Introducing the IANEX project

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THE IANEX PROJECT Cristina Madrid- Lopez Center for industrial Ecology, Yale University. GAS

Transcript of Introducing the IANEX project

THE IANEX PROJECT

Cristina Madrid-Lopez

Center for industrial Ecology, Yale University.

GAS

SHALE GAS, A LOVE AND HATE STORY…

Earthquakes

Potential damage to water

The next financial bubble

Democracy issue

0

10000000

20000000

30000000

40000000Gas Resources in US

Imports Wells Shale

Increased US Energy Security

Reduced Gas Prices

Local Rural Development

YES!

NO!

DON’T KNOW!

THE AIM…

Part

icip

ato

ry V

alid

ati

on

2015-2016 (Yale-Pennsylvania)

EU FrackingScenario

s

PolandUK

Spain

2017 (UAB-EU)

IANEX project: Integrated Analysis of the Nexus: The case of

Hydraulic Fracturing

Decision Support Tool

Improving Nexus Governance

Case Studies in the US and the EU

US FrackingBiophysic

al Diagnosis

WaterEnergyClimateGeology

US Fracking

Social Diagnosis

EconomyHealthLaborCulture(Geo)Politics

THE CHALLENGES I

n-1Focal Level (n)

n+1

n+2

PA (State)

Water Availabilit

yClimate

Exploitation

Global market

US

Climatic System

Ecosystem Exploitation

CENTURIES

106 Ha

DECADES103 Ha

YEARS1 Ha

FrackingAnalysis

Complexity Theory (Autopoiesis, Emergence, Holarchies) (Funds) Industrial Ecology (Flow Accounting, Life Cycle Analysis) (Flows)

SocioEcosystem

METABOLISM

Flow/FundRelation

Global/National

Local/State

THE CHALLENGES II

Pennsylvania (s)Oil and Gas (s-

1)

US (s+1)

Rest (s-1)Fracking (s-

2)

Ecosystem (e)

Earth (e+1)

Watershed (e-1)

Exploitation Site (e-2)

The SocioEcosys

tem

n=e

n=s

Data Availability Contrasting

Metrics

A MULTI-LEVEL DESCRIPTION

Pennsylvania (s)

Oil and Gas (s-1)

US (s+1)

HH (s-1)

Contribution to employment

Fracking (s-2)

15Mcf

$ 0.6 bill$xx/hour

$ 3

4 b

ill

$

665

bill

Ecosystem (e)

Watershed Status Water 62

MillGa

0246

Wealth Distri-bution

Gas

300 B

cf

Xxx Invest

ment

Extraction Appropriation

Earthquake

THE CHALLENGES III

Postnormal Science

Fracking Companies

Complex System to Environmental Policy

Identification and Trust Quality of Research Relevant? Capacity Building

Funtowicz & Ravetz (2003)

High

High

Low System Uncertainty

Decision

Stake

Applied

Science

Consultancy

Post-Normal Science

SecondaryCompanies

Land Owners

Investors

Researchers

NGOsInternational Trade Agents Workers

Decision makers Gas End

Users

A preliminary Actor map of fracking

in PA

THE PARTICIPATORY PROCESS

Method of Analysis

Improvement

YES!

NO!

Validation

Results

WOULD YOU LIKE TO PARTICIPATE?… What I am looking for

Collaboration• Build the agent network• Data access and quantitative

analyses• Effectiveness: Joint

Fieldwork/Workshops

Review• Being part of the agent network• Joint Publications

[email protected]@yale.edu