HURRICANE SANDY THE TENTH HURRICANE AND FIRST SUPERSTORM OF 2012 October 22– November ?, 2012...
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Transcript of HURRICANE SANDY THE TENTH HURRICANE AND FIRST SUPERSTORM OF 2012 October 22– November ?, 2012...
HURRICANE SANDYTHE TENTH HURRICANE AND FIRST
SUPERSTORM OF 2012 October 22– November ?, 2012
Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, University of
North Carolina, USA
TROPICAL STORM SANDY AKA “FRANKENSTORM” FORMED ON
OCT. 22ND
Sandy quickly became a CAT 1 hurricane that left 58 dead and devastation in the
Caribbean and the Bahamas before making landfall in New Jersey and transforming into a Super Storm
TROPICAL STORM SANDY: OCTOBER 22
CAT I HURRICANE SANDY: OCTOBER 24
FORECAST FOR SANDY: OCTOBER 24
OCTOBER 24: CAT I HURRRICANE SANDY MADE LANDFALL NEAR KINGSTON, THE
CAPITOL OF JAMACIA
Schools and businesses were closed and people in low-lying areas at risk
from flooding were evacuated
SANDY: OCTOBER 24
Sandy, the season’s tenth hurricane, became a huge storm with wind and rain bands reaching out 500 km or more from the storm center, producing 15-50 cm of
rain in Jamaica, Bermuda, Haiti, Dominican Republic, and Cuba
SANDY: HOPE RIVER RISING; KINGSTON, JAMAICA
KINGSTON, JAMACIA: FIRE FROM FAULTY GENERATOR
SANDY: PREPARATION IN PORT AU PRINCE, HAITI
SANDY: RAIN IN HAITI
SANDY: RAIN IN PORT AU PRINCE, HAITI
SANDY: BRIDGE WASHED AWAY; PORT AU PRINCE, HAITI
SANDY: HUGE WAVES IN SANTA DOMINGO, DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
SANDY: FLOODING IN LA JAVILLA, SANTA DOMINGO
SANDY: WIND DAMAGE IN SANTIAGO DE CUBA
SANDY: WAVES IN HAVANA. CUBA: OCTOBER 25
SANDY: RAIN BEGINS IN FORT LAUDERDALE, FLORIDA; OCT. 26
SANDY: FRIDAY; OCT, 26
SANDY’S FORECAST: OCT 26
A STATE OF EMERGENCY DECLARED FOR USA’s EASTERN SEABOARD
STATES
OCTOBER 26
LIKELY IMPACTS OF SANDY ON “FLORIDA SATURDAY”-- OCTOBER 27
• Miami, Florida, which was already water-logged from 1 ½ meters of rain this summer, is expected to experience more rain, gusty winds, huge waves, and dangerous rip tides as a temporarily weakened Sandy continues to move northward in Florida’s warmer waters.
POSSIBILE DISASTER SCENARIOS AFTER SATURDAY, OCTOBER 27
• Sandy could veer northeastward and eventually die in the Atlantic, OR, MORE LIKELY …
POSSIBILE DISASTER SCENARIOS (continued)
• As Sandy moves northward, it could combine with a cold front weather system and become a powerful, long- duration “SUPERSTORM (AKA NOR’EASTER) causing potential losses in excess of $1 billion dollars, bringing heavy rain, high winds, 2 ½ m storm surge, and 10 million power outages.
OCTOBER 27
As of 11 a.m., the center was located about 355 miles (590 km)
southeast of Charleston, SC, moving at 75 mph (125 kph),
with a pressure of 958 mb
FEMA’S IMMEDIATE ACTIONS
• FEMA is working with state and local governments and pointing the public to the Ready. gov website
• NASA is providing live tracking of the storm online
• The National Hurricane Center is providing an ongoing public advisory
URILITY COMPANIES IMMEDIATE ACTIONS
• Anticipating a long-duration storm with many downed trees and 10 million associated power outages, utility companies are preparing back-up crews and positioning assets in advance to cope with the potential impacts.
NASA PHOTO OF HURRICANE SANDY: OCTOBER 24
OCEAN CITY, MD: PREPARATION FOR SANDY
CAPE MAY, NEW JERSEY: PREPARATION FOR SANDY
COLD SPRING, NEW JERSEY: PREPARATION FOR
SANDY
NEW YORK CITY: PREPARATION TO PREVENT SUBWAY FLOODING
NEW YORK CITY BEGINS TO PREPARE FOR
SANDY’S IMPACTS Mayor Michael Bloomberg activated the city's emergency management
situation room and had city agencies preparing for potential
evacuations and a possible shutdown of the transit system
SUNDAY, OCTOBER 28
Sandy is expected to make history as it is transformed from a hurricane to a “Super Storm” on Tuesday, affecting 60 million
people with tropical force winds extending outward from the center for 700 miles (1,125 km) and historic 2 ½ m storm
surges
SUNDAY, OCTOBER 28
• A 24-36 HOUR HIGH WIND ADVISORY WAS ISSUED FOR NORTHERN VIRGINIA STARTING ON MONDAY MORNING (OCT. 29)
• EVACUATIONS HAVE BEGUN IN THE TRI-STATE AREA OF NEW JERSEY, NEW YORK, AND CONNECTICUT IN ANTICIPATION OF LANDFALL IN NEW JERSEY ON TUESDAY (OCT. 30)
SUNDAY, OCTOBER 28 (Continued)
• Coastal communities in Delaware ordered to evacuate by 8:00 pm today.
• Utility crews have started trimming trees to prevent some of the anticipated 10 million, long-duration power outages.
SUNDAY, OCTOBER 28 (Continued)
• New York City closed bus and subway systems on Sunday evening because of the threat of subway flooding and announced that schools for 1.1 million children would be closed on Monday (Oct. 29).
• Over 1,000 airline flights were cancelled on Sunday; 1,200 on Monday.
SHORT SUMMARY OF RISK REDUCTION
STRATEGIES
SHORT SUMMARY OF RISK REDUCTION
STRATEGIES
E
WIND WIND DAMAGEDAMAGE
WIND WIND DAMAGEDAMAGE
UNACCEPTABLE RISKUNACCEPTABLE RISKUNACCEPTABLE RISKUNACCEPTABLE RISK
WATER DAMAGEWATER DAMAGEWATER DAMAGEWATER DAMAGE
LOSS OF LOSS OF FUNCTIONFUNCTIONLOSS OF LOSS OF FUNCTIONFUNCTION
ECONOMIC LOSS ECONOMIC LOSS DEATHSDEATHS
ECONOMIC LOSS ECONOMIC LOSS DEATHSDEATHS
RISKRISKRISKRISK
WIND PENETRATING BUILDING ENVELOPE
SEVERE WINDSTORMS
SEVERE WINDSTORMS
UPLIFT OF ROOF SYSTEM
FLYING DEBRIS
STORM SURGE
IRREGULARITIES IN ELEVATION AND PLAN
SITING PROBLEMS
FLOODING AND LANDSLIDES
CAUSES OF DAMAGE
CAUSES OF DAMAGE
“DISASTER LABORATORIES”
“DISASTER LABORATORIES”
EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES FOR REDUCING THE RISK
EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES FOR REDUCING THE RISK
• REAL TIME FORECASTS OF PATH AND PHYSICAL EFFECTS
• MEASUREMENT TECHNOLOGIES (E.G., DOPPLER RADAR, WIND SPEEDS; PRESSURE, INTERNATIONAL SPACE STATION)
• REAL TIME FORECASTS OF PATH AND PHYSICAL EFFECTS
• MEASUREMENT TECHNOLOGIES (E.G., DOPPLER RADAR, WIND SPEEDS; PRESSURE, INTERNATIONAL SPACE STATION)
• DATABASES• WIND ENGINEERING • MAPS: STORM SURGE• DISASTER SCENARIOS• STORM CHASER
PLANES/DRONES• WARNING SYSTEMS• RISK MODELING (E.G.,
HAZUS, INSURANCE UNDERWRITING)
• DATABASES• WIND ENGINEERING • MAPS: STORM SURGE• DISASTER SCENARIOS• STORM CHASER
PLANES/DRONES• WARNING SYSTEMS• RISK MODELING (E.G.,
HAZUS, INSURANCE UNDERWRITING)
RISK REDUCTION STRATEGIES RISK REDUCTION STRATEGIES
• PURPOSE
• MONITORING FOR COMPUTER MODELING
• PROTECTION
• PURPOSE
• MONITORING FOR COMPUTER MODELING
• PROTECTION
• TECHNIQUE
• DOPPLER RADAR; PLANES; DRONES; SATTELITES; INTL SPACE STATION
• WIND-RESILIENT CONSTRUCTION; PLYWOOD; STORM SHUTTERS
• TECHNIQUE
• DOPPLER RADAR; PLANES; DRONES; SATTELITES; INTL SPACE STATION
• WIND-RESILIENT CONSTRUCTION; PLYWOOD; STORM SHUTTERS
PROTECTIONPROTECTION
• ACTIONS TO KEEP THE WIND AND RAIN OUT OF THE HOUSE CAN BE TAKEN IN ADVANCE OF THE STORM TO PREVENT LOSS.
• ACTIONS TO KEEP THE WIND AND RAIN OUT OF THE HOUSE CAN BE TAKEN IN ADVANCE OF THE STORM TO PREVENT LOSS.
NATURAL HAZARDS FOR WHICH NATURAL HAZARDS FOR WHICH EVACUATION IS TYPICALEVACUATION IS TYPICAL
NATURAL HAZARDS FOR WHICH NATURAL HAZARDS FOR WHICH EVACUATION IS TYPICALEVACUATION IS TYPICAL
FLOODS
HURRICANES
TYPHOONS
TSUNAMIS
VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS
WILDFIRES
HIGH BENEFIT/COST FOR SAVING LIVES, BUT LOW BEMEFIT/COST FOR PROTECTING PROPERTY
HIGH BENEFIT/COST FOR SAVING LIVES, BUT LOW BEMEFIT/COST FOR PROTECTING PROPERTY
GOAL: MOVE PEOPLE OUT GOAL: MOVE PEOPLE OUT OF HARM’S WAYOF HARM’S WAY
GOAL: MOVE PEOPLE OUT GOAL: MOVE PEOPLE OUT OF HARM’S WAYOF HARM’S WAY
IF YOU CHOOSE NOT TO EVACUATE, YOU MUST
ADAPT TO THE IMPACTS OF THE WIND, RAIN, SNOW, FLOODING, MUDSLIDES,
AND HEALTH IMPACTS THAT ARE LIKELY TO HAPPEN