1. Body Level One Body Level Two Body Level Three Body Level Four Body Level Five Dr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change Ltd TakeHoldoftheFuture SixFacesofGlobalChange

2. ! One word will dominate ALL FUTURE ! 3. Complexity and scale create risks 4. ! Strategies often overtaken by events ! World can change faster than you can hold a board meeting 5. ! Leaders! with ! Agility 6. AGILECAREERS ! Rota-nghighiersthrough varietyofstretchingjobsin dierentsectorsandregionsto createagile,empowered leadersfortomorrow 7. AGILETRAINING ! ! ! ! ! ! fast-trackforexible,agileroles 8. WGP1980-2013(%,constantprices) 9. USGDP1980-2013 (%,constantprices) 10. EUGDP1980-2013 (%,constantprices) 11. VietnamGDP1985-2011 12. >40%WDPinAsiaby2015 IMF-adjustedforPurchasingPowerParity 50%popula-oninIndiaunder25yearsold 13. $3.4trillion ! 14. $2.4trillion ! Reserves 15. The future is about EMOTION 16. 17. Whyneedtolookbeyondmarketresearch 18. Growth of Middle Class in Africa 250m people - $2 trillion by 2040 ! 19. Middle Class! ! ! ! ! La-nAmerica-50millionmorepeopleinlast10years ! Brazil:113million-56%popula-on ! 20. 300 million move to cities in China (66% of all seabourne trade in iron ore) 475 million to cities in Africa by 2030 ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! 21. ! ! Science, technology engineering, 22. MostSTEMgraduatesinemergingmarkets 23. ChinaandIndiadominate STEMdegrees includingpost-graduate/PhDs 24. Chinatravelbookings>$100bn2013 $15bnonline-500%growth2008-13 ! ! ! ! ! ! 25. 33 HighSpeedRail-compe-ngwithAir 26. Click to edit Master text styles 34 27. Body Level One Body Level Two Body Level Three Body Level Four Body Level Five 1 billion over 60 year olds in 10 years ! 28. 1weekevery4 29. ! Europe Dying ! 4 couples to produce single great-grand child ! 1 million over 90 year olds in Italy in 12 years time ! 30. Older Customers Huge New Markets 31. Chronic Conditions Multiple Needs 100 million Americans have chronic conditions 80% of health spending 88% of all prescriptions 70% of physician visits 66% Medicare cost = people with 5+ conditions Almost all caused by one single factor 32. 65% health spend on those over 65 Most over 65 year olds in US are women - 23m : 17m AGE 33. $75bn endoscopy market by 2022 ($23bn 2010) 34. Tele-Monitoring Ecosystem 35. Fluidics Biochemistry Semiconductors Genetics Mathematics Immunology Robotics Read genome in 2 hours for $5,000 36. 90% all global data generated in last 2 years ! Sales of canned food in Mexico store = demand for more steel tins in China Big Data 37. Performance Shift in retail health care from health treatment to life enhancement 38. Worn out Mitochondria Energy Boost R-alpha-lipoic acid Acetyl-L-carnitine 39. Pigsteethgrowninsiderats Micegrownewteethfromnervecells/gum Grow New Teeth 40. following coronary / stroke using adult stem cells Repair Heart / Brain with stem cells 41. Treatment which restores and maintains the youthful elasticity of hardened arteries and helps wrinkled skin. Global sales? Low blood pressure and total body lift ! ! ! ! ! ! Alteon 42. Harvard Bioscience Bioreactor Bone marrow stem cells Polymer scaffold 43. Confidential HSV1causescoldsores. Whenengineeredas Seprehvir(HSV-1716),itis harmlesstohealthy@ssue. Oncolytic viruses Infect and kill cancer tumour cells No damage to healthy tissue Evidence of impact in clinical trials Able to deliver new genes into cancer cells Micro-dose chemo, micro-dose radiotherapy Viruses to cure cancer ? 44. 52 After 20 years - 80% alive v 50% on normal calories Less cancer, diabetes, heart disease, strokes, brain decay Monkeys on diet live longer 45. Slow or no ageing is a reality Rockfish, Turtles, some Whales ! No signs of getting old Rougheye rockfish (Sebastes aleutianus) 205 years Aldabra Giant Tortoise 255 years Lobsters are believed to live 100 or more years Ocean Quahog clam 405 years Some animals do not seem to age in normal way 46. 1trillionpagesamonth ! 47. "Perfection!, Wonderful hotel. Good value, beautiful views. This was the most beautiful hotel. Clean, friendly and good value. Worst hotel I have ever been in. Should be closed down. NEVER stay in this terrible place. Rats, insects, dirty. Many guests got sick. 74millionusersamonth 33%businesstravellers postcomments 48. People love Cities and Offices 49. TeleworkingOnly 2.5% of US workers are exclusively home-based 60% UK office workers have opportunity to work from home regularly - but few take it (during office hours) 50. Diversityin workplaceleadsto diversityin marketplace 51. 85%ofleadersoflargestUScorpora-ons saydiversityiskeytoinnova-on Forbesstudy 52. Diversitylinkedtohighersales,market shareandprots,talentrecruitment 53. WomenOutperformMen ! Mostsalestowomen 60%USgraduates 40%primaryearners Mostwomenleave corporaEonsearly Solvetalentshortage UrbanTribal 54. Reproduceownimage ! Tendtorecruitpeoplewithfamiliarname,voice,accent,personality,culture, appearance 55. ! Scale - Innovation Speed ! EatorbeEaten 56. Howcommoditywealthcanstrangleeconomies UN study: exchange rate rises so other business uncompetitive, military spending rises, corruption rises, instability rises 57. 11%wageina-oninChinain2013and2014 58. ImpactofstrongerChinesecurrency andtougherpollu-oncontrols 59. NearshoringBoom 60. ManufacturinginMexicowill growforUSmarket 61. InmanyEUna-ons,upto70%ofretail spendingisin200millionmobilepayments >$160bn ! ! 73. ! 1.7bnmobileusers-nobankaccount Kenya-17mcustomersusemPesa $9bnpa->33%GDP 74. 87 2mbusinessesuse SQUARE inUS 75. Free mobile devices calls / web / TV / games / pay Higher income model 201020132015 TelcoBanks 76. Talking to customers on journey of life Death of traditional marketing 77. $5bn home automation market 78. Rio Tinto driverless trucks - 130 million tons of material 2.3m kms, >57 trips around the equator. 79. Digital Control 80. $40 Trillion Green Tech Boom driven by oil price, cost cuts, green activism 81. Shale gas 33% US supplies 3.3m US jobs $468bn pa + more oil produced than Saudi by 2020 ! 200 years global supply Up from 60 years in 5 years 82. 5coalplantsreplacewithgas=9000megawaPswind ! 57closedinUSin2012-14 CheapercoalmeansmorecoalwillbeburntinAsia 83. Solar cell generation parity 84. 120,000 terawatts of sunlight /day 7,000 times total global power use Power Moscow from Libyan Desert Why China will dominate wind power industry 40% EU power = wind by 2050 Surplus wind to hydrogen - to methane ? 85. ! 10% capacity used 4 days a year in Australia Average $50 peak $10,000 per MWhr ManagingPeakPower 86. GermanyPowerSurplus ! InJune2013electricitypricesbecamenegaAve-EU150/MWhr 87. Future for next-generation Super-Grids 88. Nuclearenergy-expectglobalgrowth. Challenge to achieve carbon reductionAND cut nuclear Wild card = dirty terror bomb or another meltdown Mining uranium in future from sea water using todays technology 89. Future of Smart Power Regulation Utility Co controls consumption in homes / factories 90. Smart heating or cooling Save 30-50% energy - payback 4 years 91. 5% to 2% of US / EU energy 120 million EU street lamps 75% replace in 15 years at unit cost of $750 including labour New Street Lamps save 3% national energy 92. 110 Tyres4.3%Streamlining12%1.5metreslonger5% Hybridengine30%Heatpowerairconec5% Shockspower4%Slowfrom65to55mph-20% SAVEENERGYONEVERYTRUCK ! 93. 30% EU trucks run empty Wewaste 25million milesayear drivingempty trucks ! USmajorretailer 94. $226bn on Mexico rail, road, ports since 2006 SUPER HUBS 95. 30 million acres lost ! EU 5% gasoline and diesel from food 25% of 2010 US grain ! fuel !113 40% US corn burnt in vehicles Using 100% US corn would only drive 25% of vehicle miles 96. !114 Biofuel impact on food prices 97. do things you really believe in LifeisShort 98. SUSTAINABILITY and ETHICS 99. Double cotton production per acre since 1960s Impact of transgenic cotton on yields ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! 100. IntheUK,salesofFairtradeproductsin2012reached1 78percentofconsumersrecognisetheFAIRTRADEMark Oneineverythreebananassold 44percentofbaggedsugarsold 25percentofallroastandgroundretailcoee Fairtradeproductsarenowsoldinmorethan125countr FAIRTRADElogomostwidely-recognisedethicallabelglob Fair Trade Food Sales up 18% pa ! 101. Organic v Fair Trade Bananas ! 102. TeamsintophalfofEngagement 86% more likely to have better customer metrics 70% more likely to have low staff turnover 70% more likely to be highly productive 44% more likely to be protable Gallup meta-survey > 10 million people 103. LessonfromNon-ProtsandAcAvists ! Connectwithallthepassionspeople haveandtheywillfollowyoutothe endsoftheearth,promotewhatyoudo withpride,andmayevenbewillingto workforyoufornexttonothing ! .andthefourwordphraseis. 104. ! ! BuildingaBe`erWorld TheMagicofeverygreatBusiness 105. Body Level One Body Level Two Body Level Three Body Level Four Body Level Five Dr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change Ltd globalchange.com 15millionvisitors 5millionvideoviews