Honeywell Barclays Capital Industrial Select Conference Presentation

22
Barclays Capital Industrial Select Conference Dave Anderson Senior Vice President and CFO February 9, 2009

description

 

Transcript of Honeywell Barclays Capital Industrial Select Conference Presentation

Page 1: Honeywell  Barclays Capital Industrial Select Conference Presentation

Barclays CapitalIndustrial Select Conference

Dave AndersonSenior Vice President and CFO

February 9, 2009

Page 2: Honeywell  Barclays Capital Industrial Select Conference Presentation

2 Barclays Capital Industrial Select ConferenceFebruary 9, 2009

This report contains “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. All statements, other than statements of fact, that address activities, events or developments that we or our management intend, expect, project, believe or anticipate will or may occur in the future are forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are based on management’s assumptions and assessments in light of past experience and trends, current economic and industry conditions, expected future developments and other relevant factors. They are not guarantees of future performance, and actual results, developments and business decisions may differ from those envisaged by our forward-looking statements. Our forward-looking statements are also subject to risks and uncertainties, which can affect our performance in both the near- and long-term. We identify the principal risks and uncertainties that affect our performance in our Form 10-K and other filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

Forward Looking Statements

Page 3: Honeywell  Barclays Capital Industrial Select Conference Presentation

3 Barclays Capital Industrial Select ConferenceFebruary 9, 2009

Honeywell Overview

The New Honeywell

Segments Geographic Mix

Financials Key Initiatives

$4.1 $4.7 $4.8

$31.4 $34.6 $36.6

119%129%

110%

2006 2007 2008

Sales ($B) Segment Profit ($B) FCF Conversion %

• Velocity Product Development™

• Honeywell Operating System

• Functional Transformation

• Acquisition and Divestiture Process

Aerospace35%

ACS38%

Transportation13%

Specialty14%

US48%

Europe30%

ROW22%

Page 4: Honeywell  Barclays Capital Industrial Select Conference Presentation

4 Barclays Capital Industrial Select ConferenceFebruary 9, 2009

2008 Highlights

Building Long-Term Value

Multi-Year Contract Wins

Attractive New Products

Portfolio Management

Effective Capital Deployment

Proactive Repositioning • $0.4B Actions ($0.7B ‘06-’08)• Funded Through Operations / Gains

• $1.2B Acquisitions / Divestitures, Net• $1.4B Share Repurchases• $0.8B Dividends

• Norcross, Metrologic Acquisitions• Consumable Solutions Divestiture

• HTF 7500 Engine• Wireless Sensing Technology• UOP Heavy Oil Hydrocracking

• $40B+ Aerospace Programs• $0.4B+ Building Efficiency Projects• $4B+ Turbo Platforms

Key Initiative Execution• 70% Sites HOS Initiated• ERP Progress / FT Savings• VPDTM Contributions Increasing

Page 5: Honeywell  Barclays Capital Industrial Select Conference Presentation

5 Barclays Capital Industrial Select ConferenceFebruary 9, 2009

• 6% Decline(4)% Organic2% Acq. / Div.(4)% F/X

(M) 4Q07 4Q08Sales $9,275 $8,712

Segment Profit $1,274 $1,160Margin % 13.7% 13.3%

Net Income $689 $707

EPS $0.91 $0.97

Free Cash Flow* $1,130 $1,093 • 155% Conversion

• 9% DeclineACS + 110 bpsTS (1030) bps

Fourth Quarter 2008 Results

Good Performance In Tough Environment

• 3% GrowthRepo. Offsets Taxes

• 7% GrowthLower Sharecount

*Excluding cash taxes relating to the sale of the Consumable Solutions business

Page 6: Honeywell  Barclays Capital Industrial Select Conference Presentation

6 Barclays Capital Industrial Select ConferenceFebruary 9, 2009

• 6% Growth2% Organic3% Acq. / Div.1% F/X

(M) FY07 FY08Sales $34,589 $36,556

Segment Profit $4,654 $4,845Margin % 13.5% 13.3%

Net Income $2,444 $2,792

EPS $3.16 $3.76

Free Cash Flow* $3,144 $3,073 • 110% Conversion

• 4% GrowthMargin Expansion 3 of 4 Segments

Full Year 2008 Results

Another Great Year

• 14% GrowthIncluding $424M Repo.

• 19% GrowthLower Sharecount

*Excluding cash taxes relating to the sale of the Consumable Solutions business

Page 7: Honeywell  Barclays Capital Industrial Select Conference Presentation

7 Barclays Capital Industrial Select ConferenceFebruary 9, 2009

2009 Planning

Macro Assumptions Supporting Outlook

Developed Markets

Emerging Markets

Foreign Exchange

Commodities

Segment Margin• + : Net Productivity, Repo Benefits• - : Volume, FX• 1H Comps Challenging

• Nickel Down 80%+ From Peak• Natural Gas Down 55%+ From Peak

• EURO / USD $1.25• GBP / USD $1.45

• China GDP 5 to 6%• India GDP 4 to 5%

• US GDP (3)% to (2)%• EU GDP (2)% to (1)%

Free Cash Flow• 100%+ Conversion• Working Capital Contribution• High Quality Earnings Stream

Global GDP (1)% to 0%

Page 8: Honeywell  Barclays Capital Industrial Select Conference Presentation

8 Barclays Capital Industrial Select ConferenceFebruary 9, 2009

Key Market Assumptions

Challenging Market Conditions

Business HON4Q08

AM: 0%OE: 13%*AM: 3%OE: 16%

4%

2%

16%

(44)%

$1.6B Backlog

2009Drivers

2009Planning

AT&R Flight HoursOE Deliveries

(2)%0% to 5%

B&GA TFE Flight HoursOE Deliveries

(15)%(5)% to 0%

Defense DOD Budget 3%

ACS – Developed

US/EU Housing SalesUS/EU Non-ResRetrofit / RegulationIndustrial Cap/Op Ex

No RecoveryDownturnStableCautious

ACS – Emerging New Construction Moderating

TurbochargingEurope Auto ProductionEurope Diesel PenetrationSmall Engine Shift

(20)% to (15)%(1) pts(4) pts

UOP Refining / Gas / Petrochem Slowing

*Excluding CS Divestiture and Boeing Strike

Page 9: Honeywell  Barclays Capital Industrial Select Conference Presentation

9 Barclays Capital Industrial Select ConferenceFebruary 9, 2009

2009 Financial Guidance Update

Fluid Economic Environment

Status Since December 15 Guidance

– Pension Discount Rate 6.95% vs. 7.5%

– China and India Slow-Down

– Commercial Aerospace Weakness

– Electronic Materials Demand

– Earnings and Cash Non-Linearity

+ Pension Plan Returns -29% vs. -33%

+ Euro ~$1.30 Spot vs. $1.25 Plan

+ ACS Performance

+ Commodity Costs

+ Productivity Savings

Excludes impact of acquisition related costs (FAS 141(R))

Sales 33.6$ - 35.3 (8)% - (4)%Organic (LCE) (4)% - 1%

Segment Profit 4.4 - 4.8 (8)% - 0%Segment Margin 13.2% - 13.7% (10) bps - 40 bps

Net Income 2.4 - 2.7 (14)% - (4)%

EPS $3.20 - 3.55 (15)% - (6)%

Free Cash Flow >100% Conversion

Consolidated($B)

2009 GrowthFinancial Outlook 2009E vs. 2008E

Page 10: Honeywell  Barclays Capital Industrial Select Conference Presentation

10 Barclays Capital Industrial Select ConferenceFebruary 9, 2009

$(600)

$(300)

$-

$300

$600

2006 2007 2008 2009

Restructuring Benefits

Funded Through Operations / Gains

Restructuring Charges (’06-’08)

Projected Benefits

$M

Reported EPS Growth

31% 25% 19%

Page 11: Honeywell  Barclays Capital Industrial Select Conference Presentation

11 Barclays Capital Industrial Select ConferenceFebruary 9, 2009

2009 Productivity Actions

Projects Identified And Actionable

AERO

SM

TS

ACS

~$0.8B Savings Functional Transformation• Targeting Functional Cost at 5.3% of Sales

– 60% Total Sales on SAP– 40% Reduction in Supplier Base– Consolidating 75 Rooftops

Honeywell Operating System• 80% Manufacturing Cost Base Initiated (~160 Sites)

– 40 Sites Attain Bronze Certification>95% Delivery to Customer Request>15% Improvement in Inventory>25% Reduction in DefectsImproved Safety Maturity

Repositioning Savings• Benefits from $0.7B Proactive Actions ’06-’08

– $0.5B+ Savings in 2009– Fixed Costs Aligned With Slow Growth Environment

Page 12: Honeywell  Barclays Capital Industrial Select Conference Presentation

12 Barclays Capital Industrial Select ConferenceFebruary 9, 2009

1Q09 Sales ~$7.4B - $8.0BEPS $0.50 – $0.60

1Q09 Preview

($B) Sales Comments

Aerospace ~2.6 – 2.8

ACS ~3.0 – 3.2

Transportation ~0.7 – 0.8

Specialty ~0.9 – 1.0

• Acq. / Div. -4% Estimated Impact• OE Deliveries Decline • ATR Flight Hours -4%, TFE Hours -25%

• FX -12%, Acq. +8% Estimated Impact• Contribution from Acquisitions• Conversion of Solutions Backlog

• FX -8% Estimated Impact• Continued Automotive Weakness

• FX -2% Estimated Impact• UOP Catalysts Decline, Negative Mix• Continued R&C, EM Weakness

Page 13: Honeywell  Barclays Capital Industrial Select Conference Presentation

13 Barclays Capital Industrial Select ConferenceFebruary 9, 2009

Honeywell Playbook - Sales

Grow Faster Than Served Markets

• Emerging Market Growth Design / Source Locally

• Pricing Advanced Analytics

• New Products VPD™ Leverage

• Delivery & Quality HOS Toolkit

• Acquisition Leverage Synergy Benefits

Page 14: Honeywell  Barclays Capital Industrial Select Conference Presentation

14 Barclays Capital Industrial Select ConferenceFebruary 9, 2009

Honeywell Playbook – Segment Profit

Protect Bottom Line

• Direct Materials Strategic Sourcing

• HOS Deployment Deliver Benefits

• Cost Management Specific Accountability

• FT / ERP Project Execution

• Census / Restructuring Deliver Savings

Page 15: Honeywell  Barclays Capital Industrial Select Conference Presentation

15 Barclays Capital Industrial Select ConferenceFebruary 9, 2009

Summary

• Strong 2008 Finish in Tough Environment

• Anticipating Challenging 1H 2009

• Comparisons More Favorable in 2H 2009

• Reaffirming 2009 EPS Guidance

Investor Meeting February 23rd

Page 16: Honeywell  Barclays Capital Industrial Select Conference Presentation

16 Barclays Capital Industrial Select ConferenceFebruary 9, 2009

AppendixReconciliation of non-GAAP Measures

to GAAP Measures

Page 17: Honeywell  Barclays Capital Industrial Select Conference Presentation

17 Barclays Capital Industrial Select ConferenceFebruary 9, 2009

($M ) 4Q07 4Q08Sales $9,275 $8,712

Cost of Products and Services Sold (7,013) (6,523)Selling, General and Administrative Expenses (1,205) (1,179)Operating Income $1,057 $1,010

Stock Based Compensation (1) 11 21Repositioning and Other (1, 2) 135 105Pension and OPEB Expense (1) 71 24Segment Profit $1,274 $1,160

Operating Income $1,057 $1,010÷ Sales $9,275 $8,712Operating Income Margin % 11.4% 11.6%

Segment Profit $1,274 $1,160÷ Sales $9,275 $8,712Segment Profit Margin % 13.7% 13.3%

(1) Included in cost o f products and services so ld and selling, general and administrative expenses

(2) Includes repositioning, asbestos, environmental expenses and equity income (beginning 1/1/2008)

Reconciliation of Segment Profit to Operating Income and Calculation of Segment Profit and Operating Income Margin

Page 18: Honeywell  Barclays Capital Industrial Select Conference Presentation

18 Barclays Capital Industrial Select ConferenceFebruary 9, 2009

($M ) 4Q07 4Q08Cash Provided by Operating Activities $1,440 $1,259Expenditures for Property, Plant and Equipment (310) (332)Free Cash Flow 1,130 927Cash taxes relating to the sale of the Consumable Solutions business - 166Free Cash Flow excluding cash taxes relating to the sale of the Consumables Solution business 1,130 1,093

Cash Provided by Operating Activities $1,440 $1,259÷ Net Income 689 707Operating Cash Flow Conversion % 209% 178%

Free Cash Flow excluding cash taxes relating to the sale of the Consumables Solution business $1,130 $1,093÷ Net Income 689 707Free Cash Flow excluding cash taxes relating to the sale of the Consumables Solution business Conversion % 164% 155%

Reconciliation of Free Cash Flow to Cash Provided by Operating Activities and Calculation of Cash Flow Conversion

Page 19: Honeywell  Barclays Capital Industrial Select Conference Presentation

19 Barclays Capital Industrial Select ConferenceFebruary 9, 2009

($B) 2006 2007 2008Sales $31.4 $34.6 $36.6

Cost of Products and Services Sold (24.1) (26.3) (28.0)Selling, General and Administrative Expenses (4.2) (4.6) (5.0)Operating Income $3.1 $3.7 $3.6

Stock Based Compensation (1) 0.1 0.1 0.1Repositioning and Other (1, 2) 0.5 0.6 1.0Pension and OPEB Expense (1) 0.4 0.3 0.1Segment Profit $4.1 $4.7 $4.8

Operating Income $3.1 $3.7 $3.6÷ Sales $31.4 $34.6 $36.6Operating Income Margin % 9.9% 10.7% 9.8%

Segment Profit $4.1 $4.7 $4.8÷ Sales $31.4 $34.6 $36.6Segment Profit Margin % 13.0% 13.5% 13.3%

(1) Included in cost of products and services so ld and selling, general and administrative expenses

(2) Includes repositioning, asbestos, environmental expenses and equity income (beginning 1/1/2008)

Reconciliation of Segment Profit to Operating Income and Calculation of Segment Profit and Operating Income Margin

Page 20: Honeywell  Barclays Capital Industrial Select Conference Presentation

20 Barclays Capital Industrial Select ConferenceFebruary 9, 2009

($B) 2008 2009ESales $36.6 $33.6 - $35.3

Cost of Products and Services Sold (28.0) (25.2) - (26.5)Selling, General and Administrative Expenses (5.0) (4.6) - (4.8)Operating Income $3.6 $3.8 - $4.0

Stock Based Compensation (1) 0.1 ~0.1Repositioning and Other (1, 2) 1.0 0.3 - 0.4Pension and OPEB Expense (1) 0.1 0.2 - 0.3Segment Profit $4.8 $4.4 - 4.8

Operating Income $3.6 $3.8 - $4.0÷ Sales $36.6 $33.6 - $35.3Operating Income Margin % 9.8% ~11.3%

Segment Profit $4.8 $4.4 - 4.8÷ Sales $36.6 $33.6 - $35.3Segment Profit Margin % 13.3% 13.2 - 13.7%

(1) Included in cost o f products and services so ld and selling, general and administrative expenses

(2) Includes repositioning, asbestos, environmental expenses and equity income (beginning 1/1/2008)

Reconciliation of Segment Profit to Operating Income and Calculation of Segment Profit and Operating Income Margin

Page 21: Honeywell  Barclays Capital Industrial Select Conference Presentation

21 Barclays Capital Industrial Select ConferenceFebruary 9, 2009

($B) 2006 2007 2008Cash Provided by Operating Activities $3.2 $3.9 $3.8Expenditures for Property, Plant and Equipment (0.7) (0.8) (0.9)Free Cash Flow 2.5 3.1 2.9Cash taxes relating to the sale of the Consumables Solution business - - 0.2Free Cash Flow excluding cash taxes relating to the sale

of the Consumables Solution business $2.5 $3.1 $3.1

Cash Provided by Operating Activities $3.2 $3.9 $3.8÷ Net Income $2.4 $2.4 2.8Operating Cash Flow Conversion % 154% 160% 136%

Free Cash Flow excluding cash taxes relating to the sale of the Consumables Solution business $2.5 $3.1 $3.1

÷ Net Income $2.1 $2.4 $2.8Free Cash Flow excluding cash taxes relating to the sale

of the Consumables Solution business Conversion % 119% 129% 110%

Reconciliation of Free Cash Flow to Cash Provided by Operating Activities and Calculation of Cash Flow Conversion

Page 22: Honeywell  Barclays Capital Industrial Select Conference Presentation

22 Barclays Capital Industrial Select ConferenceFebruary 9, 2009