IMMIGRATION POLLING PRESENTATION September 2019...IMMIGRATION POLLING PRESENTATION September 2019....

16
IMMIGRATION POLLING PRESENTATION September 2019

Transcript of IMMIGRATION POLLING PRESENTATION September 2019...IMMIGRATION POLLING PRESENTATION September 2019....

Page 1: IMMIGRATION POLLING PRESENTATION September 2019...IMMIGRATION POLLING PRESENTATION September 2019. SLIDE / Introduction & Methodology METHODOLOGY This poll was conducted from August

IMMIGRATION POLLING PRESENTATION

September 2019

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Introduction & Methodology

METHODOLOGY This poll was conducted from August 23-25, 2019, among a national sample of 1,994 registered voters. The interviews were conducted

online and the data weighted to approximate a target sample of registered voters based on age, race/ethnicity, gender, educational attainment, and region. The

results from the full survey have a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points.

BP C | IM M IGRATI O N

2

1

2

3 Is there a middle ground for

Democrats and Republicans on

immigration policies?

Do voters have a desire for across the

aisle collaboration on immigration?

Where does immigration fall among

other issues heading into 2020?

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Key Points

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BP C | IM M IGRATI O N

IMPORTANCE OF IMMIGRATION TO 2020 VOTE

▪ Healthcare policy is energizing Democrats as they consider a presidential

candidate, while immigration policy is the topic most driving Republicans’

vote preference in 2020

DESIRE FOR COMPROMISE IN CONGRESS

▪ Voters want their member of Congress to work collaboratively with members

of other parties to get something done on immigration policy

MIDDLE GROUND ON IMMIGRATION POLICIES

▪ Increasing spending on border security seems to be the middle ground for

Republicans and Democrats

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IMPORTANCE OF IMMMIGRATION

TO 2020 VOTE

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Thinking about who you will vote for in the 2020 presidential election, which of the following policy issues will be most important in your vote choice? Select your top three policy areas.

BP C | IM M IGRATI O N

Importance of Immigration to 2020 Vote

Democrats Republicans

5

U.S. VOTERS

56%

35%

21%

38%

35%

22%

9%

6%

6%

7%

42%

43%

54%

29%

9%

10%

12%

13%

13%

10%

Healthcare policy

Economic policy

Immigration policy

Gun policy

Energy and environmental policy

Education policy

Criminal justice policy

Foreign policy

Trade policy

Infrastructure policy

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Thinking about who you will vote for in the 2020 presidential election, which of the following policy issues will be most important in your vote choice? Select your top three policy areas.

BP C | IM M IGRATI O N

Importance of Immigration to 2020 Vote

Democrats Republicans

6

U.S. VOTERS

56%

35%

21%

38%

35%

22%

9%

6%

6%

7%

42%

43%

54%

29%

9%

10%

12%

13%

13%

10%

Healthcare policy

Economic policy

Immigration policy

Gun policy

Energy and environmental policy

Education policy

Criminal justice policy

Foreign policy

Trade policy

Infrastructure policy

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Thinking about the 2020 presidential election, how important is a candidate's plan on immigration in your decision about who to vote for?

Importance of Immigration to 2020 Vote

Very important Somewhat important Don't know/No opinion Not too important Not at all important

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U.S. VOTERS

40%

63%

44%

30%

11%

5%

4%PID: Democrats

PID: Republicans

48% 37% 9%Registered Voters

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Which of the following statements comes closest to your view, even if neither is exactly correct?BP C | IM M IGRATI O N

Democrats

Republicans

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Importance of Immigration to 2020 VoteU.S. VOTERS

I prefer my member of Congress

works collaboratively with

members of other political

parties to achieve solutions and

pass immigration legislation

75%

80%

16%

10%

9%

I prefer my member of Congress

sticks to their principles on

immigration, even if it means not

getting as much accomplished

Don't know/ No opinion

10%

75% 12% 12%Registered Voters

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MIDDLE GROUND ON

IMMIGRATION POLICIES

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Where are Democrats willing to compromise when it comes to Republicans’ proposed immigration policies? BP C | IM M IGRATI O N

1 0

Increasing spending on border security measures, such as spending more on Border Patrol agents, technology and

physical barriers.

Expanding ICE’s efforts to deport undocumented persons who are not

legally residing in the U.S.

Opposing efforts to legalize immigrants residing in the United

States without legal status.

Restricting who can qualify for asylum or refugee status in the United States.

Preventing or deterring families and children from coming to the border to

ask for asylum including using detention

or separation.

Changing the selection criteria for legal immigrants to prefer those with higher

skills or education.

Building a wall on the southern border between the U.S. and Mexico.

% Republicans Ranked

Most Important

% Democrats Ranked Most

Willing to CompromiseREPUBLICAN

IMMIGRATION PROPOSALS:

Importance + Willingness to Compromise REPUBLICAN + DEMOCRATIC VOTERS

13%10%

9%10%

35%11% -24

19% 26%+7

20%7% +13

7% 11%+4

9% 13%+4

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Where are Democrats willing to compromise when it comes to Republicans’ proposed immigration policies? BP C | IM M IGRATI O N

1 1

Increasing spending on border security measures, such as spending more on Border Patrol agents, technology and

physical barriers.

Expanding ICE’s efforts to deport undocumented persons who are not

legally residing in the U.S.

Opposing efforts to legalize immigrants residing in the United

States without legal status.

Restricting who can qualify for asylum or refugee status in the United States.

Preventing or deterring families and children from coming to the border to

ask for asylum including using detention

or separation.

Changing the selection criteria for legal immigrants to prefer those with higher

skills or education.

Building a wall on the southern border between the U.S. and Mexico.

% Republicans Ranked

Most Important

% Democrats Ranked Most

Willing to Compromise

Importance + Willingness to Compromise REPUBLICAN + DEMOCRATIC VOTERS

13%10%

9%10%

35%11% -24

19% 26%+7

20%7% +13

7% 11%+4

9% 13%+4

REPUBLICAN

IMMIGRATION PROPOSALS:

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Where are Democrats willing to compromise when it comes to Republicans’ proposed immigration policies? BP C | IM M IGRATI O N

1 2

Increasing spending on border security measures, such as spending more on Border Patrol agents, technology and

physical barriers.

Expanding ICE’s efforts to deport undocumented persons who are not

legally residing in the U.S.

Opposing efforts to legalize immigrants residing in the United

States without legal status.

Restricting who can qualify for asylum or refugee status in the United States.

Preventing or deterring families and children from coming to the border to

ask for asylum including using detention

or separation.

Changing the selection criteria for legal immigrants to prefer those with higher

skills or education.

Building a wall on the southern border between the U.S. and Mexico.

% Republicans Ranked

Most Important

% Democrats Ranked Most

Willing to Compromise

Importance + Willingness to Compromise REPUBLICAN + DEMOCRATIC VOTERS

13%10%

9%10%

35%11% -24

19% 26%+7

20%7% +13

7% 11%+4

9% 13%+4

REPUBLICAN

IMMIGRATION PROPOSALS:

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Where are Republicans willing to compromise when it comes to Democrats’ proposed immigration policies? BP C | IM M IGRATI O N

1 3

Importance + Willingness to Compromise REPUBLICAN + DEMOCRATIC VOTERS

DEMOCRAT

IMMIGRATION PROPOSALS:

Providing permanent legal status and ability to apply for citizenship to individuals who came to the U.S. as children and are not

legally residing in the U.S.

Allowing families and children seeking asylum at the border to enter the

country to file their claims, without

detention or separation

Preventing a wall from being built on the southern border between the

U.S. and Mexico.

Providing a way to gain legal status to all persons in the country without lawful

status but who have not committed crimes.

Keeping our legal immigration system that admits mostly family sponsored immigration.

Limiting ICE’s ability to deport undocumented persons who are not

legally residing in the U.S.

Expanding who can qualify for asylum or refugee status in the United States.

% Democrats Ranked

Most Important

8%

20%

20%

10%

8%

20%

13%

11% 21%

17%

12%

9%

22%

% Republicans Ranked Most

Willing to Compromise

+10

+8

-9

-10

+5

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Where are Republicans willing to compromise when it comes to Democrats’ proposed immigration policies? BP C | IM M IGRATI O N

1 4

Importance + Willingness to Compromise REPUBLICAN + DEMOCRATIC VOTERS

DEMOCRAT

IMMIGRATION PROPOSALS:

Providing permanent legal status and ability to apply for citizenship to individuals

who came to the U.S. as children and are

not legally residing in the U.S.

Allowing families and children seeking asylum at the border to enter the

country to file their claims, without

detention or separation

Preventing a wall from being built on the southern border between the

U.S. and Mexico.

Providing a way to gain legal status to all persons in the country without lawful

status but who have not committed crimes.

Keeping our legal immigration system that admits mostly family sponsored immigration.

Limiting ICE’s ability to deport undocumented persons who are not

legally residing in the U.S.

Expanding who can qualify for asylum or refugee status in the United States.

% Democrats Ranked

Most Important

8%

20%

20%

10%

8%

20%

13%

11% 21%

17%

12%

9%

22%

% Republicans Ranked Most

Willing to Compromise

+10

+8

-9

-10

+5

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Where are Republicans willing to compromise when it comes to Democrats’ proposed immigration policies? BP C | IM M IGRATI O N

1 5

Importance + Willingness to Compromise REPUBLICAN + DEMOCRATIC VOTERS

Providing permanent legal status and ability to apply for citizenship to individuals who came to the U.S. as children and are not

legally residing in the U.S.

Allowing families and children seeking asylum at the border to enter the

country to file their claims, without

detention or separation

Preventing a wall from being built on the southern border between the

U.S. and Mexico.

Providing a way to gain legal status to all persons in the country without lawful

status but who have not committed crimes.

Keeping our legal immigration system that admits mostly family sponsored immigration.

Limiting ICE’s ability to deport undocumented persons who are not

legally residing in the U.S.

Expanding who can qualify for asylum or refugee status in the United States.

% Democrats Ranked

Most Important

8%

20%

20%

10%

8%

20%

13%

11% 21%

17%

12%

9%

22%

% Republicans Ranked Most

Willing to Compromise

+10

+8

-9

-10

+5

DEMOCRAT

IMMIGRATION PROPOSALS:

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