In the Hands of God

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A STUDY OF RISK & SAVINGS IN AFGHANISTAN IN THE JAN CHIPCHASE MARK ROLSTON CARA SILVER HANDS OF GOD

Transcript of In the Hands of God

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A STUDY OF RISK & SAVINGS IN AFGHANISTAN

IN THE

JAN CHIPCHASE MARK ROLSTON CARA SILVER

HANDS OF GOD

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OPPORTUNITY

financial inclusionmobile money > savings

research boundaries

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OPPORTUNITY

explore attitudes to risk & savingsbroader ecosystem

how a new saving’s product would be positioned & communicated

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CONFLICT

available insightwithin the organisation

self-doubt

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EMOTIONAL ROLLER COASTER

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EMOTIONAL ROLLER COASTER

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EMOTIONAL ROLLER COASTER

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EMOTIONAL ROLLER COASTER

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APPROACH

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3 x researchers + 5 local fixers & guides + drivers

TEAM

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SALARIED PARTICIPANTS

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METHODS

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METHODS

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BIASES & OMISSIONS

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CHALLENGES

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WITHIN THE COUNTRY

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offices & homesstreets, retail, college

street & hawala markets

WITHIN CITIES

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degrees of conservatismsocial pressure on local female guides

dress code

social rules(and who can break them)

EXTREME GENDER DYNAMICS

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[lets put it in context]

SECURITY

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[lets put it in context]

low-profilesufficiently trusted local crew

local transportpriming social contextssituational awareness

SECURITY

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move with intentneutral clothes

situational awarenessneutralise self as threatno visible items of value

carefully target first contact to prime otherstap local guides

MITIGATING RISK

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PRIMING ASOCIAL BEHAVIOUR

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$200,000

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$200,000

(the starting price point for facilitating a kidnap)

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$200,000

(the starting price point for facilitating a kidnap)

(which is why you work on building trust with your local crew)

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$200,000

(the starting price point for facilitating a kidnap)

(which is why you work on building trust with your local crew)

(which is why your local crew work on building trust with you)

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TALKING ABOUT MONEY

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TALKING ABOUT BRIBERY

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THOUGHTS

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GOATS, GRAIN, GOLD, LAND

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lottery spot

employer contribution Shari’ah Law

REWARDS/INCENTIVES FOR SAVING

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“IN MY LIFETIME”

planned ISAF & US withdrawaltouched by the war

rule of lawTaliban rule

civil warSoviet invasion

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“IN MY LIFETIME”

?planned ISAF & US withdrawal

touched by the warrule of law

Taliban rulecivil war

Soviet invasion

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PREDICTABILITY OF LIFE (& DEATH) EVENTS

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INTERTWINED FAMILY LIVES

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INTERTWINED FAMILY LIVES

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INTERTWINED FAMILY LIVES

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INTERTWINED FAMILY LIVES

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INTERTWINED FAMILY LIVES

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A CULTURE OF CONTRIBUTION

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portfoliohow, where, when people withdraw

whom to invite to the weddingcompulsory car insurance vs bribe

RISK AVERSION STRATEGIES

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NEGOTIATION STRATEGIES

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SUMMARY

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identitybankingmarriage

...

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“tomorrow is hard to believe in”

CLOSING

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out of gods hands

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THANKS