within seven days of each other;
(ii) For swaps and FRAs: the reference rate (for floating rate positions) must be identical and the
coupon closely matched (i.e. within 15 basis points); and
(iii) For swaps, FRAs and forwards: the next interest fixing date or, for fixed coupon positions or
forwards, the residual maturity must correspond within the following limits:
less than one month hence: same day;
between one month and one year hence: within seven days;
over one year hence: within thirty days.
PDs with large swap books may use alternative formulae for these swaps to calculate the
positions to be included in the duration ladder. One method would be to first convert the
payments required by the swap into their present values. For that purpose, each payment should
be discounted using zero coupon yields, and a single net figure for the present value of the cash
flows entered into the appropriate time-band using procedures that apply to zero (or low) coupon
bonds; these figures should be slotted into the general market risk framework as set out earlier.
An alternative method would be to calculate the sensitivity of the net present value implied by
the change in yield used in the duration method and allocate these sensitivities into the
time-bands set out in Table 1. Other methods which produce similar results could also be used.
Such alternative treatments will, however, only be allowed if:
the supervisory authority is fully satisfied with the accuracy of the systems being used;
the positions calculated fully reflect the sensitivity of the cash flows to interest rate changes and
are entered into the appropriate time-bands;
General market risk applies to positions in all derivative products in the same manner as for cash
positions, subject only to an exemption for fully or very closely-matched positions in identical
instruments as defined in above paragraphs. The various categories of instruments should be
slotted into the maturity ladder and treated according to the rules identified earlier.
A2 Capital charge for equity positions8
A2.1 Equity positions
This section sets out a minimum capital standard to cover the risk of holding or taking positions
in equities by the PDs. It applies to long and short positions in all instruments that exhibit market
behavior similar to equities, but not to non-convertible preference shares (which will be covered
by the interest rate risk requirements). Long and short positions in the same issue may be
reported on a net basis. The instruments covered include equity shares, convertible securities that
behave like equities, i.e., units of Mutual Funds and commitments to buy or sell equities. The
equity or equity like positions including those arrived at in relation to equity /index derivatives as
described in following sections may be included in the duration ladder below one month.
A2.2 Equity derivatives
Equity derivatives and off balance-sheet positions which are affected by changes in equity prices
should be included in the measurement system. This includes futures and swaps on both
individual equities and on stock indices. The derivatives are to be converted into positions in the
relevant underlying.
A2.3 Calculation of positions
In order to calculate the market risk as per the standardized approach for credit and market risk,
positions in derivatives should be converted into notional equity positions:
● futures and forward contracts relating to individual equities should in principle be reported at
current market prices;
● futures relating to stock indices should be reported as the marked-to-market value of the
notional underlying equity portfolio;
● equity swaps are to be treated as two notional positions
A3 Capital Charge for Foreign Exchange (FE) Position (if permitted):
PDs normally would not be dealing in FE transactions. However, as they have been permitted to
raise resources under FCNR (B) loan route, subject to prescribed guidelines, they may end up
holding open FE positions. Such open positions in equivalent rupees arrived at by marking to
market at FEDAI rates will be subject to a flat market risk charge of 15 per cent.
B. Internal risk management framework based method
The PDs should calculate the capital requirement based on their internal risk management
framework based VaR model for market risk, as per the following minimum parameters:
(a) VaR must be computed on a daily basis at a 99th percentile, one-tailed confidence interval.
(b) An instantaneous price shock equivalent to a 15-day movement in prices is to be used, i.e. the
minimum "holding period" will be fifteen trading days.
(c) Interest rate sensitivity of the entire portfolio should be captured on an integrated basis by
including all fixed income securities like G-Sec, Corporate/PSU bonds, CPs and derivatives like
IRS, FRAs, IRFs, etc., based on the mapping of the cash flows to work out the portfolio VaR.
Wherever data for calculating volatilities is not available, PDs may calculate the volatilities of
such instruments using the G-Sec yield curve with appropriate spread. However, the details of
such instruments and the spreads applied have to be reported and consistency of methodology
should be ensured.
(d) Instruments which are part of trading book, but found difficult to be subjected to
measurement of market risk may be applied a flat market risk measure of 15 per cent. These
include units of Mutual Funds, unquoted equity, etc., and should be added arithmetically to the
measure obtained under VaR in respect of other instruments.
(e) Underwriting commitments as explained at the beginning of the Annex should also be
mapped into the VaR framework for risk measurement purposes.
(f) The unhedged FE position arising out of the foreign currency borrowings under FCNR (B)
loans scheme would carry a market risk of 15 per cent as hitherto and the measure obtained will
be added arithmetically to the VaR measure obtained for other instruments.
(g) The choice of historical observation period (sample period) for calculating VaR will be
constrained to a minimum length of one year and not less than 250 trading days. For PDs who
use a weighting scheme or other methods for the historical observation period, the "effective"
observation period must be at least one year (that is, the weighted average time lag of the
individual observations cannot be less than 6 months).
(h) The capital requirement will be the higher of:
the previous day's VaR number measured according to the above parameters specified in this
section; and
the average of the daily VaR measures on each of the preceding sixty business days, multiplied
by a multiplication factor prescribed by the RBI (3.3 presently).
(i) No particular type of model is prescribed. So long as the model used captures all the material
risks run by the PDs, they will be free to use models, based for example, on variance-covariance
matrices, historical simulations, Monte Carlo simulations or Extreme Value Theory (EVT), etc.
(j) The criteria for use of internal model to measure market risk capital charge are given in
Annex D.
Annex D
(See para 5)
Criteria for use of internal model to measure market risk capital charge
A General criteria
1. In order that the internal model is effective, it should be ensured that :
the PD's risk management system is conceptually sound and its implementation is certified by
external auditors;
the PD has sufficient number of staff skilled in the use of sophisticated models not only in the
trading area but also in the risk control, audit, and back office areas;
the PD has a proven track record of reasonable accuracy in measuring risk (back testing);
the PD regularly conducts stress tests along the lines discussed in Para B.4 below
2. In addition to these general criteria, PDs using internal models for capital purposes will be
subject to the requirements detailed in Sections B.1 to B.5 below.
B.1 Qualitative standards
The extent to which PDs meet the qualitative criteria contained herein will influence the level at
which the RBI will ultimately set the multiplication factor referred to in Section B3 (b) below,
for the PDs. Only those PDs, whose models are in full compliance with the qualitative criteria,
will be eligible for use of the minimum multiplication factor. The qualitative criteria include:
a) A PD should have an independent risk control unit that is responsible for the design and
implementation of the system. The unit should produce and analyze daily reports on the output of
the PD's risk measurement model, including an evaluation of the relationship between measures
of risk exposure and trading limits. This unit must be independent from trading desks and should
report directly to senior management.
b) The unit should conduct a regular back testing programme, i.e. an ex-post comparison of the
risk measure generated by the model against actual daily changes in portfolio value over longer
periods of time, as well as hypothetical changes based on static positions.
c) Board and senior management should be actively involved in the risk control process and must
regard risk control as an essential aspect of the business to which significant resources need to be
devoted. The daily reports prepared by the independent risk control unit must be reviewed by a
level of management with sufficient seniority and authority to enforce both reductions in
positions taken by individual traders and reductions in the PD’s overall risk exposure.
d) The PD’s internal risk measurement model must be closely integrated into the day-to-day risk
management process of the institution. Its output should accordingly be an integral part of the
process of planning, monitoring and controlling the PD’s market risk profile.
e) The risk measurement system should be used in conjunction with internal trading and
exposure limits. Trading limits should be related to the PD’s risk measurement model in a
manner that is consistent over time and that it is well-understood by both traders and senior
management.
f) A routine and rigorous programme of stress testing should be in place as a supplement to the
risk analysis based on the day-to-day output of the PD’s risk measurement model. The results of
stress testing should be reviewed periodically by senior management and reflected in the policies
and limits set by management and the Board. Where stress tests reveal particular vulnerability to
a given set of circumstances, prompt steps should be taken to manage those risks appropriately.
g) PDs should have a routine in place for ensuring compliance with a documented set of internal
policies, controls and procedures concerning the operation of the risk measurement system. The
risk measurement system must be well documented, for example, through a manual that
describes the basic principles of the risk management system and that provides an explanation of
the empirical techniques used to measure market risk.
h) An independent review of the risk measurement system should be carried out regularly in the
PD’s own internal auditing process. This review should include the activities of the trading desks
as well as the risk control unit. A review of the overall risk management process should take
place at regular intervals (ideally not less than once a year) and should specifically address, at a
minimum:
● the adequacy of the documentation of the risk management system and process;
● the organization of the risk control unit ;
● the integration of market risk measures into daily risk management;
● the approval process for risk pricing models and valuation systems used by front andback-office personnel;
● the validation of any significant change in the risk measurement process;
● the scope of market risks captured by the risk measurement model;
● the integrity of the management information system;
● the accuracy and completeness of position data;
● the verification of the consistency, timeliness and reliability of data sources used to runinternal models, including the independence of such data sources;
● the accuracy and appropriateness of volatility and other assumptions;
● the accuracy of valuation and risk transformation calculations;
● the verification of the model's accuracy through frequent back testing as described in (b)above and in the Annex E.
i) The integrity and implementation of the risk management system in accordance with the
system policies/procedures laid down by the Board should be certified by the external auditors as
outlined at Para B.5.
j) A copy of the back testing result should be furnished to RBI.
B.2 Specification of market risk factors
An important part of a PD’s internal market risk measurement system is the specification of an
appropriate set of market risk factors, i.e. the market rates and prices that affect the value of the
PD’s trading positions. The risk factors contained in a market risk measurement system should
be sufficient to capture the risks inherent in the entire portfolio of the PD.
The following guidelines should be kept in view:
a) For interest rates, there must be a set of risk factors corresponding to interest rates in each
portfolio in which the PD has interest-rate-sensitive on-or-off-balance sheet positions. The risk
measurement system should model the yield curve using one of a number of generally accepted
approaches, for example, by estimating forward rates of zero coupon yields. The yield curve
should be divided into various maturity segments in order to capture variation in the volatility of
rates along the yield curve. For material exposures to interest rate movements in the major
instruments, PDs must model the yield curve using all material risk factors, driven by the nature
of the PD’s trading strategies. For instance, a PD with a portfolio of various types of securities
across many points of the yield curve and engaged in complex trading strategies would require a
greater number of risk factors to capture interest rate risk accurately. The risk measurement
system must incorporate separate risk factors to capture spread risk (e.g. between bonds and
swaps), i.e. risk arising from less than perfectly correlated movements between Government and
other fixed-income instruments.
b) For equity prices, at a minimum, there should be a risk factor that is designed to capture
market-wide movements in equity prices (e.g. a market index). Position in individual securities
or in sector indices could be expressed in "beta-equivalents" relative to this market-wide index.
More detailed approach would be to have risk factors corresponding to various sectors of the
equity market (for instance, industry sectors or cyclical, etc.), or the most extensive approach,
wherein, risk factors corresponding to the volatility of individual equity issues are assessed. The
method could be decided by the PDs corresponding to their exposure to the equity market and
concentrations.
B.3 Quantitative standards
a) PDs should update their data sets at least once every three months and should also reassess
them whenever market prices are subject to material changes. RBI may also require PDs to
calculate their VaR using a shorter observation period if, in its judgement, this is justified by a
significant upsurge in price volatility.
b) The multiplication factor will be set by RBI on the basis of the assessment of the quality of the
PD’s risk management system, as also the back testing framework and results, subject to an
absolute minimum of 3. The document `Back testing’ mechanism to be used in conjunction with
the internal risk based model for market risk capital charge’, enclosed as Annex E, presents in
detail the back testing mechanism.
PDs will have flexibility in devising the precise nature of their models, but the parameters
indicated at B.1, B.2 and B.3 above are the minimum which the PDs need to fulfill for
acceptance of the model for the purpose of calculating their capital charge. RBI will have the
discretion to apply stricter standards.
B.4 Stress testing
1. PDs that use the internal models approach for meeting market risk capital requirements must
have in place a rigorous and comprehensive stress testing program to identify events or
influences that could greatly impact them.
2. Stress scenarios of PDs need to cover a range of factors than can create extraordinary losses or
gains in trading portfolios, or make the control of risk in those portfolios very difficult. These
factors include low-probability events in all major types of risks, including the various
components of market, credit and operational risks.
3. Stress test of PDs should be both of a quantitative and qualitative nature, incorporating both
market risk and liquidity aspects of market disturbances. Quantitative criteria should identify
plausible stress scenarios to which PDs could be exposed. Qualitative criteria should emphasize
that two major goals of stress testing are to evaluate the capacity of the PD’s capital to absorb
potential large losses and to identify steps the PD can take to reduce its risk and conserve capital.
This assessment is integral to setting and evaluating the PD’s management strategy and the
results of stress testing should be regularly communicated to senior management and,
periodically, to the Board of the PD.
4. PDs should combine the standard stress scenarios with stress tests developed by PDs
themselves to reflect their specific risk characteristics. Specifically, RBI may ask PDs to provide
information on stress testing in three broad areas as discussed below.
(a) Scenarios requiring no simulations by a PD
PDs should have information on the largest losses experienced during the reporting period
available for RBI’s review. This loss information could be compared to the level of capital that
results from a PD’s internal measurement system. For example, it could provide RBI with a
picture of how many days of peak day losses would have been covered by a given VaR estimate.
(b) Scenarios requiring a simulation by a PD
PDs should subject their portfolios to a series of simulated stress scenarios and provide RBI with
the results. These scenarios could include testing the current portfolio against past periods of
significant disturbance, incorporating both the large price movements and the sharp reduction in
liquidity associated with these events. A second type of scenario would evaluate the sensitivity
of the PD’s market risk exposure to changes in the assumptions about volatilities and
correlations. Applying this test would require an evaluation of the historical range of variation
for volatilities and correlations and evaluation of the PD’s current positions against the extreme
values of the historical range. Due consideration should be given to the sharp variation that at
times has occurred in a matter of days in periods of significant market disturbance.
(c) Scenarios developed by a PD to capture the specific characteristics of its portfolio
In addition to the scenarios prescribed by RBI under (a) and (b) above, a PD should also develop
its own stress tests which it identified as most adverse based on the characteristics of its
portfolio. PDs should provide RBI with a description of the methodology used to identify and
carry out stress testing under the scenarios, as well as with a description of the results derived
from these scenarios.
The results should be reviewed periodically by senior management and should be reflected in the
policies and limits set by management and the Board. Moreover, if the testing reveals particular
vulnerability to a given set of circumstances, the RBI would expect the PD to take prompt steps
to manage those risks appropriately (e.g. by reducing the size of its exposures).
B.5 External Validation
PDs should get the internal model validated by external auditors, including at a minimum, the
following:
(a) Verifying that the internal validation processes described in B.1(h) are operating in a
satisfactory manner.
(b) Ensuring that the formulae used in the calculation process as well as for the pricing of
complex instruments are validated by a qualified unit, which in all cases should be independent
from the trading desks.
(c) Checking that the structure of internal model is adequate with respect to the PD’s activities
and geographical coverage.
(d) Checking the results of the PD’s back testing of its internal measurement system (i.e.
comparing VaR estimates with actual profits and losses) to ensure that the model provides a
reliable measure of potential losses over time. PDs should make the results as well as the
underlying inputs to their VaR calculations available to the external auditors.
(e) Making sure that data flows and processes associated with the risk measurement system are
transparent and accessible. In particular, it is necessary that auditors are in a position to have
easy access, wherever they judge it necessary and under appropriate procedures, to the model’s
specifications and parameters.
Annex E
(See para 5)
BACK TESTING
“Back Testing” mechanism to be used in conjunction with the internal risk
based model for market risk capital charge
The following are the parameters of the back testing framework for incorporating into the
internal models approach to market risk capital requirements.
2. PDs that have adopted an internal model-based approach to market risk measurement are
required routinely to compare daily profits and losses with model-generated risk measures to
gauge the quality and accuracy of their risk measurement systems. This process is known as
"back testing". The objective is the comparison of actual trading results with model-generated
risk measures. If the comparison uncovers sufficient differences, there may be problems, either
with the model or with the assumptions of the back test.
3. Description of the back testing framework
3.1 The back testing program consists of a periodic comparison of the PD’s daily VaR measures
with the subsequent daily profit or loss (“trading outcome”). Comparing the risk measures with
the trading outcomes simply means that the PD counts the number of times that the risk measures
were larger than the trading outcome. The fraction actually covered can then be compared with
the intended level of coverage to gauge the performance of the PD’s risk model.
3.2 Under the VaR framework, the risk measure is an estimate of the amount that could be lost on
a set of positions due to general market movements over a given holding period, measured using
a specified confidence level. The back tests are applied to compare whether the observed
percentage of outcomes covered by the risk measure is consistent with a 99% level of
confidence. That is, back tests attempt to determine if a PD’s 99th percentile risk measures truly
cover 99% of the firm’s trading outcomes.
3.3 Significant changes in portfolio composition relative to the initial positions are common at
end of trading day. For this reason, the back testing framework suggested involves the use of risk
measures calibrated to a one-day holding period. A more sophisticated approach would involve a
detailed attribution of income by source, including fees, spreads, market movements, and
intra-day trading results.
3.4 PDs should perform back tests based on the hypothetical changes in portfolio value that
would occur; presuming end-of-day positions remain unchanged.
3.5 Back testing using actual daily profits and losses is also a useful exercise since it can uncover
cases where the risk measures are not accurately capturing trading volatility in spite of being
calculated with integrity.
3.6 PDs should perform back tests using both hypothetical and actual trading outcomes. The
steps involve calculation of the number of times the trading outcomes are not covered by the risk
measures (“exceptions”). For example, over 200 trading days, a 99% daily risk measure should
cover, on average, 198 of the 200 trading outcomes, leaving two exceptions.
3.7 The back testing framework to be applied entails a formal testing and accounting of
exceptions on a quarterly basis using the most recent twelve months as on date. PDs may
however base the back test on as many observations as possible. Nevertheless, the most recent
250 trading days' observations should be used for the purposes of back testing. The usage of the
number of exceptions as the primary reference point in the back testing process is the simplicity
and straightforwardness of this approach.
3.8 Normally, in view of the 99% confidence level adopted, 2.5 exceptions may be acceptable in
the observation period of 250 days. However, in Indian context, a level of 4 exceptions would be
acceptable to consider the model as accurate. Exceptions above this, would invite supervisory
actions. Depending on the number of exceptions generated by the PD’s back testing model, both
actual as well as hypothetical, RBI may initiate a dialogue regarding the PD’s model, enhance
the multiplication factor, may impose an increase in the capital requirement or disallow use of
the model as indicated above depending on the number of exceptions.
3.9 In case large number of exceptions is being noticed, it may be useful for the PDs to
dis-aggregate their activities into sub sectors in order to identify the large exceptions on their
own. The reasons could be of the following categories:
a) Basic integrity of the model
(i) The PD’s systems simply are not capturing the risk of the positions themselves (e.g. the
positions of an office are being reported incorrectly).
(ii) Model volatilities and/or correlations were calculated incorrectly (e.g. the computer is
dividing by 250 when it should be dividing by 225).
b) Model’s accuracy could be improved
The risk measurement model is not assessing the risk of some instruments with sufficient
precision (e.g. too few maturity buckets or an omitted spread).
c) Bad luck or markets moved in fashion unanticipated by the model
(i) Random chance (a very low probability event).
(ii) Markets moved by more than the likely prediction of the model (i.e. volatility was
significantly higher than expected).
(iii) Markets did not move together as expected (i.e. correlations were significantly different than
what was assumed by the model).
d) Intra-day trading
There was a large (and money-losing) change in the PD’s position or some other income event
between the end of the first day (when the risk estimate was calculated) and the end of the
second day (when trading results were tabulated).