INDIA METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT

(MINISTRY OF EARTH SCIENCES)

SOUTHWEST MONSOON- 2014

END OF SEASON REPORT

For the State of

HARYANA

Salient Features

Monsoon advanced in Haryana this year on 1st July near its normal onset

time and covered Haryana on 3rd

July. Earliest onset so far in Haryana is 13th

June 2008 and latest is 27th

July 1987.

State received 200.1 mm of rainfall (June-September) against 460.3 mm of it

Long Period Average (LPA) with overall deficit of 56.5% making it below

normal monsoon in Haryana as predicted by IMD in its Long Range forecast

issued on 4th April and updated in June and August 2014 respectively.

This was fifth meteorological drought (rainfall less than 75% of LPA) in last

10 years in Haryana and was third lowest rainfall monsoon year in last 113

years (1901-2014). Lowest rainfall in Haryana was in year 1987 when overall

deficit was 64%.

Rainfall deficit in June, July, August and September was 42.9, 56, 79.8 and

15.5% of LPA respectively.

Out of 21 districts in Haryana wherein rainfall was reported during

Monsoon, 2014, 11 districts received scanty rainfall and 10 districts received

deficient rainfall.

Out of 74 tehsils in Haryana rainfall for 69 tehsils was reported and it was

normal in 2, deficit in 20 and scanty in 47 tehsils respectively.

Monsoon seasonal rainfall (June – September) was 88% of LPA for country

as a whole and 79% of LPA for NW India and 43% of LPA in Haryana.

IMD operational forecast for monsoon 2014 issued in April and updated in

the month of June and August 2014 for the country as a whole and for NW

India was within the limit of forecast issued by IMD in August 2014 but was

overestimated for Haryana.

No Significant damage has been reported to Standing Kharif crops due

heavy rain during monsoon 2014 in Haryana.

This year monsoon withdrew from Haryana on 26th of September from

some parts and on 28th of September from remaining parts of the state.

1. Onset and advance of Monsoon 2014

This year monsoon set in Kerala on five days after the normal onset date.

Monsoon also advanced most parts of south Arabian Sea, some parts of

Tamilnandu, most parts of West Central southwest Bay of Bengal on same day. It

further advanced central Arabian Sea, South Gujarat entire Kokan & Goa, some

parts of South Peninsula, Odisha, Jharkhand and Bihar, entire NE states and most

parts of Gangetic West Bengal by 18th June. It further advanced in most parts of

South Peninsula east and adjoining parts of Central India by 20th June. Monsoon

remained in weak phase for next about 10 days. Subsequently a favorable

interaction of monsoonal flow with mid latitude westerlies gave further impetus for

advancement of southwest monsoon in Western Himalayan region and plain of

NW India. Monsoon advanced in to entire Uttrakhand, Himachal Pradesh and

entire Jammu and Kashmir, some parts of Uttar Pradesh, some parts of Haryana

including Chandigarh and Punjab on 1st July 2014. Advance of monsoon 2014 is

shown in the fig below.

2. Performance of Monson 2014:-

This year monsoon advanced in Haryana on 1st July in some parts and on

3rd

July in remaining parts and facilitated transplanting /sowing of paddy. Timely

and advanced forecast issued by Meteorological Centre, Chandigarh on 30th May

and subsequent update about poor and erratic monsoon rainfall in Haryana helped

the state administration to optimise various resources such as Irrigation, Power,

Agriculture, Health which in turn helped the state administration in planning.

Prevalent feature of monsoon 2014 in Haryana was erratic spread of rainfall on

temporal and spatial scale during entire monsoon season embedded with few

heavy/ extreme rainfall events in first fortnight of August and 1st week of

September but overall rainfall remained below normal in Haryana during

monsoon 2014. Spatial and temporal distribution of rainfall was poorly defined in

Haryana in the month of June, July and August however stress was significant

due very poor rainfall in the month of July & August.

3. Rainfall distribution (June – September) 2014

During monsoon 2014 state received 200.1 mm of rainfall against it normal

rainfall of 460.3 mm (1941 – 1990) which was 43% of LPA making it deficient

monsoon year as predicted by IMD in June 2014. In the last ten year (2005 –

2014), the rainfall during monsoon 2014 (June – September) was least in Haryana

and out of 21 districts for which data is available 11 districts i.e. 52% district

received scanty rainfall and 10 district i.e. 48% district received deficient rainfall.

Deficit monsoon rainfall year Haryana (2005 – 2014)

MONSOON YEAR ACTUAL (mm) NORMAL (mm) DEPARTURE %

2005 476.4 470.1 1.3

2006 290.6 470.1 -38.2

2007 314.5 470.1 -33.1

2008 536.5 470.1 14.1

2009 290.7 470.0 -38.1

2010 557.4 460.2 21.1

2011 374.4 460.2 -18.6

2012 277.8 460.2 -39.6

2013 356.7 460.4 -22.5

2014 200.1 460.3 -56.5

Rainfall distribution for state of Haryana and for the

country as whole during Monsoon 2014 is shown below.

District wise and state wise seasonal rainfall for Haryana and for country

as a whole.

Tehsil wise rainfall distribution in Haryana:

Out of 74 tehsils, data for 69 tehsils is available in which 47 tehsils received

scanty rainfall, 20 tehsils received deficient rainfall whereas only 2 tehsils

received normal rainfall during monsoon shown in Table below indicating

Normal, Excess, Deficit and Scanty rainfall.

Tehsil wise rainfall distribution in Haryana

DISTRICTS NORMAL EXCESS DEFICIT SCANTY TOTAL

AMBALA 0 0 1 2 3

BHIWANI 0 0 1 5 6

FARIDABAD 0 0 1 1 2

FATEHABAD 0 0 0 3 3

GURGAON 0 0 1 3 4

HISSAR 0 0 0 3 3

JHAJJAR 0 0 2 1 3

JIND 0 0 2 2 4

KAITHAL 0 0 1 1 2

KARNAL 0 0 2 3 5

KURUKSHETRA 0 0 0 3 3

MAHENDRAGARH 0 0 1 1 2

MEWAT 0 0 2 2 4

PALWAL 0 0 0 3 3

PANCHKULA 0 0 0 2 2

PANIPAT 0 0 2 1 3

REWARI 1 0 1 1 3

ROHTAK 0 0 0 3 3

SIRSA 1 0 1 2 4

SONEPAT 0 0 0 4 4

YAMUNA NAGAR 0 0 2 1 3

Southwest monsoon 2014 actual rainfall for India, NW

India and Haryana is shown in the Table below

Region Actual Rainfall

(mm)

Long Period

Average (mm) % Of LPA

All India 777.5 886.9 88

NW India 483.1 615.0 79

Haryana 200.1 460.3 43

4. Monthly rainfall distribution

Monthly rainfall distribution for the month of June, July August and

September and for first & second half of monsoon 2014 for Haryana is shown the

Tabular and graphical view given below.

Months Actual (mm) Normal (mm) % of LPA

June 25.8 45.2 57.1

July 72.1 163.8 44.0

August 34.5 171.2 20.2

September 67.7 80.1 84.5

June – July (1st Half) 97.9 209.0 46.8

August – September (2nd

Half) 102.2 251.4 40.7

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

Jun

e

July

Au

gust

Sep

tem

be

r

Jun

e -

Ju

ly(1

st H

alf)

Au

gust

-Se

pte

mb

er

(2n

d H

alf)

Rai

nfa

ll (m

m)

Monthly rainfall distribution for Haryana Monsoon 2014

Actual (mm)

Normal (mm)

% of LPA

Monthly rainfall distribution monsoon season & for second half of Monsoon

2014 in Haryana

JUNE JULY

AUGUST SEPTEMBER

Details of number of districts in Haryana with excess, normal, deficient, scanty

and no rainfall during the months of June, July, August, September, June-July

(First Half) & August-September (Second half) is shown in tabular form in the

given below table.

MONTHS EXCESS NORMAL DEFICIENT SCANTY NO RAIN

June 2 3 7 9 0

July 0 2 6 13 0

August 0 0 2 19 0

September 4 6 9 2 0

June-July

(First Half) 0 1 11 9 0

August-

September

(Second half)

0 1 7 13 0

Season 0 0 10 11 0

First half Second half

June 2014 Haryana

State received 25.8 mm of rainfall against its normal long period Average

which was 45.2 mm of LPA.

Highest rainfall in Haryana during last 113 (1901–2014) is 162.1 mm in 1936

which was 358.6% of LPA followed by year 2001 and 2008 with rainfall of

155.1 mm and 150.6 mm respectively.

The rainfall during June 2014 was deficient by 42.9% in the state. No heavy

spell of rainfall occurred during June 2014 in the state. Daily time series of

rainfall in Punjab during June 2014 is shown the fig below.

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29

RA

INF

AL

L (

in m

m)

DATE

DAILY RAINFALL IN HARYANA JUNE - 2014

ACTUAL

NORMAL

July 2014 Haryana

State received 72.1 mm of rainfall in July 2014 against its normal rainfall of

163.8 mm which is 44% of LPA and the overall deficit is 56%.

Highest rainfall received in Haryana during July month during (1901–2014)

was in year 1964 when state received 390.8 mm of rainfall against its normal

rainfall of 150.3 mm which is 260% of LPA followed by 1988 and 1994 when

state received 389.8 mm and 346.3 mm of rainfall respectively.

Lowest rainfall in July during (1901-2014) was in 1918 when state received

19.8 mm of rainfall against 157.1 mm with deficit of 87.4% followed by year

2004 and 1911 when rainfall was 21.0 mm and 27.6 mm respectively.

During the last decade lowest rainfall was in year 2012 followed by year 2007

wherein state received 56.3 mm and 71.4 mm rainfall with overall deficit of

65.6% and 56.4% respectively. Daily time series of rainfall in Punjab during

July 2014 is shown the fig below.

State received spells of very heavy rainfall (More than 12cm) in July 2014 is

shown in table 1.

0

5

10

15

20

25

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29

RA

INF

AL

L (

in m

m)

DATE

DAILY RAINFALL IN HARYANA JULY - 2014

ACTUAL

NORMAL

August 2014 Haryana

Haryana received 34.5 mm of rainfall against its normal of 171.2 mm which is

20.2% of LPA and overall deficiency in rainfall is 79.8%.

Highest rainfall in Haryana during (1901–2014) was in 1995 when state

received 467 mm of rainfall against its normal of 179 mm with overall excess

of 160.9% followed by year 1908 and 1960 when rainfall was 423.3 mm and

356.7 mm respectively.

Lowest rainfall during (1901-2014) was in 1920 when state received 36.9 mm

of rainfall against it normal of 145.3 mm followed by year 1979 and 2006 with

rainfall of 27.0 mm and 41.9 mm with overall deficit of 82.1 and 75.4%

respectively.

State experienced spells of very heavy rainfall (More than 12cm) in August is

given in table 1.

Daily time series rainfall in Haryana during August 2014 is shown the fig.

below.

0

5

10

15

20

25

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29

RA

INF

AL

L (

in m

m)

DATE

DAILY RAINFALL IN HARYANA AUGUST - 2014

ACTUAL NORMAL

September 2014 Haryana

State received 67.7 mm of rainfall against its normal rainfall of 80.1 mm which is

84.5% of LPA and overall 15.5% deficiency.

During the last decade rainfall was highest in the year 2010 followed by year

2005 and 2009 wherein state received 142%, 131% and 105% respectively excess

rainfall from normal.

State experienced spells of very heavy rainfall (More than 12cm) in September

2014 is shown in Table 1.

Daily time series of rainfall in Punjab during September 2014 is shown the fig

below.

0

5

10

15

20

25

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29

RA

INF

AL

L (

in m

m)

DATE

DAILY RAINFALL IN HARYANA SEPTEMBER - 2014

ACTUAL

NORMAL

Chief Amounts Rainfall 12 cm and above – July, August & September

2014

MONTH DATE DISTRICT STATION RAINFALL

(in cm)

JULY

17 AMBALA Naraingarh 16

18 JHAJJAR Jhajjar 13

28 YAMUNA NAGAR Dadupur 15

AUGUST

07 AMBALA Naraingarh 13

16 YAMUNA NAGAR Tajewala 17

SEPTEMBER

06

KARNAL Karnal

(Revenue) 15

KARNAL Karnal 13

Table.1

5. Daily and weekly rainfall distribution:-

Daily rainfall distribution indicates that monsoon was vigorous during third week

of July, active for two days i.e. 4th and 5

th and vigorous on 6

th during first week of

September. It was below normal for most part of June except couple of days in

first and third week when it remained above normal. It remained above normal in

first, third week of July and below normal remaining period. It remained below

normal during August. In September rainfall was above normal during first and

second week and remained below normal for rest period. Daily time series of

monsoon rainfall (June – September) is shown in fig below.

-300

-100

100

300

500

700

900

1100

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

1-J

un

5-J

un

9-J

un

13

-Ju

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17

-Ju

n

21

-Ju

n

25

-Ju

n

29

-Ju

n

3-J

ul

7-J

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-Ju

l

15

-Ju

l

19

-Ju

l

23

-Ju

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27

-Ju

l

31

-Ju

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4-A

ug

8-A

ug

12

-Au

g

16

-Au

g

20

-Au

g

24

-Au

g

28

-Au

g

1-S

ep

5-S

ep

9-S

ep

13

-Sep

17

-Sep

21

-Sep

25

-Sep

29

-Sep

% D

EP

AR

TU

RE

RA

INF

AL

L (

in m

m)

DATE

DAILY TIME SERIES OF MONSOON RAINFALL HARYANA (JUNE - SEPTEMBER) - 2014

ACTUAL NORMAL % DEPARTURE

Weekly rainfall departure in shown fig below which shows rainfall

remained below normal for all weeks during monsoon season except in

the 1st week of June & 3

rd week of July when it remained near normal

and 3rd

week of June & 2nd

week of September when it remained above

normal.

-125

-100

-75

-50

-25

0

25

50

75

100

125

04.0

6.2

01

4

11.0

6.2

01

4

18.0

6.2

01

4

25.0

6.2

01

4

02.0

7.2

01

4

09.0

7.2

01

4

16.0

7.2

01

4

23.0

7.2

01

4

30.0

7.2

01

4

06.0

8.2

01

4

13.0

8.2

01

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20.0

8.2

01

4

27.0

8.2

01

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03.0

9.2

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10.0

9.2

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17.0

9.2

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24.0

9.2

01

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01.1

0.2

01

4

% D

EP

AR

TU

RE

FR

OM

NO

RM

AL

WEEK ENDING DATE

Weekly Rainfall % Departure - Monsoon 2014 Haryana State

% DEPARTURE

Weekly cumulative rainfall departure indicates that they remained

below normal except 1st week of June during the monsoon season and

is shown in fig below.

-110

-100

-90

-80

-70

-60

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

4 J

un

11 J

un

18 J

un

25 J

un

2 J

ul

9 J

ul

16 J

ul

23 J

ul

30 J

ul

6 A

ug

13 A

ug

20 A

ug

27 A

ug

3 S

ep

10 S

ep

17 S

ep

24 S

ep

1 O

ct

CO

MM

UL

AT

IVE

R

AIN

FA

LL

%

DE

PA

RT

UR

E

WEEK ENDING DATE

WEEKLY COMMULATIVE RAINFALL (% DEPARTURE) MONSOON 2014 - HARYANA

COMMULATIVE % DEPARTURE

6. Main synoptic weather system monsoon 2014

During current monsoon season 24 western disturbance viz. upper air system,

Trough in westerly’s, Induced cyclonic circulation travelled eastward and were

also in interaction phase with monsoonal flow. One Low pressure area travelled

west/northwest ward along monsoon trough affected this region, 16 upper air

cyclonic circulations embedded in the region of monsoon trough were also

observed. Month wise location and dissipation of weather system during

monsoon 2014 is given below.

Main synoptic System:

Synoptic systems – July 2014

Synoptic systems – August 2014

Synoptic systems – September 2014

7. Withdrawal of Monsoon

In view of dry weather conditions and decreased moisture contents as seen

from water vapour imageries over Northwest region during 17th September

2014 and also change in the lower level tropospheric circulation pattern over the

region from cyclonic to anticyclonic during 16-17 made condition favourable for

withdrawal of monsoon over the region. Subsequently withdrawal of monsoon

over North-western parts of the country commenced on 23rd

September. Monsoon

withdrew from some parts of West Rajasthan and parts of Kutch on 23rd

September and from some parts of Punjab, Haryana and Gujarat region, some

more parts of Kutch and remaining parts of West Rajasthan on 26th

. During This

year monsoon withdrew from Punjab on 26th

September 2014. It further withdrew

from remaining parts of Punjab, Haryana including Chandigarh on

28th September 2014. Withdrawal of monsoon 2014 is shown in fig given below.

8. Verification of monsoon long range rainfall forecast 2014

IMD predicted below normal rainfall in April which was further updated in

June and August 2014. Forecast for country as a whole was predicted below

normal this year quantitatively it was expected to be 95% of LPA with model

error ±5% for the country. Forecast was further updated to 93% and 87 % of LPA

in June and August 2014respectively. Forecast for NW India was predicted 87

and 76% of LPA.

Actual rainfall for the country as a whole was 88% of LPA as predicted.

Actual rainfall realized for NW India was 79% of LPA and which was also

within in the forecast limit issued by IMD and was correct. Realized rainfall for

Haryana was 43.7% of LPA hence model overestimated the rainfall for Haryana.

In probabilistic forecast the probability of below normal rainfall for NW India

was more than 70%. Monthly forecast Issued by IMD in June for the month of

July and August was 93% and 96% of LPA for the country as a whole with

model error of ±9% .Forecast for August and September was 95% of LPA with

model error of ± 8%.The actual rainfall realized in Haryana for the month of

July, August was 44, 20 % of LPA hence model overestimated rainfall for

smaller region. Monsoon forecast issued by IMD for second half of monsoon

(August-September) was predicted to be 95 % of LPA for the country with model

error of ±8%. Actual rainfall realized in Haryana was 56% of LPA which was

below the expected rainfall.

Monsoons long range rainfall forecast issued and realized in Haryana

during monsoon 2014

Region Period Stage of forecast Forecast %

of LPA

Actual rainfall

%LPA

All India June-Sept 1st Stage 9

th April 95±5 88

All India June-Sept 2nd Stage 9th

June 93±4 88

NW India June-Sept 9th

June 85±8 79

Haryana June-Sept do 85±8 43

Haryana July do 93±9 44

Haryana August do 96±9 20

Haryana August &

September 2

nd August 96±5 40.7

Verification of short range forecast and Nowcast issued by Meteorological

Centre, Chandigarh based upon all IMD/state rainfall reporting stations

during June-September in Haryana during monsoon 2014 is given below.

Verification of short range forecast and Nowcast issued by

Meteorological Centre, Chandigarh for Haryana is given below

Months Intensity % Distribution%

June 100 83.2

July 96.7 83.8

August 96.8 83.7

September 83.3 90

Excess and deficient Monsoon year in Haryana (1901-2014)