Interim Report Student Managed Fund MBA class of 2004 November 14, 2003.

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Interim Report Student Managed Fund MBA class of 2004 November 14, 2003

Transcript of Interim Report Student Managed Fund MBA class of 2004 November 14, 2003.

Page 1: Interim Report Student Managed Fund MBA class of 2004 November 14, 2003.

Interim Report

Student Managed Fund MBA class of 2004

November 14, 2003

Page 2: Interim Report Student Managed Fund MBA class of 2004 November 14, 2003.

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Agenda

Investment Philosophy & Approach

Investment Process

Sector Allocation

MBA Fund Holdings & Investment Criteria

Future Outlook

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Investment Philosophy

Strive to outperform the S&P500 Selecting stocks with strong growth potential Closely monitoring the portfolio

Rely on fundamental analysis Historical performance Business models Economic outlook for the industry

Equal sector allocation Subject to re-evaluation due to economic

changes and the increased experience of the group

Long-term (5 year) investment horizon

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Stock Market Universe

Sector Allocation and Industry

Selection

Traded Stocks

Business Model Analysis

Competitors and Market Share

Products and Customers

Industry Outlook

Economic Situations

Risk vs. Return

Investment Approach

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Stock Selection Criteria

We look for:

Solid financials

Strong management

Earnings growth

Attractive valuation relative to the index

Higher return/risk relative to industry

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Stock Selection Criteria (continued)

Buy Criteria:

Steady growth rates

Intrinsic value > market value

Above average yields

Upside-downside ratio of at least 2

Sell Criteria:

Stock reaches its price objective

Industry-sector weighting exceeds

predetermined limits

Risk/reward profile deteriorates

Earnings figures lower than estimates

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Investment Process

Sector Allocation/Equity Identification Sector Assignments Filtering Equal Allocation

Fundamental Analysis Financial Statements Analysis Trend Analysis

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Investment Process (continued)

Valuation Business Model Analysis Intrinsic Value PEG Ratio NAICS CAPM Risk Factors (Internal & External)

Performance Monitoring Stop Loss Measures (20%) Appreciation Reevaluation (30%) Continuous Monitoring & Dynamic Response

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S&P 500 Sector Allocation

Big Four:

• Financials

• Information Technology

• Consumer Discretionary

• Health Care

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SMF Sector Allocation

As of 11/12/03

Budget not yet

fully allocated

Materials, 15%

Financials, 23%

Consumer Discretionary

, 20%

Information Technology,

17%

Healthcare, 24%

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SMF Holdings

Equal

weightings

of sectors

and initial

investments

($10,000 to

$15,000)

TickerDate of

PurchaseQuant

ityPurchase

PricePrice

(11/13/03)

Market Value

(11/12/03)

% Basic Gain

ALV 10/29/03 300 $32.43 $33.68 $10,104 3.54%

CD 11/12/03 700 $21.03 $21.40 $14,980 1.65%

COGN 10/31/03 300 $34.80 $35.58 $10,674 1.95%

GILD 11/12/03 300 $53.30 $55.04 $16,512 3.23%

FDC 11/04/03 280 $35.90 $37.08 $10,382.40 2.81%

HOTT 11/12/03 550 $27.43 $27.53 $15,141.50 0.09%

JEC 10/24/03 200 $47.86 $43.57 $8,714 -9.25%

OCR 11/05/03 350 $36.93 $38.36 $13,426 3.63%

TOL10/14/0311/04/03

100150

$34.96$38.01

$38.79 $9,697.50 4.75%

WFC 11/05/03 250 $55.23 $57.16 $14,290 3.27%

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SMF Holdings

Amount Invested in Individual Equities = $121,537.8

Market Value = $123,921.40

% Basic Gain/Loss = 1.96%

Initial Holdings on 9/4/03 = $251,741.00

Market Value on 11/12/03 = $ 261,250.76*

Total % Basic Gain/Loss = 3.78%*

S&P 500 Return (9/4/03-11/13/03) = 2.96%

(*Market value of SMF holdings at close on 11/13/03)

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Investment Criteria

Quantitative Qualitative

ROA Industry Growth

ROE Company Market Share

ROIC Corporate Governance

Growth in EPS Institutional Ownership

Free Cash Flow/Net Income Insider Trading

Gross Margin (%) Market PowerProduct Differentiation Low-cost ProducerCustomer Relationship

Retention Ratio

Economic Profit

Debt/Equity

Beta

Quantitative

& qualitative

factors

checked

across

industries

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Qualitative Investment Criteria - PortfolioALV COGN FDC JEC OCR TOL WFC

Industry Growth

23.23% 6.80% 10.81% -5.0% 6.12% 20.34% 6.90%

Company Market Share

31% airbags33% sidebags15% steering wheel14% safety electronics

0.40%

75% money transfer40% merchant processing25% card-issuing services

12.58% 1.4% 4.78% 17.71%

Market Power

Product Differentiation

Low-cost Producer

Customer Relationship

High

High

High

High

High

High

High

High

High

Medium

Medium

High

Medium

High

High

High

High

High

Medium

Medium

High

Corporate Governance

8/11 7/8 5/9 6/9 6/12 7/11Data not available

Institutional Ownership

99.05% 66.60% 95% 77.80% 95.6% 60.30% 67%

Insider Trading

0.07% 0% 1.13% 2.70% 25% 5.5% 0.11%

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  ALV COGN FDC JEC OCR TOL WFC

ROA 3.72% 9.13% 5.00% 5.30% 3.50% 7.67% 1.41%

ROE 7.30% 15.80% 26.93% 13.67% 7.00% 20.83% 15.53%

ROIC 10.12% 16.93% 18.17% 23.93%19.93

%13.04% 10.54%

Cost of Capital 7.29% 8.94% 8.00% 7.87% 6.80% 7.02% 6.68%

Economic Profit 3.89M 40.4M 718M 73.05M 19.08M 90.29M 2.091B

EPS Growth 63.70% 6.96% 23.51% 34.53%44.77

%29.43% 16.29%

FCF/NI 68.30% 152% 129.46% 71.20% 46.3% -109% n/a

Gross Margin 17.91% n/a 42.17% 13.73%29.64

%8.95% n/a

Ret. Ratio 51% 100% 96% 100%90.67

%100% 61%

Debt/Equity 0.54 0 0.71 0 0.65 0.69 1.45

Beta 1 1.2 1.13 0.95 0.78 1.1 1.05

Quantitative Investment Criteria - Portfolio

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Qualitative Investment Criteria - PortfolioALV COGN FDC JEC OCR TOL WFC

Industry Growth

23.23% 6.80% 10.81% -5.0% 6.12% 20.34% 6.90%

Company Market Share

31% airbags33% sidebags15% steering wheel14% safety electronics

0.40%

75% money transfer40% merchant processing25% card-issuing services

12.58% 1.4% 4.78% 17.71%

Market Power

Product Differentiation

Low-cost Producer

Customer Relationship

High

High

High

High

High

High

High

High

High

Medium

Medium

High

Medium

High

High

High

High

High

Medium

Medium

High

Corporate Governance

8/11 7/8 5/9 6/9 6/12 7/11Data not available

Institutional Ownership

99.05% 66.60% 95% 77.80% 95.6% 60.30% 67%

Insider Trading

0.07% 0% 1.13% 2.70% 25% 5.5% 0.11%

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  ALV COGN FDC JEC OCR TOL WFC

ROA 3.72% 9.13% 5.00% 5.30% 3.50% 7.67% 1.41%

ROE 7.30% 15.80% 26.93% 13.67% 7.00% 20.83% 15.53%

ROIC 10.12% 16.93% 18.17% 23.93%19.93

%13.04% 10.54%

Cost of Capital 7.29% 8.94% 8.00% 7.87% 6.80% 7.02% 6.68%

Economic Profit 3.89M 40.4M 718M 73.05M 19.08M 90.29M 2.091B

EPS Growth 63.70% 6.96% 23.51% 34.53%44.77

%29.43% 16.29%

FCF/NI 68.30% 152% 129.46% 71.20% 46.3% -109% n/a

Gross Margin 17.91% n/a 42.17% 13.73%29.64

%8.95% n/a

Ret. Ratio 51% 100% 96% 100%90.67

%100% 61%

Debt/Equity 0.54 0 0.71 0 0.65 0.69 1.45

Beta 1 1.2 1.13 0.95 0.78 1.1 1.05

Quantitative Investment Criteria - Portfolio

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Outlook

Strong economic growth likely

Adjust sector allocation to economic outlook

Monitor portfolio to maximize value

Invest funds quickly, but wisely

Beat benchmark

Positive market returns expected

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MBA Fund Managers

Michael Appell

Jessie LeBlanc

Tanzhuo Liu

Saipriya Menon

Geoffrey Munger

Ganesh Padmanabhan

Anjana Radhakrishnan

Heather Utter

Wiebke Wanner-Borchardt

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Thank you

University of Connecticut Foundation Inc.

Investment Advisory Board

Steering Committee

Dr. Chinmoy Ghosh

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Questions