International climate finance: Measures to adapt to climate ......International climate finance:...
Transcript of International climate finance: Measures to adapt to climate ......International climate finance:...
© 2018. For information, contact Deloitte Tohmatsu Financial Advisory LLC.
International climate finance:
Measures to adapt to climate change and reduce
greenhouse gas emissions in the agriculture sector
of the Philippines
1
February 20-22, 2018
Bangkok, Thailand
© 2018. For information, contact Deloitte Tohmatsu Financial Advisory LLC.2
GHG emissions from agriculture in the Philippines
Climate change and agriculture
Rice cultivation in the
Philippines accounts for about
64% of emissions from the
agriculture sector, or 21% of the
total national emissions.
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Why CDM was not efficient to address GHG emissions in agriculture, especially in rice cultivation?
Climate change and agriculture
Involves too many
participants
for implementation
Involves large-scale
social change
CDM monitoring
is very complex
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4
What is alternate wetting and drying (AWD)?
Alternate wetting and drying
AWD is a water management technology that uses a simple
tool to determine the right time to irrigate and the right amount
of water to apply;
The simple tool is a perforated 10 cm x 25 cm polyvinyl chloride
(PVC) tube that is inserted 15 cm to the ground during the dry
season and 20 cm during the wet season;
The AWD scheme is implemented at about 20 days after
transplanting or sowing for direct seeded rice;
When AWD is applied, the number of irrigation events in a
season ranges from 4-6 times only;
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Adaptation and mitigation measures to adapt to climate change and reduce greenhouse gas emissions
in the agriculture sector of the Philippines
Program concept
Provision of financial incentives to rice farmers to encourage them to switch from continuous flooding to Alternate Wetting and Drying (AWD) practices.
Initially focused on an area of 110,000 hectares in the Upper Pampanga River Integrated Irrigation System (UPRIIS),
• Followed by Central Luzon (190,000 ha) and the MRIIS (90,000 ha).
• As additional resources are mobilized, the program can be scaled even further up to include other regions in the Philippines.
Expected Results:
• GHG emission reduction potential estimated at 23 million tons per year
• Increased food security
• Improved water management
• Resilient rice production
• Increase in irrigated areas
• Increase in rice yield
• Reduction of conflicts among farmers
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Submission to the Transformative Carbon Asset Facility (TCAF) of the World Bank
Implementation Partners
United Nations Development Program
(UNDP)
• Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) impact
assessment
• Documenting best practice case studies for
possible policy level interventions and
dissemination – workshop, study tours etc.
• International exchange of experience and
facilitating replication in other potential
areas/regionally in other countries in the Asian
region
• Linking renewables to water management
(solar pumping etc.), even if not part of the
project yet, it might be an option if we can
identify a business case.
• Imparting skills for producing the PVC
equipment/enterprise development for potential
scale up through irrigation services
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• Joint program design and preparation of
documentation
• Seeking all necessary approvals and arrangement of
stakeholder consultation
• Support of the monitoring and verification of
mitigation outcomes
• Support to Climate Mundial in the preparation and
execution of the program financial model
Philippine Rice Research
Institute (PhilRice)
• Overall program implementation
and management
• Engagement of individual
farmers to participate in the
program
• Management of payments under
the ERPA
• Raise any other finance needed
for program implementation
Climate Mundial
• Advising PhilRice on the Emission Reduction Purchase
Agreement (ERPA)
• Preparation and execution of the program financial model
• Arrangement of carbon finance including carbon receivable
finance
• Arrangement of other finance for program implementation
• Joint program design and preparation of documentation
• Arrangement of on-going monitoring and verification of
mitigation outcomes
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Adaptation and mitigation measures to adapt to climate change and reduce greenhouse gas emissions
in the agriculture sector of the Philippines
Interventions
Limiting the average global surface temperature increase
Promote climate smart agriculture in the Philippines
Align with national priorities on climate actions in
agricultural sector
• Financial incentives to rice farmers to encourage
them to practice AWD;
• Information dissemination campaigns and introducing
AWD as the “new” and “appropriate” way of irrigating
the rice crop or managing irrigation water at the
farmers’ field;
• Design and implement Training Programs and special
training manual for NIA/BSWM field officers;
• Regular knowledge updates (brush-up) seminars;
• Hotline service to provide field officers and farmers
constant support in implementing AWD;
• Develop database of issues encountered by farmers
and field officers to expedite smooth transformation;
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Adaptation and mitigation measures to adapt to climate change and reduce greenhouse gas emissions
in the agriculture sector of the Philippines
GHG Emission Reductions
YearBaseline (tCO2e) Emissions (tCO2e) Emission Reductions
(tCO2e)Sector Region Sector Region
2020 59,141,072 13,624,223 58,546,990 13,030,141 594,082
2021 60,430,669 13,957,966 59,242,504 12,769,801 1,188,165
2022 61,747,348 14,298,718 59,965,100 12,516,471 1,782,248
2023 63,091,677 14,646,626 60,960,821 12,515,770 2,130,856
2024 64,464,237 15,001,840 61,984,772 12,522,375 2,479,464
2025 65,865,620 15,364,513 63,037,547 12,536,440 2,828,073
2026 67,296,433 15,734,802 64,119,752 12,558,121 3,176,681
Total14,179,569
The program will continue beyond the duration of TCAF support as practices will be entrenched by the end of
seven years. The emission reductions for the entire period, including the years 2027-2030, shall be as follows:
YearBaseline (tCO2e) Emissions (tCO2e) Emission Reductions
(tCO2e)Sector Region Sector Region
2027 68,757,293 16,112,868 65,232,003 12,587,578 3,525,290
2028 70,248,830 16,498,873 65,994,439 12,244,482 4,254,391
2029 71,771,690 16,892,984 66,788,198 11,909,491 4,983,492
2030 73,326,530 17,295,371 67,472,503 11,441,344 5,854,027
Total18,617,200
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Simple and conservative GHG emissions MRV approach
Standardized baseline
Table 1. Specific emission factors for baseline, project and emission reductions (kgCH4/ha/season) for Dry Season
EFc
Baseline
Project Scenarios
ProjectEmission
Reduction
Factor (EFER)SFBL,w SFBL,p SFBL,o
Emission
Factor
(EFBL)
SFP,w SFP,p SFP,oEmission
Factor (EFP)
For regions where double cropping is
practiced171.40 1.00 1.00 2.88 493.63
Scenario 1: change the water regime from
continuously to intermittent flooded conditions
(single aeration)
0.60 1.00 2.88 296.18 197.45
Scenario 2: change the water regime from
continuously to intermittent flooded conditions
(multiple aeration)
0.52 1.00 2.88 256.69 236.94
For regions where single cropping is
practiced171.40 1.00 0.68 1.70 198.14
Scenario 1: change the water regime from
continuously to intermittent flooded conditions
(single aeration)
0.60 0.68 1.70 118.88 79.26
Scenario 2: change the water regime from
continuously to intermittent flooded conditions
(multiple aeration)
0.52 0.68 1.70 103.03 95.11
Table 2. Specific emission factors for baseline, project and emission reductions (kgCH4/ha/season) for Wet Season
EFc
Baseline
Project Scenarios
ProjectEmission
Reduction
Factor (EFER)SFBL,w SFBL,p SFBL,o
Emission
Factor
(EFBL)
SFP,w SFP,p SFP,oEmission
Factor (EFP)
For regions where double cropping is
practiced297.42 1.00 1.00 2.88 856.56
Scenario 1: change the water regime from
continuously to intermittent flooded conditions
(single aeration)
0.60 1.00 2.88 513.94 342.62
Scenario 2: change the water regime from
continuously to intermittent flooded conditions
(multiple aeration)
0.52 1.00 2.88 445.41 411.15
For regions where single cropping is
practiced297.42 1.00 0.68 1.70 343.81
Scenario 1: change the water regime from
continuously to intermittent flooded conditions
(single aeration)
0.60 0.68 1.70 206.29 137.53
Scenario 2: change the water regime from
continuously to intermittent flooded conditions
(multiple aeration)
0.52 0.68 1.70 178.78 165.03
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Real, measurable and verrifiable
SDG Impacts
SDGs Impacts
Increased food security through increase in total
irrigated areas and increase in yield
Increased resilience in rice production
Increased number of farmers having access to reliable
irrigation services
New jobs created
Decreased conflicts among farmers
Reduced GHG emissions
Promotes dissemination and diffusion of environmentally
sound technologies through international partnerships
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Bridging the carbon markets gap and increasing NDC ambition
Financing proposal
Government of the Philippines TCAF
Program Implementation and Administration
Financial Incentive to Farmers
First-Loss Equity
ERPA
Pay
men
ts
37.5% 62.5%
USD
XX
per
to
nn
e
USD YY per tonne
USD ZZ per tonne
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The DGTI Fund is a blended-finance mechanism providing performance based grants to de-risk
private capital and facilitate the rapid uptake of clean technologies
Another possible approach:
Direct Green Technology Incentive (DGTI) Fund
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International climate finance:
Measures to adapt to climate change and reduce
greenhouse gas emissions in the agriculture sector of the
Philippines
13
Thank you!
Vladislav Arnaoudov
Manager
Deloitte Tohmatsu Financial Advisory LLC
3-3-1 Marunouchi, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo 100-0005, Japan
Tel: +818037116298
Email: [email protected]
© 2018. For information, contact Deloitte Tohmatsu Financial Advisory LLC.14 Measures to Adapt to Climate Change and Reduce Greenhouse Gas Emissions in the Agriculture Sector of the Philippines
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