Human Development in Time and Place - University of North...

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Trim Size: 8.5in x 11in Lerner c02.tex V1 - Volume IV - 09/02/2014 4:17pm Page 6 CHAPTER 2 Human Development in Time and Place GLEN H. ELDER JR., MICHAEL J. SHANAHAN, AND JULIA A. JENNINGS INTRODUCTION 6 THE DEVELOPMENT OF LIFE COURSE THEORY 7 Bringing Contexts and Temporality to Lives and Development 10 Life-Span Concepts of Human Development 14 Social Relations: Roles and Sequences 15 Age and the Life Course 17 Converging Research Traditions in Life Course Theory 19 ELEMENTARY LIFE COURSE CONCEPTS AND PERSPECTIVES 19 Social Pathways, Cumulative Processes, and Durations 20 Trajectories, Transitions, and Turning Points 24 Social Change and Life Transitions 26 Linking Mechanisms 26 Paradigmatic Principles 28 LIVES AND CONTEXT: HUMAN AGENCY AND SOCIAL OPTIONS 33 Context and the Life Course 33 Conceptualization and Measurement 34 Selection and the Life Course: A Social Process 37 The Impact of Historical Time and Place 40 Studying Lives in Context: Some Considerations 40 Social Change in Life Course Health: The Case of China 42 Societal Dissolution and Unication: Their Impact on Young Lives 43 HUMAN DEVELOPMENT IN CONTEXT 47 REFERENCES 48 INTRODUCTION The life course and human development has ourished as a eld of study during the past quarter century, extending across substantive and theoretical boundaries (Mortimer & Shanahan, 2003), and now appears in many subelds of the social, behavioral, and medical sciences. With this change has come an increasing appreciation for link- ages between changing contexts and human development. Acknowledgments: We thank Ross Parke, Avshalom Caspi, and Richard Lerner for thoughtful reviews of the earliest version of this chapter (Elder, 1998a) and to Lilly Shanahan for her valuable review of the second version (Elder & Shanahan, 2006). Rainer Silbereisen provided a most helpful review of the present version. Our special thanks to the staff of the Carolina Population Cen- ter for preparation of the rst two versions of the chapter under a grant from Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (NIH/NRSA T32 HD07168) and to Terry Poythress for her preparation of this version. The term context refers to the social embedding of individ- uals and typically entails study of biographical, historical, and ecological variations. The social concept of life course refers to a temporal pattern of age-graded events and roles that chart the social contours of biography, providing a proximal context for the dynamics of human development from conception and birth to death. Conceptual and methodological breakthroughs asso- ciated with the interdisciplinary life course framework, coupled with the dramatic expansion of long-term longitu- dinal studies, have generated more research and knowledge than ever before about behavioral adaptations in real- world settings around the globe. We are also increasingly aware of people as agents of their own lives. New avenues of research have opened, and the future offers exciting promise for understanding how dynamic views of con- text and the person—including biological dimensions— interact to inuence achievements, exposure to stres- sors, physical and psychological well-being, and social involvements. 6

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CHAPTER 2

Human Development in Time and Place

GLEN H. ELDER JR., MICHAEL J. SHANAHAN, AND JULIA A. JENNINGS

INTRODUCTION 6THE DEVELOPMENT OF LIFE COURSE THEORY 7Bringing Contexts and Temporality to Lives and

Development 10Life-Span Concepts of Human Development 14Social Relations: Roles and Sequences 15Age and the Life Course 17Converging Research Traditions in Life Course Theory 19ELEMENTARY LIFE COURSE CONCEPTS

AND PERSPECTIVES 19Social Pathways, Cumulative Processes, and Durations 20Trajectories, Transitions, and Turning Points 24Social Change and Life Transitions 26Linking Mechanisms 26Paradigmatic Principles 28

LIVES AND CONTEXT: HUMAN AGENCYAND SOCIAL OPTIONS 33

Context and the Life Course 33Conceptualization and Measurement 34Selection and the Life Course: A Social Process 37The Impact of Historical Time and Place 40Studying Lives in Context: Some Considerations 40Social Change in Life Course Health: The Case of

China 42Societal Dissolution and Unification: Their Impact

on Young Lives 43HUMAN DEVELOPMENT IN CONTEXT 47REFERENCES 48

INTRODUCTION

The life course and human development has flourished asa field of study during the past quarter century, extendingacross substantive and theoretical boundaries (Mortimer& Shanahan, 2003), and now appears in many subfieldsof the social, behavioral, and medical sciences. With thischange has come an increasing appreciation for link-ages between changing contexts and human development.

Acknowledgments: We thank Ross Parke, Avshalom Caspi, andRichard Lerner for thoughtful reviews of the earliest version ofthis chapter (Elder, 1998a) and to Lilly Shanahan for her valuablereview of the second version (Elder & Shanahan, 2006). RainerSilbereisen provided a most helpful review of the present version.Our special thanks to the staff of the Carolina Population Cen-ter for preparation of the first two versions of the chapter undera grant from Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of ChildHealth and Human Development (NIH/NRSA T32 HD07168) andto Terry Poythress for her preparation of this version.

The term context refers to the social embedding of individ-uals and typically entails study of biographical, historical,and ecological variations. The social concept of life courserefers to a temporal pattern of age-graded events and rolesthat chart the social contours of biography, providing aproximal context for the dynamics of human developmentfrom conception and birth to death.

Conceptual and methodological breakthroughs asso-ciated with the interdisciplinary life course framework,coupled with the dramatic expansion of long-term longitu-dinal studies, have generated more research and knowledgethan ever before about behavioral adaptations in real-world settings around the globe. We are also increasinglyaware of people as agents of their own lives. New avenuesof research have opened, and the future offers excitingpromise for understanding how dynamic views of con-text and the person—including biological dimensions—interact to influence achievements, exposure to stres-sors, physical and psychological well-being, and socialinvolvements.

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This contextualization of lives and developmental pro-cesses occurs through the patterning of social roles, events,and age distinctions; and in a multilevel context of fam-ily/primary group, neighborhood, community, economicregion, and country. The meaning of historical time andcontext stems in large part from the ecological processof place and its multiple levels (Bronfenbrenner, 1979).A distinctive feature of this ecology is its social inequalitiesof class, ethnicity, and gender. They are expressed acrossindividual lives and the generations in cumulative dynam-ics of advantage and disadvantage through childhood,adolescence, and the adult years.

We begin this chapter by viewing the evolution of lifecourse thinking as a response to the challenges that stemfrom following children into young adulthood, middleage, and late life. This chapter is also a product of theremarkable growth of these studies from the 1960s to theend of the century. Life course ideas in developmentalscience, social roles and relationships, and concepts of theage-graded life course are prominent in this conceptualadvance. By the end of the 1990s, a new synthesis, linkingtheory on social relationships and age, had become atheoretical orientation on the social life course and itsinfluences on human development in historical and ecolog-ically defined contexts. Multiple lives are interdependentin this developmental process.

The elementary concepts and perspectives of life-coursetheory are surveyed next, with emphasis on the individuallife course, its institutionalized pathways, and its social anddevelopmental trajectories and transitions. Early researchon social change in lives has generated a set of mecha-nisms that link lives and developmental dynamics to chang-ing contexts. These mechanisms include the life stage ofpeople when they encounter drastic change to their envi-ronment, the social imperatives that structure adaptationsto new situations, the control cycle that life change initi-ates (loss of personal control prompts efforts to regain suchcontrol), and the tendency for new situations to accentuatematching dispositions. These mechanisms are embeddedin a conceptual framework on the life course and develop-ment that is defined by core paradigmatic principles—thelife-long process of human development and aging, the tim-ing of events in the life course, human agency, the interde-pendence of lives, and historical time and place. We discussthese mechanisms and principles by drawing on relevanttheory and research.

Traditional thinking about the place or location ofindividuals is undergoing significant elaboration throughecological studies of human development. We turn to this

work and the theoretical implications of research on socialcontexts and the flow of families and children betweenthem. Lives are lived by entering and leaving social roles,groups, and places. What factors influence these decisions?How can we understand human agency and contextualeffects as parents construct the residential life course oftheir children? We investigate such questions throughstudies of place and migration in the lives of families andchildren. Genetic dispositions are relevant to this process,and we refer readers to our prior edition of this chapter(Elder & Shanahan, 2006) for such coverage.

Ecological influences are expressed in part through theimpact of their historical time on lives and developmentalprocesses. Although studies have tended to consider eco-logical effects apart from historical context, we attempt toinform this section of the chapter with both perspectives.Three topics highlight their interdependence: (1) consid-erations in studying changing times in lives; (2) societalchange in lives, with a focus on contemporary China and itsrural–urban divide; and (3) the impact of social discontinu-ities on the life course of young people during the dissolu-tion of the Soviet Union into multiple sovereign states (late1980s) and the reunification of Germany (1991). These twoevents transformed life in Eastern Europe, especially for theyoung who faced a new world of opportunities and stresses.We conclude this chapter by noting that the contextual fron-tier on human development is moving toward an integrationof ecological and temporal perspectives.

This is the only chapter in the present volume that doesnot refer to children in the title, a feature that reflects itsintergenerational, life course, and longitudinal perspective.Longitudinal samples enable us to follow children into ado-lescence and then to young adulthood with its social rolesof advanced education, military service, parenthood, andwork. According to this developmental life course perspec-tive, children age into adulthood and its family roles, andparents eventually become grandparents. At any point in thelife span, all ages are commonly represented in a person’ssocial world. The developmental significance of early lifeexperience becomes most fully understood in the context ofthe later years. Q1

THE DEVELOPMENT OF LIFE COURSE THEORY

The magnitude of intellectual development in life coursestudies is suggested by considering studies of person andsociety during the 1950s. In his widely read The Socio-logical Imagination, C. Wright Mills (1959) encouraged

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“the study of biography, of history, and of the problemsof their intersection within social structure” (p. 149). Millsstarted with the individual and asked what features of soci-ety produce such a person. He argued that the seemingly“personal problems” of one’s biography are better under-stood as repercussions of broad social tensions. He had fewempirical examples, however, and was not concerned withdynamic views of person and context. Rather, he focusedon types of society and adult behavioral patterns, with lit-tle recognition of social change, development and aging,or even human diversity. In this age of the cross-sectionalsurvey, studies that followed children and adults over partof their lives were very rare. This was especially true forlongitudinal studies of people in their social and histori-cal contexts. With this in mind, it is not surprising that adynamic concept of the life course had not yet appeared inthe scholarly literature and was not addressed in the semi-nars of leading graduate programs.

The unfolding story of life course theory up to thepresent owes much to path-breaking studies that werelaunched more than 80 years ago at the Institute of ChildWelfare (now Human Development) at the University ofCalifornia in Berkeley: The Oakland Growth Study (birthyears 1920 to 1921) and the Berkeley Growth and Guid-ance Studies (birth years 1928 to 1929). These studies werelaunched around 1930–1931. When the studies began, noone could have imagined what they eventually wouldmean for the field of human development. The originalinvestigators did not envision research that extended intothe study members’ adult years, let alone into the lateryears of middle and old age.

There were many reasons for this focus on childhoodand adolescence. Except for support from the LauraSpelman Rockefeller Foundation, funds for longitudinalstudies were virtually nonexistent. The National Institutesof Health (NIH), major funders of such studies today,were not established until after World War ll. With supportfrom NIH, the classic Framingham Longitudinal HeartStudy of the adult years was launched in 1946 and hasevolved into a multigenerational project. However, theidea of adult development had not yet captured the atten-tion of social, behavioral, and medical science. A maturefield of adult development and aging was still decadesaway from becoming a reality. In the United States, theNational Institute of Aging was not established until themid-1970s.

Nonetheless, these barriers did not restrict the studiesfrom continuing into the adult years and middle age.The Institute of Human Development contacted members

of the Oakland Growth Study for interviews in the late1950s, and another follow-up, scheduled in 1972 to 1973,joined the lives of all study members, some parents, andoffspring, in an intergenerational framework. The Berke-ley Guidance and Growth Studies became part of thisfollow-up. By the 1970s, Block (with the assistance ofHaan; see Block & Haan, 1971), had completed a pioneer-ing longitudinal study focused on continuity and changein personality from early adolescence to the middle yearsin the lives of the Oakland and Berkeley study members.Also during the 1970s, Vaillant (1977) followed a panelof Harvard men (recruited as students between 1939 and1942, known as the W. T. Grant Study) into the middleyears of adulthood, assessing mechanisms of defenseand coping.

Another study at the Institute of Human Development(Elder, 1974/1999) placed the lives of members of theOakland Growth Study and Berkeley Guidance Study inthe Great Depression and traced the influence of hardshipon family life, careers, and health up to midlife. Usingdata from a retrospective life history survey, this studyalso investigated the impact of military service in WorldWar II and the Korean War on men’s lives. To cap offthis active decade, investigators at the institute conducteda multifaceted study that revealed patterns of continuityand change in social roles, health, and personality, witha distinctive emphasis on life patterns across the middleyears (Eichorn, Clausen, Haan, Honzik, & Mussen, 1981).Both historical cohort comparisons and intergenerationalconnections were part of this project.

At Stanford University, a research team headed byRobert Sears actively followed members of the LewisTerman sample of talented children into their later years.The Terman Study had become the oldest, active longitu-dinal study at the time, with birth years extending from1903 to the 1920s. By the 1990s, the project had assembled13 waves of data spanning 70 years (Holahan & Sears,1995), and research was beginning to show the historicalimprint of the times on the study members’ lives, fromthe 1920s to the post–World War II years and into oldage (Crosnoe & Elder, 2004: Shanahan & Elder, 2002).Over 40% of the men entered military service during WorldWar II and 25% were involved in war industries on thehome front (Elder, Pavalko, & Clipp, 1993). The lives ofwomen in the Terman sample vividly reflect the gender-roleconstraints of society on their employment.

This extension of the child samples to the adult yearsprovided an initial momentum for the scientific study ofadult development and sharpened awareness of the need

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for a different research paradigm that would pay attentionto human development beyond childhood and to contextsbeyond the family. Such work offered great promise forilluminating the intergenerational dynamics of parents andtheir children. The extension also enabled documentationof the implications of early childhood experience forhealth in later life, a research domain of major scientificsignificance in the 21st century (see Herd, Robert & House,2011). Child-based models of development had little tooffer because they did not address development and agingin the adult life course and were not concerned with chang-ing social contexts. For the most part, the Oakland andBerkeley studies of continuity and change from childhoodto the adult years were limited to evidence of correlationalpatterns between measures at time l and time 2 (Jones,Bayley, Macfarlane, & Honzik, 1971). The interveningyears and their mechanisms remained a “black box.” Little,if anything, could be learned about linking events andprocesses from such analysis.

This observation also applies to Kagan and Moss (1962)who studied children in the Fels Longitudinal Study from“birth to maturity” by using correlation coefficients todepict behavioral stability across the years. Their approachignored the diverse paths children take into adult life. Byage 23, some of the study members followed a path tocollege, full-time employment, and marriage, and othersentered military service or mixed employment and edu-cation. The timing of such transitions was important indetermining their meaning and implications. For example,adolescent marriage and parenting are coupled with moresocial and economic constraints than the same transitionsthat follow a normative timetable, whereas late family for-mation maximizes the disruptive effect of young children.However, these considerations of timing and context—sorichly descriptive of lives—were of little interest. In largepart, this inattention reflected the view that continuity ofbehaviors and psychological dispositions required littleexplanation aside from the label “stability.”

Empirical studies of children into the adult and midlifeyears revealed major limitations to conventional knowledgeof human development, which, in turn, posed major chal-lenges for the future study of behavior:

• To replace child-based, “ontogenetic” accounts ofdevelopment with models that apply to developmentand aging over the life course.

• To think about how human lives are organized sociallyand develop over time, exhibiting patterns of constancyand change.

• To relate lives to an ever-changing society, with empha-sis on the developmental effects of social change andtransitions.

As a whole, these challenges represent a view of humandevelopment advocated by proponents of contextualizeddevelopment (e.g., Cairns & Cairns, 2006) and by the earlyChicago school of sociology (Abbott, 1997), especiallyWilliam I. Thomas. In the first decades of the twentiethcentury, a time of transformation in U.S. society, Thomasmade a persuasive case for studying social change as“experiments of nature” in the lives of immigrants andchildren. Inspired by The Polish Peasant in Europe andAmerica (Thomas & Znaniecki, 1918), researchers beganto use life-record data to investigate the impact of socialchange. Before most of the innovative longitudinal studieshad been launched, Thomas urged in the mid-1920s thatpriority be given to “the longitudinal approach to lifehistory” (Volkart, 1951, p. 593). He claimed that studiesshould investigate “many types of individuals with regardto their experiences and various past periods of life indifferent situations” and follow “groups of individuals inthe future, getting a continuous record of experiences asthey occur.”

Social transformations of the 20th century raised manyquestions about historical variations beyond family life andkinship, such as schools, neighborhoods, and communities.In the classic Middletown studies (Lynd & Lynd, 1929,1937), findings on families during the 1920s seemed tohave little relevance to family life in the Great Depression.Life course theory emerged in response to such issues andto the challenge of an aging population as well as the rapidgrowth of longitudinal studies. In the terminology of thischapter, the life course refers most broadly to a theoreticalorientation (or paradigm) that provides a framework for thestudy of changing lives in changing contexts. To use thedistinction of Merton (1968), theoretical orientations estab-lish a common field of inquiry by defining a frameworkthat guides research in terms of problem identificationand formulation, variable selection and rationales, andstrategies of research design and analysis.

Based in large part on sociocultural theories of age andsocial relationships (Elder, 1975; Neugarten, 1968; Ryder,1965), the concept of life course refers to a sequence ofage-graded events and roles that defines the sociologicalcontours of biography. A sociocultural perspective givesemphasis to the social meanings of age. Birth, puberty, anddeath are biological facts, but their meanings in the lifecourse are social facts or constructions. Age distinctions

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are expressed in expectations about the timing and orderof a transition or change in state, whether relatively early,on time, or late. The life course can be linked historicallyto specific transitions and to the meanings of cohort mem-bership (Riley, Johnson, & Foner, 1972). Birth year locatespeople in specific birth cohorts and thus according to par-ticular social changes. The social life course of individualsis embedded within specific birth cohorts and their eco-logical dynamics. These dynamics may take the form ofcumulative processes of life course inequality.

These dynamics may be expressed as cumulative pro-cesses of social inequality from early childhood into theadult life course. Disparities in socioeconomic status, eth-nicity, and gender can initiate processes of disadvantageor advantage that increasingly differentiate people over thelife course. There are numerous scenarios of cumulativedisadvantage, such as the early death of a parent, whichresults in a child’s depressed feelings, behavior problems inschool, erratic attendance, and the eventual loss of opportu-nity. Potential turning points along this life course can lib-erate youth from the grip of this negative dynamic such asthrough residential change that improves family life and theschool environment (Wachs, Chapter 21, this Handbook,this volume).

G. H. Elder, this chapter’s senior author encounteredsuch ideas about age and the life course in the 1960s,shortly after arriving at the Institute of Human Develop-ment (at UC Berkeley in 1962) to work with sociologistJ. A. Clausen on the Oakland Growth Study. The dra-matic changes of families and individual lives across the1930s focused his attention on the patterning of lives andconnections to a changing socioeconomic environment.Codes that captured trajectories were needed for peo-ple’s lives instead of the conventional codes for statusat a point in time such as socioeconomic status (SES).The link between age and time provided an important stepin this direction. The resulting perspective suggested away of thinking about the social construction of individuallives, along with ideas from the life-history tradition ofthe early Chicago School of Sociology. Children of theGreat Depression (Elder, 1974/1999) represented the pub-lished version of this initial effort to fashion a life courseframework.

Since its inception, the field of life course studieshas expanded its purview beyond historical variationsto include dynamic contextual variations within andbetween cohorts—the ecology of human development(Bronfenbrenner, 1979). Studies revealed dramatic cohortdiversity with respect to poverty experiences and economic

fortunes, residential mobility, and neighborhood compo-sition (Shanahan, Sulloway, & Hofer, 2000). Each life ismarked by social change in these respects, and the lifecourse framework is useful in studying how these dynamicsshape lives and also how the social aggregate of individuallife patterns affect social institutions, such as schools andlabor markets.

Bringing Contexts and Temporalityto Lives and Development

The socioeconomic context of human development becamea compelling social issue in the hard times of the GreatDepression (1930s), but the economic crisis did notplace this theme on the research agenda of the Californialongitudinal studies, the Oakland and Berkeley projects(see Duncan, Magnusson, & Votruba-Drzal, Chapter 14,this Handbook, this volume). They continued to reflect theresearch interests of the investigators rather than the eco-nomic depression. The Oakland Growth Study focused onphysical growth and development, a long-time interest ofa codirector, and employed methods of social observationin field settings. The Berkeley Study under Jean Macfar-lane’s leadership stressed the collection of data on familyrelationships and parental influences. Data collection forboth projects included information on the socioeconomicsof family life, but the investigators did not make effectiveuse of the data in empirical research. It would be diffi-cult to know from study publications that the Oaklandand Berkeley children were growing up during the GreatDepression.

The absence of a socioeconomic-cultural contextbeyond the immediate family in the Berkeley Study wasnoted by a faculty member whom Macfarlane had invitedto one of the study’s seminars. In a letter dated September25, 1941, this person (identity unknown) expressed dismayconcerning the neglect of material culture. In his view,family was overemphasized at the expense of other culturalfactors. With reference to the case of a young girl in thestudy, he observed that “she is described as a person ofalmost any age in almost any society.” Despite an inade-quate contextualization of development, the early Berkeleyand Oakland studies made sure that measures of the mate-rial culture were used in data collection across the 1930sand thus ensured that these data would be available to sub-sequent generations of investigators. As a result, the seniorauthor was able to carry out a longitudinal study of “chil-dren growing up in the Great Depression.” The Oaklanddata archive included socioeconomic information for 1929

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(before family income change) and 1933, the very worstyear of the economic depression.

This Great Depression project evolved from the seniorauthor’s research affiliation with the Oakland study at theInstitute of Human Development in the 1960s. Trainedin both sociology and psychology, Elder had been hiredby the new director of the institute, sociologist Clausen,to work toward a design for coding the Oakland data.The ever-changing families of the Oakland Study sensi-tized Elder to the need for temporal concepts and measuresand focused his attention on “ways of thinking about socialchange, life pathways, and individual development” (Elder,1998, p. 1). But how to conceptualize them? His prior workon adolescence and the transition to adulthood introducedhim to the research of Neugarten (1968) on the mean-ings of age and age-graded expectations and timetables.This anthology includes Neugarten’s pioneering papersfrom the 1950s and early 1960s. Other age concepts onhistorical time and timing were associated with birth yearand age cohorts, as developed by Ryder (1965).

Role theory and the social capital of linked lives pro-vided another way to think of the life course and its rela-tion to other lives. The concept of role transitions by lifestage indicates whether the transitions are early or later ina person’s life. Roles and their behavior could be viewed interms of experiences that are brought to them and in termsof the time span of “being in that social role,” as well asaccording to issues of continuity and discontinuity associ-ated with leaving a role. Along with the traditions of lifehistory and career studies, the concept of life cycle was per-haps the most prominent perspective on a person’s life atthe time, especially regarding family life. In a life cycle ofgenerational succession, the young person is socialized tomaturity, gives birth and nurtures members of the next gen-eration, grows old, and dies. Each concept has relevance toa person’s life path. Role theory, as well as the life cycle,became part of an effort at the Institute of Human Develop-ment to develop a theoretical approach to individual livesand human development that would be useful for a study ofthe Oakland cohort across the Great Depression. With fam-ily income available for 1929 and 1933, the Oakland studycould assess the extent of socioeconomic deprivation andits consequences among families and the study members.

This approach to lives in changing times and places hasevolved into a prominent theoretical orientation on the lifecourse in the twenty-first century. Notable developmentshave occurred across the social and behavioral sciences,from sociology (Elder, 1974/1999, 1975, 1985; Rileyet al., 1972), demography (Ryder, 1965), history (Hareven,

1978, 1982; Modell, 1989), and anthropology (Kertzer& Keith, 1984), to ecological models (Bronfenbrenner,1979) and life-span developmental psychology (Baltes &Nesselroade, 1979). Major examples include:

Recognition of a life course perspective on human devel-opment that extends from the prenatal period to maturity,late life, and death. The rapid growth of longitudinal studiesthat link childhood to the adaptations of later life has facil-itated what might be called a “whole life course” approachto human development and aging (Elder & Giele, 2009).An understanding of the trajectory of human developmentand aging begins in the prenatal years. This observation is afoundational theme of the Millennium National Longitudi-nal Study in the United Kingdom. The project was launchedduring 2000 and 2001 as a study of how the British peopleage from birth to old age and death.

• Life-history calendars for the collection of retrospectiveaccounts of life events have been applied to numerouslongitudinal studies (Caspi et al., 1996; Freedman,Thornton, Camburn, Alwin, & Young-DeMarco, 1988;Brückner & Mayer, 1998). Retrospective life historymethods enable investigators to collect informationon the life history of people and their world, thoughretrospection always entails some error of recall.

• Greater appreciation for the necessity of longitudi-nal and contextually rich data (Phelps, Furstenberg,& Colby, 2002; Ferri, Bynner, & Wadsworth, 2003;Hauser, 2009). In a special issue of Science, Butz andTorrey (2006) refer to the longitudinal study design asone of the greatest innovations of the 20th century inthe social sciences—“a living observatory and potentiallaboratory augmented by case study and ethnography.”Bynner (2014) describes the longitudinal survey as“the essential tool for meeting the challenges of a(developmental) science that needs to adapt continuallyin response to social, economic, technological, andpolitical change.”

• Appropriate statistical techniques have been developedfor multilevel, longitudinal studies. They include hierar-chical linear and trajectory models along with structuraland dynamic person-variable and person-centered tech-niques (Bergman, Magnusson, & El- Khouri, 2003;Collins & Sayer, 2001; Little, Schnabel, & Baumert,2000). Significant advances have also been made inthe study of historical and cohort effects through newage-period-cohort methods that provide better estimatesand identify explanatory mechanisms (Yang & Land,2013). The past two decades have also witnessed major

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advances in the study of “the ecology” of human devel-opment. Sampson (2012) has used the term ecometricsto refer to social observational methods in studyingurban and rural places (see also Wachs, Chapter 21, thisHandbook, this volume).

• Cross-disciplinary models of collaboration, particularlywith psychology and history as well as biology andthe medical sciences (Elder, Modell, & Parke, 1993;Levy & the Pavie Team, 2005). These models includenew and exciting developments in subfields devotedto the study of physical and emotional well-being(Halfon & Hochstein, 2002; Hertzman & Power, 2003;Kuh, Ben-Shlomo, Lynch, Hallqvist, & Power, 2003).New initiatives from the Maternal and Child HealthBureau emphasize the life course perspective, suchas the formation of a Maternal and Child Health LifeCourse Research Network. The objective of the networkis to facilitate life course studies that inform Maternaland Child Health programs, policy, and practice andimprove “health outcomes for mothers and children.”

• A growing awareness that, beyond history and thediffering experiences of cohorts, social change mayentail an ecological change within cohorts throughdiverse life histories (Shanahan, Mortimer & Kruger,2002). Aspects of a social ecology are typically inter-correlated, and their synergistic interactions are criticalto an understanding of time and place.

These developments represent significant advancesin studies of the life course and human development.Life course theory today has much in common with inter-actionist thinking at the micro level, with its emphasis ontransactions between person and ecology (see Magnusson& Stattin, 2006)—but it also attends to the organizationsand reorganization of social structures and pathwaysthrough life. As might be expected, life course theoryshares many objectives and concepts with Bronfenbren-ner’s ecology of human development (1979; with Morris,2006), especially its multilevel concept of the environ-ment. However, life course models bring a more temporalperspective to the environment and individual. The lifecourse paradigm also shares the ambition of life-spandevelopmental psychology in rethinking the nature ofhuman development and aging (Baltes, Lindenburg, &Staudinger, 2006), but it is more contextual in orientationand application. Indeed, the contextual limitations ofthe Oakland and Berkeley life-span studies in the early1960s motivated efforts to place lives and developmentalprocesses in historical time and social pathways.

These connections with life course theory and researchadd up to a much larger intellectual advance, one framed byrelational developmental systems thinking in a multilevel,dynamic perspective known as developmental science.From the 1998 edition of the Handbook of Child Psychol-ogy and in the sixth edition, Lerner (2006, p. 6) observedthat students of human development have witnessed “a seachange that perhaps qualifies as a true paradigm shift inwhat is thought of as the nature of human nature and inthe appreciation of time, place, and individual diversity forunderstanding the laws of human behavior and develop-ment.” Consistent with the central theme of this chapter,Lerner asserted that “one must appreciate how variablesassociated with person, place, and time coalesce to shapethe structure and function of behavior and its systematicand successive change” (2006, p. 7).

The principal traditions that led to an interdisci-plinary framework of life course theory are illustratedby Figure 2.1: life-span development, social roles andrelationships, and age and temporality. We begin withlife-span concepts of development because this line ofwork prompted efforts to contextualize developmentalprocesses across the life span. Two theoretical traditions insocial science, social roles/relationships and age, provide away to think about the social life course. Social roles androle transitions are basic elements of the life course, butthey are timeless. That is, a role transition is not specificin terms of when it occurs. Chronological age brings timeand timing to the social life course, and thus makes it moredynamic as a contextualization of development. Age dataon birth year also locate individuals in historical time andin relation to ecological processes.

Life-span development refers in some ways to thelongitudinal research that was underway at the Institute ofHuman Development when the senior author joined thestaff to work with the Oakland Growth Study (in 1962).Bayley and Honzik were involved in longitudinal stud-ies of intellectual development from childhood into theadult years (Jones et al., 1971). Other longitudinal studiesfocused on the stability of temperament dimensions fromthe early years into adulthood. Block had launched aprogram of research that used the California Q Sort toassess personality in adolescence and the adult years for alongitudinal study of life-span trajectories of personality.This project became Lives through Time (Block & Haan,1971). In method, most especially, this ambitious studyrepresents a path-breaking example of a person-centeredstudy of life-span trajectories of personality. However,this project, as well as others noted earlier, was seriously

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Life Course Theory

1960s to present

Social Roles andRelationships

Life cycle of social roles,generational succession

Social roles, status,role-playing

Role transitions and sequences

Socialization as learning

Intergenerational relations,exchange

Social networks, capital

Life-span Conceptsof Development

Psychosocial stage,adult stages of development

Developmental trajectories

Cumulative advantage,disadvantage

Selective optimizationwith compensation

Life review,autobiographical memory

Person-Context Interaction

Age and Temporality

Age-grades, expectations,concepts of age status identity,proscriptive and prescriptiveage norms

Social pathways and trajectories

Transitions and turning points

Cohorts - Birth cohortsand social change, structural lag

Figure 2.1 The emergence of life course theory: Research traditions and their concepts.

underdeveloped on the contextual side. None of themprovided an understanding of the lived lives of the studymembers in historical time.

Pioneering work under the theme of life-span conceptsfeatures the studies and writings of Erikson (1950) on egoidentity and psychosocial stages of development as well asthe foundational contributions of Baltes (1997) to the evo-lution of life-span developmental psychology, from the late1960s into the 21st century. This contribution includes hisconceptualization of the process of selective optimizationwith compensation, a metatheory of development and agingdiscussed more fully in the pages to come. In a youngergeneration, Lerner (1982, 1991) emphasized the relativeplasticity and agency of the organism, the multidirection-ality of life-span development, and the lifelong interactionof person and social context. The concept of developmen-tal task, perhaps first defined by Havighurst (1949), alsorepresented a way of viewing development across sociallydefined life stages. The concept alerts the analyst to thepossibility that different experiences and skills tend to behighly salient at different points in life. However, empiricalevidence for distinct psychosocial stages is not compelling.The perceived or defined life course can change with agingthrough successive life reviews (Staudinger, 1989) in whichthe past is assessed in light of the present.

In the theoretical tradition of “social relations,” wecome to a long prominent way of thinking about a person’slived life, with a focus on the sequence of social roles, theirsocialization, and self or identity. The sequence establishesa life course that links the person to others. Central to thistradition is Merton (1968) on role sets and reference groups,Rosenberg (1979) on self-esteem, and Bronfenbrenner(1970) on socialization, to name a few. Early work inthis tradition includes the studies of Thomas (Thomas &Znaniecki, 1918) on social roles and transitions in life his-tories, Mead (1934) on socialization and the self, Hughes(1971) on work and the self, Lewin (1948) on power-dependence relations, and Vygotsky (1978) on language,the self, and social relationships.

Studies of intergenerational relations have expandedfrom two to three and now even four generations, withimportant contributions from Jackson (2000) and histhree-generation study of African Americans along with arural Iowa longitudinal study of three generations (Elder &Conger, 2000). The most impressive multigeneration lon-gitudinal study to date was initiated by Bengtson circa1970 (Bengston, Putney & Harris, 2013) on contemporaryissues of the generation gap. Launched in the greater LosAngeles region, this study has continued into the presentcentury with four, and even five, living generations.

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Several topics illustrate distinctive contributions to thethird strand of life course theory—age and temporality.Every event in life is marked by an age, such as marriageand the birth of children. Birthday celebrations mark eachnew year for a young child who is surrounded by adultswho are getting older. In the first volume of the AnnualReview of Sociology (Elder, 1975), the senior author’sessay focused on two life course perspectives based onage, the role of age and birth year in a cohort historicalperspective, and a sociocultural perspective involving ageexpectations, identities, and norms. Social and culturalanthropologists, such as Mead (1963) and Linton (1942),observed and wrote about the role of age-graded societiesand lives. Early contributions to the scholarship of agein the 1920s appear on the cohort level, as in the workof Mannheim (1952). Age as birth year locates people asmembers of a birth cohort in social history.

During the 1950s and 1960s, Neugarten (1968, 1996)at the University of Chicago’s Committee on HumanDevelopment developed a social psychology of age acrossthe life span. She explored concepts of age expectationsand identities, standards, and norms in pioneering studiesduring the 1950s. In the 1970s, sociologist Riley (1972)proposed a framework on age strata and cohorts for amacroscopic perspective on aging, drawing on Ryder’sinfluential perspective (1965) regarding cohorts in thestudy of social change. A cohort perspective based onpeople born in a particular year or a specific historical timesoon began to appear with some frequency, as in studiesof women’s work by Uhlenberg (1974), research on rolesequences in the transition to adulthood by Hogan (1981),and Birth and Fortune, a volume by Easterlin (1987). Inthe field of social history, accounts of institutional andcultural change brought historical insights to the livesand pathways of young people (Modell, 1989) and adults(Hareven, 1978, 1982). With these brief overviews in mind,we turn to the development of life course theory, beginningwith life-span concepts of development.

Life-Span Concepts of Human Development

A number of efforts in the psychological sciences have beenmade during the post–World War II era to link developmen-tal trajectories to social structure. However, research ques-tions did not ask about the implications of environmentalchange for the developing individual.

The theory of psychosocial stages formulated byErikson (1950) paid attention to cultural variations, buthistorians report little empirical support of his stages across

time and place (Mitterauer, 1993). In The Seasons of aMan’s Life, Levinson (1978) outlined a theory of life struc-ture that ignored variations in social structure and cultureover historical time. Psychosocial transitions were affixedto age as if immutable to institutional change, such as themidlife transition between ages 40 and 45. For Erikson,Levinson, and other ontogenetic theorists, the startingpoint is a sequence of stages through which all personsmust pass. This perspective views the social context asa “scene or setting” through which the person—loadedwith his or her “natural predispositions”—must pass.By contrast, the life course paradigm views the interplay ofsocial context and the organism as the formative process,making people who they are. Individuals do not “developaccording to their natures” but, rather, they are continuallyproduced, sustained, and changed by their social context(see Gottlieb, Wahlsten, & Lickliter, 2006).

Proponents of life-span developmental science ad-dressed the challenges of such a view by seeking a per-spective on development and aging across the life spanthat emphasized cultural influences and learned experi-ences or skills in patterns of aging. In theory, historicaland cultural variations emerge as potentially influentialsources of human adaptation and development. As Baltes(1979, p. 265) observed, “restricting developmental eventsto those which have the features of a biological growthconcept of development is more of a hindrance than a help.”

Baltes (1993, 1994) played a lead role in the con-ceptual articulation of life-span development since the1960s. More than most proponents of this perspective,he interacted with life course ideas and distinctions overthe decades (see Baltes et al., 2006). One panel exchangebetween Baltes and Elder on life-span developmentalpsychology and life course theory was held at the 2004Ghent meeting of the International Society of BehavioralDevelopment.

The following propositions on life-span developmentare not new in themselves but they add up to a distinctiveperspective:

• Life-span development results from lifelong adaptiveprocesses in which some are cumulative and continuous,and others are discontinuous and innovative, showinglittle connection to prior events or processes.

• Ontogenetic development is local, specific, and timebound, so it is never fully adaptive. There is no pureadvance or loss in development.

• Age-graded influences are most important in the depen-dency years, childhood/adolescence and old age, but

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history-graded and nonnormative influences are mostconsequential across the early and middle years ofadulthood.

• Changes occur in relation to positive and nega-tive events, gains, and losses, with the likelihood ofexpected losses increasing. Biological resources declineover the life span, but cultural resources may increasethrough the cultivation of wisdom and problem solving.

• Life-span development entails selection, optimization,and compensation. These mechanisms seek to maxi-mize gains and minimize losses or declines. Selectiveoptimization with compensation represents a “life-spanmodel of psychological nature of human aging andthe ubiquitous, age-related shift toward a less positivebalance of gains and losses” (Baltes, 1993, p. 590).

The way these mechanisms or strategies work in laterlife is illustrated by an interview with the renowned concertpianist Arthur Rubenstein. When asked how he remained asuccessful pianist in his later years, Rubenstein referred tothree strategies: “(1) he performed fewer pieces, (2) he nowpracticed each more frequently, and (3) he introduced moreritardandos in his playing between fast segments, so that theplaying sounded faster than it was” (Baltes, 1993, p. 590).The strategy of selection is illustrated by Rubenstein’s con-centration on fewer pieces, the more frequent practice illus-trates the use of optimization, and the increasing reliance oncontrast in speed exemplifies a strategy of compensation.

This psychological model of successful aging hasrelevance for development at all ages including child-hood and adolescence. Adaptations in adolescence can beviewed through the guidelines of selective optimization inwhich gains are maximized and risks, losses, or depriva-tion are minimized (see Heckhausen, Worsch, & Schulz,2010). Youth select activities in which they are competent(e.g., athletics, academics, military service, or street life)and optimize benefits through an investment of resources,time, energy, and relationships. Life-span developmen-talists such as Baltes have enriched our thinking aboutdevelopment and aging across the life course, and theyhave given some attention to the role of social, cultural,and historical forces in developmental processes.

However, their perspective on life-span developmentgenerally fails to apprehend social structure as a consti-tutive force in development. The problem stems from theframework’s conceptualization of context—it refers toage-graded, history-graded, or nonnormative influences.Age-graded influences shape individual development inlargely normative ways for all people; history-graded

influences shape development in different ways for dif-ferent cohorts; and nonnormative influences reflect idiosyn-crasies (such as physical) (see Stearns, Chapter 20, thisHandbook, this volume). This conceptualization is undulyrestrictive in two senses. First, within-cohort variabil-ity largely reflects non-normative influences, which arenot easily subject to scientific study (Dannefer, 1984).As a result, the social basis for within-cohort differ-ences becomes a residual category. Second, as Mayer(2004) noted, life-span psychology views historical andnonnormative influences as idiographic (i.e., unique, non-repeating), leaving only age-graded influences, which arethought to be largely based on biology and age norms.Because the larger social forces that lead to age normsare of little interest, within-cohort regularities in behaviorare explained solely by personal attributes (biology andinstitutionalized norms).

In the final analysis, the study of contextual influences incohorts is hampered because it produces largely invariantpatterns through such age-graded influences, or it cannot bestudied because of its seemingly random nature. Some ofthese issues were dampened by the initial enthusiasm ofBaltes for cohort studies and the analysis of interindividualdifferences in intraindividual change. But in retrospect,it appears that Baltes’s volume on cohort studies withNesselroade in 1979 was followed by a decline in hisregard for them. Nevertheless, some life-span investigators(e.g., Heckhausen, 1999) have continued to assess the linkbetween broader social contexts and individual functioningacross the life course. In the field of developmental science,there are numerous examples of this line of work, suchas Silbereisen’s Jena research program on social changeand human development, with its featured research on theimpact of German Unification. We provide an overview ofthis research on pages **. Q2

Social Relations: Roles and Sequences

The second column of Figure 2.1 refers to how an individ-ual’s life pattern is structured by multiple role sequences,their transitions, and “linked lives,” Transitions into and outof social roles across the life span entail both social andpersonal changes in status and identity (Glaser & Strauss,1971). Changes in major social roles, such as from livingwith parents in a dependent role and then moving to anindependent household with a spouse, generally representa change in life stage to the status of an adult. This processinvolves human agency in the selection of role options aswell as social influences and constraints.

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The life cycle represented a dominant model of thesocial life span from the early 1900s to the 1960s. In itsmost precise definition, life cycle refers to a sequence ofroles in parenting, from the birth of children through theirmaturity and departure from the home to the birth of theirown children. In a life cycle of generational succession,newborns are socialized to maturity, give birth to thenext generation, grow old, and die. The cycle is repeatedfrom one generation to the next in a human population(O’Rand & Krecker, 1990). As reproductive cycles, thelife cycle can vary greatly in tempo through variations inthe timing of childbirth, whether very early or late in lifebetween the generations.

Role change in one generation has consequences acrossthe generations, ascending and descending (Burton, 1985).When the eldest daughter has a child before the age of 13,her mother may become a grandmother before the age of 30and a great-grandmother before the age of 50. A sequenceof early childbearing across the generations weakens thegenerational and age foundation for family authority andsocial control. Family authority over a newborn child tendsto shift upward from the teenage mother to the grand-mother. By contrast, late childbearing slows the cycle andminimizes age similarities across adjacent generations.Entry into later-life relationships may provide the socialcontrol to stabilize a person’s life and minimize involve-ment in unconventional and dangerous activities. In theirBoston sample, Sampson and Laub (1993) reported thatbonds to conventional figures provided a route of escapefrom delinquency for a number of men with a childhoodhistory of delinquency.

During the familistic post–World War II years, the lifecycle became well known as the family cycle, throughthe writings of Glick and Hill, as a set of ordered stagesof parenthood defined primarily by variations in familycomposition and size (Elder, 1978). Major transition pointsincluded courtship, engagement, marriage, birth of the firstand last child, the children’s transitions in school, departureof the eldest and youngest child from the home, and maritaldissolution through the death of one spouse. This sequenceof life stages is based on a concept of marriage that bearschildren and remains intact up to old age and death. Deviantpatterns are excluded, such as marriages without children,those preceded by children, the widowed and divorcedwhether with or without children, and serial marriages(see also Ganong, Coleman, & Russell, Chapter 4, thisHandbook, this volume).

The emerging complexity of contemporary family lifedid not fit this concept of the life cycle. First, childbearing

has become increasingly uncoupled from marriage. Chil-dren are increasingly born prior to marriage or outside ofmarriage altogether. In the United States, the prevalence ofdivorce from the 1960s to the present has led to multiplefamilies in a person’s life and to the likelihood that mostchildren will experience a single-parent household beforethey enter adulthood (e.g., Fussell, 2002). Even with theselimitations, the life-cycle concept and its family cycle tellus much about the social matrix of one’s life—the linkedlives. They knit together a full array of family relationshipsthrough life stages and the generations, providing insightinto family processes such as socialization and social con-trol over the life span. They connect the developing personand his or her career.

Another feature of this complexity emerged as mothersincreased their involvement in the labor force over thelast quarter of the 20th century. This upward trend posedanother limitation for the life-cycle framework and sug-gested the need for a dual career perspective to study thesefamilies and the lives of their members. However, even inthe early 1970s, a prime era for life-cycle research, Youngand Willmott (1973) found that studies of work and familywere typically proceeding along separate paths with nosubstantial effort to investigate their interdependence andcoordination problems. This observation contrasts ratherstrikingly today with a flourishing study of the interlockingtrajectories of work and family life (Drobnic, Blossfield,& Rohwer, 1999; Moen, 2003). Life course models havebeen constructed to capture this dynamic.

In all of these ways, the life cycle of family rolesentailed shortcomings in thinking about the life courseof children and their parents. The temporality of ageaddresses some of these limitations by supplementingits relational approach with a temporal and contextualperspective. Entry into social roles in the life cycle mayfollow a certain temporal order, but these role transitionsare not temporally located in a person’s life. For example,a life-cycle model of a person’s life might locate marriagebefore the first birth, but it would not indicate whether themarriage occurred at 20 or 40 years. The evidence suggeststhat event timing matters because social timetables, agenorms, and age-graded sanctions influence behavior.

The concept of generation in the life-cycle perspectiveoccupies a common historical location relative to histor-ical events such as the economic recession that occurredbetween 1980 and 1983. A parent generation may havebirth years that span 30 years, a period that could includeeras of economic boom and bust in the 20th century.As such, it is apparent that generational role or position

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cannot offer a precise way of connecting people’s livesto changes in society, whereas age and/or birth year doesoffer such a perspective.

A social role-generation perspective and a temporal-contextual perspective based on age are complemen-tary in thinking about the social life course embeddedin a social-historical context. One of the best researchexamples of why this convergence is important comes fromThe Polish Peasant in Europe and America (Thomas &Znaniecki, 1918). This pioneering work was described inthe 1960s as “the greatest single study done thus far by anAmerican sociologist” (Nisbet, 1969, p. 316). The livesof immigrants embodied the discontinuities of the age;they were socialized for a world that had become onlya memory. The societies they left and entered—the OldWorld and the New—presented contrasting pathways forindividual adaptation and development. Matters of socialand historical time are clearly relevant to this project,and yet, Thomas and Znaniecki were largely insensitiveto them.

For many years, the social role/life cycle perspectivecontinued to offer a valuable way of thinking about thesocial patterning and interdependence of lives, althoughlimited in a number of respects that we have noted. In the1970s, this approach was combined with new understand-ings of age to form life course models with the analyticvirtues of both theoretical traditions: linked lives acrossthe life span and generations, coupled with the temporal-ity of age and context through an age-graded sequenceof events and social roles, embedded in birth cohorts.These models were also enriched by life-span concepts ofhuman development that feature the agency of individualsin constructing their lives.

Age and the Life Course

A greater understanding of the meanings of age in peo-ple’s lives during the 1950s and 1960s provided a way ofthinking about the relation of historical location and itsecology to life patterns with its events and social rolesacross the life span. The link between age/birth year andhistorical time occurred in large part through the influentialessay of Ryder (1965) on the cohort as a way of studyingsocial change and its effects on people and populations.Riley et al. wrote a comprehensive work on this topic inAging and Society (1972). This important volume relatesbirth cohorts and age-graded roles. Both Ryder and Rileyprovided conceptual models for this relatively undevelopedfield of study at the time.

Before Ryder’s essay on cohorts, the birth years ofstudy members in surveys and longitudinal studies weremost unlikely to be considered a way to locate people inhistory. Even the historical context of empirical studiesreceived minimal attention (Thernstrom, 1964), althoughBronfenbrenner (1958) demonstrated the importance ofdoing so by showing that the findings of two surveysof social class and childrearing made sense when onenoted that they were carried out in different eras of the20th century. Ryder’s influential essay increased the sen-sitivity of social scientists to the historical context of livesand their birth cohorts.

In addition, the surge of newly initiated longitudinalstudies provided a dynamic approach to age and its mean-ings across the life span. This fresh perspective on agereflected the pioneering work of Neugarten (Neugarten,1968, 1996; Neugarten & Datan, 1973) at the University ofChicago’s Committee on Human Development during thelate 1950s and 1960s. Her work with colleagues revealedthe variability of lives. People do not move across theirlives in concert with others of the same age. They vary inthe age at which they enter and leave key social roles.

In what follows, we more fully describe contributionsto the two research traditions on age and the life course,the link between age cohorts and an age-graded perspectiveon life patterns. In combination, they bring temporality andcontext to a social perspective on the life course.

A Cohort-Historical Perspective

Birth year or date of entry into a system such as school grad-uation locates the individual according to historical timeand related social change. With age peers in the cohort,the individual is exposed to a particular segment of histori-cal experience as he or she moves across age-graded roles.To grasp the meaning and implications of birth year andcohort membership, the investigator specifies the distinc-tive historical events and processes at the time as well ascharacteristics of the cohort, such as its size and compo-sition. These characteristics are themselves a consequenceof historical changes in birth and death rates, immigration,and migration.

As successive cohorts encounter the same historicalevent, they do so at different life stages, defined by socialroles, maturity, and life experiences. This means that adja-cent cohorts bring different life experiences to the change.Ryder (1965, p. 846) stressed this life-stage principle in hisaccount of cohort differences in the life course. As eachcohort encounters a historical event, whether depressionor prosperity, it “is distinctively marked by the career

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stage it occupies.” This mark may take different forms.One type of outcome involves cohort differences, suchas the less adverse effects of hardship among the olderOakland boys in the Great Depression study than amongthe much younger Berkeley boys (Elder, 1974/1999).For another perspective, consider age at entry into WorldWar II. The age range spanned 20 years: Some recruitswere launching their adult lives, whereas others were intheir mid-30s with families and careers.

In addition to cohort effects, history may take the formof a period effect when the influence of a historical changeis relatively uniform across all age groups. Rodgers andThornton (1985) found that marriage and divorce rates didnot vary across the 20th century by age groups. On ratesof marital dissolution, they observed that “the big picture isone of overwhelmingly historical effects that influenced allsubgroups of the population substantially and surprisinglyequally” (p. 29). Concerning divorce, they referred espe-cially to the rising level up to the 1930s, the decline in theGreat Depression era, a rapid recovery to the extraordinarypeak of divorce in the mid-1940s, and then to the upwardtrend during the 1960s and 1970s. The precise explanationfor such period influences was not determined.

When theory and research focus on the cohort level, thelinking mechanisms between lives and changing times havebeen difficult to pin down. Cohorts can be merely “blackboxes” with no information on causal dynamics and link-ages. Speculation frequently takes the place of disciplinedexplication. Another issue concerns environmental varia-tion within cohorts. Thus, some children may be exposedto the economic stress of a plant closing, whereas othersare insulated from such stresses by their father’s differentplace of employment. In response to such heterogeneity,more studies are investigating specific types of differentialsocial change within a single birth cohort (George, 2009).

The age-graded life course. During the late 1950sand early 1960s, Neugarten directed a research programthat featured the concept of a normative timetable andindividual deviations from age expectations. The timetablerefers to the social meanings of age, as defined by people’sexpectations regarding events and social roles. In theory,age expectations specify appropriate times for majortransitions, and violations of them may lead to adverseconsequences, from informal sanctions to lost opportu-nities. There is an appropriate time for entering school,leaving home, getting married, having children, and retir-ing from the labor force. With colleagues (Neugarten,Moore, & Lowe, 1965), Neugarten observed a high degreeof consensus on age norms across some 15 age-related

characteristics in samples of middle-class adults. The datanot only show a general agreement among men and womenon the appropriate age for a woman to marry but alsosupport the hypothesis that informal sanctions are associ-ated with relatively early and late marriage. Moreover, thewomen were aware if they were on time, late, or early withrespect to marriage and other major role transitions.

This pioneering line of research has been extended infruitful ways by Settersten. He and Hagestad carried out astudy of the perceived deadlines in both family and educa-tion/work transitions in the 1990s among men and womenin the Chicago area (Settersten, 2003). A large majority ofthe respondents claimed that there were deadlines for thistype of transition, but Settersten noted that the big challengein this area is to clarify what is meant by the term age norm.Research on age norms has been limited by the fact that theidentification of an age norm typically requires the observa-tion of a relevant sanction—the two phenomena cannot bestudied independently. Settersten also made the point thatdeviations from age expectations and timetables may entailconsequences that have nothing to do with informal sanc-tions as we know them. A very late marriage, for example,increases the risk of childlessness.

For many decades, age-grades were inferred as possess-ing common significance for members without evidenceof their meaning to these individuals. When do youngpeople assume the perspective of an adult? Neugarten wasone of the first developmentalists to pose such questions,and she did this work with a sample of adults during the1950s. She found (see Neugarten & Peterson, 1957) thatmen with lower socioeconomic status tended to perceive amore rapid passage through the major age divisions of lifethan did middle-class men: Maturity, middle age, and oldage came earlier in the lower SES strata, owing perhapsto class-linked laboring jobs and stresses. The men whorelied on mental skills in a sedentary occupation foresaw arelatively long period of productivity, whereas the manualworker expected a relatively short span of productiveactivity, followed by retirement.

Contemporary studies of the meanings of age statushave focused on the transition to adulthood. Entry intofamily roles (marital and especially parental) are typicallymost predictive of an adult definition of self, and this iswhat Shanahan, Mortimer and Porfeli (2005) observedfrom a contemporary longitudinal study of the young adulttransition in an urban sample of midwestern Americans.It is also the case that entry into these roles has beendelayed significantly across the 20th century, owing inpart to employment and advanced education opportunities.

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Consistent with this interpretation, Americans in their20s who perceived themselves to be relatively late in thetransition to adulthood were found to be most committedto an advanced path of higher education in a nationallongitudinal study (Benson & Elder, 2011). Young peo-ple who defined themselves as adults ranked lowest insocioeconomic origin and educational plans. Similar toNeugarten and Peterson’s finding of life course acceler-ation in later life among adults in the lower SES, theseyoung people were following an accelerated subjectivepath to adult status.

Research on age and the subjective life course representsan example of how investigations of the meanings of agehave opened up a way to think about identity in a contextof changing roles across the life course. The sequence ofage-graded roles and statuses depicts a social trajectoryof the life course, and its transitions from one role toanother that influence how young people view themselvesand others.

Converging Research Traditions in Life Course Theory

Contemporary theory on the life course and its socialdimensions differs from the perspectives of an earlierera by joining the life-cycle processes of social relation-ships with the temporal and contextual aspects of age.In Children of the Great Depression (Elder, 1974/1999),the social role perspective was combined with the analyticmeanings of age for linking family and individual experi-ence to historical change, and for identifying age-gradedtrajectories across the life course. Both theoretical strandsprovide essential features of a social life course on mattersof time, context, and process. The life course is age-gradedthrough social institutions and structures, and embedded inrelationships that constrain and support behavior. In addi-tion, people are located in historical settings through birthcohorts and are linked across the generations by ties ofkinship and friendship.

By integrating social relationship concepts and age-based distinctions on social trajectories, along with life-span concepts of the person, the life course frameworkoffered a promising approach to the contextual study ofhuman development in longitudinal samples (Figure 2.1).Both the individual life course and a person’s developmen-tal trajectory are connected with the lives and developmentof others. Life course theory thus took issue with life-spanstudies that viewed human development as an unfold-ing process that is not coactive with social and culturalprocesses in historical time. Moreover, the life course

paradigm is responsive to the call by Lerner (1991, p. 27)for more attention to contextual variability and representsa perspective in the field of developmental science (Cairns,Elder, & Costello, 1996) that extends across system levelsand disciplines.

The contextual perspective of the life course frameworkhas much in common with Bronfenbrenner’s ecologyof human development, now called bioecology theory(Bronfenbrenner & Ceci, 1994). His Ecology of HumanDevelopment (Bronfenbrenner, 1979) proposed a multi-level view of the sociocultural environment, from macroto micro, but it did not include a temporal perspective onindividual development across changing environments.Some years later, Bronfenbrenner (1989, p. 201) notedthis major lacuna in his work and proposed the concept ofchronosystem with its three interacting components overtime: (1) the developing person; (2) the changing envi-ronment; and (3) their proximal processes. This concepthas not been widely adopted, but Bronfenbrenner’s eco-logical perspective has appeared in numerous contextualstudies of child development, especially in the field ofneighborhood influences (Bronfenbrenner & Morris, 2006;Leventhal, Dupéré, & Shuey, Chapter 13, this Handbook,this volume).

Human development in life course theory represents aprocess of organism-environment transactions over timein which the organism plays an active role in shaping itsown development. The developing person is viewed as adynamic whole, not as separate strands, facets, or domainssuch as emotion, cognition, and motivation. The course ofdevelopment is embedded in a dynamic system of socialinterchanges and interdependencies across and withinlevels. As noted by Bronfenbrenner (1996), this dynamicin life course theory is illustrated well by the interlockinglives and developmental trajectories of family memberswho are influenced differently by their changing world.We turn now to perspectives and basic concepts that linkthe social life course and developmental processes.

ELEMENTARY LIFE COURSE CONCEPTSAND PERSPECTIVES

For a study that is framed in terms of changing timesand places, the objective is to link historical and spatialprocesses with individual development by examiningmultiple levels of the social environment (Elder & Russell,2000). Starting with the macro level, societal change maytransform social institutions, communities, and cultures,

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and in so doing establish developmental constraints forchoices and generate individual agency at the micro level.The multilevel nature of the life course and human devel-opment invites different points of entry, each with specificquestions, ranging from cultures and social institutionsto human biology and the genome (Shanahan & Porfeli,2002). A single study commonly employs different entrypoints for aspects of the same project. Thus a project moti-vated by the impact of rural change on children’s socialand emotional development should be framed by an initialfocus on the transformation of rural communities and theeconomic well-being and hardships of families withinthese communities. Such a study would be incompletewithout reference to the adaptive patterns of parents andchildren: their developmental trajectories of behaviors,psychological profiles, and health.

Indeed, empirical studies of the farm crisis (1980 toearly 1990s) in the United States, as it played out in centralIowa, tell us that the distinction between families engagedin farming versus families living in the small rural townswas key to linking social change and young people’s lives.Parts of this study might also investigate the determinantsof specific emotional or social outcomes and relevant pro-tective resources in the family, a point of entry that centerson the developmental status of the child. Still other entrypoints might begin with the interchange of parents and childor with sibling relationships. Each point could become aframing statement for an independent study, although allentry points provide insight into a central guiding questionabout context. By studying diverse aspects of the sameproblem, the processes of social change and individualdevelopment give life to variables otherwise considered“social addresses,” such as SES, sex, and ethnicity.

Considerable leverage in conducting such studies isprovided by concepts and perspectives that bridge socialchange, place, and individual development, theoreticaltools that reflect decades of empirical study. To understandthis conceptual bridge, we turn to elementary concepts.First, we begin with multiple levels of the life course,ranging from institutionalized pathways to cumulativepatterns of context, which shape the individual life course.

Developmental science is ultimately directed to thestudy of adaptive and maladaptive patterns of change andconstancy at the level of the person. Yet institutionalizedpathways provide a broad context for development and setthe stage for cumulative patterns of social experiences thatshape the individual’s life course. Second, other temporallysensitive concepts—most notably, trajectory, transition,and turning point—are taken up with particular emphasis

TABLE 2.1 Central Concepts of the Life Course:Social and Developmental Dynamics

Conceptual Description Examples

Social Pathway: Sequences ofpositions within and betweeninstitutions, organizations, andphases of life

Tracking within schools;occupational career ladders;transitions from school tracks tolabor markets

Duration: Time spent in a socialstatus or role, span of exposure

Years in poverty; years married

Cumulative Effects: Increasingeffect of earlier experiences withthe passage of time (akin tocompounding interest)

Effect of education on healthbecomes stronger as people age

Chains of Interrelated Events:Sequences of risky or salutaryexperiences across development

Chain of risk: Life events oftenlead to further life-events;institutionalization in childhoodincreases likelihood of additionalrisks

Social Trajectory: Behaviors thatlikely coincide with pathways

Income stream from anoccupational career line

Developmental Trajectory:Behavioral pattern over time, oftenassociated with coinciding socialpatterns in context

Pattern of change in depressedaffect through adolescence isassociated with patterns ofstressors during the same period

Transitions: Discrete change insocial role, set of roles, ormembership in social organization

Transition to first grade toadulthood, to a new school

Turning Point: Change in socialcircumstances that markedly alterslife course, often because of themeaning of the event

Transition to a new school may beassociated with substantialimprovement

Knifing-Off Experience: Turningpoint that renders earlier life coursemuch less consequential

Military service can interruptnascent antisocial career; marriagemay have similar effect

on the properties of social transitions (see Table 2.1).Third, we focus on linking mechanisms that have provenhighly useful in the study of change and place. Beginningwith studies of children who were born before the GreatDepression, research has revealed a set of mechanisms thatlink context and the individual life course and, as will beseen in subsequent sections, these mechanisms have provenhighly probative in the study of place. The paradigmaticthemes of life course theory draw on these elementary con-cepts and mechanisms, underscoring the socially dynamicbasis for individual development.

Social Pathways, Cumulative Processes, and Durations

Social pathways, cumulative patterns, and the duration ofexperiences represent dynamic views of context. Pathwaystypically refer to sequences of social positions in andbetween organizations, institutions, and phases of life.Institutionalized pathways generally have specified time

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boundaries, what Merton (1984) called “socially expecteddurations.” Children who are held back in school becomeaware of their lagging status on the educational ladder(Alexander, Entwisle, & Dauber, 1994), and companymanagers talk about the relation between age and gradein prospects for promotion to senior rank (Sofer, 1970,p. 239). A growing body of research also considers earlyentry into adult roles—what Burton (2007) aptly called“adultification”—as well as pathways into retirement (Kim& Moen, 2002). Whether a new phase of life, emergingadulthood, now characterizes pathways into adulthood is alively topic of inquiry (Bynner, 2005).

In addition to their age-graded nature, pathways struc-ture the direction that people’s lives can take. Pallas (2003,p. 168–169) observed that pathways have distinct fea-tures that govern how strongly people’s trajectories andbehaviors are shaped, including, for example, the numberof options a pathway leaves open in the future, the extentof mobility that is likely to be experienced, stigma andextrinsic rewards, and the importance of personal choice.Some pathways provide future opportunities and chancesfor upward mobility based on personal motivation, whereasothers effectively block promising avenues irrespective ofone’s efforts. Importantly, these pathways reflect socialarrangements as found, for example, by McFarland (2006)in how a particular high school chooses to implement amath curriculum.

Pathways are also multilevel phenomena reflectingarrangements in place at levels of culture, the nation-state,social institutions and organizations, and locale. To varyingdegrees, people work out their life course in established orinstitutionalized pathways. At the macro end of this mul-tilevel system, governments generally establish pathways(Leisering, 2003). At micro levels, institutional sectors(economy and education) or local communities (schoolsystems, labor markets, and neighborhoods) guide the path-ways. Each system level, from macro to micro, sociallyregulates, in part, the decision and action processes of thelife course, producing areas of coordination or discord andcontradiction (e.g., marriage, divorce, and adoption laws).At the primary level of the individual actor, some decisionpressures and constraints are linked to federal regulation,some to the social regulations of an employer, and some tostate and community legislation.

Mayer (1986) had the nation-state in mind when he iden-tified important societal processes, “which impose orderand constraints on lives” (pp. 166–167). These includethe cumulative effects of delayed transitions, institu-tional careers, the historical circumstances associated with

particular cohorts, and state intervention. Growth of thestate in social regulation counters the modern tendencytoward individualism. At the personal level, the state“legalizes, defines and standardizes most points of entryand exit: into and out of employment, into and out ofmarital status, into and out of sickness and disability, intoand out of education. In doing so, the state turns thesetransitions into strongly demarcated public events and actsas gatekeeper and sorter” (p. 167). To be sure, each nation-state represents a unique configuration of laws, rules,and norms that structure the life course. Viewed fromthis vantage point, cross-national and historical studiesbecome highly strategic in studying societal forces andindividual lives and indeed they have become increasinglycommon as diverse countries collect data containing thesame information. The Panel Study of Income Dynamics inthe United States (launched in 1968) has become a modelfor nationwide longitudinal studies in Europe, as in GreatBritain and Germany.

Multilevel accounts of the life course are well illus-trated by studies of the transition to adulthood (Settersten,Furstenberg, & Rumbaut, 2005), which highlight howchanging institutional arrangements and cultural under-standings shape pathways by comparing and contrastingdifferent countries and historical periods. Billari noted thatsuch comparisons are especially powerful among Europeancountries. Each has distinct socioeconomic, political, andcultural features and yet, particularly with the formation ofthe European Union, they have a growing sense of com-mon identity (Billari & Liefbroer, 2010). His empiricalwork suggests that the transition to adulthood is becom-ing increasingly prolonged and diverse (e.g., increasingchildbirth outside of marriage), but that this “Europeanpattern” is clearly in evidence in northern Europe and isnow diffusing across the rest of the continent. Studies mayalso examine changing societal arrangements by taking ahistorical view within a circumscribed geographical area(e.g., Bras, Liefbroer, & Elzinga, 2010).

Within this broader literature on the transition toadulthood, much attention has been paid to transitionsfrom secondary school to work because of its dramaticvariability across countries and serious consequencesfor economic growth and income trajectories for people(Kerckhoff, 2003; Marshall, Heinz, Kruger, & Verma,2001). For example, considerable structure is providedworking-class German youth in a secondary-level sys-tem that in theory joins industrial training and educationin an apprenticeship system. In principle, placement ina skilled craft is assured for youth who complete their

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apprenticeships. American adolescents encounter the leastamount of articulation between schooling and workplace.Vocational training in secondary schools is not closelylinked to specific industries, their recruitment, and skillneeds. In many less-developed countries, youth are forcedto leave school early to support their families; in turn,their lowered educational attainment results in low wages,which forces their children to leave school early as well(Shanahan, Mortimer, & Kruger, 2002). This intergenera-tional cycle of disadvantage illustrates how pathways fromschool to work can reproduce across the generations.

Prior to entry into work, however, young peopleencounter educational pathways. As with career lines,pathways of education have been institutionalized inhistorical time, extending through later grades and intocollege (Shanahan, Miech, & Elder, 1998). Perhaps prob-lematically, vocational training after high school is oftennot considered desirable for students, unlike the situa-tion found in many European countries. Studies of theeducational system in the United States reveal that thesepathways begin very early in life and that their effectscumulate to produce marked differences among studentsand workers. Thus—drawing on data from the BeginningSchool Study in Baltimore—Entwisle, Alexander, andOlson (2003) documented educational pathways that beginto take form in the first grade. In a school where 88% of thestudents were on subsidy, every first grade student receiveda failing mark in reading in the first quarter. In low-SESschools more generally, the average first grade readingscore was 1.64 (below a C), in contrast to students inhigh-SES schools, who averaged 2.15 (above a C). Evencontrolling for family background and standardized testscores in this Baltimore study, African American childrenreceived lower first-grade reading and math scores, andthese ethnic differences were subsequently magnified.

Although students of all ethnicities and SES groupsbenefited from schooling to the same degree, low-SESstudents’ reading ability decreased during the summervacation, whereas high-SES students’ reading improved.Given initial differences in reading and math ability andthese invidious summer trends, Entwisle, Alexander, andOlson (2003) concluded that “the long-term persistenceof early rankings means that inequities visible in the firstgrade translate into deficits all along the line” (p. 239).Indeed, recent studies drawing on this sample show thatfirst grade attributes—including temperamental factors,grades, and standardized test scores—predict educationalattainments at age 22 (Entwisle, Alexander, & Olson,2005; see also, Kerckhoff, 1993).

Research also suggests the importance of organizationalcharacteristics of schools for educational pathways andtheir implications for human development. As Eccles(2004) observed, schools are multilevel systems reflectingmacro-regulatory systems (national, state, and local lawsand policies) and “mini-regulatory” systems, including,for example, the school as a formal organization and net-works of teachers (see Crosnoe & Benner, Chapter 7, thisHandbook, this volume). At the level of the high school,sequences of courses define educational career paths.Drawing on this insight, McFarland (2006) found thatdifferent high schools generate different patterns of “cur-ricular flows” as students progress through math courses.One school exhibited a differentiated ability model,whereby students progressed according to their ability andhad options to continue in math should they encounterfailure. Another school showed a different pattern, “up-stream and out,” whereby students either succeeded andcontinued in their math courses, or dropped from thesequence altogether.

Ideally, studies of the developmental consequences oflife course change take into account the potential con-straints and options associated with particular pathways.McFarland (2006) observed that curricular flows renderedstudents as “constrained agents” who had goals and ambi-tions but were ultimately enabled and constrained by theorganization of their school’s curriculum. And as Eccles’sPerson-Environmental Fit Model details, the developmen-tal status of the student conditions the effects of pathwaysand their experiences (Eccles et al., 1993). Thus, the studyof pathways and development calls for detailed attentionto reciprocal patterns between structures of opportunitiesand constraints, and the capacities of the student.

Social pathways often bring with them cumulative pro-cesses, which refer to the growing implications of earlierexperiences for later outcomes. The defining feature ofaccumulation is that the effects of earlier differences aremagnified when predicting future behaviors, very muchlike compounding interest leads to an exponential growth insavings (DiPrete & Eirich, 2006). Accordingly, cumulativeprocesses suggest that the effects of small differences ear-lier in development “grow” according to some exponentialfunction over the life course (Alexander, Entwisle & Olson,2014). Some evidence suggests the cumulative effects ofearly unemployment on future earnings (an effect referredto as scarring), and of early disadvantage for obesityand other aspects of health. For example, the effect ofeducation on future self-rated health is time compounding,with poorly educated people showing increasingly lower

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self-rated health through adulthood (Willson, Shuey, &Elder, 2007). However, there is surprisingly little evidencefor cumulative processes in the sense of compoundinginterest, and a wide variety of model specifications remaincompletely untested (DiPrete & Eirich, 2006; Ferraro,Shippee, & Shafer, 2009).

Cumulation depends on duration, the span of timebetween changes in state. However, not all durations havecumulative effects. Some experiences persist, but theirimplications are best understood as linear. Furthermore,the full implications of long and short exposures to asituation depend on the nature of the situation itself.The concept of duration has been especially influentialin studies of the permanence of marriage and employ-ment, and the effects of stressors, SES, and poverty.For example, is divorce preceded by a lengthy period offamily conflict? Little is known about the qualitative natureof experiences of long and short durations, although alengthy involvement tends to increase behavioral continu-ity through acquired obligations, investments, and habits(Becker, 1964). The longer the duration of marriage, forexample, the greater the chances for marital permanence(Cherlin, 1993); alternatively, marital happiness is likely todecline at all marital durations, with accelerated declinesoccurring during the earliest and latest years of marriage(Van-Laningham, Johnson, & Amato, 2001). Much moreneeds to be known about the quality of marriages of dif-fering durations (Teachman, 2008) and their developmentimplications.

A particularly telling example of the complexity of dura-tions and their potential meaning is found in Mortimer’s2003 St. Paul longitudinal study of adolescent employ-ment (Staff, Mont’Alvao, & Mortimer, Chapter 9, thisHandbook, this volume). With monthly educational andemployment data, Mortimer and her colleagues developeda typology of work patterns through high school based onduration (whether the student worked more than 18 monthsthrough the 48 months of high school) and intensity (duringperiods of employment, whether the student worked, onaverage, more than 20 hours per week). Mortimer, Staff,and Oesterle (2003) showed that ninth graders withhigher educational promise—as indicated by grades andaspirations—opted for less intensive work. Low intensityworkers were also more likely to save their earnings forcollege. In turn, “steady workers” (high duration, lowintensity) are more likely to earn a BA degree within9 years of high school graduation than high duration-highintensity workers. Indeed, among students with low levelsof educational promise, those who chose a steady work

pattern were more likely to receive their BA than theirlow promise, high-duration/high-intensity counterparts.Such findings suggest that work of differing durationsand intensity has distinct meanings and consequences andhighlights the misleading nature of cross-sectional studies.

Many processes refer not to the duration of a particularsocial circumstance but rather to the triggering of chains ofinterrelated events, which have significant implications forlater well-being and attainment (Rutter, 1989). Behavioralcontinuities across the life course are likely to be found insocial interactions that are sustained by their consequences(cumulative) and by the tendency of these styles to evokemaintaining responses from the environment (reciprocal)(Caspi, Bem, & Elder, 1989). In cumulative continuity,both individual dispositions and family values are likelyto favor the choice of compatible environments, whichreinforces and sustains the match. Thus, antisocial youthtend to affiliate with other problem youth, and their inter-action generally accentuates their behavior, producing overtime what might be described as cumulative disadvantages(Cairns & Cairns, 1994; Sampson & Laub, 1997; Simmons,Burgeson, Carlton-Ford, & Blyth, 1987b). Reciprocal con-tinuity refers to a continuous interchange between personand environment in which reaction forms action and thenby another cycle of action and reaction. As with cumu-lative continuity, the net result of reciprocal continuity isthe cumulation of experiences that tend to maintain andpromote the same behavioral outcome. Baldwin (1895)referred to such interchanges as “circular functions” inontogeny. The ill-tempered outburst of an adolescent mayprovoke a cycle of parental rage and aggression, a wideninggulf of irritation, and, finally, parental withdrawal, whichreinforces the adolescent’s initial aggression (Pepler &Rubin, 1991). Over time, the interactional experiences ofaggressive children can establish attitudes that lead themto project interpretations on new social encounters andrelationships, thereby ensuring behavior that affirms theexpected behavior. Aggressive children generally expectothers to be hostile and thus behave in ways that elicithostility, confirming their initial suspicions and reinforcingtheir behavior.

A growing body of evidence raises questions aboutthe mechanisms that link early social experiences—particularly forms of inequality—with later health andwell-being (Power & Hertzman, 1997). Drawing on theDunedin sample, for example, Poulton et al. (2002) showthat children’s SES (based on occupational categories) isan important predictor of physical health at age 26 evenwith their adult SES controlled. Children growing up in

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households marked by low SES conditions have poorerhealth—defined, for example, by the body-mass index andcardiorespiratory fitness—when compared with childrenwho grow up in high SES households, regardless of thechildren’s adult SES. The mechanisms that link suchearly experiences with later physical well-being are notwell documented, although plausible mechanisms includehealth-related behaviors, especially during adolescence(Bauldry, Shanahan, Boardman, Miech, & Macmillan,2012). The larger point, however, is that there is now abun-dant evidence that social pathways, cumulative processes,and durations are notably associated with human devel-opment, although mechanisms that link these dynamicsocial experiences and the individual are typically notwell-understood.

Trajectories, Transitions, and Turning Points

Social pathways and cumulative experience present tem-porally sensitive descriptions of context. Social trajecto-ries provide a dynamic view of behavior and achievements,typically over a substantial part of the life span. Transi-tions refer to a change in state or states such as when youthleave home. A substantial change in the course of a behav-ioral trajectory, often during transitions, may represent aturning point.

Trajectories and transitions are elements of establishedpathways, their individual life courses, and developmen-tal patterns. Among individuals, social roles evolve over anextended span of time, as in trajectories of work or family;and they change over a short time span. The latter may bemarked by specific events, such as children entering schoolfor the first time, completing the first grade successfully,and graduating from high school. Each transition, combin-ing a role exit and entry, is embedded in a trajectory thatgives it specific form and meaning. Thus, work transitionsare core elements of a work-life trajectory, and births areimportant markers along a parental trajectory.

Trajectories and transitions refer to processes that arefamiliar in the study of work careers and life events.The language of careers has a distinguished history inthe field of occupations and the professions, and it stillrepresents one of the rare languages that depict a temporaldimension or process. Career lines, as pathways, refer tosequences of positions, and careers, as trajectories, refer tocoinciding behaviors and achievements. Work careers havebeen defined as disorderly and orderly, and achievementshave been represented as career advancement, whetherearly or late, rapid or slow (Wilensky, 1960). The term

career also has been applied to the trajectories of marriageand parenthood (Hill & Foote, 1970). All of these uses fallin the more inclusive definition of a life course trajectory.The term does not prejudge the direction, degree, or rate ofchange in its course.

Developmental trajectories are also integral to lifecourse theory, especially when they are studied as interde-pendent with the changing dynamics of social trajectories(George, 2009). In a four-wave study of early adoles-cents, based on growth-curve models, Ge, Lorenz, Conger,Elder, and Simons (1994) found that (a) the trajectories ofdepressive symptoms increased sharply among EuropeanAmerican girls, surpassing the symptom level of boys atage 13; (b) the increase for girls was linked to their expo-sure to an increasing level of negative events; and (c) theinitial warmth and supportiveness of a mother minimizedthe subsequent risk of depressed states and negative eventsamong daughters. Studies such as these have inspired manyefforts to interrelate developmental trajectories and con-text, although frequently neglecting the changing nature ofsocial circumstance. Increasing attention is being devotedto the study of classes of behavioral trajectories based onthe supposition that people may be qualitatively distinct intheir developmental patterns (Bauer & Curran, 2004).

According to this perspective, the population is hetero-geneous with respect to behavioral trajectories; as such,distinct subgroups can be identified, and their covari-ates examined. Perhaps most famously, Moffitt (1993;see also Moffitt, Caspi, Harrington, & Milne, 2002)hypothesized that aggregate patterns in antisocial behaviorconceal two distinct groups: (1) a small percentage ofyouth engaged in antisocial behavior at every stage of life(“life-course persistent”) and (2) a larger percentage ofyouth engaged in antisocial behavior during adolescenceonly (“adolescence-limited”). Indeed, drawing on semi-parametric models, researchers have uncovered evidencefor unique trajectories of antisocial behavior (e.g., Nagin &Land, 1993). With greater use of such models there hasbeen increasing appreciation for methodological issues(see Bauer & Curran, 2003 and accompanying exchanges;Eggleston, Laub, & Sampson, 2004; Nagin, 2004) and the-oretical nuance that complicate the search for qualitativelydistinct types of behavioral trajectories. Nevertheless,this approach raises exciting possibilities for linkingbehavioral patterns with change and stability in contextand experience.

The multiple role trajectories of life patterns describestrategies of coordination or synchronization. Variousdemands compete for the individual’s or family’s scarce

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resources such as time, energy, and money. Goode (1960)argued that an individual’s set of relationships is both“unique and over-demanding,” requiring strategies thatminimize demands by scheduling and rescheduling tran-sitions where possible. To cope with simultaneous, linkedtrajectories, the scheduling of events and obligationsbecomes a basic task in managing resources and pressures.The needs of children and financial requirements, forexample, play important roles in determining work andleisure options.

The meaning of a transition has much to do with itstiming in a trajectory. Consider the case of parenthood:the earlier the event, the greater the risk of social andhealth disadvantages for mother and child (Furstenberg,Brooks-Gunn, & Morgan, 1987). Early life transitions canhave developmental consequences by affecting subsequenttransitions, even after many years and decades have passed.They do so through behavioral consequences that set inmotion cumulative advantages and disadvantages, withradiating implications for other life domains. A Baltimorestudy of adolescent mothers who were followed from 1966to 1984 (Furstenberg et al., 1987) showed that variations inpersonal resources (e.g., IQ) during adolescence affectedtheir economic success by influencing how they timedand ordered early events from marriage to education oremployment. From the vantage point of this study, thequality of transition experiences early in life may foretellthe likelihood of successful and unsuccessful adaptation tolater transitions across the life course.

Transitions to parenthood during adolescence in theBaltimore panel raise another important general distinc-tion: Life transitions can be thought of as a successionof mini-transitions or choice points. The transition frommarriage to divorce is not simply a change in state, butbegins with disenchantment and extends across divorcethreats, periods of separation, and the filing of divorcepapers. Different causal factors may operate at each phaseof the process. “Origin” influences that increase the risk ofdisenchantment are likely to differ from those that sustainthe process toward marital dissolution. In like manner, wecan think of the transition to motherhood in adolescenceas a multiphasic process in which each phase is markedby a choice point with options and social constraints.Developmentalists tend to view transitions as discreteevents that occur in a relatively short period. Consequently,very little is known about the sequence of mini-transitionsleading to full transitions.

The apparent contrast between institutionalized transi-tions and personal, idiosyncratic “transition experience”

can misrepresent reality. In many cases, life transitions arean institutionalized status passage in the life course of birthcohorts and a personalized transition for individuals with adistinctive life and social history. The latter may representan individual working out of the former. These faces ofa transition apply to the normative transitions of life,from birth to school entry, marriage, parenthood, andretirement. Transitions of this kind may seem more pre-dictable and structured than non-normative events, but alltransitions can be sorted according to their extent of struc-tures or degree of external regulation, duration, timing,predictability, and novelty.

Life transitions into different environments facilitatethis process by representing potential turning points in atrajectory for a troubled life course. Such turning pointsare sometimes referred to as “knifing off” past experiences,which can allow for new opportunities and behavioral pat-terns. One example of a turning point is the desistance fromcriminal activity, a knifing-off experience that involvesa transition into new situations that provide monitoring,social supports, growth experiences, and the emergenceof a new self-identity (Laub & Sampson, 2003). Militaryservice, gainful employment, and marriage are all newrole commitments that provide opportunities for a breakfrom the past and social integration (see also Bouffard &Laub, 2004).

A further example of turning points—this time inan educational trajectory—is found in a study of feederpatterns into high school (Crosnoe & Benner, Chapter 7,this Handbook, this volume). In the U.S. school system,pathways between middle school and high school are struc-tured in different ways, affecting the proportion of one’smiddle school classmates who attend the same high school.Schiller’s (1999) study of how differing feeder patternsaffect subsequent grades is revealing. Among studentsreceiving mostly Cs in middle school, high school mathgrades decrease as the proportion of one’s classmates inthe same high school increases. The reverse is true amongstudents receiving mostly As in middle school: High schoolmath grades increase as the proportion of one’s classmatesin the same high school increases. As Schiller notes, whenmiddle school students disperse into many high schools,opportunities seem to open up for students at the bottom,as peer networks are disrupted. Consistent with a turningpoint, the old social world is knifed off and new opportu-nities for growth and identity change present themselves.

The concept of turning point also applies to the partic-ular way people view their life trajectory—a subjectiveaccount of lived experience involves some degree of

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change in situation, behavior, or meaning. Maruna’s(2001) interview study of desistance among ex-convicts isone of a few research efforts to investigate the changingnature of the self during a turning point. Important themesin the life narratives of desistors include acknowledgingpast crimes, understanding their genesis, and recasting theself as in control and with newfound purpose. Clausen(1995) used detailed analyses of life histories to assessthe subjective turning points of people who have beenpart of a longitudinal study for 60 or more years. Basedon this work, he concluded that “one’s life does not haveto take a different direction for a person to feel that aturning point has occurred. But one must have a feelingthat new meanings have been acquired, whether or not lifeexperiences are much changed” (p. 371).

Similarly, Reynolds and Turner (2008) showed thatthe implications of life-events for mental health dependvery much on their meaning to the individual. Life-eventsthat call into question basic understandings of one’slife (or assumptive states) have a much bigger effect ondepressive symptoms than do life-events not so classified.And as McLeod (2012) observed, stressors of all mannercan trigger distress depending on their meaning; in turn,the source of the individual’s meaning is found in socialand culture structures that characterize a time and place.Across different societies—and within societies, acrosshistorical periods—the same events are viewed as moreor less stressful depending on changing institutions andcultural meanings.

Social Change and Life Transitions

The concepts reviewed in the previous section provideways of thinking about social change and its implica-tions for human development. Accordingly, social changerefers to a broad range of transitional phenomena suchas residential moves or a change of school. Additionalcontributions to this perspective come from mechanismsthat link transitions and life patterns to historical changeand from paradigmatic principles that define the life courseas a theoretical orientation. As a whole, these linkingmechanisms—life stage, situational imperatives, controlcycle, and accentuation principle—represent differentunderstandings of the connections among individual lives,transitions in the life course, and the changing socialworld. These mechanisms are embedded in a theoreticalframework defined by paradigmatic principles of the lifecourse. Consider, for the example, the principle of humandevelopment and aging as a lifelong process. The sequence

of role transitions in the life course establishes differentlife stages, such as leaving home for kindergarten and itspeer group experiences. This transition accentuates initialstudent differences in preparedness and maturity; and thesituational imperatives of the classroom call for conformityto classroom standards of behavior. Teacher control in theclassroom orients individual student efforts toward greaterself-regulation on the part of the child. Each educationaltransition contributes to a cumulative developmental andsocial process.

The paradigmatic principles draw on these mechanismsin charting the perspective of life course study—the prin-ciples of lifelong development and aging, human agency inmaking choices, the importance of timing in lives, linkedlives, and historical time and place (Elder, 1998b). Theseprinciples represent more general theoretical themes thatcollectively define the analytical scope of life course the-ory. The mechanisms refer to why the effects of transitionsdiffer in populations, whereas the principles apply beyondthe scope of transitions, to properties of the life course as asequence of age-graded roles.

Linking Mechanisms

The Depression studies focused on differences betweencohorts born at opposite ends of the 1920s; because oftheir differing birth years, these young people occupieddifferent life stages when the economy collapsed.

Life-Stage Principle

The life-stage principle holds that young people of dif-ferent ages are likely to be exposed to the same slice ofhistory but at differing points in development, creatingunique patterns of social change and, at the level of theperson, opportunities, challenges, strengths, and vulner-abilities. Viewed differently, children in the same familyexperience social changes in differing ways because oftheir differing ages. Indeed, the Oakland children passedthrough adolescence during the worst years of the GreatDepression, but the Berkeley children became teenagers inWorld War II. Consequently, job scarcity, financial pres-sures, and emotional stress represented defining features ofthe Oakland cohort’s transition from childhood to youngadulthood. By contrast, members of the Berkeley cohortwere exposed to the “empty households” of World War IIwhen older parents worked from sunrise to sundown inhome-front industries.

Consider the Berkeley males who entered the GreatDepression when they were highly dependent on family

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nurturance and vulnerable to family instability. Economichardship came early in their lives and represented aprolonged deprivational experience, from the economicvalley of the 1930s to the war years and departure fromhome. By comparison, the Oakland males were olderand more independent when hardship hit their families.They assumed important roles in the household economyand entered adulthood with a more crystallized idea of theiroccupational goals. Despite some handicaps in education,they managed to end up at midlife with a slightly higheroccupational rank (Elder, 1999). The vulnerability of theyounger Berkeley boys is consistent with the results ofother studies that show that family stressors are especiallypathogenic for males in early childhood (e.g., Rutter &Madge, 1976).

Situational Imperatives

Another linking mechanism involves situational impera-tives, the behavioral demands or requirements of a newsituation. The more demanding the situation, the more indi-vidual behavior is constrained to meet role expectations. Inemergency family situations, helpful responses become animperative for members, as in hard-pressed families duringthe worst years of the Great Depression. Rachman (1979)referred to these imperatives as “required helpfulness.”The Oakland children were old enough in the early 1930sto be called on to meet the increased economic and laborneeds of their family, and a large number managed to earnmoney on paid jobs and to help in the household. Thismoney was often used to cover traditional family concernssuch as school expenses.

In deprived families, girls generally specialized inhousehold chores and boys were more often involvedin paid jobs. This gender difference made girls moredependent on the family and generally fostered greaterautonomy among boys. Adolescent jobs in the 1930stypically included what might be regarded as odd jobs inthe adult world, from waiting on tables and clerking todelivering newspapers and running errands. Employmentof this kind may seem developmentally insignificant,although it had the important implication that peoplecounted on them—they mattered. Indeed, staff observersrated the working boys as more energetic and efficaciousthan nonworking boys. The flow of influence was no doubtreciprocal. The more industrious were likely to find jobsand success in work that would reinforce their ambition.With additional chores at home, working boys experiencedsomething like the obligations of adult status. To observerswho knew them, they appeared to be more adult-oriented

in values, interests, and activities when compared to youthwho did not have jobs.

Control Cycles

Situational imperatives are elements of new situationsthat characterize control cycles, which, as described byThomas (see Elder & Caspi, 1988), refer to changingrelations between expectations and resources that affecta sense of personal control. A loss of control stems froma process in which resources fall below expectations.This change motivates efforts to restore control by adjust-ing expectations, resources, or both in terms of theirrelation. During the Great Depression, heavy income losstended to affect children, sometimes adversely, throughfamily adaptations to such deprivation. These includethe reduction of family expenditures, the employment ofmore family members, and the lowering of living stan-dards (Elder, 1974/1999). Equilibrium in these financiallystrained families was achieved when expectations matchedresources. The psychology of this cyclical process is welldescribed by what Brehm and Brehm called reactance(1982). Feelings of reactance occur whenever one or morefreedoms or expectations are threatened or eliminated.Such emotions spur efforts to regain or preserve control.“It is the threat to control (which one had) that motivatesan attempt to deal with the environment” (p. 375). Oncecontrol is achieved, expectations may be raised, therebysetting in motion another round of equilibrating initiatives.

Accentuation

The final mechanism, known as the accentuation dynamic,relates transition experiences to the individual’s life historyof past events, acquired dispositions, and meanings. Whena transition heightens a prominent attribute that peoplebring to the new role or situation, the change is said to bean accentuation effect. Entry into new roles or situations isfrequently an accentuation dynamic that tends to amplify“preexisting” behaviors. From this perspective, early tran-sitional experiences become prologues for adult transitionsthat increase heterogeneity over the life course. We seethis development in longitudinal studies of divorce andtheir increasing attention to behavioral changes initiatedby it across the life course and the generations (Amato,2000; Amato & Cheadle, 2005). In children, as well asadults, the divorce transition appears to accentuate dis-positions that were present well before the event itself.For example, boys with behavior problems after a divorcewere frequently engaged in problem behavior beforethe divorce.

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TABLE 2.2 Mechanisms Linking Transitions to Development

PrincipleExamples from Children of theGreat Depression

Life Stage: The effects of socialQ3change are contingent on the ageof the person experiencing it.

Differing effects of the GreatDepression were observed amongmembers of the Oakland (older)and Berkeley (younger) cohorts.

Situational Imperatives: Socialdemands of new situations shapeappropriate behavior for thecontext.

During economic crisis, eachmember of the household wasexpected to make role-specificadjustments to scarcity andcontributions to householdeconomy.

Accentuation: Behavioral patternsbefore transition are magnifiedwith social change.

Irritable fathers tended to losetheir tempers under the pressuresof economic deprivation.

Control Cycles: When confrontedQ4with new situations and loss ofcontrol, people strive to reassertcontrol over their setting andbiography.

During the Great Depression,families developed strategies tothe household economy.

As a whole, these linking mechanisms—life stage,situational imperatives, control cycle, and the accentua-tion dynamic—represent different understandings of theconnections among individual lives, transitions in the lifecourse, and the changing social world. These mechanismsare embedded in a theoretical framework defined byparadigmatic principles of the life course.

Paradigmatic Principles

Like the mechanisms reviewed in the previous section, theparadigmatic principles emerged from studies of Childrenof the Great Depression (Elder, 1974/1999) and subsequentresearch (Elder, Johnson, & Crosnoe, 2003). Collectively,they define life course as a theoretical orientation thatprovides a framework for studying phenomena at the nexusof social change, social pathways, and developmentaltrajectories.

The Principle of Life-Span Development

Human development and aging are life-long processes.Over the years, the life span has been represented as asequence of life stages, from infancy and early childhoodto old age. Each stage became an age-specific domainfor specialized study. However, we recognize now thatdevelopmental and aging processes are most fully under-stood from a life-long perspective (Kuh, Power, Blane,& Bartley, 1997). Behavioral patterns at midlife are notonly influenced by current circumstances and by theanticipation of the future, but also by prenatal and early

childhood experiences and, in some instances, by intrauter-ine experiences and the circumstances of prior generations.Long-term studies are documenting the relation betweenlate-life adaptation and the early years of life-span develop-ment. Life course epidemiology has experienced explosivegrowth, as the precursors to adult health are exploredamong early sensitive periods, chains of risk, cumulatingdisadvantages, and their temporal complexities extendingover many decades of life (Kuh & Ben-Schlomo, 2004;Bauldry et al., 2012). Such research has been propelledby national longitudinal studies of birth cohorts in GreatBritain, marked by birthdates of 1946, 1958, 1970, and2000. These cohorts are all scheduled to be followed intothe later years of life (Ferri, Bynner, & Wadsworth, 2003).

This long-scale temporal frame poses major challengesas well as exciting opportunities. The longer a life isstudied, the greater the risk of exposure to social change.The lives of people in their 80s or 90s are thus mostlikely to reflect the particular contours of a society, withits unique pattern of social changes occurring over manyyears. In this sense, each birth cohort will result in distinctbiographical patterns. Longitudinal data archives generallylack adequate information on social change, however,particularly in the details of social relationships, socialorganizations, and residential ecologies. Indeed, manylongitudinal data collections do not extend beyond therespondent’s self-reports, making nuanced understandingsof the person’s social setting very difficult. With increasingfrequency, geographic codes are enabling investigators toassess contextual changes and their effects on lives.

Another challenge posed by the principle of life-longdevelopment and aging centers on the reality that eachstudy typically begins “midstream” in the lives of respon-dents. Studies of adolescent behavioral patterns typicallybegin at some point during that phase of life, but suchstudies come with the strong assumption that whathappened in the first decade of life is of negligibleconsequence. Given the strong tendencies toward behav-ioral continuity—often reflecting continuity of socialsettings—the researcher may be attempting to explainsmall amounts of behavioral change. This challenge maybe especially acute for studies of the later life course, whendecades of experiences—largely unmeasured—are notavailable for study. The point is well illustrated by a studyof mastery among the elderly (Pearlin, Nguyen, Schieman,& Milkie, 2007). Mastery in old age reflects intractablehardships in early life, status attainment processes throughadulthood, and stressors in old age. However, all of thesefactors are mediated by a sense of life course mastery,

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the belief that one has directed and managed her or his lifeacross the decades. Ideally, such complexities would bestudied with data extending from childhood to old age.

Transitional experiences across the life course involveindividual initiatives, situational constraints and opportuni-ties, the dispositions and prior experiences that people bringto new situations, and the influence of others. Althoughmany factors influence lives, young people play an impor-tant role in constructing their own lives though the choicesthey make.

The Principle of Human Agency

Individuals construct their own life course through choicesand actions they take within the opportunities and con-straints of history and social circumstance. Elements ofhuman agency have been prominent in studies of lives(see Haidt & Rodin, 1999; Thomas & Znaniecki, 1918)and are central to studies that relate lives to broader socialcontexts. People make choices in constrained situationsthat enable them to exert a measure of control over theirlife course. These choices ensure a degree of loose cou-pling between social transitions and life stages. Evenduring the economic turmoil and distress of the 1930s,families engaged in many strategies in the face of severeconstraints: Mothers found jobs amid scarce options, andmany of their children carried responsibilities in the homeand community.

In American Lives, Clausen (1993) focused on thequestion of agency in lives, with emphasis on the formativeadolescent years of Californians who were members of theOakland and Berkeley Guidance studies. He hypothesizedthat competent adolescents who think about the future witha sense of personal efficacy are more effective in makingsound choices and in implementing them during the tran-sition to adulthood. These more “planful decisions” leadto greater success in work and family through adulthood.Indeed, the highly competent males in adolescence weremost likely to achieve a successful start through education,occupational careers, and family, apart from the influenceof IQ and SES background. Moreover, this beginning antic-ipated achievements across the life course, even into the60s. The young men with a planful competence were morelikely to have stable marriages and careers and tended tofind satisfaction and fulfillment during their final decades.

Do these findings reflect the special circumstances ofthe study members’ early adult years—the beginningof World War II and an unparalleled era of prosperity?Postwar benefits for veterans encouraged them to obtain acollege education, but what if we stepped back a decade

of two so that both a Great Depression and global warloomed ahead? To do this, we turned to the Lewis Termandata archive (Holahan & Sears, 1995), a longitudinal studyof the brightest Californians. This study of talented chil-dren was launched in the 1920s, a time when California’seconomy seemed to offer unlimited opportunity. Half ofthe children were born before 1911, the other half by theearly 1920s. By selecting only the most able of California’schildren for the study, Terman could direct his attention togreat promise and the expected rise of talent to positionsof accomplishment and leadership.

But history changed this trajectory (Shanahan & Elder,2002; Shanahan, Elder, & Miech, 1997). The older cohorthad completed most of its post–high school educationby the time of the stock market crash and looked aheadto a stagnant and declining labor market, whereas theyounger men faced the prospects of going to college in thelater years of the Depression decade. Lacking good jobprospects, a substantial number of the older men stayed ingraduate school, extending their list of degrees. By con-trast, World War II reduced significantly the educationalopportunities of the younger men, but having no impacton the education of the older men who were well past thecollege years.

With these different historical paths in mind, it is notsurprising that planful competence in adolescence hadmuch greater relevance for the future of the younger men,when compared to the older cohort. The planfulness of theolder men in adolescence had no effect on their chancesfor advanced education and career achievement. In largepart, this outcome reflects the process of “warehousing”in which the young prolong their stay in school duringeconomically troubled times. School persistence had lessto do with personal motivation than with a way of gettingout of hardship situations. Parallels between the Termanstudies and early 21st-century cohorts of young peoplecompleting their educations are striking. Unprecedentednumbers of young people around the world are completinguniversity degrees, only to find little opportunity in thelabor market. The Terman studies suggest a disabling, tosome degree, of their sense of agency, as their adult livesreflect a lack of meaningful opportunities in the workplace.Yet many people will retain a high sense of agency even inthe face of such challenges, a form of resilience that hasnot been adequately studied to date.

The constraints of social structures on agency extendbeyond societal change, and powerfully reflect dynamicswithin the family and among peers. Bozick et al. (2010)examined educational expectations from the fourth grade

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onward. Although many studies of college planning beginwith high school students, the authors found that by thefourth grade, most students were planning and expecting toattend college. Between the fourth grade and high school,many students remained steadfast in their plans, reflectingthe socioeconomic advantages of their parents. Yet manystudents drifted away from college plans, and most ofthese students came from low SES households. By highschool—when most studies of college expectationsbegin—these processes were by and large complete, andthus the major developmental story could not be captured.

Once in high school, many students are tracked (eitherde jure or de facto). Efforts to “detrack” students by creat-ing freedom of choice with respect to coursework, however,are often unsuccessful (Yonezawa, Wells, & Serna, 2002).That students opted not to leave their tracks—often despitetheir ability to perform at “higher tracks”—reflected sev-eral social and cultural features. Students in lower tracksoften were not as informed about courses as their highertrack counterparts; administrators were often resistant tomoving Latino/a American and African American stu-dents into higher tracks; and, most importantly, tracksfostered a sense of identity that few students were willingto abandon to “move up” to higher tracks. Thus, even whenfaced with new options, many students prefer continuitybecause of how they come to view themselves and “howthe world works.”

The Principle of Timing

The developmental antecedents and consequences of lifetransitions, events, and behavior patterns vary according totiming in a life course.

Life-long processes of human development and humanagency underscore ways of thinking about the timingof lives and their social contexts. As Neugarten (1968)showed in her pioneering work, people do not marchthrough life in concert. They tend to vary by the age atwhich they pass through life transitions—when they beginand complete their schooling, enter a first job, establishan independent domicile, share a household with a friend,marry, have children, see children leave home, and losetheir first parent. They also vary in when they perceivethemselves as young, middle age, and old. In Childrenof the Great Depression (Elder, 1974/1999), some mem-bers of their cohort entered marriage before their 20thbirthday, whereas others were still unmarried a decadelater. Early marriage tended to produce life disadvantages,from socioeconomic hardship to the loss of education.Early childbearing had similar consequences.

All of these age variations can make a difference(Hogan, 1981) by setting in motion a dynamic of cumu-lative events and processes. The timing principle maysuggest that different points in life represent sensitiveperiods during which life events and transitions affectage-specific vulnerabilities. Such a perspective is evidentin many studies of the timing of poverty and cognitivedevelopment, which often are based on the assumption thatdeprivations have differing effects at different ages becauseof the course of neurological development. Another per-spective, however, and one that is not mutually exclusive,is illustrated by these examples from the Depression stud-ies: Different ages represent different constellations ofopportunities, constraints, roles, and social connections,all of which condition the effects of transitions and stres-sors. To illustrate this point, we turn to the ages at whichchildren experience the breakup of their family. The timingprinciple has been productively applied to a range ofphenomena, however, including retirement, widowhood,first birth, age of onset of many physical and mental healthchallenges, degree completion, and unemployment spells.

No time is good for a child’s loss of a parent throughseparation or divorce, but the child’s age when such changeoccurs can make an important difference in its conse-quences. To address the impact of a single-parent house-hold, Krein and Beller (1988) matched mother-daughterand mother-son samples from the National LongitudinalSurveys to investigate three relevant hypotheses: (1) thetransition to single-parent status is most damaging duringthe early preschool years, owing to heavy time demands;(2) duration of residence lessens the educational achieve-ment of offspring by diminishing social resources; and(3) boys are likely to be more impaired by the change thangirls, owing to modeling processes (see also McLanahan& Sandefur, 1994). Although Krein and Beller designedprecise measures of the age and length of time a childlived in a single-parent household, the reports of familystructure are retrospective because the mothers were inter-viewed between the ages of 30 and 44. The offspring wereinterviewed when they were 14 to 24 years. However, suchretrospective reports are reasonably accurate.

The study found that timing mattered, along with dura-tion and gender: (a the adverse effect on education wasmuch greater for the preschool versus the later years, (b) theadverse effect increased with the number of years a childspent in a single-parent household, and (c) the adverseeffect was more negative for males than for females.The strongest and most consistent timing and durationeffects were obtained among European American males,

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with family income controlled. African American femalesand males were next in line on effects, followed at somedistance by European American females. Whether familyincome was controlled, the timing and duration of livingin a single-parent household mattered least for EuropeanAmerican females. The meaning of this result was notpursued in the study, although these young daughtersof single-parent mothers may be protected by maternalsupport and the model of a self-sufficient woman.

The Principle of Linked Lives

Lives are lived interdependently and social-historicalinfluences are expressed through this network of sharedrelationships. The principles of timing and linked livesaddress in complementary ways the temporality, process,and context of lives and human development. Interde-pendent lives highlight the role of significant others inregulating and shaping the timing of life trajectoriesthrough a network of informal control. This network canbe thought of as a “developmental context” (Hartup &Laursen, 1991) and as a “convoy” of significant othersthrough life (Antonucci & Akiyama, 1995). Whatever theplans of an individual, these “significant others” initiate orexperience life transitions that produce transitions in his orher own life. As Becker (1964) once observed, the expec-tations and informal sanctions of these “others” channelbehavior and the life course in certain directions.

Linked lives are expressed in Children of the GreatDepression (Elder, 1974/1999) across the generations, inthe parental marriage, and in the relationship of parentsand siblings. Older and younger siblings influence eachother directly through their encounters, whether nurturant,competitive, or conflictual (Brody, 1996). In an AfricanAmerican sample, Brody et al. (2003) found a significantlink between the antisocial behavior of older and youngersiblings, but it was strongest in disadvantaged neigh-borhoods that provided abundant opportunities for theyounger sibling to express this behavior, when comparedto siblings in affluent residential areas. Examples of anindirect path include the experience of parents with theeldest child that undermines or strengthens their sense ofcompetence in parenting. A third potential sibling linkinvolves the differential treatment of siblings by parents,relatives, or teachers. Little is known about continuity andchange in sibling relationships from childhood into theadult years.

Family changes are especially relevant to the principleof linked lives and its implications. Hernandez (1993)referred to a number of revolutionary family changes in

the lives of children and adults, including the decline infamily size, migration from the land, growth in women’semployment, divorce, and single parenting. Marriage andthe mutual regulatory influence of each partner illustrateboth the process of timing through the synchronization oflives and the embeddedness of each family member’s life.For example, Caspi and Herbener (1990) investigated theinfluence of marital relationships on the developmentaltrajectories of husbands and wives. In “choosing situationsthat are compatible with their dispositions and by affiliatingwith similar others, individuals may set in motion processesof social interchange that sustain their dispositions acrosstime and circumstance” (p. 250). Among marriages withstrong ties, they observed trajectories of parallel develop-ment over 20 years. Husbands and wives did not changetoward greater resemblance in developmental trajectory,but they did show a parallel course of development. Whenmarriages dissolved, the former partners tended to followless parallel trajectories.

Linked lives also refer to mechanisms of transmissionacross generations, including the reproduction of educa-tion, occupation, income, values and beliefs, poor healthbehaviors, health, and even place of residence from parentto offspring. For example, drawing on the Youth Develop-ment Study, Ryu and Mortimer (1996) found parental workexperiences and values to be correlated with the children’swork values. Mothers’ extrinsic work values (such as onmoney and security) fostered similar values in the livesof their teenage and young adult daughters, and motherswith strong intrinsic values (including work autonomyand interest in job) were least likely to have daughterswho valued extrinsic rewards such as high income andstatus. For sons, the supportiveness of parents matteredmore than parents’ actual work values and occupationalexperience. The more supportive the father and mother,the stronger the son’s intrinsic values. Intergenerationalrelations are an important medium for the transmission ofwork values.

Although transmission implies influence from par-ent to child, the opposite pattern is also possible, aswas recognized long ago by the concept of reciprocaleffects, evocative patterns, and child effects. For example,a young girl’s pregnancy can have consequences thatfundamentally change the lives of her mother and grand-mother, among others. When a 13-year-old has a child,her 28-year-old mother becomes a grandmother, and hergrandmother becomes a great-grandmother. Using data on41 female lineages from urban multigenerational AfricanAmerican families in Los Angeles, Burton (1985; Burton

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& Bengtson, 1985) creatively explored the ripple effects ofteenage pregnancy across the generations. The age rangesof respondents in the early lineages were 11 to 18 for theyoung mothers, 25 to 38 for the grandmothers, and 46 to 57for the great-grandmothers. The other lineage units werejudged on time in transitions. The age ranges for mothers,grandmothers, and great-grandmothers were 21 to 26, 42to 57, and 60 to 73, respectively.

Interdependent lives also extend beyond the family tofriends, teachers, and neighbors. Theories of resiliencecommonly assume that positive influences can offset neg-ative influences originating in the family (Luthar, 2003;Werner & Smith, 2001). A positive school environmentof classmates and teachers might compensate for a child’spunitive family environment or a drug-infested neighbor-hood. Relevant to these issues is a short-term longitudinalstudy of adolescents in Prince George’s County in the areaof Washington, DC (Cook, Herman, Phillips, & Settersten,2002). The influence of nuclear families, friendship groups,schools, and neighborhoods was assessed in the lives ofmainly African American and European American stu-dents in the seventh and eighth grades during the early1990s. The quality of all four contexts had independentand additive influences on adult success, defined by acomposite of school performance, social behavior, andmental health indicators. The effect of any one contextwas not large, but the total contextual effect proved tobe substantial.

The Principle of Historical Time and Place

Individual life course is embedded in and shaped by his-torical times and places over a lifetime. One of the bestexamples of both historical and spatial variations in the lifecourse and human development comes from studies of livesduring military times. The immediate years after World WarII, for example, were hard times in many parts of Europeand Asia, unlike the prosperity experienced in the UnitedStates. Children who grew up in financially strained fam-ilies in California during the Great Depression frequentlysaw military service as a “bridge to greater opportunity.”Without getting into the details of selected studies, we notesome basic features of the transition to military service, ineras of World War II, the Korean conflict, and the VietnamWar (Elder & Caspi, 1990). More generally, the effect ofmilitary service varies according to its historical time andplace (MacLean & Elder, 2007).

First, military service tended to pull young people fromtheir past, however privileged or unsavory, and in doing soit created new beginnings for developmental life changes.

Basic training defined a recruit’s past as irrelevant. This def-inition encouraged independence and responsibility, sepa-rated recruits from the influence of their home communityand family, and allowed a degree of social autonomy inestablishing new ties. Basic training also promoted equalityand comradeship among unit members, made prior identi-ties irrelevant, required uniform dress and appearance, min-imized privacy, and rewarded performance based on groupachievement.

A second distinctive feature involves “a clear-cut breakfrom the age-graded career,” a time-out in which to sortout matters and make a new beginning. Military dutylegitimized a time-out from education, work, and family,and liberated the recruit from all conventional expectationsfor an age-graded career, such as expectations regardingprogress and life decisions. Just being in the armed forcesreleased the recruit from probing life-decision questionsfrom parents (e.g., Have you decided on a job or career?When will you be promoted or get married?). This time-outwould be far less timely for men and women who weremobilized in the midst of family and career responsibilities.

A third feature of mobilization offered a broadenedrange of developmental experiences and knowledge,including exposure to in-service skill training and educa-tional programs, as well as exposure to new interactionaland cultural experiences through service itineraries thatextended across the country and overseas. Out of suchexperiences came a greater range of interpersonal con-tacts, social models, and vocational skills. Horizons werebroadened and aspirations elevated.

The principle of historical time and place acknowledgesthe essential complementarity of two perspectives—historical and ecological. The impact of historical time isexpressed through its ecology. Thus the Great Depression’simpact varied in manifestation by region and size of placein the United States. Many of the basic life course conceptsjust noted and the linking mechanisms and principlesemerged from an historical study of children who wereinfluenced by the Great Depression, though the projectpaid little attention to ecological variations. However,remarkable progress in recent decades has been made inapplying such analytic tools in spatially oriented researchon changing neighborhoods, communities, and societies.This work investigates migration, a form of social changethat begins with the geographic movement of people fromone context to another. Progress to date reflects increasingsophistication with respect to sampling, research design,and measurement. We turn now to a consideration ofthese advances.

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LIVES AND CONTEXT: HUMAN AGENCYAND SOCIAL OPTIONS

Contexts of human development generally bring to mindsocial environments at a point in time, but the life courseframework views environment as highly interactive andtemporal. A child’s social network is not a fixed socialstructure but rather a dynamic system of social relation-ships. A key feature of this process involves the continualentry of new participants and the departure of membersthrough mortality and exit transitions such as residentialchange. Although communities vary greatly on residen-tial stability, most gain and lose a significant number ofresidents over several years. Ever since the 1960s, theincreasing application of longitudinal designs to the studyof lives has encouraged a corresponding study of theirtemporal social environments as well, and of the interplaybetween the lives of individuals and their changing world.

Context, in this chapter, refers to a range of settings,from clusters of houses to neighborhoods, villages, com-munities, and regions. The residential unit is common toall of these settings, but contexts may also include schools,daycare, and other social and physical environments thatchildren are exposed to and interact with over the lifecourse. Consider, for example, school mobility, or changesbetween schools (Crosnoe & Benner, Chapter 7, thisHandbook, this volume), a source of change in children’sexposure to social and institutional environments that canbe a positive or disruptive force in school performanceand social and emotional well-being. The effects of thesetransitions, especially moves between grade school andmiddle school and middle school and high school, aredependent on timing, the interplay among transitionsand other life events, and what resources the individualchild brings to the transition. Earlier transitions fromelementary to middle school are associated with negativestudent outcomes, as younger children may be less ableto adapt to their changing contexts (Simmons & Blyth,1987). A mismatch between children’s needs and theirnew, less intimate and more impersonal environments inmiddle school contributes to some of these negative effects(Eccles et al., 1993). However, if a change improves theperson-situation fit for students, such as moves to schoolsthat offer special programs and services that better suita child’s needs, outcomes are more likely to be positivedespite the potential disruptive effects of attending a newschool. In addition, school moves and life transitionsmay have cumulative effects that persist and grow, likecompound interest, through time.

As the number of school moves increases, or if schoolmoves are coupled with one or more residential moves,family disruptions, and other major life events, the chancesof negative outcomes for children increase (Simmons &Blyth, 1987). Children from disadvantaged socioeconomicand family backgrounds appear not only to have more dis-ruptions associated with school transitions, but also fewerresources to draw on to cope with their changing lives andcontexts (Beatty & the National Research Council, 2010).In the process of school mobility, social and institutionalcontexts, individual development and resources, and thecause of, or motivation for, moving interact in both timeand place to influence a range of child outcomes, from testscores to measures of self-esteem.

An additional, well-studied source of change in placein the lives of children is migration. The scientific study ofhuman migration has always involved a focus on the inter-play between individual lives and changing environments,in theory if not in life record data, and it has told us muchin recent years about how to think about the contextual-ization of human development. During the first decades ofthe 20th century, the early Chicago School of Sociologyfeatured studies of neighborhoods (Leventhal, Dupéré &Shuey, Chapter 13, this Handbook, this volume) in citiesand research on migration and immigration. Fifty yearslater, Wilson (1987) reinvigorated the contextual study ofurban social disadvantage with his penetrating analysis ofthe causes of concentrated poverty. Similarly, Massey andDenton (1993) gave renewed visibility to the pervasivenessand consequences of segregation in American Apartheid.All of these developments in theory, methods, and researchhave contributed to a new ecology of human development,which we sketch in the following sections.

Context and the Life Course

Three life course themes are important in thinking aboutthe contexts of children and young people. First, the con-textual history of the individual is inextricably linked to hisor her movement, both into and out of geographic places,most especially residential locations that are so much apart of one’s life course and a source of social ties and rolemodels. For the young who are still dependent on theirfamily, parents select a community or neighborhood ofdestination within various constraints. This choice makingshifts to offspring as they leave home for other places,whether within or outside their community. The qualitiesof human agency (initiative, resourcefulness, optimism,determination) play an important role in this process.

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Selection of a place in which to live or to attend schoolis not merely a unidirectional process, according to thenew ecology of human development; it is a reciprocalprocess. People select schools and neighborhoods, and thelatter select students and families through incentives andstandards, among other processes.

Second, the sequence of single and multiple social rolesacross one’s life can be coupled with movement withinand across places. Although frequently ignored, entryinto a new social role may involve more than exposureto new responsibilities—it may also include exposureto a new geographic location, such as a new neighbor-hood, school, or workplace. This linked change in rolesand contexts is common for young people as they leavehome to make their way in education, work, and family.Geographic, social role and age-graded trajectories areinterwoven across the life course as an evolving context ofhuman development.

A third consideration is important in thinking aboutthe contextual influences and constraints on humandevelopment—that all geographic places include individu-als who did not actively select them. These individuals playa role in shaping contextual influences. In addition, theseplaces are located in a surrounding environment (some-times called an externality). The new interdisciplinaryecology of human development, which emerged duringthe last two decades of the 20th century (Sampson, 2012),has shown that a school or neighborhood’s location withinthis surround (e.g., encompassing area) makes a significantdifference in the context’s developmental impact on itsfamilies and young people.

Conceptualization and Measurement

The increasingly nuanced understanding of the relationbetween lives and contexts that form this ecological per-spective relies, in part, on improvements in how contextualunits are conceptualized and measured (Wachs, Chapter 21,this Handbook, this volume). These advances are closelylinked, as it is necessary to develop concepts about thenature of the effects of space and place before they canbe measured. In assessing the influence of contexts onchildren’s lives, some important considerations includespecifying the spatial extent of contexts, identifying andmeasuring contextual traits, and integrating the spatialaspects of context with the inherently temporal natureof lives.

In pioneering studies of ecological psychology, Barkerand colleagues examined behavior settings, which consist

of small, contained units such as classrooms, churches, andbanks (Barker, 1968; Barker & Gump, 1964). Bronfen-brenner expanded the concept of context to include a nestedhierarchy of ecologies, not unlike a Russian Matryoshkadoll (Bronfenbrenner, 1979). These nested systems mightinclude the family, but also the school, community, andnation. Following the works of Wilson (1987) and Masseyand Denton (1993), neighborhood and community studiessought to investigate the effects of local areas on a rangeof outcomes. Multilevel trajectory statistical models werejoined with new data collection methods regarding socialecologies (Sampson, 2012). Studies of neighborhoodeffects have demonstrated that the poverty rate, ethniccomposition, and educational level of the census tracts,counties, and zip codes that children live in are importantfactors in their development.

Typically in neighborhood studies, administrative unitsassociated with an individual’s place of residence, such ascensus tracts, are used as proxies for neighborhood or com-munity. Indeed, demographers have long used geographicterritories and the aggregate characteristics of residents todescribe places, sometimes called “compositional effects”(Voss, 2007). However, recent work has advanced themeasurement of context beyond administrative or censusgeography to include spatial territories that are moremeaningful representations of the places in which peo-ple reside. For example, Matthews, Detweiler, & Burton(2005) developed an approach called “geo-ethnography,”which combines ethnographic information on families andneighborhoods with geographic information system (GIS)technology. With this approach, they are able to situatefamilies and children in both space and time as they goabout their daily activities. This work demonstrates thatthe lived experiences of families extend beyond the fixedspatial contexts of census tract and neighborhood.

Understanding the spatial extent of contexts and contex-tual processes has been expanded through the considerationof extralocal processes, or spatial externalities (Sampson,2012). Rather than simply focusing on the effects of neigh-borhood of residence on individuals, one may also considerthe effects of adjacent neighborhoods on individual oraggregate outcomes. This allows higher-order processes,such as the social structure of the city, to be considered intandem with local effects. For example, Sampson and col-leagues (Sampson, Morenoff, & Earls, 1999) showed that aneighborhood’s spatial proximity to areas with high levelsof social control for children and adult-child exchangeconfers advantages beyond the characteristics of thatparticular neighborhood.

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Neighborhood advantage and disadvantage are theresult of more than local conditions. Social and politicaldynamics that extend beyond the borders of any partic-ular neighborhood shape local contexts. Consider howextralocal decision processes can undermine the quantityand quality of resources that are available in a community.Decisions regarding the incorporation or annexation ofterritory can exclude minority-inhabited areas from ruralmunicipalities. Such exclusion creates disadvantagedresidential areas lacking infrastructure (such as sewers),services (including policing), and local political repre-sentation (Marsh, Parnell, & Joyner, 2010). Under suchconditions, residents are exposed to greater health risks andlower property values. In this manner, selective annexationcontributes to ethnic segregation and unequal access toresources (Lichter, Parisi, Grice, & Taquino, 2007).

However the geographic boundaries of places aredefined, places have some qualities that can be summa-rized by the traits of their inhabitants, such as medianincome or ethnic composition. Yet other aspects of placesmust be approached in a different way. As the under-standing of contextual effects has become more nuanced,it has been recognized that places have traits that aremore than simply the aggregate of the local population.With increasing interest in neighborhood effects, it hasbecome clear that community-level properties are worthyof systematic measurement in their own right. The termecometrics was coined to describe the growing set ofmethods and techniques used to produce and evaluatemeasurements of ecological settings (Raudenbush &Sampson, 1999).

An important addition to the study of context is theapplication of techniques of systematic social observation,or SSO (Reiss, 1971), to the measurement of the qualitiesof neighborhoods. This measurement system providesmetrics of places that are independent of the perceptions ofsurvey respondents. For example, in a study of responsesto crime in Baltimore neighborhoods, interviews wereconducted with residents that included questions aboutthe perception of the neighborhood (Taylor, Shumaker,& Gottfredson, 1985). Then, trained raters walked thestreets surrounding the respondents’ homes and collectedinformation on a range of physical and social traits, includ-ing housing layout, traffic volume, and persons loitering(Taylor, 1997). This early work demonstrated that reliableand consistent measurements of observed neighborhoodenvironments could be carried out.

The Project on Human Development in ChicagoNeighborhoods (PHDCN) enlarged the ways in which

contexts are conceived of and measured (Sampson, 2012).The project followed the example set by earlier work in thatit combined family surveys with SSO while incorporatinga breadth of additional material about community contexts.These studies aimed to capture aspects of communitycontext that cannot be gleaned from methods that focus onindividuals and families. A community survey addressedthe structural and cultural organization of neighborhoodsand interviews with community leaders who were includedin a key informant study. Other aspects of community con-text were measured using a variety of sources, includingcensus returns, police and court records, and health statis-tics. Follow-ups were conducted for the SSO, communitysurvey, and informant interviews, allowing for the study ofneighborhood stability and change.

Subsequent studies, such as the Los Angeles Familyand Neighborhood Survey (L.A. FANS), have drawnon the materials developed for the PHDCN (Peterson,Sastry, & Pebley, 2007). The National Children’s Study(NCS) developed protocols for SSO that are applicableto rural contexts, such as Duplin County, North Carolina(Walter, Dole, Siega-Riz, & Entwisle, 2011). Rural con-texts had previously proved challenging to measure withSSO methods designed for cities. Census tracts, oftenused as a definition of neighborhood or community, areless applicable to rural settings, and a commonly usedobservation unit, the block or block face, does not occuron rural roads. In addition, the NCS includes local mea-sures of the environment, such as air quality, in its datacollection effort.

Some social processes occur at the neighborhood orcommunity levels that are not well captured by aggre-gate data. For example, collective efficacy is a socialprocess that is measured and evaluated at the communitylevel. Broadly defined, it indicates the social cohesionamong neighbors and their willingness to intervene for thecommon good (Sampson, Raudenbush, & Earls, 1997).Just as individuals vary in self-efficacy, communitiesalso vary in the extent to which they achieve collectiveaction. Neighborhoods ranked high on collective efficacyare associated with lower levels of violence, as well asa variety of other outcomes including increased supervi-sion and monitoring of children (Sampson, Morenoff, &Gannon-Rowley, 2002). One of the mechanisms throughwhich collective efficacy operates is the activation of socialties to bring about community action.

The measurement and conceptualization of contextsand contextual processes is an essential first step in under-standing how individuals and contexts interact, yet it is

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also important to connect contexts with the temporal flowof lives. Local networks of social ties represent anotherdimension of contexts that have consequences for children.In Coleman’s study of high school completion (1988),frequent residential mobility decreased the chances of highschool graduation. Residential moves may entail the lossof social capital, as local social ties are severed, adverselyaffecting educational outcomes. A study of residentialmobility in Toronto demonstrated that life course concepts,specifically the concept of linked lives, offers a morenuanced understanding of the connections between localsocial ties and high school completion (Hagan, MacMillan,& Wheaton, 1996). Children from families with low levelsof parental support are more susceptible to the negativeeffects of moving than children from families with highlevels of support, suggesting that parents can partiallycompensate for the loss of social capital.

Children’s social networks also change over time.Friendships are moving sets and systems of relation-ships that change frequently during childhood (Rubin,Bukowski, & Bowker, Chapter 5, this Handbook, thisvolume). In a longitudinal study of almost 700 youth,Cairns and Cairns (1994) tracked, among other things, thestability and change in peer groups. Moving by changingschools or classrooms and taking up new activities pro-vide new opportunities for forming friendships, and, as aresult, the peer groups of children and adolescents can berather fluid. Indeed, spatial propinquity is one of the mostimportant factors in forming and maintaining childhoodfriendships. Despite the changeable nature of peer groups,they have a lasting impact, as members of the same socialgroups in childhood tend to have similar outcomes laterin life, including the experience of dropping out of schooland bearing children in the teenage years. Early peeraffiliations may place constraints on subsequent pathwaysfor children, or new friendships may repeat the features ofearlier ones.

Children are exposed to a sequence of different contextsover varying durations and periods in their development.There are certain times when they are more susceptible tothe influence of their ecological settings. For example, ithas been demonstrated that early exposures have importantand enduring effects. In a longitudinal study of childrenin British Columbia, exposure to concentrated disadvan-tage in kindergarten (i.e., a composite measure of severaldimensions of social and economic inequality), had alasting effect on reading comprehension scores at Grade7 (Lloyd, Li, & Hertzman, 2010). The effect of neighbor-hood concentrated disadvantage during Grade 7 had no

independent effect on reading scores, implying that earlyexposure had significant and enduring effects.

Duration of exposure to contexts is another importantconsideration in assessing the interaction of ecolog-ical effects and the life course. Wheaton and Clarke(2003) found a lagged and cumulative effect of childhoodsocioeconomic disadvantage on mental health in youngadulthood. Young adults’ current exposure to socioeco-nomic disadvantage had no effect on mental health net ofthe effects of childhood exposure. Using the PHDCN data,Sampson, Sharkey, and Raudenbush (2008) found thatearly exposure to neighborhood disadvantage has laggedeffects on verbal scores several years later. The effects ofexposure to concentrated disadvantage on verbal abilitywere long lasting rather than instantaneous. Contextualinfluences vary by “dosage,” and the frequency, intensity,timing, and cumulative exposure to a particular contextare determinants of the strength of neighborhood effects(Galster, 2011).

A complete understanding of context and the lifecourse includes an integration of the spatial aspect ofplaces with the temporal dynamics that characterize thelife course. Places are not static entities, they change astheir inhabitants enter and exit, the physical environmentalters, and local social dynamics shift. Consider the NangRong study in rural Northeast Thailand, an example of alongitudinal study of both changing individuals and theirchanging environments, with emphasis on the transition toadulthood. Because this study illustrates many of the con-cepts of context and lives, we provide a full account of it.This multidisciplinary project began as a community-basedrural development intervention in 1984 (Walsh, Rindfuss,Prasartkul, Entwisle, & Chamratirinthirong, 2005). NangRong is a rural, formerly frontier area, dominated by small-holder agriculture, with rice and cassava as principal crops.Once the frontier closed, in-migration to the region ceasedand a period characterized by out-migration to urban areas,labor migration, and development efforts began. Severalwaves of social surveys and migrant follow-up studieswere supplemented by a wealth of contextual information,including aerial and satellite image time series, and otherdetailed geographic information. With this information,analysts were able to track individual, community, andenvironmental change over time. Modeling efforts also linkindividual and household behavior with land use change(Entwisle, Malanson, Rindfuss & Walsh, 2008).

Studies using data from the Nang Rong project illustrateconcepts that tie contexts to the life course, particularlyexposure to new contexts and opportunities associated

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with young adult migration and the effects of the durationand cumulative exposure to contexts. With a longitudinaldesign, and a series of migrant follow-ups, these data arewell suited to study the transition to adulthood, whichin Thai society involves the completion of education,entry into the labor force, marriage, and the initiation ofchildbearing. In Nang Rong, migration is an importantcomponent of the transition to adulthood because bothshort- and long-term labor migrations are common formen and women. As young people leave the parental homeand natal village, they are exposed to new contexts thatinfluence and are influenced by the changes in roles andstatuses that occur during the transition to adulthood.

In Thai society, there are strong norms about the order-ing of employment and marriage, especially for youngmen, who are expected to be financially equipped formarriage. Though migration tends to delay marriage inWestern contexts (Rindfuss, 1991), in Nang Rong, bothyoung men and women who participate in labor migra-tion marry sooner than their counterparts who remain intheir village of origin (Jampaklay, 2006). For women,the positive effect of migration on marriage remains evenafter controlling for schooling and employment, whereasfor men, the effect of migration on marriage is entirelyexplained by employment. There are differences betweenmigrants and nonmigrants not only in the timing of mar-riage, but also in the village of origin of their spouses.Migration exposes young people to new social groups, andas a result, they are more likely to marry individuals fromoutside of their village. Young people who seek work innonagricultural settings, such as factories, are even morelikely to have a village exogamous marriage.

Migration experiences also influence entry into child-bearing. However, the effect of migration on childbearingvaries by family formation stage, suggesting that the newsettings migrants are exposed to operate differently atdifferent points in the life course. For instance, migrantstatus is associated with higher fertility, but only amonglow-parity (0 or 1) women, who are in the early stages offamily formation (Edmeades, 2006). Migration influencesfertility by encouraging early entry into marriage, andthereby earlier childbearing. Despite the earlier initiationof childbearing by migrants, cumulative urban experienceover the life course has a dampening effect on total fertility,as urban migrants adopt the lower childbearing norms ofcity dwellers. Thus, the effect of migration experiencesand urban contexts play out over an extended period, andone must consider an entire childbearing career to gain acomplete understanding of its relation to migration.

As we have noted, contexts are not static entities in thelives of children. They move through different contextsas a result of residential mobility, changing schools, andchanging roles in the course of their lives and develop-ment. It follows that the context of human development isa system of complex and reciprocal interactions betweenindividuals and their ecologies. Places can shape andinfluence the trajectories of children, often in complicatedways, as in the case of lagged and cumulative effects.Young people also shape their contexts, as they choose cer-tain actions, such as labor migration, or build networks offriends. However, no understanding of the relation betweenindividuals and their contexts is complete without consid-ering the ways in which individuals select or are sorted intoparticular contexts.

Selection and the Life Course: A Social Process

Some young people leave their community to seek work,whereas others stay behind. Individual qualities tied toagency, such as initiative and resourcefulness, are cer-tainly factors in determining who migrates. However, theselection of places to live, work, and attend school are notsolely determined by individuals. Through mechanismssuch as structures of opportunities, limitations, and incen-tives, places also select people. The process of selectioninto and out of contexts illustrates how individual agencyand broader structural factors combine to influence thecontextual history of the individual.

In a study of Iowa adolescents conducted in the wakeof the farm crisis of the 1980s, Elder, King, and Conger(1996) examined the pathways by which adolescentsdecide to remain near home or move to new communities.Residential choices are contingent on educational and workplans, but are also shaped by preferences to live near fam-ily. These preferences, sometimes established by 8th grade,before adolescents formulate concrete notions about futurework or college, can set geographic boundaries on otherchoices, such as whether to attend an in-state college orsearch for work in the local area. Yet, adolescents’ prefer-ences are influenced by changing conditions, such as theperception of limited job opportunities and family conflict,which weaken the inclination to remain near home. Schoolperformance and college prospects also change over timeand can draw students away from family and community.Thus, residential decisions are formed in part by individualpreferences, but are also molded by sets of social contexts,ties, and options, such as employment and educationalprospects and the quality of family relationships.

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Self-selection into situations and contexts representsa fundamental conceptual dynamic in the life course.With every transition, individuals are faced with choicesand decision making within the bounds of their knowledge,resources, opportunities, and constraints. Selection has alsobeen treated as a methodological concern because failureto account for preexisting differences that contribute toselection can skew estimates of the outcome of interest.Selection in this sense presents challenges in understand-ing cause and effect. For example, there are competinghypotheses about the relation between low SES and health(George, 2003a). Hypotheses of social causation assumethat low SES contributes to poor health outcomes amongyoung people. Social factors affect health either directly,through access to health resources, or indirectly, as inthe case of exposure to stress and toxic environments.Alternately, a social selection hypothesis states that poorhealth has social consequences that contribute to decliningSES, such as impaired capacity to work. However, bothhypotheses can be valid, because the relation between SESand health is reciprocal. Social factors may contribute tohealth at the same time that health may cause changes insocial status.

Research concerned with the methodological dimen-sions of selection has prevailed for many years.Experimental designs were proposed to address selec-tion effects through random assignment to treatmentgroups. The Moving to Opportunity (MTO) programrepresents an ambitious attempt to apply an experimentaldesign to the implementation of housing assistance pro-grams (Sanbonmatsu et al., 2011). The experiment wasdesigned to assess whether moving from a high-povertyneighborhood to a lower-poverty neighborhood improvesthe social and economic prospects of low-income families.Selection bias makes this question difficult to answerbecause certain types of families, such as those possessingmore resources, are more likely to move. To address thismethodological concern, MTO provided a randomizeddesign capable of parsing the differences between moversand nonmovers (for more detail on MTO and selection, seeElder & Shanahan, 2006).

Randomized designs, such as MTO, are rare andoften impractical to implement. Despite some of thetraction gained on the methodological challenges asso-ciated with selection, they offer an imperfect solution.For example, these designs cannot uncover the specificmechanisms through which neighborhoods influencewell-being (Sampson et al., 2002). Selection is not solelythe domain of methodology, because the process of

selection into particular contexts can be viewed throughlife course theory, especially the concepts of agency andpathways (George, 2003b). From a life course perspective,selection represents a substantive research issue. In thislight, contexts reflect prior experiences, or the pathwaysthough with individuals become exposed to a particularenvironment.

As Sampson (2012) made clear, selection is a socialprocess worthy of study in its own right. Sorting intoand out of particular places can be seen as a series oflinked processes that operate through individual actionsand broader community and social structures. Individualschoose where to live, but make their choices within setsof preferences and constraints. Particular contexts may becharacterized as recruiting and sorting individuals throughincentives or obstacles to membership. Developing concep-tual models of how selection occurs aids in understandingthese processes. This is not the case when selection effectsare merely statistically controlled (Caspi, 2004).

When selection is considered a social phenomenon,it is possible to investigate the reciprocal processes bywhich contexts choose people and people choose contexts.Although not concerned directly with changes in place,several lines of research have elucidated the dynamics ofselection processes. This reciprocal perspective is illus-trated by the choices young people make as they decideto enter the voluntary armed forces, the work force, orcollege. Using data from the National Longitudinal Studyof Adolescent Health (Add Health), Elder et al. (2010)examined the role of disadvantaged background, lack ofsocial connectedness, and behavioral problems in drawingyoung men into the military instead of college or the labormarket. The volunteer military offers socioeconomic,educational, and developmental incentives and presents aset of risks including injury and death. Other options, suchas enrollment in college, also have associated incentives,as well as prerequisites such as resources to meet tuitionexpenses and adequate academic performance. The resultsof Elder and his colleagues suggest that young peopleweigh the advantages and disadvantages of joining themilitary against alternative paths.

Access to resources is a factor in the decision, as themost advantaged are more likely to attend college, whereasthe most disadvantaged may not meet the minimumrequirements for enlistment. Prior experiences are alsoimportant, as students with less stable families, low levelsof social support, and involvement in problem behaviorssuch as fighting are more likely to enlist than their respec-tive counterparts. Social ties may also lead students to

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select into different tracks, as those with friends in themilitary or a family history of military service are morelikely to enter the military rather than college or work.When students exit school, a variety of individual andsocial factors interact with a set of institutional incentivesand obstacles to channel young adults toward college, thework force, or the military. The benefits and costs incurredby joining the military vary with the particular backgroundof the individual, but the goal of maximizing opportunitiesdrives decisions that are made within the constraints andopportunities afforded by an individual’s own set of traits(Wang, Elder, & Spence, 2012).

Students are faced with selection into certain pathwaysbefore they leave school and make choices about enteringwork, the military, or college. School tracking, or theselection of students into different curricula based onprevious performance, can allocate students to differentpathways, such as college preparation or vocational train-ing. Yet, there is great variation among tracking systemsin selection criteria and the possibility to move betweendifferent tracks (Gamoran, 1992). In some schools, track-ing may be a strong signal of student’s future achievement,especially when it permits advantages to accrue to stu-dents who already have them (Lucas, 1999), but thereis a significant amount of contextual variation. In somecases, students elect their curricular track, but in otherinstances a track is chosen for them. Regardless of whetherthe track is elective or not, it places a student on a paththat has consequences for their future educational andoccupational trajectories.

Young adults also exercise agency when they leave theparental home and select the community in which they willreside. However, these acts of agency are not disconnectedfrom the reciprocal selection processes that occur betweenindividuals and contexts. For example, although a youngperson may choose the community in which to reside afterleaving the parental home, subsequent residential changesmay occur that are out of his or her control, such as shiftsin neighborhood composition. These changes illustrate howthe reciprocal relation extends beyond individuals and theircontexts to include the people around them.

In a study of geographic change during young adult-hood using PHDCN and the Panel Study of Income Dynam-ics (PSID), Sharkey (2012) observed patterns of continuityand change in residential conditions between childhood andadulthood in segregated urban areas. Among young adultswho exit segregated cities, he observed a trend toward eth-nic equality, as young adults move into more integratedneighborhoods. Yet, as these individuals move further into

adulthood, there is a reproduction of initial neighborhoodinequality. Sharkey described this process in terms of “se-lected” and “unselected” change. Young adults who “selectout” of extremely segregated areas end up returning to seg-regated areas later in life. One explanation for this trend isthe process of “unselected change,” or change in the neigh-borhood environment that occurs around individuals. Suchchange, in this case increasing segregation, runs counterto the preference of the individual for an integrated neigh-borhood. Put another way, “selected change” leads youngadults into relatively integrated environments, but “unse-lected change” contributes to increasing segregation aroundthem over time.

The agency of young adults is a factor in selectioninto residential areas, but it is only one part of a recip-rocal process, as residential environments change aroundindividuals. In Sharkey’s words, “to understand change,one must move beyond an exclusive focus on individ-ual choices and instead consider systems of interrelateddecisions made by individuals responding to the changeoccurring around them” (2012, p. 21). So, neighborhoodinequality is transmitted from childhood to adulthood notonly because of individual choices, and the choices madeby other people in their community. Neighborhood con-texts change as their inhabitants change, but some qualitiesof neighborhoods, such as segregation, are also reproducedover time. Thus, a complete understanding of selection intoa context requires the consideration of individual choicesas well as overarching structures (in this case ethnic andclass segregation) and the decisions of others.

Much of the work that stems from a renewed focus oncontextual influences owes a debt to the ecological modelsof Barker, Bronfenbrenner, Lewin, and their students.When principles of life course theory are connected withincreasingly nuanced understandings of place and contextin the new ecology of human development, we gain afuller appreciation of the ways in which lives shape placesand places shape lives. This bidirectional interaction ofcontexts and the life course sheds light on the processesthrough which individuals self-select or are channeledinto contexts. The inherently temporal nature of the lifecourse, which is concerned with change, trajectories, andhuman agency, reminds us that people are not entitieson which static contexts exert influence. Contexts areconstantly changing as well, and the interplay betweenpeople and contexts often depends on the timing, duration,and intensity of exposures and interactions. We turn nowto a consideration of the developmental impact of socialchange in historical time and place.

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The Impact of Historical Time and Place

Major historical events and the proliferation of longitudinalstudies have drawn attention to the potential developmentalinfluence of historical change and its ecologies. As wenoted earlier, the Great Depression of the 1930s per-suaded psychologists at the Berkeley Institute to collectinformation on the changing SES of the Oakland andBerkeley study children. These data were not used at thetime, but their presence in the data archive some 30 yearslater enabled research on the life-long impact of thiseconomic crisis.

This incident is not an isolated case, and it was not soeven in the 1930s to 1940s, a time when few longitudinalstudies were in operation. For example, Terman decidedto collect information on military experience in WorldWar II when an increasing number of young men in hisstudy of “gifted children” (Holahan & Sears, 1995) weremobilized into the armed forces. The W. T. Grant Studyof college men at Harvard University (1938–1942) alsofocused much of the data collection during the 1940s onmilitary service (Monks, 1957). War-related data fromthese two studies have been used to assess the life courseinfluence of military experience (Lee, Vaillant, Torrey, &Elder, 1995; Elder, Shanahan, & Clipp, 1997). In addition,data collection of longitudinal studies has been influencedby the Great Recession that took place between 2008 and2011 (Vuolo, Staff, & Mortimer, 2012), resulting in thecollection of more detailed information on socioeconomicadaptation.

Studying Lives in Context: Some Considerations

In designing a longitudinal study to investigate the influ-ence of social change and its social ecologies, researchersare advised to add a comparative cohort to obtain insightsregarding historical change. Lacking such a cohort, theanalyst would not be able to determine the generalityof a study’s findings. Consider Children of the GreatDepression (Elder, 1974/1999), which is based on childrenwho were born and reared in a specific historical timeand place, defined by culture, social institutions, anddiversity of people—the 1920s, the San Francisco EastBay, California. The book also describes a very differentDepression experience in Great Britain, Germany, andJapan. Even in the United States, conditions during theGreat Depression varied among cities, East and West, andbetween rural and urban places. In view of this variation,the study’s generalizations are uncertain. Also uncertain

are generalizations across historical time such as periodsof economic depression and prosperity.

However, it is still possible to focus on historicalvariations “within a specific birth cohort” because notall members are uniformly exposed to the same change.Consider the Oakland cohort with birthdates of 1920–1921(Elder, 1974/1999). Some of the young people wereexposed to severe economic loss in the 1930s, while oth-ers were largely spared hardship and family disruption.Variations of this kind were observed among families inthe middle and working class as of 1929, enabling a delin-eation of nondeprived and deprived groups for systematiccomparison. This design revealed enduring differentialconsequences for children’s life chances that extended intotheir middle years.

This study of children of the Great Depression eventu-ally added a comparative cohort for the Oakland sample,the Berkeley study members who were born at the otherend of the 1920s just prior to the economic collapse.With this extension, the project was able to show that theyounger Berkeley boys were at greater risk of impaireddevelopment in hard-pressed families during the GreatDepression than were the older Oakland boys. In theyounger Berkeley cohort, boys in hard-pressed familiestended to lose contact with their self-absorbed fathers,even when physically present. Cohort differences weregenerally reversed among the girls. The younger Berke-ley cohort fared better, owing to the nurturance of themother-daughter relationship and the social disadvantageof the Oakland girls who were going through physical andsocial maturation during hard times.

The Great Depression transformed the social world ofthe Oakland and Berkeley children, but this event provedto be merely part of their changing life story since theywere exposed to the mobilization of World War II duringthe early 1940s and then the Korean War in the early1950s. The Oakland cohort completed high school justprior to the onset of World War II and soon nearly all ofthe young men had entered the armed forces. Most of theOakland girls were eventually drawn into the home-frontlabor force in the San Francisco region, especially thebooming shipyards. The Berkeley children were too youngfor military service at the beginning, but three-fourthsof the males served in the military between 1945 andthe end of the Korean War in the early 1950s. AlthoughChildren of the Great Depression did not explore thiswartime experience, the adult lives of both cohorts sug-gested that an understanding of them would be incompletewithout investigating the lifelong impact of both economic

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depression and war. To obtain essential life history dataon the wartime experience and its effects, a research teamin the mid-1980s obtained a completed military servicequestionnaire from men in both cohorts.

The men who grew up in financially strained familiesduring the Great Depression frequently saw military ser-vice as a “bridge to greater opportunity.” However, justas Children of the Great Depression noted, the impact ofthis life transition depended on when it occurred in men’slives—their life stage. According to the balance of costsand benefits, military service in both cohorts favored therecruit who entered shortly after completing secondaryschool. This time of recruitment came well before com-mitments to higher education, a marriage partner, children,and a line of work. By contrast, later recruitment tendedto disrupt all of these activities (Elder & Caspi, 1990).The later the time of entry, the greater the disruption andlife consequences among men in both birth cohorts.

Especially in the Berkeley cohort that was moreadversely affected by hard times (Elder, 1986), youngmen with multiple disadvantages (such as a deprivedfamily, poor grades, and feelings of inadequacy) weremost likely to join up and to do so as soon as possible.In combination, these factors predicted early entry intomilitary service and its pathway to personal growth andgreater opportunity. Early entrants experienced greater lifebenefits from the service up to the middle years than didlater entrants and their occupational achievements by age40 showed no adverse effect of hard times. These benefitsoccurred through situational changes in the service thatmade recruits more ambitious, assertive, and self-directedas well as through government benefits to veterans inaccess to higher education and in loans for the purchaseof housing.

The influence of military service remains largely a“black box” of unknown processes in the Berkeley andOakland cohorts. However, insights regarding some ofthese processes have come from a compelling test of theearly entry hypothesis. Two sociologists, Sampson andLaub (1996) made use of life record data on men who grewup in poverty areas of Boston (birth years, 1925–1930).More than 70% entered World War II. The sample camefrom a study of 500 delinquent European American boys(aged 10–17) who were committed to correctional schoolsin the state (Glueck & Glueck, 1968). They were matchedwith European American nondelinquents from the Bostonschools. A rich body of life-history data collected on thesestudy members between 1940 and 1965 provides unusualdetail on the men’s service experiences (they entered at

18 or 19 and served over 2 years) including in-servicetraining, special schools, exposure to military justice, andarrests. The delinquent boys ended up with a much longerstring of antisocial events, and were less apt to obtainin-service training and veteran benefits from the GI Bill.But they were more likely to benefit from the serviceover their life course, when compared to the controls,and this pattern was especially true for men who enteredthe service at an early age. In-service training, over-seas duty, and veteran benefits for education and housingsignificantly enhanced the job stability of men with a delin-quent past, especially when they entered the service at ayoung age.

Life stage at exposure to Depression hardship andmilitary duty in World War II tells contrasting stories ofrisk. “Young boys” were most adversely influenced by hardtimes, whereas older male recruits to the armed forces wereat greatest disadvantage when they entered the service.Because these males were drawn to military service atan early age, they experienced its greatest benefits (as abenefit/cost ratio), thereby tending to counter the negativeeffects of their adversities in the Great Depression. For thiscohort, the military clearly represented a pathway to greateropportunity through postwar prosperity, offsetting muchof the damage of growing up in hard times. In this manner,they avoided becoming members of the “lost generationfrom the Depression years” that was forecast at the time.In the aftermath of military defeat in World War II, the warand postwar eras proved to be much harder and perilousfor those who served in the armed forces of Germany andImperial Japan.

The Oakland and Berkeley studies of the effects ofsocial change used data from small longitudinal sam-ples that were designed to address different questions.The initiation of these and other studies prior to the GreatDepression and World War II provided a rare opportunityto investigate the impact of these historical events onstudy members’ lives. In the following section we lookat more contemporary projects with much larger cohortsand samples. Their ecological units are also much larger insize, such as rural versus urban and entire provinces.

We begin with a comparative cohort study of the lifecourse and health in regions of contemporary China thatis based on methods that are particularly useful in the firststage of a social change project. The rural-urban divideprovides the major ecological contrast, although significantadvances have been made toward more detailed studies ofecological variations within the country. This section isfollowed by longitudinal studies of transforming change in

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Eastern Europe, with a focus on the life course and humandevelopment of young people as they make their transitionto new political worlds. Contemporary ecological modelsof human development will enrich future extensions ofthese studies.

Social Change in Life Course Health:The Case of China

Research on societal change often requires a generalanalytic approach that maps the conceptual territory andidentifies the primary influences for more intensive studylike that provided by the Oakland and Berkeley studies.One such study design focuses on the age/period/cohortdistinction. Age refers to aging, the life course and thestudy member’s life stage at any time; period indicatesthe historical time of survey measurement and context;and cohort refers to a group defined by year of birth orentry into the system, such as a child’s transition to pri-mary school. Traditionally, an age/period/cohort analysisrepresents the initial step toward identifying significanteffects that can then be investigated in a more focused andin-depth manner. The troubling statistical issue here is thateach parameter is completely defined in terms of the othertwo, producing an unsolvable identification problem.

Recent advances in statistical evidence address this chal-lenge. A book by Yang and Land (2013) presents applica-tions of this advance within the history of age/period/cohortstudies. A possible solution to the identification problemis to exclude one of the three components on the basis ofsubstantive and/or methodological issues. The simplicityof this approach is an advantage as is its substantive rele-vance when the issue concerns study of an historical effectbecause this effect is expressed in terms of both period andcohort influences.

A good example includes only age and cohort in themodel, with a focus on their interaction. Consider a pro-nounced downturn in the economy. A period effect tendsto widen the gap between cohort trajectories over timeand thus indicates a cohort effect. A longitudinal designalso favors this interpretation because repeated observa-tions over time for an individual generate a person/yeardata set that is distinguished by only a single indicatorof time—it can be either age or period but not both.The best way to grasp these distinctions is to see themat work in a research project on a changing society, suchas China.

Social change and rural–urban inequality are centralthemes of contemporary China, and, as Whyte observed

(2010), socioeconomic prosperity is heavily concentratedin the urban sector which is still largely “walled off” forpeople who live in rural China, owing to the migrationconstraints of rural household registration. Over 60% ofthe Chinese population resides in rural provinces. A studyby Chen, Yang, and Liu (2010) addressed the health conse-quences of social inequality and the rural–urban divide inChina. They used survey data from the longitudinal ChinaHealth and Nutrition Survey, a collaborative project withinstitutions in the United States and China. The surveyincludes a five-wave data set that spans 13 years, from1991 to 2004. The age span begins at 21 years and extendswell into late life.

Multiple waves in the project enabled a cohort analy-sis of age change in health and its relation to historical,rural–urban, and life-stage contexts. Respondents aged asmembers of each 10-year cohort across the follow-ups,producing age-graded cohort trajectories of self-reportedhealth. The cohort members were asked about their healthon a standard 4-point scale in each follow-up. Numerousstudies have shown that this global measure is predic-tive of subsequent health and mortality (Chen et al.,2010). SES was measured by education and per capitafamily income. The investigators used a theory of cumu-lative disadvantage to account for the enduring effects ofsocioeconomic inequality.

The analysis addressed the effect of social inequal-ity on self-reported health across the life course (withincohort) and the question of whether this life pattern variedacross cohorts (an intercohort or social change effect).As noted earlier, the study focused on the effects of ageas well as cohort and their interaction, and excluded theperiod parameter from the analysis. Because cohorts varyby age across historical moments, any historical effectswould likely generate cohort differences in age-relatedoutcomes. The results clearly document a strong intraco-hort link between patterns of social inequality and healthdifferentials across the life span. With adjustments forcohort, the data reveal a process of cumulative disadvan-tage involving both limited education and income—thesocioeconomic differential in access to health care, healthself-care, and social support is greater at older than atyounger ages and is influenced by income and education.These findings are consistent with those obtained in theUnited States.

However, variations across birth cohorts differ sharplyfrom those observed in the United States. The impact ofeducational attainment on mean level of health decreasedacross successive cohorts, from the older to the younger, a

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trend that is most pronounced in rural China. In addition,rural health care has declined more than urban health carein the recent reform era. More advantaged populationsin developing societies tend to adopt a life style withunhealthy diets, less frequent exercise, and excessivedrinking and smoking (Chen et al., 2010; Harris, 2010).Longitudinal research indicates that this problematic lifestyle is established in childhood and adolescence, andfollows an upward trend of accentuation into the middleyears (Harris, 2010). Problems of obesity and chronicdisease are associated with this life style.

The two major findings based on “within and between”cohort analyses are suggestive of promising next stepsin this line of research. The study clearly shows a strongcumulative effect of social inequality on self-reportedhealth, and identifies some explanatory processes, suchas inadequate access to health care. We know that educa-tional level makes a significant difference in the selectionof available health care, but what other factors accountfor this process? What about the declining influence ofeducational level on self-reported health between older andyounger cohorts? Can we learn something from the studymembers who are most and least likely to show a relationbetween education and the use of available health care?These are the kinds of questions that might emerge froman age/period/cohort analysis.

The census-like design of this China longitudinal sur-vey clearly leaves much to the imagination on explanatoryprocesses. A large-scale study of this kind can only providea skeletal picture of the relation between social changeand health across the life course. More focused researchis needed on each sequential life transition across thelife course, but this China project helps to frame moreexplanatory studies. One possibility is to extend the agerange downward to the middle years of adolescence.These early years of development are vulnerable to therisks of a rapidly changing society, and set in motion thedirection of developmental and health trajectories, withmajor consequences for the transition to adulthood and theyoung adult years.

The China longitudinal study addressed a long-termprocess of social change and thus differs significantlyin adaptational requirements from the drastic economicdecline and recovery cycle of the Great Depression.Observation of such change requires a shorter time span,one that may provide a sharp contrast of before and afterthe event. We turn now to studies that capture the lifecourse effect of drastic change in the Soviet empire and inEast Germany many decades after the end of World War ll.

Societal Dissolution and Unification:Their Impact on Young Lives

Very little is known about the lives of Europeans who grewup in the hard years of social displacement, institutionalchange, and extreme poverty after World War II (Judt,2005), but studies of social transformation in EasternEurope and the Central Asian sector of the continentprovide vivid evidence of the human consequences ofthis era of personal change—from the break-up of theSoviet Union in 1990–1991 following “an era of liber-alization” to the unification of Germany after 40 yearsof separation between West Germany and the GermanDemocratic Republic.

These two examples of social change in young peoples’lives represent contrasting processes. The dissolution ofthe Soviet Union led to 15 republics that became sovereignstates. In a unique nationwide longitudinal study (Titma &Tuma, 2005), young people who began their schooling inthe USSR suddenly found themselves in different countriesdefined by different cultures, socioeconomic systems, andlife opportunities.

By contrast, the postwar history of Germany was shapedby its division into two countries, the Federal Republic ofGermany in the west and the German Democratic Republicin the east within the orbit of the Union of Soviet SocialistRepublics. Greater liberalization in the USSR during thelate 1980s set in motion a process of change that led tothe “fall of the wall,” separating West and East Germany,and the political process of unification. East Germanswere incorporated into the Federal Republic of Germanyas the latter’s social institutions and financial resourceswere transferred to the former East Germany. We beginthis section with the Soviet Union’s dissolution and itslife course effects because this process defined the largercontext for German unification.

When the Soviet Union Dissolved

Imagine the beginning of a national longitudinal studyof young people’s lives just prior to a political trans-formation that turned all of the society’s states intosovereign countries with different governments, socioe-conomic structures, and cultures. This scenario actuallyoccurred during the research project of sociologist MikkTitma, which began in the 1980s in the Soviet Union andcontinued into the 1990s. The good fortune of such unex-pected change is that he managed to continue collectingdata on the lives of the study members in their diversepost-Soviet worlds. They were all secondary school

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graduates across the Soviet Union when first surveyed in1983–1984.

The Paths of a Generation project (see Titma & Tuma,2005) focused initially on the developmental trajectoriesof early life careers, but in the post-Soviet era it becamea study of social change in socioeconomic attainment andloss. With his research team, Titma succeeded in follow-ing up most of the study members who were living in sixsuccessor states—Estonia and Latvia along the Baltic rim,Russia, Belarus, the Ukraine, and the Central Asian countryof Tajikistan. The first follow-up occurred in 1988 to 1989,the second in 1993 to 1994, and the third in 1997 to 1999when the study members were in their 30s. The analysis isbased on approximately 12,000 young men and women.

As a birth cohort from the late 1960s, the study mem-bers were following a timely trajectory because they hadcompleted their basic education before the dissolutionof the Soviet Union and thus were able to move intothe post-Communist era and take advantage of availableopportunities for entrepreneurship, employment in a firm,and higher education. The basic level of education becameless available in the post-Soviet era. Moving from theknown world of Soviet control to an emerging, unfinishedsociety entailed great uncertainty for many and no assuredframework for expectations. Opportunities varied signif-icantly from the Baltic States to Tajikistan. Estonia andLatvia were incorporated into the Soviet Union beforeWorld War II but they had greater commerce with the Westthan the other post-USSR countries. Indeed both achievedsubstantial growth in their market economy during the1990s and established parliamentary democracies. Russiaand the Ukraine along with Belarus (under strong Russianinfluence) lagged in the post-Communist decade, followedat the end by Tajikistan with its resemblance to Afghanistanin culture, economic development, and topography.

When a young person makes a transition into a newworld of opportunities, risks, and constraints, as duringthe break-up of the Soviet Union, does he or she become adifferent kind of person? In life course terms, the answerwould be, It depends. What life history of experiences,resources, and dispositions is brought to the new situation?Is the transition made with the support of other like-mindedpeople? What kind of new environment is the person enter-ing? Are there strong situational constraints to channelbehavior? Caspi and Moffitt (1993, p. 315) proposed that“people become agentic when they encounter an unpre-dictable situation; whether they are impulsive or reflective,predatory or altruistic, lazy or conscientious, they areactively trying to reinstate predictability.” As Caspi and

Moffitt suggested, this situation is the type of circumstancein which individual differences of personality are mostlikely to play an organizing role in channeling behavior.

Caspi and Moffitt’s account meshes well with the Titmastudy’s empirical findings on an “agentic theme,” expressedthrough education, abilities, goals, and self-efficacy.These agentic influences on young people before theSoviet Union’s demise predicted their adult success, asindexed by social class, occupational status, and totalearnings in the post-Communist era. But this outcome ofhuman initiative depended on whether the new societyfavored such initiative and offered relevant life opportuni-ties for self-fulfillment. Social and economic success wasconsistently greater in the two Baltic societies, whereasTajikistan ranked at the bottom. It is noteworthy thateconomic initiatives outside the main job during secondaryschool proved to be predictive of entrepreneurial activitiesin the adult years. Again this relation turned out to bestrongest in the Baltic countries, owing partly to theiropportunity structure for starting new businesses. Genderinequality was least evident in these Baltic societies.

Pervasive movement in social status, up but especiallydown, represents a distinctive feature of life in eras ofdisruptive change (see Titma & Tuma, 2005). Poverty andunemployment rates increased significantly as did rates ofdivorce and mortality. In the western part of the old SovietUnion, the size of birth cohorts in the 1990s declined bynearly half. Despite the social flux of the times, human cap-ital (grades, educational level, etc.) consistently predictedyoung adult attainment during the 6 years that followed theend of the Soviet Union, with the most pronounced effectsin the Baltic States.

The Unification of Germany

As liberalization pressures in the Soviet Union werepulling it apart in the late 1980s, demands for unificationwere building in West Germany and the German Demo-cratic Republic, leading to the reunification of Germanyin 1990. At the time, West Germany was 3 times the sizeof the GDR in population, and its economy, wealth, andeducational-cultural institutions were appreciably greateras well. Despite such differences, the shared history ofWest and East Germany as well as the reach of Westernmedia could well have blurred the expected differences.

Two major research programs in Germany have focusedon the personal impact of unification—Mayer’s GermanLife History Study (Diewald, Goewicke, & Mayer, 2006)and Silbereisen’s (2005) research over some 20 yearson social change and human development. We begin

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with Mayer’s sociological perspective on life coursechanges following the collapse of the German DemocraticRepublic, and then turn to Silbereisen’s Jena project withits interdisciplinary perspective. The Life History projectis focused on the adult years, whereas the Jena projectdraws on surveys as well as longitudinal data spanning theyears from childhood into young adulthood. These twoprojects are among our most impressive long-term studiesof drastic social change in human lives.

The German Life History Study was launched in 1979by using retrospective life history interviews on a succes-sion of birth cohorts of West German adults (1919–1921,1929–1931, 1939–1941, 1949–1951,1954–1956, 1959–1961, 1964, and 1971). This method of data collectionenables study of past years of the life course in the absenceof relevant data archives. The ability to recollect priorlife history accurately is an important issue, althoughall longitudinal data collection relies on the accuracy ofmemory. Nevertheless, the dependence on long-term recallis obviously greatest in retrospective life history projects.In such studies data collection instruments are designed tomaximize accurate recall.

When the Berlin Wall fell, the research team tookadvantage of the opportunity to extend the project toEast Germany because it represented “an exemplarycase for studying the life course under the conditions ofextreme societal discontinuities” (Brückner & Mayer,1998, p.154). Retrospective life history data were collectedthrough interviews with members of four East Germanbirth cohorts (1929–1931, 1939–1941, 1951–1953, and1959–1961). The respondents were surveyed again in1993 and interviewed from 1996 to 1997 to cover theentire social transformation process and its impact on thelives of men and women. The remarkable span of birthcohorts in this research reflects the teams’ recognitionthat historical time and its correlated life experiences areimportant dimensions of the 20th-century life course inCentral Europe.

Institutional differences between West and EastGermany were observed to be very large on the eveof political and economic unification, especially in therealm of families, women, and children. State policies inEast Germany provided families with access to housing,advocated equal employment opportunities for women, andoffered abundant childcare, especially for working moth-ers. Young women in East Germany tended to marry earlierand had more children than women in West Germany, andyet they were also more likely to be employed. Introductionof a free-market system in East Germany removed support

for these family services and nearly half of all East Germanworkplaces were lost during the first years after the fallof the Berlin Wall (Pinquart, Silbereisen, & Juang, 2004).Rates of unemployment and poverty increased sharply.Marriage and childbearing rates declined significantly atthis time in East Germany, along with a substantial delayin having a second child.

Consistent with life course studies (Elder, 1998a)the German Life History Study discovered that successin the new economy of East Germany had much to dowith both life stage and gender (Diewald et al., 2006).Unemployment was highest among the youngest and old-est men. In the middle-age category, men were favored overwomen by employers. The middle-age category includedmen with work qualifications who also had enough workyears ahead to be retrained if necessary. As an index of aparticular life stage, age combined the influence of priorexperiences and acquired skills as well as the constraintsof aging in the second half of the life span. Thus, priorexperience with work transitions enhanced the adaptiveability of middle-aged East Germans, even in a period ofsocioeconomic transformation. Reentering work after aphase of joblessness depended on age status to a greaterextent for women than it did for men.

Despite the social disruptions and economic hardshipsassociated with unification in East Germany, the LifeHistory Study found that emotionally close relationshipsbefore 1989 tended to become stronger among youngpeople and their families in the East. The evidence showsa high level of stability in marital relationships and familynetworks, suggestive of a compensatory adaptation tothe hard times that was observed here as well as amongAmerican families during the Great Depression in theUnited States (Liker & Elder, 1983), especially when mar-ital ties were relatively strong before the crisis. However,social ties associated with work in East Germany seldomsurvived the unification process. Many workplaces wereclosed down. Observations from the German Life His-tory Study (Diewald et al., 2006) suggest that the rapidtransfer of West German social institutions to the formerEast German region constrained the agentic influence ofindividuals, unlike the liberating shift toward self-directionamong young men and women who were in their 20sfollowing the dissolution of the Soviet Union and its con-trol structure. The demise of Soviet control placed moreemphasis on individual initiative.

This portrait from the Life History Study comes fromadults in social roles and their constraining influence.East German organizational and institutional models were

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quickly replaced after unification by a West German modelin the Eastern region. Young people in East Germany werenot constrained by adult roles and enjoyed opportunitiesfor self-direction, especially in the transition from leavinghome to establishing their social and economic indepen-dence. This age group was the target of Silbereisen’s Jenaproject on German unification, a research program focusedon the years from childhood into the 20s. It collected arich array of survey and longitudinal data on psychosocialfunctioning, including the qualities of human agency inadapting to social change.

Some 14 years after German unification, Silbereisen(2005) shared his reflections about the challenge of study-ing the developmental impact of this social transformationin his 2004 presidential address to the International Societyfor Behavioral Development at Ghent, Belgium. He notedthat a great many errors had been made in poorly designedresearch to assess the resulting population change, includ-ing the comparison of birth cohorts from each region.In designing a framework for the Jena program of research,Silbereisen drew on the Oakland and Berkeley cohortstudies of children who grew up in the Great Depres-sion and were followed into the middle years of life(Elder, 1974/1999). Of particular relevance to studies ofthe effects of German unification, as he saw it, was themultilevel model of economic decline and recovery, thefamily and its adaptations to socioeconomic change, andthe developing individual. He also borrowed concepts ofmechanisms from this project that specified processes bywhich social change could make a difference in children’slives. These included the control cycle process of losingcontrol in a social transition, which then initiates efforts toregain it. Silbereisen expressed the hope that developmen-tal scientists in the future would be “better prepared withadequate heuristics and theories on the nature of socialand political transformations and their consequences”(2005, p. 4).

The Jena project was launched with two primaryresearch foci: (1) the influence of German unificationon the timing of life events in the transition to youngadulthood, such as the age at leaving school and home,and (2) on adaptations to social change—the personal aswell as social resources that favor successful adaptations,including qualities of human agency, commitments, andsocial support. The complexity of German unification as asocial change contributed to mixed findings concerning thetiming of life transitions and underscored the importanceof a more adequate model of the unification process. It alsorevealed the need for more microtheories on variables that

link social change to life course outcomes. This recogni-tion led to the development of new models (Silbereisen &Chen, 2010) featuring perceived demands, stress, andpersonal control.

More attention to the mediational process highlightedqualities of human agency that were relevant to copingwith social change, such as beliefs regarding one’s abil-ity to make a difference in school or work. Studies ofadaptation to social change have consistently shown thatqualities of human agency are instrumental in successfulcoping (Titma & Tuma, 2005), and a series of studies bythe Jena research group provides substantial evidence ofthis link. In a Leipzig sample of East German adolescents,Pinquart, Silbereisen, and Juang (2004) observed thatyouth who were highly committed to the old politicalsystem were likely to experience greater emotional distressafter unification, but only if they lacked a sense of theirown self-efficacy. Adolescents who identified with the oldsystem and possessed stronger beliefs in their self-efficacyprior to unification did not experience such distress. Inaddition, the study found that higher self-efficacy predicteda decline in psychological distress over time.

The investigators also asked whether stronger feelingsof self-efficacy among young adolescents would enhancetheir chances for a successful transition to work in adult-hood. The longitudinal study began in 1985, well beforeGerman unification and it continued from ages 12 to 21.Only the noncollege study members were included in thisresearch on the transition to employment (Pinquart, Juang,& Silbereisen, 2003). The investigators tested a model inwhich efficacious beliefs about academic achievement andacademic success promote young adult employment andjob satisfaction through career-related motivation and workaspirations. The empirical findings provided support for thecausal sequence linking academic success, self-efficacy andcareer-related motivation to positive work life outcomes,and it is noteworthy that this sequence corresponds in manyrespects with those obtained in an American longitudinalstudy during the 2008 to 2011 economic recession (Vuoloet al., 2012). In both studies, efficacious beliefs are asso-ciated with career-related motivational striving, and stableemployment during the young adult years.

Unification occurred at different times in the younglives of East Germans and had different consequences foradults, as noted in our review of findings from the GermanLife History Study. We might expect differing effects byage of students in the East German school system, whichwas radically transformed after unification. Silbereisenand his collaborators (Vondracek, Reitzle, & Silbereisen,

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1999) observed a significant differential effect by age onvocational preferences. Older youth who had a numberof years in the old system experienced large changes inpreferences (away from state-sponsored options), whereasthose at a younger age with virtually all of their educa-tion in a Western-styled system displayed no differencesin preferences. Another unstudied source of differentialimpact would likely involve very young children and theirdependence on families that experienced socioeconomichardships and marital stress, as suggested by the life stagefindings from Children of the Great Depression (Elder,1974/1999).

Empirical studies of the effects of German unificationin this review are based on observations over a relativelyshort period of the life span. What will the long-term con-sequences be? The early years are not necessarily predic-tive of the later years. As in Titma’s post-Soviet cohort, theGerman young people and adults who fared well in the rad-ically changed world that emerged from unification of Eastand West Germany tended to view themselves as agents oftheir own lives. And they were significantly better educatedthan other East Germans. In Children of the Great Depres-sion, the post-Depression era of World War II and growingprosperity played a major role in the resilient accomplish-ments of this American Depression generation across theadult years. Hopefully, the next stage of the Jena projectwill follow up the lives of East Germans who experiencedthe social transformation of unification.

HUMAN DEVELOPMENT IN CONTEXT

The past half-century has witnessed an increasing tendencyto view human development in context by linking comple-mentary perspectives, temporal (historical/biographical)and ecological. The temporal perspective locates individuallives by birth year and cohorts according to historical time,and depicts their evolving biography across age-gradedevents, or social time. The ecology of a specific historicaltime is defined by distinctive institutional arrangementsand cultural meanings. For individuals, the ecology ofhuman development varies from such macrolevel attributesto the microlevel of social interaction across life stages insuccessive birth cohorts. The integration of these comple-mentary perspectives represents a defining feature of themultilevel life course framework proposed in this chapter.

The two perspectives emerged at different times instudies of human development during the 20th centuryand only recently have converged in life course models.

The temporal cohort perspective on life patterns andhuman development first appeared in the mid-1960sthrough research based on birth cohorts, especially in theseminal work of Ryder. An early cohort-historical study,Children of the Great Depression (Elder, 1974/1999), usedlongitudinal samples to investigate the lifelong impact ofDepression hard times on Californians born in the 1920s.However, it paid little attention to the children’s ecology,other than to note regional variations in crisis. The studyhighlighted the developmental importance of taking histor-ical time into account in longitudinal studies of children.But its nature remained largely unspecified beyond theeconomic hardship of families and children.

During this lengthy study of Depression children andtheir adult lives, Bronfenbrenner carried out an ecologicalstudy of socialization in societies with contrasting politicalsystems, the United States and the USSR. In his book TwoWorlds of Childhood, Bronfenbrenner (1970) observedthat peer groups of students in the Soviet Union tendedto reinforce adult approved patterns of conduct, whereasin the United States they more often exerted a contraryinfluence. This work was not informed by a perspectivethat locates children in historical context and follows theminto adulthood. Consequently, it would not have beensensitive to the subsequent years of transforming changein the Soviet Union. In his now classic book The Ecologyof Human Development, Bronfenbrenner (1979) drew onlongitudinal studies of child development in historicaltimes, although his ecological framework did not include atemporal perspective on the environment and individual.

To date, the most compelling research integration ofthese perspectives has been made by Sampson’s programof Chicago research that evolved from the Project onHuman Development in Chicago Neighborhoods duringthe early 1990s. He invested heavily in the conceptual-ization, measurement, and analysis of neighborhoods andtheir outcomes. Data sources include longitudinal samplesof young people, community surveys, systematic observa-tions of neighborhoods, and network assessments, amongothers. Sampson’s contributions to the contextualizationof human development reflect long-standing interests incommunity and criminology, as well as his longitudinalstudy of crime and the life course with Laub (Laub &Sampson, 2003; Sampson & Laub, 1993). Contemporaryadvances in studying the context of human developmentled Sampson (2012, p. 24) to propose that the 21st centurymay become “the era of context.”

Sampson (2012) vividly documents the payoff forunderstanding “lives in context” in The Greatest City,

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a study of Chicago neighborhoods and their residentsover a decade. Virtually all Chicago neighborhoods in hisstudy, he found, were connected across the years throughthe movement of people, families and children, the oldand the young. This movement typically linked neigh-borhoods of advantage as well as those of disadvantage,thereby perpetuating their inequality across historicaltime and the generations. Sharkey extended the Chicagoresearch with Elwert (Sharkey & Elwert, 2011) by usingnationwide longitudinal data to investigate the effects ofneighborhood and family on cognitive ability across thegenerations. The study shows neighborhood and family tobe “closely intertwined” environments that jointly influ-ence the “developmental trajectories of individuals in waysthat extend across the generations.”

The interplay of multilevel contexts and human devel-opment has come a long way toward recognition of thecentrality of this perspective in the field of developmen-tal science. The flourishing study of the life course andhuman development is one example of such progress,and Bronfenbrenner’s (Bronfenbrenner & Morris, 2006)ecology of human development is another in studiesof neighborhood influences. Both fields emerged fromawareness of the neglected social world of children indevelopmental studies. The historical context and ecol-ogy of development still remain largely unintegrated inresearch, although we see encouraging movement towardtheir integration in this chapter and volume.

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Trim Size: 8.5in x 11in Lerner c02.tex V1 - Volume IV - 09/02/2014 4:17pm

Queries in Chapter 2

Q1. See titles of Chapters 6 & 21; reword?

Q2. Please provide page numbers when available

Q3. Please provide intext citation for Table 2.2.

Q4. The last entry in the second column seems to beincomplete; please check.