Industry Data Report · Data, Analysis & Insight for a Stronger Industry Building Bridges between...

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Data, Analysis & Insight for a Stronger Industry Building Bridges between Franchisees, Franchisors & Financiers Industry Data Report Remodeling 2019 - 2020 Report Highlights Remodel data and analysis on 50+ national chains, including: (1) remodel progress/system condition; (2) investment costs; (3) post remodel sales increases; (4) estimated return on investment; (5) franchisor remodel incentives; and (6) program scope. Conclusion The pace of remodels picked-up substantially in 2019 as new/improved programs from 2018 took effect and operators caught-up on remodel mandates. While remodel costs are trending higher given higher-end upgrades, new technology and rising construction labor costs, remodel ROI is improving due to higher sales bumps and stabilizing unit level margins. Table of Contents Pages Chain Remodel Progress Summary 2 4 Chain Remodel Benchmarking Stats 5 Remodel Trends Remodel Costs 6 Incremental Sales Lift 7 Year 1 Remodel Return on Investment 8 Remodel Overview by Chain Remodel Incentives by Chain 9 Fast Casual 10 Family 11 12 Casual 12 13 Chicken 14 Sandwich 15 19 Sub-Sandwich 19 20 Pizza 21 Coffee/Bakery 22 Appendix Remodel Appendix 23 Data in spreadsheet form available at http://www.ChainRestaurantData.com Copyright: This Restaurant Research LLC document is copyrighted material. Due to the No Electronic Theft (NET) Act of 1997, electronic forwarding or other forms of redistribution, without the express permission of Restaurant Research LLC, are violations of law and could be subject to fines of up to $250,000 and up to five years of imprisonment, even when no financial gain or commercial advantage accrues to the forwarder/re-distributor. Copyright 2019 Restaurant Research® LLC. All rights reserved. Report Outline

Transcript of Industry Data Report · Data, Analysis & Insight for a Stronger Industry Building Bridges between...

Page 1: Industry Data Report · Data, Analysis & Insight for a Stronger Industry Building Bridges between Franchisees, Franchisors & Financiers IDR: Remodeling 2019 - 2020 Source: RR Estimates

Data, Analysis & Insight for a Stronger Industry Building Bridges between Franchisees, Franchisors & Financiers

Industry Data Report Remodeling 2019 - 2020

Report Highlights ➢ Remodel data and analysis on 50+ national chains, including: (1) remodel progress/system condition; (2)

investment costs; (3) post remodel sales increases; (4) estimated return on investment; (5) franchisor remodel

incentives; and (6) program scope.

Conclusion ➢ The pace of remodels picked-up substantially in 2019 as new/improved programs from 2018 took effect and

operators caught-up on remodel mandates. While remodel costs are trending higher given higher-end upgrades,

new technology and rising construction labor costs, remodel ROI is improving due to higher sales bumps and

stabilizing unit level margins.

Table of Contents Pages

➢ Chain Remodel Progress Summary 2 – 4

➢ Chain Remodel Benchmarking Stats 5

Remodel Trends

➢ Remodel Costs 6

➢ Incremental Sales Lift 7

➢ Year 1 Remodel Return on Investment 8

Remodel Overview by Chain

➢ Remodel Incentives by Chain 9

➢ Fast Casual 10

➢ Family 11 – 12

➢ Casual 12 – 13

➢ Chicken 14

➢ Sandwich 15 – 19

➢ Sub-Sandwich 19 – 20

➢ Pizza 21

➢ Coffee/Bakery 22

Appendix

➢ Remodel Appendix 23

Data in spreadsheet form available at http://www.ChainRestaurantData.com

Copyright: This Restaurant Research LLC document is copyrighted material. Due to the No Electronic Theft (NET) Act of

1997, electronic forwarding or other forms of redistribution, without the express permission of Restaurant Research LLC, are

violations of law and could be subject to fines of up to $250,000 and up to five years of imprisonment, even when no financial

gain or commercial advantage accrues to the forwarder/re-distributor. Copyright 2019 Restaurant Research® LLC. All rights

reserved.

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Page 2: Industry Data Report · Data, Analysis & Insight for a Stronger Industry Building Bridges between Franchisees, Franchisors & Financiers IDR: Remodeling 2019 - 2020 Source: RR Estimates

Data, Analysis & Insight for a Stronger Industry Building Bridges between Franchisees, Franchisors & Financiers

IDR: Remodeling 2019 - 2020 Source: RR Estimates Page 2

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Page 3: Industry Data Report · Data, Analysis & Insight for a Stronger Industry Building Bridges between Franchisees, Franchisors & Financiers IDR: Remodeling 2019 - 2020 Source: RR Estimates

Data, Analysis & Insight for a Stronger Industry Building Bridges between Franchisees, Franchisors & Financiers

IDR: Remodeling 2019 - 2020 Source: RR Estimates Page 3

Percent of System at Current Image

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Page 4: Industry Data Report · Data, Analysis & Insight for a Stronger Industry Building Bridges between Franchisees, Franchisors & Financiers IDR: Remodeling 2019 - 2020 Source: RR Estimates

Data, Analysis & Insight for a Stronger Industry Building Bridges between Franchisees, Franchisors & Financiers

IDR: Remodeling 2019 - 2020 Source: RR Estimates Page 4

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Page 5: Industry Data Report · Data, Analysis & Insight for a Stronger Industry Building Bridges between Franchisees, Franchisors & Financiers IDR: Remodeling 2019 - 2020 Source: RR Estimates

Minor Major Minor Major Minor Major Minor Major Minor Major Average

Panera Bread

Qdoba

Fast Casual

Denny's

IHOP

Perkins

Family

Chili's Grill & Bar

Olive Garden

Texas Roadhouse

Buffalo Wild Wings

Applebee's

Outback

Red Robin

Casual

KFC

Bojangles'

Church's

Popeyes

Chicken

Checkers/ Rally's

Dairy Queen

Jack in the Box

Sonic Drive-In

Culver's

Arby's

Taco Bell

Five Guys

Wendy's

Burger King

McDonald's

Carl's Jr.

Hardee's

Zaxby's

Chick-fil-A

Sandwich

Jersey Mike's

Firehouse Subs

Jimmy John's

Subway

Sub-Sandwich

Domino's

Little Caesars

Pizza Hut

Pizza

Dunkin Donuts

Coffee/Bakery

Total FSR

Total QSR

Grand Total

(2) Estimated incremental cash flow-thru margin (= 2x concept EBITDAR margin) reflects the benefit of sales leverage given a restaurant's significant level of fixed costs.

(1) Average remodel cost/estimated useful life (7 years for a minor & 10 years for a major)/AUV.

(3) Return on investment (ROI) = (year 1 % sales lift * AUV * estimated incremental cash flow-thru margin)/cash remodel investment.

Chain Remodel Benchmarking Stats (Ranked by Average ROI)

ChainEstimated Remodel Cost Cost/ Sq. Ft. Remodel Cost/AUV

(1) Major Remodel/

New Build Cost

Remodel Sales Bump Incremental Cash

Flow-thru % (2)Remodel ROI

(3)

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Page 6: Industry Data Report · Data, Analysis & Insight for a Stronger Industry Building Bridges between Franchisees, Franchisors & Financiers IDR: Remodeling 2019 - 2020 Source: RR Estimates

Data, Analysis & Insight for a Stronger Industry Building Bridges between Franchisees, Franchisors & Financiers

IDR: Remodeling 2019 - 2020 Source: RR Estimates Page 6

Remodel Trends

Remodel Costs

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Page 7: Industry Data Report · Data, Analysis & Insight for a Stronger Industry Building Bridges between Franchisees, Franchisors & Financiers IDR: Remodeling 2019 - 2020 Source: RR Estimates

Data, Analysis & Insight for a Stronger Industry Building Bridges between Franchisees, Franchisors & Financiers

IDR: Remodeling 2019 - 2020 Source: RR Estimates Page 7

Post Remodel Sales Lift

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Page 8: Industry Data Report · Data, Analysis & Insight for a Stronger Industry Building Bridges between Franchisees, Franchisors & Financiers IDR: Remodeling 2019 - 2020 Source: RR Estimates

Data, Analysis & Insight for a Stronger Industry Building Bridges between Franchisees, Franchisors & Financiers

IDR: Remodeling 2019 - 2020 Source: RR Estimates Page 8

Remodel ROI

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Page 9: Industry Data Report · Data, Analysis & Insight for a Stronger Industry Building Bridges between Franchisees, Franchisors & Financiers IDR: Remodeling 2019 - 2020 Source: RR Estimates

Data, Analysis & Insight for a Stronger Industry Building Bridges between Franchisees, Franchisors & Financiers

IDR: Remodeling 2019 - 2020 Source: RR Estimates Page 9

Remodel Incentives by Chain

Burger

King

Checkers/

Rally's

Dairy

Queen

Domino's

Jersey

Mike's

McDonald's

Subway

Wendy's

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Page 10: Industry Data Report · Data, Analysis & Insight for a Stronger Industry Building Bridges between Franchisees, Franchisors & Financiers IDR: Remodeling 2019 - 2020 Source: RR Estimates

Data, Analysis & Insight for a Stronger Industry Building Bridges between Franchisees, Franchisors & Financiers

IDR: Remodeling 2019 - 2020 Source: RR Estimates Page 10

Remodel Summary by Chain

Fast Casual

Chipotle

Corner

Bakery Café

Moe's

Southwest

Grill

Panera

Bread

Qdoba

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Page 11: Industry Data Report · Data, Analysis & Insight for a Stronger Industry Building Bridges between Franchisees, Franchisors & Financiers IDR: Remodeling 2019 - 2020 Source: RR Estimates

Data, Analysis & Insight for a Stronger Industry Building Bridges between Franchisees, Franchisors & Financiers

IDR: Remodeling 2019 - 2020 Source: RR Estimates Page 11

Family

Bob Evans

Cracker

Barrel

Denny's

Golden

Corral

IHOP

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Page 12: Industry Data Report · Data, Analysis & Insight for a Stronger Industry Building Bridges between Franchisees, Franchisors & Financiers IDR: Remodeling 2019 - 2020 Source: RR Estimates

Data, Analysis & Insight for a Stronger Industry Building Bridges between Franchisees, Franchisors & Financiers

IDR: Remodeling 2019 - 2020 Source: RR Estimates Page 12

Family

Perkins

Casual

Applebee's

BJ's

Restaurants

Buffalo Wild

Wings

Cheesecake

Factory

Chili's Grill

& Bar

Olive Garden

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Page 13: Industry Data Report · Data, Analysis & Insight for a Stronger Industry Building Bridges between Franchisees, Franchisors & Financiers IDR: Remodeling 2019 - 2020 Source: RR Estimates

Data, Analysis & Insight for a Stronger Industry Building Bridges between Franchisees, Franchisors & Financiers

IDR: Remodeling 2019 - 2020 Source: RR Estimates Page 13

Casual

Outback

Red Lobster

Red Robin

Texas

Roadhouse

T.G.I.

Friday's

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Page 14: Industry Data Report · Data, Analysis & Insight for a Stronger Industry Building Bridges between Franchisees, Franchisors & Financiers IDR: Remodeling 2019 - 2020 Source: RR Estimates

Data, Analysis & Insight for a Stronger Industry Building Bridges between Franchisees, Franchisors & Financiers

IDR: Remodeling 2019 - 2020 Source: RR Estimates Page 14

Chicken

Bojangles'

Church's

KFC

Popeyes

Wingstop

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Page 15: Industry Data Report · Data, Analysis & Insight for a Stronger Industry Building Bridges between Franchisees, Franchisors & Financiers IDR: Remodeling 2019 - 2020 Source: RR Estimates

Data, Analysis & Insight for a Stronger Industry Building Bridges between Franchisees, Franchisors & Financiers

IDR: Remodeling 2019 - 2020 Source: RR Estimates Page 15

Sandwich

Arby's

Burger King

Carl's Jr.

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Page 16: Industry Data Report · Data, Analysis & Insight for a Stronger Industry Building Bridges between Franchisees, Franchisors & Financiers IDR: Remodeling 2019 - 2020 Source: RR Estimates

Data, Analysis & Insight for a Stronger Industry Building Bridges between Franchisees, Franchisors & Financiers

IDR: Remodeling 2019 - 2020 Source: RR Estimates Page 16

Sandwich

Checkers/

Rally's

Chick-fil-A

Culver's

Dairy Queen

Five Guys

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Page 17: Industry Data Report · Data, Analysis & Insight for a Stronger Industry Building Bridges between Franchisees, Franchisors & Financiers IDR: Remodeling 2019 - 2020 Source: RR Estimates

Data, Analysis & Insight for a Stronger Industry Building Bridges between Franchisees, Franchisors & Financiers

IDR: Remodeling 2019 - 2020 Source: RR Estimates Page 17

Sandwich

Hardee's

Jack in the

Box

McDonald's

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Page 18: Industry Data Report · Data, Analysis & Insight for a Stronger Industry Building Bridges between Franchisees, Franchisors & Financiers IDR: Remodeling 2019 - 2020 Source: RR Estimates

Data, Analysis & Insight for a Stronger Industry Building Bridges between Franchisees, Franchisors & Financiers

IDR: Remodeling 2019 - 2020 Source: RR Estimates Page 18

Sandwich

McDonald's

Continued

Sonic Drive-

In

Taco Bell

Wendy's

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Page 19: Industry Data Report · Data, Analysis & Insight for a Stronger Industry Building Bridges between Franchisees, Franchisors & Financiers IDR: Remodeling 2019 - 2020 Source: RR Estimates

Data, Analysis & Insight for a Stronger Industry Building Bridges between Franchisees, Franchisors & Financiers

IDR: Remodeling 2019 - 2020 Source: RR Estimates Page 19

Sandwich

Whataburger

Zaxby's

Sub-Sandwich

Firehouse

Subs

Jersey

Mike's

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Page 20: Industry Data Report · Data, Analysis & Insight for a Stronger Industry Building Bridges between Franchisees, Franchisors & Financiers IDR: Remodeling 2019 - 2020 Source: RR Estimates

Data, Analysis & Insight for a Stronger Industry Building Bridges between Franchisees, Franchisors & Financiers

IDR: Remodeling 2019 - 2020 Source: RR Estimates Page 20

Sub-Sandwich

Jimmy

John's

Subway

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Page 21: Industry Data Report · Data, Analysis & Insight for a Stronger Industry Building Bridges between Franchisees, Franchisors & Financiers IDR: Remodeling 2019 - 2020 Source: RR Estimates

Data, Analysis & Insight for a Stronger Industry Building Bridges between Franchisees, Franchisors & Financiers

IDR: Remodeling 2019 - 2020 Source: RR Estimates Page 21

Pizza

Domino’s

Little

Caesars

Papa John's

Pizza Hut

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Page 22: Industry Data Report · Data, Analysis & Insight for a Stronger Industry Building Bridges between Franchisees, Franchisors & Financiers IDR: Remodeling 2019 - 2020 Source: RR Estimates

Data, Analysis & Insight for a Stronger Industry Building Bridges between Franchisees, Franchisors & Financiers

IDR: Remodeling 2019 - 2020 Source: RR Estimates Page 22

Coffee/Bakery

Dunkin

Donuts

Krispy

Kreme

Starbucks

Tim Horton's

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Page 23: Industry Data Report · Data, Analysis & Insight for a Stronger Industry Building Bridges between Franchisees, Franchisors & Financiers IDR: Remodeling 2019 - 2020 Source: RR Estimates

Data, Analysis & Insight for a Stronger Industry Building Bridges between Franchisees, Franchisors & Financiers

IDR: Remodeling 2019 - 2020 Source: RR Estimates Page 23

Remodel Appendix

Remodel Classification Overview

Remodel Type Scope of Work Frequency (in Years)

Refresher

5

Minor Remodel

7

Major Remodel

10

Scrape & Rebuild

25

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Page 24: Industry Data Report · Data, Analysis & Insight for a Stronger Industry Building Bridges between Franchisees, Franchisors & Financiers IDR: Remodeling 2019 - 2020 Source: RR Estimates

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Copyright: This Restaurant Research LLC document is copyrighted material. Due to the No Electronic Theft (NET) Act of

1997, electronic forwarding or other forms of redistribution, without the express permission of Restaurant Research LLC, are

violations of law and could be subject to fines of up to $250,000 and up to five years of imprisonment, even when no financial

gain or commercial advantage accrues to the forwarder/re-distributor. Copyright 2019 Restaurant Research® LLC. All rights

reserved.

Sources: All data represents RR estimates which are derived from various private and public sources.

Disclosure: Restaurant Research LLC often sells report subscriptions to concepts under our coverage.

Disclaimer of Liability: Although the information in this report has been obtained from sources Restaurant Research® LLC

believes to be reliable, RR does not guarantee its accuracy. The views expressed herein are subject to change without notice

and in no case can be considered as an offer or solicitation with regard to the purchase or sales of any securities. Restaurant

Research’s analyses and opinions are not a guarantee of the future performance of any company or individual franchisee.

RR disclaims all liability for any misstatements or omissions that occur in the publication of this report. In making this report

available, no client, advisory, fiduciary or professional relationship is implied or established. This report is intended to provide

an overview of the restaurant industry, but cannot be used as a substitute for independent investigations and sound business

judgment.