IMDC Meeting...• October 3, 2017 Steve Censky and Ted McKinney confirmed • 2018 Farm Bill...

28
IMDC Meeting October 26, 2017 Santa Barbara, California Kent Swisher, Vice President, International Programs

Transcript of IMDC Meeting...• October 3, 2017 Steve Censky and Ted McKinney confirmed • 2018 Farm Bill...

Page 1: IMDC Meeting...• October 3, 2017 Steve Censky and Ted McKinney confirmed • 2018 Farm Bill underway HPAI -2015 • 2015 –211 Commercial Flocks, 21 Backyard Flocks • 2016 –1

IMDC MeetingOctober 26, 2017Santa Barbara, California

Kent Swisher, Vice President, International Programs

Page 2: IMDC Meeting...• October 3, 2017 Steve Censky and Ted McKinney confirmed • 2018 Farm Bill underway HPAI -2015 • 2015 –211 Commercial Flocks, 21 Backyard Flocks • 2016 –1

• International Update – Staff, USDA• Major Initiatives/Updates• Statistics

Page 3: IMDC Meeting...• October 3, 2017 Steve Censky and Ted McKinney confirmed • 2018 Farm Bill underway HPAI -2015 • 2015 –211 Commercial Flocks, 21 Backyard Flocks • 2016 –1

Staff

• German Davalos, Director Latin America, 14 years with NRA – Lucy Cano 14 years

• Peng Li, Director Asia, over 10 years– Teresa Hon – over 28 years

• Bruce Ross, Brussels, 10 years

Consultants:• Chile, China, Indonesia, Vietnam

Page 4: IMDC Meeting...• October 3, 2017 Steve Censky and Ted McKinney confirmed • 2018 Farm Bill underway HPAI -2015 • 2015 –211 Commercial Flocks, 21 Backyard Flocks • 2016 –1

Strategic Intention - Global

• Domestic and international markets – Promote the demand and market access for rendered products to domestic and international customers. Secure adequate resources from key strategic partnerships (members, federal government and strategic allies).

Page 5: IMDC Meeting...• October 3, 2017 Steve Censky and Ted McKinney confirmed • 2018 Farm Bill underway HPAI -2015 • 2015 –211 Commercial Flocks, 21 Backyard Flocks • 2016 –1

USDA News

• New Positions at USDA - Deputy Secretary and Under Secretary for Trade and Foreign Agricultural Affairs

• October 3, 2017 Steve Censky and Ted McKinney confirmed

• 2018 Farm Bill underway

Page 6: IMDC Meeting...• October 3, 2017 Steve Censky and Ted McKinney confirmed • 2018 Farm Bill underway HPAI -2015 • 2015 –211 Commercial Flocks, 21 Backyard Flocks • 2016 –1

HPAI - 2015

• 2015 – 211 Commercial Flocks, 21 Backyard Flocks

• 2016 – 1 Commercial Flock – H7N8

• 2017 - 0

Page 7: IMDC Meeting...• October 3, 2017 Steve Censky and Ted McKinney confirmed • 2018 Farm Bill underway HPAI -2015 • 2015 –211 Commercial Flocks, 21 Backyard Flocks • 2016 –1

RTFO - UK

Page 8: IMDC Meeting...• October 3, 2017 Steve Censky and Ted McKinney confirmed • 2018 Farm Bill underway HPAI -2015 • 2015 –211 Commercial Flocks, 21 Backyard Flocks • 2016 –1

NRA Funded 2 Studies

Page 9: IMDC Meeting...• October 3, 2017 Steve Censky and Ted McKinney confirmed • 2018 Farm Bill underway HPAI -2015 • 2015 –211 Commercial Flocks, 21 Backyard Flocks • 2016 –1
Page 10: IMDC Meeting...• October 3, 2017 Steve Censky and Ted McKinney confirmed • 2018 Farm Bill underway HPAI -2015 • 2015 –211 Commercial Flocks, 21 Backyard Flocks • 2016 –1

NAFTA

• NRA – Meetings with USTR• NRA – Meetings with USDA/FAS • June 12, 2017 NRA submitted comments

regarding the USTR Federal Register Notice requesting comments on negotiating objectives

• June 27, 2017 – NRA testified at the NAFTA Modernization Hearing

• October 12, 2017 – NRA met with US grain exporters and the CAN (Mexico agriculture producers) to release a joint statement in support of North American trade

Page 11: IMDC Meeting...• October 3, 2017 Steve Censky and Ted McKinney confirmed • 2018 Farm Bill underway HPAI -2015 • 2015 –211 Commercial Flocks, 21 Backyard Flocks • 2016 –1

NAFTA – NRA Comments

• Do no harm!• Maintain 0 tariffs on rendered products• Market access for US ruminant MBM to Mexico• Market access for mixed specie YG/UCO and

tallow from Canada to the US

Page 12: IMDC Meeting...• October 3, 2017 Steve Censky and Ted McKinney confirmed • 2018 Farm Bill underway HPAI -2015 • 2015 –211 Commercial Flocks, 21 Backyard Flocks • 2016 –1

NAFTA Issues

• 5 year sunset provision• Seasonality

Page 13: IMDC Meeting...• October 3, 2017 Steve Censky and Ted McKinney confirmed • 2018 Farm Bill underway HPAI -2015 • 2015 –211 Commercial Flocks, 21 Backyard Flocks • 2016 –1

Trade Statistics

Page 14: IMDC Meeting...• October 3, 2017 Steve Censky and Ted McKinney confirmed • 2018 Farm Bill underway HPAI -2015 • 2015 –211 Commercial Flocks, 21 Backyard Flocks • 2016 –1

US Red Meat and Poultry Production

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2026

Billion pounds

Broilers

Beef

Pork

Source: USDA/ERS

Page 15: IMDC Meeting...• October 3, 2017 Steve Censky and Ted McKinney confirmed • 2018 Farm Bill underway HPAI -2015 • 2015 –211 Commercial Flocks, 21 Backyard Flocks • 2016 –1

Disappearance

Page 16: IMDC Meeting...• October 3, 2017 Steve Censky and Ted McKinney confirmed • 2018 Farm Bill underway HPAI -2015 • 2015 –211 Commercial Flocks, 21 Backyard Flocks • 2016 –1

Exports

Page 17: IMDC Meeting...• October 3, 2017 Steve Censky and Ted McKinney confirmed • 2018 Farm Bill underway HPAI -2015 • 2015 –211 Commercial Flocks, 21 Backyard Flocks • 2016 –1

Exports

Product/Country 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2016/2015Yellow Grease (includes UCO) EU28 120,982 222,722 154,095 147,289 153,813 128,128 184,984 44.37%

Mexico 161,305 131,831 113,534 95,892 95,574 72,564 50,014 -31.08%

Canada 15,392 26,547 15,604 11,533 10,604 11,716 11,045 -5.73%

Dominican Republic 39,945 30,460 17,629 18,082 15,518 9,585 10,639 11.00%

Honduras 5,989 7,236 6,920 3,605 5,890 7,057 9,071 28.54%

Guatemala 19,023 10,224 7,611 3,799 7,125 6,066 6,939 14.39%

Total All

Countries 549,053 566,246 452,067 361,031 333,133 252,959 286,189 13.14%

U.S. Export Customers by Product (in metric tons), 2010-2016

Page 18: IMDC Meeting...• October 3, 2017 Steve Censky and Ted McKinney confirmed • 2018 Farm Bill underway HPAI -2015 • 2015 –211 Commercial Flocks, 21 Backyard Flocks • 2016 –1

Exports

Page 19: IMDC Meeting...• October 3, 2017 Steve Censky and Ted McKinney confirmed • 2018 Farm Bill underway HPAI -2015 • 2015 –211 Commercial Flocks, 21 Backyard Flocks • 2016 –1

Markets

Page 20: IMDC Meeting...• October 3, 2017 Steve Censky and Ted McKinney confirmed • 2018 Farm Bill underway HPAI -2015 • 2015 –211 Commercial Flocks, 21 Backyard Flocks • 2016 –1

Markets

Page 21: IMDC Meeting...• October 3, 2017 Steve Censky and Ted McKinney confirmed • 2018 Farm Bill underway HPAI -2015 • 2015 –211 Commercial Flocks, 21 Backyard Flocks • 2016 –1

Markets

Page 22: IMDC Meeting...• October 3, 2017 Steve Censky and Ted McKinney confirmed • 2018 Farm Bill underway HPAI -2015 • 2015 –211 Commercial Flocks, 21 Backyard Flocks • 2016 –1

Markets

Page 23: IMDC Meeting...• October 3, 2017 Steve Censky and Ted McKinney confirmed • 2018 Farm Bill underway HPAI -2015 • 2015 –211 Commercial Flocks, 21 Backyard Flocks • 2016 –1

Singapore - Tallow

Page 24: IMDC Meeting...• October 3, 2017 Steve Censky and Ted McKinney confirmed • 2018 Farm Bill underway HPAI -2015 • 2015 –211 Commercial Flocks, 21 Backyard Flocks • 2016 –1

Singapore - YTD

Page 25: IMDC Meeting...• October 3, 2017 Steve Censky and Ted McKinney confirmed • 2018 Farm Bill underway HPAI -2015 • 2015 –211 Commercial Flocks, 21 Backyard Flocks • 2016 –1

YTD Exports

U.S. Exports of Animal Protein Meals in MT (YTD Jan-Jun)2015 2016 2017 17/16

Indonesia 111,521 140,601 181,297 29%

China 33,519 64,689 84,262 30%

Mexico 48,089 45,631 69,772 53%

Canada 24,884 31,731 31,904 1%

Vietnam 5,838 14,161 14,246 1%

Chile 27,837 14,352 12,670 -12%

Malaysia 2,341 1,175 9,469 706%

Ecuador 6,403 4,941 9,343 89%

Thailand 3,743 2,391 7,092 197%

Germany - 2,500 3,945 58%

Peru 655 577 3,108 439%

Cambodia - - 2,356

Honduras 956 5,156 2,336 -55%Myanmar - 120 1,716

TOTAL 283,909 345,607 438,768 27%

Page 26: IMDC Meeting...• October 3, 2017 Steve Censky and Ted McKinney confirmed • 2018 Farm Bill underway HPAI -2015 • 2015 –211 Commercial Flocks, 21 Backyard Flocks • 2016 –1

YTD Exports

Page 27: IMDC Meeting...• October 3, 2017 Steve Censky and Ted McKinney confirmed • 2018 Farm Bill underway HPAI -2015 • 2015 –211 Commercial Flocks, 21 Backyard Flocks • 2016 –1

YTD Exports

Page 28: IMDC Meeting...• October 3, 2017 Steve Censky and Ted McKinney confirmed • 2018 Farm Bill underway HPAI -2015 • 2015 –211 Commercial Flocks, 21 Backyard Flocks • 2016 –1