Indirect Effects Case Study: The Tuna-Dolphin...

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Indirect Effects Case Study: The Tuna-Dolphin Issue Lisa T. Ballance Marine Mammal Biology – SIO 133 Spring 2016

Transcript of Indirect Effects Case Study: The Tuna-Dolphin...

Page 1: Indirect Effects Case Study: The Tuna-Dolphin Issuecetus.ucsd.edu/sio133/PDF/IndirectEffects2016.pdf · 2016-05-27 · Case Study: The Tuna-Dolphin Issue Lisa T. Ballance Marine Mammal

Indirect EffectsCase Study: The Tuna-Dolphin Issue

Lisa T. Ballance

Marine Mammal Biology – SIO 133

Spring 2016

Page 2: Indirect Effects Case Study: The Tuna-Dolphin Issuecetus.ucsd.edu/sio133/PDF/IndirectEffects2016.pdf · 2016-05-27 · Case Study: The Tuna-Dolphin Issue Lisa T. Ballance Marine Mammal

Background: The Tuna-Dolphin Issue

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The association between yellowfin tuna, spotted and spinner

dolphins, and tuna-dependent seabirds forms the basis for

one of the world’s largest tuna fisheries.

• A hallmark of the eastern tropical Pacific is the prevalence of multi-species aggregations of spotted and spinner dolphins, yellowfin tuna, and large, speciose flocks of seabirds.

• The dolphins and seabirds provide a clear visual signal of the location of surface tuna schools.

• By the 1950s, tuna fishers were using “dolphin sets” to catch large schools of large tuna. Dolphin schools were visually located, and chased by speed boats into a purse seine net. The co-schooling tuna followed the dolphins and were also captured.

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Fishing Gear 101: Purse Seines

• The problem with setting on dolphins

Purse-seine Net Setting Phases

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High incidental mortality of dolphins in the early

years of the fishery resulted in declaration of three

stocks as “depleted” under the U.S. Marine

Mammal Protection Act.

• It is estimated that more than 6 million dolphins have been killed since the fishery began, 4 million by 1972, when the MMPA was enacted.

– Northeastern Offshore Spotted Dolphins have been estimated to be between 19 and 28% of pre-exploitation levels.

– Eastern Spinner Dolphins have been estimated to be at 44% of pre-exploitation levels.

Wade 1995, Wade et al. 2007

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Revised fishing practices (including, notably, the “back-

down” procedure) drastically reduced dolphin mortality by

1990 with the expectation that depleted dolphin stocks would

recover.

DOLPHIN BYCATCH

IN ETP TUNA FISHERY

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

1955 1965 1975 1985 1995 2005

NU

MB

ER

OF

DO

LP

HIN

S K

ILL

ED

(T

HO

US

AN

DS

)

Total for all dolphins

Wade 1995; Marine Mammal Commission 1998

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The 2006 point estimates of abundance for

the three depleted stocks are higher than

estimates from 1998-2000.

• From 1998-2006, Northeastern Offshore Spotted, and Eastern Spinner dolphins have increased at rates of 0.035, and 0.092, respectively.

• However,– The uncertainty surrounding point

estimates of abundance is substantial (due to the large size of the study area).

– The 95% confidence intervals of growth rate over the 20-year time series, and since 1998, for both stocks include zero (= no recovery).

Gerrodette et al. 2008

Ab

un

da

nc

e i

n T

ho

us

an

ds

It is unclear to what degree (or whether)

these dolphins are recovering.

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There are three main hypotheses to explain these abundance

trends.

H1: The purse-seine fishery is reducing dolphin reproduction and survival

H2: An oceanic regime shift has changed the ecosystem so that recovery to pre-exploitation numbers cannot occur

H3: Our expectation of immediate and rapid recovery is too simple

These are not comprehensive, and not mutually exclusive.

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Ecological

disruption

• Breaking the tuna-

dolphin bond

• Removing tuna from

the ecosystem

Social

disruptionIncreased

fetal/calf

mortality

Decreased

fecundity

Potential to decrease dolphin reproduction and survival

The fishery involves chase and

encirclement.

It may be associated with:

H1: The purse-seine fishery is reducing dolphin reproduction

and survival

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Indirect Effects*

a. Separation of females and dependent calves

b. Decreased fecundity

c. Social disruption of mating systems

*Perturbations that reduce reproduction or survival, but do not directly kill

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But first - Quantifying the Perturbation

• Using recorded number of purse-seine sets, estimates of dolphin abundance and school size, and …

• assuming (falsely) that sets and dolphins are randomly spread in space and time,

– A given individual dolphin may be chased 10 times and set upon 3 times/yr

– “Large” schools (carrying more tuna) are set on 2-8 times/yr

Perkins and Edwards 1999, Reilly et al. 2005

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• Using recorded number and location of purse-seine sets, recorded location of dolphin schools, and dolphin movement patterns based on tracking studies, an “Exposure Index” can be created.– Spotted dolphins are exposed to purse-seine sets more than

eastern spinner dolphins– Exposure to purse-seine sets is greater in the “Eastern Pacific

Warm Pool” for dolphins of both species

• This index (or similar) can be correlated with other dolphin traits to investigate the impact of purse-seine sets.*

Archer et al. 2010*Remember for later

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a. Separation of females and dependent calves

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Dependent calves are missing from the school encircled in the purse-seine net.

• Data from 9,397 sets w/ kill, 77,361 dolphins killed, two spotted dolphin stocks, 1973-2000

• Observers aboard vessels collected life history data (e.g., sex, teeth for age, reproductive status, length)

• 75-95% of lactating females killed in purse-seine sets did not have their nursing calves with them.

• This calf deficit represents a ~14% increase in number of calves killed as reported by fisheries observers.

• The estimated total “calf deficit” ranges from 10s to 8300/yr. Archer et al. 2004

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Echelon swimming is energetically beneficial to a calf, and costly to a mother.

• Kinematic analysis of bottlenose dolphin mother-infant (0-1 mo) pairs in echelon position versus lone infants and lone mothers

• Infants in echelon position have:– 28% increase in mean swim speed– 22% reduction in fluke stroke amplitude– 19% increase in distance/stroke– >1/3 time gliding

• Mothers in echelon position have:– 76% of mean maximum swim speed– 13% reduction in distance/stroke

Noren 2007, Noren et al. 2008

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Evasive behavior of mothers, coupled with the developmental state of calves, provides a plausible mechanism for set-related mother-calf separations and subsequent mortality of

calves.

Noren and Edwards 2007

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b. Decreased fecundity

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Photographs provide a wealth of life history information.

• For example, – Number and

proportion of school as dependent calves

– Length (proxy for age)

• 1987 – 2003– Eastern spinner: 11466

dolphins counted (88 schools); 1280 measured (33 schools)

– NE spotted: 9700 dolphins counted (124 schools); 298 measured (31 schools)

Cramer et al. 2008

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• Length of calf at dissociation from mother decreased with increased number of purse seine sets for spotted dolphins (but not spinners)

• Proportion of school as calves decreased with increased number of purse seine sets for spotted dolphins (but not spinners)

Cramer et al. 2008

% s

cho

ol a

s ca

lves

# sets to which dolphins were exposed

# sets to which dolphins were exposedLen

gth

of

calf

at

dis

soci

atio

n

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Additionally, proportion of pregnant females in a school reflects exposure to purse-seine sets.

• Blubber progesterone concentrations in dolphin biopsy samples indicate pregnancy state

• 212 biopsy samples from female spotted dolphins collected 1998-2003

• 11.8% of sampled females were pregnant

Fishery Exposure was significantly lower for pregnant vs. non-pregnant females

Kellar et al., 2013

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Cramer et al. 2008

“ …the effect of dolphin sets on both measures of reproduction for NEPS [spotted] dolphins demonstrates that the practice of setting on dolphins has population-level effects beyond the direct kill recorded by observers on fishing vessels. ….”

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c. Social disruption of mating systems

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Spinner dolphins show a geographical range in mating systems.

• Samples collected from 1,678 male spinner dolphins, 1969-1992

• Sexual dimorphism in dorsal fin shape higher in Eastern (79.2%) than Whitebelly (3.0%) males

• Testis size lower in Eastern (max 843 g) than Whitebelly (max 1354 g) males

• High sexual dimorphism and low testis size indicate polygyny in a wide variety of mammal species

Eastern spinner dolphins are more polygynous than other spinner dolphin ecotypes

Perrin and Mesnick 2003

“Eastern”

“Whitebelly”

“Pantropical Gray’s”

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• Recall that the fishery exposure index is greatest in highest density area of eastern spinner dolphins

• Relatively few males may be involved in successful matings, as is the case with polygynous species

If chase and capture in the purse-seine fishery breaks up school structure, it may negatively impact reproduction in eastern spinner dolphins

Perrin and Mesnick 2003

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Meanwhile, purse-seine sets on dolphin schools continue.

• The number of sets on dolphins has been relatively stable for the past 20 years, at ~10,000 sets per year.

• There have been drastic reductions in observed dolphin kills since 1990 (~99% of captured dolphins are released alive), but that number remains in the 1000s.

-- 3,885 dolphins

reported killed

-- (0.33 dolphins

per set)

Nu

mb

er

pe

r Y

ea

r

IATTC 2008; IATTC unpublished

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Reading

• Competition with Fisheries. in: Perrin,

W.F., B. Würsig, and J.G. M. Thewissen.

2009. Encyclopedia of marine mammals.

Second edition. Academic Press.