How the steel industry can contribute to productivity ... · While many sectors of the global ......
Transcript of How the steel industry can contribute to productivity ... · While many sectors of the global ......
How the steel industry can contribute to
productivity improvements in construction
WORLDSTEEL CONSTRUCTSTEEL CONFERENCE
APRIL 17, LONDON
CONFIDENTIAL AND PROPRIETARY
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2McKinsey & Company
Contents
Productivity growth in the construction sector has been low
Approaches for productivity growth in the construction sector
How the steel industry can contribute
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While many sectors of the global economy have experienced quantum leaps in productivity,
construction methods remain largely unchanged
1 Cumulative real growth in the United States, %, 1947-2010
SOURCE: US BLS: World KLEMS
Circa 1940s Circa 2016
Productivity
Growth1, %
From To
1,512Leveraged scale through land assembly and
automation; deployed advanced bioengineering
to increase yields
760Implemented entirely new concepts of flow,
modularized and standardized designs, and
aggressively automated to increase production
699Utilized scale advantages and cutting edge
logistics to reduce costs and provide affordable
goods to the masses
6Limited improvements in technological
capabilities, production methods, and scale
Key advances
Agriculture
Manufacturing
Retail
Construction
Mining &
quarrying
42Relied on technological, environmental, and
safety advances to achieve modest productivity
improvements
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Productivity challenge cuts across all geographies and economies, with the construction sector’s
productivity growth lagging average productivity by 1.8%
-3.1-3.0-2.8
-2.6
-2.6-2.4
-2.3-2.1
-2.0-2.0
-2.0-1.9
-1.7-1.7
-1.3
-1.2-1.2
-1.1-1.1
-0.9-0.9
-0.8-0.8
-0.8-0.7
-0.6-0.5
-0.5
-0.5
-0.4-0.3
-0.1
0.10.30.50.5
1.11.2
-3.5
Nig
eria
Chin
a
India
Czech R
epublic
United S
tate
s
Slo
venia
Chile
0
Egyp
t
Arg
entina
Denm
ark
Mala
ysia
Saudi A
rabia
Austr
ia
Thaila
nd
Fra
nce
Bra
zil
Indonesia
Mexic
o
Isra
el
Japan
Italy
Spain
Turk
ey
Sw
eden
Austr
alia
Belg
ium
South
Afr
ica
Gre
ece
-1.8%
aggregate
productivity
differential
Eth
iopia
-9.1
Kore
a
Neth
erlands
Lithuania
Slo
vak R
epublic
Sin
gapore
Hungary
Germ
any
Colo
mbia
United K
ingdom
Port
ugal
Canada
Russia
SOURCE: OECD Stat; EU KLEMS; Asia KLEMS; World KLEMS; KSA CDSI; KSA MoL, GGDC-10, Oanda,
1 Countries with a shorter times series due to data availability: France, Israel, Czech Republic, Malaysia, Russia (1995-2014), Australia, Japan, Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Mexico, South Africa, Nigeria, Ethiopia (1995-2011), Belgium (1995-2014), Turkey
(2005-2015), Colombia (1995-2010), Egypt (1995-2012), China (1999-2014), Thailand (2001-2015), Singapore (2001-2014), Saudi Arabia (1999-2015), Indonesia (2000-2014)
Only persons employed data available – assumed each person worked 35 hours per week, 48 weeks per year
Differential in construction sector labor productivity 20-year CAGR (%) to overall economy growth
Real gross value added per hour worked by persons engaged, 1995-2015 or longest time series available1
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SOURCE: BEA; BLS; US Census; IDC; Gartner; McKinsey social technology survey; McKinsey Payments Map; LiveChat customer satisfaction report; Appbrain; US contact center decision-makers guide; eMarketer; Bluewolf;
Computer Economics; expert interviews; MGI analysis
MGI industry digitization index, 2015 or latest available data
1 Based on a set of metrics to assess digitization of assets (8 metrics), usage (11 metncs), and labor (8 metrics); see technical appendix for full list of metrics and explanation of methodology
2 Compound annual growth rate
Relatively low
digitization
Relatively high
digitization
Sector
ICT
Media
Professional services
Finance and insurance
Wholesale trade
Advanced manufacturing
Oil and gas
Utilities
Chemicals and pharmaceuticals
Basic goods (incl. steel)
Mining
Real estate
Transportation and ware housing
Education
Retail trade
Entertainment and recreation
Personal and local services
Government
Healthcare
Hospitality
Construction
Agriculture and hunting
Overall
digitization1
Digital
spending
Digital asset
stock Interactions
Business
processesTrans-actions
Market
making
Digital capital
deepening
Digital
spending on
workers
Digitization of
work
Assets Usage Labor
One of the root causes is a low level of digitization in construction compared to other industries
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Companies in the construction sector identified inefficient designs and misaligned contracts as leading
causes of low productivity
SOURCE: MGI Construction Productivity Insights Survey (n=159) , McKinsey Global Institute Analysis
47
42
39
38
36
33
28
23
14
8
38
48
41
40
49
44
43
34
47
17
15
9
20
23
16
23
29
44
39
75
Project management
Low-skilled labor force
Project complexities
Underinvestment in innovation
Owners’ requirements
Misaligned contractual structures
Medium
High level of fragmentation
High Low
Informality and corruption
Extensive regulation
Inefficient design processes
Relative importance of root causes of low productivity
% of responses with root caused ranked as high, medium, or low
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Contents
Productivity growth in the construction sector has been low
Approaches for productivity growth in the construction sector
How the steel industry can contribute
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Standardize progress monitoring, information
sharing, and incentives across value chain
There are six major approaches which can drive productivity gains in the sector
Firm-level
operational
factors
External
forces
Shape the regulatory environment for
productivity
Industry-level
factors
Cultivate collaborative stakeholder
partnerships
Overhaul training and workforce
development efforts
Invest in innovation and infuse new
technologies
Master on-site execution
1
2
3
4
5
6Move towards standardization of
designs that allow for scale and value
Opportunity for suppliers to the construction
industry?
Collaborate with contractors to create scope for
simplified, repeatable pre-fabricated solutions
Increase R&D, apply real-time digital collaboration
and IoT to improve flow of materials
Examples on next pages
Limited
Limited
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Measured impact on project KPIs1 Measured ROI3
Non BIM
BIM
Cost of materials Project life span
Project analysis time Change orders2
Building Information Modeling (BIM): integrates design, cost and schedule
in a 3D output, and has demonstrated significant impact in projects
1 Stanford University / Dr Martin Fischer
2 Excluding scope changes, including rework
3 Based on survey of 2228 construction industry professional in North America (McGrawHill Construction)
14%
9%
Less than 10% 15%
13%
Breakeven
Negative
50-100%
25%
10%
14%
Over 100%
25-50%
10-25%
-80%
20%
100% 100%
20%
-80%
100%80%
-20%
80%100% -20%
SOURCE: Based on survey of 2228 construction industry professional in North America (McGrawHill Construction)
A
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Internet of things (IoT): offers multiple value creation opportunities for the construction siteWhat an IoT-enabled construction site can look like
Wearables monitor safety
conditions and help
supervisors track overall
site productivity Vehicle tracking
allows for material
location, workflow
tracking and safety
Monitoring equipment allows for
predictive maintenance of
critical equipment, preventing
unexpected breakdowns and
lost production time
Smart pressure,
temperature and vibration
sensors detect structural
issues
Active RFID tags for
key materials allows
better logistics
1
2
3
4
5
B
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Off-site construction: could lead to demand for new product specifications and
a changed value chain
SOURCE: Lit search, Press search, Expert interviews, Team analysis
▪ Off-site construction takes place
in different forms
– Pre-cast: Casting and curing
concrete forms at factories
before transporting to site
for final assembly.
– Pre-fab: Assembling complete
sub-modules or building
envelopes at factory before final
assembly at construction site
(e.g. Pruksa, building complete
apartments off-site, assembling
them as "lego blocks")
▪ This delivery model will lead
to changes in the supply chain
and new opportunities
– Clients could consolidate and
become more sophisticated
with more specific skills
– Instead of delivering to a high
number of construction site,
construction materials
companies will be delivering
to fewer off-site plants,
changing logistics and
distributions requirements
– Cross selling gains in
importance as products could
be integrated into raw materials
sales (e.g. electricity systems
sold with pre-fabricated walls)
▪ This could drive innovations
in both materials and products
(e.g. lighter products)
▪ Success is dependent on local
market conditions such as their
historic preferences and openness
to innovation
▪ Singapore is a pioneering market
with Pre-Fab, Pre-Finished
Volumetric Construction
C
Implications of off-site for
construction materials
▪ If widely adopted, supply chains
could change
– Contractors or materials
suppliers becoming
manufacturers
– Fewer, more consolidated and
sophisticated clients will lead to
increased importance of
relationship management and
excellent service
▪ Products that can be easily
integrated into offsite construction
and offer weight benefits could end
up being a key differentiator
▪ Packaged sales through complete
offerings for all external and
internal building products could
become increasingly important
12McKinsey & CompanySOURCE: Company website, Press search, Team analysis
▪ KEF Infra project : Meitra
Hospital, Kerala India
– Pre-cast: 70% of the
facility
manufactured offsite
– 21 months to
complete compared
to 4 years (industry
average)
– Est. 30% cost saving
compared to
traditional building
▪ Cost savings of around
30% mainly driven by
time and material saving
▪ Time saving of 50%,
driven by an assembly
line
▪ Material saving of 10%
(2% material waste
compared to Indian
average construction
waste of 12%)
▪ Reduces dependence on
imports and labour
Savings of pre-fab
compared to traditional
methods
▪ KEF Infra fully integrated
consctrution solutions:
Design to engineering and
manufacturing of every
element of the building
using advanced
manufacturing technology
▪ KEF Infra project : Infosys
Electronic city, Bangalore
India
– Pre-cast: Fully
manufactured offsite
– 15 months to
complete compared
to 24 months using
the traditional method
– Est. 30% cost saving
compared to
traditional building
Case Study: Pre-fab construction can save up to 30% of cost and 50% of construction time
KEF Infra
C
Example projects
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Contents
Productivity growth in the construction sector has been low
Approaches for productivity growth in the construction sector
How the steel industry can contribute
14McKinsey & Company
Steelmakers should reduce costs by eliminating waste along the value chain
SOURCE: McKinsey analysis
▪ Shorter and more streamlined value
chain: Steel producer sells directly
to contractor
▪ Only one fabricator/distributor for
value-added production steps
involved
▪ Simplified product range
Advantages
▪ Capture value of intermediaries
▪ Increase value potential of
introducing new concepts/steel
products
▪ Get immediate feedback from end
users to improve concept and
adjust R&D efforts for new materials
▪ Develop joint concepts with
contractors to increase productivity
on site
▪ Large number of
transactions/interfaces
▪ Product order by customer reaches steel producer
via cascade of intermediaries
▪ Complex sequence of
production steps
▪ Steel products undergo many fabrication steps
carried out by different players before reaching the
final customer
▪ Many transportation
steps
▪ Steel products are transported across network of
intermediaries, sometimes even without extra
activities
▪ High stock levels ▪ Stocks level disconnected from real demand due to
poor forecasting (insufficient knowledge)
▪ Significant re-work ▪ Lack of knowledge about end use may lead to
wrong design, difficult information flow in chain
increases number of production mistakes
▪ Complexity of products ▪ Too many different products lead to long lead times
and huge stock levels
Sources of waste Current situation Vision for future situation
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Steelmakers should innovate and develop more solutions, through cross value chain cooperation
SOURCE: McKinsey analysis
1 Ready mix concrete
Steel
Concrete
Raw materials
suppliersSteel producers
Distributors
(various steps)
Fabricators
(various steps)Contractors
Several intermediary production and transportation steps
Large number of steps in distribution and fabrication process
(involving processing/handling/shipping of steel product) before reaching the
end customer
High stock levels throughout chain
Lack of knowledge about end customer demand information and high number of
intermediaries involved lead to long lead times and build-up of inventory of some products
A lot of rework
Lack of information or misinterpretation on specific end customer requirements leads to many fabrication
steps to reshape the original steel product
Complexity of products
Many different products lead to long lead times and
high stock levels
Raw materials
suppliersCement RMC1 Prefab Contractors
Streamlined supply chain
▪ All players are adding value
▪ Shipments are made when needed
▪ More transparent given more integration
and cooperation along value chain
Poor delivery performance of
steel producers as a main
cause of waste
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Steelmakers should embrace digital opportunities throughout the full value chain
SOURCE: McKinsey
1 Yield, energy, throughput, and quality
Organization: Well-performing digital
organization based on digital talent/leadership,
governance/ KPIs, and clear digital roles/
responsibilities
Th
e d
igit
al
ste
el
co
mp
an
yD
igit
al
en
ab
lers
Strategy: Long-term oriented digital strategy,
aligned with corporate goals and centered
around customer needs
Culture: Digital-embracing culture with highly
agile digital organization, “test and learn”
environment, and strong digital risk appetite
Capabilities: Digital capabilities such as
technology infrastructure and advanced
analytics skills
Big data/
advanced
analytics in
OpEx/ CapEx:
Big data-driven
raw material
analytics to
optimize
feedstock costs
Digital
procurement:
Digital tools
enabling more
efficient pro-
curement
processes
End to end
supply chain
integration:
Production
data sharing
with suppli-
ers/real-time
supply tracking
YETQ:
Sensor-based
production
control and
real-time
optimization of
YETQ1 , e.g.,
for pig iron in
blast furnace
Predictive
mainte-nance:
Advanced
analytics-
based
predictive and
risk-based
mainte-nance
across all
aggregates
Digital
integrated
lean system:
IT-based
integrated lean
system to
drive ma-
nufacturing
excellence
Risk manage-
ment:
Advanced
analytics-
based risk
manage-
ment/cyber
security
New roads to
market:
Using online/
marketplace
sales channels
to sell coils
Digitization of
customer
experience:
Customer self-
service
platform
Commercial
engines:
Use advanced
analytics for
lead
generation,
etc.
G&A 4.0:
Back office
automation
Digital manu-
facturing:
Production
automation by
applica-tion of
autonomous
logistics, e.g.,
autonomous
cranes for coil
handling
Quality:
Online
tracking of
coil quality
reduces
inspection
time
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BACK-UP
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Advanced Materials: There are emerging breakthroughs in advanced materials that will allow more
freedom for tomorrow’s architects and engineers Cost Green Durable Efficient Aesthetics
Aerogel
98% air, super transparent, super
insulator. Aerogel panels now available
Topmix Permeable
Can absorb 600 liters of water/m2/minute.
Early adoption
Graphene
An atom thick layer of carbon - thin, strong,
conducive, flexible. Research phase
Nanomaterials
Possibility of super strong, ultra-lightweight
materials. Research phase
Concrete Canvas
8mm layer of concrete cloth, only add
water to set. Commercial
Ea
rly a
do
pti
on
Un
de
r d
eve
lop
me
nt
Bacteria base (self-healing concrete)
Using bacteria as a healing agent to close
cracks in concrete. Proof of concept
B
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Advanced analytics provides a new opportunity to extract value from increasing amounts of data
that could become a key differentiator for construction materials companies
SOURCE: Gartner
Advanced analytics
analyses all kinds of
data using
sophisticated
quantitative methods
to produce insights
that traditional
approaches to
business intelligence
are unlikely to
discover
▪ Increasing speed of computation, rising amounts of captured data and decreasing
cost of technology are providing new opportunities to extract value from data
▪ Advanced analytics has already created value
– In a wide variety of industries
▫ Google used 600+ variables from internal and external sources to predict
business propensity to spend, increasing spend 5.7x
▫ Vestas used advanced analytics to select best wind turbine location to reduce
the cost per kilowatt hour of energy produced
– As well as in construction materials
▫ An American integrated Steel client saw a 19% production volume increase
from analyzing stability and throughput levers
▫ A mining company could predict 88% of machine failures, enabling predictive
maintenance and fewer machine downtime
▪ For construction materials in particular, new technologies such as BIM, internet of
things, 3D modelling, e-commerce are generating data on client preferences,
product properties, manufacturing performance, etc. These can be used for a wide
variety of applications ranging from increased manufacturing performance (e.g.
real-time machine performance measurement) to better tailored products (e.g.
identify client preferences from use in BIM and clicks on e-commerce websites)
▪ New actors with advanced analytics capabilities are entering the construction
environment (e.g. online giants, BIM platform providers, internet of things
providers, etc.)
Implications of
advanced analytics
for construction
materials
D
▪ Excellent data
management and
analysis
capabilities could
become a key
differentiator for
operational
excellence as well
as sales
▪ These skills could
also become a
necessity to
partner and / or
compete with new
digital entrants
20McKinsey & Company
3D printing: could increase product innovation speed in the short term, in the long term, impact is
uncertain but potentially strong
First 3D-printed house
in China
First 3D-printed hotel suite
in the Philippines
Factory set-up 3D
visualisation
Roofing material properties
3D modelling
▪ While 3D modelling is already well-
adopted (e.g. in BIM), 3D printing is only
in the first phases of its development
▪ 3D modelling and printing enable rapid
design testing
▪ These tools can be used to define the
best factory design before construction or
to test the specifications of a product and
its interaction with the outside world
before setting up a full production
process
▪ Products can increasingly be tailored to
specific client demands or complex
designs
Implications of 3D modelling and printing for construction materials
▪ While 3D printing's impact is limited in the short term, in the long term, while highly
uncertain, this could potentially be a game changer
– Less legacy machinery and working methods could lead to faster adoption in
emerging markets (e.g. first 3D printed house and hotel suite in China and Philippines)
– 3D printing could offer benefits more quickly to niche customers that need highly
customized products
▪ Product innovation speed could increase due to shortened iteration cycles
▪ Bespoke product specifications could become the norm
▪ Barriers to entry for niche players could decrease as major part of traditional upfront
investment can be done digitally
▪ For materials, 3D printers could require the development of new raw materials or new
material specifications
E
21McKinsey & Company
New construction methods: Singapore is pioneering offsite construction, especially PPVC (Pre-
Fab, Pre-Finished Volumetric Construction) and improving productivity by 50%
SOURCE: Building and Construction Authority of Singapore whitepapers, Company websites, Press search
Case example: PPVC – The ‘Lego model’ of Construction
Concept
▪ In Prefabricated Pre-finished Volumetric
Construction (PPVC), complete flats or
modules made of multiple units complete
with internal finishes, fixtures and fittings are
manufactured in factories, and are then
transported to site for erection in a Lego-like
manner
▪ Typically relevant for hotels, hostels, budget
condominiums and other facilities with
standard shapes and designs
Impact
▪ Productivity improvement of up to 50% in
terms of manpower and time savings
▪ Minimal dust and noise pollution
▪ Improved site safety
G
22McKinsey & Company
These six approaches have varying implications for the different stakeholdersPrimary opportunity
Secondary opportunity
Policymakers Owners Contractors Suppliers (incl. steel industry)
Streamline land use, building, local
content, and permitting regulations
and incentivize productivity1
Shape the regulatory
environment for
productivity
Ensure effective contract protections
are in place
Optimize risk and incentive allocation in contracting and focus on up-front
involvement of all parties
Standardize progress monitoring, information sharing, and worker incentives
across value chain
2Cultivate collaborative
stakeholder partnerships
Invest in vocational training
programs and revamp to fit current
construction needs
Expand training and for project
leadership roles, including soft team
formation and integration
Structure incentives and training to
bolster productivity on front-lines,
including subcontractors3
Overhaul training and
workforce development
efforts
Apply real-time digital collaboration and internet of things to improve flow of
materials and labor
Digitize tendering, data storage, and
permitting processes and incentivize
advanced techniques like 5D BIM
Encourage new materials, techniques, and equipment and utilize digital
collaboration tools
Increase R&D and expand
marketing
4Invest in innovation and
infuse technology
Deploy integrated scheduling and
ensure critical paths are mapped and
optimized
Implement real lean construction and
incentivize collaborative mindset
across subcontractors5 Master on-site execution
Facilitate land release coordination
across jurisdictions to enable
scaling, replication and
standardization
Adopt a portfolio view and central
budget to effectively pre-invest in
standardized solutions where
appropriate
Focus engineering on replication at
scale and avoid gold plating
Collaborate with contractors to
create scope for simplified,
repeatable pre-fabricated solutions6
Move towards
standardization of designs
that allow for
scale and value