Heavy rainfalls in Moldova Elina Plesca, engineer-programmer, Weather Forecasting Center EUMETCAL...

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Heavy rainfalls in Moldova Heavy rainfalls in Moldova Elina Plesca Elina Plesca , , engineer-programmer, Weather Forecasting Center EUMETCAL NWP course, October 22 – December 14, 2007 State Hydrometeorological Service, Republic of Moldova

Transcript of Heavy rainfalls in Moldova Elina Plesca, engineer-programmer, Weather Forecasting Center EUMETCAL...

Page 1: Heavy rainfalls in Moldova Elina Plesca, engineer-programmer, Weather Forecasting Center EUMETCAL NWP course, October 22 – December 14, 2007 State Hydrometeorological.

Heavy rainfalls in MoldovaHeavy rainfalls in Moldova

Elina PlescaElina Plesca, , engineer-programmer,

Weather Forecasting Center

EUMETCAL NWP course, October 22 – December 14, 2007

State Hydrometeorological Service, Republic of Moldova

Page 2: Heavy rainfalls in Moldova Elina Plesca, engineer-programmer, Weather Forecasting Center EUMETCAL NWP course, October 22 – December 14, 2007 State Hydrometeorological.

State Hydrometeorological ServiceState Hydrometeorological Service

• Acting since 1944Acting since 1944• Nowadays provides meteorological, hydrological, Nowadays provides meteorological, hydrological,

agrometeorological and air quality informationagrometeorological and air quality information• The Weather Forecasting Center:The Weather Forecasting Center:– 1-5 days forecasts for general public1-5 days forecasts for general public– Specialized forecasts (Emergency Department, Specialized forecasts (Emergency Department,

National Army, Transport authorities etc.)National Army, Transport authorities etc.)– Extreme weather warningsExtreme weather warnings

EUMETCAL NWP course, Langen, 26-29 November 2007

Page 3: Heavy rainfalls in Moldova Elina Plesca, engineer-programmer, Weather Forecasting Center EUMETCAL NWP course, October 22 – December 14, 2007 State Hydrometeorological.

Main weather influencing factorsMain weather influencing factors

• The Black SeaThe Black Sea• The CarpathiansThe Carpathians• The Eastern European PlainThe Eastern European Plain

EUMETCAL NWP course, Langen, 26-29 November 2007

Most dangerous weather Most dangerous weather eventsevents

• Heavy rainfallsHeavy rainfalls• Ground frostsGround frosts• Heavy snowfallsHeavy snowfalls• Very low temperaturesVery low temperatures

Page 4: Heavy rainfalls in Moldova Elina Plesca, engineer-programmer, Weather Forecasting Center EUMETCAL NWP course, October 22 – December 14, 2007 State Hydrometeorological.

Analyzed data/productsAnalyzed data/products

• Surface dataSurface data• Upper air data… no upper air station, surrounding Upper air data… no upper air station, surrounding

area very poor coveredarea very poor covered• Satellite data > Meteosat, NOAASatellite data > Meteosat, NOAA• Radar data > MRL-5, Romanian Doppler (very Radar data > MRL-5, Romanian Doppler (very

limited information, but important due to the area limited information, but important due to the area of coverage) of coverage)

• NWP products > no regional model in use, NWP products > no regional model in use, “standard” products (DWD, MetOffice, ECMWF, “standard” products (DWD, MetOffice, ECMWF, GFS, NCEP, NOGAPS etc.)GFS, NCEP, NOGAPS etc.)

EUMETCAL NWP course, Langen, 26-29 November 2007

Page 5: Heavy rainfalls in Moldova Elina Plesca, engineer-programmer, Weather Forecasting Center EUMETCAL NWP course, October 22 – December 14, 2007 State Hydrometeorological.

Case studiesCase studies

August 7, 2005 – heavy rainfalls over MoldovaAugust 7, 2005 – heavy rainfalls over Moldova

July 13, 2006 – heavy thunderstorms and hail July 13, 2006 – heavy thunderstorms and hail over the central part of Moldovaover the central part of Moldova

EUMETCAL NWP course, Langen, 26-29 November 2007

Page 6: Heavy rainfalls in Moldova Elina Plesca, engineer-programmer, Weather Forecasting Center EUMETCAL NWP course, October 22 – December 14, 2007 State Hydrometeorological.

August 7, 2005 – heavy rainfalls over MoldovaAugust 7, 2005 – heavy rainfalls over Moldova

EUMETCAL NWP course, Langen, 26-29 November 2007

Biggest amount of Biggest amount of precipitation – 83 precipitation – 83 mm/12 hmm/12 h

In Chisinau – 57 In Chisinau – 57 mm/12 hmm/12 h

Flooded houses, Flooded houses, railway stationrailway station

Page 7: Heavy rainfalls in Moldova Elina Plesca, engineer-programmer, Weather Forecasting Center EUMETCAL NWP course, October 22 – December 14, 2007 State Hydrometeorological.

August 7, 2005 – heavy rainfalls over MoldovaAugust 7, 2005 – heavy rainfalls over Moldova

EUMETCAL NWP course, Langen, 26-29 November 2007

Page 8: Heavy rainfalls in Moldova Elina Plesca, engineer-programmer, Weather Forecasting Center EUMETCAL NWP course, October 22 – December 14, 2007 State Hydrometeorological.

August 7, 2005 – heavy rainfalls over MoldovaAugust 7, 2005 – heavy rainfalls over Moldova

EUMETCAL NWP course, Langen, 26-29 November 2007

Page 9: Heavy rainfalls in Moldova Elina Plesca, engineer-programmer, Weather Forecasting Center EUMETCAL NWP course, October 22 – December 14, 2007 State Hydrometeorological.

August 7, 2005 – heavy rainfalls over MoldovaAugust 7, 2005 – heavy rainfalls over Moldova

EUMETCAL NWP course, Langen, 26-29 November 2007

Page 10: Heavy rainfalls in Moldova Elina Plesca, engineer-programmer, Weather Forecasting Center EUMETCAL NWP course, October 22 – December 14, 2007 State Hydrometeorological.

August 7, 2005 – heavy rainfalls over MoldovaAugust 7, 2005 – heavy rainfalls over Moldova

EUMETCAL NWP course, Langen, 26-29 November 2007

Page 11: Heavy rainfalls in Moldova Elina Plesca, engineer-programmer, Weather Forecasting Center EUMETCAL NWP course, October 22 – December 14, 2007 State Hydrometeorological.

Case studiesCase studies

August 7, 2005 – heavy rainfalls over MoldovaAugust 7, 2005 – heavy rainfalls over Moldova

July 13, 2006 – heavy thunderstorms and hail July 13, 2006 – heavy thunderstorms and hail over the central part of Moldovaover the central part of Moldova

EUMETCAL NWP course, Langen, 26-29 November 2007

Page 12: Heavy rainfalls in Moldova Elina Plesca, engineer-programmer, Weather Forecasting Center EUMETCAL NWP course, October 22 – December 14, 2007 State Hydrometeorological.

July 13, 2006 – heavy thunderstorms and hail over the July 13, 2006 – heavy thunderstorms and hail over the central part of Moldovacentral part of Moldova

• Biggest amount of Biggest amount of precipitation – 31 mmprecipitation – 31 mm

• Hail, 20 mm in Hail, 20 mm in diameter, 6-15 min diameter, 6-15 min durationduration

• 1 victim1 victim• About 1 mln € About 1 mln €

material lossmaterial loss

EUMETCAL NWP course, Langen, 26-29 November 2007

Page 13: Heavy rainfalls in Moldova Elina Plesca, engineer-programmer, Weather Forecasting Center EUMETCAL NWP course, October 22 – December 14, 2007 State Hydrometeorological.

July 13, 2006 – heavy thunderstorms and hail over the July 13, 2006 – heavy thunderstorms and hail over the central part of Moldovacentral part of Moldova

Surface analysis, July 13, 2006, 00 UTC

EUMETCAL NWP course, Langen, 26-29 November 2007

Page 14: Heavy rainfalls in Moldova Elina Plesca, engineer-programmer, Weather Forecasting Center EUMETCAL NWP course, October 22 – December 14, 2007 State Hydrometeorological.

July 13, 2006 – heavy thunderstorms and hail over the July 13, 2006 – heavy thunderstorms and hail over the central part of Moldovacentral part of Moldova

Height/temperature 500 hPa, July 13, 2006, 00 UTC

EUMETCAL NWP course, Langen, 26-29 November 2007

Page 15: Heavy rainfalls in Moldova Elina Plesca, engineer-programmer, Weather Forecasting Center EUMETCAL NWP course, October 22 – December 14, 2007 State Hydrometeorological.

July 13, 2006 – heavy thunderstorms and hail over the July 13, 2006 – heavy thunderstorms and hail over the central part of Moldovacentral part of Moldova

Height/temperature 850 hPa, July 13, 2006, 00 UTC

EUMETCAL NWP course, Langen, 26-29 November 2007

Page 16: Heavy rainfalls in Moldova Elina Plesca, engineer-programmer, Weather Forecasting Center EUMETCAL NWP course, October 22 – December 14, 2007 State Hydrometeorological.

July 13, 2006 – heavy thunderstorms and hail over the July 13, 2006 – heavy thunderstorms and hail over the central part of Moldovacentral part of Moldova

Radar composite, July 13, 2006, 15.39 UTC

EUMETCAL NWP course, Langen, 26-29 November 2007

Page 17: Heavy rainfalls in Moldova Elina Plesca, engineer-programmer, Weather Forecasting Center EUMETCAL NWP course, October 22 – December 14, 2007 State Hydrometeorological.

July 13, 2006 – heavy thunderstorms and hail over the July 13, 2006 – heavy thunderstorms and hail over the central part of Moldovacentral part of Moldova

Radar composite, July 13, 2006, 18.47 UTC

EUMETCAL NWP course, Langen, 26-29 November 2007

Page 18: Heavy rainfalls in Moldova Elina Plesca, engineer-programmer, Weather Forecasting Center EUMETCAL NWP course, October 22 – December 14, 2007 State Hydrometeorological.

July 13, 2006 – heavy thunderstorms and hail over the July 13, 2006 – heavy thunderstorms and hail over the central part of Moldovacentral part of Moldova

EUMETCAL NWP course, Langen, 26-29 November 2007

Page 19: Heavy rainfalls in Moldova Elina Plesca, engineer-programmer, Weather Forecasting Center EUMETCAL NWP course, October 22 – December 14, 2007 State Hydrometeorological.

Thank you!Thank you!

EUMETCAL NWP course, Langen, 26-29 November 2007