IBM Netezza Merger Analysis

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Compe&&ve Trends in Data Warehouse Industry & IBM’s Strategic Move Sushant Mohanty [email protected]

Transcript of IBM Netezza Merger Analysis

Compe&&veTrendsinDataWarehouseIndustry&

IBM’sStrategicMove

Sushant Mohanty [email protected]

Tradi&onalDataWarehousesolu&onhelpscustomersinstoringvaluablebusinessdataandinextrac&ngstrategicinforma&onfromthedatacluBer

Order Sales Marketing Accounting

Company Operational Data Sources 1

Servers, Storage...

Data Warehouse Databases

Oracle, Microsoft, IBM, Netezza, Teradata

Business Intelligence/ Analytical Applications

COGNOS, Oracle, SAS, Microsoft,

Business Users

2

3 Customer value proposition

 Stores and retrieves large amount of important daily and historical data

 Helps users create complex queries to retrieve data in a user friendly way

 Provides security for sensitive data

 Assists decision makers to get meaningful information form large piles of data by performing complex analyses

 Data is the most valuable business asset and analytical information helps business stay competitive in the market

Data Warehouse is a ~$9 Billion global industry, out of which US market contributes 50%

$-

$2,000.00

$4,000.00

$6,000.00

$8,000.00

$10,000.00

$12,000.00

DataWarehouseRevenue

DataWarehouseRevenue

11% CAGR

50%

35%

15%

Global DW Market Shares 2010

America EMEA Asia/Pacific

Which is growing at an impressive double digit annual rate

A highly consolidated industry with ~90% market controlled by top 4 players

Source: IDC report

Highlyconcentratedindustrywherecompe&&onisbasedonpriceandproduct/serviceporPoliocoverage

Barriers to Entry

(Medium)

Suppliers Power (Low)

Substitutes (Low)

Buyers Power

(Medium)

Industry Competitors

(High)

Bargaining power of suppliers

Threat of new entrants

Threat of substitutes

Bargaining power of buyers

- Need large investments to setup

- IP protection

- Incumbents will retaliate or acquire the new entrants

- High switching cost

- Price sensitive and often demand upgrade to new technology

- Open source technologies

- Large numbers of firms are backward integrating

- Cost advantage is diminishing with the outsourced suppliers - Competition is based on price and

product and service portfolio coverage

- Consolidation is on the rise; big players are acquiring smaller or niche players

- Growth driven by M&A

- Competition is also based on differentiation of product and service Adapted form Porter’s Five Force Framework

SystemsIntegratorandServiceProvider

StorageDeviceandAppliancesManufacturer

DataWarehouseIndustryValueChainandProfitPool

DatabaseandDWSoRwareVendor

SupportandMaintenance

ThirdpartyApplica&onandAnaly&csSoRwareVendor

Prof

itabi

lity

Market Size

Oracle, Microsoft, IBM

Oracle, Microsoft, IBM, SAP and Teradata

Net

ezza

, Exa

data

3P

AR

Oracle, Microsoft, IBM, Accenture, Deloitte and Teradata

IBM, Accenture, Deloitte, EDS, Infosys and other Outsourcing Firms

Adapted from Profit Pool Framework by Gadiesh & Gilbert, 1998

54321

1

23

4

5

Businesses are planning to store more data than ever to compete successfully

Resulting in a massive growth in data storage requirements (According to Netezza)

According to TDWI report According to Netezza report

Businessesarefacingchallengeswithuncontrollablegrowthindata

FromdatacluBertointelligentinsight,drama&cshiRindatausageistransformingDataWarehouseindustry

Data Warehouse Appliance and the New Customer Value

A New Value with DW

Appliances

Reduce

Eliminate Create

Raise

- Solutions Complexity - Overall Cost (Capex and Opex) - Time to Readiness - Multi-Vendor Dependencies

- Need for redundant data warehouse solutions

- One stop solution for advanced DW with DW Appliance - Provide high capacity DW with storage up to 1.5 petabyte -  Provide highly efficient Business Analytics solutions with MPP processing - Provide power to end users with industry specific analytics solutions like Retail, Biotech and Financial industries - High ROI at low cost

- Ability to store large amount of data in Data Warehouse and Data Mart format - Ability to process large amount of data at the maximum - Ease in customer usability

Changeincustomerdemandforadvancedanaly&csandeverevolvingtechnologiesins&tutedDataWarehouseApplianceindustrysub‐segment

Blue Ocean Strategy for Data Warehouse Industry

Riseofthemachine;TheDataWarehouseApplianceisaonestopsolu&onthatcanstoreenormousamountofdata,processatlightspeedandcapableofrunningadvancedanaly&cs

Customer value proposition  Affordable cost

–  Lox CAPEX and OPEX

 Faster time to value –  Plug in and go –  Save time

 Breakneck processing power –  100 times faster than traditional Data Warehouse system –  Save time

 Massive data storage capacity –  Capable of storing 1.5 petabyte data

And customers faced many challenges  Extremely complex system

–  Many products from different vendors –  Dependency on IT department –  Slow performance

 Data clutter –  Valuable information lost –  Lost ROI

 Limitation in data storage

 Expensive –  SMB companies can’t afford

Traditional Data Warehouse system was complex and was a nightmare to manage

MarketPenetra*on 5‐20%

Maturity EarlyMainstream

CustomerAdapta*on Increasing

Withonly20%currentmarketpenetra&on,DataWarehouseApplianceisapoten&algrowthmarket

Source: Gartner Hype Cycle for Data Management Industry, 2010

Growing customer confidence on the DW Appliance is boosting the product visibility…

and is also improving the technology adoption of the Appliance products

SystemsIntegratorandServiceProvider

StorageDeviceandApplianceManufacturer

DatabaseandDWSoRwareVendor

SupportandMaintenance

ThirdpartyApplica&onandAnaly&csSoRwareVendor

Bigplayersareacquiringnicheinnovatorstocompeteoneverystepofthevaluechainbyforwardintegra&ng

 Innovators  IBM  Oracle  Microsoft  Teradata

 Innovators  COGNOS  SAS

 Second Movers  IBM  Oracle  Microsoft  Teradata

 Innovators  Netezza  Exadata

 Second Movers  IBM  Oracle  Microsoft  Teradata  HP

The race is on to compete and capture the evolving and profitable Data Warehouse Appliance market

 Second Movers  HP  Infosys

 Innovators  IBM  Oracle  Microsoft  Teradata

 Second Movers  HP  Infosys

 Innovators  IBM  EDS

ThedrivetofillinthegapsintheirApplianceproductporPolioresultedinDataWarehousemarketconsolida&on

Major M&A deals in the Data Warehouse industry

Missing in the M&A race is Big Blue - IBM

PenetratedMarket

ServedMarket

MissedMarket

‐ SmallandMediumBusinessesLookingforAffordableAnaly&csSolu&on‐ Purposedbuiltandonestopsolu&onapplianceataffordableprice(NetezzaandExadata)

‐ LargeenterpriseswithbothDatabaseandDataWarehouseneeds(Transac&onalsystems)‐ Clientswithexpensiveandmul&‐&erIBMdatabaseanddatawarehouseproductsuites(DB2,Bladeservers,ISASorInfoServerandCOGNOS)‐ Longandcomplicatedimplementa&onlifecycle

‐ Largeormediumenterpriseswithsomeanaly&csneeds‐ Mediumbudgetanaly&cssolu&ons‐ DisparatesoRwareandhardwaresolu&onsfromcompe&ngvendors

ProductCoverage

Strong

SoRware‐DB2,InfoServer/ISAS,COGNOSandotherspecializedanaly&csapplica&ons

Hardware–BladeServer

Services–6000trainedconsultants

Missing

IBMiscurrentlymissinginac&oninthismarketsegment

Withrapidindustryconsolida&onandcapabilitygap,IBMismissingoutontheopportuni&esintheDataWarehouseindustry…

MarketCoverage

inaddi&on,challengerssuchasNetezzaisclosinginthecompe&&vemarket

Injustfouryears,costleadershipandproductdifferen&a&onhelpedNetezzaevolvedfromanicheplayertoaleaderintheDataWarehouseindustry

NetezzahasoutdonedatagiantssuchasMicrosoRandSybase,andclosingintowardsIBM…

IBMisfeelingcompe&&vethreatforitsmarketincumbency

Source: Gartner Magic Quadrant

Strategy Opportunities

Leaders

 Growth by acquisition  Deter competition

 Capture evolving market  Increase market share  Increase customer and

geographical foot print  Increase customer dependencies

and life-cycle by cross selling

Challengers

 Collaboration with industry leaders

 Create niche and differentiation

 Merge with leaders  Continuous innovation

and patent portfolio

 Premium pricing because of differentiation

 Become a supplier or integrator for the leaders

 Increase the sale-off value

M&Aisthenaturalcourseofac&onwhenchallengersarethreateningtheincumbencyofmarketleaders

FactorsdroveIBMtoacquireNetezza

Compe&&vePressure

TechnologyPatents

CompleteProductPorPolio

GlobalGrowthinAnaly&cs

MarketforcescompelledIBMtojointhepurposebuiltDataWarehouseAppliancerace

IBMacquiredNetezzatoenterthepurposedbuiltDataWarehouseAppliancemarketandtogeneratesustainablevalue

Netezza’sacquisi&onpriceof$1.7B(6.5xsalesmul&ple)isinlinewiththerecenthighgrowthdataindustrytake‐outmul&ples

Date Acquirer Target PremiumPaid OfferEnterpriseValue

EV/SalesMul*ples

09/20/2010 IBM Netezza 9.8% $1.7B 6.5x

09/02/2010 HP 3PAR 242.0% $2.4B 9.8x

07/08/2009 EMC DataDomain 92.2% $2.1B 5.4x

Source: Morgan Stanley Report

  Highly optimized analytics

  Multi vendor enterprise solution

  DB2, COGNOS and other products

  Specialized Data Marts

  Transactional and Analytics

  SAAS and Cloud offering

Existing IBM Data Warehouse Capabilities

Netezza Data Warehouse Appliance Overlaps

  Data Mart offerings

  Monitoring Solutions

  In database and in memory analytics

  High speed processing and storage

  Capable of running with both expensive proprietary storage and off the shelve affordable storage

  Advanced analytics

Withminimalfeatureoverlaps,IBMhasnowcompletecoverageoftheDataWarehouseandappliancemarket

DatabaseandLegacysolu&on

DataWarehouseandAnaly&cs

AdvancedAnaly&csandAppliance

SoRware Hardware&Storage Services

ImplementMarke&ng/Sales

IBMandNetezzaValueChainInterrela&onshipandValueCrea&on

R&D/Innova&on

MarketResearch

SoRwareDevelopment

BuildHardware

SupportandService

ImplementR&D/Innova&on

MarketResearch

SoRwareDevelopment

BuildHardware

SupportandService

IBM

Netezza

Marke&ng/Sales

IBMwillu&lizeitscapability

Sharedcapabili&es

ShadowedChevronNetezza’sredundantac&vi&eswillbeconsolidatedbyIBM

IBMandNetezzatogethercantrulycreatevaluefortheircustomersandshareholdersbyleveragingeachothers’competencies

Synergies  Complementing product capabilities will help IBM cover the

complete market segment  IBM’s deep pocket will help Netezza’s long term R&D and

product planning

 Netezza’s patents will strengthen IBM’s market leadership

 IBM’s global market reach will help Netezza enter new markets

 IBM can leverage its consulting workforce to create Appliances related new service offerings –  Capable of storing 1.5 petabyte data