Impact of natural and biogenic emissions on Air Quality Gabriele Curci [email protected] ...

29
Impact of natural and biogenic emissions on Air Quality Gabriele Curci [email protected] paris12.fr http://www.lisa.univ- paris12.fr/ NatAir Workshop, Brussels 26 June 2007 M. Beekmann 1 , R. Vautard 2 1 LISA, 2 LSCE
  • date post

    18-Dec-2015
  • Category

    Documents

  • view

    215
  • download

    0

Transcript of Impact of natural and biogenic emissions on Air Quality Gabriele Curci [email protected] ...

Page 1: Impact of natural and biogenic emissions on Air Quality Gabriele Curci curci@lisa.univ-paris12.fr  NatAir Workshop, Brussels.

Impact of natural and biogenic emissions on

Air Quality

Gabriele [email protected]

http://www.lisa.univ-paris12.fr/

NatAir Workshop, Brussels 26 June 2007

M. Beekmann1, R. Vautard2

1 LISA, 2 LSCE

Page 2: Impact of natural and biogenic emissions on Air Quality Gabriele Curci curci@lisa.univ-paris12.fr  NatAir Workshop, Brussels.

NATAIR ProjectApril 18, 2023 Gabriele Curci, LISA 2

SummarySummary

• Overview of CHIMERE model• Resume of biogenic emissions from NatAir

and anthropogenic EMEP emissions• Simulation results (summer)

– Impact on ozone• Volatile Organic Compounds (BVOC)• Comparison with ground measurements

– Impact on PM• SOA from Terpenes• Dust• Spores, bacteria (PBAP)

Page 3: Impact of natural and biogenic emissions on Air Quality Gabriele Curci curci@lisa.univ-paris12.fr  NatAir Workshop, Brussels.

NATAIR ProjectApril 18, 2023 Gabriele Curci, LISA 3

CChimerehimere Chemistry-Transport ModelChemistry-Transport Model

Chimere0.5°x0.5°

• advection & turbulence• gas & aerosol chemistry• wet & dry deposition

METEO

MM5 48x48 km2

• ERA-40 forcing• grid FDDA• USGS landuse• MRF PBL• Grell cumulus scheme• Reisner2 microphysics• Noah LSM

GLOBAL BOUNDARY CONDITIONS

(monthly climatology)

• Gas : LMDz-INCA• Aerosol : GOCART

EMISSIONS

• Anthrogenic : EMEP CO,NH3, NOx, NMVOC, PM, SOx

• Biogenic : NatAir NMVOC, NO, PM

http://euler.lmd.polytechnique.fr/chimere/[Schmidt et al., Atmo. Env., 2001]

Chemical mechanism MELCHIOR

• 80 species, 300 reactions

• BVOC : isoprene [Paulson and Seinfeld, 1992], α-pinene [Stockwell et al., 1997]

Page 4: Impact of natural and biogenic emissions on Air Quality Gabriele Curci curci@lisa.univ-paris12.fr  NatAir Workshop, Brussels.

NATAIR ProjectApril 18, 2023 Gabriele Curci, LISA 4

NatAir Biogenic Emissions DatabaseNatAir Biogenic Emissions Database

• Main objective: estimation of fraction of atmospheric pollutants over Europe which can be attributed to natural/biogenic emissions (“incompressible part of air quality”)

• Development of state-of-the-art biogenic emission inventory: 10 km resolution on the European domain

• All emissions regridded on the 0.5°x0.5° grid of Chimere model and rewritten in netCDF format

• Sources included:– Biogenic VOCs: isoprene, speciated terpenes and others– NO from soils– Forest fires– Wind blown dust– Lightning– Spores, bacteria– Animals– Wetlands– Sea salt and DMS– Volcanoes– Geological seapages

http://natair.ier.uni-stuttgart.de/

Page 5: Impact of natural and biogenic emissions on Air Quality Gabriele Curci curci@lisa.univ-paris12.fr  NatAir Workshop, Brussels.

NATAIR ProjectApril 18, 2023 Gabriele Curci, LISA 5

VOC Emissions year 2000 (1/2)VOC Emissions year 2000 (1/2)

Biogenic VOC emissions (ISOPRENE+TERPENES) are about 60% of anthropogenic VOC emissions on annul basis at continental scale

BVOC > AVOC emissions in Spain and Greece

[Mg]

Page 6: Impact of natural and biogenic emissions on Air Quality Gabriele Curci curci@lisa.univ-paris12.fr  NatAir Workshop, Brussels.

NATAIR ProjectApril 18, 2023 Gabriele Curci, LISA 6

VOC Emissions year 2000 (2/2)VOC Emissions year 2000 (2/2)

NatAir

Simpson et al., 1999

emissions into Chimere

[Derognat et al., 2003]

ISOPRENE Σ TERPENESChanges against

previous estimates

Page 7: Impact of natural and biogenic emissions on Air Quality Gabriele Curci curci@lisa.univ-paris12.fr  NatAir Workshop, Brussels.

NATAIR ProjectApril 18, 2023 Gabriele Curci, LISA 7

NONOxx Emissions Emissions

[Mg]

Biogenic NO emissions are about 2% of anthropogenic NOx

emissions on annual basis at continental scale

May contribute up to 20-25% in some parts of Spain and France

Page 8: Impact of natural and biogenic emissions on Air Quality Gabriele Curci curci@lisa.univ-paris12.fr  NatAir Workshop, Brussels.

NATAIR ProjectApril 18, 2023 Gabriele Curci, LISA 8

PMPM1010 Emissions Emissions

[Mg]

65% PM2.5 0% PM2.5

15% PM2.5 45% PM2.5

Page 9: Impact of natural and biogenic emissions on Air Quality Gabriele Curci curci@lisa.univ-paris12.fr  NatAir Workshop, Brussels.

NATAIR ProjectApril 18, 2023 Gabriele Curci, LISA 9

CChimerehimere SimulationSimulation

Simulation ID Description

CTRL No Biogenic Emissions

ALL2 CTRL + NatAir BVOC

ISO2 CTRL + NatAir ISOPRENE

TER2 CTRL + NatAir TERPENES

DST2 CTRL + NatAir DUST

PBAP CTRL + NatAir PBAP

All simulations in summer (Jun-Aug), base year 2000

Page 10: Impact of natural and biogenic emissions on Air Quality Gabriele Curci curci@lisa.univ-paris12.fr  NatAir Workshop, Brussels.

NATAIR ProjectApril 18, 2023 Gabriele Curci, LISA 10

BVOC impact on OZONE (1/6)BVOC impact on OZONE (1/6)

Average daily ozone maximum summer 2000 (JJA)

Average increase INLAND adding BVOC: 2.0 ppbv (1.0/3.5 ppbv N/S of 47°N)

Page 11: Impact of natural and biogenic emissions on Air Quality Gabriele Curci curci@lisa.univ-paris12.fr  NatAir Workshop, Brussels.

NATAIR ProjectApril 18, 2023 Gabriele Curci, LISA 11

BVOC impact on OZONE (2/6)BVOC impact on OZONE (2/6)

Animation of hourly contribution of BVOC to surface ozone, starting from zero BVOC emissions.

Ozone is produced mainly inland and near NOx sources (>20 ppbv locally)

Ozone builds up over the sea, because of its longer lifetime in the marine boundary layer.

After 3 days Mediterranean basin is filled up with additional O3 from BVOC

Page 12: Impact of natural and biogenic emissions on Air Quality Gabriele Curci curci@lisa.univ-paris12.fr  NatAir Workshop, Brussels.

NATAIR ProjectApril 18, 2023 Gabriele Curci, LISA 12

BVOC impact on OZONE (3/6)BVOC impact on OZONE (3/6)

Additional O3 from BVOC

Inland: 60% ISOPRENE and 40% TERPENES

Offshore: 50% ISOPRENE and 50% TERPENES

Page 13: Impact of natural and biogenic emissions on Air Quality Gabriele Curci curci@lisa.univ-paris12.fr  NatAir Workshop, Brussels.

NATAIR ProjectApril 18, 2023 Gabriele Curci, LISA 13

BVOC impact on OZONE (4/6)BVOC impact on OZONE (4/6)Seasonal cycle

Page 14: Impact of natural and biogenic emissions on Air Quality Gabriele Curci curci@lisa.univ-paris12.fr  NatAir Workshop, Brussels.

NATAIR ProjectApril 18, 2023 Gabriele Curci, LISA 14

BVOC impact on OZONE (5/6)BVOC impact on OZONE (5/6)

HEAT-WAVES!

+2.2 ppbv +2.0 ppbv

+2.5 ppbv +2.8 ppbv

Page 15: Impact of natural and biogenic emissions on Air Quality Gabriele Curci curci@lisa.univ-paris12.fr  NatAir Workshop, Brussels.

NATAIR ProjectApril 18, 2023 Gabriele Curci, LISA 15

BVOC impact on OZONE, year 2010 (6/6)BVOC impact on OZONE, year 2010 (6/6)

YEAR 2000

[ppbv]

YEAR 2010

Reduced impact over western Europe, increased in Turkey

Change driven by change of NOx emissions

Page 16: Impact of natural and biogenic emissions on Air Quality Gabriele Curci curci@lisa.univ-paris12.fr  NatAir Workshop, Brussels.

NATAIR ProjectApril 18, 2023 Gabriele Curci, LISA 16

Robustness of OZONE results (1/2)Robustness of OZONE results (1/2)

[ppbv]

NatAir BVOC emissions “Simpson99” BVOC emissions

Inventories differs in the range of -100 to +200%

Calculated impact on ozone differs in the range -3 (UK) to 8 (Portugal) ppbv, tipically less than ±2 ppbv

Page 17: Impact of natural and biogenic emissions on Air Quality Gabriele Curci curci@lisa.univ-paris12.fr  NatAir Workshop, Brussels.

NATAIR ProjectApril 18, 2023 Gabriele Curci, LISA 17

Robustness of OZONE results (2/2)Robustness of OZONE results (2/2)

Reference simulation

Page 18: Impact of natural and biogenic emissions on Air Quality Gabriele Curci curci@lisa.univ-paris12.fr  NatAir Workshop, Brussels.

NATAIR ProjectApril 18, 2023 Gabriele Curci, LISA 18

Comparison with OZONE measurements (1/2)Comparison with OZONE measurements (1/2)

[ppbv]

NO BVOCWith BVOC

O3 hourly measurements from EMEP and AirBase archives

Adding BVOC the O3 underestimation of the model is generally attenuated

Observations

Page 19: Impact of natural and biogenic emissions on Air Quality Gabriele Curci curci@lisa.univ-paris12.fr  NatAir Workshop, Brussels.

NATAIR ProjectApril 18, 2023 Gabriele Curci, LISA 19

Extreme Event July-August 2003Extreme Event July-August 2003

Large episodic contribution from BVOC emissions to ozone throughout the Mediterranean basin

Up to 100 µg/m3 in one extreme case in Spain!

Observations from EMEP and AirBase databases

!

Page 20: Impact of natural and biogenic emissions on Air Quality Gabriele Curci curci@lisa.univ-paris12.fr  NatAir Workshop, Brussels.

NATAIR ProjectApril 18, 2023 Gabriele Curci, LISA 20

Air quality standards w/ and w/o biogenic Air quality standards w/ and w/o biogenic emissionsemissions

ITALY

No BVOC

With NatAir BVOC

Page 21: Impact of natural and biogenic emissions on Air Quality Gabriele Curci curci@lisa.univ-paris12.fr  NatAir Workshop, Brussels.

NATAIR ProjectApril 18, 2023 Gabriele Curci, LISA 21

Air quality standards w/ and w/o biogenic Air quality standards w/ and w/o biogenic emissionsemissions

SPAIN

No BVOC

With NatAir BVOC

Page 22: Impact of natural and biogenic emissions on Air Quality Gabriele Curci curci@lisa.univ-paris12.fr  NatAir Workshop, Brussels.

NATAIR ProjectApril 18, 2023 Gabriele Curci, LISA 22

Impact of SOA from TERPENES on PM10Impact of SOA from TERPENES on PM10

Terpenes contribute most of Secondary Organic Aerosol on continental scale

In Spain SOA up to 9 µg/m3, in Greece up to 4 µg/m3

In Southern France, Italy and Eastern Europe 1 µg/m3

Page 23: Impact of natural and biogenic emissions on Air Quality Gabriele Curci curci@lisa.univ-paris12.fr  NatAir Workshop, Brussels.

NATAIR ProjectApril 18, 2023 Gabriele Curci, LISA 23

Impact of DUST on PM10Impact of DUST on PM10

[µg/m3]

(1) Chimere dust (2) NatAir dust “Sahara” distr.*

(3) NatAir dust Chimere distr.

Model PM>10 10<PM<2.5 PM<2.5

1 50 45 5

2 76 24 0

3 50 45 5

Assumed Size Distribution (%)

* From Alfaro et al. 1998, 2001

Page 24: Impact of natural and biogenic emissions on Air Quality Gabriele Curci curci@lisa.univ-paris12.fr  NatAir Workshop, Brussels.

NATAIR ProjectApril 18, 2023 Gabriele Curci, LISA 24

Impact of PBAP on PM10Impact of PBAP on PM10

PBAP maximum impact on PM10 is 2%

PBAP emissions almost uniformly distributed over the continent and 85% between 2.5 and 10 µm

Page 25: Impact of natural and biogenic emissions on Air Quality Gabriele Curci curci@lisa.univ-paris12.fr  NatAir Workshop, Brussels.

NATAIR ProjectApril 18, 2023 Gabriele Curci, LISA 25

ConclusionsConclusions

• This is the first long-term interannual assessment of BVOC impact on ozone at European scale after Simpson 95

• The BVOC impact on average ozone daily maximum in summer is ~2.5 ppbv

• The emphasis on the Mediterranean basin (~5 ppbv) and Portugal (15 ppbv) is greater than previous estimates, and smaller north of Mediterranean

• Use of biogenic BVOC emissions is necessary to explain extreme summer ozone episodes (e.g. 2003 heat-waves)

• The associated uncertainty of the average BVOC impact on O3 is estimated in 50%

• Impact of SOA from terpenes on PM10 is significant, expecially on the Iberian peninsula

• Impact of dust on PM10 is also very important at several locations

Page 26: Impact of natural and biogenic emissions on Air Quality Gabriele Curci curci@lisa.univ-paris12.fr  NatAir Workshop, Brussels.

NATAIR ProjectApril 18, 2023 Gabriele Curci, LISA 26

OutlookOutlook

• A detailed SOA scheme will be applied in combination with speciated terpene emissions from NatAir

• Specific simulations in combination with PM10 observations at interesting places will be used to “tune” the size distribution of dust emissions

• Other emissions from NatAir will be implemented into the Chimere model

Page 27: Impact of natural and biogenic emissions on Air Quality Gabriele Curci curci@lisa.univ-paris12.fr  NatAir Workshop, Brussels.

EXTRA SLIDESEXTRA SLIDES

Page 28: Impact of natural and biogenic emissions on Air Quality Gabriele Curci curci@lisa.univ-paris12.fr  NatAir Workshop, Brussels.

NATAIR ProjectApril 18, 2023 Gabriele Curci, LISA 28

VOC Emissions year 2000 (3/3)VOC Emissions year 2000 (3/3)

[Mg]

Only 13% (0.76 Tg) in

reactive HCHO and CH3CHO

Page 29: Impact of natural and biogenic emissions on Air Quality Gabriele Curci curci@lisa.univ-paris12.fr  NatAir Workshop, Brussels.

NATAIR ProjectApril 18, 2023 Gabriele Curci, LISA 29

Comparison with OZONE measurements (2/2)Comparison with OZONE measurements (2/2)

Sim. ID April July September

RMS[ppbv]

CTRL 7.6 (4.4-11.4) 12.6 (6.5-20.2) 7.9 (5.1-11.6)

ALL1 7.4 (4.4- 11.0) 10.6 (5.7-16.5) 7.8 (5.0-11.5)

ALL2 7.5 (4.4-11.3) 10.8 (6.0-17.1) 7.8 (5.0-11.7)

Bias[ppbv]

CTRL -1.4 (-8.3-5.0) -7.6 (-17.1-0.7) 0.0 (-7.5-6.1)

ALL1 -0.8 (-7.7-5.7) -4.1 (-13.3-4.3) 1.4 (-5.9-7.1)

ALL2 -1.2 (-8.2-5.4) -4.2 (-13.4-3.9) 0.6 (-6.9-6.6)

Correlation

CTRL 0.58 (0.33-0.82) 0.78 (0.58-0.93) 0.52 (0.25-0.77)

ALL1 0.61 (0.34-0.84) 0.80 (0.60-0.93) 0.55 (0.28-0.80)

ALL2 0.59 (0.33-0.82) 0.79 (0.61-0.93) 0.53 (0.27-0.80)