I II * * 2011 5 4 9 9 3 4 1 8 0 2012 0 6 6 5 4 9 4 8 02014 0 7 7 6 9 3 3 8 0 2015 0 1 1 5 9 4 1 8 0...

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Transcript of I II * * 2011 5 4 9 9 3 4 1 8 0 2012 0 6 6 5 4 9 4 8 02014 0 7 7 6 9 3 3 8 0 2015 0 1 1 5 9 4 1 8 0...

Page 1: I II * * 2011 5 4 9 9 3 4 1 8 0 2012 0 6 6 5 4 9 4 8 02014 0 7 7 6 9 3 3 8 0 2015 0 1 1 5 9 4 1 8 0 2016 0 3 3 5 5 0 3 8 0 2017 0 2 2 0 8 8 2 8 0 2018 0 3 3 0 5 6 2 8 2 2019 0 0 4
Page 2: I II * * 2011 5 4 9 9 3 4 1 8 0 2012 0 6 6 5 4 9 4 8 02014 0 7 7 6 9 3 3 8 0 2015 0 1 1 5 9 4 1 8 0 2016 0 3 3 5 5 0 3 8 0 2017 0 2 2 0 8 8 2 8 0 2018 0 3 3 0 5 6 2 8 2 2019 0 0 4

I II ER-I* ER-IV*

Hedef Gerçekleşme II-I III IV IV-III IV-II

2006 5.0 9.7 4.7 5.5 9.9 4.4 0.2 1.6 1.4

2007 4.0 8.4 4.4 5.1 7.3 2.2 -1.1 3.0 1.2

2008 4.0 10.1 6.1 5.5 11.1 5.6 1.0 2.8 1.2

2009 7.5 6.5 -1.0 6.8 5.5 -1.3 -1.0 2.8 1.0

2010 6.5 6.4 -0.1 6.9 7.5 0.6 1.1 2.8 1.0

2011 5.5 10.4 4.9 5.9 8.3 2.4 -2.1 2.8 1.0

2012 5.0 6.16 1.16 6.5 7.4 0.9 1.24 2.8 1.0

2013 5.0 7.4 2.4 5.3 6.8 1.5 -0.6 2.8 1.0

2014 5.0 8.17 3.17 6.6 8.9 2.3 0.73 2.8 1.0

2015 5.0 8.81 3.81 5.5 7.9 2.4 -0.91 2.8 1.0

2016 5.0 8.53 3.53 7.5 7.5 0 -1.03 2.8 1.0

2017 5.0 11.92 6.92 8.00 9.8 1.8 -2.12 2.8 1.0

2018 5.0 20.3 15.3 7.90 23.5 15.6 3.2 2.8 3.2

2019 5.0 14.60 5.4

Tahminlerinin Alt ve Üst Bandı

Arasındaki Fark, % puan

Enflasyon Tahminleri ER-I ve ER-IV'teki Enflasyon

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Kalkınma Günlükleri

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Nordhaus, W. D. (1993). Reflections on the economics of climate change. Journal of economic Perspectives, 7(4), 11-25.

Gurkaynak, R. S., Sack, B. P., & Swanson, E. T. (2004). Do actions speak louder than words? The response of asset prices to monetary policy actions and statements.

Rigobon, R., & Sack, B. (2003). Measuring the reaction of monetary policy to the stock market. The quarterly journal of

Economics, 118(2), 639-669.

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