InfoAg 2003 Indianapolis, July 30-August 1 2003
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Transcript of InfoAg 2003 Indianapolis, July 30-August 1 2003
InfoAg 2003InfoAg 2003Indianapolis, July 30-August 1 Indianapolis, July 30-August 1 20032003
Fernando O. GarcíaFernando O. García
www.inpofos.orgwww.inpofos.org
Grain Production Systems Grain Production Systems in Argentinain Argentina
AcassusoAcassuso
Argentina
Bolivia
Chile
Paraguay
Uruguay
INPOFOS Southern ConeINPOFOS Southern ConeThe RegionThe Region
Total Area(thousand km2)
Population(millions)
Source: World Bank
36
8
15
5
3
2780
1099
757
177
407
TotalTotal 676752205220
USAUSA 27027093749374
Grain Crops in the Southern ConeGrain Crops in the Southern Cone
Sources: SAGPyA (2003), INE (2000), ODEPA (2002), DCEA-MAG (2000) and MGAyP (2001) Sources: SAGPyA (2003), INE (2000), ODEPA (2002), DCEA-MAG (2000) and MGAyP (2001)
0
3000
6000
9000
12000
15000
Soybeans Corn Wheat
Are
a (
tho
us
an
d h
a) Argentina Bolivia
Chile ParaguayUruguay
1443514435
38173817
69516951
AreaArea
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
Soybeans Corn Wheat
Pro
du
cti
on
(th
ou
sa
nd
t) Argentina Bolivia
Chile Paraguay
Uruguay
3920639206
17322173221477414774
ProductionProduction
40°
36°
32°
28°
Buenos Aires
Entre Ríos
Santa Fe
Córdoba
La Pampa
The Pampas region of ArgentinaThe Pampas region of Argentina
Map developed with ArcView - ESRI
IndianapolisIndianapolis
Southern TexasSouthern Texas
40 inches
20 inches
Crop Production in ArgentinaCrop Production in Argentina1991-20021991-2002
05000
10000150002000025000300003500040000
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002
Pro
duct
ion (
1,0
00 t
n) Corn Soybean
Wheat Sunflower
Source: SENASA-SAGPyASource: SENASA-SAGPyA
Crop Area in ArgentinaCrop Area in Argentina1991-20021991-2002
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002
Are
a (
1,0
00 h
a)
Corn Soybean
Wheat Sunflower
Source: SENASA-SAGPyASource: SENASA-SAGPyA
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002
Yie
ld (
kg/h
a)
Corn SoybeanWheat Sunflower
77.7 bu/A
41.1 bu/A
29.9 bu/A
Yield evolution of grain Yield evolution of grain cropscrops
1991-20021991-2002
Source: SENASA-SAGPyASource: SENASA-SAGPyA
Relative Increases in Production, Area and Yield Relative Increases in Production, Area and Yield of the Main Crops of Argentina between 1991 of the Main Crops of Argentina between 1991 and 2002and 2002
Corn Soybeans Wheat Sunflower
--------------- % ---------------
Production 40 209 24 11
Area 14 152 29 -13
Yield 23 23 1 28
Continuous SoyContinuous SoyCottonCottonWheat/SoyWheat/SoySunflower/SoySunflower/Soy PasturesPastures
Rice - PasturesRice - PasturesSoy - RiceSoy - Rice
SugarcaneSugarcaneContinuous SoyContinuous SoySoy – CornSoy – CornWheat/SoyWheat/Soy
Continuous SoyContinuous SoyWheat/SoyWheat/SoyCorn – Wheat/SoyCorn – Wheat/SoyCorn – Soy - Wheat/SoyCorn – Soy - Wheat/Soy
PasturesPasturesContinuous SoyContinuous SoyCorn - SoyCorn - Soy
PasturesPasturesWheat – SunflowerWheat – SunflowerCorn – Wheat/SoyCorn – Wheat/SoyCorn – Soy - WheatCorn – Soy - Wheat
PasturesPasturesWheat – SunflowerWheat – SunflowerWheat – BarleyWheat – BarleyWheat - FallowWheat - FallowCorn – Soy - WheatCorn – Soy - Wheat
Rotations and SequencesRotations and Sequences
0
200000
400000
600000
800000
1980/81 1984/85 1988/89 1992/93 1996/97 2000/01
Are
a (
ha
)
Chaco
Santiago de Estero
Entre Ríos
0
500000
1000000
1500000
2000000
2500000
3000000
3500000
1980/81 1984/85 1988/89 1992/93 1996/97 2000/01
Are
a (
ha
)
Santa Fe
Cordoba
Buenos Aires
So
ybea
ns:
In
crea
ses
in A
rea
by
Pro
vin
ceS
oyb
ean
s: I
ncr
ease
s in
Are
a b
y P
rovi
nce
Area planted to Soybeans in the County of CaserosArea planted to Soybeans in the County of CaserosSouth-Central Santa Fe - Soybean Belt of Argentina - 2000/01South-Central Santa Fe - Soybean Belt of Argentina - 2000/01
Source: G. Cordone (INTA Casilda)
Why is the planted area and Why is the planted area and production increasing?production increasing?
Improved and stable economy Good grain international prices in the mid 90’s Climate change: Better precipitation regime in
the western Pampas Expansion of no-tillage GR Soybean Varieties Improved crop management (hybrids,
varieties, weed and pests control, etc) Greater use of fertilizers
Area under No-Tillage in ArgentinaArea under No-Tillage in Argentina
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002
Are
a u
nd
er N
T (
tho
usa
nd
ha) 14,200,000 ha in 2001/0214,200,000 ha in 2001/02
51% of the total cropped area51% of the total cropped area
Source: AAPRESID (2003)Source: AAPRESID (2003)
GR Soybeans expansion in GR Soybeans expansion in ArgentinaArgentina
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
Year
Are
a (t
ho
usa
nd
ha)
Total Soybeans
GR Soybeans
Fertilizer consumption in Argentina, 1991-2001Fertilizer consumption in Argentina, 1991-2001Source: SENASA-SAGPyA
0
500
1000
1500
2000
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000
Year
Co
ns
um
pti
on
(th
ou
sa
nd
to
n) Others
P fertilizers
N fertilizers
Total
1991-1996
1996-2001
1991-2001
Total N fertilizers P fertilizers Others
257 141 104 13
80 58 21 -
166 88 69 9
Period
Annual rate of increase (thousand ton per year)
Economics of grain production for Economics of grain production for the Northern Pampasthe Northern Pampas
Soybeans Corn Wheat Soybeans II
Price ($/bu)
4.3 1.9 2.8 4.3
Yield (bu/acre)
60 159 48 45
Gross Income ($/A)
255 302 135 191
Net Income ($/A)
202 172 103 147
Expenses ($/A)
45 88 56 36
Gross Margin($/A)
157 84 47 111
Potential Growth of Grain Crop Production
Current grain production of 72 million t (35 million t soybeans)
Potential for 2011/12 of 110 million t (60% soybeans)
Increases in planted area of soybeans in the northeastern and northwestern regions
Narrow the yield gap
Current and Potential Yield for Advanced Current and Potential Yield for Advanced Technology FarmersTechnology Farmers
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
Yie
ld (
bu/A)
Wheat South Corn North Soybean North
Current
Potential
+ 41%
+ 42%
+ 30%
Soybean fertilization at Videla (Santa Soybean fertilization at Videla (Santa Fe)Fe) 2002/03 2002/03
H. Vivas y H. Fontanetto – EEA INTA RafaelaH. Vivas y H. Fontanetto – EEA INTA Rafaela
P + SP + S CheckCheck64 bu/A64 bu/A 46 bu/A46 bu/A
CREA Southern Santa FeBalducchi, Teodelina, Santa Fe
2000/01
Check89 bu/A
NPS134 bu/A
44 bu/A44 bu/A+ 49%+ 49%
CREA Southern Santa Fe La Marta, Canals, Córdoba
2000/01
Check144 bu/A
NPS192 bu/A
47 bu/A47 bu/A+ 33%+ 33%
Balducchi (Santa Fe) 2001-02
CREA Southern Santa Fe
Thomas et al. (2002)
Check 28 bu/A
Wheat Wheat FertilizationFertilization
NPS 54 bu/A
Constraints for increasing grain crop production in Argentina
Instability of the economy in the country Lack of credit Decline in soil fertility because of low nutrient
use, especially in soybeans Sustainability of rotations, soybeans
monoculture! Changes in climate? Potential international market restrictions for
GMO soybeans and corn
Nutrient Removal and Application in Wheat, Nutrient Removal and Application in Wheat, Corn, Soybean and SunflowerCorn, Soybean and Sunflower
Argentina - 2000/01
NPK Application
3
340
119
0
300
600
900
1200
N P K1,
000
ton
s
NPK Removal
0
300
600
900
1200
N P K
1,00
0 to
ns
SunflowerSoybeanWheatCorn
13921392
280280
657657
In 2000/01, nutrient application was 24%, 42%, and less In 2000/01, nutrient application was 24%, 42%, and less than 1% of the N, P, and K extracted per year, respectivelythan 1% of the N, P, and K extracted per year, respectively
Potential needs of 1 million ton N, 160 thousand ton P, Potential needs of 1 million ton N, 160 thousand ton P, and 650 thousand ton Kand 650 thousand ton K
NPKS Removal
0
300
600
900
1200
N P K S
thousa
nd t
on
SunflowerSoybeanWheatCorn
10901090
228228
475475
NPKS Application
14.73.7
365
116
0
300
600
900
1200
N P K Sth
ousa
nd t
on
Nutrient Removal and Application in Wheat, Corn, Nutrient Removal and Application in Wheat, Corn, Soybean and SunflowerSoybean and Sunflower
Argentina - Average 1996/2001
In the period 1996-2001, nutrient application was 29%, In the period 1996-2001, nutrient application was 29%, 45%, less than 1%, and 9% of the N, P, K, and S removed 45%, less than 1%, and 9% of the N, P, K, and S removed
per year, respectivelyper year, respectively
Area I : Low (< 10 ppm)Area I : Low (< 10 ppm)Area II : Medium (10-20 ppm)Area II : Medium (10-20 ppm)Area III : Adequate (> 20 ppm)Area III : Adequate (> 20 ppm)
Darwich, 1980, 1993 and 1999
P availability in the Pampas regionP availability in the Pampas region
Precision Agriculture in ArgentinaPrecision Agriculture in Argentina
• Adoption of PA in Argentina started when INTA launched in 1996 a National Project of Precision Agriculture at EEA INTA Manfredi (Cordoba) leaded by Mario Bragachini (www.agriculturadeprecision.org)
• Yield monitors, Global Positioning Systems (GPS) guidance and satellite images are increasingly used in large operations, while variable rate application (VRA) is rare.
• Constraints for the adoption of PA are: high investment cost, high risk, low management-induced soil variability, and the widespread use of custom operators.
• Adoption of PA is supported from: large farm operations with relatively high capital per worker, highly educated farm management, technology available from abroad, need for yield information, and ease of pooling data.
• Remote sensing for agriculture in Argentina is becoming increasingly used.• The potential of precision farming in Argentina’s agriculture is to reduce
costs in grain production, to increase productivity and make input use more efficient.
• The challenge is to manage our agronomic knowledge to put these tools to work.
Source: Bragachini et al., 2002; Bongiovanni, 2003 (www.agriculturadeprecision.org)Source: Bragachini et al., 2002; Bongiovanni, 2003 (www.agriculturadeprecision.org)
Current Adoption and Evolution of Precision Agriculture Technologies in Argentina (Bongiovanni, 2003)
Equipment (units) 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
Yield monitors in combines TOTAL 50 200 300 450 560 600
Yield monitors with GPS receiver 25 75 155 270 400 420
Yield monitors without GPS 25 125 145 180 160 180
VRT planters and fertilizer applicators 3 4 5 6 10 12
GPS guidance systems for airplanes 35 60 100 160 200 230
GPS guidance for ground applicators 0 10 70 200 400 500
Chlorophyll sensor for VRT-nitrogen 0 0 2 2 4 5
More information at www.agriculturadeprecision.orgMore information at www.agriculturadeprecision.org