HCA Investor Update · operations, financial results, cash flows, costs and cost management...
Transcript of HCA Investor Update · operations, financial results, cash flows, costs and cost management...
HCA Investor Update
Forward Looking Statements andNon‐GAAP Financial Measures
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This presentation may contain certain forward‐looking statements provided by Company management. These statements are intended to be covered by the safe‐harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward‐looking statements include all statements that do not relate solely to historical or current facts, including statements regarding future operations, financial results, cash flows, costs and cost management initiatives, capital structure management, growth rates, and operational and strategic initiatives, and can also be identified by the use of words like “may,” “believe,” “will,” “expect,” “project,” “estimate,” “anticipate,” “intend,” “plan,” “initiative,” “continue” or words or phrases of similar meaning. These forward‐looking statements speak only as of the date hereof and are based on our current plans and expectations and are subject to a number of known and unknown uncertainties and risks, many of which are beyond our control. These risks and uncertainties are described under headings such as “Risk Factors” in our annual report on Form 10‐K for the year ended December 31, 2015 and other reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. As a consequence, current plans, anticipated actions and future financial position and results of operations may differ significantly from those expressed in any forward‐looking statements in today’s presentation. You are cautioned not to unduly rely on such forward‐looking statements when evaluating the information presented and we do not intend to update any of these forward‐looking statements.
The presentation may contain certain non‐GAAP measures, including Adjusted EBITDA. The Company’s earnings releases for the yearended December 31, 2015 and quarter and six months ended June 30, 2016 located on the Company’s investor relations page at www.hcahealthcare.com, include a reconciliation of the difference between certain non‐GAAP financial measures with the most directly comparable financial measure calculated in accordance with GAAP. These non‐GAAP financial measures should not be considered alternatives to the GAAP financial measures.
References to “Company” used herein refer to HCA Holdings, Inc. and its affiliates, unless otherwise stated or indicated by context.
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Our strategy:
Industry leading quality and service
Profitable growth through distinctive physician & patient relationships
A well‐informed response to the market environment
Industry leading efficiency
Unparalleled development of future leaders
To leverage the scale and capabilities of HCA in the local markets to create competitive advantage and be the provider system of choice for patients and physicians
Shareholders• Earnings growth
• Return oncapital
• Future growth
• Management
• Governance
Payers• Comprehensive network of access points and service lines
• Competitively priced
• Physician network
• Clinical Outcomes
Patients• Safe
• High quality
• Compassionate
• Convenient
• User friendly
• Cost‐effective
Physicians• Clinical capabilities
• Efficient placeto practice
• Voice
• Growth
Employees• Compensation and benefits
• Training and development
• Resources
• Advancement
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Driving value for key stakeholders
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Today’s site specific care delivery
FreeStanding ERsUrgent Care
SpecialistsPrimary Care
Surgery Centers
Hospitals
Behavioral Health
Imaging Centers
“We believe the future will reward comprehensive integrated delivery networks”
Sustaining top line growth
Admissions 3.8%
4.8%Equivalent Admissions
ER Visits
Surgeries
7.1%
2.5%
Revenue 7.2%
1.9M
3.1M
8.1M
1.4M
$39.7B
Values represent 2015 resultsPercentages represent 5 year CAGR: 2010 – 2015 5
23.8%
24.0%
24.2%
24.4%
24.6%
24.8%
25.0%
25.2%
25.4%
2012 2013 2014 2015
Sustaining market share growth
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24.7%
25.2%
Share gains over PY in 22 of 38 Markets
HCA Growth in 10 of 19 Service Lines
Note: Percentages represent current market share1Market Share Notes: Source = State data via Stratasan
London
Strengthening a diversified portfolio
7Note: Percentages represent current market share1
Nashville34%
Tampa/ St. Pete30%
Denver32%
Dallas/Fort Worth
18%Austin39%
Houston19%
Kansas City23%
Miami/Fort Lauderdale
22%
Las Vegas32%
Western Idaho
Idaho Falls
Wichita
OklahomaCity
Las Vegas
El Paso
BrownsvilleMcAllen
Corpus Christi
New Orleans
Central Louisiana
LafayettePanhandle
Tallahassee Jacksonville
North Central FloridaOrlando
Treasure Coast
Charleston
Myrtle Beach
New Hampshire
Augusta
Middle GA
Chattanooga
NWGAAtlanta
TerreHaute
Frankfort
NOVA
SWVA
Anchorage
London
Richmond37%
San Jose17%
Salt Lake 20%
San Antonio35%
Growing diversification in mix of revenue
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Acute Care
Shared Services
Access Centers
169
44K
Ambulatory Services
Hospitals
Licensed Beds
116
15
GI Centers
Urgent Care Centers
69
57
Freestanding ERs
Physicians
Physician Clinics
~830
35K
Active Medical Staff
ASCs
Enterprise Services
Quality agenda is yielding results
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Delivering clinical excellence Continuing strong performance on external reporting
Reducing complications and mortality through clinical excellence program
Maximizing meaningful use incentives
Piloting front‐end EHR strategies
Leveraging the clinical data warehouse for clinical and operational insights
Developing a national reputation for improving clinical outcomes
Making progress on patient experience,but room exists for improvement
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39Free Standing ERs
214ER Beds452FSER Beds
2,258Hospital Beds
3,965BedsHospitals 17
Making significant investments in our markets
$14+ billion since the IPO
Acquisitions
Capacity
EBITDA growth up 34% and margins at industry leading levels
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5‐year Adjusted EBITDA CAGR: 6.2%
5 year Adj. EPS CAGR: 13.7%*
* Adj. EPS excludes the impact of items such as, but not limited to, gains or losses on sales of facilities, losses on retirement of debt, legal claim costs, impairments of long‐lived assets
Balanced approach to capital deployment
12Use of Cash Flows from March 2011 IPO through 2Q 2016
Acquisitions
Cash Flows from Operations
Capital Expenditures
Special Dividends
Share Repurchases
$22.8B
$10.9B
$3.9B
$3.2B
$8.0B
Strategy is strengthening the sourcesof differentiation
Deep andexperiencedleadership
Scale
Diversifiedportfolio
Financialstrength
Strongoperatingculture
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Market demand for healthcare isstill growing
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CMS projects health spending for U.S. to grow 5.8% annually for 2014 –20242:
Key Drivers: Population growth Aging population Chronic conditions Clinical innovation ACA coverage expansion
3 & 5 Year Forecasts of Inpatient Admit Growth Rates by Service Line ‐ 2015–2020
National health expenditure projectionsforecast accelerating growth
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1% overall population growth annually through ‘24
Over 64 population to grow 3.4%annually during same time period
Health spending outpacing GDP growth by 1.1% per year
Health share of GDP to rise to 19.6% by ‘24, up 220 bps since ‘13
3,197
3,351
3,522
3,731
3,959
4,198
4,457
4,733
5,022
5,322
5,631
$2,500
$3,000
$3,500
$4,000
$4,500
$5,000
$5,500
$6,000
'15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22 '23 '24 '25
National Health Expenditure Projections 2015‐20253
Billions
HCA markets are more favorable than U.S.
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5‐year Population CAGR4
5‐year Demand CAGR5
GDP Growth6
Unemployment Rate7
2.4%
U.S.HCA
3.0%
4.6%
0.7%
1.6%2.2%
1.2%
4.8%
Sources: ESRI – 5 year CAGR, 2015 ‐2020 population project ion; Sg2 – 5 year CAGR, 2015 ‐2020 inpatient admissions; U.S. Dept. of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, 2014% Real GDP Growth; U.S. Dept. of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statist ics ‐ November 2015P Unemployment Rate, Not Seasonal ly Adjusted.
Pricing environment is stable
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Reimbursement tied to value is still modest
While Shared Saving Program has not proven effective, Medicare has migrated to bundled payment pilots
No significant commercial payer migration to risk or into provider space
Payer consolidation should have a marginal impact, if allowed to move forward
Employers: • Continued movement to high‐deductible health plans • Slow to adopt defined contribution plans • Not “moving” employees into exchanges
Alternative payment models are evolving
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Revenue Model
Fee for Service
Fee for Value‐P4P
Full Risk
Strengthening our delivery capability
Low“Fragmented delivery”
High“Integrated delivery”
Balancing the risk & pace of integration investment vs the changing revenue model
Management Challenge
Investment Risk
Business Risk
Fast Moving?
Slow Moving
Bundled Payment
Corridor risk
Competitor dynamics are mostly unchanged
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Healthcare is still a local business
Industry remains largely fragmented with few scaled players
Pace of change across the industry is slow
No new entrants are materially disrupting the markets
Vertical integration (employment) has slowed on the physician side and in the payer space
Rational pricing environment remains
Capital spending is increasing in some markets
Growth opportunities still existin HCA markets
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Local Sustainable Growth
Coordination Across
Continuum
Access and Convenience
Operational Excellence
Strong Physician
Relationships
Comprehensive Service Lines
Capacity expansion
New facilities
Intra‐network retention
Medical staff development
Rural outreach
Complementary acquisitions
Leveraging our scale to create local marketcompetitive advantage
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Economies
Innovation
Capital
Make our business better
Drive more growth
Get to market faster
Support even better execution
Capacity coming online continues to accelerate
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808901
975
202
355 347
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
2012‐2013 2014‐2015 2016‐2017 Proj
IP Beds
ER + FSER Beds
Advancing the patient experience
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Patient Experience
Big Data/Best
Practices
Partnering with
Physicians
Competent Employees
Technology
Adding corporate talent Implementing standards
on best practices Focusing efforts at
certain facilities Leveraging nursing
agenda Leadership training Incentives More granular reporting
and analytics
Investing in our people
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Implementing OneHRplatform
Expanding Executive Development Program
Focusing on nurse retention and nurse directors
Leveraging ParallonWorkforce Solutions (StaRN)
Ongoing HCA summits for service line networking and leadership training
Investing in better analytics and management systems
Partnering with physicians
PhysicianEngagement
Voice
GrowthTime
25Clinical Capabilities
Corporate Support Areas:
Practice Operations Provider Relations Chief Medical Officers Hospital Based GME Recruitment Urgent Care Leadership Development Credentialing Branding Program Engagement Surveys
15.3M eligible enrollees remain across HCA’s 20 states, including 30%, or 4.5M, who are tax credit eligible8
Healthcare reform potential remains
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Texas1.0M*
HCA Medicaid Expansion State9Florida
825K*
<15% of HCA beds in Medicaid expansion states
* Tax credit eligible enrollees
Shareholders• Earnings growth
• Return oncapital
• Future growth
• Management
• Governance
Payers• Comprehensive network: access and service lines
• Competitively priced
• Physician network
• Clinical Outcomes
Patients• Safe
• High quality
• Compassionate
• Convenient
• User friendly
• Cost‐effective
Physicians• Clinical capabilities
• Efficient place to practice
• Voice
• Growth
Employees• Compensation and benefits
• Training and development
• Resources
• Advancement
27CONFIDENTIAL – Contains proprietary information. Not intended for external distribution.
Continue to drive for value
Capitalize further on our sourcesof differentiation and maintain agility
Deep andexperiencedleadership
Scale
Diversifiedportfolio
Financialstrength
Strongoperatingculture
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Notes and Sources
1 Market Share Notes:• Same Store. Composit ion Market ( In Market + In Migrat ion)• Stat ist ics are based on inpat ient discharge data for the most recent ly avai lable 48 month period for 30 def ined markets.• Analys is inc ludes data for 30 markets with data through 4Q’15• Source = State data via Stratasan
2 Aggregate forecast for 32 HCA markets, excluding normal newborns. Sources: Impact of Change®v15.0; HCUP National Inpat ient Sample (NIS) . Healthcare Cost and Uti l izat ion Project (HCUP). 2012. Agency for Healthcare Research and Qual i ty, Rockvi l le , MD; The Nielsen Company, LLC, 2015; The Nielsen Company, LLC, 2015; Sg2 Analys is , 2016.
3 CMS Off ice of the Actuary in the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, July 2016. NHE Project ions 2015 ‐2025 Forecast Summary: https://www.cms.gov/Research ‐Stat ist ics ‐Data ‐and ‐Systems/Stat ist ics ‐Trends ‐and ‐Reports/NationalHealthExpendData/Downloads/proj2015.pdf
4 ESRI – 5 year CAGR, 2015 ‐2020 populat ion project ion5 Sg2 – 5 year CAGR, 2015 ‐2020 inpat ient admiss ions Demand based on epidemiology and populat ion forecasts , 2014 base year. Excludes normal newborns.
6 U.S. Dept. of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analys is ‐ 2014% Real GDP Growth over 2013: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analys is , National Real GDP (mi l l ions of chained 2009 dol lars , http:// www.bea.gov/newsreleases/nat ional/gdp/ gdpnewsrelease.htm. EMBARGOED UNTIL RELEASE AT 8:30 A.M. EST, Nov 24, 2015
7 U.S. Dept. of Labor, Bureau of Labor Stat ist ics ‐ November 2015P Unemployment Rate, Not Seasonal ly Adjusted. Table 1. Civ i l ian labor force and unemployment by state and metropol i tan area. http://www.bls .gov/news.release/metro.t01.htm. As of December 31, 2015.
8 Potentia l enrol lment el ig ible populat ion def ined as people who were uninsured or buying their own insurance before the ACA went into effect , who are not el ig ible for Medicaid or employer coverage, inc luding Tax Credit El ig ible, Inel ig ible for Financia l Assistance due to Income, ESI Offer or Cit izenship, and In the coverage gap who are cit izens or authorized immigrants. Source: KFF ‐ Distr ibution of El ig ibi l i ty for ACA Health Coverage Among those Remaining Uninsured as of 2015. Timeframe: January 12, 2016. http://kff .org/health0reform/state0indicator/distr ibut ion0of0el ig ibi l i ty0for0aca0coverage0among0the0remaining0uninsured/ for notes and sources
9 Kaiser Family Foundation. Status of State Action on the Medicaid Expansion Decis ion as July 7, 2016.