Intermodal Weekly 10-2013

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    Brokers insightby George Dermas

    Inflaon is fast becoming our new friendUp almost 9% for the year so far,

    the more than century-old blue-chip index, Dow Jones, posted last week its

    first finish above the record closing high of 14,164.53 set on Oct. 9th 2007,

    which is just ahead of the global financial meltdown. It is an undeniable fact

    that this new peak is reached primarily due to the extensive monetary sm-

    uli that the Fed has provided over the past 4years.

    In Japan, the sun seems to be rising once again aer decades of standing as

    a warning sign of what can go wrong when government debt reaches to

    extremely high levels. Yet even though Japan's Nikkei 225 index stands at

    less than a third of its record high since 1989, the stock market has made big

    strides forward, climbing 35% since mid-November.

    In Europe stocks rallied to their highest level in 4 years, as investors

    cheered stronger-than-expected euro-zone retail sales and keyed off gains

    in U.S. equies. Europe is standing at the opposite side of inflaon argu-

    ment, with austerity measures governing the southern countries and an

    almost deflaonary outlook for the year ahead. Amidst heavy reforms on

    governance, fiscal policy and taxaon amongst the country-members, the

    EU has managed to increase its compeveness; however pressures for mon-

    etary easing are expected to intensify as the voiced concerns in the Euro-

    zone amplify. Lets not forget that it is the only major economy that has not

    resorted to this soluon post-2008 Could this change soon?

    Chinas minimum wage has tripled since 2000, creang extra pressure via

    fast rising labour costs within China. This fact should however be looked at

    with greater scruny, as the ageing populaon of China means a dropping

    supply of youth labour in the country. Environmental awareness pressures

    and restricons on polluon from factories create another boleneck in

    producon and raise producon costs across the board for Chinese manu-

    facturing. Furthermore, the RMB is going from strength to strength and

    while nominal appreciaon has been slower than crics in Brussels and

    Washington might like, real appreciaon (adjusng for the country's rela-

    vely faster inflaon rate) has been rapid. The Chinese currency has appre-

    ciated considerably in nominal terms as well, recording a median of about

    22% against 13 Asian currencies over the past five years, as such negavely

    impacng the aracveness of the country's exports. In order to combat

    this and drive the countrys compeveness, the only soluon is through

    automaon and higher sophiscaon in producon, which in turn requires

    substanal support from the government in the form of financial aid, subsi-

    dies and access to finance (especially for the laer this column has been a

    regular and strong advocate of financial easing in all forms of producon as

    an added incenve for local and/or foreign investors). These measures

    would mean increasing the money supply and in turn having to bale infla-on once more, hopefully in a more effecve way than last years aempt

    to keep real estate prices and infrastructure spending under control.

    As inflaon seems to be fast-becoming a lesser of two evils for most major

    economies, what are the potenal effects on shipping? Secondhand prices

    and NB cost have seriously dropped over the past 4 years. Current fleet

    profile, outstanding deliveries, market demand/supply factors all maintain

    their importance of course and have generated a dim outlook for the mar-

    ket ahead, but we cannot ignore the fact that all asset prices are subject to

    inflaonary pressures as well. As the price gap between Japan and China is

    narrowing down, shipyards suffer greatly from rising construcon costs and

    seem heavily reluctant to drop their price expectaons to higher loss areas.

    Could this provide the necessary pillar for a reacon in prices? Could we

    finally be close to an arficial boom?

    Chartering (Wet:Firmer+ / Dry:Firmer+ )

    The Dry Bulk market has gained for a third week in a row, with Panamax

    rates going from strength to strength, while Cape rates have shed away

    from any big posive reversals despite the connuing lows of the pastweeks. The BDI closed today (12/03/2013) at 865 points, up by 18 points

    compared to Mondays levels (11/03/2013) and an increase of 59 points

    compared to the previous Tuesdays levels (05/02/2013). A mixed pic-

    ture for the crude market last week, with Aframax rates especially resis-

    ve to the negave senment that ways on the bigger size segments

    and especially the VLs. The BDTI Monday (11/03/2013), was at 666, 30

    points down and the BCTI at 702, an increase of 6 points compared to

    the previous Mondays levels (04/03/2013).

    Sale & Purchase (Wet:Stable- / Dry:Stable+ )

    An admiedly busy SnP week with most of the acvity noted in the Con-

    tainer and Tanker markets. The MR segment is once more gathering

    most of the interest, which is now officially spreading across the private

    equity world. On the Tankers side, we had the en-bloc sale of the MRtankers TORM AGNES (50,274dwt-blt 11 China), TORM AMA-

    LIE (50,273dwt-blt 11 China), TORM ASLAUG (50,263dwt-blt 10 Chi-

    na), TORM ALMENA (50,247dwt-blt 10 China) and TORM AL-

    ICE (50,216dwt-blt 10 China), which were picked for a price of $ 27.0m

    each by US based fund Oaktree Capital. While on the dry bulker side, we

    had the sale of the TRITON LARK (56,025dwt-blt 05 Japan), which

    went for a price of excess $ 16.0m to Hong Kong based buyers.

    Newbuilding (Wet:Stable- / Dry:Stable- )

    It was all Bulkers, Bulkers, Bulkers this week for the newbuilding market.

    We elaborated last week how Frontlines recent orders has ignited the

    interest for new orders by other owners as well. This past week the

    group is rumoured to have agreed to add more tonnage to an already

    impressively big fleet and at the same me more big names were re-ported following the same course. As dry market rates have reached

    painful lows throughout 2012, it definitely looks like the aermath of a

    delayed recovery due to oversupply is lost to some extent with all the

    recent inking of reported new contracts even in sectors that are already

    expecng a big chunk of deliveries over the next two years (e.g. the

    Panamax/Kamsarmax sector). But it is all a game theory, isn't it? So

    whoever gets there first will either get burnt or win it all. In terms of

    reported deals this week, Taiwan based China Steel Express reportedly

    placed an order for 2 VLOCs (209,000dwt) at Mitsubishi, Japan for a

    price of $ 52.5m and delivery in between 2014 and 2015.

    Demolion (Wet:Firmer+ / Dry:Firmer+ )

    India was the main story last week in the demo market. With Pakistanibreakers sll trying to figure out how the proposed 5% tax will affect

    their volumes, both the posive trend of candidate volume and prices

    offered by Indian breakers resumed last week. With the Indian Rupee

    stabilizing and those ever willing cash buyers acng on speculaon, bids

    quoted out of India shot up a full $ 10/ldt, concluding the majority of

    deals that were agreed last week. At the same me China demand

    weakened a bit as local buyers are looking for further indicaons of

    where steel prices and consequently demand will head over the coming

    days. Prices this week for wet tonnage were at around 395-430$/ldt and

    dry units received about 375-410$/ldt.

    Weekly Market Report

    Issue: Week 10 | Tuesday 12th

    March 2013

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    Intermodal Research 12/03/2013 2

    2013 2012

    WS

    points$/day

    WS

    points$/day $/day $/day

    265k MEG-JAPAN 32 3,615 32 3,234 11.8% 1,685 21,835

    280k MEG-USG 19 -13,966 19 -15,434 9.5% -2,294 1,604

    260k WAF-USG 40 20,559 35 11,718 75.4% 4,609 31,457

    130k MED-MED 70 23,950 70 23,708 1.0% 3,550 22,121

    130k WAF-USAC 58 10,239 58 10,249 -0.1% 1,753 13,373

    130k MEG-CHINA 60 13,937 63 15,965 -12.7% 3,379 22,181

    80k MEG-EAST 80 10,296 80 10,249 0.5% 2,039 14,182

    80k MED-MED 85 16,522 80 13,527 22.1% 2,674 13,700

    80k UKC-UKC 90 19,246 88 17,023 13.1% 3,003 18,517

    70k CARIBS-USG 118 23,727 118 23,573 0.7% 2,398 12,325

    7 5k MEG-JAPAN 93 13,768 88 11,022 24.9% 1,908 11,258

    5 5k MEG-JAPAN 120 16,811 120 16,607 1.2% 2,363 10,867

    3 7K UKC-USAC 150 16,201 150 16,125 0.5% 3,742 9,251

    30K MED-MED 160 23,606 163 24,281 -2.8% 5,129 19,062

    55K UKC-USG 110 16,368 110 16,163 1.3% 3,045 16,571

    55K MED-USG 105 12,720 100 10,590 20.1% 2,246 14,73550k CARIBS-USAC 120 16,326 138 22,354 -27.0% 2,781 13,028

    Vessel Routes

    Week 10 Week 9$/day

    %

    Dirty

    Aframax

    Clean

    VLCC

    Suezmax

    Spot Rates

    Mar-13 Feb-13 % 2013 2012 2011

    300KT DH 56.5 57.0 -0.9% 57.2 62.9 77.6

    150KT DH 40.0 40.0 0.0% 40.3 44.9 54.4

    110KT DH 27.3 27.5 -0.9% 27.7 31.2 39.1

    75KT DH 25.0 25.0 0.0% 25.3 26.7 35.2

    52KT DH 25.0 25.0 0.0% 24.7 24.6 28.4

    Aframax

    LR1

    VLCC

    Suezmax

    Indicative Market Values ($ Million) - Tankers

    Vessel 5yrs old

    MR

    Chartering

    The price of oil is sll moving in favour of VL owners, who have seen rates

    liding for the biggest part of 2013, but as the declining trend in bunker

    prices isn't expected to connue, the market doesn't have many reasons to

    elebrate since the oversupply of tonnage is expected to keep weighing onates for the following months. Acvity in the WAF region has firmed con-

    iderably last week for cargoes ballasng in the area, while rates offered for

    other routes remained at those unimpressive low levels weve been wit-

    nessing for the past weeks.

    The Black Sea/Med region has soened for Suezmaxes a bit, but has overall

    held its levels. We do expect to see some further decline in the rates in the

    oming weeks as posive senment is sll lacking and it is sll very well a

    harterers market out there. The WAF region has seen rates coming back

    o live towards the end of this past week, while at the same me demand

    rom the Caribs region has sided with owners trading in the Atlanc basin.

    Aframax rates are proving bulletproof against the ups and downs of the

    anker market. Rates are holding firm across the board for now and we

    believe that if any soening takes place in the next few weeks it shouldn't

    be enough to reverse the posive trend that has been outlining the course

    of the sector since the beginning of the year.

    Sale & Purchase

    In the Suezmax segment this week, we had the sale of the SAMSUNG

    1904 (159,000dwt-blt 13 S. Korea), which was reported sold at price of

    around $ 54.0m by US based buyers NATS.

    The MR sector had another en-bloc sale this week, comprised by the tank-ers TORM AGNES (50,274dwt-blt 11 China), TORM AMALIE (50,273dwt-

    blt 11 China), TORM ASLAUG (50,263dwt-blt 10 China), TORM AL-

    MENA (50,247dwt-blt 10 China) and TORM ALICE (50,216dwt-blt 10

    China), which were picked for a price of $ 27.0m each by US based fund

    Oaktree Capital.

    Wet Market

    Indicative Period Charters

    - 24/34 mos - 'Helles pont Protector' 2006 74,000dwt

    - - $ 12,000/day - Shell

    - 12/12 mos - 'STX Ace 12' 2008 46,000dwt

    - - $ 13,500/day - Exxon-Modil

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    160

    WSpoints

    DIRTY -WS RATESTD3 TD5 TD8 TD4

    Week 10 Week 9 % Diff 2013 2012

    300k 1yr TC 19,200 19,750 -2.8% -550 20,475 22,375

    300k 3yr TC 25,200 26,250 -4.0% -1050 26,250 27,195

    150k 1yr TC 16,200 16,750 -3.3% -550 16,925 17,606

    150k 3yr TC 18,200 19,250 -5.5% -1050 20,700 21,152

    110k 1yr TC 13,200 13,500 -2.2% -300 13,900 13,889

    110k 3yr TC 15,200 15,750 -3.5% -550 15,650 16,07075k 1yr TC 14,700 15,000 -2.0% -300 14,500 13,245

    75k 3yr TC 15,200 15,500 -1.9% -300 15,125 14,368

    52k 1yr TC 14,200 14,250 -0.4% -50 14,150 13,764

    52k 3yr TC 14,950 15,000 -0.3% -50 14,750 14,589

    36k 1yr TC 13,200 13,250 -0.4% -50 13,075 12,567

    36k 3yr TC 13,700 13,750 -0.4% -50 13,675 13,378

    Panamax

    MR

    Handy

    size

    TC Rates

    $/day

    VLCC

    Suezmax

    Aframax

    6080

    100120140160180200220240260

    WSpoints

    CLEAN - WS RATESTC2 TC4 TC6 TC1

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    Intermodal Research 12/03/2013 3

    0

    500

    1,000

    1,500

    2,000

    2,500

    3,000

    Index

    Baltic IndicesBCI BPI BSI BHSI BDI

    0

    5,000

    10,000

    15,000

    20,000

    25,000

    30,000

    $/day

    Average T/C RatesAVR 4TC BCI AVR 4TC BPI AVR 5TC BSI AVR 6TC BHSI

    170K 6mnt TC 10 ,82 5 1 0,5 00 3.1% 325 1 1,7 38 1 3,5 49

    170K 1yr TC 11 ,95 0 1 1,7 50 1.7% 200 1 2,1 13 1 3,8 85

    170K 3yr TC 13 ,70 0 1 3,7 50 -0.4% -50 1 3,7 00 1 5,2 82

    76K 6mnt TC 11 ,57 5 1 1,2 50 2.9% 325 9,783 11,003

    76K 1yr TC 9,825 9,750 0.8% 75 8,675 9,90676K 3yr TC 9,700 9,750 -0.5% -50 9,125 10,888

    55K 6mnt TC 10 ,95 0 1 0,7 50 1.9% 200 9,700 11,176

    55K 1yr TC 9,950 9,750 2.1% 200 9,200 10,330

    55K 3yr TC 9,950 10,000 -0.5% -50 9,800 11,195

    45k 6mnt TC 8,950 8,750 2.3% 200 7,950 9,375

    45k 1yr TC 8,450 8,250 2.4% 200 7,900 8,849

    45k 3yr TC 8,950 9,000 -0.6% -50 8,800 9,575

    30K 6mnt TC 7,450 7,000 6.4% 450 6,900 8,255

    30K 1yr TC 7,450 7,250 2.8% 200 7,325 8,424

    30K 3yr TC 8,700 8,750 -0.6% -50 8,700 9,450

    Handymax

    Handysize

    Period

    2012

    Panamax

    Supramax

    Week

    10

    Week

    9

    Capesize

    2013$/day % Diff

    Chartering

    At the end of this past week Colombian strikes were nearing their end, and

    hopefully all coal trading will resume soon, offering some much needed

    breather for Capes that had been blocked in the area with no cargoes to

    ease the pain for their respecve owners. On the posive side, the tropical

    yclone that crossed the northwest part of Australia last week allowed for a

    quick resuming of business at local ports, as the damage caused was much

    ess than originally ancipated. We don't expect any quick recoveries for

    he me being, as even though a posive correcon in rates may well be

    due aer having lost more than 100% over the past month, at the same

    me the recovery misses some much needed fundamentals.

    The Panamax market is growing stronger week by week. Increased acvity

    both in the Atlanc and the Pacific basin have resulted in levels that hadn't

    been visited since last July. Considering the large number of newbuilding

    deliveries that will enter the market this year, firming rates are offering

    ome hope that those levels will be maintained or at least that a floor is

    being created for rates offered in this segment.

    Rates for Supras and Handies have resumed their upward movement from

    he week before, with the former enjoying most notable increases for Pa-

    ific round voyages. The senment is good for the smaller segments as well

    but it will be interesng to see how soon will the spot market offer beer

    eturns from the period market as the gap between the two is quickly clos-

    ng.

    Sale & Purchase

    In the Handysize sector we had the sale of the AMOR II (32,000dwt-blt 11

    S. Korea), which reportedly was picked up by S. Korean buyers at an auc-

    on, for a price of $10.0m.

    In the Supramax sector we had the sale of the TRITON LARK (56,025dwt-

    blt 05 Japan), which went for a price of excess $ 16.0m to Hong Kong based

    buyers.

    Mar-13 Feb-13 % 2013 2012 2011

    180k 34.0 33.8 0.7% 33.7 34.6 43.5

    76K 18.5 18.5 0.0% 18.6 22.7 31.3

    56k 18.5 18.5 0.0% 19.3 23.0 28.1

    30K 17.0 17.0 0.0% 16.9 18.2 23.5Handysize

    Capesize

    Panamax

    Supramax

    Indicative Market Values ($ Million) - Bulk CarriersVessel 5 yrs old

    Indicative Period Charters

    -11/13 mos - 'Prem Veena' 2007 82,459dwt

    - dely China 20/30 Mar - $ 9,750/day - Medmar

    - 6/9 mos - 'Good Wish' 2001 75,031dwt

    - dely Qingdao - $ 9,250/day - Norden

    Dry Market

    Index $/day Index $/day Index Index

    BDI 843 776 67 765 921

    BCI 1,262 $4,405 1,243 $4,236 19 4.0% 1,399 1,571

    BPI 1,124 $8,994 1,036 $8,281 88 8.6% 801 965

    BSI 864 $9,038 781 $8,170 83 10.6% 724 906

    BHSI 483 $7,193 447 $6,670 36 7.8% 444 518

    01/03/2013

    Baltic IndicesWeek 10

    08/03/2013

    Week 9Point

    Diff

    2013 2012$/day

    %

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    Intermodal Research 12/03/2013 4

    Secondhand Sales

    Type Name Dwt Built Yard M/E SS due Cbm Price Buyers Comments

    LPG RIO GRACIA 6954 1996 HIGAKI, Japan B&W Jul-16 6,375 rgn $4.5-5.0m Vi etnamese

    LPG MAPLE 1 51,466 1987HITACHI ZOSEN -

    INNOSH, Japa n

    B&W Ma r-13 76,194 $ 10.0m Thai (Si am Ga s)

    LPGGAS

    INSPIRATION4991 2006

    SASAKI KINOE,

    JapanMAN-B&W May-16 5,018 $ 15.0m

    Greek

    (StealthGas)

    LPG CO-OP AKEBONO 49,242 1993KAWASAKI HEAVY

    INDS -, Japa nB&W Jan-17 73,882 $ 24.0m

    Turkish

    (Negmar)

    Gas/LPG/LNG

    Size Name Dwt Built Yard M/E SS due Hull Price Buyers Comments

    SUEZ SAMSUNG 1904 159,000 2013 SAMSUNG, S. Korea MAN-B&W - DH $ 54.0m US based (NATS)

    AFRA ZALIV ANADYR 103,023 2009 HYUNDAI, S. Korea MAN-B&W May-14 DH $ 27.0m undisclosed

    MR TORM AGNES 50,274 2011 Zha o, China MAN-B&W Jan-16 DH $ 27.0m epoxy

    MR TORM AMALIE 50,273 2011 Zha o, China MAN-B&W Feb-16 DH $ 27.0m epoxy

    MR TORM ASLAUG 50,263 2010 Zha o, China MAN-B&W Jul-15 DH $ 27.0m epoxy

    MR TORM ALMENA 50,247 2010 Zha o, China MAN-B&W Oct-15 DH $ 27.0m epoxy

    MR TORM ALICE 50,216 2010 Zhao, China MAN-B&W Apr-15 DH $ 27.0m epoxy

    PROD/

    CHEMMCT ALMAK 19,996 1999 ULJANIK, Croatia MAN-B&W Sep-14 DH $ 9.0m undiscl osed epoxy

    PROD/

    CHEM

    TRADEWIND

    MOON8,518 2002 HIGAKI, Japan MAN-B&W Oct-17 DH high $ 8.0m S. Korean StSt

    PROD/

    CHEMMALOU THERESA 7,842 2008

    CHT DENIZCILIK,

    TurkeyMaK Jul -13 DH undis cl osed Dani s h

    Tankers

    US based

    (Oaktree)

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    Secondhand Sales

    Name Loa(m) LM Built Yard M/E SS due Price Buyers Comments

    NORQUEEN 170.93 2067 1980RAUMA-REPOLA,

    FinlandMaK Dec-15 undis cl os ed

    Greek (Salamis

    Shipping)

    Roros

    Size Name Dwt Built Yard M/E SS due Gear Price Buyers Comments

    SMAX TRITON LARK 56,025 2005 MITSUI, Japan MAN-B&W May-154 X 30t

    CRANESxs $ 16.0m HK based

    SMAX ACE GATE 55,697 2005 MITSUI, Japan MAN-B&W Jun-15 4 X 30tCRANES

    $ 16.2m Indones ian

    HMAX SALAMANCA 46,743 2000 KANASASHI, Japan Mi ts ubis hi Jul -154 X 30t

    CRANES$ 9.5m undisclosed

    HMAX NENA J 43,230 1995HYUNDAI, S.

    KoreaB&W May-15

    4 X 25t

    CRANES$ 6.8m Swiss based

    HANDY AMOR II 32,000 2011 SAMHO, S. Korea MAN-B&W -4 X 30t

    CRANES$ 10.0m S. Korean

    at auction, lai d up

    at the yard since

    2011

    HANDY COSMOS VERDE 24,838 1999 SHIKOKU, Japan B&W Jun-14 4 X 30tCRANES

    $ 6.0m undisclosed

    Bulk Carriers

    Name Loa(m) Pass Cars Built Yard M/E SS due Price Buyers Comments

    Superfast VI 203.9 1,595 140 2001HDW AG,

    GermanySulzer Fe b-16 EUR 54.0m

    Malaysian

    (Genting Group)

    Ferries

    Name Dwt Built Yard M/E SS due Gear Price Buyers Comments

    MARCOMANCHE 20,526 1998FLENSBURGER KG,

    GermanyMits ubis h i Apr-13

    2 X 60t

    CRANES$ 5.0m undisclosed 1,290 teu

    BEGONIA 12,119 2007LINHAI

    HANGCHANG,

    China

    Piels tick Oct-17 $ 4.3m Turkis h gearles s , bowthrus ter

    MPP/General Cargo

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    Secondhand Sales

    Size Name Teu Built Yard M/E SS due Gear Price Buyers Comments

    PMAX MOL EXCELLENCE 4,646 2003MITSUBISHI,

    JapanSulzer Jun-13 undisclosed

    PMAX MOL EXPEDI TOR 4,646 2003 MITSUBISHI,Japan

    Sulzer Aug-13 undisclosed

    PMAX MOL EXPRESS 4,646 2003MITSUBISHI,

    JapanSulzer Nov-13 undisclosed

    PMAX MOL EFFICIENCY 4,646 2003MITSUBISHI,

    JapanSulzer Apr-13 undisclosed

    SUB

    PMAXGALLIA 2,452 1998

    THYSSEN,

    GermanyMitsubishi May-13

    3 X 40t

    CRS$ 6.3m Greek

    SUBPMAX

    ANL BINBURRA 2,452 2002 NORDSEEWERKE,Germany

    MAN-B&W Oct-17 3 X 45tCRS

    undisclosed Greek (Lomar)

    FEEDER NIENSTEDTEN 1,730 2002SZCZECINSKA,

    PolandSulzer Jan-17

    3 X 45t

    CRSlow $ 7.0m Greek (Conbulk)

    FEEDER MOL AMAZONIA 1,603 2000 HANJIN, S. Korea B&W Apr-15

    2 X 45t

    CRS,1 X

    40t CRS

    undisclosed Greek (Lomar)bank sale, incl.

    financing

    FEEDER MACUBA 1,122 1998PEENE-WERFT,

    GermanyB&W Mar-13

    2 X 40t

    CRSundisclosed Turkish (Arkas)

    FEEDER TURTLE BAY 1,118 2006 QINGSHAN, Chi na MAN-B&W Nov-162 X 45t

    CRSundisclosed

    FEEDER TAMPA BAY 1,118 2006 QINGSHAN, China MAN-B&W Jun-162 X 45t

    CRSundisclosed

    FEEDER MAGNOS 977 1998 BARRERAS, Spain B&W Apr-13

    FEEDER MANARIAS 977 1997 BARRERAS, Spain B&W Oct-17

    Containers

    Greek (Lomar)

    Greek

    bank sale, incl.

    financing

    $ 5.5m

    en-bloc

    HK based

    (Seaspan)

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    It was all Bulkers, Bulkers, Bulkers this week for the newbuilding market. We

    elaborated last week how Frontlines recent orders has ignited the interest

    for new orders by other owners as well. This past week the group is ru-

    moured to have agreed to add more tonnage to an already impressively big

    fleet and at the same me more big names were reported following the

    same course. As dry market rates have reached painful lows throughout

    2012, it definitely looks like the aermath of a delayed recovery due to over-

    supply is lost to some extent with all the recent inking of reported new con-

    tracts even in sectors that are already expecng a big chunk of deliveries

    over the next two years (e.g. the Panamax/Kamsarmax sector). But it is all a

    game theory, isn't it? So whoever gets there first will either get burnt or win

    it all..

    Last week Taiwan based China Steel Express reportedly placed an order for 2

    VLOCs (209,000dwt) at Mitsubishi, Japan for a price of $ 52.5m and delivery

    in between 2014 and 2015.

    Newbuilding Market

    20

    60

    100

    140

    180

    million$

    Tankers Newbuilding Prices (m$)

    VLCC Suezmax Aframax LR1 MR

    Week

    10

    Week

    9% 2013 2012 2011

    Capesize 180k 46.0 45.5 1.1% 45 47 53

    Panamax 77k 25.3 25.3 0.0% 25 27 33

    Supramax 58k 24.3 24.3 0.0% 24 26 30

    Handysize 35k 21.0 21.0 0.0% 21 22 25VLCC 300k 90.5 91.0 -0.5% 90 96 102

    Suezmax 160k 55.5 55.5 0.0% 55 59 64

    Aframax 115k 46.5 46.5 0.0% 46 51 54

    LR1 75k 40.0 40.0 0.0% 40 43 45

    MR 52k 33.0 33.0 0.0% 33 35 36

    LNG 150K 185 185 0.0% 181 186 187

    LGC LPG 80k 69.5 69.5 0.0% 69 72 73

    MGC LPG 52k 61.5 61.5 0.0% 61 63 64

    SGC LPG 23k 40.5 40.5 0.0% 40 44 46

    Vessel

    Indicative Newbuilding Prices (million$)

    Gas

    Bulkers

    Tankers

    10

    30

    50

    70

    90

    110

    million$

    Bulk Carriers Newbuilding Prices (m$)Capesize Panamax Supramax Handysize

    Units Type Yard Delivery Buyer Price Comments

    2+2 Tanker 114,000 dwtHyundai Samho,

    S.Korea07-09/2014 Italian (Scorpio Tankers) $ 49.75m LR2

    2 Bulker 209,000 dwt Mitsubishi, Japan 2014-2015Taiwanese (China Steel

    Express)$ 52.5m

    4+4 Bulker 180,000 dwtShanghai Waigaoqiao,

    China06-12/2015 Norwegian (Frontl ine2012) $ 47.0m

    3 Bulker 83,000 dwtTsuneis hi Cebu,

    Philippine02-0 5/2014 Ja pa nese (Mi tsui OSK) undi scl osed

    3 Bulker 83,000 dwtTsuneis hi Cebu,

    Philippine06-1 2/2014 Ja pa nese (K Li ne) undi scl osed

    2 Bulker 83,000 dwt STX Dal ian, China - European xs $ 26.0m

    2 Bulker 75,000 dwt Oshima, Japan 06-09/2015Danish (Nordic Bulk

    Carriers)$ 32.5m

    2 Bulker 60,000 dwt Oshima, Japan 09-12/2015Taiwanese (Taiwan

    Navigation)$ 27.3m

    3 Bulker 58,000 dwtTsuneis hi Cebu,

    Philippine2014 Japanese (NYK) undisclosed

    1 Bulker 45,000 dwtTsuneis hi Cebu,

    Philippine08/2014 Japanese (NYK) undisclosed

    8 Container 5,400 teuHanjin Subic,

    Philippines- European LOI

    high efficient fuel-

    saving design

    2 Gas 7,200 cbm Kyokuyo, Japan 05-06/2014 Greek (StealthGas) $ 22.0m LPG

    Newbuilding Orders

    Size

  • 7/30/2019 Intermodal Weekly 10-2013

    8/9

    Intermodal Research 12/03/2013 8

    India was the main story last week in the demo market. With Pakistani break-

    ers sll trying to figure out how the proposed 5% tax will affect their vol-

    umes, both the posive trend of candidate volume and prices offered by

    Indian breakers resumed last week. With the Indian Rupee stabilizing and

    those ever willing cash buyers acng on speculaon, bids quoted out of India

    shot up a full $ 10/ldt, concluding the majority of deals that were agreed last

    week. At the same me China demand weakened a bit as local buyers are

    looking for further indicaons of where steel prices and consequently de-

    mand will head over the coming days. Prices this week for wet tonnage were

    at around 395-430$/ldt and dry units received about 375-410$/ldt.

    The most notable price paid this week was by Indian breakers for the Con-

    tainers MSC AUSTRIA (48,485 dwt-18,185ldt-blt 84), E.R. PERTH (35,798

    dwt-11,944ldt-blt 98) and PORT SAID (22,236 dwt-7,740ldt-blt 94), all of

    which received a very firm price of $ 450/ldt.

    Demolion Market

    Week

    10

    Week

    9% 2013 2012 2011

    Bangladesh 425 420 1.2% 427 440 523

    India 430 420 2.4% 429 445 511

    Pakistan 430 420 2.4% 425 444 504

    China 395 400 -1.3% 398 384 451

    Bangladesh 405 400 1.3% 404 414 498

    India 410 400 2.5% 411 419 484

    Pakistan 400 390 2.6% 400 416 477

    China 375 380 -1.3% 385 365 432

    Dry

    Indicative Demolition Prices ($/ldt)

    Markets

    Wet

    250

    300

    350

    400

    450

    500

    550

    $/ldt

    Wet Demolition Prices

    Bangladesh India Pakistan China

    250

    300

    350

    400

    450

    500

    550

    $/ldt

    Dry Demolition Prices

    Bangladesh India Pakistan China

    Name Size Ldt Built Yard Type $/ldt Breakers Comments

    WARRIOR 240,423 36,155 1990 IHI - KURE, Japan BC $ 432/Ldt Bangladeshi incl. 400/500 tons of bunkers ROB

    BW HAVLYS 13,935 7,720 1983 HDW AG, GermanyGAS

    TANKER$ 343/Ldt Turkish

    FENG LIN WAN 110,296 16,391 1988 MITSUI, Japan TANKER $ 395/Ldt Chinese

    MSC AUSTRI A 48,485 18,185 1984 ODENSE, Denma rk CONT $ 450/Ldt Indian

    VANBLOOM 36,850 8,414 1983 HYUNDAI, S. Korea BULKER $ 407/Ldt Bangladeshi

    KOSTAS N 35,971 9,182 1982 IMABARI, Japan BULKER $ 423/Ldt Indian

    E. R. PERTH 35,798 11,944 1998HALLA ENG & HI, S.

    KoreaCONT $ 450/Ldt Indian

    SELIN K 28,610 9,680 1986KHERSONSKIY,

    RussiaTANKER $ 310/Ldt Turkish

    PORT SAID 22,236 7,740 1994 DAEWOO, S. Korea CONT $ 450/Ldt Indian

    JUDI ALAMAR 21,362 5,191 1984 WATANABE, Japan BULKER $ 408/Ldt Indian

    HACI ALI SARI 1 9,637 5,312 1978 HYUNDAI , S. Korea BULKER $ 418/Ldt Indian

    THE CALYPSO 1,449 7,465 1967 ITALCANTI ERI, I ta ly PAX $ 285/Ldt Indian as-is Elefsis

    Demolition Sales

  • 7/30/2019 Intermodal Weekly 10-2013

    9/9

    e informaon contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such informaon to be factual and reliable without mak-

    guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the producon of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way

    atsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the informaon and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-

    oducing is allowed, without the prior wrien authorizaon of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.

    Compiled by Intermodal Research & Valuaons Department | [email protected]

    Analysts: Mr. George Lazaridis | [email protected]

    | d l

    Finance News

    More me for Box Ships

    Box Ships has secured more breathing space to repay

    an outstanding loan from major shareholder Paragon

    Shipping.

    The containership operang company said it has seen

    the deadline extended by twelve months unl 19

    April 2014.

    Paragon holds around 16.4% of Box Ships shares and

    Michael Bodouroglou is chief execuve and chairman

    of both companies.

    During the remaining term of the loan, Box Ships is

    required to make quarterly principal installment pay-

    ments of $1m each from 19 April 2013 with a final

    balloon payment on the maturity date.

    In return for extending the repayment deadline it has

    also agreed to pay an amendment fee and to increase

    the margin by 100 basis points.

    Box Ships, which has a fleet of nine containerships,

    said the current outstanding principal balance of the

    loan is around $13m.

    Last month the company reported a 28% increase in

    fourth quarter profits to $6.2m on the back of an

    expanded fleet.

    Revenue increased 13.5% to $19.4m while charter

    coverage has been increased to 85% of fleet capacity

    for the remainder of the year. (Trade Winds)

    Commodies & Ship Finance

    8-Mar-13 7-Mar-13 6-Mar-13 5-Mar-13 4-Mar-13W-O-W

    Change %

    10year US Bond 2.060 1.990 1.940 1.890 1.880 11.4%

    S&P 500 1,551.18 1,544.26 1,541.46 1,539.79 1,525.20 2.2%

    Nasdaq 3,244.37 3,232.09 3,222.37 3,224.13 3,182.03 2.4%

    Dow Jones 14,397.07 14,329.49 14,296.24 14,253.77 14,127.82 2.2%

    FTSE 100 6,483.58 6,439.16 6,427.64 6,431.95 6,345.63 1.6%

    FTSE All-Share UK 3,415.55 3,393.20 3,387.42 3,386.61 3,341.46 1.7%

    CAC40 3,840.15 3,793.78 3,773.76 3,787.19 3,709.76 3.8%

    Xetra Dax 7,986.47 7,939.77 7,919.33 7,870.31 7,691.68 3.6%

    Nikkei 12,283.62 11,968.08 11,932.27 11,683.45 11,652.29 5.4%

    Hang Seng 23,091.95 22,771.44 22,777.84 22,560.50 22,537.81 2.5%

    DJ US Maritime 262.41 262.60 263.29 266.58 263.15 -0.2%

    $ / 1.31 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.30 0.5%

    $ / 1.50 1.50 1.51 1.51 1.51 -0.3%

    / $ 95.74 94.57 93.55 93.28 93.51 3.0%

    $ / NoK 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.17 1.1%

    Yuan / $ 6.23 6.23 6.22 6.23 6.24 -0.1%

    Won / $ 1,089.14 1,086.78 1,083.91 1,088.63 1,088.88 0.3%

    $ INDEX 86.10 85.40 85.30 85.20 85.20 0.9%

    Market Data

    Currencies

    StockExchangeData

    1,520

    1,560

    1,600

    1,640

    1,680

    1,720

    80

    90

    100

    110

    120

    130

    goldoil

    Basic Commodities Weekly Summary

    Oil WTI $ Oil Brent $ Gold $

    8-Mar-13 1-Mar-13W-O-W

    Change %

    Rotterdam 916.0 931.0 -1.6%

    Houston 1,013.0 1,013.0 0.0%

    Singapore 931.0 959.0 -2.9%

    Rotterdam 608.0 614.0 -1.0%

    Houston 612.5 616.5 -0.6%

    Singapore 645.5 637.0 1.3%

    Bunker Prices

    MDO

    380cst

    CompanyStock

    ExchangeCurr. 08-Mar-13 01-Mar-13

    W-O-W

    Change %

    AEGEAN MARINE PETROL NTWK NYSE USD 6.95 6.25 11.2%

    BALTIC TRADING NYSE USD 3.93 3.78 4.0%

    BOX SHIPS INC NYSE USD 5.92 5.51 7.4%

    CAPITAL PRODUCT PARTNERS LP NASDAQ USD 7.76 7.88 -1.5%

    COSTAMARE INC NYSE USD 16.35 15.49 5.6%

    DANAOS CORPORATION NYSE USD 3.58 3.46 3.5%

    DIANA SHIPPING NYSE USD 9.06 8.47 7.0%

    DRYSHIPS INC NASDAQ USD 1.96 1.80 8.9%

    AGLE BULK SHIPPING NASDAQ USD 2.40 1.99 20.6%

    UROSEAS LTD. NASDAQ USD 1.02 0.99 3.0%

    XCEL MARITIME CARRIERS NYSE USD 0.65 0.52 25.0%

    REESEAS INC NASDAQ USD 1.75 0.97 80.4%

    GENCO SHIPPING NYSE USD 2.83 2.57 10.1%

    GLOBUS MARITIME LIMITED NASDAQ USD 1.94 1.81 7.2%

    GOLDENPORT HOLDINGS INC LONDON GBX 37.78 37.00 2.1%

    HELLENIC CARRIERS LIMITED LONDON GBX 18.10 18.30 -1.1%

    NAVIOS MARITIME ACQUISITIONS NYSE USD 3.37 2.99 12.7%

    NAVIOS MARITIME HOLDINGS NYSE USD 4.25 3.78 12.4%

    NAVIOS MARITIME PARTNERS LP NYSE USD 14.05 13.61 3.2%

    NEWLEAD HOLDINGS LTD NASDAQ USD 0.61 0.70 -12.9%

    PARAGON SHIPPING INC. NYSE USD 3.64 2.88 26.4%

    AFE BULKERS INC NYSE USD 4.63 3.93 17.8%

    EANERGY MARITIME HOLDINGS CORP NASDAQ USD 1.55 1.69 -8.3%

    TAR BULK CARRIERS CORP NASDAQ USD 6.05 5.75 5.2%

    TEALTHGAS INC NASDAQ USD 11.48 10.85 5.8%

    TSAKOS ENERGY NAVIGATION NYSE USD 4.12 3.71 11.1%

    TOP SHIPS INC NASDAQ USD 0.76 0.90 -15.6%

    Maritime Stock Data