Insurance Mergers & Acquisitions Reading the Tea Leaves · Insurance M&A – Reading the Tea...

15
One Financial Plaza Hartford, CT 06103 | www.conning.com Insurance Mergers & Acquisitions Reading the Tea Leaves Presentation at CAS Centenary Meeting Jerry Theodorou Conning November 11, 2014

Transcript of Insurance Mergers & Acquisitions Reading the Tea Leaves · Insurance M&A – Reading the Tea...

Page 1: Insurance Mergers & Acquisitions Reading the Tea Leaves · Insurance M&A – Reading the Tea Leaves, Agenda 2 Why Care About M&A? History of U.S. Insurance M&A Recent U.S. P-C M&A

One Financial Plaza Hartford, CT 06103 | www.conning.com

Insurance Mergers &

Acquisitions – Reading

the Tea Leaves Presentation at CAS Centenary Meeting

Jerry Theodorou

Conning

November 11, 2014

Page 2: Insurance Mergers & Acquisitions Reading the Tea Leaves · Insurance M&A – Reading the Tea Leaves, Agenda 2 Why Care About M&A? History of U.S. Insurance M&A Recent U.S. P-C M&A

Insurance M&A – Reading the Tea Leaves, Agenda

2

Why Care About M&A?

History of U.S. Insurance M&A

Recent U.S. P-C M&A Activity, 2013 versus 2014

Trends in 2014 Insurance M&A through Q3 Shaping the Future

Page 3: Insurance Mergers & Acquisitions Reading the Tea Leaves · Insurance M&A – Reading the Tea Leaves, Agenda 2 Why Care About M&A? History of U.S. Insurance M&A Recent U.S. P-C M&A

Why Care About M&A?

3

It can affect careers, positively or negatively

Creates new product opportunities from combination

Opens new geographic expansion opportunities

Introduces potential for reductions from staff function consolidation

M&A as leading indicator of the industry

M&A builds strong companies, and takes out weaker ones

Points to future landscape of the industry from the trends and patterns characterizing M&A transactions

Page 4: Insurance Mergers & Acquisitions Reading the Tea Leaves · Insurance M&A – Reading the Tea Leaves, Agenda 2 Why Care About M&A? History of U.S. Insurance M&A Recent U.S. P-C M&A

U.S. P-C Insurance M&A

Note: This graph is adjusted to exclude Associates First Capital acquisition by Citigroup in 2000.

*This graph includes transactions where a U.S. company was the acquirer and/or the target.

Source: Public announcements (press releases or other public disclosures), Conning analysis

4

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

$0

$5

$10

$15

$20

$25

$30

$35

$40

$45

$50

$55

$60

199

6

199

7

199

8

199

9

200

0

200

1

200

2

200

3

200

4

200

5

200

6

200

7

200

8

200

9

201

0

201

1

201

2

201

3

Transactions Value ($) # of Transactions

Historical U.S.* Insurance Mergers & Acquisitions, Property-Casualty Sector ($ in billions)

Page 5: Insurance Mergers & Acquisitions Reading the Tea Leaves · Insurance M&A – Reading the Tea Leaves, Agenda 2 Why Care About M&A? History of U.S. Insurance M&A Recent U.S. P-C M&A

P-C Insurance M&A and the Insurance Cycle

*This graph includes transactions where a U.S. company was the acquirer and/or the target.

Source: Public announcements, Conning analysis

5

-6%

-4%

-2%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

198

9

199

0

199

1

199

2

199

3

199

4

199

5

199

6

199

7

199

8

199

9

200

0

200

1

200

2

200

3

200

4

200

5

200

6

200

7

200

8

200

9

201

0

201

1

201

2

201

3

# of Transactions NPW Change (%)

U.S.* Property-Casualty Insurance-Related Mergers & Acquisitions versus the Insurance Cycle

Page 6: Insurance Mergers & Acquisitions Reading the Tea Leaves · Insurance M&A – Reading the Tea Leaves, Agenda 2 Why Care About M&A? History of U.S. Insurance M&A Recent U.S. P-C M&A

Current Insurance M&A – YTD 2014 versus YTD 2013

6

U.S.* Insurance-Related Mergers & Acquisitions by Sector

2014 – through Q3 versus 2013 – through Q3 ($ in billions)

30

7 11

259

55

30

13 11

240

40

P&C Life Health Distribution Services

2014 - through Q3 2013 - through Q3

Number of Transactions Aggregate Announced Value

$3.3

$7.8

$0.9

$1.7

$10.0

$3.1 $3.0

$0.0

$7.1

$2.7

P&C Life Health Distribution Services

2014 - through Q3 2013 - through Q3

*This graph includes transactions where a U.S. company was the acquirer and/or the target.

Source: Public announcements, Conning analysis

Page 7: Insurance Mergers & Acquisitions Reading the Tea Leaves · Insurance M&A – Reading the Tea Leaves, Agenda 2 Why Care About M&A? History of U.S. Insurance M&A Recent U.S. P-C M&A

Six Trends in Insurance M&A -- CANDID

7

Customer

Analytics

Niche

Distribution

International

Divestiture

Page 8: Insurance Mergers & Acquisitions Reading the Tea Leaves · Insurance M&A – Reading the Tea Leaves, Agenda 2 Why Care About M&A? History of U.S. Insurance M&A Recent U.S. P-C M&A

Customer

8

Three of the five $1 billion + insurance M&A transactions in 2014 through Q3 were of claims

adjusting firms. The claims function is the closest link to the customer in the insurance

value chain

Source: Public announcements, Conning analysis

Acquirer Target

Target

Description

Transaction

Value ($ in millions)

Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co. LLP Sedgwick Claims Management Services, Inc. Loss adjuster $2,400

Starr International Co. and

Partners Group AG MultiPlan, Inc. Health claims 4,400

Onex Corp. York Risk Services Group, Inc. Loss adjuster 1,325

Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co. T&H Global Holdings LLC Third-party administrator N/A

Stone Point Capital LLC LTCG Health claims N/A

York Risk Services Group, Inc. CareWorks Ltd. Third-party administrator N/A

American Claims Services, Inc. Loss adjuster N/A

Bickmore and Associates, Inc. Third-party administrator N/A

Donald K. Sams & Associates, Inc. Loss adjuster N/A

Page 9: Insurance Mergers & Acquisitions Reading the Tea Leaves · Insurance M&A – Reading the Tea Leaves, Agenda 2 Why Care About M&A? History of U.S. Insurance M&A Recent U.S. P-C M&A

Analytics

9

Analytics and technology have been identified as the number one concern at both mutual

insurers (Conning Survey of Mutual Insurers) as well as reinsurers (PWC survey 2014)

Source: Public announcements, Conning analysis

Acquirer Target

Target

Description

Transaction

Value ($ in millions)

Verisk Analytics, Inc. EagleView Technology Corp. IT $650

Summit Partners LP ABILITY Network Inc. IT 550

Solera Holdings, Inc. Insurance and services division of

Pittsburgh Glass Works LLC IT 280

Autosoft Srl. Claims Software (Italy) N/A

Xerox Corp. ISG Holdings, Inc. BPO 230

First American Financial Corp. Interthinx, Inc. Data analytics 155

Page 10: Insurance Mergers & Acquisitions Reading the Tea Leaves · Insurance M&A – Reading the Tea Leaves, Agenda 2 Why Care About M&A? History of U.S. Insurance M&A Recent U.S. P-C M&A

Value in Analytics

10

The potential of advanced analytics to bring significant improvement to the insurance industry is

reflected in the profit margins of publicly-traded insurance technology firms

Source: Public announcements, Conning analysis

Company

2013

Revenue Growth

EBIDTA

Margin

Solera Holdings, Inc. 6% 37%

Verisk Analytics, Inc. 13% 47%

Ebix, Inc. 3% 42%

Average 7% 42%

Page 11: Insurance Mergers & Acquisitions Reading the Tea Leaves · Insurance M&A – Reading the Tea Leaves, Agenda 2 Why Care About M&A? History of U.S. Insurance M&A Recent U.S. P-C M&A

Niche

11

Source: Public announcements, Conning analysis

Close to three quarters of outperforming property-casualty insurers (those with long-term

combined ratio ≥ 10 points better than industry average) are specialists

Acquirer Target

Target

Description

Transaction

Value ($ in millions)

TPG Capital LP The Warranty Group, Inc. Warranty/Surety $1,500

Validus Holdings Ltd. (Bermuda) Western World Insurance Group, Inc. E&S 690

Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd. (Canada) Pethealth, Inc. Pet insurance 92

Randall & Quilter Investment Holdings plc (U.K.) Accredited Holding Corp. Bail and surety bonds 25

Page 12: Insurance Mergers & Acquisitions Reading the Tea Leaves · Insurance M&A – Reading the Tea Leaves, Agenda 2 Why Care About M&A? History of U.S. Insurance M&A Recent U.S. P-C M&A

Distribution

12

One way for insurers to get closer to the customer is to control the distribution, a strategy

exemplified by insurers acquiring program managers, MGAs and MGUs

Source: Public announcements, Conning analysis

Acquirer Target

Target

Description

Transaction

Value ($ in millions)

Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd. (Canada) Motor Transport Underwriters, Inc. Program manager N/A

Houston International Insurance Group Ltd. The Compass Group, Inc. MGU N/A

Liberty Mutual Insurance Group Hughes Insurance MGA N/A

State Automobile Mutual Insurance Co. Partners General Insurance Agency, LLC MGU N/A

Page 13: Insurance Mergers & Acquisitions Reading the Tea Leaves · Insurance M&A – Reading the Tea Leaves, Agenda 2 Why Care About M&A? History of U.S. Insurance M&A Recent U.S. P-C M&A

International

13

Many of the largest transactions of 2014 YTD (and 2013) were cross-border, reflecting insurers’

recognition of the premium growth potential outside the U.S.

Source: Public announcements, Conning analysis

Acquirer Target

Target

Description

Transaction

Value ($ in millions)

ACE Ltd.

P&C business from Itaú Seguros S.A. Brazil Brazil $685

The Siam Commercial Samaggi Insurance

Public Co. Ltd. Thailand 185

Allied World Assurance Co. Holdings AG RSA Hong Kong Ltd. and RSA Singapore Hong Kong/Singapore 215

Liberty Mutual Insurance Group Uni.Asia General Insurance Bhd. Malaysia 113

Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd. (Canada) PT Batavia Mitratama Insurance Indonesia N/A

Starr International Co. (Bermuda) Dazhong Insurance Co. Ltd. China N/A

Page 14: Insurance Mergers & Acquisitions Reading the Tea Leaves · Insurance M&A – Reading the Tea Leaves, Agenda 2 Why Care About M&A? History of U.S. Insurance M&A Recent U.S. P-C M&A

Divestiture/Distress

14

Reserve increases and operating losses drive motivated sellers to seek acquirers

Source: Public announcements, Conning analysis

Acquirer Target

Target

Description

Transaction

Value ($ in millions)

American Financial Group, Inc. Summit Holdings Southeast, Inc. Workers Comp $250

Enstar Group, Inc. Companion Property & Casualty Insurance

Group Commercial & residential 218

ACP Re Ltd. Tower Group International Ltd. Insurance/Reinsurance 172

Catalina Holdings Ltd. SPARTA Insurance Holdings, Inc. Specialty programs N/A

The Motorists Insurance Group, Inc. Consumers Insurance USA, Inc. Personal & commercial auto N/A

Page 15: Insurance Mergers & Acquisitions Reading the Tea Leaves · Insurance M&A – Reading the Tea Leaves, Agenda 2 Why Care About M&A? History of U.S. Insurance M&A Recent U.S. P-C M&A

15

About Conning

Conning is a leading investment management company for the global insurance industry. Conning is

focused on the future, supporting the insurance industry with innovative financial solutions, investment

experience and proprietary research. Conning’s unique combination of asset management, risk and capital

management software and advisory solutions, as well as insurance research, helps clients achieve their

financial goals through customized business and investment strategies. Founded in 1912, Conning is

headquartered in Hartford, Connecticut and serves its global client base from additional offices in New

York, London, Cologne and Hong Kong.

Insurance Research

Conning publishes a number of insurance industry research services, including its Insurance Segment

Reports semiannual line-of-business reviews; its Forecast & Analysis service, which offers a forward look

at the industry; and its well-known Strategic Study series of executive reports on key products and trends

and issues of critical industry importance. All are available in print and online through our web-based

research portal Conning Library (www.conninglibrary.com).

For more information on our insurance research services,

please call 888-707-1177 or visit www.conningresearch.com.

This presentation has been prepared for and distributed exclusively on behalf of Conning. Further

distribution, sale, or reproduction, in whole or in part, and by any means, is prohibited. Statements and

information in this report were compiled from sources that we consider to be reliable or are expressions of

our opinion. The presentation is not intended to be complete, and we do not guarantee its accuracy. It does

not constitute and must not be considered investment advice. With offices in Hartford, Purchase, London,

Cologne, and Hong Kong, Conning is a portfolio company of the funds managed by Aquiline Capital

Partners LLC (“Aquiline”), a New York-based private equity firm.