Heavy Rains in Northern Central America from Late Season ... · Heavy Rains in Northern Central...
Transcript of Heavy Rains in Northern Central America from Late Season ... · Heavy Rains in Northern Central...
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Juan José Amides Figueroa Urbano
El Salvador Enviromental and Natural Resources Ministry
Ministerio de Medio Ambiente y Recursos Naturales de El Salvador
Heavy Rains in Northern Central America from Late Season Cold Front and Pre-Frontal Trough
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Summary
• Late season Cold front in Mexico Gulf and Western Caribbean.
• Prefrontal Trof over North Central America.
• Humidity advection from Pacific ocean into continent.
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Infrared channel 4 Event Animation
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Dynamic Analysis : Upper Level Average Flux Time Evolution
Dynamic Analysis : Mid Level Average Flux Evolution
TIME
TIME
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Low level Dynamic Analysis:1000 and 925 hPa Tickness and Average flux
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Thermodynamic and Dynamic Tropospheric Analysis with Galvez Davison Index ( GDI )
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Precipitable Water and Low Level Flux Average Analysis
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Cross Section Analysis of Interest Area
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Tropical Desk Forecast Products
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Visible channel 1 Event Animation – El Salvador zoom in Visible channel 1 Event Animation – El Salvador zoom in
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Conclusions
The slow progression of the Prefrontal Trof over North Central America
• stimulated sea breeze
• stimulated convective instability in El Salvador
• deep-layer moisture transport from the Tropical Pacific
…this generated recurrent diurnal thunderstorm development
through May 01-03
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International Desk Training Conclusions
• Improve the skills to do analysis of synoptic/mesoscale systems. • Improve tools and create new more to enhance meteorological analysis. • Discipline to do task in short times. • Refresh theoretical concepts and learn new ones. • Improve confidence as a forecaster. • Look and learn around broader area, not only your country. • Improve English!
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Thanks!