Inflation Presentation Mnp

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    BY SIDRA AIMAN

    BSS-V

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    CONTENTS Definition

    Methods to measure inflation

    Causes of inflation

    Effects of inflation Role of inflation in an economy

    Factual data

    C

    urrent scenario of inflation in Pakistan Government role in controlling inflation

    Recommendations

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    DEFINITIO

    N

    Rise in the general level of prices of goods

    and services in an economy over a periodof time.

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    METHODS TO MEASURE

    INFLATION CONSUMER PRICE INDEX (CPI)

    WHOLE SALE PRICE INDEX (WPI)

    SENSITIVE PRICE INDEX (SPI)

    Inflation

    Rate =

    Inflation

    Rate = 100100

    100

    = 7.127.12%

    CurrentCPI/WPI LastCalculatedCPI/WPI

    LastCalculatedCPI/WPI

    150 140

    140

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    CAUSES OF INFLATION Printing excess money.

    Demand-pull inflation.

    Cost-push inflation.

    Wage-push inflation. International lending & national debts.

    Decline of exchange rate.

    Federal taxes put on consumer products.

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    FEW OTHER FACTORS

    Rapid growth in population.

    Growth in private expenditure.

    Increase in export.

    Money reduction in direct taxes.

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    EFFECTS OF INFLATION Storage value and purchasing power of

    the rupee decreases.

    Consumption declines.

    Production minimizes.

    Poverty increases.

    Less investment.

    Low profits.

    Withdrawal of money from banks.

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    ROLE OF INFLATION IN

    AN ECONOMY Low inflation is a blessing.

    More than 5% is pernicious.

    Zero inflation indicates depression.

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    PAKISTAN GDP GROWTH

    RATE

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    Period SPI CPI WPI

    1991-1992 10.54 10.58 9.84

    1992-1993 10.71 9.83 7.36

    1993-1994 11.79 11.27 11.40

    1994-1995 15.01 13.02 16.00

    1995-1996 10.71 10.79 11.10

    1996-1997 12.45 11.80 13.01

    1997-1998 7.35 7.81 6.58

    1998-1999 6.44 5.74 6.35

    1999-2000 1.83 3.58 1.77

    2000-2001 4.84 4.41 6.21

    2001-2002 3.37 3.54 2.08

    2002-2003 3.58 3.10 5.57

    2003-2004 6.83 4.57 7.91

    2004-2005 11.55 9.28 6.75

    2005-2006 7.02 7.92 10.10

    2006-2007 10.82 7.77 6.94

    Yearly Inflation Rates ofPakistan ( 1990-91 = 100)Inflation Rates basedon SensitivePriceIndicator(SPI),ConsumerPriceIndex (CPI) and

    WholesalePriceIndex (WPI) are

    Note: Yearly Inflation rates for the year 1991-02 to 2000-01 are based on 1990-91=100 while

    inflation rates for the year 2001-02 till to date are based on 2000-01=100

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    CURRENT SCENARIOOF

    INFLATION IN PAKISTAN

    Pakistan is facing hyper inflation

    presently.

    Annual inflation rate in October 2010

    stood at 15.3 % .

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    GOVERNMENTs ROLE The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) has

    continuously tightened the monetary

    policy over the last triennium and more so

    in the current fiscal year. The government has relaxed its import

    regime and allowed imports of essential

    commodities.

    The government also increased the scale ofoperations of the Utility Stores

    Corporation (USC).

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    RECOMMENDATIONS Reduce our Government Luxury Expenses both

    Federal and Provincial.

    Reassess the complete system of Direct and

    Indirect Taxes.

    Increase the Production of Food, Industry andService things.

    Should charge Capital Gain tax.

    Reduce Unemployment.

    Increase in Agriculture, industry. SBP should take major steps to control inflation.

    Pakistan should become self reliant.

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    QUESTIONS?

    COMMENTS?