Haiti 2010 Election Round II v 0.5 2010 Feb 17

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1 Latest in a series of Al Mac notes on Haiti political developments Contents last updated 2011 Feb-17 Introduction (1 Feb 17) ....................................................................................................... 1 Haiti 2010-2011 Election Round II (1 Feb 7) ..................................................................... 1 Mir lan de Hyp pol ite Manigat (1 Feb-6) ........................................................................... 2 Mrs. Manigat reaction to r ound II inf o (1 Feb 3) ........................................................ 2 Mrs. Manigat Platform (0 Sep-03) .............................................................................. 2 Miche l Mart elly ``Sweet Micky ' Jos eph (1 Feb 17) ........................................................ 5 Mr. Martelly reaction to round II info (1 Feb 3)......................................................... 7 Mr. Martelly platform (0 Aug 20)................................ ............................................... 7 INITE Senators Landslide (1 Feb 3) ................................................................................... 9 Runoff election schedule (1 Feb 3) ..................................................................................... 9 International Players (1 Feb 15)..... ................................................................................... 10 Bill Clint on meets Martelly and Manigat (1 Feb 17 ................................................. 10 Aristide Controversy (1 Feb 17) ................................................................................... 10 Baby Doc on hot seat (1 Feb 17) .................................................................................. 12 Introduction (1 Feb 17) I have had a series of documents on Haiti political topics. Over time, much of the pri or document content becomes not relevant to the con tinuing story, so I start a new one with the current events, keeping prior for reference in case dead topics once again become hot topics, and what is in each may evolve a bit from the starting title. Baby Doc Duvalier … various political goings on associated with his 2010 return, and lots of concurrent speculations about Aristide Haiti 2010 Pres Bye … what we knew about the 2010 Presidential candidates, who were not accepted to run, by CEP. Haiti Aid Watchdog press releases associated with 2010 Presidential debates Haiti Election … lots of info about Haiti political realities until Round 1 occurred in 2010 Haiti Election Candidates … their info separated out from the overall Election 2010 stor y Haiti Political History … this sub-topic separated out from the overall Election 2010 stor y Presidential Rankings … an Excel with several weeks of different places doing  popularity polls prior to election 2010 Round 1 Voodoo Defendant … sub-set of me following the 2010 Little Paul story Haiti 2 010-201 1 Electio n Round I I (1 Feb 7) Michel Martelly and Mirlande Manigat are going to round two of the Haiti presidential elections, according to an “official” CEP announcement. 1 (OAS analysis suggested.) Le monde published the results roughly 8 hours be fore they became official. 2 Here is a 1 http://www.belpolitik.com/blog.php/228 2 http://belpolitik.com/blog.php/225 http://www.lemonde.fr/ameriques/article/2011/02/03/haiti-le-candidat-du-pouvoir-ecarte-du-second-tour- de-la-presidentielle_1474450_3222.html

Transcript of Haiti 2010 Election Round II v 0.5 2010 Feb 17

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Contents last updated 2011 Feb-17

Introduction (1 Feb 17) ................................................................ ....................................... 1

Haiti 2010-2011 Election Round II (1 Feb 7) ..................................................................... 1

Mirlande Hyppolite Manigat (1 Feb-6) ................................................................ ........... 2

Mrs. Manigat reaction to round II info (1 Feb 3)........................................................ 2

Mrs. Manigat Platform (0 Sep-03).............................................................................. 2Michel Martelly ``Sweet Micky' Joseph (1 Feb 17) ........................................................ 5

Mr. Martelly reaction to round II info (1 Feb 3)......................................................... 7

Mr. Martelly platform (0 Aug 20)............................................................................... 7INITE Senators Landslide (1 Feb 3) ................................................................ ................... 9

Runoff election schedule (1 Feb 3) ................................................................ ..................... 9

International Players (1 Feb 15)........................................................................................ 10

Bill Clinton meets Martelly and Manigat (1 Feb 17 ................................................. 10Aristide Controversy (1 Feb 17) ................................................................ ................... 10

Baby Doc on hot seat (1 Feb 17) ................................................................ .................. 12

Introduction (1 Feb 17)I have had a series of documents on Haiti political topics. Over time, much of the prior 

document content becomes not relevant to the continuing story, so I start a new one withthe current events, keeping prior for reference in case dead topics once again become hot

topics, and what is in each may evolve a bit from the starting title.

Baby Doc Duvalier … various political goings on associated with his 2010 return,and lots of concurrent speculations about Aristide

Haiti 2010 Pres Bye … what we knew about the 2010 Presidential candidates,who were not accepted to run, by CEP.

Haiti Aid Watchdog press releases associated with 2010 Presidential debates

Haiti Election … lots of info about Haiti political realities until Round 1 occurredin 2010

Haiti Election Candidates … their info separated out from the overall Election2010 story

Haiti Political History … this sub-topic separated out from the overall Election2010 story

Presidential Rankings … an Excel with several weeks of different places doing popularity polls prior to election 2010 Round 1

Voodoo Defendant … sub-set of me following the 2010 Little Paul story

Haiti 2010-2011 Election Round II (1 Feb 7)Michel Martelly and Mirlande Manigat are going to round two of the Haiti presidential

elections, according to an “official” CEP announcement.1

(OAS analysis suggested.) Lemonde published the results roughly 8 hours before they became official.

2Here is a

1 http://www.belpolitik.com/blog.php/2282 http://belpolitik.com/blog.php/225

http://www.lemonde.fr/ameriques/article/2011/02/03/haiti-le-candidat-du-pouvoir-ecarte-du-second-tour-

de-la-presidentielle_1474450_3222.html

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refresher on what we knew about those two candidates qualifications to become

President, from research earlier in the race. However, half of CEP officials have cast

doubt on the “officialness” of the recent CEP announcement.3

Article 8 of the CEP’s bylaws requires that the Council’s decisions be made by an “absolute majority of its

members.” Therefore, a valid decision regarding the run-off would require five votes.4

Mirlande Hyppolite Manigat (1 Feb-6) 

Secretary General of BDR, Party "Rally of Progressive National Democrats (BDR) is a

former Senator, former first lady and university administrator. She is also a longtime

opposition leader and a professor. Included in 19 approved Aug-20. Her political

 platform. PIPL info. Fan page Hi5. 2007 Blog on her .

January 1988 her husband Leslie Francois Manigat was elected President with 50.29%of the vote. Here is Leslie F. Manigat on Linked In. Voter turnout was below 10%. In

June 1988 Manigat was ousted by a military coup d’etat. In the 2006 election, a

Presidential run-off was avoided, by counting the blank “none of above” ballotsdifferently. Mirlande was elected a Senator in that same 2006 election, but she resigned

as part of the protest how the Presidential run-off was handled. Her husband was in the

2006 presidential competition, losing to Rene Preval.The Haitian people, said Mirlande Manigat, a university scholar who spent years in

 political exile, “are looking for jobs, life, schooling for their children. Not ideologies.''5

Manigat's on NGOs' in Haiti.6

Mrs. Manigat reaction to round II info (1 Feb 3)

Candidate Mirlande Manigat was interviewed on Haitian Radio SignalFM after she

was found out that she would be facing Michel Martelly in the second rounds of the Haiti presidential elections. Here is what she said.

7

Mrs. Manigat Platform (0 Sep-03)

Source:http://jfjpm-politique.blogspot.com/2010/09/programme-de-gouvernement-du-rdnp-

de.html

 by Dr. Pierre Montès in Montreal Quebec Canada

Rally of Progressive National Democrats (BDR)

August 2010

Change life

3 http://www.cepr.net/index.php/blogs/relief-and-reconstruction-watch/actually-the-cep-has-yet-to-decide-

who-will-proceed-to-the-second-round4 http://ijdh.org/archives/171565 Miami Herald Sep 9.6 http://haitirewired.wired.com/video/manigat-on-17 http://www.belpolitik.com/blog.php/231

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Contents

I. A sad state of affairs: the plight of Haiti

1 .- The decay of our environment

2 .- Our insignificance in international economic relations

3 .- The People's misery

4 .- The discouragement and despair 

II. Option R.D.N.P. : The proposals in principle

1 .- A serious and systematic inventory of our natural resources and human

2 .- An assessment of our needs

3 .- The break with the archaic

4.-One development ethics

5 .- Respect for the Constitution and laws

6 .- The quest for social justice

7 .- A requirement of transparency

8 .- The respect of social diversity

9 .- The search for local quality

10 .- The Haitianization Education

11 .- The promotion of SMEs

12 .- Establishment of a solidarity

Thirteen .- A reassessment of the philosophy of foreign aid

14 .- The internal layout of the development space

15 .- The benefits of mobility service

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Sixteen .- The adoption of a differentiation strategy development

17 .- The regional option

18.-The maintenance and conservation of development gains

19 .- The objective happiness

III. Yards of Hope: elements for a policy Sectional

A - Agriculture and Rural Development

1 .- A problem of physical geography

2 .- A land problem

3 .- A problem of resources necessary for agricultural development

B. Towards the industrial and commercial

1 .- The identification of products

2 .- The launch of infrastructure

3 .- A system of modulated protection

4 .- The contribution of private capital

5 .- The contribution of work 

6 .- The markets

7 .- The axis of industrial development

C. Enhancing our human resources

1 .- The health, a constitutional law flouted

2 .- Education

D. A Power Service

1 .- Planning and Housing

2 .- Basic services

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E. The State Reform

1 .- The creation of a Force of Public Order 

2 .- The reorganization of government structure and Public Administration

3 .- A new approach to decentralization

4 .- The creation of a Constitutional Council

F - International politics

1 .- Foundations and Principles

2 .- The weight of the recent economic

3 .- A Code of Conduct

4 .- Setting priorities

5 .- The service reform

6 .- The mobilization of our compatriots

Michel Martelly ``Sweet Micky' Joseph (1 Feb 17) (singer) Party "Repon Peyizan" (Farmers' response) is a compas musician and

entertainer whose lyrics have poked fun at the concept of the Haitian presidency.

Included in 19 approved Aug-20. Micky is a Haitian performing and recording

artist, composer, and musical sociopolitical activist. He also has a background in

construction and philanthropy.Michel Martelly is focusing on creating jobs and has made it one of his top priorities in

speeches and in meetings. In September 2010, he endorsed and began working with

ECCO2, a company which has developed job opportunities and creates a cleaner-greener 

environment.8

Sept 16th-18th, Martelly was in Washington D.C. meeting with the Congressional Black 

Caucus's Annual Legislative Conference.9

Friday Sep 18 he was at the Walter E.Washington Convention Center, where United States First Lady Michelle Obama spokeon US domestic issues.

Haiti Libre is doing portraits or biographies on each participant in the presidential race so

that the voters can better know those which aspire to the presidency of Haiti.10

8 Defend Haiti on Facebook.9 Zoelando Magazine.10 Lots excerpted below … read link for whole story.

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 He was born in Port-au-Prince on February 12, 1961 to Mr. and Mrs. Gerard Martelly. His mother, a de Pradines had music in her blood, but she may not have known her son

would follow the family tradition and become very successful.

 He attended Collège Roger Anglade, Saint Louis de Gonzague and Centre d’EtudesSecondaires, where he completed his studies and passed his Baccalaureate State exams.

 He traveled to the USA where he studied and worked in construction.

Sweet Micky character became a celebrity way beyond our borders, at times sounding 

 fresh at other times courageous, and always counting on the effect of surprise; this

entertainer sought to amuse and captivate the public while he preached Love, Peace and  Progress.

1987 he rediscovers a longtime friend, Sophia Saint Rémy, from Gonaives. Today,twenty-three years later, they still share a profound bond. From their marriage were

born four children: Michel-Olivier, Michel-Alexandre, Michel-Yani, and Malaika-Michel, to whom, despite his hectic schedules, Michel has been a wonderful father.

They worked as a team, she was the agent and Michel the act; they trekked the whole

country, every state, every town and village. From this professional experience, he has gained a profound knowledge of the country. The Martelly’s did not remain insensitive

when surrounded by poverty and misery. Their feeling of civic duty and a sense of social 

responsibility were channeled into different charitable activities which became the Pink 

and White Foundation, FREB.

Using discretion as their ally, they made a difference in the lives of people who no longer 

counted in this society. A tremendous amount of work was accomplished, tons of food  staples were distributed and thousands of cooked meals were handed out; however, little

 publicity was allowed, a rather quiet dignity and timid generosity shrouded these

activities, “Haitian suffering is not for sale” Michel has been known to say; “Haiti is toorich to be poor!” another famous phrase. We believe that to change will require being 

 painfully unpopular, but change is inevitable.

The Sweet Micky entertainment group collected successes and was popular everywhereregardless of social economic belonging. The man who captured our hearts in rhythm

and made us sing the same tune and dance together now leads a movement of social 

harmony around one flag, one vision, one slogan: Liberty, Equality and Fraternity.

Open to consensus, Michel Martelly is convinced that the time for change has come. The

 Haitian socio-political scene suffered cracks beyond repair. We must rebuild and thistime with better standards and with more ambitious performance criteria. We must 

rebuild, of course, but not only physical reconstruction efforts, we will also restructure

the systems of governance, of ethics and the principles governing living together as a people. We will activate a revival of Haitian mentality for productivity in Agriculture, as

well as in Culture and Tourism. Most importantly, we will begin by making true the

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7 Latest in a series of Al Mac notes on Haiti political developments

dream of an Educational system that provides high quality training for all ages and all 

 social economic groups. Because Haiti’s true treasures remain in the potential for development of human resources and the diversity of investment possibilities that can

create rapid economic growth.

The vision of a Martelly presidency is one of a leader who knows how to take to bull byits horns and win the battles he undertakes. President Michel Martelly will bring us into

a new era of pride, success and progress.

Martelly’s Wikipedia; The Haitian Truth.org; Haiti Libre; You Tube; Wall Street JournalVideo and Miami Herald Article. He has a website, a blog, and a Facebook  page which

was new, but moved to here in October.. Miami Times article from 1997 discusses

Martelly and some of his past politics. Part 1: http://bit.ly/avjRSi and Part2 http://bit.ly/9jzuHz (http://www.miaminewtimes.com/1997/052997/feature1-1.html)

 Not found via Linked In search, but many other people there share parts of his name.

Audio Interview on YouTube in parts 1 2 3 4 5. He is in possession of a U.S. green card

which raised legal doubts whether this candidate met the requirement of consecutive fiveyears of residency in Haiti.

Wyclef Jean endorses Martelly for Haiti President.11

Mr. Martelly reaction to round II info (1 Feb 3)

Candidate Michel Martelly was interviewed on Haitian Radio after he was announced thewinner to face Mirlande Manigat in the second rounds of the Haiti presidential elections.

Here is what he had to say.12

NOTE: Michel Martelly said...

"Jude Celestin did NOT lose... Haiti WON..."

Mr. Martelly platform (0 Aug 20)

Source: Haiti Libre"I'm not here to win the elections, I'm here to change my country. I am perhaps the only

candidate who is ready to accept any verdict.”

"In Haiti, corruption is legal. We saw corruption. It is corrupt at the highest level tolowest level. We need to change all that and empower the state. It will change our 

attitudes as qu'Haïtien. A mentality that I would describe as self-destructive."

"I am the only candidate who currently provides insurance to recognize the election

results on 28 November. Beyond my candidacy, there is one country to help."

"First there is the advantage of being able to express understanding of the population.

11 http://www.belpolitik.com/blog.php/24812 http://www.belpolitik.com/blog.php/230

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Then there is the complexity of the field itself. The difference between Wyclef and me is

that I worked on the ground and I hit all segments of the population."

"When you tell someone who has never paid taxes and now he will pay a little, a war  begins. It will not be easy. But when the impact will be positive and that people

understand that through their taxes from the state's hospitals to implement the common

schools, and supports farmers, these decisions have been unpopular at the beginning will be much better understood and interpreted in a second time. "

"There is a state of emergency to manage and you should move these people. These burn

victims of rape and are in the tent."

"Even the traffic rules are a problem in Haiti. The red lights are green and red lights aregreen."

"There is this terrible misery which puts out our eyes every day. It is this failure of  previous governments, the lack of facilities, lack of moral values, the inefficiency of an

educational system, access to health nonexistent, agricultural development, non-existent,

the promotion of our culture does not exist."

"A trifle which puts out our eyes," "a political system that leads to drift," "anunemployment rate of 80%."

"It will not be easy, but having a leader who is loved, adored, in whom the people haveconfidence, it will already help a lot"

"Beware. There are billions of dollars that is about to give in Haiti. If you do not ensure

that the structure of the rule change in Haiti, I guarantee you, those billions will bewasted. Be prepared to give others. That is why I insist that we should change the

mentality, the structure, the way "

"The finding of the failure of the political system in place for 20 years does nothing like

this wretchedness and performance that stands out, every day, an inefficient educational

system and lack of health care, no program Agriculture in Haiti in the past when producing and exporting rice, coffee, cocoa the bauxite, all this led me to to rebel, to say

enough! It is high time that Haiti exchange, it is high time that the youth are some

opportunities there is time to put a system in place to Haiti changes direction."

"It's been over 17 years we are involved in the social [its foundation in Haiti] and is one

reason perhaps why I sought the presidency."

"In 17 years I have traveled all the nooks and crannies of the country, I learned about mycountry, to know the complexity of the situation in Haiti, I could live with all the

different strata of society, a company which is very complex since Haiti is not love we do

not help each other. The most elementary notions are disowned when we speak of love, politics of neighborliness, sharing, citizenship, patriotism ... It is important that Haiti is a

leader, a leader in whom he trusts, a leader who can lead people to where it should go

even when it is not their choice, without this with sticks." "I do not pretend to be able to

do it alone, I intend to give myself an expert team of zealots who would just put their knowledge to the country."

"Haitians do not that stupid, they find the opportunity, they exploit them."

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"The peasant class that supports my candidacy represents 60% of the population. But

now, if we had a good farm program, if we put a farm credit at their disposal, there

already I'm not saying we would put 60% of the working population but it would be agood part of the population work. From the perspective of food safety and also it would

 be a plus.”

"A leader alone even with people in need of partners, we must have relations of 

interdependence with the world, we must set internationally, in the era of the 21st

century."

"My position is rather different from that of others, others talk about plans, they all have plans, we all have a plan, plans that sell it, even if it was not a plan you can buy one. The

key is to understand the complexity of the situation in Haiti before investing money must

understand where we're going to do to make sure.

INITE Senators Landslide (1 Feb 3)13

This Haiti election is for the President, 1/3 Senators of Parliament, and 100% Deputies of Parliament.

Runoff election schedule (1 Feb 3)14

February 2, 2011 Final Results of the 1st roundFebruary 3 to 8, 2011 Production models (2nd round)

February 3 to 13, 2011 Printing of the minutes (PV)

February 3 to 17, 2011 List of ASE/MBV /Supervisors /Orienteers completed

February 3 to 21, 2011 Printing of electoral listsFebruary 4 to 13, 2011 Validation of models by political parties and candidates

February 11 to 17, 2011 Publication of electoral lists

Feb. 11 to March 20, 2011 Call center functionalFebruary, 14 to 21, 2011 Delivery electoral lists to the printing for packaging

Feb. 14 to March 7, 2011 Production of ballots

Feb. 17 to March 18, 2011 Election campaignFeb. 20 to March 19, 2011 Awareness Campaign

March 1st to 13, 2011 Delivery of ballots to departments

March 1st to 13, 2011 Staff training: supervisor/MBV/ASE

March 12 to 19, 2011 Deployment of Electoral Security Guards (ASE)March 14 to 19, 2011 Delivery of materials to voting centers

March 20, 2011 2nd round of voting

March 21 to 22, 2011 Recovery of electoral materials (INTAKE)March 21 to 23, 2011 Return of the PV in the Tabulation center (CTV)

March 21 to 30, 2011 Vote Tabulation

March 31, 2011 Preliminary results 2nd roundApril 1st to 3, 2011 Challenges

13 http://www.belpolitik.com/blog.php/22714 http://haiti.mphise.net/situational-awareness-election-1st-round-results-and-updates#comment-441

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April 4 to 15, 2011 Treatment of the challenges BCED/BCEN

April 16, 2011 2nd round final results

International Players (1 Feb 15)

As reported in prior research notes on Haiti politics and election, there has beenenormous international interference in the conduct of Haitian affairs, and now there is the

question of whether the USA can block Aristide return to Haiti.15

After lots of wrangling, Aristide does now have a passport to permit his return to Haiti.16

Bill Clinton meets Martelly and Manigat (1 Feb 17 )Former US president Bill Clinton was in Haiti and he met separately with presidential

candidates Michel Martelly and Mirlande Manigat behind closed doors to discuss the

future of Haiti.17

 Aristide Controversy (1 Feb 17)

The various sides are locked into their positions.

Here’s Aristide’s lawyer addressing various allegations.18

QUOTING

The Haitian government has issued a diplomatic passport to former president Jean-

Bertrand Aristide. This is long overdue; Aristide has wanted to return ever since he was

forced into exile in 2004. There is no justification for him not to; he is a Haitian

citizen, charged with no crime; and the Haitian constitution explicitly prohibits

compulsory political exile.

Aristide, The New York Times noted during his first exile (1991-1994),first and only democratic election overwhelmingly, -month tenure

[that] was marked by fewer human-rights violations and fewer boat people than anycomparable period in modern Haitian history. He wants to return home, as a privatecitizen, and assist in Haiti

He has repeatedly said since 2004 that he wishes to return home to work in the field of education. His two Ph.D.s African languages

his history, including seven years teaching in South Africa and the establishment of a

medical school and university at the Aristide Foundation are testament to his longinvolvement in education.

The ball is now in South Africa court.

15 http://www.cepr.net/index.php/blogs/relief-and-reconstruction-watch/washington-cant-block-aristides-

return-or-deny-haitis-sovereignty-mark-weisbrot-in-the-guardian16 http://www.nbcmiami.com/news/local-beat/Exiled-Haitian-President-has-a-passport-will-travel-

116191264.html17 http://www.belpolitik.com/blog.php/24518 http://www.belpolitik.com/blog.php/246

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Even though Aristide has every right to return under Haitian and international law,

documents recently revealed by Wikileaks show that the U.S. and the Brazilian

governments have pressured the South African government to keep Aristide there.

The United States imposes its will, as the most powerful nation on Earth, to keep in

distant exile the deposed president of one of the weakest. Former dictator Jean-ClaudeDuvalier, meanwhile, walks free, gives press conferences and makes ceremonial visits

around Haiti.

The return of Duvalier 

Chamblain as his security chief 

in U.S.-Haitian relations, one that harkens back to a shameful era, when the U.S.government propped up the brutal Duvalier regimes for decades.

The danger is not only from his impunity, but from the threat of a re-legitimization of 

Duvalierism.

Haiti now stands on the verge of a precipice; an extreme right-wing political turn

that openly favors the rich and despises the poor 

not a neutral spectator to this situation -administrationstatements more opposed to the idea of Aristide

 presence.

Even worse, the United States has been pressuring the Haitian authorities into arbitrarily

allowing kompa singer Michel Martelly (who is known to have supported Duvalier in the

 past, and who got the support of just 4.5 percent of registered voters) to proceed to anelections run-off against former first lady Mirlande Manigat (who received 6.4 percent

support from registered voters).

Considering what is known of the right-wing proclivities of each, this could be akin to

Haiti

unpopular tea party candidate, with no Democrat allowed to compete.

Contrary to last week 

made a final decision on the elections runoff. It has now emerged that only half of theElectoral Council members actually signed onto the statement announcing Martelly

advancement; a majority is required.

Ultimately, it is the right of the Haitian people n Haitiand the Universal Declaration of Human Rights

 New first-round elections, including Fanmi Lavalas and all eligible parties this time, arethe only democratic way forward.

Aristide should also be allowed to return to Haiti.

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 No foreign power 

his return. Contrary to what the State Department appears to suggest, by reversing a grave

violation of constitutional order when Aristide was ousted, democracy will bestrengthened when he comes back, not weakened.

UNQUOTE

Ira Kurzban was the former general counsel for the government of the Republic of Haitifrom 1991 to 2004. He is currently representing former President Aristide.

Baby Doc on hot seat (1 Feb 17)

Here is a petition to help bring Baby Doc to justice.19

It says that Haiti needs the support

of the international community to get this done, and cal ls on our government to be part of 

the solution.

Here are some recent news stories about him.20

19 http://www.change.org/petitions/help-bring-baby-doc-to-justice20 http://ijdh.org/projects/jean-claude-duvalier#News%20Articles