Indian m&e Venkat

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    Can Indian Media Be Global ?

    Television, Print, Film & Radio

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    Entertainment & Media Industry

    Growth outperforms the economy One of the fastest growing sectors of the

    Indian economy

    Current Size : Rs 40,230 Crore

    Estimated growth rate : 20 % over the next4 years

    Source : PwC analysis

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    The Growth Drivers

    Consumerisation of urban India

    Rising proportion ofyoung population

    Increase inincome levels

    Changing spendingpatterns

    Increase in numberof working urbans

    Increase inspending power

    Rising aspirationlevels

    Consumption of lifestyle items

    Source : Lifestyle consumption by Edelweiss Securities Pvt Ltd

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    Films Television Radio Media MusicE&M Sector

    Content Commercial (Hindi& Regional) Cinema

    Art Movies

    Cartoon Movies

    Commissioned

    Programs

    News & Current

    Affairs

    Commissioned

    Programs

    News & Current

    Affairs

    Fiction/Non

    Fiction Articles

    Film Music

    Private Albums

    Delivery Cinema HallsHome Videos

    (Video Cassettes,

    VCDs, DVDs,)

    Cable

    Terrestrial

    DTH

    IPTV

    Public

    Broadcaster

    FM Channels

    Newspapers

    Magazines

    Books

    Cassettes

    CDs

    Mobile

    Phones

    Internet

    ---------- Straight line denotes Traditional Delivery Mechanisms

    - - - - Dotted line denotes Converged Delivery Mechanisms

    Technology is changing the faceof media industry

    Source : PwC analysis

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    Television

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    0

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    1992

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    No

    ofch

    annels

    New launches & delivery mechanisms lead to

    exponential growth in number of channels

    An Explosion Of ChannelChoices

    Source : TAM

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    Industry structure

    Television dominates the entertainment &media industry

    3 segments : Advertising, Subscription &Software

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    Growth Drivers - Subscription

    Projected CAGR of 29 % over the next 5 years Current average monthly collection : Rs 130.

    Projected : Rs 250 (by 2010)

    Larger base of TV households from lower SECs

    New regulatory changes & delivery mechanisms (likeCAS & DTH) will result in improved declarations

    New technologies will bring in increased revenuesthrough value added services

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    Growth Drivers - Advertising Ad spend in India : 0.48 % of GDP ; global average

    0.96 %

    Growth in disposable incomes: urbanization & consumerism Increased reach of the medium due to expanding delivery

    platforms and technology advancements

    Higher investment from sunrise sectors. Continued supportfrom traditional categories (FMCG, durables )

    Separate viewership measurement for upmarket audience(Elite Panel)

    Will result in higher niche channel spends

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    Growth Drivers - Software

    Sustained growth in this sector Frequent & never ending launch of 24 hour channels

    leading to demand for content

    Regional channel potential being tapped by nationalplayers. Increased demand for language programming

    Better performance of dubbed foreign content (movies,cricket commentary , cartoons) will increase demandfor such services

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    Key developments

    CAS An addressable system to provide subscribers with a

    selective choice of content via the pay mode

    Implemented in Zone -1 areas of Bombay, Delhi and

    Kolkata from Jan 2007 As per TAMs latest report , 17 % penetration in the

    notified areas

    IPTV

    MTNL offering services in Delhi & Mumbai Around 70 100 channels on offer

    Service allows for time-shifted TV : viewers canwatch programs upto a week old

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    Key developments

    DTH Allowed by Government in 2000 Absence of middle men consumer apathy with

    current Local Cable Operators

    DTH is 'flexible, it is not connected to the groundinfrastructure

    DTH is a National service :same STB can be used inany city

    Current players DD Direct, Dish TV and Tata Sky ( Star

    + Tata venture) In the pipeline : Reliance, Sun group

    Subscriber nos : Dish TV 20 L, Tata Sky 4 L, DD 50 L

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    Can Indian Television Industry

    Go Global ?

    Some pointers

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    Homegrown channels vs foreign

    networks Indian channels dominate most of the markets /genres (Zee, Sun , ETV, Aaj Tak , NDTV) Zees improved performance vs Star Plus decline at

    national level

    Regional channels dominate in TN, AP, Karnataka,Kerala, WB , Maharashtra

    News, Hindi movie , music genres dominated byIndian channels

    In sports, new entrant Neo Sports takes on ESPN,Star Sports, Ten Sports.

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    Attracting strategic and financialinvestors

    Television segment open to FDI 49 % for cable & DTH; 26 % for news channel

    Indian channels / media groups attracting foreigninvestment

    Reuters, UK takes equity stake in Times GlobalBroadcasting

    Blackstone invests $275 Mn in Eenadu CNN IBN: partnership between Turner International and

    TV18

    Tata Sky : alliance between Tata & Star for DTHoperations in the country

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    Barriers to growth

    Price regulation TRAI recommendations stifle broadcasters attempt to

    fix prices based on market dynamics

    Cross media ownership rules

    Government yet to evolve clear rules in this regard

    Potential investors unable to plan their long-termstrategy for the market

    Lack of empowered regulators

    Many TRAI recommendations still not fully acted upon Eg: Addressability in distribution, digitalisation of

    cable TV, privatisation of terrestrial broadcasting etc

    Yet to enact broadcasts bill; Content code (BRAI)

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    Print

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    Growth in titles

    49145

    58469

    44000

    46000

    48000

    50000

    52000

    54000

    56000

    58000

    60000

    2001 2003-04

    Registered publications

    Source : RNI

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    Industry size & growth potential

    978010900 12100

    13500

    15300

    17300

    19500

    0

    5000

    10000

    15000

    20000

    25000

    2004 2005 2006 E 2007 F 2008 F 2009 F 2010 F

    INRCrore

    Source : PwC analysis

    Industry projected to grow at an annual compounded

    rate of 13% per annum over the next 4 years

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    Growth drivers

    Booming economy resulting in increasedjob creation

    More number of household with highspending power - service sector boom

    Rural / lower SECs provide vastopportunity for print players

    IT advancements will lead provide easyaccess to rural areas

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    Growth drivers

    Opening up of the sector for FDI Upto 100 % permitted in publishing / printing scientificand technical magazines

    Upto 26 % in news and current affairs (newspaper)category

    Increased ad spends In line with economic growth

    Increased activity from sunrise sectors like Retail, Telco

    Publications rapidly increasing number of colour pagesand supplements

    Launch of specialized magazines providing focusedreach among niche segments

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    Key trends

    Tapping the reading population : The readership of print media currently stands at 27 %

    Growth will be driven by increase in literacy levels

    7 dailies in India have readership over 1 Cr: Dainik Jagran,

    Dainik Bhaskar, Eenadu, Lokmat , Amar Ujala, Hindustanand Daily Thanti

    Building a pan-India presence Publications drive growth through geographic expansion

    Eg: HT launch in Mumbai, Deccan Chronicle in Chennai,Midday in Bangalore, new editions from Dainik Jagran,Bhaskar, Business Line in Mumbai

    Source : NRS

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    Key trends

    According to World Association of Newspapers(WAN) Indian newspaper sales increased 7 % in 2005 (vs

    0.56 % worldwide) and 33 % during 2001-05 (vs 6 %

    worldwide) India is the 2nd largest newspaper market with 7.8 Cr

    copies daily (China 9.6 Cr)

    Indian newspaper advertising revenue increased

    23.2% over 2004 (vs 5.7 % globally)

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    Can Indian Print Media Go Global

    ?

    Some pointers

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    Targeting the NRI population

    Online editions Almost all the lead dailies (English & language)

    have internet editions providing free access to

    the latest news Internet editions used by advertisers to reachIndians living abroad

    Many dailies provide epaper versions with

    search options Monetized by dailies like Hindu

    Free access in the case of TOI, HT

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    Targeting the NRI population

    Overseas editions for many dailies Sandesh weekly Chicago

    ABP fortnightly US

    Malayala Manorama daily Bahrain, Dubai Madhyamam daily Bahrain, Dubai

    Gujarat Samachar weekly New York

    Divya Bhaskar fortnightly New York

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    Barriers to growth

    Low literacy levels Most of the big media houses are family run

    Wary of external / foreign investment

    Follow conservative growth strategies

    Lack of uniform media policy for foreign investment Content : News (26%) and non-news (100%)

    Growing younger population and their increasing

    internet affinity poses new challenges Mushrooming 24 hour news channels undermine

    the agenda setting function played by newspapers

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    Films

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    Industry size & growth potential

    5650

    68007900

    9700

    11300

    13200

    15300

    0

    2000

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    8000

    10000

    12000

    14000

    16000

    18000

    2004 2005 2006 E 2007 F 2008 F 2009 F 2010 F

    INRC

    rore

    Source : PwC analysis

    Industry projected to grow at an annual compounded

    rate of 18% per annum over the next 4 years

    G th d i

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    Growth drivers Advancements in technology helping the

    industry in film production, exhibition andmarketing Corporatisation of the film industry

    Many exhibition companies (PVR, Shringar, Inox)have gone public

    Entry of the largest industrial house in the E & Mindustry Reliance acquired majority stake in Adlabs

    Corporates also forayed into film distribution eg. UTVsoftware

    Increased marketing spends Corporatisation also resulted in innovative marketingactivities : microsites, blogs, contests, mobiledownloads etc

    Centralised marketing and promotion activities

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    Growth drivers

    Derisking through portfolio approach (multiplereleases with multiple revenue streams) Companies getting associated through in film brand

    placements, endorsements etc

    Mobile companies :selling ringtones and wallpapers atpremium rates

    Merchandising catching on in a big way

    Growing number of multiplexes

    Incentive for low-budget, niche films and experimentalcinema

    Higher admission rates : account for 60 % of Box Officerevenues

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    T i k t

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    Tapping overseas markets

    Growing collection from overseas markets

    Indian films are becoming increasingly popular evenwith the non Indian community

    More number of prints being released abroad

    Overseas revenues estimated to account for 10 % oftotal earnings by 2010

    In 2006, films like Kabhie Alvidha Na Kehna, Fanaa,Rang De Basanti emerged blockbusters in UK andNorth America.

    Forbes magazine estimates : Dhoom-2 ($18.4 million)Fanaa ($17.7 million) and KANK ($17.5 million)

    Regional language movies (Telugu, Tamil) alsopopular abroad

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    International co-productions

    Increased corporatisation has resulted in Indiancompanies doing more co-productions UTV tie up with Fox , Will Smiths Overbrook ,

    Porchlight (animation)

    Viacom plans co-production with local film makers Percept Picture Company joined hands with Further

    Films and Sahara One to produce Tree of Life

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    Barriers to growth Low capital / investment levels

    Producers unable to invest in a large number of printsand marketing initiatives

    Digitalization will change the scenario

    Piracy Most of the credible efforts to combat piracy initiated

    by industry bodies

    Current copyright act dated in terms of technology

    improvements

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    FM opportunities

    Investments Need for financial investments as well as technical and

    operating experience to run the stations

    Content boost Average requirement expected to be 5000 content

    hours per annum per radio channel

    Potential to reach local markets Only 22 of the 338 channels are in the four metro cities

    Huge potential to target the smaller cities

    I d t i & th t ti l

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    Industry size & growth potential

    240300

    370

    550

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    600

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    1000

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    2004 2005 2006 E 2007 F 2008 F 2009 F 2010 F

    INRC

    rore

    Source : PwC analysis

    Industry projected to grow at an annual compounded

    rate of 35% per annum over the next 4 years

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    Can Indian media companies go

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    Can Indian media companies goglobal ?

    Acquiring / taking a stake in local companies NDTV and SE Asian news broadcasting company Astro

    Broadcast have tied up to do business in Malaysia and

    Indonesia UTV , Astro JV to launch channels in Hindi, Regional,Indonesia and Malaysia Bahasa

    Astro and Sun TV have formed a joint venture to

    generate and distribute TV programs/channels for globalaudience

    More acquisitions likely as companies go publicand have access to funds

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    Can Indian Media Be Global ?

    Yes the foundation has been laid

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    Yes the foundation has been laid

    Large Indian companies will take over foreign

    entities Zees acquisition of Ten Sports an indicator of things to

    come

    Synergies, access to funds, regulatory mechanism will

    set the pace

    TV, Films & Radio have already gone global Potential for further growth through technology

    advancements & relaxed trade agreements

    Huge talent pool creative & technical will drive thisgrowth

    Print will catch on soon

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    Print

    Internet and epaper versions already available More international editions once the base population

    crosses threshold figure

    Increased interest in India will create huge demand for

    Indian content More syndication arrangements in the offing

    Print will catch onsoon

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    Thank you

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    Appendix

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    Cable TV penetration

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    Austra

    lia

    Phillippin

    es

    Japan

    S.Korea

    Chi

    na

    Singapo

    re

    India

    Germany

    Canada

    US

    Taiw

    an

    Source : Worldscreen, Morgan Stanley Research

    Advertising spend split by

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    Advertising spend split bymedium

    OOH

    8%

    TV

    41%

    Cinema

    0%

    Radio

    3%

    Print

    47%

    Internet

    1%

    Source : groupM estimates

    Year : 2005Total : 12,275 Cr

    Statewise C&S penetration

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    Statewise C&S penetrationStates Base pop TV owning HHs C&S TV HHs % TV penetration % C&S

    Andhra Pradesh 19142 12620 11562 66% 92%

    Assam 5718 1931 541 34% 28%

    Bihar 16393 3640 788 22% 22%

    Chattisgarh 4578 1763 773 39% 44%

    Delhi 3339 3023 2608 91% 86%

    Gujarat 11429 6346 3901 56% 61%

    Jharkhand 5444 1572 707 29% 45%

    Punjab/HP/Chandigarh 6603 5286 2556 80% 48%

    Haryana 4554 3354 1998 74% 60%

    Karnataka 11956 7947 6602 66% 83%Kerala 7520 5166 3591 69% 70%

    Madhya Pradesh 12622 5020 2361 40% 47%

    Maharashtra/Goa 22900 14457 8322 63% 58%

    Meghalaya 504 304 199 60% 65%

    Orissa 9077 3442 1609 38% 47%

    Rajasthan 10675 4941 1778 46% 36%

    Tamil Nadu/Pondicherry 16522 11121 10257 67% 92%Tripura 757 338 199 45% 59%

    Uttar Pradesh 29473 10502 2828 36% 27%

    Uttaranchal 1811 1036 360 57% 35%

    West Bengal 18227 7851 4849 43% 62%

    ALL 219244 111660 68389 51% 61%

    So rce NRS06