International Insurance-Reinsurance Forum 2014 ` Workshop...

Reduced risk of water – related disasters to protect vulnerable groups and minimize economic losses

Sorin Rindasu

Director Emergency Situation Department“Apele Romane” National Administration

[email protected]

International Insurance-Reinsurance Forum 2014

` Workshop - NAT CAT Risks

http://www.fiar.ro/ro/

http://www.fiar.ro/ru/

CONTENT:

1. Short list of recent extreme flood events in Romania-facts;

2. ”Actors” in flood risk management;

3. Flood risk and flood risk reduction in climate change context;-flood hazard &risk evaluation in Ro;-ongoing projects, further needs and follow up

4. Water field needs-Conclusion

5. Relevant statistics & Questions





41,1 16,5 52

586

37,4221,8

425,3292,7235,2258,8333,295,8

362,3

6000

1446

636

1219

156

900

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

Damage (10^6 RON)

BUCHAREST

SATU-

MARE MARAMURES

SUCEAVA

BIHORIASI

BISTRITA-

NASAUDSALAJ

CLUJ

NEAMT

HARGHITA

MURES

VASLUIBACAU

ARAD

ALBA

HUNEDOARA

COVASNA

SIBIUTIMIS VRANCEA GALATI

BRASOV

BUZAUCARAS

-SEVERIN

ARGESVALCEA TULCEAPRAHOVA

BRAILADAMBOVITAGORJ

MEHEDINTI

OLT

IALOMITA

CONSTANTA

ILFOV

DOLJCALARASI

GIURGIUTELEORMAN

BOTOSANI

Very high vulnerability

Average vulnerability

Vulnerability degree at the counties level

in the period 1992-2004 and flooding events 2005,2006,2008, 2010

High vulnerability

Less vulnerability

Dm – Average Damages (Bil. ROL)

Dtot- Total Damages (Bil. ROL)Strong affected areas in 2005

10 %

Dm=50-70

Dtot=455-750

33 %

Dm>70

Dtot>750

29 %

Dm<30Dtot<250

28 %

Dm=30-50Dtot=250-450

Strong affected areas in 2006



1. Short list of recent extreme flood events in Romania; facts;





2. ”Actors” in flood risk management;GENERAL INSPECTORATE FOR

EMERGENCY SITUATIONS

National Operation Centre for Emergency

Situations

MECC-Operative Centre with

permanent activity for

emergency situations

NHI -WM

THE ROMANIAN

WATERS NATIONAL

ADMINISTRATION

OPERATIVE CENTRE

NATIONAL COMMITTEE FOR


MINISTERIAL COMMITTEE FOR


POTENTIAL POLLUTION UNITSWATER DIRECTORATES

BASIN COMMITTEES

FOR EMERGENCY

SITUATIONS

OPERATIVE CENTRES

NMACOUNTY INSPECTORATES FOR EMERGENCY

SITUATIONS

County Operation Centre for Emergency

Situations

COUNTY WATER MANAGEMENT UNITS

OPERATIVE CENTRES

WATER USERS

OTHER HYDRAULIC WORKS

OWNERS

COUNTY COMMITTEES FOR


Technical Support Groups for

emergency situations management

induced by floods, dangerous

meteorological situations, accidents

at hydraulic structures and

accidental pollutions

LOCAL COMMITTEES

FOR EMERGENCY

SITUATIONS

OPERATIVE CENTRES

ENVIRONMENTAL

PROTECTION AGENCIES

OTHER MINISTERIAL

COMMITTEESOTHER OPERATIVE CENTRES

RMC

ENVIRONMENTAL

PROTECTION REGIONAL

AGENCIES

ENVIRONMENTAL

PROTECTION NATIONAL

AGENCIES





-78,905 KM WATERCOURSES

-122 NATURAL LAKES

-307 WATER STORAGES

WITH 7.2 BIL. CU.M.

VOLUME

-9365 KM DIKES FOR

CITIES, VILLAGES, LANDS

PROTECTION

-6600 KM RIVER BANK

STABILISATION WORKS

-1100 KM CANALS

-59 PUMPS STATIONS

-275 reservoirswith hydropower plant

-Pi 6374 MW

-11,135 kilometers irrigation

-irrigation channels 39,738

km

- Pipelines buried 3835 km

- 1256 Pumping Stations

-Combating soil erosion

57,529 kilometers

-1135 kilometers dykes on

the Danube

-1155 kilometers dikes in the

interior rivers

-103 Dams

The total area of national

forest 6.4 million ha

- Public ownership of the

state 4.2 million ha (65.6%)

Lands covered with forest 6.2

million ha

- Public ownership of the

state 4.1 million ha (66.1%)

NA Romanian Water

ANARHidroelectrica

NA of Land Reclamation

ANIFRomsilva

Ministry of Environment and Climate Change

Ministry of Economy Ministry of AgricultureMinistry of Environment and Climate Change

County Councils: 41 counties , 2.686 commune including 13.285 villages

MAIN OWNERS OF HYDRAULIC STRUCTURES – FLOOD “ACTORS”

2. ”Actors” in flood risk management;





Hazard (H): occurrence of a natural danger (event), including the

probability of this event;

Exposure (E): the assets amount and number of inhabitants in the

affected area;

Vulnerability (V): the lack or loss of resistance to destructive forces or

damages.

RISK=HxExV

According to the European flood risk mapping document prepared by JRC under the Weather Driven Natural Hazards Program, flood risk is defined as the product of three components:

3. Flood risk and flood risk reduction in climate change context;

1. Evaluate the flood hazards in different scenario (probabilities) including climate change impact-Subsequent measures for reducing hazard, mainly structural (dam, polders, dikes, wetlands), need to assure maintenance, rehabilitation of hydraulic infrastructure and operative measures for flood mitigation using reservoirs capacities, dike surveillance etc;2. Evaluate flood exposure-Need to increase data quality, reliability, reporting and methodology for damage assessment;-Need to create detailed geo-database at national level; improvement of statistic data at village level related with population, assets, etc.3. Evaluate vulnerability- Subsequent measures for reducing vulnerability, mainly non-structural: need to improving monitoring and forecast systems, assessment of technological associated risk (dam/dike faillure scenario), increase public awareness, increase reaction capacity in case of emergency situation, land use improvement, etc






Type of measures for achieving objectives






1.National Strategy for Flood Risk Management:

general framework for objectives and measures

River Basin Development Plan

(STRATEGIC PLAN for Water

Management issues including

FLOODS)

Floods Defense Plans at the locality, county and river basin district level

-adress to operative measures, before, during

and after floods

National Plan for Floods Protection, Prevention and Mitigation

(PROJECT having as result hazard and risk maps and FLOOD

MEASURES PLANNING)






a) Study areas delineationb) LIDAR scanning and/or FLI-MAP and aero-photogrametryc) Topographical surveyd) Data processing for DTMe) Hydrological analysis;f) Hydraulic modeling 1D or 2Dg) Hazard mappingh) Identification of different scenarios of measures to reduce the floods riski) Strategic Environmental Assessment

National Plan for Floods Protection, Prevention and Mitigation

Objectives (main results):

flood hazard maps, as a component of the flood risk management plans, required in fact, as well, by the FloodDirective.proposal of certain measures / development scenarios (structural and non-structural measures)






HAZARD (10,100,1000 YRS)

INDEX LEVEL OF MAGNITUDE DEPTH

H1 LOW <0.5 m

H2 MEDIUM 0.5-1.5m

H2 HIGH >1.5m

HAZARD ASSESSMENT

RISKVULNERABILITY

V1 V2 V3LOW MEDIUM HIGH

HA

ZAR

D H1 LOW R1 R1 R2H2 MEDIUM R1 R2 R3H3 HIGH R2 R3 R3

RISK ASSESSMENT

RISK ASSESSMENT AND MITIGATION SCHEME-QUALITATIVE APROACH





3. Flood risk and flood risk reduction in climate change context;Low Medium High

<0.5 0,5-1.5 >1.5

CLC

CODE LABEL3 First_DESC

111

Continuous urban

fabric Spatiu urban continuu 2 3 3

112

Discontinuous

urban fabric Spatiu urban discontinuu si spatiu rural 2 3 3

121

Industrial or

commercial units Unitati industriale sau comerciale 3 3 3

122

Road and rail

networks and

associated land

Retea de cai de comunicatie si terenuri

asociate acestora

Autostrazi, EU, National,

Gari 3 3 3

Judetean 2 3 3

Comunal, altele 2 2 3

123 Port areas Zone portuare 1 2 3

124 Airports Aeroporturi 3 3 3

131

Mineral extraction

sites Zone de extractie a minereurilor 2 3 3

132 Dump sites Gropi de gunoi 1 2 3

133 Construction sites Zone in constructie 2 3 3

141 Green urban areas Zone urbane verzi 0 1 1

142

Sport and leisure

facilities Zone de agrement 0 1 2

211

Non-irrigated arable

land Terenuri arabile neirigate 0 1 1

213 Rice fields Terenuri cultivate cu orez 0 1 2

221 Vineyards Vii 1 1 2

222

Fruit trees and berry

plantations Livezi 0 1 2

231 Pastures Pasuni secundare 0 0 0

242

Complex cultivation

patterns Zone de culturi complexe 0 1 1

243

Land principally

occupied by

agriculture, with

significant areas of

natural vegetation

Terenuri predominant agricole in amestec cu

vegetatie naturala 0 1 1

311 Broad-leaved forest Paduri de foioase 0 0 1

312 Coniferous forest Paduri de conifere 0 0 1

313 Mixed forest Paduri mixte 0 0 1

321 Natural grasslands Pajisti naturale 0 0 0

322

Moors and

heathland Vegetatie subalpina 0 0 0

324

Transitional

woodland-shrub

Zone de tranzitie cu arbusti (in general

defrisate) 0 0 0

331

Beaches, dunes,

sands Plaje, dune, renii 0 0 0

332 Bare rocks Stancarii 0 0 0

333

Sparsely vegetated

areas Areale cu vegetatie rara 0 0 0

411 Inland marshes Mlastini 0 0 0

412 Peat bogs Turbarii 0 0 0

421 Salt marshes Mlastini sarate 0 0 0

511 Water courses Cursuri de apa 0 0 0

512 Water bodies Acumulari de apa 0 0 0

521 Coastal lagoons Lagune 0 0 0

523 Sea and ocean Mari 0 0 0





Protection

measuresAwareness

measures

Prepared-

ness

measures

Recovery

measuresPrevention

measures1. Prevention

2. Protection

3. Awareness

4. Preparedness

5. Recovery

Measures related to appropriate objectives and

5 fields of actions:

Catalogue of measures

FLOOD RISK MANAGEMENT PLANS AT RIVER BASIN LEVEL – 2015

-Flood hazard and risk maps and associated statistics-Based on existing and reliable data-Based on investments plans, River Basin Management Plans and River Basin Arrangement Plans





Climate change impact:

-Increasing of Flash flood threat!

Needs:

-Studies for determination of vulnerable areas in case of Flash Flood; resilience evaluation

-Implementation of dedicated software for flash flood warning(Flash Flood Guidance)

-Assure dedicated human resources for calibration, data interpretation and warning dissemination

Flash Floods is the main cause for fatalities in

flood events





CLIMATE CHANGE: NEEDS FOR DAM/DIKE BREAK UPDATED SCENARIO

Thanks to HKV _NL





WATMAN Investment Structure – Investment Object 11.1.Automatic stations with sensors for increasing the safety degree of dams

1.2. Automatic sensor stations for measuring snow layer and gauging stations for inflow discharges, intakes and diversions

1.3. Software and hardware systems for the control and coordination of hydro technical construction exploitation

1.4. Spare parts equipments

Automated stations for monitoring structure safety parameters for 72 Dams category A & B, provided with anti-theft monitoring system

Automated stations for monitoring structure safety parameters for 23 Dams category C;

149 Sensor stations for measuring solid and liquid precipitations

43 Gauging stations along tributaries

37 Discharge measuring stations on diversions

48 Automated Sensor stations at important intakes

Software and Hardware at dams (Level 4)

Software and Hardware at sub-basinal level –SGA Dispatch (Level 3)

Software and Hardware

at Basin level –ABA (Level 2)

Software and Hardware at National level –ANAR (Level 1)

Automated stations spare parts

Remotely monitor 24 hours/ day the behavior of 95 major dams throughout the country administrated by ANAR, for flood prevention and minimization of flood associated risks

Up-to-date automated infrastructure for relevant field data collection for flood management

Real time processing and nationwide transmission to decision makers for flood prevention and risks mitigation

Ensure fast replacement and ongoing operational equipment

Investm

ents

Results





2.1.1 Coordinating Centers

2.1.2 Rapid Response Centers

2.2 Automated sensor stations for water quality monitoring

2.3 Spare parts equipments

15 Nominated Coordinating Centersnationwide in current institution office location

14 of which are endowed with specialized software and hardware for the coordination of the hydro-technical constructions exploitation

Provided specialized personnel for operations

12 Rapid Response Centers with specialized intervention equipment/ endowments against floods

29 Rapid Response Centers with specialized intervention equipment/ endowments against floods and associated pollution accidents

55 Automated stations for measuring quality parameters, located in major pollution locations nationwide

Spare equipment

Implement an adequate coordinating infrastructure at national level for flood management by enhancing decentralized decision and centralized information

Implementing an adequate infrastructure at national level for emergency intervention for mitigating flood effects and pollution associated with floods nationwide

Automatedinfrastructure for waterquality data collection inmajor pollutionlocations nationwide,real time processingand transmission todecision makers foremergency intervention

Ensure fast replacementof main parts andongoing operationalequipment

WATMAN Investment Structure – Investment Object 2

Investm

ents

Results





WATMAN-Historic and Current Status

2006 WATMAN Project Feasibility Study

Notice 73/16.06.2006 EFM Approval for WATMAN Project – Informational System

2006 Pilot Basin – Arges

2007 Romania adheres to the EU

1990 - 2000 ANAR’s first steps towards the recognized needed modernization of national flood monitoring system and hydro- meteorological prognosis

2003 SIMIN (National Integrated Meteorological System) project implemented

2005 DESWAT Project started, for improving the hydrological prognosis, currently 80% implemented

2005 National Flood Risk Management Strategy

2010 National Medium and Long term Strategy for Flood Risk Management

2010-2011 Re-actualization of the WATMAN Project FS and project’s division in 2 Phases

27.04.2011 Application Form initially submitted under SOP Environment, Axis 5

Notice 163/23.11.2013 ANAR Approval for WATMAN Project, Phase I

BIG DIFFERENCE BEETWEN NEED IDENTIFICATION AND MEASURE IMPLEMENTATION





Multirisk analysis

Rorisk Project – implementation under National Emergency SituationInspectorate

Task 1 - Analysis of the legal framework, regulatory and institutional frameworkgoverning disaster risk management in Romania and in particular the riskassessment to identify gaps and overlaps, and to develop proposals forimprovement based.

Task 2 - Developing and implementing integration measures

Task 3 - Setting up the database elements risk and response, WebGIS applicationdevelopment and GIS portal

Activity 4 - Description and assessment of risk scenarios representative of each ofthe following nine risks: floods, droughts, forest fires, earthquakes, massmovements (landslides, collapses and landslides), Seveso accident, hazardoustransportation accidents, nuclear accidents epidemics / zoonoses, based onintegration methodology





Water field needs - Conclusions :

- Second cycle of FD CE 60/2007, needs studies for climate change impact evaluation, flash flood, underground and marine flood additional studies;

- Climate change impact, increase flash flood, threat : measures for implementation local warning systems, short intervention, evacuation;

- Dam/Dike failure scenario in climate change context; dike reinforcement/replacement tacking into account climate change impact over flows;

- Assure proper maintenance works, human resources, buffer budget for floods intervention and emergency works;

- Improve statistics, geo-database;- Improve monitoring system and flood forecast;- Improve Emergency Inspectorate capacity for intervention;- Reducing timeline between planning and implementation;- Use mass-media for large scale education programe;- Improve land-use, better planning for development at local level

tacking into account flood hazard;





Study on Economic and Social Benefits of Environmental Protection and Resource Efficiency Related to the European Semester -DG Environment - February 2014

Facts for Romania 2002-2012:

-183 fatalities – biggest no. in UE-68000 evacuated people – third place in UE-107.95 mil Euro from EU Solidarity Fund – four place in UE-Total cost of flood impact 6300 mil. Euro – seven place UE-43,900 houses damaged – biggest no. in UE

IMPORTANCE OF FLOOD RISK MANAGEMENT !





Extrap. Cost of

Damage (mil EURO) POPULATION GDP/INHAB ($) GDP/INHAB (EURO) Cost/Pop % GDP inhab

1 GERMANY 34000 82210000 44000 30985.9 413.57 1.33

2 POLAND 24000 38116000 13300 9366.2 629.66 6.72

3 UK 23000 61113000 39600 27887.3 376.35 1.35

4 ITALY 11000 59338000 33600 23662.0 185.38 0.78

5 FRANCE 8700 65073000 41700 29366.2 133.70 0.46

6 CZECH 8200 10501000 18400 12957.7 780.88 6.03

7 ROMANIA 6300 22323000 8900 6267.6 282.22 4.50

8 PORTUGAL 6100 10606000 21000 14788.7 575.15 3.89

9 AUSTRIA 5300 8206000 49100 34577.5 645.87 1.87

10 GREECE 4500 11147000 21800 15352.1 403.70 2.63



Romania: Damage cost: 282,2 Euro/Inhab – 11 years; 25.6 euro/yrs&inhab(including houses, road, bridges, flood defense infrastructure, etc)

Insurance cost for houses: 10euro/yrs – rural, 20 euro/yrs – urban (?)No. of houses: cca 8.500.000





Questions:

1. Additional flood insurance for houses in flooded areas? Witch probability?

2. Resilience: insurance for good affected by floods? 500-1000 euro /rural ?

3. Emergency intervention of AN Apele Romane: 2-5 mil/euro&yrs; general insurance for buffer budget?

4. Co-relation with insurance for crops – Flood defense infrastructure insurance for protection of agricultural land use? (dikes, drainage system, etc)

5. Standards of costs for damage evaluation?





Multumesc!

Thank you!



International Insurance-Reinsurance Forum 2014 ` Workshop...

Documents

Transcript of International Insurance-Reinsurance Forum 2014 ` Workshop...