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Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist...
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Transcript of Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist...
![Page 1: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM
Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel WeatherSeptember 2014
![Page 2: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
OPEN ARCTIC RECORDS
Since 2007, Summer Open Arctic records are set at
3 year intervals.
Multi-year ice lasts through the summer.
Ice is concentrated on the Canadian side of the
Arctic Ocean and has disappeared from the
Eurasian Arctic waters and coasts.
![Page 3: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
COMPARISON OF MEDIAN ICE EXTENT
![Page 4: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
DIFFERENCE OF ICE CONCENTRATION IN MARCH 2012 AND AUGUST 2012
![Page 5: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
ARCTIC ICE GROWTH FROM 2012 TO 2013
![Page 6: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
DRILLING
What does that mean for drilling in the Chukchi Sea
and Kara Sea?
![Page 7: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
CHUKCHI SEADATE WHEN CHUKCHI SEA BECOMES
NON-ICE COVERED 2007 - 2013
![Page 8: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
ChukchiSea
July 16, 2013
![Page 9: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
ChukchiSea
August 7, 2012
![Page 10: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
ChukchiSea
July 8, 2011
![Page 11: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
ChukchiSea
July 19, 2010
![Page 12: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
ChukchiSea
July 13, 2009
![Page 13: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
ChukchiSea
August 31, 2008
![Page 14: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
ChukchiSea
July 18, 2007
![Page 15: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
CHUKCHI SEADATE WHEN CHUKCHI SEA MARGINAL
ICE ZONE RETURNS 2007 - 2013
![Page 16: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
ChukchiSea
November 6, 2013
![Page 17: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
ChukchiSea
November 3, 2012
![Page 18: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
ChukchiSea
November 14, 2011
![Page 19: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
ChukchiSea
October 28, 2010
![Page 20: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
ChukchiSea
November 5, 2009
![Page 21: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
ChukchiSea
November 10, 2008
![Page 22: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
ChukchiSea
October 28, 2007
![Page 23: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/23.jpg)
KARA SEADATE WHEN KARA SEA BECOMES
NON- ICE COVERED 2007 - 2013
![Page 24: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/24.jpg)
KaraSea
July 28, 2013
![Page 25: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/25.jpg)
KaraSea
July 3, 2012
![Page 26: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/26.jpg)
KaraSea
July 2, 2011
![Page 27: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/27.jpg)
KaraSea
August 22, 2010
![Page 28: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/28.jpg)
KaraSea
August 7, 2009
![Page 29: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/29.jpg)
KaraSea
August 18, 2008
![Page 30: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/30.jpg)
KaraSea
September 1, 2007
![Page 31: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/31.jpg)
KARA SEADATE WHEN KARA SEA MARGINAL ICE
ZONE RETURNS 2007 - 2013
![Page 32: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/32.jpg)
KaraSea
October 22, 2013
![Page 33: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/33.jpg)
KaraSea
November 27, 2012
![Page 34: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/34.jpg)
KaraSea
November 9, 2011
![Page 35: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/35.jpg)
KaraSea
October 29, 2010
![Page 36: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/36.jpg)
KaraSea
November 1, 2009
![Page 37: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/37.jpg)
KaraSea
October 13, 2008
![Page 38: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/38.jpg)
KaraSea
October 25, 2007
![Page 39: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/39.jpg)
OPEN ARCTIC MEANS MORE STORMS ALONG THE ARCTIC CIRCLE
![Page 40: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/40.jpg)
OPEN ARCTIC
From 2000 to 2010, about 1,900 cyclones churned
across the top of the world each year, leaving warm
water and air in their wakes—and melting sea ice in
the Arctic Ocean.
When you narrow the search down to cyclones that
occurred directly over the Arctic Ocean, you find
more than 200 to 300 storms per year
![Page 41: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/41.jpg)
Data from Arctic buoys reporting surface air temperatures and sea level pressure were used to create
sparse storm tracks from 1950 to 1972. Buoys also captured the data used to create the more abundant
storm tracks from 2000 to 2006. Credit: NASA.
1950 - 1972 2000 - 2006
Russia Canad
a
Green
land
Russia Canad
a
Gre
enla
nd
![Page 42: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/42.jpg)
MORE STORMS MEAN…
More storms mean more snow. This means a colder
atmosphere as sun’s radiation is reflected back into
the space.
![Page 43: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/43.jpg)
1999
/200
0
2000
/01
2001
/02
2002
/03
2003
/04
2004
/05
2005
/06
2006
/07
2007
/08
2008
/09
2009
/10
2010
/11
2011
/12
2012
/13
126,000,000128,000,000130,000,000132,000,000134,000,000136,000,000138,000,000140,000,000142,000,000144,000,000146,000,000
WINTER SNOW EXTENT NORTHERN HEMISPHERE (km2)
![Page 44: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/44.jpg)
TRACKS OF POLAR LOWS IN THE SUMMER
![Page 45: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/45.jpg)
OBSERVED WAVES
Reviewing the Observed Waves in the Chukchi Sea
and the Kara Sea, you see that when the ice
retreats the wind fetch increases. If you assume
that the near zero wave heights indicate ice, you
can see on the following charts that the drilling
season could be longer depending on your drilling
location.
![Page 46: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/46.jpg)
1979-1988 1990-1999 2000-2012
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS IN THE CHUKCHI SEA (JULY - NOV.)
![Page 47: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/47.jpg)
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS IN THE KARA SEA (JULY - NOV.)
1979-1988 1990-1999 2000-2012
![Page 48: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/48.jpg)
Year Date of Ice Retreat Return of the Marginal Ice Zone Chukchi Sea
2013 July 16,2013 November 6, 2013
2012 Aug 17, 2012 Nov 3, 2012
2011 July 9, 2011 Nov 15, 2011
2010 July 19. 2010 October 28, 2010
2009 July 13, 2009 Nov 5, 2009
2008 August 31, 2008 Nov 10, 2008
2007 July 18, 2007 October 28,2007
CHUKCHI SEA
![Page 49: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/49.jpg)
Dates of Ice Free/Freeze
UpKara Gate
West Side of Novaya
Zemlya
Return of Marginal Ice
Zone to Kara Gate
Return of Marginal Ice Zone West
Side of Novaya Zemlya
2013 July 29 July 29 Nov 11 Oct 25 2012 June 12 July 4 Nov 28 Nov 26 2011 June 22 July 2 Nov 19 Nov 92010 Aug 11 Aug 23 Nov 21 Oct 292009 July 20 Aug 7 Nov 30 Nov 12008 Aug 17 Aug 20 Nov 30 Oct 132007 Sept 1 Aug 18 Nov 20 Oct 25
KARA SEA
![Page 50: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/50.jpg)
FORECAST FOR 2014
Chukchi Sea Kara Sea
Ice Retreat July 18, 2014 July 25, 2014
Return of Marginal Ice Zone October 25, 2014 October 25, 2014
![Page 51: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/51.jpg)
CHUKCHI SEA
July 18, 2014 July 25, 2014
![Page 52: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/52.jpg)
KARA SEA
July 25, 2014 August 4, 2014
![Page 53: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/53.jpg)
FORECAST FOR 2015
Chukchi Sea Kara Sea
Ice Retreat July 25, 2015 August 4, 2015
Return of Marginal Ice Zone November 2, 2015 October 30, 2015
![Page 54: Impacts of Open Arctic to Specific Regions By: Jill F. Hasling, CCM Chief Consulting Meteorologist – MatthewsDaniel Weather September 2014.](https://reader035.fdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062801/56649e415503460f94b326d6/html5/thumbnails/54.jpg)
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