HYDROGEOLOGIC CONCEPTUAL MODELS · 2016-07-18 · hydrogeologic conceptual models developing,...
Transcript of HYDROGEOLOGIC CONCEPTUAL MODELS · 2016-07-18 · hydrogeologic conceptual models developing,...
HYDROGEOLOGIC CONCEPTUAL MODELS
DEVELOPING, TESTING, AND COMMUNICATING
JOHN LAMBIE, PG, PE, HYDROGEOLOGIST (E-PUR)
DR. MATTHEW TONKIN, HYDROGEOLOGIST (S.S. PAPADOPULOS & ASSOCIATES)
SHAY OVERTON, PG, CHG, HYDROGEOLOGIST (PROVOST & PRITCHARD)
OBJECTIVES FOR THE PRESENTATION
• DEMONSTRATE THE IMPORTANCE OF THE HYDROGEOLOGIC CONCEPTUAL MODEL (HCM) TO UNDERSTANDING DATA
• INITIATE A DIALOGUE AMONG THOSE WORKING WITH THE SGMA ON A COMMON FRAMEWORK OF PRACTICES FOR DEVELOPING AND COMMUNICATING HCM(S)
• CONNECT THE USE OF HCMS TO PLANNING METRICS SUCH AS MEASURABLE OBJECTIVES AND MINIMUM THRESHOLDS IN THE SGMA
WHY BUILD A HYDROGEOLOGIC CONCEPTUAL MODEL?
• AS A FRAMEWORK FOR UNDERSTANDING THE SYSTEM OF SURFACE TO SUBSURFACE MOVEMENT OF WATER
• AS A FRAMEWORK FOR UNDERSTANDING RELATIONSHIPS AMONG GROUNDWATER HYDRAULIC HEADS
• IT LIES AT THE ROOT OF ANY QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS OF WATER UNDER THE SGMA
WHAT IS A HYDROGEOLOGIC CONCEPTUAL MODEL?
• IT’S ALL ABOUT THE RELATIONSHIPS AMONG THINGS THAT AFFECT MOVEMENT OF WATER • TOPOGRAPHY
• HYDRAULIC HEAD (PRESSURE)
• HYDROSTRATIGRAPHY
HYDROGEOLOGIC CONCEPTUAL MODEL – FORMS AND FORMATS• ALL SORTS OF GRAPHICAL AND TABULAR FORMS
HYDROGEOLOGIC CONCEPTUAL MODEL – FORMS AND FORMATS• ALL SORTS OF GRAPHICAL AND TABULAR FORMS
THOUGHTS FOR BEST PRACTICES IN HCM DEVELOPMENT
• INITIAL REVIEW OF GEOLOGY • SOURCES AND TYPES OF DATA
• GEOLOGIC MAPS
• WELL LOGS
• E-LOGS
• FIELD OBSERVATIONS – PICTURES AND ROCKS!
• INITIAL REVIEW OF HYDROLOGY • LONG TERM MONITORING (LTM) DATA
• GROUNDWATER
• PRECIPITATION MODELS SUCH AS PRISM
• STREAM GAGES
• WET SEASON FLOW
• STREAM BASE FLOW AND BASE FLOW RECESSION
FURTHER ON HCM DEVELOPMENT -SECONDARY REVIEW OF GEOLOGY • GEOLOGIC STRUCTURAL ANALYSIS
FURTHER ON HCM DEVELOPMENT -SECONDARY REVIEW OF GEOLOGY
• SEDIMENT TEXTURAL ANALYSIS
FURTHER CONCEPTS OF BEST PRACTICES FOR HCM DEVELOPMENT
SECONDARY REVIEW OF HYDROLOGY • LAND USE IMPACTS TO HCM FOR WATER MOVEMENT
• AGRICULTURAL FOOTPRINTS ON WATER
• CANAL LEAKAGE EFFECTS
• CONSERVATION EFFECTS
• WATER IMPORT EFFECTS
• URBAN FOOTPRINTS ON WATER
• CORRELATION ANALYSIS OF LONG-TERM MONITORING DATA (LTM)
GROUNDWATER RESPONSE ANALYSIS OF LONG TERM MONITORING (LTM)
• OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS OF LTM DATA OVER TIME AND SPACE
• THE EVALUATION OF WATER LEVEL, PUMPING AND OTHER DATA IS ESSENTIALLY PATTERN-RECOGNITION TO IDENTIFY:• LARGE-SCALE PATTERNS DUE TO LARGE-SCALE INFLUENCES
• LOCAL-SCALE DEVIATIONS FROM THESE LARGE PATTERNS
• DOING SO CAN ENABLE BETTER DEFINITION OF UNDERLYING SPATIAL AND TEMPORAL TRENDS, INCLUDING CLUSTERING OF WELLS TO SYSTEM STRESSES (E.G. RECHARGE AND EXTRACTION)
RECHARGE BASIN RESPONSE CLUSTER
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• MEMBERSHIP SHOWN AT LEFT
• TIGHTLY-SPACED CLUSTER NEAR BASINS
• RECHARGE RESPONSE LEVELS OFF
THOUGHTS ON HCM TESTING
• TEST AGAINST THE DATA YOU HAVE
• ENABLES A CHECK ON WHETHER THE DATA CONSTRAIN THE FUNDAMENTAL RELATIONSHIPS OF WATER MOVEMENT IN THE HCM
• INFORMATION ABOUT THE HYDROSTRATIGRAPHY MAY OR MAY NOT BE VALIDATED BY LTM DATA – IDENTIFY ESSENTIAL DATA GAPS
• COLLECT ADDITIONAL DATA TO FILL DATA GAPS
• DO THOSE DATA CONFIRM, REFUTE OR INFORM THE HCM?
• NUMERICAL MODELING
HCM IN NUMERIC FORM
Model Framework Visualization from Groundwater Desktopwww.groundwaterdesktop.com
AQUIFER UNIT WATER STORAGE ESTIMATES
Unconfined Specific Yield ~ 1% to 20%
Confined Unit(s) Storage ~0.01% to 0.1%
DATA ARE NEEDED TO CONSTRAINESTIMATES
HYDROGEOLOGIC CONCEPTUAL MODEL CONFINED ZONE PUMPING RESPONSE
Aquifer Flexing
Aquifer Flexing
HCM(S) AND THE SGMA
• AN HCM THAT INCORPORATES THE FACTORS AND PHYSICS ENABLES A BETTER UNDERSTANDING OF OUTCOMES
• OUTCOMES IN THE DATA ARE AT THE CORE OF THE SGMA AND UNDERSTANDING THE SIGNIFICANCE OF THOSE
MEASURED GROUNDWATER HEADS IN NESTED WELLS
59-68’
220-240’
360-380’
520-540’
860-880’
210-230’
410-430’
560-580’
200-220’
280-300’
615-635’
520-540’
Not to Scale
HCM(S) AND SGMA
• SGMA IS ABOUT PROJECTED OUTCOMES AND ACTUAL OUTCOMES
• WELL ESTABLISHED HCMS ARE NEEDED THAT ACCOUNT FOR SYSTEM DYNAMICS
• TO UNDERSTAND CURRENT DATA
• AND TO PROJECT FUTURE OUTCOMES
• DISCUSSION AND DIALOGUE ON BEST WAYS TO DEVELOP AND CONFIRM HCM(S)
(209) 451-5933