Honors college cuny 01 24-2013

The Dynamics of Population Change in New York’s Neighborhoods

TM

Presentation for the Macaulay Honors College The City University of New York

January 24, 2013

Joseph SalvoPOPULATION DIVISION

The Population Dynamic

Population Change for the 10 Largest Cities in the U.S., 2000 to 2010Ranked by Population in 2010

*Achieved population peak in 2010

Geographic Area

Number Percent

1 New York, NY* 8,008,278 8,175,133 166,855 2.12 Los Angeles, CA* 3,694,820 3,792,621 97,801 2.73 Chicago, IL 2,896,016 2,695,598 -200,418 -6.9

Brooklyn, NY 2,465,326 2,504,700 39,374 1.6Queens, NY* 2,229,379 2,230,722 1,343 0.1

4 Houston, TX* 1,953,631 2,099,451 145,820 7.5Manhattan, NY 1,537,195 1,585,873 48,678 3.2

5 Philadelphia, PA 1,517,550 1,526,006 8,456 0.66 Phoenix, AZ* 1,321,045 1,445,632 124,587 9.4

Bronx, NY 1,332,650 1,385,108 52,458 3.97 San Antonio, TX* 1,144,646 1,327,407 182,761 16.08 San Diego, CA* 1,223,400 1,307,402 84,002 6.99 Dallas, TX* 1,188,580 1,197,816 9,236 0.810 San Jose, CA* 894,943 945,942 50,999 5.7

Rank

Total Population Population Change

NYC and Boroughs 2000 20102000-2010

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 and 2010 Census PL 94-171 FilesPopulation Division-New York City Department of City Planning

Population ChangeNew York City and Boroughs, 2010-2011

Source: U.S. Census Bureau: 2010 Census-Summary File 1 and 2011 Population Estimates ProgramPopulation Division-New York City Department of City Planning

2010 2011 Number Percent

New York City 8,175,133 8,244,910 69,777 0.9

Bronx 1,385,108 1,392,002 6,894 0.5

Brooklyn 2,504,700 2,532,645 27,945 1.1

Manhattan 1,585,873 1,601,948 16,075 1.0

Queens 2,230,722 2,247,848 17,126 0.8

Staten Island 468,730 470,467 1,737 0.4

Change, 2010-2011

Estimated Components of Population ChangeNew York City, 2010-2011

Series1

-75,000 -50,000 -25,000 0 25,000 50,000 75,000 100,000

Thousands

Net InternationalMigration

Net DomesticMigration

Population Change

Natural Increase

Net Migration

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2011 Estimates Programas revised by Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning

5,401,440

5,239,633

Total Population by NativityNew York City, 1970 to 2010

5,137,246

6,457,740

1,670,199

1,437,058

PercentForeign-born

18.2

23.6

35.9

28.4

5,142,584 37.2

2,082,931

2,871,032

3,042,315

Source: U.S. Census of Population, 1970 to 2000; 2010 American Community Survey-Full SamplePopulation Division-New York City Department of City Planning

Dominican Republic

13%

China*11%

Mexico6%

Jamaica6%

Guyana5%

Ecuador4%Haiti

3%Trinidad &

Tobago3%

India2%

Russia2%

Other45%

New York City

Top Countries of Birth for the Foreign-bornNew York City and United States, 2010

Total = 3,042,315 Total = 39,955,673

United States

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 American Community Survey-FactFinderPopulation Division-New York City Department of City Planning

* Includes Hong Kong and Taiwan

NYC Bronx Brooklyn Manhat-tan

Queens Staten Island

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

Other & mul-tiracial, nonhispanic

Asian, non-hispanic

Black, non-hispanic

Hispanic

White, non-hispanic

Population Distribution by Race/Hispanic OriginNew York City and Boroughs, 2010

Source: U.S. Census Bureau: 2010 Census-Summary File 1Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning

Puerto Rican31%

Dominican Republic25%

Mexican14%

Ecuadorian7%

Colombian4%

Honduran2%

Cuban2%

Other16%

Hispanic and Asian SubgroupsNew York City, 2010

Total = 2,336,076

Asian*Hispanic

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census-Summary File 1Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning

*Includes a small number of Asians who are of Hispanic origin.** Includes Taiwanese

Total = 1,038,388Chinese**

47%

Asian Indian19%

Korean9%

Filipino6%

Bangladeshi5%

Pakistani4%

Japanese2%

Vietnamese1%

Other6%

Population by Hispanic SubgroupNew York City, 2000-2010

Puerto Rican Dominican Mexican Ecuadorian Central American

Colombian Cuban Peruvian 0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

2000 2010

-11.2 8.2 73.7 14.9 7.9 -11.7 -8.5 10.1PercentChange =

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Simulated Hispanic File; 2010 Census-Summary File 1Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning

Chinese Asian Indian Korean Filipino Pakistani Bangladeshi0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

2000 2010

Population by Asian SubgroupNew York City, 2000-2010

34.6PercentChange = 177.773.822.411.912.5

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 and 2010 Censuses-Summary File 1Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning

Settlement Patterns for Selected Characteristics

E New York

Canarsie

Great Kills

St Albans

Bay Rdg

S Ozone Pk

Rosedale

Steinway

Flatlands

Queens VlgForest Hls

Bellerose

Jamaica

Whitestone

Hunts Pt

Astoria

Middle Vlg

Westerleigh

Flatbush

Murray Hl

College Pt

Arden Hts

Borough Pk

Flushing

Baisley Pk

RidgewoodHollis

Jackson Hts

Laurelton

S Jamaica

Crown Hts N

W Vlg

BedfordRichmond Hl

Maspeth

Elmhurst

Midwood

Co-Op City

Glendale

Dyker Hts

Greenpoint

Madison

Bensonhurst W

E Flushing

Woodhaven

Gravesend

Auburndale

Brownsville

Kew Gdns Hls

E Hrlm N

Woodside

Cambria Hts

Ozone Pk

Clinton

Rego Pk

Corona

E Vlg

Ocean Hl

Clinton HlStuyvesant Hts

Kew Gdns

E Hrlm S

N Corona

E Elmhurst

Pelham Pkwy

Springfield Gdns NCrown Hts S

Bushwick S

Bushwick N

Prt R

ichm

ond

BaysideBayside Hls

RossvilleWoodrow

Far RckwyBayswater

LindenwoodHoward Bch

StapletonRosebank

SeagateConey Is

N SideS Side

New DorpMidland Bch

Pk SlopeGowanus

OakwoodOakwood Bch

E FlatbushFarragut

WoodlawnWakefield

Jamaica EstsHolliswood

New BrightonSilver Lake

Mott HavenPrt Morris

RugbyRemsen Vlg

BriarwoodJamaica Hls

Springfield Gdns SBrookville

AllertonPelham Gdns

Fresh MdwsUtopia

Prospect Lffrts GdnsWingate

CharlestonRichmond Vly

Tottenville

Hunters PtSunnyside

W Maspeth

SchuylervilleThrogs Nck

Edgewater Pk

Old TownDongan Hls

S Bch

Douglas MnrDouglastonLittle Nck

Ft TottenBay TerClearvw

N RiverdaleFieldstonRiverdale

Sheepshead BayGerritsen Bch

MN Bch

PomonokFlushing Hts

Hillcrest

New SpringvilleBloomfield

Travis

Todt HlEmerson Hl

Heartlnd VlgLghthouse Hl

AnnadaleHuguenot

Prince's BayEltingvl

Mariner's HbrArlingtonPrt Ivory

Graniteville

Sunset Pk W

Oakland Gdns

Homecrest

E Williamsburg

Bensonhurst E

Upper W Side

W C

onc

Sunset Pk E

Bath Bch

Wash Hts S

Wash Hts N

E Tremont

Lower E Side

Queensboro Hl

Erasmus

Ft Greene

Yorkville

Mt Hope

Norwood

Lincoln Sq

Belmont

V Cortlandt Vlg

Highbr

idge

Bronxdale

Rikers Island

Old Astoria

Brighton Bch

Chinatown

Crotona Pk E

Ocean Pkwy S

Hamilton Hts

Morningside Hts

Windsor Ter

Central Hrlm S

Longwood

Parkchstr

Williamsburg

Kingsbridge Hts

Prospect Hts

W Brighton

Gramercy

Manhattanville

Fordhm S

DUMBOVinegar Hl

Dwntwn BKBoerum Hl

Starrett City

E New York (PA Ave)

WillmsbridgeOlinville

MidtownMidtown S

Cypress HlsCity Line

WestchstrUnionprt

ElmhurstMaspeth

E ConcConc Vlg

ClarmntBathgate

Cent

ral H

rlm N

Polo

Grn

ds

W FarmsBronx Riv

Upper E SideCarnegie Hl

Turtle BayE Midtown

University HtsMorris Hts

Spuyten DuyvilKingsbridge

MorrisaniaMelrose

Bedfrd PkFordhm N

Marble HlInwood

SoundviewBruckner

Murray HlKips Bay

Lenox HlRoosevelt Is

KensingtonOcean Pkwy

Battery Pk CityLower MN

Melrose SMott Haven N

BK HtsCobble Hl

Stuy TownCooper Vlg

EastchstrEdnwldBaychstr

Carroll GdnsColumbia St

Red Hook

Grymes HlCliftonFox Hls

Glen OaksFloral Pk

New Hyde Pk

W New BrightonNew Brighton

St George

Van NestMorris Pk

Westchtr Sq

GrasmereArrochar

Ft Wadsworth

Pelham BayCountry Club

City Island

QueensbridgeRavenswood

LIC

HammelsArverne

Edgemere

SoundviewCastle HlClason Pt

Harding Pk

Breezy PtBelle HbrRckwy Pk

Broad Channel

Hudson YrdsChelseaFlat IronUnion Sq

SoHoTriBeCaCivic Ctr

Little Italy

GrgtwnMarine PkBergen BchMill Basin

Neighborhood Tabulation Areas*New York City, 2010

Bronx

Queens

StatenIsland

* Neighborhood Tabulation Areas or NTAs, are aggregations of census tracts that are subsets of New York City's 55 Public Use Microdata Areas (PUMAs). Primarily due to these constraints, NTA boundaries and their associated names may not definitively represent neighborhoods. Source: Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning

LAGUARDIAAIRPORT

JOHN F. KENNEDYINTERNATIONAL AIRPORT

Manhattan

Brooklyn

Population Growth by Race/Hispanic OriginNew York City, 2000-2010

Black nonhispanic White nonhispanic Asian nonhispanic Hispanic0

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

3,000,000

2000 2010

PercentChange = -2.8 8.1-5.1 31.8

Sources: U.S. Census Bureau: 2000 and 2010 Censuses-Summary File 1Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning

Percent Change in Population by Neighborhood Tabulation Area*New York City, 2000 to 2010

Bronx

Queens

StatenIsland

* Neighborhood Tabulation Areas or NTAs, are aggregations of census tracts that are subsets of New York City's 55 Public Use Microdata Areas (PUMAs). Primarily due to these constraints, NTA boundaries and their associated names may not definitively represent neighborhoods.

Source: U.S. Census Bureau: 2000 and 2010 Censuses-Summary File 1Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning

LAGUARDIAAIRPORT


Manhattan

Brooklyn

(8 neighborhoods)(25)(17)(31)(74)(17) (10) (6)

Percent Change

Gain of 15.0% or more9.0% to 14.9% 6.0% to 8.9% 3.0% to 5.9%

-6.0% to -8.9%

-2.9% to 2.9%-3.0% to -5.9%

-9.0% to -14.9%

Percent Change in the Black Nonhispanic Populationby Neighborhood Tabulation Area*New York City, 2000 to 2010



Bronx

Queens

StatenIsland

LAGUARDIAAIRPORT


Manhattan

Brooklyn

Less than 5,000 Black NHin 2000 and 2010

(3 neighborhoods)(9)(9)(19)(15) (23) (10)(1)

Percent Change

20.0% to 39.9%10.0% to 19.9%5.0% to 9.9%

-10.0% to -19.9%

-4.9% to 4.9%-5.0% to -9.9%

-20.0% to -39.9%Loss of 40.0% or more

Percent Change in the White Nonhispanic Populationby Neighborhood Tabulation Area*New York City, 2000 to 2010



LAGUARDIAAIRPORT

Bronx

Queens

StatenIsland

LAGUARDIAAIRPORT


Manhattan

Brooklyn

Less than 5,000 White NHin 2000 and 2010

(18 neighborhoods)(4)(8)(11)(25)(16) (22) (29)(6)

Percent Change

Gain of 40.0% or more20.0% to 39.9%10.0% to 19.9%5.0% to 9.9%

-10.0% to -19.9%

-4.9% to 4.9%-5.0% to -9.9%

-20.0% to -39.9%Loss of 40.0% or more

Percent Change in the Asian Nonhispanic Populationby Neighborhood Tabulation Area*New York City, 2000 to 2010



Bronx

Queens

StatenIsland

LAGUARDIAAIRPORT


Manhattan

Brooklyn

Less than 5,000 Asian NHin 2000 and 2010

(25 neighborhoods)(27)(5)(2)(2)(3) (1)

Percent Change


-10.0% to -19.9%

-4.9% to 4.9%-5.0% to -9.9%

Percent Change in the Hispanic Populationby Neighborhood Tabulation Area*New York City, 2000 to 2010



LAGUARDIAAIRPORT

Bronx

Queens

StatenIsland

LAGUARDIAAIRPORT


Manhattan

Brooklyn

Less than 5,000 Hispanicin 2000 and 2010

(21 neighborhoods)(16)(24)(17)(24)(7) (14) (6)

Percent Change


-10.0% to -19.9%

-4.9% to 4.9%-5.0% to -9.9%

-20.0% to -39.9%

Speaks

Eng-lish at

Home

388948351%

Eng-lish Pro-fi-

cient196456126%

Not Eng-lish Pro-fi-

cient181659924%

Persons by English Language AbilityNew York City, 2010

Total Persons Ages 5 and Over = 7,670,643

Speakslanguageother than

Englishat home

49%3,781,160

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 American Community Survey-Public Use Microdata SamplePopulation Division-New York City Department of City Planning

Limited English Proficient Population by Language Spoken at Home

New York City, 2010

* Includes Chinese, Cantonese, Mandarin, and FormosanSource: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 American Community Survey-Public Use Microdata Sample

Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning

Number Percent

Total LEP 1,816,599 100.0

Top LEP LanguagesSpanish 915,742 50.4Chinese* 299,560 16.5Russian 113,943 6.3French Creole 48,501 2.7Korean 47,201 2.6Italian 39,076 2.2Bengali 38,714 2.1Polish 29,928 1.6Yiddish 29,768 1.6Arabic 26,607 1.5

Limited English Proficient Population for the Population 5 Years and overby Neighborhood Tabulation Area*New York City, 2006-2010

Bronx

ManhattanQueens

StatenIsland

Brooklyn

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2006-2010 American Community Survey-FactFinderPopulation Division-New York City Department of City Planning


Percent

50.0% or more

40.0 % to 49.9%

30.0% to 39.9%

20.0% to 29.9%

Less than 20%

(9 neighborhoods)

(12)

(40)

(35)

(92)

NYC Average = 23.4%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 American Community Survey-Public Use Microdata SamplePopulation Division- New York City Department of City Planning

2 Persons 5 years and over

3 Persons 25 years and over

1 Includes Hong Kong and Taiwan

% Limited % High School % CollegeTotal English Graduate Graduate

Population Sex Ratio Proficient2 or Higher or Higher

Total 8,185,314 90 23.7 79.3 33.3 Native-born 5,138,863 93 6.5 86.2 39.7 Foreign-born 3,046,451 87 50.0 71.7 26.3

Dominican Republic 378,199 71 69.9 55.6 10.7

China1 351,314 89 78.3 59.9 25.1 Mexico 187,086 144 83.3 42.2 4.8 Jamaica 169,863 75 0.7 77.9 19.3 Guyana 138,549 83 2.3 77.2 19.0 Ecuador 138,097 112 77.0 58.8 9.8 Haiti 97,516 72 50.2 79.7 17.6 Trinidad and Tobago 84,347 66 0.4 86.3 15.9 India 72,803 112 37.9 81.9 52.8 Russia 70,123 70 63.5 91.3 49.3

Educational Attainment3

Selected Socioeconomic Characteristics of New York City’s Top 10 Foreign-born Groups, 2010

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 American Community Survey-Public Use Microdata SamplePopulation Division- New York City Department of City Planning

Median

Household PovertyMales Females Income Rate

Total 75.9 66.7 $48,366 20.3 Native-born 70.3 67.1 $51,792 21.3 Foreign-born 83.2 66.1 $44,335 18.6

Dominican Republic 77.6 66.4 $30,229 25.9

China1 76.7 66.4 $40,506 21.5 Mexico 94.3 48.9 $37,282 28.5 Jamaica 78.8 82.9 $49,374 13.4 Guyana 81.7 76.5 $60,457 9.0 Ecuador 89.1 59.8 $43,731 17.2 Haiti 80.8 74.4 $44,940 16.2 Trinidad and Tobago 80.4 77.2 $42,320 14.3 India 81.9 56.5 $61,667 13.1 Russia 83.2 73.3 $42,320 14.8

Income and PovertyLabor Force

Participation Rate4

4 Persons 16-64 years old

1 Includes Hong Kong and Taiwan

Selected Socioeconomic Characteristics of New York City’s Top 10 Foreign-born Groups, 2010

Data Links

• DCP Population Division Web site: www.nyc.gov/population

• New York City Census FactFinder: http://gis.nyc.gov/dcp/pa/address.jsp

• Census Bureau Web site:

www.census.gov

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