How to Find Winning Traders - Perspective from 2 Stock Market Experts

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How to Find Winning Trades Perspectives From Two Stock Market Experts Marc Chaikin, CEO of Chaikin Analytics Harry Boxer, Founder TheTechTrader.com September 29, 2015

Transcript of How to Find Winning Traders - Perspective from 2 Stock Market Experts

Page 1: How to Find Winning Traders - Perspective from 2 Stock Market Experts

How to Find Winning TradesPerspectives From Two Stock Market Experts

Marc Chaikin, CEO of Chaikin Analytics

Harry Boxer, Founder TheTechTrader.comSeptember 29, 2015

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Have You Ever Wondered?

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Why Marc Chaikin?

50 Years on Wall Street

Survived 10 Bear Markets

45 Years Using Technical Analysis

Mentored by Smartest Institutional Investors

Created Chaikin Power Gauge Rating – Culmination of my Life’s Work

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QUOTED BY AND SEEN ON…

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In the next 45 minutes…

Learn The 5 Keys To Maximizing Profits in Any Market

1. Find Bulls & Bears With Chaikin Power Gauge and Chaikin

Relative Strength

2. 3 Indicators that Predict Future Price Movement

3. Dramatically improve your Timing with Buy/Sell Signals

4. Use Earnings Season to Supercharge Your Profits

5. Avoid Land Mines that Destroy Portfolios

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Netted $17,408 profit this morning:

"I have found more success in the past two weeks using Chaikin than I have had

the rest of the year . . . I had the biggest winner of the year today on Yelp

earnings (based on Marc's Bearish play of the week). I bought 3 different puts

strikes, risking $7,168 and netted $17,408 profit this morning” - Mike T., 7/29/15

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SPY – “W” Bottom Likely

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SPY 5 Year Chart: Looking at Lows

2011 W Bottom

V Shaped Bottoms after 2011

V

V

V

VW Bottom Forming?

V

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Chaikin Power Gauge - Reliable

Simple but Powerful

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Technicals

• Price Trend

• Price Trend Rate of Change

• Chaikin Money Flow

• Relative Strength vs. Market

• Volume Trend

Financials

• LT Debt to Equity Ratio

• Price to Book Value

• Return on Equity

• Price to Sales Ratio

• Free Cash Flow

Earnings

• Earnings Growth

• Earnings Surprise

• Earnings Trend

• Projected P/E Ratio

• Earnings Consistency

Chaikin Power Gauge RatingClear summary of a stock’s potential - with a record of success

Experts

• Earnings Estimate Trend

• Short Interest

• Insider Activity

• Analyst Ratings

• Industry Relative Strength

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Like a GPS for Stocks

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Power Gauge Ratings: Life To Date

Model Performance

1/2/99 - 6/30/15

(all returns annualized)

• Includes Test Period &

Real World results7.43%

0.18%

3%

7%

13%

21.21%

0

6

12

17

23

Annualiz

ed R

etu

rn%

Life to Date

Avg Stock +9.26%

Russell 3000 stock universe. Annualized return by

rating group vs benchmark, 4-week rebalancing.

Results are equal-weighted. Russell 3000 ETF is cap-

weighted. Both include dividends.

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Power Gauge Ratings: Last 12 months

Model Performance

7/1/14 - 6/30/15

Russell 3000 stock universe. Annualized return by rating group vs benchmark, 4-week rebalancing.Results are equal-weighted. Russell 3000 ETF is cap-weighted. Both include dividends.

7.06%

-2.69%

0.26%

1.49%

4.52%

9.89%

-4.0

-0.3

3.5

7.3

11.0

Annualiz

ed R

etu

rn%

TTM thru Q2 2015

Avg Stock +2.78%

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18 month performance vs. benchmarks 4/1/14 - 9/14/15

NASDAQ Chaikin Indexes – Launched 4/1/2014

Nasdaq

Benchmark

Nasdaq/

Chaikin IndexIncrease in Return

Large Cap +4.53% +9.05% +452 bps

Small Cap -1.02% +5.45% +647 bps

Dividends -3.20% +4.13% +733 bps

Nasdaq partnered with Chaikin to overlay our ‘Enhanced Alpha’ strategies on popular Nasdaq indexes.

These co-branded indexes will serve as the basis for investible products.

In year 1, all 3 Chaikin indexes - which are unmanaged -

outperformed their benchmarks returning 49% to 76% more.

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1. Find Bulls & Bears With Chaikin Power Gauge and

Chaikin Relative Strength

2. 3 Indicators that Predict Future Price Movement

3. Dramatically improve your Timing with Buy/Sell Signals

4. Use Earnings Season to Supercharge Your Profits

5. Avoid Land Mines that Destroy Portfolios

The 5 Keys To Maximizing Profits in Any Market

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• Power Gauge Rating Bullish

• Relative Performance Strong

• Chaikin Money Flow Strong

What to Buy: Chaikin Classic Bulls

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Market agrees with the Model

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• Power Gauge Rating Bearish

• Relative Performance Weak

• Chaikin Money Flow Weak

What to Sell: Chaikin Classic Bears

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Market agrees with the Model

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Finding Bullish and Bearish Stocks

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1. Find Bulls & Bears with Chaikin Power Gauge and Chaikin Relative Strength

2. 3 Indicators that Predict Future Price Movement

• Dynamic Duo

• Personality Changes

• Chaikin Money Flow

3. Dramatically improve your Timing with Buy/Sell Signals

4. Use Earnings Season to Supercharge Your Portfolio

5. Avoid Land Mines that Destroy Portfolios

The 5 Keys To Maximizing Profits in Any Market

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1 - The Dynamic DuoChaikin Power Gauge Rating and Chaikin Relative Strength

• The Dynamic Duo finds big

Winners and Losers

• Relative Strength stands

alone as a bullish or

bearish indicator

• Superior returns come

from stocks that

outperform the market

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Market agrees with the Model

CMF stays negative

Market agrees with the ModelMarket agrees with the Model

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Market agrees with the Model

CMF stays negative

Market agrees with the Model

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Market agrees with the Model

CMF stays negative

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2 - The Key to Making and Keeping ProfitsSpotting Personality Changes

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Bearish Personality ChangeBearish Personality Change

CMF stays negative

Bullish Personality Change

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Institutions Fly Under the Radar

3 - Monitor stealth buying and selling with Chaikin Money Flow

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Stealth Accumulation

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Stealth Distribution

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Bearish Personality ChangeBearish Personality Change

CMF stays negative

Bearish Personality Change

CMF stays negative

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1. Find Bulls & Bears with Chaikin Power Gauge and Chaikin

Relative Strength

2. 3 Indicators that Predict Future Price Movement

3. Dramatically Improve Timing with Buy/Sell Signals

4. Use Earnings Season to Supercharge Your Profits

5. Avoid Land Mines that Destroy Portfolios

The 5 Keys To Maximizing Profits in Any Market

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A DISCIPLINE

based on proven

analytics, gives

you

conviction…better

than trading on

EMOTIONS

To Trade More Profitably: Follow the signals

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A DISCIPLINE

based on proven

analytics, gives

you

conviction…better

than EMOTION.

To Trade More Profitably: Follow the signals

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Dashboard Alerts in Chaikin Analytics 8/13

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Market agrees with the Model

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$8k In 2 Days

“Just wanted to thank you for the word on ESL. Bought puts

on Wednesday for $1,700 and sold them this morning for

$10,200! That's awesome!”

- B.W., Chaikin Analytics Subscriber 6/5/15

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1. Find Bulls & Bears with Chaikin Power Gauge and Chaikin

Relative Strength

2. 3 Indicators that Predict Future Price Movement

3. Dramatically Improve Timing with Buy/Sell Signals

4. Use Earnings Season To Supercharge Your Profits

5. Avoid Land Mines that Destroy Portfolios

The 5 Keys To Maximizing Profits in Any Market

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Winning Earnings Plays – Long and Short

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Netflix Puts 2014: +50x in one day

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A Quick $21,500 Profit

“Using the Upcoming Earnings Ideas in Chaikin Analytics, Netflix

had a very Bearish rating… bought 3 put contracts before

earnings on 10/15 for $22.20 and sold the day after earnings for

$93.90. A quick $21,500 profit.”

– J.V., Chaikin Analytics subscriber

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Market agrees with the ModelMarket agrees with the Model

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Market agrees with the Model

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Market agrees with the Model

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1. Find Bulls & Bears with Chaikin Power Gauge and Chaikin

Relative Strength

2. The 3 Indicators that Predict Future Price Movement

3. Dramatically Improve Timing with Buy/Sell Signals

4. Using Earnings Season to Supercharge Your Profits

5. Avoid Land Mines That Destroy Portfolios

The 5 Keys To Outperforming The Market

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Good Defense Leads to Good Offense”It’s the stocks you don’t own that matter”

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Market agrees with the Model

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Market agrees with the Model

CMF stays negative

Market agrees with the Model

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Now You Know

The 5 Keys To Maximizing your Profits in Any Market

1. Find Bulls & Bears with Chaikin Power Gauge and Relative Strength

2. Rely on 3 Indicators that Predict Future Price Movement

3. Dramatically Improve your Timing with Buy/Sell Signals

4. Use Earnings Season to Supercharge Your Profits

5. Avoid Land Mines that Destroy Portfolios

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• Strong Groups = Tailwinds: Long Profits

• Weak Groups = Headwinds: Short Opportunities

Group Strength or WeaknessBonus Key to Profits

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Make Profits in Strong Sectors

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Market agrees with the Model

CMF stays negative

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Market agrees with the Model

CMF stays negative

Market agrees with the Model

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Market agrees with the Model

CMF stays negative

Market agrees with the Model

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Market agrees with the Model

CMF stays negative

Market agrees with the Model

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Market agrees with the Model

CMF stays negative

Market agrees with the Model

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Market agrees with the Model

CMF stays negative

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Next Steps To Success

1. Reserve Your Free Professional Training Session

2. Get Our Daily & Weekly Market Insights

3. Sign Up for Personal Coaching Sessions

4. Apply The Chaikin Methodolgy To Your Strategy

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Chaikin Analytics:

Your Fast Track to Financial Freedom

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Turbo charge your profits

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New Options Functionality

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Invaluable: Market Insights

CHAIKIN MARKET INSIGHTS – July 26, 2015

Bearish Stock of the Week – Yelp Inc. (YELP) – 34.56

Yelp Inc. has a very bearish Chaikin Power Gauge rating and reports its

2nd quarter earnings after the close on Tuesday July 28. When YELP

reported their 1st quarter earnings in late April, the stock dropped over

20% on disappointing engagement numbers.

Buy put options on YELP ahead of Tuesday’s earnings.

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Netted $17,408 profit this morning:

"I have found more success in the past two weeks using Chaikin than I have had

the rest of the year . . . I had the biggest winner of the year today on Yelp

earnings (based on Marc's Bearish play of the week). I risked $7,168 and

netted $17,408 profit this morning” - Mike T., 7/29/15

Page 70: How to Find Winning Traders - Perspective from 2 Stock Market Experts

Almost Tripled My Money Today!

“John thanks so much for RMBS (Rambus Inc.) today. Almost tripled my money on this inone day. I realize it may go lower but this was a great call. Thanks!!!”

- A.P., 9/16/15

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If All

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10x Return In 5 Days!

"In the 5 business days that I have been using Chaikin Analytics, I have paid for the subscription over ten fold. These initial results are nothing short of astounding. “

—GC, 6/4/15

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Will YOU Be OurNext Success Story?

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