Idaho Economic Update Work Force Development Council
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Transcript of Idaho Economic Update Work Force Development Council
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Idaho Economic Update Work Force Development Council
November 18, 2010Prepared by: Bob Uhlenkott
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IDAHO DEPARTMENT
OF LABOR
Idaho’s Work Force Outlook
Communications & ResearchIdaho Department of LaborPrepared by Sara Scudder
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In 2018 we estimate around 826,000 total jobs in Idaho
116,000 of those will be new
jobs
281,000 total new jobs w/
attrition by 2018
In 2018 the department estimates there will be approximately 826,000 jobs in Idaho. Of those, around 14 percent, or 116,000 will be brand new jobs created in the economy.
Another 165,000 will be available from attrition. Therefore a total of around 34 percent, or 281,000 jobs will be open through 2018.
14%
34%
Source: Projections ~ 2008-2018 Idaho Department of Labor Industry Projections
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Percent of New Jobs by Education/Skill Level
1-PD PhD M B+ B A PVA WE LT MT ST0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
1.7% 1.5% 2.3%
4.9%
12.4%
5.6%7.1%
8.1%
4.0%
15.0%
37.3%
37%
Unskilled36
%Pr
ofes
siona
l
27%Skilled
Numbers may not add due to rounding
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Where will we find those jobs?
Where will we find these 826,000
jobs?
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Idaho’s Top Ten HOT IndustriesHot Industries are those that on average rank high in three major criteria — abundance of jobs in the economy, jobs which are growing the fastest and jobs with the highest pay.
HOT Industry
RankNAICS NAICS - Industry
Classification 2008 2018 Net Change
Percent Change
Annualized Growth
2009 Median Hourly Wage
1 541000 Professional, Scientific and Technical Services
33,041 43,919 10,879 32.92% 2.89% $21.45
2 626000 Hospital Employment (private + state + local) 23,887 29,592 5,706 23.89% 2.17% $19.95
3 621000 Ambulatory Health Care Services 27,603 36,953 9,350 33.87% 2.96% $15.63
4 611000 Educational Services (all ownership) 55,755 65,969 10,213 18.32% 1.70% $18.05
5 524000 Insurance Carriers and Related Activities 8,166 10,165 1,999 24.48% 2.21% $18.72
6 999300* Local Government, Excluding Education and Hospitals 28,926 33,790 4,864 16.82% 1.57% $18.64
7 517000 Telecommunications 3,954 5,216 1,261 31.90% 2.81% $18.71
8 423000 Merchant Wholesalers, Durable Goods 12,869 15,534 2,664 20.70% 1.90% $16.66
9 518000 Data Processing, Hosting & Related Services 376 640 263 69.93% 5.45% $24.80
10 441000 Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers 12,113 15,287 3,174 26.20% 2.35% $14.21
*Department assigned code and title. Not a valid NAICs code or title. Source: Wages ~ Idaho Department of Labor 2009 Occupations Employment Statistics Program Source: Projections ~ 2008-2018 Idaho Department of Labor Industry Projections
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Idaho’s #1 HOT Industries by Region Hot Industries are those that on average rank high in three major criteria — abundance of jobs in the economy, jobs which are growing the fastest and jobs with the highest pay.
Region NAICS NAICS - Industry Classification 2008 2018 Net Change
Percent Change
Annualized Growth
Median Hourly Wage
Northern Idaho 54 Professional, Scientific and Technical Services 3,102 4,410 1,308 42.18% 3.58% $18.45
North Central Idaho 61 Educational Services (all ownership) 7,165 7,488 322 4.50% 0.44% $20.82
Southwestern Idaho 54 Professional, Scientific and Technical
Services 13,024 18,956 5,932 45.55% 3.82% $19.14
South Central Idaho 61 Educational Services (all ownership) 6,257 7,706 1,449 23.15% 2.10% $18.96
Southeastern Idaho 61 Educational Services (all ownership) 7,442 8,580 1,138 15.29% 1.43% $19.35
East Central Idaho 54 Professional, Scientific and Technical
Services 11,371 14,118 2,747 24.16% 2.19% $29.24
Source: Wages ~ Idaho Department of Labor 2009 Occupations Employment Statistics Program Source: Projections ~ 2008-2018 Idaho Department of Labor Industry Projections
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Idaho’s #1 Fastest Growing Industries by Region Fastest Growing: Ranked by Percent Change
Region NAICS NAICS - Industry Classification 2008 2018 Net Change
Percent Change
Annualized Growth
Median Hourly Wage
Northern Idaho 51 Information 1,069 1,526 457 42.73% 3.62% $13.41
North Central Idaho 11 Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and
Hunting 1,006 1,388 382 37.95% 3.27% $14.77
Southwestern Idaho 54 Professional, Scientific and Technical
Services 13,024 18,956 5,932 45.55% 3.82% $19.14
South Central Idaho 56 Administrative and Support and Waste
Management and Remediation Services 4,550 6,610 2,060 45.27% 3.80% 13.20
Southeastern Idaho 71 Arts, Entertainment and Recreation 520 734 214 41.06% 3.50% $8.15
East Central Idaho 21 Mining 444 734 290 65.22% 5.15% $19.41
Source: Wages ~ Idaho Department of Labor 2009 Occupations Employment Statistics Program Source: Projections ~ 2008-2018 Idaho Department of Labor Industry Projections
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Region NAICS NAICS - Industry Classification 2008 2018 Net Change
Percent Change
Annualized Growth
Median Hourly Wage
Northern Idaho 62 Health Care and Social Assistance (excluding federal hospitals) 10,319 13,255 2,936 28.46% 2.54% $14.39
North Central Idaho 62 Health Care and Social Assistance
(excluding federal hospitals) 6,070 6,896 826 13.61% 1.28% $12.90
Southwestern Idaho 62 Health Care and Social Assistance
(excluding federal hospitals) 35,341 47,294 11,954 33.82% 2.96% $15.68
South Central Idaho 11 Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and
Hunting 9,219 12,464 3,245 35.20% 3.06% $11.10
Southeastern Idaho 00671 Self-Employed & Unpaid Family 7,278 9,705 2,427 33.35% 2.92% n/a
East Central Idaho 62 Health Care and Social Assistance
(excluding federal hospitals) 9,683 13,374 3,691 38.12% 3.28% $14.12
n/a ~ wages not available.Source: Wages ~ Idaho Department of Labor 2009 Occupations Employment Statistics Program Source: Projections ~ 2008-2018 Idaho Department of Labor Industry Projections
Idaho’s #1 High Demand Industries by Region Largest Employment: Ranked by Net Change
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Idaho’s #1 Largest Employment Industries by Region Largest Employment: Ranked by 2018 Projected Employment
Region NAICS NAICS - Industry Classification 2008 2018 Net Change
Percent Change
Annualized Growth
Median Hourly Wage
Northern Idaho 44-45 Retail Trade 12,560 15,075 2,515 20.02% 1.84% $11.35
North Central Idaho 61 Educational Services (all ownership) 7,165 7,488 322.40 4.50% 0.44% $20.82
Southwestern Idaho 62 Health Care and Social Assistance
(excluding federal hospitals) 35,341 47,294 11,954 33.82% 2.96% $15.68
South Central Idaho 11 Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting 9,219 12,464 3,245 35.20% 3.06% $11.10
Southeastern Idaho 00671 Self-Employed & Unpaid Family 7,278 9,705 2,427 33.35% 2.92% n/a
East Central Idaho 54 Professional, Scientific and Technical
Services 11,371 14,118 2,747 24.16% 2.19% $29.24
n/a ~ wages not available.Source: Wages ~ Idaho Department of Labor 2009 Occupations Employment Statistics Program Source: Projections ~ 2008-2018 Idaho Department of Labor Industry Projections
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Idaho’s Declining Industries by Region Declining Industries: Ranked by Percent Change
Region NAICS NAICS - Industry Classification 2008 2018 Net Change
Percent Change
Annualized Growth
Median Hourly Wage
Northern Idaho 21 Mining 1,069 726 (343) -32.05% -3.79% $17.06
North Central Idaho 55 Management of Companies and
Enterprises 395 323 (72) -18.16% -1.98% $19.24
Southwestern Idaho 00671 Self-Employed & Unpaid Family 24,139 20,634 (3,505) -14.52% -1.56% n/a
South Central Idaho 00671 Self-Employed & Unpaid Family 7,561 6,500 (1,061) -14.04% -1.50% n/a
Southeastern Idaho 21 Mining 507 356 (151) -29.84% -3.48% $24.23
East Central Idaho 31-33 Manufacturing 4,784 4,576 (208) -4.36% -0.44% $15.73
n/a ~ wages not available.Source: Wages ~ Idaho Department of Labor 2009 Occupations Employment Statistics Program Source: Projections ~ 2008-2018 Idaho Department of Labor Industry Projections
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What will those jobs
entail?
What occupations
will these 826,000 jobs encompass?
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Idaho’s Top Ten HOT Jobs Hot Jobs are those that on average rank high in three major criteria — abundance of jobs in the economy, jobs which are growing the fastest and jobs with the highest pay.
HOT Jobs Rank
SOC Code Occupational Title 2018 Net Change
Annual Openings*
Percent Change
Median Hourly Wage
Mean Hourly Wage
Education or
Training Level
**
1 29-1111 Registered Nurses 13,337 2,833 467 26.97% $28.04 $29.45 A
2 11-9011 Farm, Ranch and Other Agricultural Managers 5,529 1,202 208 27.78% $29.42 $31.06 B+
3 25-1199 Postsecondary Teachers, All Other 2,992 640 105 27.21% $69,446 $73,835 PhD
4 29-1051 Pharmacists 1,693 385 68 29.43% $47.96 $46.37 1-PD
5 15-1031 Computer Software Engineers, Applications 1,461 452 54 44.80% $38.32 $38.73 B
6 29-2021 Dental Hygienists 1,532 397 63 34.98% $31.99 $31.57 A
7 13-2011 Accountants and Auditors 4,297 854 143 24.80% $24.65 $28.19 B
9 15-1032 Computer Software Engineers, Systems Software 1,779 396 52 28.63% $41.42 $41.09 B
9 11-2022 Sales Managers 2,351 474 87 25.25% $31.70 $37.62 B+
10 25-2021 Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education 9,533 1,748 352 22.45% $49,167 $48,396 B
*Average annual job openings include new jobs plus replacement jobs.**Education/Training Key: 1-PD - first professional; A - associate degree; B - bachelor's degree; B+ - bachelor's or higher degree plus work experience; LT- long-term on-the-job; M - master's degree; MT - moderate-term on-the-job training; PhD - doctoral degree; PVA - postsecondary vocational award; ST - short-term on-the-job training; WE - work experience in related occupation
Source: Wages ~ Idaho Department of Labor 2009 Occupations Employment Statistics Program Source: Projections ~ 2008-2018 Idaho Department of Labor Industry Projections
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Idaho’s #1 HOT Jobs by Region Hot Jobs are those that on average rank high in three major criteria — abundance of jobs in the economy, jobs which are growing the fastest and jobs with the highest pay.
Region SOC Code Occupational Title 2018 NetChange
AnnualOpenings
**PercentChange
MedianHourlyWage
MedianHourlyWage
Education or
Training Level
***
Northern Idaho 29-1111* Registered Nurses 1,559 303 52 24.1% $30.75 $30.96 A
North Central Idaho 11-9011 Farm, Ranch and Other
Agricultural Managers 320 100 15 45.45% n/a n/a B+
Southwestern Idaho 29-1111* Registered Nurses 6,713 1,577 247 30.71% $29.07 $31.22 A
South Central Idaho 11-9011 Farm, Ranch and Other
Agricultural Managers 2,679 832 121 45.05% n/a n/a B+
Southeastern Idaho 11-9199 Managers, All Other 637 122 25 23.69% $33.85 $35.83 WE
East Central Idaho 29-1111* Registered Nurses 1,632 410 62 33.53% $25.68 $25.31 A
*Information enhanced with state licensure data.**Average annual job openings include new jobs plus replacement jobs.***Education/Training Key: 1-PD - first professional; A - associate degree; B - bachelor's degree; B+ - bachelor's or higher degree plus work experience; LT- long-term on-the-job; M - master's degree; MT - moderate-term on-the-job training; PhD - doctoral degree; PVA - postsecondary vocational award; ST - short-term on-the-job training; WE - work experience in related occupation
Source: Wages ~ Idaho Department of Labor 2009 Occupations Employment Statistics Program Source: Projections ~ 2008-2018 Idaho Department of Labor Industry Projections
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Region SOC Code Occupational Title 2008 2018 Net
ChangeAnnual
Openings*
Percent Change
Median Hourly Wage
Mean Hourly Wage
Education or
Training Level
**
Northern Idaho 15-1031
Computer Software Engineers, Applications
71 116 45 6 63.38% $32.86 $38.31 B
North Central Idaho 15-1031
Computer Software Engineers, Applications
57 83 26 4 45.61% $39.38 $46.74 B
Southwestern Idaho 35-2019 Cooks, All Other 22 41 19 3 86.36% n/a n/a MT
South Central Idaho 15-1081
Network Systems and Data Communications Analysts
28 47 19 3 67.86% n/a n/a B
Southeastern Idaho 15-1081
Network Systems and Data Communications Analysts
34 54 20 3 58.82% n/a n/a B
East Central Idaho 15-1081
Network Systems and Data Communications Analysts
132 235 103 12 78.03% $23.55 $32.34 B
n/a ~ wages not available.*Average annual job openings include new jobs plus replacement jobs.**Education/Training Key: 1-PD - first professional; A - associate degree; B - bachelor's degree; B+ - bachelor's or higher degree plus work experience; LT- long-term on-the-job; M - master's degree; MT - moderate-term on-the-job training; PhD - doctoral degree; PVA - postsecondary vocational award; ST - short-term on-the-job training; WE - work experience in related occupation
Source: Wages ~ Idaho Department of Labor 2009 Occupations Employment Statistics Program Source: Projections ~ 2008-2018 Idaho Department of Labor Industry Projections
Idaho’s #1 Fastest Growing Occupations by Region Fastest Growing: Ranked by Percent Change
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Idaho’s #1 Highest Demand Occupations by Region Fastest Growing: Ranked by Annual Openings
Region SOC Code Occupational Title 2008 2018 Net Change
Annual Openings
*Percent Change
Median Hourly Wage
Mean Hourly Wage
Education or
Training Level
**Northern
Idaho 41-2031 Retail Salespersons 3,837 4,737 900 197 23.46% $9.96 $11.67 ST
North Central Idaho 35-3031 Waiters and Waitresses 824 886 62 52 7.52% $8.42 $10.56 ST
Southwestern Idaho 41-2031 Retail Salespersons 10,229 13,151 2,922 577 28.57% $9.51 $11.42 ST
South Central Idaho 45-2092
Farm workers and Laborers, Crop, Nursery and Greenhouse
3,947 5,146 1,199 226 30.38% $8.82 $9.44 ST
Southeastern Idaho 41-2031 Retail Salespersons 2,003 2,442 439 100 21.92% $8.32 $9.86 ST
East Central Idaho 41-2031 Retail Salespersons 2,852 3,540 688 149 24.12% $9.57 $11.17 ST
*Average annual job openings include new jobs plus replacement jobs.**Education/Training Key: 1-PD - first professional; A - associate degree; B - bachelor's degree; B+ - bachelor's or higher degree plus work experience; LT- long-term on-the-job; M - master's degree; MT - moderate-term on-the-job training; PhD - doctoral degree; PVA - postsecondary vocational award; ST - short-term on-the-job training; WE - work experience in related occupation
Source: Wages ~ Idaho Department of Labor 2009 Occupations Employment Statistics Program Source: Projections ~ 2008-2018 Idaho Department of Labor Industry Projections
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Idaho’s #1 Highest Employment Occupations by Region Highest Employment: Ranked by Projected 2018 Employment
Region SOC Code Occupational Title 2008 2018 Net Change
Annual Openings
*Percent Change
Median Hourly Wage
Mean Hourly Wage
Education or
Training Level
**
Northern Idaho 43-4051 Customer Service
Representatives 1,579 2,207 628 113 39.77% $12.01 $12.82 MT
North Central Idaho 41-2031 Retail Salespersons 1,453 1,497 44 45 3.03% $8.85 $9.60 ST
Southwestern Idaho 41-2031 Retail Salespersons 10,229 13,151 2,922 577 28.57% $9.51 $11.42 ST
South Central Idaho 45-2092 Farmworkers and Laborers,
Crop, Nursery and Greenhouse 3,947 5,146 1,199 226 30.38% $8.82 $9.44 ST
Southeastern Idaho 41-2031 Retail Salespersons 2,003 2,442 439 100 21.92% $8.32 $9.86 ST
East Central Idaho 41-2031 Retail Salespersons 2,852 3,540 688 149 24.12% $9.57 $11.17 ST
*Average annual job openings include new jobs plus replacement jobs.**Education/Training Key: 1-PD - first professional; A - associate degree; B - bachelor's degree; B+ - bachelor's or higher degree plus work experience; LT- long-term on-the-job; M - master's degree; MT - moderate-term on-the-job training; PhD - doctoral degree; PVA - postsecondary vocational award; ST - short-term on-the-job training; WE - work experience in related occupation
Source: Wages ~ Idaho Department of Labor 2009 Occupations Employment Statistics Program Source: Projections ~ 2008-2018 Idaho Department of Labor Industry Projections
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Region SOC Code Occupational Title 2008 2018 Net
ChangeAnnual
Openings**
Percent Change
Median Hourly Wage
Mean Hourly Wage
Education or
Training Level
***
Northern Idaho 29-1063* Internist, General 28 34 6 1 22.35% n/a n/a 1-PD
North Central Idaho 29-1062* Family and General
Practitioners 61 67 5 2 8.95% n/a n/a 1-PD
Southwestern Idaho 29-1067* Surgeons 195 253 58 9 29.60% n/a n/a 1-PD
South Central Idaho 29-1062* Family and General
Practitioners 75 92 17 3 22.11% n/a n/a 1-PD
Southeastern Idaho 29-1069* Physicians and
Surgeons, All Other 102 119 17 3 16.60% n/a n/a 1-PD
East Central Idaho 29-1067* Surgeons 45 61 16 2 36.67% n/a n/a F1-PD
n/a ~ wages not available.*Information enhanced with state licensure data.**Average annual job openings include new jobs plus replacement jobs.***Education/Training Key: 1-PD - first professional; A - associate degree; B - bachelor's degree; B+ - bachelor's or higher degree plus work experience; LT- long-term on-the-job; M - master's degree; MT - moderate-term on-the-job training; PhD - doctoral degree; PVA - postsecondary vocational award; ST - short-term on-the-job training; WE - work experience in related occupation
Source: Wages ~ Idaho Department of Labor 2009 Occupations Employment Statistics Program Source: Projections ~ 2008-2018 Idaho Department of Labor Industry Projections
Idaho’s #1 High Wage Occupations by Region Highest Wage: Ranked by Median Hourly Wage
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Region SOC Code Occupational Title 2008 2018 Net Change
Annual Openings
*Percent Change
Median Hourly Wage
Mean Hourly Wage
Education or
Training Level
**Northern
Idaho 47-5081 Helpers--Extraction Workers 90 51 (39) 2 -43.33% $14.05 $14.19 ST
North Central Idaho 51-9132 Photographic Processing
Machine Operators 37 26 (11) 1 -29.73% $10.54 $10.72 ST
Southwestern Idaho 43-5053
Postal Service Mail Sorters, Processors and Processing Machine Operators
238 176 (62) 2 -26.05% $25.25 $22.51 ST
South Central Idaho 43-5053
Postal Service Mail Sorters, Processors and Processing Machine Operators
48 33 (15) 0 -31.25% $24.44 $20.52 ST
Southeastern Idaho 43-5053
Postal Service Mail Sorters, Processors and Processing Machine Operators
105 73 (32) 1 -30.48% $24.41 $20.66 ST
East Central Idaho 43-5053
Postal Service Mail Sorters, Processors and Processing Machine Operators
38 28 (10) 0 -26.32% $12.83 $16.58 ST
*Average annual job openings include new jobs plus replacement jobs.**Education/Training Key: 1-PD - first professional; A - associate degree; B - bachelor's degree; B+ - bachelor's or higher degree plus work experience; LT- long-term on-the-job; M - master's degree; MT - moderate-term on-the-job training; PhD - doctoral degree; PVA - postsecondary vocational award; ST - short-term on-the-job training; WE - work experience in related occupation
Source: Wages ~ Idaho Department of Labor 2009 Occupations Employment Statistics Program Source: Projections ~ 2008-2018 Idaho Department of Labor Industry Projections
Idaho’s Declining Occupations by Region Declining Occupations: Ranked by Percent Change
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What will those jobs
entail?
Where can you find
more detailed
information on
occupations and industry projections?
lmi.idaho.gov
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Idaho’s Long-term Occupational & Industry Projections
http://lmi.idaho.gov/Occupations/LongTermProjections/20082018StatewideLongTermProjections/tabid/2430/Default.aspx
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Idaho’s Long-term Regional Occupational Projections
http://lmi.idaho.gov/Occupations/LongTermProjections/20082018RegionalLongTermProjections/tabid/2443/Default.aspx
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Idaho’s Long-term Regional Industry Projections
http://lmi.idaho.gov/Occupations/LongTermProjections/20082018RegionalLongTermProjections/tabid/2443/Default.aspx
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Projection Publications
http://lmi.idaho.gov/Occupations/LongTermProjections/tabid/815/Default.aspx
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Occupational Employment & Wages
http://lmi.idaho.gov/WagesIncome/WagesbyOccupation/tabid/749/Default.aspx