Integrated System Health Management (ISHM) Design Study
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Transcript of Integrated System Health Management (ISHM) Design Study
Integrated System Health Management Design Study
Integrated System Health Management(ISHM)
Design Study
Jim MacConnellConsensus Technology, LLC
2200 N. 77th St.Seattle, WA 98104-4928
Tel: 206.524.8555Fax: 206.524.3034
The Potential of Designing for/with ISHM
Integrated System Health Management Design Study
Agenda
• Welcome & Introductions 9:00 Barthelemy• AFRL Overview 9:10 Cruse• ISHM IPT Perspectives 10:00 Navarra
DerissoBeachkofski
• Study Overview 10:30 MacConnell• ISHM Perspectives 11:00 Participants
Lunch 12:00• ISHM Perspectives (Cont.) 12:30 Participants• Study Discussion 3:00 MacConnell
All• Wrap Up & Adjourn 4:00 Barthelemy
Integrated System Health Management Design Study
Agenda
• Welcome & Introductions 9:00 Barthelemy• AFRL Overview 9:10 Cruse• ISHM IPT Perspective 10:00 Navarra
DerissoBeachkofski
• Study Overview 10:30 MacConnell• ISHM Perspectives 11:00 Participants
Lunch 12:00• ISHM Perspectives (Cont.) 12:30• Study Discussion 3:00 MacConnell
All• Wrap Up & Adjourn 4:00
Integrated System Health Management Design Study
Integrated System Health Management (ISHM) Design Study
Jim MacConnellConsensus Technology, LLC
2200 N. 77th St.Seattle, WA 98104-4928
Tel: 206.524.8555Fax: 206.524.3034
Study Overview
Integrated System Health Management Design Study
Study Overview• Define and document
• The potential impact of an optimized Integrated Health Management System on
• Design of Unmanned Air Vehicles (UAVs)• Design of Space Operating Vehicles (SOVs)
• The technology issues and shortfalls that would need to be addressed to achieve that impact
• Critical technologies that have the potential to address those shortfalls• A business case analysis that provides rationale for:
• Designing for/with ISHM• Prioritization of technical shortfalls• Pursuing specific critical technologies
• The preferred programmatic approach to pursuing those technologies• Collaborative Approaches (Consortia, Collaborative Programs)• Suite of Conventional CRAD Programs
• Challenge is Balance between Program/Initiative building and Technical/Business Assessment
Integrated System Health Management Design Study
Study Schedule
Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May JunStudy Development• Define conceptual approach• Build collaborative team• Define needs/resourcesDefine Benefits • Ideal System Definition• ISHM <> Design Vision• “Business Case” Dev.Identify Critical Elements• Define technology pieces• Define req’d attributes• Identify short-fallsEstablish Development
Plan• Prioritize technology needs• Develop integration plan• Define resource allocation• Finalize “team” construct
Document, Present and DoInitial Study Results
(Technology)Final Study Results
(Programmatic)
Initial Industry Meeting
Integrated System Health Management Design Study
WBI SOW
Integrated System Health Management Design Study
Study Tasking
Task 1:• Study Development
1. define the specifics of the study with the government ISHM IPT, 2. assemble the collaborative ISHM team that will execute the study under
the leadership of the Wright Brothers Institute, 3. define the needed effort for Tasks 2 and 3, and 4. identify the government and industry resources required to execute the
study.
Task 2:• Define the potential impact of an optimized Integrated
Health Management System on the design of Unmanned Air Vehicles (UAVs).
• Assuming an ideal health management capability, • which would include available sensors with required performance, durability and
reliability, the Wright Brothers Institute and the collaborative ISHM team shall:• perform a business case analysis to examine
• the monetary trades, system performance, mission availability, and procurement size impact for a new acquisition
• if the design accounted for the benefits of health monitoring and management.
Integrated System Health Management Design Study
Study Tasking
Task 3:• Define the potential impact of an optimized Integrated
Health Management System on the design of Space Operating Vehicles (SOVs).
• Assuming an ideal health management capability, • which would include available sensors with required performance, durability and reliability,
• perform a business case analysis to examine • the monetary trades, system performance, mission availability, and procurement size impact for a
new acquisition • if the design accounted for the benefits of health monitoring and
management. Task 4:
• Compile and develop a final report that will include • the findings of the study as well as the required R&D to achieve an optimized ISHM. • A summary of the findings quantifying the benefits of the proposed ISHM system and
documentation of the business decisions made in selecting the attributes of the ISHM system will be included.
• a list of the technical challenges and critical technologies that need to be further developed or desired.
• Identification of the required sensors, sensor accuracy and reliability necessary for the OEM to seriously consider its use in an ISHM system.
• Definition of any shortfalls in computational, inspection and manufacturing capability which may prohibit the implementation of an ISHM system
Integrated System Health Management Design Study
Overall Objectives
• To define the overall scope and key research areas of a cross technical directorate effort in ISHM
• To define and assess cost, performance, and other benefits that may be achieved by including ISHM capabilities in the conceptual design of aerospace vehicles.
• study how ISHM might influence the design of the vehicles and the system as a whole.
• quantify the benefits of the “proposed” ISHM system • document the business decisions made in selecting the attributes of the ISHM system
• To identify the critical technology elements required to realize those benefits
• Define technical challenges and critical technologies that need to be further developed.
• Identify the required sensors, sensor accuracy and reliability necessary for the OEM to seriously consider its use in an ISHM system.
• Define shortfalls in computational, inspection and manufacturing capability which may prohibit the implementation of an ISHM system will be defined
• To establish a roadmap for pursuing those technologies.
Integrated System Health Management Design Study
Overall Objective
• To define the overall scope and key research areas of a cross technical directorate effort in ISHM• Focus on collaborative development of:
• Technical focus areas• Benefits definition and analysis
• True INTEGRATION vs. Cross-Functional Development
Integrated System Health Management Design Study
ISHM IPT Roles and ResponsibilityAction Teams and Team Leads
StructuresM. DerrisoVA, VS, ML
PropulsionB. Beachkofski
PR, ML
AvionicsM. WicksSN, ML
ControlsJ.B. SchroederVA , VS, PR
Net Centric Operations and Logistics
C. CurtisIF, HE
Sub-SystemsK. Navarra
ML, SN, PR, VA
WeaponsMN, DE, ML
System HealthM. DerrisoVA, VS, IF
External Database
555
Integrated System Health Management Design Study
Define Benefits• To define and assess cost, performance, and other benefits that may be achieved by including ISHM capabilities in the conceptual
design of the vehicles. • Not just “What are the benefits if the design accounted for the benefits of health monitoring and management.” • Rather “Would we design differently if the ideal ISHM system existed and what would be the benefits of THAT design/system”
Opens up the discussion but presents real challenges
Integrated System Health Management Design Study
Would ISHM Impact the Following?
ÿ Current Structural Design Philosophy
ßReduce FOS?
ßLighter Design?
ÿ New Structural Design Philosophy
ß Enable Reliability-based (Probabilistic)Design Approach?
ß Reduce reliance on structuralredundancy for fail-safety, reducesweight and cost?
ÿ Structural/Materials Certification Process
ßReduce Certification Time?
ÿ New Structural Maintenance Procedure
ßEnable Condition-Based Maintenance?
Structural Design
Full-Scale Structural Fatigue Test
Structural Inspection
Structural Health Management (SHM) Transition to Future Aerospace SystemsPatrick Goggin : Director of Structures Technology - Boeing Phantom Works
Integrated System Health Management Design Study
Identify Critical Elements
• To identify the critical technology elements required to realize those benefits • Define technical challenges and critical technologies that need to be further developed. • Identify the required sensors, sensor accuracy and reliability necessary for the OEM to seriously consider its use in an ISHM system. • Define shortfalls in computational, inspection and manufacturing capability which may prohibit the implementation of an ISHM system will
be defined
SOA Vision
?Sensor
s
Prognostics
Computational Power
Real Time Decision Making
System Analysis
Physics Based Approaches
Impedance Methods
Pattern Recognition
Diagnostics
Bandwidth
Data Storag
e
System Certification
Integrated System Health Management Design Study
Prognostics
Real Time Decision Making
System Analysis
Pattern RecognitionComputational Power
Physics Based Approaches
Impedance Methods
Diagnostics
Sensors
BandwidthData
Storage
System Certification
Prognostics
Real Time Decision Making
System Analysis
Pattern Recognition
Computational Power
Physics Based Approach
Impedance Methods
DiagnosticsSensors
Bandwidth
Data Storage
System Certification
Establish development plan • To establish a roadmap for pursuing those technologies.
• Transform the set of technology needs into a prioritized and structured technology development thrusts
• Integrate the technology thrusts into a set of discreet, manageable but inter-dependent efforts
• Define the resources needed for those efforts and the appropriate “team” construct to conduct those efforts successfully
?Senso
rs
Prognostics
Computational Power
Real Time Decision Making
System Analysis
Physics Based Approaches
Impedance Methods
Pattern Recognition
Diagnostics
Bandwidth
Data Storag
e
System Certification
Integrated System Health Management Design Study
Study Overview• Define and document
• The potential impact of an optimized Integrated Health Management System on
• Design of Unmanned Air Vehicles (UAVs)• Design of Space Operating Vehicles (SOVs)
• The technology issues and shortfalls that would need to be addressed to achieve that impact
• Critical technologies that have the potential to address those shortfalls• A business case analysis that provides rationale for:
• Designing for/with ISHM• Prioritization of technical shortfalls• Pursuing specific critical technologies
• The preferred programmatic approach to pursuing those technologies• Collaborative Approaches (Consortia, Collaborative Programs)• Suite of Conventional CRAD Programs
• Challenge is Balance between Program/Initiative building and Technical/Business Assessment
Integrated System Health Management Design Study
Autonomic Maintenance & Logistics
Perform Mission• In situ mission modification• Life extending controls, etc.
Usage Data/Learning Algorithms/Neural Nets
Payoff:Improved Readiness/Mission CapabilityImproved Safety
C1
C2
Material Prognosis (A1)
Determine Remaining Useful Life• State awareness• Fault anal.• Life prediction
Quantitative Prediction of Future Capability(PROGNOSIS)
A
Component Prognosis (A2)Determine Remaining Useful Life• State awareness• Fault anal.• Life prediction
Quantitative Prediction of Future Capability(PROGNOSIS)
A
Subsystem Prognosis (A3)Determine Remaining Useful Life• State awareness• Fault anal.• Life prediction
Quantitative Prediction of Future Capability(PROGNOSIS)
A
System Prognosis (A4)Determine Remaining Useful Life• State awareness• Fault anal.• Life prediction
Quantitative Prediction of Future Capability(PROGNOSIS)
An
CAPABILITY:
Payoff:Reduced O&S Costs•Less Inspection Time•Less Maintenance Time•Faster Turn Around
Capability Ultimately Limited by Existing
Design Methodology DnNEW design philosophy!! C3
Vehicle
Systems Health ManagementUltimate Goal
Integrated System Health Management Design Study
Questions to be answered
• What are the key features of the ideal ISHM capability?• Know everything about everything?
• Discrete versus continuum sensing• What it means versus what it is• Know it now not after
• Know what to do about it?• Intelligent decision making• Learning systems
• What technologies are required to achieve the ideal ISHM capability?• Bandwidth• Processing power• Sensors
• Integrated
• Where do we start if our goal is the ideal system?• Building block approach?
Integrated System Health Management Design Study
Would ISHM Impact the Following?
Current Structural Design PhilosophyReduce FOS?
Lighter Design?
New Structural Design Philosophy Enable Reliability-based (Probabilistic) Design Approach?
Reduce reliance on structural redundancy for fail-safety, reduces weight and cost?
Structural/Materials Certification ProcessReduce Certification Time?
New Structural Maintenance ProcedureEnable Condition-Based Maintenance?
Structural Design
Full-Scale Structural Fatigue Test
Structural Inspection
Integrated System Health Management Design Study
ISHM IPT Roles and ResponsibilityAction Teams and Team Leads
StructuresM. DerrisoVA, VS, ML
PropulsionB. Beachkofski
PR, ML
AvionicsM. WicksSN, ML
ControlsJ.B. SchroederVA, VS, PR
Net Centric Operations and Logistics
C. CurtisIF, HE
Sub-SystemsK. Navarra
ML, SN, PR, VA
WeaponsMN, DE, ML
System HealthM. DerrisoVA, VS, IF
External Database
555