I. Trends in Number of High School Graduates

85
I. Trends in Number of High School Graduates

description

I. Trends in Number of High School Graduates. Percent Change in Public High School Graduates, 1994-2005, by College Board Region. Source: The College Board. Change in Total High School Graduates, 1994-2005, by Region. Source: The College Board. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of I. Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Page 1: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

I. Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Page 2: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Percent Change in Public High School Graduates, 1994-2005, by College Board Region

Source: The College Board

28.0%

23.0%

17.2%

23.3%

36.2%

36.7%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%

New England

Middle States

South

Midwest

Southwest

West

Page 3: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Change in Total High School Graduates, 1994-2005, by Region

Source: The College Board

27.2%

22.2%

17.6%

24.3%

33.3%

36.7%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%

New England

Middle States

South

Midwest

Southwest

West

Page 4: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Number of High School Graduates, 1994-2022: United States

Source: WICHE/The College Board

0

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

3,000,000

3,500,000

4,000,000

94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22

American Indian/Alaska Native Asian/Pacific Islander Black non-Hispanic Hispanic White non-Hispanic Non-Public Total

Page 5: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Change in Projected Public High School Graduates, 1994-2022, by College Board Region

Source: WICHE/The College Board

14.5%

23.8%

16.8%

58.1%

85.3%

61.9%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%

New England

Middle States

South

Midwest

Southwest

West

Page 6: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Change in Total Projected High School Graduates, 1994-2022, by College Board Region

Source: WICHE/The College Board

14.0%

20.1%

15.7%

59.9%

78.8%

60.0%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%

New England

Middle States

South

Midwest

Southwest

West

Page 7: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: New England

Source: WICHE/The College Board

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

180,000

92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22

American Indian/Alaska Native Asian/Pacific Islander Black non-Hispanic Hispanic White non-Hispanic Non-Public Total

Page 8: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Number of High School Graduates, 1993-2022: Middle States

Source: WICHE/The College Board

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22

American Indian/Alaska Native Asian/Pacific Islander Black non-Hispanic Hispanic White non-Hispanic Non-Public Total

Page 9: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Number of High School Graduates, 1993-2022: South

Source: WICHE/The College Board

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

800,000

900,000

93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22

American Indian/Alaska Native Asian/Pacific Islander Black non-Hispanic Hispanic White non-Hispanic Non-Public Total

Page 10: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Midwest

Source: WICHE/The College Board

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

800,000

900,000

92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22

American Indian/Alaska Native Asian/Pacific Islander Black non-Hispanic Hispanic White non-Hispanic Non-Public Total

Page 11: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Southwest

Source: WICHE/The College Board

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000

450,000

500,000

92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22

American Indian/Alaska Native Asian/Pacific Islander Black non-Hispanic Hispanic White non-Hispanic Non-Public Total

Page 12: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Number of High School Graduates, 1994-2022: West

Source: WICHE/The College Board

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

800,000

900,000

94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22

American Indian/Alaska Native Asian/Pacific Islander Black non-Hispanic Hispanic White non-Hispanic Non-Public Total

Page 13: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Change in Actual Public High School Graduates, 1994-2005, by Region: Native American Students

Source: WICHE/The College Board

99%

89%

33%

39%

52%

54%

0% 40% 80% 120% 160% 200%

New England

Middle States

South

Midwest

Southwest

West

Page 14: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Change in Projected Public High School Graduates, 1994-2022, by Region: Native American Students

Source: WICHE/The College Board

238%

118%

62%

62%

109%

69%

0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250%

New England

Middle States

South

Midwest

Southwest

West

Page 15: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Change in Public High School Graduates, by Region 1994-2005 vs. 1994-2022: Native American Students

Source: WICHE/The College Board

99%

89%

33%

39%

52%

54%

238%

118%

62%

62%

109%

69%

0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250%

New England

Middle States

South

Midwest

Southwest

West

Change 1994-2005 Change 1994-2022

Page 16: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Change in Actual Public High School Graduates, 1994-2005, by Region: Asian Students

Source: WICHE/The College Board

54%

47%

64%

53%

60%

32%

0% 60% 120% 180% 240% 300%

New England

Middle States

South

Midwest

Southwest

West

Page 17: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Change in Projected Public High School Graduates, 1994-2022, by Region: Asian Students

Source: WICHE/The College Board

170%

184%

334%

206%

317%

95%

0% 70% 140% 210% 280% 350%

New England

Middle States

South

Midwest

Southwest

West

Page 18: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Change in Public High School Graduates, by Region1994-2005 vs. 1994-2022: Asian Students

Source: WICHE/The College Board

54%

47%

64%

53%

60%

32%

170%

184%

334%

206%

317%

95%

0% 70% 140% 210% 280% 350%

New England

Middle States

South

Midwest

Southwest

West

Change 1994-2005 Change 1994-2022

Page 19: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Change in Actual Public High School Graduates, 1994-2005, by Region: Black Students

Source: WICHE/The College Board

43%

38%

26%

36%

53%

48%

0% 16% 32% 48% 64% 80%

New England

Middle States

South

Midwest

Southwest

West

Page 20: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Change in Projected Public High School Graduates, 1994-2022, by Region: Black Students

Source: WICHE/The College Board

NMSMSW

46%

30%

34%

46%

123%

55%

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 125%

New England

Middle States

South

Midwest

Southwest

West

Page 21: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Change in High School Graduates by Region 1994-2005 vs. 1994-2022: Black Students

Source: WICHE/The College Board

NMSMSW

43%

38%

26%

36%

53%

48%

46%

30%

34%

46%

123%

55%

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 125%

New England

Middle States

South

Midwest

Southwest

West

Change 1994-2005 Change 1994-2022

Page 22: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Change in Actual Public High School Graduates, 1994-2005, by Region: Hispanic Students

Source: WICHE/The College Board

86%

72%

136%

92%

74%

80%

0% 180% 360% 540% 720% 900%

New England

Middle States

South

Midwest

Southwest

West

Page 23: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Change in Projected Public High School Graduates, 1994-2022, by Region: Hispanic Students

Source: WICHE/The College Board

251%

254%

1033%

443%

248%

226%

0% 220% 440% 660% 880% 1100%

New England

Middle States

South

Midwest

Southwest

West

Page 24: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Change in Public High School Graduates, by Region 1994-2005 vs. 1994-2022: Hispanic Students

Source: WICHE/The College Board

86%

72%

136%

92%

74%

80%

251%

254%

1033%

443%

248%

226%

0% 220% 440% 660% 880% 1100%

New England

Middle States

South

Midwest

Southwest

West

Change 1994-2005 Change 1994-2022

Page 25: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Change in Actual Public High School Graduates, 1994-2005, by Region: White Students

Source: WICHE/The College Board

23%

14%

15%

12%

16%

22%

-10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%

New England

Middle States

South

Midwest

Southwest

West

Page 26: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Change in Projected Public High School Graduates, 1994-2022, by Region: White Students

Source: WICHE/The College Board

-7%

-8%

10%

-4%

3%

3%

-10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%

New England

Middle States

South

Midwest

Southwest

West

Page 27: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Change in Public High School Graduates, by Region1994-2005 vs. 1994-2022: White Students

Source: WICHE/The College Board

23%

14%

15%

12%

16%

22%

-7%

-8%

10%

-4%

3%

3%

-10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%

New England

Middle States

South

Midwest

Southwest

West

Change 1994-2005 Change 1994-2022

Page 28: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Percent Change in Projected High School Graduates: 2007-2010

Source: The College Board

6.1% and higher

3.1% to 6.0%

0% to 3%

-3% to -.01%

-3.1% and lower

Page 29: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: California

Source: WICHE

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000

450,000

92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22

American Indian/ Alaska Native Asian/Pacific Islander Black non- Hispanic Hispanic White non- Hispanic Non-Public Total

Page 30: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Florida

Source: WICHE/The College Board

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22

American Indian/Alaska Native Asian/Pacific Islander Black non-Hispanic Hispanic White non-Hispanic Non-Public

Page 31: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Number of Public High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Massachusetts

Source: WICHE/The College Board

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22

American Indian/Alaska Native Asian/Pacific Islander Black non-Hispanic Hispanic White non-Hispanic Non-Public

Page 32: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: New York

Source: WICHE/The College Board

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

180,000

200,000

92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22

American Indian/ Alaska Native Asian/Pacific Islander Black non- Hispanic Hispanic White non- Hispanic Non-Public Total

Page 33: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Ohio

Source: WICHE/The College Board

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22

American Indian/ Alaska Native Asian/Pacific Islander Black non- Hispanic Hispanic White non- Hispanic Non-Public Total

Page 34: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Texas

Source: WICHE/The College Board

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000

92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22

American Indian/ Alaska Native Asian/Pacific Islander Black non- Hispanic Hispanic White non- Hispanic Non-Public Total

Page 35: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

II. The Aging Population

Page 36: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Percent Growth in U.S. Population, 1987-2007by Age Bracket

14% 15%

25%

13%

2%

-5% -4%

14%

56%

92% 90%

64%

23%

10%

55%

-20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

<5 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-74 75+

Page 37: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Growth in U.S. Population Over Five-Year Intervals, 1987-2007

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

<5 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-74 75+

1987-92 1992-97 1997-2002 2002-07

Page 38: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Source: U.S. Department of Education/U.S. Census Bureau

The Impact of Traditional Students on Total College Enrollment

80%

90%

100%

110%

120%

130%

140%

150%

85-86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 05-06

Total enrollment

18-year-olds

First-time freshmen

Page 39: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Source: U.S.Department of Education

Student Enrollments, 1987-2017by Age Bracket

1,000,000

2,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

5,000,000

6,000,000

7,000,000

8,000,000

9,000,000

10,000,000

11,000,000

12,000,000

13,000,000

1986-87 1992 1997 2002 2007 2012 2016-17

18-24

35+

30-34

25-29

Page 40: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Source: U.S. Department of Education

College Enrollment Profile, 1987-2017by Age Bracket

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

1986-87 1992 1997 2002 2007 2012 2016-17

18-24

35+

30-34

25-29

Page 41: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Undergraduate Enrollment by Attendance Status 1987-2017

Source: U.S. Department of Education

0

2,000,000

4,000,000

6,000,000

8,000,000

10,000,000

12,000,000

86-8

7 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15

16-1

7

Full-Time Part-Time

9,610,000

7,299,000

11,506,000

6,352,000

5,526,0005,028,000

5,848,000

4,446,000

Page 42: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Change in Part-Time Enrollment, 1987-2017

Source: U.S. Department of Education

41.2% 40.8%

33.7%

36.5%

Page 43: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Graduate and Professional Enrollment, 1987-2017by Attendance Status

Source: U.S. Department of Education

0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

1,600,000

1,800,000

2,000,000

86-8

7 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15

16-1

7

Full-time Part-time

1,163,0001,036,0001,269,000

937,000

1,373,000

1,004000

1,819,000

768,000

Page 44: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Source: U.S. Department of Education

Gender and Attendance Status1987-2017

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

PT Men

FT Men

PT Women

FT Women

Page 45: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Source: U.S. Department of Education

Full-Time Enrollment by Gender and Control1987-2017

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

Perc

enta

ge o

f Tot

al Fu

ll-T

ime

Enro

llmen

t

Men in Private Institutions

Men in Public Institutions

Women in Private Institutions

Women in Public Institutions

Page 46: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Source: U.S. Department of Education

Part-Time Enrollment by Gender and Control1987-2017

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

55%

60%Pe

rcen

tage

of T

otal

Par

t-T

ime

Enro

llmen

t

Men in Private Institutions

Men in Public Institutions

Women in Private Institutions

Women in Public Institutions

Page 47: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

III. Growing Ethnic Diversity

Page 48: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Growth Rate of U.S. Population by Ethnic Group1981-2016

0%

50%

100%

150%

200%

250%

300%

350%

400%

450%

500%

1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011 2016

Index: 1981 = 100%

Black

White

Hispanic

Asian

Page 49: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Growth in U.S. Population by Ethnic Group1981-2016

0

50,000,000

100,000,000

150,000,000

200,000,000

250,000,000

300,000,000

350,000,000

80-81 85-86 90-91 95-96 00-01 05-06 10-11 15-16

White Non-Hisp Black Hispanic Asian

Page 50: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Source: U.S. Department of Education

Concentration of Minorities Enrolled in Public Elementary/Secondary Schools, 2004-05,

and Selected Changes from 1994-95

36% to 50%

21% to 35%

10% to 20%

More than 50%

Less than 10%

+18.2%+9.0%

+9.8%

+9.5%

+9.4%

+10.1%

+10.6%

+10.0%

+9.3%

+9.2%

Page 51: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

High School Graduation Rates by Ethnic Group1999-2006

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

05-0604-0503-0402-0301-0200-0199-0098-99

Black

White

Hispanic

Asian

Page 52: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

College-Going Rates of High School Graduates Aged 18 to 24 by Ethnic Group, 1999-2006

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

55%

60%

65%

70%

05-0604-0503-0402-0301-0200-0199-0098-99

Black

White

Hispanic

Asian

Page 53: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Source: U.S. Department of Education

Concentration of Minorities Enrolled in Higher Education, 2006-07

and Selected Changes from 1996-97

21% to 30%

11% to 20%

0 to 10%

31% to 40%

More than 40%+7.8%

+7.5%

+7.8%

+7.5%

+8.9%

+13.0%

+11.7%

+9.6%

+7.8%

-4.8%

Page 54: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Growth in College Enrollment by Ethnic Group1995-96 to 2005-06

Source: U.S. Department of Education

90%

100%

110%

120%

130%

140%

150%

160%

170%

180%

95-96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 05-06

Index: 1996 = 100%

Asian

Hispanic

American Indian

Black

White, Non-Hispanic

Page 55: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Racial-Ethnic Distribution in College Enrollment 1995-96 to 2005-06

Source: U.S. Department of Education

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

95-96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 05-06

White/Non-Hispanic Black Hispanic Asian American Indian

Page 56: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Minority Males as a Percent of Total College Enrollment, 1995-96 to 2005-06

Source: U.S. Department of Education

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

8%

9%

95-96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 05-06

Asian

Hispanic

American Indian

Black

Page 57: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Minority Females as a Percent of Total College Enrollment, 1995-96 to 2005-06

Source: U.S. Department of Education

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

8%

9%

95-96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 05-06

Asian

Hispanic

American Indian

Black

Page 58: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Ratio of Bachelor’s Degrees Earned to Enrollments1994-95 to 2004-05

Source: U.S. Department of Education

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

94-95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 04-05

Asian

Hispanic

American Indian

Black

White

Page 59: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

IV. 2007 High School Seniors: Graduation and Four-Year College Enrollment

Selected States

Page 60: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

2007 High School Seniors: Graduation and Four-Year College Enrollment: California

Source: The College Board/U.S. Department of Education

Page 61: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

2007 High School Seniors: Graduation and Four-Year College Enrollment: Florida

Source: The College Board/U.S. Department of Education

Page 62: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

2007 High School Seniors: Graduation and Four-Year College Enrollment: Massachusetts

Source: The College Board/U.S. Department of Education

Page 63: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

2007 High School Seniors: Graduation and Four-Year College Enrollment: New York

Source: The College Board/U.S. Department of Education

Page 64: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

2007 High School Seniors: Graduation and Four-Year College Enrollment: Ohio

Source: The College Board/U.S. Department of Education

Page 65: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

2007 High School Seniors: Graduation and Four-Year College Enrollment: Texas

Source: The College Board/U.S. Department of Education

Page 66: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

V. Other Trends Affecting Higher Education

Page 67: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Percent Change in Resident Population, 1986-2006by College Board Region

5.6%

5.6%

16.3%

6.7%

14.4%

21.4%

5.3%

4.7%

14.9%

5.0%

18.0%

17.3%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45%

New England

Middle States

South

Midwest

Southwest

West

86-96 96-06

Page 68: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Source: U.S. Department of Education

Percent of High School Graduates Enrolled in a Four-Year College Outside Their Home State

Fall 2004

30% to 49%

15% to 29%

Less than 15%

50% or more

DE +10%

-11%-27%

-9%

-6%

-18%

-11%

CT -6%

MD+6%

+7%

+5%

Page 69: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

States with Largest Net Migration of Four-YearCollege Freshmen, Fall 2004

7,525

6,567

5,699

4,680

4,568

3,999

-2,331

-3,273

-7,003

-7,676

-8,056

-10,207

-22,187

12,165

-30,000 -24,000 -18,000 -12,000 -6,000 0 6,000 12,000 18,000

Pennsylvania

North Carolina

District of Columbia

Indiana

Massachusetts

Florida

Utah

New York

Minnesota

California

Texas

Maryland

Illinois

New Jersey

Page 70: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Source: CIRP

Intended Majors Showing Increase1967-68 Through 2007-2008

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

67-68 77-78 87-88 97-98 07-08

Biological Science Business Health Professional

Page 71: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Source: CIRP

Intended Majors Showing Largest Decreases1967-68 Through 2007-2008

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

67-68 77-78 87-88 97-98 07-08

Math & Physical Sciences Engineering Arts Other Humanities

Page 72: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

VI. Trends in College Costs and Financial Aid

Page 73: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Trends in Concern About Ability to Finance a College Education, 1977-78 to 2007-08

Source: CIRP

33.0% 30.4%37.7%

29.2% 31.4% 34.7%38.9%

49.5% 51.0%

48.7%

52.2%53.3%

52.7%51.6%

17.5% 18.6%13.6%

18.7% 15.3% 12.6% 9.5%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

77-78 82-83 87-88 94-95 97-98 02-03 07-08

None Some Major Concern

Page 74: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Percent of Freshman For Whom Financing was a Major Concern 1992-93 to 2007-08 (Selected Years)

Source: CIRP

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

92-93 94-95 96-97 97-98 99-00 00-01 01-02 02-03 03-04 04-05 05-06 06-07 07-08

Public Univ Private Univ Public 4-Yr Private (Non-Sect) 4-Yr

Page 75: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Trends in Rate of Increase in Total Four-Year College Costs, 1980-81 to 2005-06

Source: U.S. Department of Education

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

Public

Private

CPI

Page 76: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Trends in Rate of Increase in Four-Year College Tuition & Fees, 1980-81 to 2005-06

Source: U.S. Department of Education

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

Public

Private

CPI

Page 77: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

College Costs and Disposable Per Capita Income, 1997-98 to 2007-08

Source:The College Board

$0

$5,000

$10,000

$15,000

$20,000

$25,000

$30,000

$35,000

1997-98 1998-99 1999-2000 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08

Private 4-Year Public 4-Year Per Capita Income

Published Charges

Page 78: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Year-to-Year Change in College Costs and Disposable Income, 1997-98 to 2007-08

Source:The College Board

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

8%

9%

10%

1997-98 1998-99 1999-2000 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08

Private 4-Year Public 4-Year Per Capita Income

Change in Published Charges

Page 79: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Types of Financial Aid as a Percentage of Total, 1996-97 to 2006-07

Source:The College Board

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

96-97 97-98 98-99 99-00 00-01 01-02 02-03 03-04 04-05 05-06 06-07

Grants

Loans

Work

Tax Benefits

Page 80: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Source: CIRP

Intended Majors Showing Largest Decreases1967-68 Through 2007-2008

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

67-68 77-78 87-88 97-98 07-08

Math & Physical Sciences Engineering Arts Other Humanities

Page 81: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

VI. Trends in College Costs and Financial Aid

Page 82: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Trends in Concern About Ability to Finance a College Education, 1977-78 to 2007-08

Source: CIRP

33.0% 30.4%37.7%

29.2% 31.4% 34.7%38.9%

49.5% 51.0%

48.7%

52.2%53.3%

52.7%51.6%

17.5% 18.6%13.6%

18.7% 15.3% 12.6% 9.5%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

77-78 82-83 87-88 94-95 97-98 02-03 07-08

None Some Major Concern

Page 83: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Year-to-Year Change in College Costs and Disposable Income, 1997-98 to 2007-08

Source:The College Board

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

8%

9%

10%

1997-98 1998-99 1999-2000 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08

Private 4-Year Public 4-Year Per Capita Income

Change in Published Charges

Page 84: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Types of Financial Aid as a Percentage of Total, 1996-97 to 2006-07

Source:The College Board

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

96-97 97-98 98-99 99-00 00-01 01-02 02-03 03-04 04-05 05-06 06-07

Grants

Loans

Work

Tax Benefits

Page 85: I.  Trends in Number of High School Graduates

Sources of Financial Aid as Percentage of Total, 1996-97 to 2006-07

Source:The College Board

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

96-97 97-98 98-99 99-00 00-01 01-02 02-03 03-04 04-05 05-06 06-07

Federal Grants Federal Loans Work-Study Education Tax Benefits

Institutional Grants Private & Employer Grants State Grants Non-Federal Loans