Infrastructure Modeling: Crawl, Walk, Run...Infrastructure Modeling: Crawl, Walk, Run Briefing for...

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Office of Cyber and Infrastructure Analysis National Protection and Programs Directorate Infrastructure Modeling: Crawl, Walk, Run Briefing for the GUIRR February 24, 2016

Transcript of Infrastructure Modeling: Crawl, Walk, Run...Infrastructure Modeling: Crawl, Walk, Run Briefing for...

  • Office of Cyber and Infrastructure Analysis

    National Protection and Programs Directorate

    Infrastructure Modeling: Crawl, Walk, Run

    Briefing for the GUIRR

    February 24, 2016

  • 2

    Strengthen the security and resilience of the Nation’s critical infrastructure through innovative cyber and physical analysis

    OCIA Vision

    Inform the decisions that protect the Nation’s critical infrastructure

    OCIA Mission

  • 3

    OCIA Analytic Evolution

    • Plume dispersion • Population impacts

    • Economic impacts • Supply Chain Impact

    • Electric power outages • Surge inundation

    • Economic impacts • Infrastructure impacts

    • Cascading impacts • Restoration Prioritization

    • Population impacts • Impacts of mitigation strategies

    • Critical Infrastructure Effects • Cascading Effects

    Industrial Accidents

    Pandemic

    Hurricanes

    • Retail payment system • Global financial network

    • Inundation Assessment • Cascading Impacts

    • Consequence Assessment • Restoration Projections / Prioritization

    Banking and Finance

    Inland/Coastal Flooding

    Electric Power

    • Water Sector • Comm./Govt.

    facilities

    Cyber-Physical

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    I. Planning for Infrastructure Disruptions

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    Estimated restoration times for damaged

    and outaged substations

    Electric power infrastructure damaged and

    outaged

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    Estimated damage to natural gas pipelines

    and compressor stations

    Expected damage to highway bridges and

    tunnels in the Cascadia region

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    Integrated Water Model Northern NJ

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    II. Understanding Infrastructure Dependencies

  • 9 EP Infrastructure Linden, NJ-Staten Island, NY

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    Water-Electric Power Dependencies

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    III. Modeling Uncertainty

  • 12 Hurricane Risk: Wilmington, NC

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    Hurricane Risk: Wilmington, NC

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    IV. Modeling Supply Chains

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    National Transportation Fuels Model

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    Iron Ore-Steel Supply Chain

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    MSCX

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    MSCX

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    MSCX

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    V. Modeling Democratization

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    AGAVE

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    AGAVE

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    AGAVE

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    AGAVE

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    Analytic Success in a Dynamic Environment

    Humility

  • For more information visit:

    www.dhs.gov/office-cyber-infrastructure-analysis

    Brandon D. Wales

    Director, OCIA

    [email protected]


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