Home Bias and Avoiding Regrets Radius Exchange Traded ... · 5/1/2018  · CAD Decline Aug 2012 to...

19
FTSE Russell 1 ftserussell.com Home Bias and Avoiding Regrets Radius Exchange Traded Forum Toronto, Canada May 1, 2018 Tom Goodwin, PhD Senior Research Director, FTSE Russell

Transcript of Home Bias and Avoiding Regrets Radius Exchange Traded ... · 5/1/2018  · CAD Decline Aug 2012 to...

Page 1: Home Bias and Avoiding Regrets Radius Exchange Traded ... · 5/1/2018  · CAD Decline Aug 2012 to Jan 2016 49.8% 80.7%-30.8% CAD Surge Jan 2016 to Jan 2017 12.8% 4.3% 8.5% CAD Decline

FTSE

Rus

sell

1

ftser

usse

ll.co

m

Hom

e B

ias

and

Avo

idin

g R

egre

ts

Rad

ius

Exch

ange

Tra

ded

Foru

mTo

ront

o, C

anad

a

May

1, 2

018

Tom

Goo

dwin

, PhD

Seni

or R

esea

rch

Dire

ctor

, FTS

E R

usse

ll

Page 2: Home Bias and Avoiding Regrets Radius Exchange Traded ... · 5/1/2018  · CAD Decline Aug 2012 to Jan 2016 49.8% 80.7%-30.8% CAD Surge Jan 2016 to Jan 2017 12.8% 4.3% 8.5% CAD Decline

FTSE

Rus

sell

2

FTSE

Rus

sell

is n

ot a

n in

vest

men

t firm

and

this

pre

sent

atio

n is

not

adv

ice

abou

t any

inve

stm

ent

activ

ity. N

one

of th

e in

form

atio

n in

this

pre

sent

atio

n or

refe

renc

e to

a F

TSE

Rus

sell

inde

x co

nstit

utes

an

offe

r to

buy

or s

ell,

or a

pro

mot

ion

of, a

sec

urity

. Thi

s pr

esen

tatio

n is

sol

ely

for i

nfor

mat

iona

l pu

rpos

es.A

ccor

ding

ly, n

othi

ng c

onta

ined

in th

is p

rese

ntat

ion

is in

tend

ed to

con

stitu

te le

gal,

tax,

se

curit

ies,

or i

nves

tmen

t adv

ice,

nor

an

opin

ion

rega

rdin

g th

e ap

prop

riate

ness

of m

akin

g an

y in

vest

men

t thr

ough

our

inde

xes.

Page 3: Home Bias and Avoiding Regrets Radius Exchange Traded ... · 5/1/2018  · CAD Decline Aug 2012 to Jan 2016 49.8% 80.7%-30.8% CAD Surge Jan 2016 to Jan 2017 12.8% 4.3% 8.5% CAD Decline

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Rus

sell

3

Hom

e B

ias

–w

hat i

s it?

Sour

ce: I

nter

natio

nal M

onet

ary

Fund

Sur

vey,

201

2.

Page 4: Home Bias and Avoiding Regrets Radius Exchange Traded ... · 5/1/2018  · CAD Decline Aug 2012 to Jan 2016 49.8% 80.7%-30.8% CAD Surge Jan 2016 to Jan 2017 12.8% 4.3% 8.5% CAD Decline

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Rus

sell

4

Ther

e ar

e go

od re

ason

s fo

r som

eho

me

bias

•Inv

esto

rs fe

el s

afer

(and

pat

riotic

) hol

ding

dom

estic

equ

ities

w

ith fa

mili

ar n

ames

•Les

s cu

rren

cy ri

sk

•Low

er c

osts

•Mor

e fa

vour

able

tax

trea

tmen

t

•Som

e de

gree

of h

ome

bias

may

hav

e lo

wer

vol

atili

ty

Page 5: Home Bias and Avoiding Regrets Radius Exchange Traded ... · 5/1/2018  · CAD Decline Aug 2012 to Jan 2016 49.8% 80.7%-30.8% CAD Surge Jan 2016 to Jan 2017 12.8% 4.3% 8.5% CAD Decline

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Rus

sell

5

Hom

e bi

as le

ads

to th

eore

tical

ly in

effic

ient

al

loca

tions

Sou

rce:

Van

guar

d. C

ount

ry d

ata

from

Dec

embe

r 31,

196

9 to

Mar

ch 3

1, 2

014.

The

front

ier i

s pu

rely

theo

retic

al

Page 6: Home Bias and Avoiding Regrets Radius Exchange Traded ... · 5/1/2018  · CAD Decline Aug 2012 to Jan 2016 49.8% 80.7%-30.8% CAD Surge Jan 2016 to Jan 2017 12.8% 4.3% 8.5% CAD Decline

FTSE

Rus

sell

6

Som

e re

cent

evi

denc

e on

the

trad

eoffs

Sou

rce:

FTS

E R

usse

ll. D

ata

from

May

5, 2

015

to A

pril

13, 2

018.

Pas

t per

form

ance

is n

o gu

aran

tee

of fu

ture

resu

lts. P

leas

e se

e th

e en

d fo

r im

porta

nt le

gal

disc

losu

res.

Page 7: Home Bias and Avoiding Regrets Radius Exchange Traded ... · 5/1/2018  · CAD Decline Aug 2012 to Jan 2016 49.8% 80.7%-30.8% CAD Surge Jan 2016 to Jan 2017 12.8% 4.3% 8.5% CAD Decline

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Rus

sell

7

Onc

e yo

u’ve

dec

ided

to in

crea

se e

xpos

ure

to o

vers

eas

equi

ty, s

houl

d yo

u he

dge

the

curr

ency

?

•Sta

ndar

d ar

gum

ents

for a

cur

renc

y he

dge

•R

educ

es v

olat

ility

•N

o lo

ss o

f lon

g ru

n re

turn

•Pr

otec

ts a

gain

st a

rise

in th

e C

anad

ian

Dol

lar i

n th

e sh

ort r

un

•Sta

ndar

d ar

gum

ents

for l

eavi

ng c

urre

ncy

unhe

dged

•Av

oids

hed

ging

cos

ts

•N

o lo

ss o

f lon

g ru

n re

turn

•Pr

otec

ts a

gain

st a

fall

in th

e C

anad

ian

Dol

lar i

n th

e sh

ort r

un

Page 8: Home Bias and Avoiding Regrets Radius Exchange Traded ... · 5/1/2018  · CAD Decline Aug 2012 to Jan 2016 49.8% 80.7%-30.8% CAD Surge Jan 2016 to Jan 2017 12.8% 4.3% 8.5% CAD Decline

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Rus

sell

8

Doe

s he

dgin

g el

imin

ate

curr

ency

risk

?

•U

nhed

ged

Ret

urn

= Lo

cal R

etur

n +

Cur

renc

y R

etur

n

•A

hed

ged

inde

x co

ntai

ns a

n im

plic

it be

t tha

t CA

D w

ill a

ppre

ciat

eag

ains

t fo

reig

n cu

rren

cies

. Th

e in

vest

or is

long

CA

D a

nd s

hort

all

othe

r cu

rren

cies

.

•A

n un

hedg

ed in

dex

cont

ains

an

impl

icit

bet t

hat C

AD

will

dep

reci

ate

agai

nst f

orei

gn c

urre

ncie

s. T

he in

vest

or is

sho

rt C

AD

and

long

all

othe

r cu

rren

cies

•If

eith

er b

et tu

rns

out t

o be

wro

ng, i

t will

gen

erat

e lo

wer

retu

rns

than

the

alte

rnat

ive

and

the

end

inve

stor

may

exp

erie

nce

regr

et

Page 9: Home Bias and Avoiding Regrets Radius Exchange Traded ... · 5/1/2018  · CAD Decline Aug 2012 to Jan 2016 49.8% 80.7%-30.8% CAD Surge Jan 2016 to Jan 2017 12.8% 4.3% 8.5% CAD Decline

FTSE

Rus

sell

9

Doe

s he

dgin

g re

duce

vol

atili

ty?

-C

urre

ncy

hedg

ing

cann

ot g

uara

ntee

redu

ctio

n of

retu

rn v

olat

ility

-Fo

r thi

s w

hole

per

iod,

hed

ged

vola

tility

is 1

3.1%

ver

sus

12.3

% fo

r unh

edge

d

Sou

rce:

FTS

E R

usse

ll. D

ata

from

Dec

embe

r 31,

200

9 to

Mar

ch 3

0, 2

018.

Pas

t per

form

ance

is n

o gu

aran

tee

of fu

ture

resu

lts. P

leas

e se

e th

e en

d fo

r im

porta

nt le

gal d

iscl

osur

es.

Page 10: Home Bias and Avoiding Regrets Radius Exchange Traded ... · 5/1/2018  · CAD Decline Aug 2012 to Jan 2016 49.8% 80.7%-30.8% CAD Surge Jan 2016 to Jan 2017 12.8% 4.3% 8.5% CAD Decline

FTSE

Rus

sell

10

Bes

ides

vol

atili

ty, t

here

is a

lso

Reg

ret R

isk

•Reg

ret i

s th

e em

otio

n ex

perie

nced

whe

n an

inve

stm

ent

outc

ome

is le

ss th

an a

n al

tern

ativ

e in

vest

men

t tha

t cou

ld

have

bee

n ea

sily

mad

e

•The

inve

stor

will

exp

erie

nce

regr

et if

:•

He/

she

goes

to a

ll ca

sh a

nd th

e m

arke

t tak

es o

ff

•H

e/sh

e st

ays

fully

inve

sted

in th

e m

arke

t and

ther

e is

a c

orre

ctio

n

•Thi

s is

a b

ehav

iour

al p

heno

men

on –

mod

ern

port

folio

theo

ry

does

n’t a

ckno

wle

dge

it as

it’s

“no

n-ra

tiona

l”

Page 11: Home Bias and Avoiding Regrets Radius Exchange Traded ... · 5/1/2018  · CAD Decline Aug 2012 to Jan 2016 49.8% 80.7%-30.8% CAD Surge Jan 2016 to Jan 2017 12.8% 4.3% 8.5% CAD Decline

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sell

11

Hed

ged

Unh

edge

dH

edge

d –

Unh

edge

d

CA

D D

eclin

e A

ug 2

012

to J

an 2

016

49.8

%80

.7%

-30.

8%C

AD

Sur

ge J

an 2

016

to J

an 2

017

12.8

%4.

3%8.

5%C

AD

Dec

line

Jan

2017

to M

ar 2

018

13.3

%20

.3%

-6.9

%

Tota

l Ret

urn

for F

TSE

Dev

elop

ed e

x N

orth

Am

eric

a In

dex

over

diff

eren

t cur

renc

y pe

riods

Sou

rce:

FTS

E R

usse

ll an

d B

ank

of C

anad

a. D

ata

from

Dec

embe

r 31,

200

9 to

Mar

ch 3

0, 2

018.

Pas

t per

form

ance

is n

o gu

aran

tee

of fu

ture

resu

lts. P

leas

e se

e th

e en

d fo

r im

porta

nt le

gal d

iscl

osur

es.

Page 12: Home Bias and Avoiding Regrets Radius Exchange Traded ... · 5/1/2018  · CAD Decline Aug 2012 to Jan 2016 49.8% 80.7%-30.8% CAD Surge Jan 2016 to Jan 2017 12.8% 4.3% 8.5% CAD Decline

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Rus

sell

12

If re

gret

is p

ossi

ble

whe

ther

we

hedg

e or

not

, w

hat s

houl

d w

e do

?•

Har

ry M

arko

witz

sug

gest

ed a

pos

sibl

e di

rect

ion

in th

e co

ntex

t ofh

is

own

inve

stin

g:

“I s

houl

d ha

ve c

ompu

ted

the

hist

oric

al c

ovar

ianc

e of

the

asse

t cl

asse

s an

d dr

awn

an e

ffici

ent f

ront

ier.

Inst

ead

I vis

ualis

ed m

y gr

ief

if th

e st

ock

mar

ket w

ent w

ay u

p an

d I w

asn’

t in

it –

or if

it w

ent w

ay

dow

n an

d I w

as c

ompl

etel

y in

it.

My

inte

ntio

n w

as to

min

imiz

e m

y fu

ture

regr

et, s

o I s

plit

my

(pen

sion

sch

eme)

con

trib

utio

ns 5

0/50

be

twee

n bo

nds

and

equi

ties.

Quo

ted

in Z

wei

g, “

Am

eric

a’s

Top

Pens

ion

Fund

,”M

oney

Mag

azin

e, 1

998.

Page 13: Home Bias and Avoiding Regrets Radius Exchange Traded ... · 5/1/2018  · CAD Decline Aug 2012 to Jan 2016 49.8% 80.7%-30.8% CAD Surge Jan 2016 to Jan 2017 12.8% 4.3% 8.5% CAD Decline

FTSE

Rus

sell

13

Aca

dem

ics

have

look

ed a

t the

hed

ging

de

cisi

on in

the

cont

ext o

f reg

ret r

isk

•If t

he in

vest

or e

xper

ienc

es m

ore

than

twic

e th

e re

gret

of

bein

g al

l wro

ng o

n th

e di

rect

ion

of th

e cu

rren

cy o

ver b

eing

on

ly h

alf w

rong

(beh

avio

ural

ass

umpt

ion)

,

•And

the

inve

stor

has

no

shor

t-to-

med

ium

term

vie

w o

n th

e di

rect

ion

of th

e cu

rren

cy,

•The

n th

e re

gret

min

imiz

ing

choi

ce is

to h

edge

hal

f the

al

loca

tion

and

leav

e ha

lf un

hedg

ed.

Sou

rce:

Mic

hena

ud a

nd S

olni

k, “A

pply

ing

Reg

ret T

heor

y to

Inve

stm

ent C

hoic

es: C

urre

ncy

Hed

ging

Dec

isio

ns,”

Jour

nal o

f Int

erna

tiona

l Mon

ey a

nd F

inan

ce,

2008

.

Page 14: Home Bias and Avoiding Regrets Radius Exchange Traded ... · 5/1/2018  · CAD Decline Aug 2012 to Jan 2016 49.8% 80.7%-30.8% CAD Surge Jan 2016 to Jan 2017 12.8% 4.3% 8.5% CAD Decline

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Rus

sell

14

Com

paris

on

with

50/

50

allo

catio

n

Can

adia

n D

olla

r ex

US

FTSE

Dev

ex

NA

unh

edge

d In

dex

FTSE

Dev

ex

NA

hed

ged

Inde

x

FTSE

Dev

ex

NA

50/

50

hdg/

unhd

gD

ec-2

009

–M

ar-2

018

Ann

. Ret

-0.7

%8.

8%7.

7%8.

3%

Ann

. Vol

atili

ty4.

7%12

.3%

13.1

%12

.1%

Max

imum

Dra

wdo

wn

-19.

7%-2

3.1%

-20.

6%

Aug

-201

2 –

Jan-

2016

Ann

. Ret

-4.2

%16

.0%

11.4

%13

.7%

Ann

. Vol

atili

ty4.

0%11

.4%

12.2

%11

.3%

Max

imum

Dra

wdo

wn

-11.

3%-1

8.5%

-13.

5%

Jan-

2016

–Ja

n-20

17

Ann

. Ret

8.9%

4.1%

12.2

%8.

0%

Ann

. Vol

atili

ty4.

9%12

.3%

14.0

%12

.4%

Max

imum

Dra

wdo

wn

-9.2

%-1

0.2%

-8.8

%

Jan-

2017

–M

ar-2

018

Ann

. Ret

-5.6

%16

.5%

10.9

%13

.8%

Ann

. Vol

atili

ty6.

3%9.

0%8.

1%7.

9%

Max

imum

Dra

wdo

wn

-8.1

%-9

.2%

-7.7

%S

ourc

e: F

TSE

Rus

sell

and

Ban

k of

Can

ada.

Dat

a fro

m D

ecem

ber 3

1, 2

009

to M

arch

30,

201

8. P

ast p

erfo

rman

ce is

no

guar

ante

e of

futu

re re

sults

. Ple

ase

see

the

end

for i

mpo

rtant

lega

l dis

clos

ures

.

Page 15: Home Bias and Avoiding Regrets Radius Exchange Traded ... · 5/1/2018  · CAD Decline Aug 2012 to Jan 2016 49.8% 80.7%-30.8% CAD Surge Jan 2016 to Jan 2017 12.8% 4.3% 8.5% CAD Decline

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Rus

sell

15

Sum

mar

isin

g

•R

educ

ing

hom

e bi

as fr

om h

igh

leve

ls h

as re

duce

d vo

latil

ity a

nd

incr

ease

d di

vers

ifica

tion

hist

oric

ally

•Th

e de

cisi

on o

n cu

rren

cy h

edgi

ng o

f ove

rsea

s eq

uitie

s is

not

so

sim

ple:

•D

oes

the

end

inve

stor

exp

erie

nce

the

emot

ion

of re

gret

?

•D

oes

the

end

inve

stor

hav

e a

view

on

the

dire

ctio

n of

the

curre

ncy?

•H

as h

edgi

ng re

duce

d vo

latil

ity h

isto

rical

ly?

•D

epen

ding

on

the

answ

ers

to th

e ab

ove,

a b

lend

of h

edge

d an

d un

hedg

ed

allo

catio

ns m

ight

be

appr

opria

te

Page 16: Home Bias and Avoiding Regrets Radius Exchange Traded ... · 5/1/2018  · CAD Decline Aug 2012 to Jan 2016 49.8% 80.7%-30.8% CAD Surge Jan 2016 to Jan 2017 12.8% 4.3% 8.5% CAD Decline

FTSE

Rus

sell

16

Than

k yo

u.

Page 17: Home Bias and Avoiding Regrets Radius Exchange Traded ... · 5/1/2018  · CAD Decline Aug 2012 to Jan 2016 49.8% 80.7%-30.8% CAD Surge Jan 2016 to Jan 2017 12.8% 4.3% 8.5% CAD Decline

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Rus

sell

17

Impo

rtan

t inf

orm

atio

n•

©20

18 L

ondo

n St

ock

Exch

ange

Gro

up p

lc a

nd it

s ap

plic

able

gro

up u

nder

taki

ngs

(the

“LSE

Gro

up”).

The

LSE

Gro

up in

clud

es (1

) FTS

E In

tern

atio

nal L

imite

d (“F

TSE”

), (2

) Fr

ank

Rus

sell

Com

pany

(“R

usse

ll”),

(3) F

TSE

TMX

Glo

bal D

ebt C

apita

l Mar

kets

Inc.

and

FTS

E TM

X G

loba

l Deb

t Cap

ital M

arke

ts L

imite

d (to

geth

er, “

FTSE

TM

X”),

(4)

MTS

Nex

t Lim

ited

(“MTS

Nex

t”), (

5) M

erge

nt, I

nc. (

“Mer

gent

”), (6

) FTS

E Fi

xed

Inco

me

LLC

(“FT

SE F

I”) a

nd (7

) The

Yie

ld B

ook

Inc.

(“YB

”). A

ll rig

hts

rese

rved

.

•FT

SE R

usse

ll®is

a tr

adin

g na

me

of F

TSE,

Rus

sell,

FTS

E TM

X, M

TS N

ext L

imite

d,M

erge

nt, F

TSE

FI a

nd Y

B. “F

TSE®

”, “R

usse

ll®”,

“FTS

E R

usse

ll®”,

“MTS

®”,

“FTS

E TM

X®”,

“FTS

E4G

ood®

”, “IC

B®”,

“Mer

gent

®”, “

Wor

ldBI

G®”,

“USB

IG®”,

“Eur

oBIG

®”,

“Aus

BIG

®”,

“The

Yie

ld B

ook®

”, a

nd a

ll ot

her t

rade

mar

ks a

nd s

ervi

ce m

arks

use

d he

rein

(whe

ther

re

gist

ered

or u

nreg

iste

red)

are

trad

emar

ks a

nd/o

r ser

vice

mar

ks o

wne

d or

lice

nsed

by

the

appl

icab

le m

embe

r of t

he L

SE G

roup

or t

heir

resp

ectiv

e lic

enso

rs a

nd a

re o

wne

d,

or u

sed

unde

r lic

ence

, by

FTSE

, Rus

sell,

MTS

Nex

t, FT

SE T

MX,

Mer

gent

, FT

SE F

I or Y

B.

•Al

l inf

orm

atio

n is

pro

vide

d fo

r inf

orm

atio

n pu

rpos

es o

nly.

All

info

rmat

ion

and

data

con

tain

ed in

this

pub

licat

ion

is o

btai

ned

byth

e LS

E G

roup

, fro

m s

ourc

es b

elie

ved

by it

to b

e ac

cura

te a

nd re

liabl

e. B

ecau

se o

f the

pos

sibi

lity

of h

uman

and

mec

hani

cal e

rror a

s w

ell a

s ot

her f

acto

rs, h

owev

er, s

uch

info

rmat

ion

and

data

is p

rovi

ded

"as

is" w

ithou

t w

arra

nty

of a

ny k

ind.

No

mem

ber o

f the

LSE

Gro

up n

or th

eir r

espe

ctiv

e di

rect

ors,

offi

cers

, em

ploy

ees,

par

tner

s or

lice

nsor

s m

ake

any

clai

m, p

redi

ctio

n, w

arra

nty

or

repr

esen

tatio

n w

hats

oeve

r, ex

pres

sly

or im

plie

dly,

eith

er a

s to

the

accu

racy

, tim

elin

ess,

com

plet

enes

s, m

erch

anta

bilit

y of

any

info

rmat

ion

or o

f res

ults

to b

e ob

tain

ed fr

om th

e us

e of

the

FTSE

Rus

sell

Inde

xes

or th

e fit

ness

or s

uita

bilit

y of

the

FTSE

Rus

sell

Inde

xes

for a

ny p

artic

ular

pur

pose

to w

hich

they

mig

ht b

e pu

t. An

y re

pres

enta

tion

of h

isto

rical

da

ta a

cces

sibl

e th

roug

h FT

SE R

usse

ll In

dexe

s is

pro

vide

d fo

r inf

orm

atio

n pu

rpos

es o

nly

and

is n

ot a

relia

ble

indi

cato

r of f

utur

epe

rform

ance

.

•N

o re

spon

sibi

lity

or li

abilit

y ca

n be

acc

epte

d by

any

mem

ber o

f the

LSE

Gro

up n

or th

eir r

espe

ctiv

e di

rect

ors,

offi

cers

, em

ploy

ees,

par

tner

s or

lice

nsor

s fo

r (a)

any

loss

or

dam

age

in w

hole

or i

n pa

rt ca

used

by,

resu

lting

from

, or r

elat

ing

to a

ny e

rror (

negl

igen

t or o

ther

wis

e) o

r oth

er c

ircum

stan

ce in

volv

ed in

pro

curin

g, c

olle

ctin

g, c

ompi

ling,

in

terp

retin

g, a

naly

sing

, edi

ting,

tran

scrib

ing,

tran

smitt

ing,

com

mun

icat

ing

or d

eliv

erin

g an

y su

ch in

form

atio

n or

dat

a or

from

use

of t

his

docu

men

t or l

inks

to th

is d

ocum

ent o

r (b

) any

dire

ct, i

ndire

ct, s

peci

al, c

onse

quen

tial o

r inc

iden

tal d

amag

es w

hats

oeve

r, ev

en if

any

mem

ber o

f the

LSE

Gro

up is

adv

ised

in a

dvan

ce o

f the

pos

sibi

lity

of s

uch

dam

ages

, res

ultin

g fro

m th

e us

e of

, or i

nabi

lity

to u

se, s

uch

info

rmat

ion.

•N

o m

embe

r of t

he L

SE G

roup

nor

thei

r res

pect

ive

dire

ctor

s, o

ffice

rs, e

mpl

oyee

s, p

artn

ers

or li

cens

ors

prov

ide

inve

stm

ent a

dvic

e an

d no

thin

g co

ntai

ned

in th

is d

ocum

ent o

r ac

cess

ible

thro

ugh

FTSE

Rus

sell

Inde

xes,

inc

ludi

ng s

tatis

tical

dat

a an

d in

dust

ry re

ports

, sho

uld

be ta

ken

as c

onst

itutin

g fin

anci

al o

r inv

estm

ent a

dvic

e or

a fi

nanc

ial

prom

otio

n.

Page 18: Home Bias and Avoiding Regrets Radius Exchange Traded ... · 5/1/2018  · CAD Decline Aug 2012 to Jan 2016 49.8% 80.7%-30.8% CAD Surge Jan 2016 to Jan 2017 12.8% 4.3% 8.5% CAD Decline

FTSE

Rus

sell

18

Impo

rtan

t inf

orm

atio

n (c

ontin

ued)

•Pa

st p

erfo

rman

ce is

no

guar

ante

e of

futu

re re

sults

. Cha

rts a

nd g

raph

s ar

e pr

ovid

ed fo

r illu

stra

tive

purp

oses

onl

y. In

dex

retu

rns

show

n m

ay n

ot re

pres

ent t

he re

sults

of t

he

actu

al tr

adin

g of

inve

stab

le a

sset

s. C

erta

in re

turn

s sh

own

may

refle

ct b

ack-

test

ed p

erfo

rman

ce. A

ll pe

rform

ance

pre

sent

ed p

rior t

o th

e in

dex

ince

ptio

n da

te is

bac

k-te

sted

pe

rform

ance

. Bac

k-te

sted

per

form

ance

is n

ot a

ctua

l per

form

ance

, but

is h

ypot

hetic

al. T

he b

ack-

test

cal

cula

tions

are

bas

ed o

n th

e sa

me

met

hodo

logy

that

was

in e

ffect

whe

n th

e in

dex

was

offi

cial

ly la

unch

ed. H

owev

er, b

ack-

test

ed d

ata

may

refle

ct th

e ap

plic

atio

n of

the

inde

x m

etho

dolo

gy w

ith th

e be

nefit

of h

inds

ight

, and

the

hist

oric

cal

cula

tions

of

an in

dex

may

cha

nge

from

mon

th to

mon

th b

ased

on

revi

sion

s to

the

unde

rlyin

g ec

onom

ic d

ata

used

in th

e ca

lcul

atio

n of

the

inde

x.

•Th

is p

ublic

atio

n m

ay c

onta

in fo

rwar

d-lo

okin

g as

sess

men

ts. T

hese

are

bas

ed u

pon

a nu

mbe

r of a

ssum

ptio

ns c

once

rnin

g fu

ture

con

ditio

ns th

at u

ltim

atel

y m

ay p

rove

to b

e in

accu

rate

. Suc

h fo

rwar

d-lo

okin

g as

sess

men

ts a

re s

ubje

ct to

risk

s an

d un

certa

intie

s an

d m

ay b

e af

fect

ed b

y va

rious

fact

ors

that

may

cau

se a

ctua

l res

ults

to d

iffer

mat

eria

lly.

No

mem

ber o

f the

LSE

Gro

up n

or th

eir l

icen

sors

ass

ume

any

duty

to a

nd d

o no

t und

erta

ke to

upd

ate

forw

ard-

look

ing

asse

ssm

ents

.

•N

o pa

rt of

this

info

rmat

ion

may

be

repr

oduc

ed, s

tore

d in

a re

triev

al s

yste

m o

r tra

nsm

itted

in a

ny fo

rm o

r by

any

mea

ns, e

lect

roni

c, m

echa

nica

l, ph

otoc

opyi

ng, r

ecor

ding

or

othe

rwis

e, w

ithou

t prio

r writ

ten

perm

issi

on o

f the

app

licab

le m

embe

r of t

he L

SE G

roup

. Use

and

dis

tribu

tion

of th

e LS

E G

roup

dat

a re

quire

s a

licen

ce fr

om F

TSE,

Rus

sell,

FT

SE T

MX,

MTS

Nex

t, M

erge

nt, F

TSE

FI, Y

B an

d/or

thei

r res

pect

ive

licen

sors

.

Page 19: Home Bias and Avoiding Regrets Radius Exchange Traded ... · 5/1/2018  · CAD Decline Aug 2012 to Jan 2016 49.8% 80.7%-30.8% CAD Surge Jan 2016 to Jan 2017 12.8% 4.3% 8.5% CAD Decline

FTSE

Rus

sell

19

ftser

usse

ll.co

m