IAG Limited - 2011 INVESTOR BRIEFING...2011/06/14 · IAG’S BUSINESS TODAY GEOGRAPHICAL PRESENCE...
Transcript of IAG Limited - 2011 INVESTOR BRIEFING...2011/06/14 · IAG’S BUSINESS TODAY GEOGRAPHICAL PRESENCE...
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14 June 2011
2011 INVESTOR BRIEFING
ABN 60 090 739 923
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TODAY’S AGENDAA GROUP AND DIVISIONAL VIEW
1 GROUP OVERVIEW MIKE WILKINS8.30am
2 CAPITAL
NICK HAWKINS8:50am
3 AUSTRALIADIRECTANDY CORNISH9:20am
4 CGU
PETER HARMER9:50am
5 NEW ZEALANDJACKI JOHNSON10:40am
10:20 am Break
6 UNITED KINGDOMIAN FOY11:10am
7 ASIA
JUSTIN BREHENY11:40am
8 IAG OF THE FUTURELEONA MURPHY12:10pm
p.62 p.3 p.30
p.15
p.22 p.54
p.45 p.75
9 SUMMARY
MIKE WILKINS12:40-1:00pm p.82
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1GROUP OVERVIEW
MIKE WILKINS
MANAGING DIRECTOR & CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER
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IAG’S BUSINESS TODAY GEOGRAPHICAL PRESENCE
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1
2
3
1. 49% ownership of AmG Insurance, trading under the AmAssurance brand2. 98% voting rights in Safety Insurance, based in Thailand3. 26% ownership of SBI General Insurance Company, a joint venture with the State Bank of India4. RACV is via a distribution relationship and underwriting joint venture with RACV Limited5. RACV has a 30% interest in The Buzz
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GROUPOVERVIEW
A portfolio of general insurance businesses: • Leading and established
brands in Australia and New Zealand
• Growing presence in Asia• Specialist motor underwriter
in the UK
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REGIONAL MIX CHANNEL MIX
IAG’S BUSINESS TODAY DIVERSIFIED GWP MIX – PRODUCT, GEOGRAPHY AND CHANNEL
PRODUCT MIX
GROUPOVERVIEW
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Approximately$8bn of gross
written premium
Motor
Home
Short tail commercial
CTP / motor liability
Liability
Other short tail
Workers' compensation
Australia
New Zealand
UK
Asia
Direct
Broker / agent
Affinity
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CORPORATE STRATEGY – SET JULY 2008CREATING A SOLID PLATFORM GROUP
OVERVIEW
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OUR TARGETS
OUR STRATEGY
OUR STRATEGIC PRIORITIES
• ROE 1.5x WACC
• Top quartile TSR
•Deliver superior performance by actively managing our portfolio and driving operational performance and accountability
• Improve our performance in Australia and New Zealand
•Pursue selective international growth options – Asia and other narrow specialist opportunities
•Move to a devolved model with the Corporate Office as portfolio manager
•Drive operational performance and execution
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ACHIEVEMENTS AGAINST STRATEGIC PRIORITIESCREATING A SOLID PLATFORM GROUP
OVERVIEW
Improve our performance in Australia and New Zealand
STRATEGIC PRIORITES Significantly improved collective insurance margin in Australia and New Zealand Delivered strong Australia Direct performance Returned CGU to profitability – now delivering top and bottom line growth Achieved significant improvement in New Zealand
Pursue selective international growth options – Asia and other narrow specialist opportunities
Launched SBI General in India Increased ownership of AmG in Malaysia Launched new online business, The Buzz, in Australia
ACHIEVEMENTS
Move to a devolved model with the Corporate Office as portfolio manager
Devolved operating model implemented in 1H09 Embedded return on risk based capital as portfolio management measure
Drive operational performance and execution
Delivered $130m in annualised pre-tax cost savings Invested in internal leadership, succession and capability programmes
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CLEAR OPERATIONAL IMPROVEMENT DELIVERED GROUP INSURANCE MARGIN – 1H09 TO 1H11 GROUP
OVERVIEW
Significant improvement in
Group underwriting performance
227
470
23
42
2
172
9
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
240
260
280
300
320
340
360
380
400
420
440
460
480
500
1H09 Reserve releases Natural perils DAC / LAT Underwriting result
Yield 1H11
6.2%
12.7%
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GROUP INSURANCE PROFIT ($M) / MARGIN (%)
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HOME MARKETS DRIVING IMPROVEMENT DIVISIONAL INSURANCE PROFIT – 1H09 TO 1H11 GROUP
OVERVIEW
Australia and New Zealand driving the
Group’s financial improvement
GROUP INSURANCE PROFIT ($M) / MARGIN (%)
227
470
156
161
107
19812 29
020406080
100120140160180200220240260280300320340360380400420440460480500520540560580600620640660680700
1H09 Australia Direct
Australia Intermediated
New Zealand United Kingdom (retained)
Asia Corporate, divested &
other
1H11
6.2%
12.7%
12.7%
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DELIVERING STRONG RESULTS IN HOME MARKETS MARKED IMPROVEMENT SINCE JULY 2008 GROUP
OVERVIEW
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Clear trend of top line growth and improved profitability in Australia and New Zealand
AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND GROSS WRITTEN PREMIUM ($M)
170 251
461 378
594 5.5%
8.1%
14.4%
11.9%
17.8%
-
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
18.0%
-
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
1H09 2H09 1H10 2H10 1H11
$m
Insurance prof it ($m) Insurance margin (%)
AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND INSURANCE PROFIT AND MARGIN
3,291 3,410 3,368
3,510 3,568
2,800
2,900
3,000
3,100
3,200
3,300
3,400
3,500
3,600
1H09 2H09 1H10 2H10 1H11
$m
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REALISING OUR POTENTIAL
REMEDIATING TO CREATE A SOLID
PLATFORM
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RESETTING OUR CORPORATE STRATEGY A PLATFORM FOR DELIVERY GROUP
OVERVIEW
2008 2011 2011 2016
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REALISING OUR POTENTIAL
Long term financial targets:
• ROE 1.5xWACC
• Top quartile TSR
Deliver superior performance by
actively managing our portfolio and
driving operational
performance and accountability
Accelerate growth in Australia and New Zealand
Restore profitability in UK
Boost Asian footprint – 10% of Group GWP by 2016
RESETTING OUR STRATEGIC PRIORITIES A CLEAR FOCUS ON AUSTRALIA, NEW ZEALAND AND ASIA
unchanged reset
GROUPOVERVIEW
TARGETSSTRATEGY PRIORITIES
unchanged
To be the world’s most respected group of general
insurance companies
AMBITION
unchanged
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SHAPING OUR OPERATING ENVIRONMENT INFLUENCING OUR INDUSTRY’S FUTURE GROUP
OVERVIEW
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Active involvement in policy and regulatory consultation
Addressing flood insurance issues in Australia • Stricter and more transparent planning and zoning decisions• Accurate and accessible digital elevation mapping• Investment in adequate mitigation infrastructure• Strengthened building standards• Community education on understanding risk and the importance of taking responsibility
Other areas of focus • Reducing the burden of inequitable insurance taxes • New Zealand recovery post-Christchurch earthquakes
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FY11 GUIDANCEUPDATE
• Too early to assess impact of Christchurch earthquakes on 13 June 2011
• Prior to 13 June 2011, on track to deliver insurance margin within 8–10% guidance range:
– Ongoing strong underlying performance from the Australian and New Zealand businesses
– Lower second half loss from the UK operation (vs. 1H11), in line with expectations
– Natural peril losses slightly higher than $540m– 2H11 reinsurance expense of c.$400m (FY11:
c.$630m) – Assumes reserve releases no greater than FY10
($228m)• Scope for higher reserve releases from long tail
classes• Underlying GWP growth guidance reaffirmed
GROUPOVERVIEW
Insurance margin*
FY11 GUIDANCE*
8–10%
Underlying GWP growth 3–5%
* Prior to Christchurch earthquakes on 13 June 2011
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NICK HAWKINSCHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER
2CAPITAL
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CAPITAL POSITION STRONG BALANCE SHEET MAINTAINED
Long term target range 1.45–1.5 times MCR • At 31 December 2010:
– Capital requirement was $2.3bn– Group capital base of $4.2bn – Equated to MCR of 1.81 times
Dividend policy to pay 50–70% of cash earnings• Provides sufficient capital to allow growth and pursue bolt-on acquisitions
Capital mix remains within targeted range • 60–70% ordinary equity : 30–40% debt and hybrids• At 31 December 2010, debt to total tangible capitalisation of 33%
Capital management initiatives • Continuing to consider options • A number of factors at play
CAPITAL
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REINSURANCEKEY ELEMENT OF CAPITAL MANAGEMENT CAPITAL
Resilient long term source of capital • Longstanding relationships – some for over 50 years• Diversified panel of 30+ reinsurers with strong counter-party credit profile• Continuing availability of reinsurance capital
Upwards pricing pressure• Sequence of recent peril events in Australia and New Zealand• Other global events – e.g. Japan earthquake and tsunami, US tornadoes • Quantum of reinsurance rate increases uncertain
– Main programme renews 1 January 2012
Primary rate increases being implemented• Price increases across all major businesses • Modest adverse timing impact on margin in FY12
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REINSURANCERELATIVE SIGNIFICANCE CAPITAL
• Consistent reinsurance expense in recent years (as % of GWP)
• Uptick in FY10 mainly due to cost of ADC in UK
• Group reinsurance expense of c.$500m (ex ADC) vs. GWP pool of nearly A$8bn in FY10
• Large proportion of reinsurance expense relates to catastrophe cover
• Expected FY11 reinsurance expense of c.$630m*, or c.8% of GWP, including:– 2010 UK ADC cost– Main programme reinstatement costs
• Further increase in FY12 reinsurance expense expected
402 417 405 464 470 485
556 630
6.3% 6.2% 6.3% 6.3% 6.0% 6.2% 7.1%
8.0%
(0.5%)
0.5%
1.5%
2.5%
3.5%
4.5%
5.5%
6.5%
7.5%
8.5%
-
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11E
Reinsurance expense ($m) Reinsurance expense (%GWP)
GROUP REINSURANCE EXPENSE
* Prior to Christchurch earthquakes on 13 June 2011
*
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REINSURANCEPROGRAMME STRUCTURE AND PERILS UPDATE CAPITAL
Two main aspects to catastrophe cover • Capital preservation – main programme up to $4.1bn• Reduced earnings volatility – lower level and subsequent event covers, including aggregate
Potential changes to 2012 programme – renewed at 1 January 2012• Work with reinsurance partners to review options over next six months
FY11 natural perils update (prior to Christchurch earthquakes on 13 June 2011) • Net natural peril costs slightly higher than $540m• Approximately half of $150m aggregate cover utilised • Next event MER $95m
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INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO CONSERVATIVE MIX AND HIGH CREDIT QUALITY CAPITAL
TOTAL INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO – $11.8BN
• Two distinct pools with different investment strategies:–Technical reserves – backing
insurance liabilities–Shareholders’ funds
20 All figures as at 31 December 2010
• Almost 100% fixed interest and cash
• Expect to maintain 100bps of return above risk free rate over medium term
• 40% growth assets – intention to move to around 50%
• Over 15% of growth assets currently in alternatives, including global convertible bonds
TECHNICAL RESERVES SHAREHOLDERS’ FUNDS
$3.7bn
$8.1bn
Shareholders' funds
Technical reserves
19.8%
5.0%
15.4%59.8%
Australian equities
International equities
Alternatives
Fixed interest and cash
0.2%
99.8%
Alternatives
Fixed interest and cash
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QUESTIONSMike Wilkins and Nick Hawkins
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ANDY CORNISHCHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER
3 AUSTRALIA DIRECT
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Accelerating growth in home markets
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BUSINESS OVERVIEWAUSTRALIA’S LEADING DIRECT INSURER
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AUSTRALIA DIRECT
* RACV is via a distribution relationship and underwriting joint venture with RACV Ltd^ Australia Direct does not manage RACV distribution# Excludes Victoria
*
Australia’s leading direct insurer
• State based brands, leading market positions in NSW and Victoria
• One distribution system^, pricing engine, claims system• GWP over $3.6bn • Over 3.5m customers#; over 4,000 employees• Multi-product insurer • Multi-channel model
– 7 call centres, taking 7 million phone calls annually– Face to face network: >230 branches– Website
• Around 500,000 short tail claims finalised annually
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CURRENT MARKET ENVIRONMENTINCREASED COMPETITION
• New players pursuing different business models with limited traction
• Mainstream brands not using aggregators• Competitors’ advertising spend remains high• Reinsurance cost changes affecting pricing • Consumers remain price conscious, but value
and brand are still important• A number of regulatory issues
Competitive dynamicsAUSTRALIA DIRECT
System growthMotor Asset Base
Home Asset BaseSource: CARS database/AAI
Source: ABS / HIA & internal analysis
-0.5%
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
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OUR ACHIEVEMENTSPROGRESS AGAINST THE PRIORITIES WE SET IN 2009
• Enhanced expense control discipline and processes
• Improved procurement, HR, operational practices
• Optimised contact centre network
• Established an efficient change management framework
• Refined and improved project management capabilities
Products, services delivered at appropriate cost• Balanced scorecards embedded
• Structured talent management & succession programmes
• Leadership pathway programmes
• New sales and services performance & reward framework
• Performance to Reward strategy drives high performance
Customer-focused and commercial culture
• Further refined technical risk analysis
• Granular pricing at an individual risk address level
• Enhanced optimisation models incorporating competitor insights
• Pricing activities aligned with strategy and market conditions
Industry-leading risk selection and pricing
• Customer insights framework, segmentation
• Identified and addressed customer irritants and inconsistent delivery
• Informed product development/enhancements, claims processing, marketing
• Embedded into prioritisation of strategic initiatives
Customer insights and delivery
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AUSTRALIA DIRECT
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OUR ACHIEVEMENTS REAL RESULTS DELIVERED
Market data sources: AAIR, RTA, ABS/HIA, MAA, MAIC & internal analysis (CTP data includes ½ and ¼ yearly policies)
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Tighter expense management
Business now achieving profitable, above market, growth
FY09 FY10 FY11
New business cost down 24%
Marketing spend stable, effectiveness up
Internet sales trebled since July 2009
2.2% 2.6%2.1%1.8% 1.7%
3.5%
FY05-09 est. FY10 FY11(f)
System growth RIF growth
FY09 FY10 FY11(f)
~13% reduction
AUSTRALIA DIRECT
(f)
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FOCUS FOR THE FUTURESTRATEGIC DRIVERS OF SUSTAINABLE, PROFITABLE GROWTH AUSTRALIA DIRECT
Customer led insurance that is easy to have and use, is delivered consistently, and is reasonably priced
Commercialised risk selection and pricing
Insurance that’s easy to have and use
Industrialised low cost delivery
CUSTOMER INSIGHTS THE RIGHT PRICE
CONSISTENT EXECUTION
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FOCUS FOR THE FUTURETO OUT-COMPETE AND GROW
Maximising the value of the existing customer base
−Cross-selling and up-selling products
Attracting new customers−Fully capitalising on existing brands
Product and service innovation−New products or product enhancements
−Remove customer irritants−Service innovation
• Further improve marketing effectiveness
• Maximise multi-distribution model
• Further enhance risk selection and pricing
• Skilfully manage reinsurance costs
• Embed and use customer insights
• Roll out a flood product in Queensland and Victoria
• Continue to refine supply chain
• Continue cultural realignment
Immediate focus Organic growth opportunities
AUSTRALIA DIRECT
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OUTLOOKMAINTAIN PROFITABLE GROWTH
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• Maintain profitable growth momentum
• Reinsurance rates may place pressure on margin
• Continued focus on development of strategic drivers to support above system growth
Short term
• Recovery of reinsurance expenses
• Continue to leverage strategic drivers to fuel profitable growth momentum
Long term
AUSTRALIA DIRECT
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PETER HARMERCHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER
4AUSTRALIA INTERMEDIATED (CGU)
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Accelerating growth in home markets
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CGU
• Large SME portfolio• Australia's largest regional and rural insurer• Growing capability in the corporate market• Major provider of workers' compensation services
BUSINESS OVERVIEWDIVERSE PORTFOLIO MIX
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Commercial short tail
Personal lines
Commercial long tail
Workers' compensation
Other
SME
Consumer
Corporate
CUSTOMER SEGMENTSPRODUCTS
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BUSINESS OVERVIEWDIVERSE DISTRIBUTION FOOTPRINT CGU
~8% of total Australian general insurance market
~14% of Australian intermediated general insurance market
BRANCH NETWORK GEOGRAPHIC SPLITDISTRIBUTION CHANNELS
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VICNSW/ACTQLDWASATASNT
Brokers & authorised representatives
Financial institutions & affinity
Motor dealers
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CURRENT MARKET ENVIRONMENT PRICING REMAINS PATCHY CGU
Personal lines SME Corporate Workers’ Compensation*
Rate movements
Key driversCatastrophe costs
Claims inflation
Solid capacity
Increasing competition
Recent catastrophe
events
Increasing claim numbers
Average claim costs growing
faster than wages
* Risk states only
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CURRENT MARKET ENVIRONMENTA CHANGING LANDSCAPE CGU
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Natural perils
Reinsurance costs
Regulation & legislation
Electronic platforms
• Frequency and scale of events has increased
• Increasing claim costs
• Reinsurance costs expected to rise
• Rate increases necessary
• Higher level of public and political scrutiny• Review and Inquiry following the floods• Commitment to launch a flood product
• Brokers investing in technology to drive efficiencies
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Evolving landscapeTraditional landscape
DISTRIBUTIONTECHNOLOGY EVOLVING TO DRIVE EFFICIENCIES
Insurer 2’s system
Insurer 2
Insurer 1’s system
Insurer 1
Insurer 3’s system
Insurer 3
Intermediary 1’s system
Intermediary 1
Insurer 2’s system
Insurer 2
Insurer 1’s system
Insurer 1
Insurer 3’s system
Insurer 3
Marketplace Interface
Intermediary 1’s system
Intermediary 1
Intermediary 2’s system
Intermediary 2
• Marketplace hubs – lack of automated contestable quoting has led to limited efficiency benefits• Major brokers now developing their own contestable quoting platforms to drive internal efficiencies• Underlying sales process has not changed• CGU selectively participating where differentiated offering can be achieved
Difficult to automate multiple quotes
Quoting automation driving internal efficiencies
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CGU
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OUR ACHIEVEMENTSIMPROVED PERFORMANCE DEMONSTRATES UNDERLYING TURNAROUND CGU
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1
-7
55112
27
154
19
-59
-23
10
5135
61
1H08 2H08 1H09 2H09 1H10 2H10 1H11
Reported Insurance Result Underlying Performance
Underlying Performance: excludes reserve releases, actual natural peril costs and credit spreads, but includes budgeted natural peril costs
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OUR ACHIEVEMENTS STRATEGIC DRIVERS BEHIND THE TURNAROUND CGU
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Underwriting management
Claims management
Customer & brand
Business efficiency
People strategy
• Pricing discipline and risk selection
• Reducing indemnity and claims handling costs
• Focused customer value propositions and building brand awareness
• Transformation of business processes and supporting technology
• Developing capability and driving results
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FOCUS FOR THE FUTURELEADER IN INTERMEDIATED INSURANCE CGU
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STRATEGIC THEMESCHANNEL MANAGEMENT
Technology & tools
CLIENT-CENTRIC CULTURE
GROWTH
CGU Channel Management Framework © 2011
CGU
Channel sales strategy & planning
Channel sales management
Channel sales processes People & skills
Market/intermediary segmentation
Intermediary value proposition
Intermediary service level
Channel economics
Portfolio management
Sales methodology
Pipeline management
Sales forecasting
Performance management
Key account management
Sales channel operations
Manage relationships
Understanding intermediary needs
Account management • Account planning • Opportunity
identification • Opportunity qualification • Solution development • Winning/delivery
Intermediary care and servicing
Organisational, structure, roles
Talent optimisation
Recruitment and selection
Competency management
Incentives and reward
CRM solutions
MIS
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STRATEGIC THEMESCUSTOMER AND MARKET INSIGHTS
Refine value drivers and customer
segments
Refine Customer Value Propositions
Customer and market
insights
• Intermediaries• End customers• Competitors
Design & deliver customer
experiences
Apply CVP to:• Product design• Pricing• Processes & systems• Distribution• Communications• People
Monitor
Continuous feedback loop
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CGU
Customer-centric perspective Further differentiate offering
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STRATEGIC THEMESUNDERWRITING EXPERTISE CGU
Portfolio strategy& planning
Underwritingframework
Underwritingcompetence
Reinsurancestrategy
UNDERWRITING EXPERTISE
Portfolio performancemanagement
Underwriting rigour& risk selectionPricing disciplineManaging latent &
emerging risksStrategic portfolio
management
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FOCUS FOR THE FUTURECLEAR PRIORITIES
42
CGU
Expense basemanagement
Profitability supported by expense base reductions:
• Administration expenses
• Claims handling expenses
• Indemnity costs
Focus on profitable growth
Sales led relationship-based account management
Customer and market insights
Active portfolio management
Continue to monitor the pipeline of opportunities
Commitment to core strategy
Three years into five-year strategy
Solid platform to build on
Greater clarity around future areas of focus and required execution
Double digit insurance margin
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OUTLOOKFURTHER IMPROVEMENT EXPECTED CGU
• Impacted by significant catastrophe costs
• Clarity still emerging around impact of catastrophe environment on premium trends
• Further progress in underlying performance
Short term
• Continued execution of core strategy to drive improved underlying performance
• Focus on profitable growth
Long term
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BREAKThe presentation will resume shortly
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JACKI JOHNSONCHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER
5NEW ZEALAND
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Accelerating growth in home markets
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BUSINESS OVERVIEW NEW ZEALAND’S LARGEST GENERAL INSURER NEW ZEALAND
• GWP NZ$1.2bn• More than 2,000 full time equivalent employees• Market share of approximately 33%• More than 1m customers and 2.6m items written
The largest general insurer in New Zealand,
with a broad base across three major channels
NZI
State
Business Partners
DISTRIBUTION
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Personal motor vehicle
Material damage & business interruption
Home contents
Home owners
Commercial motor vehicle
Liability
Other personal
Other commercial
PRODUCT PORTFOLIO
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CURRENT MARKET ENVIRONMENTA CHANGING LANDSCAPE NEW ZEALAND
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Political• Introduction of Prudential Supervision Act • Opening of ACC workers’ account
Customers and Businesses• Changing consumer demographics• SMEs still dominate the landscape with
c.90% of businesses employing five or less• Financial caution amongst consumers and
businesses, mixed with low optimism about the future
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CURRENT MARKET ENVIRONMENTCHRISTCHURCH EARTHQUAKE IMPACTS
Impact of Christchurch earthquakes (September 2010 and February 2011) • Combined estimated cost to insurance industry of
over NZ$19bn• Australasia natural perils significantly increasing
the cost of reinsurance• Financially distressed competitors
NEW ZEALAND
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4 September 2010 7.1 magnitude
earthquake
22 February 2011 6.3 magnitude
earthquake
Christchurch
13 June 2011 5.5 & 6.0 magnitude
earthquakes
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OUR ACHIEVEMENTS DELIVERED ON OUR 2009 STRATEGIC PRIORITIES
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NEW ZEALAND
Return on Risk Based Capital
• Established return on risk based capital as key driver for pricing decisions• Exited under performing partnerships and products
Portfolio Pricing • Tactical pricing reviews for State, NZI and Business Partners• Active removal of portfolio cross subsidisation
Segmentation• Introduction of risk based pricing in State• Enhanced commercial lines risk segmentation• Introduction of more granular geographic rating
Process & Decisions
• Re-underwriting the commercial lines portfolio• Independent review of claims leakage to identify process improvements• Underwriting training academy extended to all portfolios• Strengthening compliance culture across the organisation
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Our people
OUR ACHIEVEMENTS IMPROVED OUTCOMES EVIDENT IN 2011
50
NEW ZEALAND
(17)
17
68 63
90
1H09 2H09 1H10 2H10 1H11
23
14 14
28
35
30
State NZI Business Partners
FY09
FY11
84
81
88
83
Engagement Risk culture
FY09
FY11
Source: Towers Watson survey
Source: IAG and IBANZ surveys
Insurance result (A$m) Customer advocacy
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BUSINESS UNIT STRATEGIC ALIGNMENT
KEY STRATEGIC INITIATIVES
DASHBOARD 20155.5/10
Businesses & households
+1 policy per customerCustomer advocacy
score of 50%$26.5/$100 efficiency
rating
Customer led systems + processes
Differentiated capability + culture
Evolution of e-business strategy
Alignment of operating structure to deliver clarity
and accountability
PURPOSE 2015“To be NZ’s insurer of choice by being the easiest to interact with”
Pro
fitab
le
Gro
wth
FOCUS FOR THE FUTURESTRATEGY NEW ZEALAND
Ret
urn
on R
isk
Base
d C
apita
lLe
adin
g R
isk
Man
agem
ent
Business Partners
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Customer led systems + processes
FOCUS FOR THE FUTUREKEY STRATEGIC INITIATIVES NEW ZEALAND
Differentiated capability + culture
Evolution of e-business strategy
Alignment of operating structure to deliver clarity
and accountability
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OUTLOOKPOSITIVE MOMENTUM
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• Strong underlying financial performance:
– GWP growth will be driven by passing through increased reinsurance costs
– Ongoing focus on underwriting discipline, claims management and costs
• Enhanced ease of interaction– Align service delivery to customer needs and
behaviours
Short term
• Continued financial performance:– Sustainable profitable growth– Leading risk management
• Delivering ease of interaction:– Increasing the number of customers and
policies – Improving our efficiency– Driving higher levels of customer advocacy
Long term
NEW ZEALAND
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IAN FOYCHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER
6 UNITED KINGDOM
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Restoring profitability
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BUSINESS OVERVIEWLARGEST LLOYD’S MOTOR SYNDICATE UNITED KINGDOM
EQUITY RED STAR (ERS)
EQUITY DIRECT BROKING LIMITED (EDBL) INDEPENDENT COMMERCIAL BROKERS
• Largest Lloyd’s personal lines syndicate
• Diverse and broad based book ranging from fleets to classic cars
• Distributes through selected 3rd party brokers who deliver over 80% of ERS volume
• Remaining volume delivered through owned distribution
Affinity partnering withhousehold names: Top 30
commercial broker
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BUSINESS OVERVIEWDIVERSIFIED GWP MIX UNITED KINGDOM
GWP PRODUCT MIX
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Fleet
Private car broker
Private car direct (affinity motor)
Commercial motor
Household
Motorcycle
Agricultural
Breakdown
Classic car
Personal accident
• Reduction in overall GWP as a result of remedial action
• Significant reduction in external broker-sourced standard private car and household business
• Increase in higher quality private car business sourced through EDBL in line with hardening market
• Underwriting structure aligned to support desired product mix going forward
Remediation driving changed mix
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70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
100.0%
110.0%
120.0%
130.0%
Net
OR
%UK Motor Market
Historical Net Operating Ratios
1981 2009Financial Year
2009 - biggest deterioration on record2010 - continuation of poor performance
UNITED KINGDOM
CURRENT MARKET ENVIRONMENT THE ROAD TRAVELLED
2010
• Aggregators continue to present a pricing challenge• Aggregators account for c.55% of new private motor business• Private motor has become more commoditised
Competition• Increased prevalence of fraud• Decline in investment returns
Economic
• Positive trends in road accident & vehicle theft frequency, but: – Unprecedented high levels of claims inflation– Compensation culture– Fraud rendering some parts of the UK almost uninsurable
Social• Increased bodily injury claims driven by claim farming• Dramatic increase in the number of personal injury claims
management companies• Increasing cost of credit hire vehicle provision
Claims inflation
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70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
100.0%
110.0%
120.0%
130.0%
Net
OR
%UK Motor Market
Historical Net Operating Ratios
1981 2009Financial Year
UNITED KINGDOM
CURRENT MARKET ENVIRONMENT THE ROAD AHEAD
2010
Bottom of cycle
• The need for market recovery will drive further rate increases• The UK market will grow by both volume and premium• Aggregators will still dominate private motor
Competition• Interest rates are likely to rise• Economic recovery may reduce recession driven fraud• Customers will look beyond price to find value• From 2011, sustained growth in the new car market
Economic
• Simplicity and certainty will drive consumer product selections• Reduced road traffic accidents to lower claims frequency• Reduced exposure as a result of rising fuel costs
Social• Positive steps towards tort reform• Reduction in levels of uninsured driving• Fewer uninsured drivers could reduce cross subsidy from
insured drivers
Claims inflation
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OUR ACHIEVEMENTS BUILDING THE FUNDAMENTALS UNITED KINGDOM
Immediate rate increases
Exited unprofitable relationships
Ceased writing non targeted external aggregators (non-bike)
Deep-dive review of all major classes of business
Implementation of underwriting improvements
New pricing function
There are signs of recovery however change takes time:
• Earned premium patterns improving
• Superimposed claims inflation continuing
• Re-establishment of key relationships on financially mutual basis
• Harsh UK winter conditions experienced
Underwriting
Claims
New management team
New reserving philosophy
Sophisticated technology solutions deployed
Extensive programme of efficiency savings underway
Supply chain review
Fraud infrastructure review
Governance
New leadership team complete
Strengthened actuarial team and new external actuary
Phase 1 MI system upgrade delivered (underwriting & claims)
Strengthened local Board
ADC reinsurance arrangement
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Horizon 3: Sustainable PositionBeyond
Horizon 2: Re-focus CY2012
Horizon 1: Accelerated Remediation CY2011• Redoubled our efforts• Aggressive re-pricing across the portfolio
• Further exit of unprofitable business• Continued development of key capabilities
• Alignment of cost base• Organisational restructure
• Accelerated claims programme• Reinsurance protection
FOCUS FOR THE FUTUREDRIVING FORWARD UNITED KINGDOM
• A return to our core strengths• Deliver our re-focused business model
• Drive an open, transparent and accountable culture
• Superior returns• Strong internal capability
Affinity distribution,
direct and selected
independent brokers
Specialist brokers
and distributors
SpecialistClassic Car
Agricultural
Minibus / Coach
Specialist Vehicles i.e. Imports / Kit Cars
FocusedFleet
Bike
Haulage
RetailPrivate Car
Van
Household
Motor Breakdown
Pricing
Commercial and
specialist brokers
including owned brokers
Distribution & Relationship Management
Fully aligned Claims capability and service proposition
Bespoke Specialist Highly Sophisticated
• Passionate about motor• Key insurance & management
competencies• Deeper broker relationships
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OUTLOOKRETURN TO FUNDAMENTALS UNITED KINGDOM
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• Strengthened senior leadership team• Capable and passionate employees
dedicated to restoring performance and profitability
• 2010 and prior year accounts are protected• Smaller 2H11 insurance loss (vs 1H11) after
inclusion of ADC cost• Remediation process to improve performance
in FY12 towards breakeven
Short term
• Improving market environment• Positive contribution to Group performance
Long term
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JUSTIN BREHENYCHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER
7ASIA
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Boost Asian footprint – 10% of Group GWP by 2016
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BUSINESS OVERVIEWA PORTFOLIO OF HIGH GROWTH BUSINESSES
1 GWP presented on 100% ownership basis and in respect of FY11E (annualised from 9 months to 31 March 2011)2 GWP growth represents two year CAGR to FY11E (annualised per previous note), in local currency terms
ASIA
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INDIA
COUNTRY INDIA
BUSINESS
DESCRIPTION
OWNERSHIP
GWP1
GWP GROWTH2
• JV with India’s largest bank, the State Bank of
India
26% with option to increase to 49%
$15m
N/A
THAILAND
• Personal lines insurer • 3rd largest motor
insurer
98.5%
$150m
8.8%
• Commercial insurer • Operating since 1985
100%
$40m
0.1%
MALAYSIA
• JV with AmBank• 3rd largest motor
insurer
49%
$224m
7.8%
Safety Insurance
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OUR ACHIEVEMENTS OPERATIONAL IMPROVEMENT AND FOCUSED BUSINESS DEVELOPMENT
ASIA
Further improvement in performance of existing businesses
Malaysian and Thai businesses performing in line with expectations IAG executive appointed AmG CEO, has delivered significant change to improve
underwriting performance
SBI joint venture in India to open first half calendar 2010
Soft launch in March 2010 followed by gradual product and systems roll-out from October 2010
Increase market share of AmG through acquisition of MAA
MAA opportunity discontinued in late 2010 – actively considering other acquisition options
OBJECTIVES ACHIEVEMENTS
Restructure NZI; pursue further synergies with Safety Insurance
Safety / NZI merger approved by OIC in January 2011 and NZI operational turnaround completed
Pursue JV in China In discussions with potential partner
Identify and prioritise key markets for the next phase of development
Completion of market entry work for Indonesia – assessing opportunities Senior resource in Vietnam from January 2011; now gearing up for market entry
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STRATEGIC JOURNEYFOCUS HAS EVOLVED FROM INITIAL ENTRY TO BUILDING SCALE
ASIA
• Targeted entry into four markets –Malaysia, Thailand, China, India
• Build capability transfer model• Develop partnership model• M&A dominates
• NZI acquisition• Safety uplift to 98%• 30% Malaysian JV; sell life, uplift to
49% of general (AmG)• 26% SBI General investment• Safety / NZI legal merger
• Market entry – China, Indonesia, Vietnam
• In-market acquisitions to consolidate positions in Malaysia and Thailand
• M&A continues to dominate, both in-market and new countries
• Relocate Asia HQ to Singapore• Improve operational performance in
existing businesses via capability transfer
• Actively manage portfolio• Pursue selective in-market consolidation • Monitor emerging market opportunities• Consider opportunistic plays to
supplement portfolio
• Optimise capital and operating efficiency • Strong operational focus on improving
returns from the portfolio• Ongoing capability transfer
HORIZON 1Since 2005
Initial market entry
HORIZON 22010-2015
Enter new markets; build platform
HORIZON 3Beyond 2015
Mature end state
Stra
tegi
cO
pera
tiona
lH
oriz
on
Increasing operational focus
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Decreasing M&A focus
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ASIA
STRATEGIC DIRECTIONTO BE 10% OF GROUP’S GWP BY 2016 (PROPORTIONAL BASIS)
• Create a high growth, high value portfolio of general insurance businesses in AsiaVision
• To be 10% of the Group’s GWP by 2016 (proportional basis)• Achieve ROE no less than WACC within 3-5 years for each new market entry
Goal
• Acquire and add value to a portfolio of profitable, and predominantly personal lines businesses, in selected high growth Asian markets
• Compete through a well executed model combining effective market entry, capability transfer and local partnering
Strategy
• Prioritise high growth and regionally significant markets – six priority markets of India, China, Malaysia, Thailand, Indonesia and Vietnam
• Acquire well and implement capability transfer effectively• Develop strong and functional local relationships
Priorities
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STRATEGIC FOCUSMACRO INDICATORS – ATTRACTIONS OF OUR SIX PRIORITY MARKETS
8% 9%8%
6%5% 4%
26%
17%
15% 15%
8%
6%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Vietnam China India Indonesia Thailand Malaysia
GDP Growth % GWP Growth %
1346
1198
230
88 68 28
1255
541
92
264199
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
China India Indonesia Vietnam Thailand Malaysia
Population (m) GDP (USD bn)
4736
ASIA
POPULATION AND GDP
FIVE YEAR FORECAST GDP & GWP GROWTH 2011-2015
• Top 1 and 2 global populations • Highest forecast GDP growth in Asia• High GWP growth rates
China and India
• Forecast GWP above mature market rates • Our businesses producing strong margins
Thailand and Malaysia
• Most populous developing markets in Asia behind China and India
• Strong forecast GDP and GWP growth rates• Developing in right direction
Indonesia and Vietnam
67Sources: BMI; World Bank; Swiss Re; IAG Analysis
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INDIA: MARKET ENVIRONMENTRAPID ECONOMIC AND GENERAL INSURANCE INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENT
Regulatory and Industry• Private companies continue to outgrow the public
sector, reaching 43% market share• Private companies continue to have better
combined ratios than the public sector
ASIA
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1.21.31.41.51.61.71.81.92.02.1
07
1421283542495663
Mar
-09
May
-09
Jul-0
9
Sep-
09
Nov
-09
Jan-
10
Mar
-10
May
-10
Jul-1
0
Sep-
10
Nov
-10
Jan-
11
Mar
-11
Annual units, mn Growth, % YoY
Growth Units
INDIA: PASSENGER CAR SALES INDIA: GWP (A$BN)
Political and Economic• 5 year plan for 2012–17 targets GDP growth of 9–9.5%• Significant growth in passenger vehicle sales• Liberalisation of foreign direct investment, includes
planned increase in ownership limit from 26% to 49% in insurance sector
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11Private Public
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ASIA
INDIA: BUSINESS SNAPSHOTOPERATIONAL ROLLOUT IS ON TRACK
TARGET CHANNEL MIX
TARGET CUSTOMER MIX
Phased roll-out• JV agreement signed November 2008, A$126m contributed to JV November
2009, and general insurance licence received from IRDA in December 2009• Approvals for 29 products in place, 8 awaiting approval• Limited underwriting commenced March 2010 • IT systems live March 2011 with motor and long term home launched
People• Four IAG full time roles: Deputy CEO, underwriting, distribution and claims• 30 IAG people have been in project roles over past two years• Over 420 staff already in positions across 20 branch network• Two IAG Board positions
Distribution• JV initially focused on the retail segment via SBI bancassurance channel • Over 5,500 SBI bank employees qualified to sell general insurance products• Other channels being developed – over 1,600 licenced agents already in place • 17 of an initial planned 20 branches already in place, accessing leads from 200
SBI loan processing centres and over 13,000 SBI branches
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Bancassurance
Agent
Broker
Direct
Retail
Corporate
SME
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INDIA: FOCUS FOR THE FUTURETO ACHIEVE A$1BN IN GWP IN FIVE YEARS (2016)
ASIA
• This equates to A$1bn in GWP by 2016 (100% basis)• Make the most of SBI’s brand and distribution strength to secure a sustainable, profitable,
scaleable position
Top 5 position in private sector with 5% market share by
2016
• Disciplined approach to risk based underwriting• Focus is on the SBI bancassurance channel
Breakeven 2015 and underwriting profit
2016
• Plan to develop all channels over time – bancassurance, broker and agent• SBI relationship and customer base will be leveraged for lead generation in broker /
corporate / SME channels
Bancassurancepriority, but develop
all channels
• Branches being rolled out rapidly to support top line growth targets• Technology and processes driving cost efficiencies • Full product range to be offered – 29 product approvals already received
Complete systems, product and branch
rollout
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THAILAND: FOCUS FOR THE FUTUREACHIEVE TOP 2 POSITION IN MOTOR
ASIA
• Continue momentum to grow to top 2 position in motor – from top 4 position in 2009, top 3 position in 2010
Top 2 position in motor
• Growth achieved through organic expansion – focus on scale• Maintain profitable growth by continuing current low cost manufacturer model and
leveraging strong links to motor industry
Maintain organic growth
momentum
• Strongly positioned for consolidation as and when RBC requirements strengthenedPosition for
M&A / consolidation
• Improved efficiency through NZI merger with highly efficient Safety businessOperating
efficiency in commercial
lines
Safe
ty In
sura
nce
NZI
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ASIA
MALAYSIA: FOCUS FOR THE FUTUREOBTAINING A MARKET LEADERSHIP POSITION
• By organic growth (strategic initiatives focused on improved penetration and renewal retention) and through acquisitionNo. 1 in motor
• Strategic initiatives targeting specific industries with specialist product and innovative distribution solutions
Lead in niche commercial
• By leveraging motor scale and customer base and optimising use of the AmBank Group network
Lead in non-motor personal lines
• Continue to focus on building scale via in-country bolt-on acquisitions to the AmG businessIndustry M&A consolidation
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MARKET ENTRY: CHINA, INDONESIA AND VIETNAMSIGNIFICANT PROGRESS IN TARGET MARKETS
ASIA
73
• Largest economy in SE Asia – growth outlook similar to India and China
• One of the most open economies in Asia for foreign investment –ownership up to 80%
• General insurance market growth rates expected to accelerate to 15% over next 3-5 years
• A number of stable, sustainably profitable players
• Strategic assessment complete• Investment discussions already held
with a number of parties• Focus is on partners with existing
distribution footprints and ability to grow a scale position
• Second fastest growing economy in the world with the least volatility over the last 20 years
• Foreign investment capped at 20-25% (with potential for more)
• General insurance market CAGR of 25% for 2004-2009 and growth expected at similarly high levels for the next 3-5 years
• Market entry strategic review underway
• Solid leads with potential partners being pursued
INDONESIA VIETNAM
• Regional focus • Good progress in discussions with
potential partner
CHINA
Prog
ress
• Strong economic fundamentals: 2010 GDP +10.3%; 9% in next 5 years
• Household wealth increasing rapidly –new car sales +32.4% to 18m in 2010
• General insurance market +34.6% in 2010 – forecast to grow 10–15% p.a. over next 10 years
• Improving regulatory environment • Overall industry (life and non-life) profit
of US$9.2bn in 2010• Foreign investment capped at 20%, but
24.9% possible with regulatory waiver
Rat
iona
le/O
utlo
ok
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OUTLOOKBOOSTING THE GROUP’S ASIAN FOOTPRINT
ASIA
• India – Grow SBI General Insurance to top 5 position in private sector with 5% market share and A$1bn revenue by 2016
• Malaysia – Grow AmG to number 1 position in motor through organic growth initiatives and acquisitions, and rebalance portfolio to lead in niche commercial and non-motor personal lines
• Thailand – Grow Safety/NZI to top 2 position in motor, through organic branch expansion and acquisitions
• China – Commence a general insurance JV in short to medium term
• Indonesia and Vietnam – Pursue general insurance JVs
Contributing 10% of the Group’s GWP by 2016 (proportional basis)
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LEONA MURPHYGROUP EXECUTIVE CORPORATE OFFICE
8IAG OF THE FUTURE
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INFLUENCES ON OUR SUCCESS
REALISING OUR POTENTIAL
Long term financial targets:
• ROE 1.5xWACC
• Top quartile TSR
Deliver superior performance by
actively managing our portfolio and
driving operational
performance and accountability
Accelerate growth in Australia and New Zealand
Restore profitability in UK
Boost Asian footprint – 10% of Group GWP by 2016
TARGETSSTRATEGY PRIORITIES
To be the world’s most respected group of general
insurance companies
AMBITION
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IAG OF THE FUTURE
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GROUP-WIDE TALENT MANAGEMENT TO ENABLE OUR AMBITION BUILDING THE WORKFORCE OF THE FUTURE
77
• Talent retention
• Multi-level succession management
• Cross-brand career opportunities
• Investment in leadership and culture development
BusinessPlan and
Drivers
Results
Identify
Talent differentiation approach
AssessDefining and measuring success
Gauging readiness for succession
GrowTargeted development options
Succeed
• Enhanced management and leadership capability and business performance
• Strong visible bench strength and robust succession planning for senior leadership roles
• Attraction, development and retention of key talent
IAG OF THE FUTURE
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BENEFITS OF RISK EXPERTISE TANGIBLE, POSITIVE OUTCOMES
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Detailed under-
standing of risk
More efficient
and equitable pricing
Share knowledge
with customers
and community
Broader risk
reduction and
mitigation
Lower cost and
likelihood of claims
More affordable insurance
and retention
Increased market
share and scale
benefits
IAG OF THE FUTURE
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IAG’S VALUE-ADD AS RISK EXPERTSSHARING KNOWLEDGE TO HELP PREVENTION
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IAG OF THE FUTURE
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IAG’S VALUE-ADD AS RISK EXPERTSMAKING COMMUNITIES MORE RESILIENT
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IAG OF THE FUTURE
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EFFECTIVELY MANAGING RISK THREE PILLARS
Risk transfer should always be an option. Looking at the types of products offered and the affordability of those products
AREAS OF FOCUS
Identification of emerging risks, managing risks and bringing them into today’s decision making
When the risk can’t be avoided, use our risk management expertise to drive adaptation and resilience building
OBJECTIVES
Risk Prevention Adaptation and Resilience Insurance Reach
SCOPEEXAMPLES:• Fair operating practices / ethical behaviour• The environment e.g. carbon neutral
commitment• Labour practices, including human rights,
diversity• Responsible investment• Research• Encourage individuals to take more
responsibility and adapt to changing risks (e.g. weather risk)
EXAMPLES• Risk appropriate land-use planning, zoning
building standards, early warning systems• Contribute to development of resilience
perspective in building codes / standards
EXAMPLES• Tax reforms to make insurance more
affordable• Consider changing risk profiles and how
these impact on customers• Extend the suite of products & services• Consider products for the financially
excluded i.e. low income insurance• Educate stakeholders on insurance
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IAG OF THE FUTURE
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9SUMMARY
MIKE WILKINS
MANAGING DIRECTOR & CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER
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RESETTING OUR STRATEGIC PRIORITIES A CLEAR FOCUS ON AUSTRALIA, NEW ZEALAND AND ASIA SUMMARY
83
REALISING OUR POTENTIAL
Long term financial targets:
• ROE 1.5xWACC
• Top quartile TSR
Deliver superior performance by
actively managing our portfolio and
driving operational
performance and accountability
Accelerate growth in Australia and New Zealand
Restore profitability in UK
Boost Asian footprint – 10% of Group GWP by 2016
TARGETSSTRATEGY PRIORITIES
To be the world’s most respected group of general
insurance companies
AMBITION
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BUSINESS MODEL AND BRANDS
DIRECT INSURANCE
INTERMEDIATED INSURANCE
AUST
RAL
IADIRECT INSURANCE
INTERMEDIATED INSURANCE
DIRECT INSURANCE
INTERMEDIATED INSURANCE
INTERMEDIATED INSURANCE
1
NEW
ZEA
LAN
D
ASIA
UN
ITED
KIN
GD
OM
OTHER
ONLINEINSURANCE
ACTIVE PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT & GOVERNANCE (CORPORATE OFFICE)
1. RACV is via a distribution relationship and underwriting joint venture with RACV Limited. 2. RACV has a 30% interest in The Buzz.3. 49% ownership of the general insurance arm of AmBank Group, AmG Insurance Berhad, trading under the AmAssurance brand.4. 98% voting rights in Safety Insurance, based in Thailand.5. 26% ownership of SBI General Insurance Company, a joint venture with the State Bank of India.
3
4
2
5
84