Iepsd Brochure Web

8/3/2019 Iepsd Brochure Web

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INTEGRATED

ENERGY PLANNING

FOR SUSTAINABLE

DEVELOPMENT


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2 3Integrated Energy Planning for Sustainable Development

ENERGY HOLDS THE POWER IMPROVING ACCESS TO ENERGY

A vital role ortechnological innovationTeg is te iti ik betweeeeg seies d ess, dbiit deimet mptibiit.

Bt eeg pes mst tik te-g s me t pwe pts, mteies d ppies. Te mst sideisttes s s bidigs, settemetpttes, d d tsptti sstems,d idsti pts d eipmet.

Teg ies e s iked t wsd egtis tt eet ti p-biities, si peeees d t bk-gds.

Energy options reecthuman innovationPepe e d ws t tiize mdieet eeg ses: m d impwe, s, wid d wte, ssi es de pwe.

Te e eeg deies m its biitt et, t imite d t mke tigsme.

E t ses is eeg ses idieet meses d mbitis s- eetig its edwmet wit teses.

Te mpsite extti d esitegies d pesses tt deie e-eg seies t ed ses is kw s teenergy system; te idiid eipe s teenergy mix.

is a multi-aceted challengeDeieig eeg t ed ses eies mti-pe pesses (pdti, esi, ts-mti d distibti) d m pes,m bt te pbi d pite sets. Tisetes mpetiti witi te eeg set,t eeg ses bt s esst fi, m d te it eses.

that has ar-reaching implications

Eeg extti, esi d se wsgeete desibe b-pdts d emis-sis me, i t, t te set.Ipppite expitti eeg ses e desttig eets te tsstems tt sppt ie tis pet.

and long-lasting obligations.

Tds ies bt w eeg is pdedd sed wi detemie te sstibiit te te eeg sstem d, teeb, siemi pgess. Mst eeg ptsd eipmet e g petig ies(25 40 es d me); i sme ses, teeie spei mgemet g te teipeti ies.

Energy is essential to all human activities and, indeed, critical to social and economicdevelopment. Lack o energy is a contributing actor to states o perpetual poverty orindividuals, communities, nations and regions. In contrast, access to energy opens manynew opportunities; and meeting the United Nations Millennium Development Goalscannot be accomplished without access to aordable energy services.

and accelerate social progress.

It is e it t te pisi bsi iiseies (et e, e wte, sitti,et.), t impig ess t edti d,timte, t isig imes.

to drive economic development

Eeg is te egie te pdti gds

d seies ss emi sets: gi-

te, idst (miig, mtig), tspt-

ti, mmee, pbi dmiistti, et.

Energy and sustainabledevelopment: A central roleor governmentsTe ept sstibe deepmetgee empsses tee pis: si,emi, d te eimet iked beetie gemet istittis.

Eeg pig is exmpe te eed te it e gemet istittisi esig tt eeg spp d demddeisis mde b stkedes pdes,smes, iests, et. e mptibewit e gs ti sstibedeepmet.

...with availability of modern energy, life changes

Siet

Em Eimet

Istittis

& Piies


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54

EnErgy: MorE Than juST aquESTIon o rESourcES

It is te tgt tt eeg eses diete eeg sstem bsi i tp-dwsi. I t it is bttm-p die b tedemd eeg seies. Wie te d-mesti edwmet wit eeg eses is iti eemet i eeg pig, te-g pides te ik betwee eses dte spp eeg seies.

Technology and technology changeaet te eeg sstem m eseexpti, ex tti, efeies, eetiitd et geeti, tsmissi ddistibti t ed se deies (s, bie s,sig stk, idsti pesses);Exted te e imited eses dme wit ess (i.e. efie impe-

mets);Mke peis iessibe esesessibe;rede m emissis.

Domestic energy resourcesversus energy importsTis etes mpex ege tdseeg pes, w mst gie de ttetit m itig ts. Te depeti fite eeg eses (, de i, tgs, im) geetes eed iestmeti tetie ses. Gete se-sfied diesit spp is eess t te-t te isks ssited wit depedee te ties wit spp disptis det idete isttes idets.

Todays energy planners must strive to balance many conicting actors. At the most basiclevel, they must seek to balance energy needs (demand) and energy resources (supply)across two dimensions: Ensuringaccesstoadequate,affordableandsecureenergyservicestosatisfyhuman

needs and achieve socioeconomic development. Promotingproductionanduseofenergyservicesinwaysthatareconsistentwiththe

pursuit o sustainability.

Responsibility and reormGemets e espsibe te pte-ti pbi et d te t ei-met. Te mst s ese tt te bee-fts g tem pbi iestmet i-stte deepmet e t demiedb st tem, pft-seekig etepees.Ts, te p ed e i bidig mpt-ibiit witi te eeg sstem d steigsiet epte ew tegies dpiies.

Energy securityDeepig tis e iesig eedwit te isse eeg seit. Imptigeeg dis te em; it s eeste spp sstem ebe t gestt e bed te t tipes. resiiee t exte sks be imped tg diesit spp, bette be betwee pdti

d impted eeg, d ptiipti iegi etwks.

Economics: MonEyMaTTErS on Many lEvElS

Te emi spets eeg e mpex,pti deepig tis. It is tws eidet tt iestmet i te eegset depis ieig e betiess s et e, edti, iesigempmet d ptiiptig i itetimkets.

Financing inrastructure developmentI m ses, te fst ege is t ttt/ge iestmet eeg isttepets. ew deepig tis e teeses eied t ie te eededdeepmet. oe te pst dedes, it sbeme e tt tsmig et -ted eeg sstems it ibeized mkets ete te igt ditis t diet i-estmet d iitte mpetiti.

Ensuring aordability o servicesEeg mst s be pied pppite te te st spp, et ess t itsd t be imited. Piig dstmetsm be eess t ese tt smes d t eize te beefts eeg. Ite mmei sets, eeg piig diet

iees te mpetitieess gds dseies, bt d iteti.

EnvironmEnt: SaE-GuarDInG ThE EarTh SySTEM

a sstibe eeg sstem is te defeds e i wi te pdti d se eeg d t edge te it ie et d te geetis d d texeed te ig pit esstems.I te eimet spet is t ppemged, it epdize te si demi beefts tt e m te pi-si eeg.

Encouraging sustainable productiona eeg pdti s diet d idi-et impts te eimet. Miimizigtese impts m eie istittige i te m piies d eg-tis tt diet te deepmet te e-eg sstem. Eeg pig eps t idetiwi eses t expit; it s ieeste dieti iestmets d te iet-ti tegi deepmet.

Changing patterns o consumptionTe smpti side te eimeteti s ds m eges, pti- i es s s te iefiet se e-eg, se sb-stdd es d te-

gies, d k eimet stdds.Pidig smes wit ee es dme efiet tegies mst be m-pied b eetie eimet piiesd egtis d te meisms tee tem.

Counting the costsoe te mst eetie ws t e-ge me sstibe pdti d -smpti is t ppe t te sts eimet impts. Tis pidesdiet ietie t iest i tegies ttmitigte impts, t mge emissis dwste me eetie, d t se eegme efiet.

THE 3-E INTERPLAY: ENERGY, ECONOMICS AND THE ENVIRONMENT

co2emissi tes

eetiit geetigteties

ne

Wid

hd

Ptti

Bimss

Stge

c (ccS)

Gs (ccS)

Gs

oi

c

ligite

0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500

g c eiet / kW.


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delivers immediate benefts

Eeg pig ws gemets t mketime, imed deisis bt mgigeeg spp d demd. It pides mes t:

Identiy options, ssess tei stegtsd wekesses;

Compare alternatives, te tests d beefts dieet seis;

Explore constraints, se teimittis existig te mewks (fi, pi, et.);

Evaluate possible outcomes, gge tepteti sess e te st dg tem.

and lasting value.

Eeg pig is pti be giete g petig ie eeg sstems.It e sws w deisis tke tdmigt k i te te ese i-s ptis. It s mkes it pssibe t e-te e e tem deisi i eti t itsg tem impitis te em, teeimet d siet. utimte, e-eg pig sppts wise d efiet i-estmet deisis.

ieaed ee pla he ea aal o all the actors that inu-ence the evolution o energy systems. It acilitates problem solving and makes it possibletoexplorelinkages,evaluatetrade-offs andcompare consequences,therebyhelpingcountries to develop an eective energy strategy that supports national sustainabledevelopment goals.

ENERGY PLANNING CAPACITYINTEGRATED ENERGY PLANNING

Governments hold the primary responsibility or ensuring that long term planningadequatelyaccountsforallaspectsofenergydemandandsupply.Theyhaveacriticalrole in creating robust policies that permit energy sector players to actively participatein development, operation and evolution o eective, efcient energy systems.

is an essential service

Gemets i deepig ties em t gi b bidig expetise ieeg pig. It is seie tt ds sig-ift e eeg stkedes (ti-it d pwe mpies, ese etes,iests, et.) It eps t egge pesd me eetie ddess te ge eeg isses. E iestmet i bidigpit eses tt st d medim temdeisis sppt g tem gs.

and a national asset

cmpeesie pig pit ieses ts biit t tiipte d espd tte pid ges ig d ew issesisig i te eeg sstem. Te e tis sset ieses e time, s expets giexpeiee i ppig tei skis, bid te kwedge bse d ge etisipswit stkedes m diese sets.

that requires long term support.

Eeg pig pit timte spptsse-sfie d sstibiit i te eegset. T eize its pteti, it mst bepsed ti bsis b deditedtem ig tied expets. Tis impieste eed gig pbi sppt i tems fi d m ese eegpig ee eds.

A model case o eectiveenergy planning

2020

2030

1980

1990

2000

2010

100

80

60

40

20

0

%

reewbe

ne

hd

Gs

oi

c

In the late 1990s, energy experts in Pakistanused IAEA energy planning tools to carry out alandmark study in support o the GovernmentsEe seu iae.

I dieet seis, eeg mdeig

swed tt, t keep pe wit demd,

Pkist eeded t sigift iese et

pwe geeti pit b 2030 b s

m s 147 000 MW. ce, sbstti i-

stte iestmet ws eied. Bt mde-

ig swed tt i Pkist tied t epimi ssi es it wd beme ee

me depedet impted eeg d wd

se temeds eimet impts.

Mdeig 30 es ed swed tt ex-

pdig eewbes (pti d) d

bidig e pit wee te best p-

tis t miimize eimet impts d

iese eeg seit. Bt bt ptis e

g ed times. Ts, i te ee tem, te

ew stteg emis ieted twd ssi

es bt s gete diesit ses (,

i d gs) d sppies (e.g. gs pipeies

e ped m qt, te Ismi repbi

I d Tkmeist).


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Proven approach to buildinglocal capacity

at te eest Membe Sttes, te IaEaes mpeesie tiig tt is stm-ized t eet te ts et sittid deepmet piities, d ims t ptte igt ts it te ds expets.T dte, te IaEa s eped me t 115Membe Sttes ie its eeg mdes ds tied me t 1000 expets itei se.

Delivers long term returns oninitial investment

Bt eig t se te ts is te be-giig. Te impt te IaEa pgmmeis t ted b tig te mbe mdes isted d pepe tied, bt bw d w te tese ts d expe-tise e ppied t pem e sis d teigte pi d iestmet ptis dsttegies.

Energy planning is most successul when carried out by local experts representingessential stakeholders. Their in-depth knowledge and understanding o national energysystems are necessary to structure the analysis correctly, judge the credibility oresults, interpret the analysis and fndings, and compare the validity o various scenarios.Ultimately, it is these expert teams who will apply modelling results to real-lie energydecisions and policy making.

l eeg expets ie skis t mpied eie dt m diese ses, dt pp tittie metds :

asis d eti eeg ptis,idig tei tei, emi, ei-met d m et impts.Itegtig sstemti sis d p-ig pedes i deisi mkig etedt eeg d eimet pi.cst d beeft tig spets eeg pets, idig eime-t impts.Ptiipti i te iteti debte sstibe eeg deepmet dimte ge isses.

HIGHLY TRAINED ANALYSTS ADD THE TRUE VALUE TO ENERGY PLANNING

Brazil: A country profle onsustainable energy development

Te Bzi std epesets te fs t

seies ti stdies iitited

b te IaEa tg ptesip

iititie de te Wd Smmit

Sstibe Deepmet d

te uited ntis cmmissi Sstibe

Deepmet. It ws dted i peti

wit te Eeg Pig Pgmme, Gdte

S Egieeig (coPPE), te Bzii

reeee cete Bimss (cEnBIo) te

uiesit S P d te uited ntis

Deptmet Emi d Si ais

(unDESa).

Te std eiews pst d et ssti-

be eeg isses i Bzi d expes te

pssibe pts twds sstibe eeg

deepmet Bzi tg 2025. It m-

pises fst--its-kid iteikig eeg

sstem mdeig d te se idits

sstibe eeg deepmet t ssess te

se betwee eeg piies d te

ts si, emi d eimet

deepmet gs.

Te eeg piies d iestmet sttegies

emmeded i tis std ide expsi

i sppies m w b/b-ee es/

ses d iesed efie i pdti

d se eeg / eetiit. M tese

ppss e beig i-

pted it ti

eeg piies.

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025

REF

SHIFT

REF

SHIFT

Impts

Wid

reewbes

ne

hd

Gs

oi

cTotalelectricitygeneration,

TWh


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1110

Projecting uture demandor energy and electricity

Model or Analysis oEnergy Demand (MAED)

MaED etes te eeg demd bsed set sistet ssmptis medimt g tem siemi, tegid demgpi deepmets i t egi. te eeg eeds e iked t:(i) te pdti d smpti gdsd seies; (ii) ieste ges sed biesig pes imes; d (iii) mbiiteeds, et. Eeg demd is mpted st ed se tiities tee midemd sets: sed, seies,idst d tspt.

MaED pides sstemti mewk

mppig teds d tiiptig ge ieeg eeds, pti s te espdt tetie seis siemideepmet.

Supply side planning oroptimal power generation

Wien Automatic SystemPlanning Package (WASP)

WaSP is exepti eetie t pwe pig i deepig ties. Itdefes ptim pwe geeti witistits idetifed b sts, wim ide imited e ibiit, emissiestitis, sstem eibiit eiemets,

et. WaSP expes pssibe seees pit dditis tt e pbe stis-ig demd wie s meetig sstem ei-biit eiemets. It ts stsssited wit existig d ew geetiiities, esee pit d seed ee-tiit.

Accounting or environmentalimpacts and external costs

Simplifed Approach or EstimatingEnvironmental Impacts o ElectricityGeneration (SIMPACTS)

SIMPacTS is se ied mde tt esti-mtes d tifes te et d ei-met dmge sts, te s-edexteities, dieet eetiit ge-eti tegies. It be sed

mptie ses ssi, e deewbe eetiit geeti, sitig ew pwe pts st eetieess eimet mitigti piies.

a ke stegt SIMPacTS is tt ited deies se ests ee weimited dt e ibe.

Establishing signpoststo mark progress

Indicators or Sustainable EnergyDevelopment (ISED)

ISED mewk is seies sp-sts tis (idits) eetig

te iteti eeg wit te emi,eimet d si pis sstibedeepmet e time, It pides ex-ibe t sts d deisi mkes t ees t bette destd tei tisittis d teds, te impts eetpiies d te pteti impts piges. ISED ws deeped b te IaEai bti wit te un Deptmet Emi d Si ais (unDESa) dte ptes.

Assessing alternative energysupply strategies

Model or Energy Supply StrategyAlternatives and their GeneralEnvironmental Impacts (MESSAGE)

MESSaGE mbies tegies d es tstt s-ed eeg is, mkigit pssibe t mp eeg ws m spp(ese extti) t demd (eeg se-ies). Te mde ep desig g temsttegies b sig st ptim eegmixes, iestmet eeds d te sts

ew istte, eeg spp seit,eeg ese tiizti, te itd-ti ew tegies (teg e-ig), eimet stits, et.

Energy and Power EvaluationProgramme (ENPEP)

EnPEP is desiged t simte te eegmket eig meism, wit te im et mximizig beefts t btpdes d smes. Te mde m-bies MaED d WaSP ests t detemiete g tem eeg spp-demd betg mptti mket eig pi-es d tities.

Calculating the fnancial viabilityo plans and projects

Model or Financial Analysis o ElectricSector Expansion Plans (FINPLAN)

ii stits e te te biggestbste t impemetig ptim eegsttegies. InPlan ifes te esibiit eetiit geeti pets b mptigimptt fi idits wie tkigit t fig ses, sts, e-ees, txes, et. It is pti ep

estbisig te g tem fi ibiit pets b pepig s ws, imesttemets, be seets d fi

tis.

SUITE OF TOOLS SUPPORTS COMPREHENSIVE ANALYSIS

Computer supported modelling orms the core o the IAEAs approach to energy planning,but it all starts with current realities. National economic and energy statistics comprise theinput that enables the models to simulate multiple uture scenarios. Energy planners canthen compare these scenarios in relation to their ability to support development goals.The process helps to chart robust courses o action across dierent potential utures andidentifywaystoavoidundesirableconsequences.Theoutcomeshelpenergyplan-ners defne critical aspects o the energy strategy and determine the most cost eectiveapproach to meeting uture energy needs.


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as pt its bid t gi et it te Epe

ui, liti geed t dismte sizbe

eg its Siet pst, me te Igi

e pwe pt. Te se Igi

tetes t be litis demd

d spp eti d ee ge gp i its

eeg seit stteg. at peset, te pt

sppies sme 70 80 % litis eetiit

demd d tibtes sigift t spp

i te eigbig ties lti d

Esti, epdizig te diesit eeg

sppies tee ties.

Te liti Eeg Istitte (lEI) sgt

IaEa ssiste t deep eeg pig

pit, d sbseet detk detied

std t mpe eeg ptis idig

te pssibiit bidig epemet

e pwe pt. Te ests swed tt

mmei ibe e pts did t

meet est-st itei de mst te

seis sideed.

needig itie sti, liti

iited Esti d lti t i te dige,

gi me sideig te tee ties

ed se iteeted gids d te

eeg isttes. Expdig eeg

pig t te egi se pded

dmti dieet ests.

It swed tt te best emi sti

meetig te eetiit demd d mi-

tiig desied ees eeg seit eted

tw ke eemets: expdig d sig

ltis t gs stge iities d it

bidig e pwe pt t se e tee

ties.

T meet iesig eeds pit bid-

ig, tiig pgmmes e sppemeted

wit Diste eig. Spei desiged

webieted tiig pkges e bee

deeped. Tese pkges e beig sed

-ie deie tiig tg web bsed

eig mgemet d di/ide-

eeig tegies.

Regional perspective alters plans or three Baltic nations Expanding IAEA capacity building programmethrough e-training solutions

Te IaEa is te ed un ge tiig d

pit bidig i eeg pig, s we

s membe un Eeg itege

etwk mpisig 20 membes wit expetise

d iteest i eeg isses.

as s, it tie tibtes t iitities tt

e it gized b sig te tei

eses d sts, pidig tei ipts

tg ti ts d ties, d p-

tiiptig i it stdies.

Working with global development partners

Regionalconstraints,regional policymeasures

Fuel supply

Model o Estonianenergy system

Model o Latvianenergy system

Model o Lithuanianenergy system

ENERGY PLANNING PUTTING INTO USE


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15Integrated Energy Planning for Sustainable Development14

Developingnationshaveuniqueneedsintheareaofenergyplanning.TheIAEAoffersarange o assistance programmes that correspond to specifc aspects o building capacityin energy planning. The goal o all assistance is to see Member States achieve their ownobjectives.

Technical cooperation programme (TCP)

TcP pides ssiste s tg ex-pet die, tiig eipmet deie t ep Membe Sttes iee deepmetpiities.

Pet pp depeds e itet tse e tegies pee pps-es d ig pbbiit ieig te ex-peted tmes, s eideed b stg g-emet mmitmet d fi sppt.

Tpi TcP pets ide ssessmets te eeg d eetiit eeds; tei-, emi d eimet eti eeg spp ptis; d mti eeg sttegies.

Coordinated research projects (CRPs)crPs pmte ese i tei pgmspped b te IaEa.

I te e eeg pig, tis idestestig ew ws t ssess te emi deimet eetieess is te-gies; se sstibe eeg deep-met d imte ge; d pdte dexpd eet dtbses.

crPs tpi big tgete ese isti-ttis m see Membe Sttes t ii-tte sbsttie segies, pid exge ests d dissemiti t tes kw-edge d expeiee gied.

IAEA ASSISTANCE ALIGNED TO MEMBER STATE PRIORITIES

Regional and national workshopsand training coursesWksps d tiig ses eegmdes t bt ti d egi eese stted t ide tpi d spei-ized etes, gp disssis d ds-wk sessis. Tget tpt is t stdddessig tpi ti iteest.

E wksp tiig se ses e mde d is desiged t pide -destdig te metdg d t tiptiipts t et d mpie ipt dt,pete te mde, itepet its ests dstesize pi emmedtis.

Training the trainers

Te IaEa gizes tiig ties texpd te p expets w tibte tegi d ti wksps eegd s ssist i te ppiti IaEaseeg mdes ti eeg stdies.


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me imti, pese tt:

M. hs-hge rgePig d Emi Stdies SetiDeptmet ne Eeg

Iteti atmi Eeg ageP.o.Bx 100, Wgme St. 5a-1400 vie, astiTe: +43-1-2600-22776x: +43-1-2600-29598Emi: [email protected]: www.ie.g/oWk/ST/nE/Pess/

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