Gundlach Presentation: Penny For Your Thoughts [SLIDES]
description
Transcript of Gundlach Presentation: Penny For Your Thoughts [SLIDES]
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LiveWebcasthostedby:
JeffreyGundlach
ChiefExecutiveOfficer
June10,2014
PennyForYourThoughts
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FundOfferings
RetailandInstitutionalClassNoLoadMutualFund
Retail Inst.Nshare Ishare
Ticker DLTNX DBLTXMinInvestment $2,000 $100,000MinIRAInvestment $500 $5,000GrossExpenseRatio 0.73% 0.48%
RetailandInstitutionalClassNoLoadMutualFund
Retail Inst.Nshare Ishare
Ticker DLFNX DBLFXMinInvestment $2,000 $100,000MinIRAInvestment $500 $5,000Gross ExpenseRatio 0.76% 0.51%
TotalReturnBondFund CoreFixedIncomeFund
TheFundsinvestmentobjectives,risks,chargesandexpensesmustbeconsideredcarefullybeforeinvesting.Thestatutoryprospectusandsummaryprospectus(ifavailable)containsthisandotherimportantinformationabouttheFunds,anditmaybeobtainedbycalling1(877)3546311/1(877)DLINE11,orvisitingwww.doublelinefunds.com.Readitcarefullybeforeinvesting.Investmentsindebtsecuritiestypicallydecreaseinvaluewheninterestratesrise.Thisriskisusuallygreaterforlongertermdebtsecurities.Investmentsinlowerratedandnonratedsecuritiespresentagreaterriskoflosstoprincipalandinterestthanhigherratedsecurities.InvestmentsinAssetBackedandMortgageBackedSecuritiesincludeadditionalrisksthatinvestorsshouldbeawareofsuchascreditrisk,prepaymentrisk,possibleilliquidityanddefault,aswellasincreasedsusceptibilitytoadverseeconomicdevelopments.TheFundsmayusecertaintypesofinvestmentderivatives.Derivativesinvolverisksdifferentfrom,andincertaincases,greaterthantheriskspresentedbymoretraditionalinvestments.Derivativesmayinvolvecertaincostsandrisksuchasliquidity,interestrate,market,credit,managementandthe riskthatapositioncouldnotbeclosedwhenmostadvantageous.Investinginderivativescouldlosemorethantheamountinvested.TheFundsmayalsoinvestinsecuritiesrelated torealestate,whichmaydeclineinvalueasaresultoffactorsaffectingtherealestateindustryTheCoreFixedIncomeFundinvestsinforeignsecuritieswhichinvolvegreatervolatilityandpolitical,economicandcurrencyrisksanddifferencesinaccountingmethods.Theserisksaregreaterforinvestmentsinemergingmarkets.TheTotalReturnBondFundintendstoinvestmorethan50%ofitsnetassetsinmortgagebackedsecuritiesofanymaturityortype.Opinionsexpressedaresubjecttochangeatanytime,arenotforecastsandshouldnotbeconsideredinvestmentadvice.DoubleLineFundsaredistributedbyQuasarDistributors,LLC.WhiletheFundsarenoload,managementfeesandotherexpensesstillapply.Pleaserefertotheprospectusforfurtherdetails.Fundholdingsandsectorallocationsaresubjecttochangeandarenotrecommendationstobuyorsellanysecurity.
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Performance
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DoubleLineTotalReturnBondFund QuarterEndingMarch31,2014
Performancedataquotedrepresentspastperformance;pastperformancedoesnotguaranteefutureresults.Theinvestmentreturnandprincipalvalueofaninvestmentwillfluctuatesothataninvestor'sshares,whenredeemed,maybeworthmoreorlessthantheoriginalcost.Currentperformanceofthefundmaybelowerorhigherthantheperformancequoted.Performancedatacurrenttothemostrecentmonthendmaybeobtainedbycalling2136338200orbyvisitingwww.doublelinefunds.com.BarclaysUSAggregateIndexrepresentssecuritiesthatareSECregistered,taxable,anddollardenominated.Theindexcoversthe USinvestmentgradefixedratebondmarket,withindexcomponentsforgovernmentandcorporatesecurities,mortgagepassthroughsecurities,andassetbackedsecurities.Thesemajorsectorsaresubdividedintomorespecificindicesthatarecalculatedandreportedonaregularbasis.Itisnotpossibletoinvestinanindex.PastPerformancedoesnotguaranteefutureresults.Indexperformanceisnotillustrativeoffundperformance.*IfaFundinvestedinanaffiliateFundsponsoredbytheAdviserduringtheperiodcoveredbythisreporttheAdviseragreed to notchargeamanagementfeetotheFundinanamountequaltotheinvestmentadvisoryfeespaidbytheaffiliatedFundinrespectoftheFundsinvestmentintheaffiliatedfundtoavoidduplicatechargeoftheinvestmentadvisoryfeestotheinvestors.
QuarterEndMarch31,2014
1Q2014
1YearAnnualized
3YearAnnualized
SinceInceptionAnnualized
(4610to33114)
Ishare 2.40% 1.13% 6.16% 9.34%
Nshare 2.24% 0.88% 5.87% 9.06%
BarclaysU.S.AggregateIndex 1.84% 0.10% 3.75% 4.25%
AsofMarch31,2014 IShare NShare
GrossSEC30DayYield 4.77% 4.51%
NetSEC30DayYield* 4.74% 4.49%
AsofMarch31,2014 IShare NShare
GrossExpenseRatio 0.48% 0.73%
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Performance
3
DoubleLineCoreFixedIncomeFund QuarterEndingMarch31,2014
Performancedataquotedrepresentspastperformance;pastperformancedoesnotguaranteefutureresults.Theinvestmentreturnandprincipalvalueofaninvestmentwillfluctuatesothataninvestor'sshares,whenredeemed,maybeworthmoreorlessthantheoriginalcost.Currentperformanceofthefundmaybelowerorhigherthantheperformancequoted.Performancedatacurrenttothemostrecentmonthendmaybeobtainedbycalling2136338200orbyvisitingwww.doublelinefunds.com.PastPerformancedoesnotguaranteefutureresults.Indexperformanceisnotillustrativeoffundperformance.
*IfaFundinvestedinanaffiliateFundsponsoredbytheAdviserduringtheperiodcoveredbythisreporttheAdviseragreed to notchargeamanagementfeetotheFundinanamountequaltotheinvestmentadvisoryfeespaidbytheaffiliatedFundinrespectoftheFundsinvestmentintheaffiliatedfundtoavoidduplicatechargeoftheinvestmentadvisoryfeestotheinvestors.
QuarterEndMarch31,2014
1Q2014
1YearAnnualized
3YearAnnualized
SinceInceptionAnnualized
(6110to33114)
Ishare 2.73% 1.03% 6.17% 7.41%
Nshare 2.57% 0.77% 5.88% 7.14%
BarclaysU.S.AggregateIndex 1.84% 0.10% 3.75% 3.76%
AsofMarch31,2014 IShare NShare
GrossSEC30DayYield 4.00% 3.75%
NetSEC30DayYield* 4.03% 3.78%
AsofMarch31,2014 IShare NShare
GrossExpenseRatio 0.51% 0.76%
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UpcomingWebcastAnnouncements
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ToReceivePresentationSlides:[email protected]
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LiveWebcasthostedby:
JeffreyGundlach
ChiefExecutiveOfficer
June10,2014
PennyForYourThoughts
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TABICurrencyDebasement
http://www.history.com/news/10thingsyoudidntknowaboutthepenny
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7RomanCurrencyDebasement240CE 270CE
Source:http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roman_currency#Debasement_of_the_currencyCE=ChristianEra/CommonEra
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8RomanDebasement64CE 270CE
Source:http://www.tulane.edu/~august/handouts/601cprin.htm
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9U.S.DebasementJanuary1,1913 December31,2009
Source:http://www.zerohedge.com/news/41yearsafterdeathgoldstandardlookhowweendedeconomicpurgatoryFDR=FranklinDelanoRoosevelt,U.S.President19331945.
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10
1910vs.TodayPurchasingPower
Source:NewYorkTimes,NewFactsontheIncreasedCostofLiving?,March27,1910.DoubleLineJune30,1910throughDecember31,2013
In1910thepriceforagallonofmilkwas$0.04to$0.05 Today,agallonofmilkis$3.19 Thats4.3%annualchangeoverthepast104yearsandleaves$1of1910moneyworth$0.01today
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11
U.S.Dollarvs.RomanDebasement
Source:http://www.zerohedge.com/news/41yearsafterdeathgoldstandardlookhowweendedeconomicpurgatory
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12
U.S.HalfPenny
Source:Wikipedia
TheHalfCentwasauthorizedforproductionbytheCoinageActof1792 ItwasdiscontinuedbytheCoinageActof1857 TheHalfCentwasoneofseveralcoinsestablishedbytheCoinageActestablishedbytheU.S.Mint:
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HowMuchLongerWilltheU.S.DollarRemaintheReserveCurrencyoftheWorld?
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Atleast40centralbankshaveinvestedintheYuanandseveralothersarepreparingtodoso,puttingthemainlandcurrencyonthepathtoreservestatusevenbeforefullconvertibility Jukka Pihlman,StandardChartered
94Years(1921 ???)
Source:http://www.zerohedge.com/news/20131013/guestposthowmuchlongerwilldollarbereservecurrency
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ChineseYuanAppearstobeonitsWayTowardReserveCurrencyStatus
14January1,2001throughDecember31,2013
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Source:Bianco ResearchBitcoin =isapeertopeer paymentsystem introducedasopensourcesoftware in2009bydeveloperSatoshiNakamoto.[4] Thepaymentsinthesystemarerecordedinapublicledgerusingitsownunitofaccount,[5] whichisalsocalledbitcoin.[note1] Thebitcoin systemhasnocentralrepositoryandnosingleadministrator,whichhasledtheUSTreasury tocallbitcoin adecentralizedvirtualcurrency.[8XBTCurncy =Bitcoin CurrencyspotpriceinBloomberg.
Bitcoin SpotPriceJanuary1,2013throughJune3,2014
15
V
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TABIIU.S.InterestRatesandDemographics
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FederalReserveistheLargestHolderofUSDebt
http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2013/10/allholdersofustreasurydebt/Source:BarryRitholtz,TheBigPicture,AllHoldersofUSDebt,October11,2013
17
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U.S.RealGDPForecastNovember15,2012throughMay29,2014
Source:Bianco ResearchGDP=ThegrossdomesticproductisThemonetaryvalueofallthefinishedgoodsandservicesproducedwithinacountry'sbordersinaspecifictimeperiod,thoughGDPisusuallycalculatedonanannualbasis.RealGDP=Isamacroeconomicmeasureofthevalueofeconomicoutputadjustedforpricechanges(i.e.inflationordeflation).Theadjustmenttransformsthemoneyvaluemeasure,nominalGDPintoanindexorquantityortotaloutput.
18
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TimingatWhichRateThresholdisReached
19Note:Minack Advisors,January1,2012throughMay31,2014.JuneandJuly2014areforecasts.
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20
3MonthEurodollarFuturesNetOpenInterestMay15,1987 May20,2014
Source:U.S.CommoditiesFuturesTradingCommissions(CFTC),DoubleLineCapital.Eurodollar=U.S. dollardenominateddeposits atforeignbanksorforeignbranchesofAmericanbanks.BylocatingoutsideoftheU.S.,EurodollarsescaperegulationbytheFederalReserveBoard.LargeSpeculators:NonCommercialTradingentitythatreportspositionstotheU.S.CommoditiesFuturesTradingCommissions(CFTC)SmallSpeculators:NonCommercialTradingentitythatdoesnotreportpositionstotheCFTC
2,000,000
1,500,000
1,000,000
500,000
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
3
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M
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1
5
,
1
9
8
7
M
a
y
2
0
,
2
0
1
4
SmallSpeculatorsNet
LargeSpeculatorsNet
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21
5YearUSTreasuryFuturesNetOpenInterestMay15,1987 May20,2014
300,000
200,000
100,000
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
F
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1
5
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1
9
8
7
M
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2
0
,
2
0
1
4
SmallSpeculatorsNet
LargeSpeculatorsNet
Source:U.S.CommoditiesFuturesTradingCommissions(CFTC),DoubleLineCapitalLargeSpeculators:NonCommercialTradingentitythatreportspositionstotheU.S.CommoditiesFuturesTradingCommissions(CFTC)SmallSpeculators:NonCommercialTradingentitythatdoesnotreportpositionstotheCFTC
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22
10YearUSTreasuryFuturesNetOpenInterestMay15,1987 May20,2014
500,000
400,000
300,000
200,000
100,000
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
1
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1
9
8
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M
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2
0
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2
0
1
4
SmallSpeculatorsNet
LargeSpeculatorsNet
Source:U.S.CommoditiesFuturesTradingCommissions(CFTC),DoubleLineCapitalLargeSpeculators:NonCommercialTradingentitythatreportspositionstotheU.S.CommoditiesFuturesTradingCommissions(CFTC)SmallSpeculators:NonCommercialTradingentitythatdoesnotreportpositionstotheCFTC
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23
15+YearUSTreasuryFuturesNetOpenInterestMay15,1987 May20,2014
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
1
5
+
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1
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1
9
8
7
M
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2
0
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2
0
1
4
SmallSpeculatorsNet
LargeSpeculatorsNet
Source:U.S.CommoditiesFuturesTradingCommissions(CFTC),DoubleLineCapitalLargeSpeculators:NonCommercialTradingentitythatreportspositionstotheU.S.CommoditiesFuturesTradingCommissions(CFTC)SmallSpeculators:NonCommercialTradingentitythatdoesnotreportpositionstotheCFTC
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GlobalRealRates(10yrminusCPI)June1,2008throughJune3,2014
Source:BloombergUSGG10Y=USgeneric10YearUSTreasury.GTJP10Y=Japanesegeneric10yearTreasury.GTAUD10Y=Australiangeneric10YTreasury.GTESP10Y=Spanishgeneric10yearTreasury.GTDEM10=Germangeneric10yearTreasury.CPI=ConsumerPriceIndex.CPI=ConsumerPriceIndexproducesmonthlydataonchangesinthepricespaidbyurbanconsumersforarepresentativebasketofgoodsandservices.Aninvestmentcannotbemadeinanindexdirectly.Pleaseseeappendixforindexdefinitions
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U.S.DollarIndexSpotDecember31,2007throughJune10,2014
Source:BloombergFinancialServices,DoubleLineCapitalLPDXY=DXYistheUSDollarIndex(USDX)indicatesthegeneralvalueoftheUSdollar.AverageexchangeratesbetweentheUSdollarandsixmajorworldcurrencies.Aninvestmentcannotbemadedirectlyinanindex.
25
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Source:Bianco Research
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%L
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P
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2
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1
4
1619 2024 2534 3544 4554 5564 65+
26
LaborForceParticipationRatesByAgeJanuary1,1948throughApril30,2014
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Source:USCensus;http://www.census.gov/prod/2014pubs/p251140.pdf27
DependencyRatiosintheU.S.19402050January1,1940projectedthrough2050
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Source:USCensus;http://www.census.gov/prod/2014pubs/p251140.pdf28
DependencyRatiosJanuary1,2012Projectedthrough2050
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Source:FiveThirtyEight EconomicsWhatBabyBoomersRetirementMeansfortheU.S.Economy,May7,2014http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/whatbabyboomersretirementmeansfortheuseconomy
29
Americans65YearsandOlderAsofMay7,2014:Projections2015through2060
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30
65YearsandOlderAmericansvs.OtherCountriesAsofMay7,2014:Projectionstherestof2014through2050
Source:FiveThirtyEight EconomicsWhatBabyBoomersRetirementMeansfortheU.S.Economy,May7,2014http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/whatbabyboomersretirementmeansfortheuseconomy
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31
ProjectedU.S.PopulationGrowthJanuary1,2012throughDecember31,2012thenProjected2013*through2060
Source:FiveThirtyEight EconomicsWhatBabyBoomersRetirementMeansfortheU.S.Economy,May7,2014http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/whatbabyboomersretirementmeansfortheuseconomy*2013arestillestimatedandthereforeareprojectionsforpurposesofthischart.
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TABIIIGlobalMarkets
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GlobalInterestRatesAsofJune4,2014
33
2.602.34
5.98
3.72
0.60 0.73
2.65
1.811.41
2.603.00 2.85
1.76
2.73
1.91
3.66
9.37
4.04
2.29
8.38 8.60
8.02
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
Global10yearBondYields
Source:Bloomberg
I
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t
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r
e
s
t
R
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t
e
(
%
)
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GlobalInterestRates
34Note:Minack AdvisorsasofApril30,2014
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ShanghaiIndexDecember31,2009throughJune10,2014
Source:BloombergFinancialServices,DoubleLineCapitalLPNote:TheShanghaiStockExchangeCompositeisacapitalizationweightedindextrackingdailypriceperformanceofallAandBshareslistedontheShanghaiStockExchange.ThisindexwasdevelopedDecember19,1990withabasevalueof100.Aninvestmentcannotbemadedirectlyinanindex.
35
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DownwardRevisionstoChinaGrowthExpectationsin2014January1,2010throughMarch31,2014
36
7
7.5
8
8.5
9
9.5
10
10.5
520 480 440 400 360 320 280 240 200 160 120 80 40 0
M
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R
e
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G
D
P
F
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c
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t
MedianForecastofChinaRealGDP(byyear)
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Days LeadingUptoForecast(TradingDays)
Thelast3 yearshavebeenastoryofdownwardrevisionstogrowthinChina.
Source:BloombergGDP=ThegrossdomesticproductisThemonetaryvalueofallthefinishedgoodsandservicesproducedwithinacountry'sbordersinaspecifictimeperiod,thoughGDPisusuallycalculatedonanannualbasis.
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ChineseRenminbi SpotPerformance
Source:Bloomberg,DoubleLine.CNY=ChineseRenminbi (yuan)istheofficialcurrencyofThePeoplesRepublicofChina.ThecurrencyisquotedasthespotpriceandinU.S.Dollars,September1,2010throughMay3,2014
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38
EmergingMarketsRelativetoDevelopedWorldLastFiveYears(6508to6914)
Source:BloombergMXEFIndex=TheMSCIEmergingMarketsIndexisafreefloatweightedequityindex.MXWOIndex=TheMSCIWorldIndexisafreefloatweightedequityindex.Itwasdevelopedwithabasevalueof100asofDecember31,1969.Itincludesdevelopedworldmarketsanddoesnotincludeemergingmarkets.Aninvestmentcannotbemadeinanindexdirectly.Pleaseseeappendixforindexdefinitions
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EmergingMarketsRelativetoDevelopedWorldLastTenYears(6704to6914)
Source:BloombergMXEFIndex=TheMSCIEmergingMarketsIndexisafreefloatweightedequityindex.MXWOIndex=TheMSCIWorldIndexisafreefloatweightedequityindex.Itwasdevelopedwithabasevalueof100asofDecember31,1969.Itincludesdevelopedworldmarketsanddoesnotincludeemergingmarkets.Aninvestmentcannotbemadeinanindexdirectly.Pleaseseeappendixforindexdefinitions
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MarginBorrowingCPIAdjustedMarch31,1959throughApril30,2014
Source:BloombergFinancialServices,DoubleLineCapitalLPMARGDEBT=MargindebtIndexistheNewYorkStockExchangeMemberFirmsdebitbalancesinmarginaccounts.CPI=ConsumerPrice IndexAninvestmentcannotbemadedirectlyinanindex.Pleaseseeappendixfordefinitions. 40
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Lumbervs.HomebuildersIndexDecember31,2009throughJune10,2014
Source:BloombergFinancialServices,DoubleLineCapitalLPLB1COMD=IstheRandomLengthLumberFuturescontractspecifies110,000boardfeet(one73flatcar)ofrandomlength820softwood2x4s.SPSIHOTRIndex=S&PHomebuildersIndexisdesignedtomeasuretheperformanceofnarrowGICS subindustries.TheIndexcomprisesstocksint ehS&PTotalMarketIndexthatareclassifiedintheGICShomebuildingsubindustry.An investment cannot be made directly in an index
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TABIIIBloodlessVerdictoftheMarket
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BofA/MerrillFixedIncomeIndexReturns
DataSource:BofA/MerrillLynchIndicesthroughyearendDecember31,2013andJune9,2014fortherespectiveyearsindicated.PleaseseetheAppendixforindexdefinitions.Aninvestmentcannotbemadedirectlyinanindex.
2.57%
3.29%
2.62%
5.07%
9.37%
5.08%
7.41%
3.21%
1.40%
0.01%
1.46%
5.79%
7.38%
26.60%
Government(G0A0)
Mortgages(MOAO)
InternationalDeveloped(NOGO)
Corporate(COAO)
InternationalEmerging(IGOV)
HighYield(JOAO)
Convertibles(VOSO)
Grey=Year2013Blue=YearToDate2014
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BofA/MerrillFixedIncomeIndexReturns
4.60%
4.31%
6.16%
4.62%
5.53%
4.88%
4.27%
1.82%
0.95%
7.44%
5.19%
13.28%
AAARatedCredit(COA1)
ARatedCredit(COA3)
BBBRatedCredit(COA4)
BRatedHighYield(JOA2)
BBRatedHighYieldCredit(JOA1)
CCCRatedHighYield(JOA3)
InvestmentGrade=IndicesratedAAAtoBBB (shownabove)areconsideredtobeinvestmentgrade.AbondisconsideredinvestmentgradeifitscreditratingisBBB orhigherbyStandard&PoorsorBaa3byMoodys.Thehighertherating,themorelikelythebondistopaybackatpar/$100cents onthedollar.AAAisconsideredthehighestqualityandthelowestdegreeofrisk.Theyareconsideredtobestableanddependable.BelowInvestmentGrade=Alsoknownasjunkbond(shownabove)isasecurityratedbelowinvestmentgradehavingaratingofBBB orbelow.Thesebondsareseenashavinghigherdefaultriskorotheradversecreditevents,buttypicallypayhigheryieldsthanbetterqualitybondsinorder to makethemattractive.Theyarelesslikelytopaybackatpar/$100centsonthedollar.CreditdistributionfromthehighestavailablecreditratingfromanyNationallyRecognizesStatisticalRatingOrganization(S&P,Moodys,andFitch).Source:BofA/MerrillLynchIndices asofDecember31,2013andJune9,2014andfortheirrespectiveyearsindicated.PleaseseeappendixforIndexdefinitionsAninvestmentcannotbemadedirectlyinanindex.
Grey=Year2013Blue=YearToDate2014
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Current30YearCumulativeTotalReturnPeaktoTroughAsMeasuredbytheBofAMerrillLynchCurrent30YearUSTreasuryIndex
Source:Bloomberg,BankofAmericaMerrillLynch.Dateranges:October15,1993throughJune12,1995andJuly25,2012throughMarch10,2014.Current30YUSTreasuryIndex(GA30).Youcannotinvestdirectlyinanindex.
45
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46Source:Bianco Research.January1,1974throughApril30,2014
USRates:30yearU.S.TreasuryPosting3rd StrongestYearToDateReturnsince1974
30-Year Treasury Year-To-Date Total ReturnsEvery Year Since 1974
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
0 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132 144 156 168 180 192 204 216 228 240 252 264# Of Trading Days Since Jan 1
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
2009
1986 1995
2014
2008
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HousingandMBSMarketTrendsTABIV
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Source:BloombergFinancialServicesTheBloombergECOSurpriseIndex(ESI)shows thedegreetowhicheconomicanalystsunder or overestimatethetrendsinthebusinesscycle. Thesurpriseelementisdefinedasthepercentage (orpercentagepoint)differencebetweenanalyst forecastsandthepublishedvalueofeconomic datareleases.Youcannotinvestdirectlyinanindex.
BloombergHousingSurpriseIndex
48
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NewHomeSales LastTenYears
Source:BloombergFinancialServicesNHSLTOTIndex=U.S.NewOnefamilyhousessoldannually.Theindextrackssalesofnewlyconstructedhomesduringthereference period.Aninvestmentcannotbemadeinanindexdirectly. 49
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Source:NationalAssociationofRealtorsMay1,2011throughMarch31,2014
WhereAretheFirstTimeBuyers?
50
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UbiquitousAffordabilityChartJanuary1,2000throughMarch31,2014
51
Source:BloombergFinancialServicesHomebuyerAffordabilityCompositeIndex(AFFDCMOM)=Trackstheaffordabilityofhousingtypicallybasedonamixofmedianhome prices,medianincomeandmortgagerates.Aninvestmentcannotbemadedirectlyinanindex.
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ActualHomeAffordabilityCalculation:California
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2004 Dec06 Mar14Rate 4.50% 5.50% 2.00% 4.25%
RateType 5/1IO 5/1IO OptionPAY 30YrFixed
MedianPrice $451,068 $ 569,560 $569,560 $435,470
Payment $1,692 $2,610 $949 $2,142
Average $1780
Source: DoubleLineCapitalAsofDecember31,2004,December31,2006andMarch31,2014.IO=InterestOnlyLoan.OptionPay=Theborrowerhasfourpaymentoptionseachmonthtopaythemortgagebasedonpaymentofprincipalandinterest.30yr fixed=A30yearfixedratemortgagewherethemortgageretainsthesameinterestrateforthelifeoftheloanorthe30years.
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HousingAffordability
53
Source: DoubleLineCapital.June30,1998throughMarch31,2014.Thisisahypotheticalexampledemonstratingthepaymentofamortgageusingdifferentinterestratescenarios.Thepurposeistodemonstratethatwitharisinginterestratethepaymentofthemortgagegoesupbecausetheborrowerispayingmoreinterest.
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54
Source:http://www.federalreserve.gov/boarddocs/snloansurvey/201405/fullreport.pdfThe primecategoryofresidentialmortgagesincludesloansmadetoborrowersthattypicallyhadrelativelystrong,welldocumentedcredithistories,relativelyhighcreditscores,andrelativelylowdebttoincomeratiosatthetimeoforigination.Thiswouldincludefullyamortizingloansthathave afixedrate,astandardadjustablerate,oracommonhybridadjustableratethoseforwhichtheinterestrateisinitiallyfixedforamultiyearperiodandsubsequentlyadjustsmorefrequently.Thenontraditionalcategoryofresidentialmortgagesincludes,butisnotlimitedto,adjustableratemortgageswithmultiplepaymentoptions,interestonlymortgages,and``AltA''productssuchasmortgageswithlimitedincomeverificationandmortgagessecuredbynonowneroccupiedproperties.(Pleaseexcludestandardadjustableratemortgagesandcommonhybridadjustableratemortgages.)Thesubprimecategoryofresidentialmortgagestypicallyincludesloansmadetoborrowersthatdisplayedoneormoreofthefollowingcharacteristicsatthetimeoforigination:weakenedcredithistoriesthatincludepaymentdelinquencies,chargeoffs,judgments,and/orbankruptcies;reducedrepaymentcapacityasmeasuredbycreditscoresordebttoincomeratios;orincompletecredithistories.
LendingStandardsTighteningJanuary1,2007throughMarch31,2014
N
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f
D
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s
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c
R
e
s
p
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d
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T
i
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i
n
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S
t
a
n
d
a
r
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s
f
o
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R
e
s
i
d
e
n
t
i
a
l
M
o
r
t
g
a
g
e
L
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a
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s
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Source:BloombergFinancialServicesMBAVREFI=MortgageRefinancingIndexasmeasuredbytheMortgageBankersAssociationreflectsthenumberofapplicationsforrefinance.Notallapplicationsareaccepted.Aninvestmentcannotbemadedirectlyinanindex.
MortgageRefinancingIndexJune13,2003throughMay30,2014
55
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ABXAAA071IndexDecember31,2009throughJune10,2014
Source:BloombergFinancialServices,DoubleLineCapitalLPTheABX071AAAIndexisabasketofhomeequity.Constitutedfromreferenceobligationsissuedby20issuersofresidentialmortgagebackedsecurities.Aninvestmentcannotbemadedirectlyinanindex.
56
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NonAgencyResidentialMortgageBackedSecurities(RMBS)60++DelinquencyRateJanuary1,2005throughMay31,2014
SeriousDelinquenciesisdefinedbymortgagesthatare60++delinquencyratesdefinedasloans60or90dayslateinmortgagepayments,oralreadyinforeclosureorREOstatus.PrimedefinedasFICO>725andLTV725andLTV>=75SubprimedefinedasFICO
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NonAgencyRMBSConditionalDefaultRateJanuary1,2005throughMay31,2014
RMBS=ResidentialMortgageBackedSecuritiesSeriousDelinquenciesisdefinedbymortgagesthatare60++delinquencyratesdefinedasloans60or90dayslateinmortgagepayments,oralreadyinforeclosureorREOstatus.PrimedefinedasFICO>725andLTV725andLTV>=75SubprimedefinedasFICO
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NonAgencyRMBSLossSeverityJanuary1,2005throughMay31,2014
RMBS=ResidentialMortgageBackedSecuritiesSeriousDelinquenciesisdefinedbymortgagesthatare60++delinquencyratesdefinedasloans60or90dayslateinmortgagepayments,oralreadyinforeclosureorREOstatus.PrimedefinedasFICO>725andLTV725andLTV>=75SubprimedefinedasFICO
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NonAgencyRMBSConditionalRepaymentRateJanuary31,2005throughMay31,2014
RMBS ResidentialMortgageBackedSecurities.CRR=ConditionalRepaymentRate.SeriousDelinquenciesisdefinedbymortgagesthatare60++delinquencyratesdefinedasloans60or90dayslateinmortgagepayments,oralreadyinforeclosureorREOstatus.PrimedefinedasFICO>725andLTV725andLTV>=75SubprimedefinedasFICO
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DoubleLineFundsOverview
TABV
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PortfoliostatisticsasofMay30,2014basedonmarketweightedaverages.Subjecttochangewithoutnotice.
Averageprice=Ameasureoftheweightedaveragepricepaidforthesecuritiescalculatedbytakingthepricesanddividingbythenumberofsecuritiesanddoesnotincludecash.Averagepriceshouldnotbeconfusedwithnetassetvalue.AverageDuration =Durationisusedasariskmeasure.Itmeasuresthepricevolatilityofasecuritygivenachangeininterestratemovements.AverageLife=Theaveragenumberofyearsthateachdollarofunpaidprincipaldueonthemortgageremainsoutstanding.Averagelifeiscomputedastheweightedaveragetimetothereceiptofallfuturecashflows,usingastheweightsthedollaramountsoftheprincipalpaydowns.
Source:DoubleLineCapitalLP
TotalReturnBondFundPortfolioStatistics
Total ReturnBondFund
BarclaysCapitalU.S.AggregateIndex
AveragePrice $97.73 $105.75
Duration 3.38 5.61
Average Life 5.20 7.69
62
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PortfoliocompositionasofMay30,2014.Subjecttochangewithoutnotice.Source:DoubleLineCapitalLP.Sectorallocationsaresubjecttochangeandshouldnotbeconsideredarecommendationtobuyorsellanysecurity.
Cash =Thevalueofassetsthatcanbeconvertedintocashimmediately.Canincludemarketablesecurities,suchasgovernmentbonds,banker'sacceptances,cashequivalentsonbalancesheetsthatmayincludesecuritiesthatmaturewithin90days.Government U.S.treasurysecurities.Agency=MortgagesecuritieswhoseprincipalandinterestguaranteedbytheU.S.GovernmentagencyincludingFannieMae(FNMA)orFreddieMac(FHLMC).NonAgency=ResidentialMortgagesBondSecuritiesareatypeofbondbackedbyresidentialmortgages.NonAgencymeanstheywereissuedby aprivateissuer.CMBS =CommercialMortgageBackedSecurities.Securitizedloansmadeoncommercialratherthanresidentialproperty.Other=CollateralizedMortgageObligations(CLOs)
TotalReturnBondFundPortfolioCompositionBySecurityType
63
Cash 8.5%
Government 5.9%
Agency 47.9%
NonAgency 27.9%
CMBS 6.4%
CLO 3.1% Other 0.3%
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PortfoliocompositionasofMay30,2014. Subjecttochangewithoutnotice.Source:DoubleLineCapitalLP.Sectorallocationsaresubjecttochangeandshouldnotbeconsideredarecommendationtobuyorsellanysecurity.
Cash =Thevalueofassetsthatcanbeconvertedintocashimmediately.Canincludemarketablesecurities,suchasgovernmentbonds,banker'sacceptances,cashequivalentsonbalancesheetsthatmayincludesecuritiesthatmaturewithin90days.PassThrough=MortgagepassthroughsecuritieswhoseprincipalandinterestguaranteedbytheU.S.GovernmentagencyincludingFannieMae(FNMA)orFreddieMac(FHLMC)ornonagencyprivateissuewithnogovernmentguarantee.CMOCurrent=CollateralizedMortgageObligation(CMO)isafinancialdebtvehicle/specialpurposeentitycalledapool.Investorsbuybondsissuedbytheentityandreceivepaymentsaccordingtoadefinedsetofrules.Themortgagesthemselvesarethecollateral,thebondsarethetranches(alsocalledclasses),andthesetofrulesthatdictateshowmoneyisreceivedfromthecollateralwillbedistributediscalledthestructure.Thelegalentity,collateralandstructurearecollectivelyreferredtoasthedeal.IO =InterestOnlymortgagepoolsinwhichtheborrowersmonthlypaymentisonlytowardtheinterestontheloan.Anonamortized loan.InverseFloater=Amortgagepoolthathasayieldthatisinverselyrelatedtointerestrates.IOCurrentpay =Loansthatarecurrentlyreceivingprincipalpayments.LockedOut/CMOLockedOut=Loansthatforasetperiodoftimewillnotreceiveprincipalpayments.
64
TotalReturnBondFundPortfolioCompositionByAgencyCollateralizeMortgageObligation(CMO)SecurityType
Cash,8.5% InverseFloater,1.4%
PassThrough,28.3%
CMOCurrent,8.0%
CMOLocked,9.3%
IOCurrent,0.9% IOLocked,0.0%
AgencyCMOComposition
Cash 8.5%InverseFloater 1.4%PassThrough 28.3%CMOCurrent 8.0%CMOLocked 9.3%IOCurrent 0.9%IOLocked 0.0%
Subtotal 56.5%
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Portfoliocompositionandcreditratingsasofsecurityorigination.Portfoliocompositionissubjecttochangewithoutnotice.TherearesomenonratedsecuritiesintheFundasshowninthegraphabove.CreditdistributionisdeterminedfromthehighestavailablecreditratingfromanyNationallyRecognized StatisticalRatingOrganization(S&P,Moodys,andFitch).
InvestmentGrade=SecuritiesratedAAAtoBBB areconsideredtobeinvestmentgrade.AbondisconsideredinvestmentgradeifitscreditratingisBBB orhigherbyStandard&PoorsorBaa3byMoodys.Ratingsbasedoncorporatebondmodel.Thehighertherating,themorelikelythebondistopayback atpar/$100centsonthedollar.AAAisconsideredthehighestqualityandthelowestdegreeofrisk.Theyareconsideredtobeextremelystableanddependable.BelowInvestmentGrade=AlsoknownasjunkbondisasecurityratedbelowinvestmentgradehavingaratingofBBB orbelow.Thesebondsareseenas havinghigherdefaultriskorotheradversecreditevents,buttypicallypayhigheryieldsthanbetterqualitybondsinordertomakethemattractive.They arelesslikelytopaybackatpar/$100centsonthedollar.NR=NotRated.Securitiesthatarenotratedbythethreeratingagencies.CreditqualitymaybeassessedbydifferentagenciesfordifferentbondsforreasonsbeyondthecontroloftheFund.Source:DoubleLineCapitalLPasofMay30,2014.
TotalReturnBondFundPortfolioNonAgencyResidentialMortgageBackedSecurities(RMBS)BreakdownByOriginalRating
65
AAA85%
AA1%
A0%
BBB2%
NR12%
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TotalReturnBondFundPortfolioNonAgencyRMBSBreakdownByCurrentCreditQuality
PortfoliocompositionasofMay30,2014.Portfoliocompositionissubjecttochangewithoutnotice.Therearesomenonratedsecuritiesintheportfolioasshowninthechartabove.CreditdistributionisdeterminedfromthehighestavailablecreditratingfromanyNationallyRecognizedStatisticalRatingOrganization(S&P,Moodys,andFitch).InvestmentGrade=SecuritiesratedAAAtoBBB (showninblueabove)areconsideredtobeinvestmentgrade.AbondisconsideredinvestmentgradeifitscreditratingisBBB ofhigherbyStandard&PoorsorBaa3byMoodys.Ratingsbasedoncorporatebondmodel.Thehighertherating,themorelikely thebondistopaybackatpar/$100centsonthedollar.AAAisconsideredthehighestqualityandthelowestdegreeofrisk.Theyareconsideredtobeextremelystableanddependable.BelowInvestmentGrade=Alsoknownasjunkbond(showningreyabove)isasecurityratedbelowinvestmentgradehavingaratingofBBB orbelow.Thesebondsareseenashavinghigherdefaultriskorotheradversecreditevents,buttypicallypayhigheryieldsthanbetterqualitybondsinorder to makethemattractive.Theyarelesslikelytopaybackatpar/$100centsonthedollar.CreditqualitymaybeassessedbydifferentagenciesfordifferentbondsforreasonsbeyondthecontroloftheFund.NR=NotRated.Securitiesthatarenotratedbythethreeratingagencies.RMBS=ResidentialMortgageBackedSecurities.Source:DoubleLineCapitalLP
66
AAA,0.1%AA,0.1%
A+,0.8% A,0.3% A,0.1%BBB+,0.2%
BBB,0.1%BB+,0.4%
BB,0.2%
BB,0.2%
B+,0.5%B,1.2%
B,0.9%
CCC+,1.7%
CCC,6.2%
CCC,3.9%
CC,2.2%C,0.1%
D,5.6%
NR,3.1%
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TotalReturnBondFundPortfolioNonAgencyRMBSBreakdownByPrice
PortfoliopricecompositionasofMay30,2014.Subjecttochangewithoutnotice.Source:DoubleLineCapitalLP.Sectorallocationsaresubjecttochangeandshouldnotbeconsideredarecommendationtobuyorsellanysecurity.
DollarPrice
%
o
f
F
u
n
d
67
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
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CoreFixedIncomeFundPortfolioStatistics
PortfoliostatisticsasofMay30,2014basedonmarketweightedaverages.Subjecttochangewithoutnotice.
Averageprice=Ameasureoftheweightedaveragepricepaidforthesecuritiescalculatedbytakingthepricesanddividingbythenumber of securitiesanddoesnotincludecash.Averagepriceshouldnotbeconfusedwithnetassetvalue.AverageDuration=Durationisusedasariskmeasure.Itmeasuresthepricevolatilityofasecuritygivenachangeininterestratemovements.AverageLife=Theaveragenumberofyearsthateachdollarofunpaidprincipaldueonthemortgageremainsoutstanding.Averagelifeiscomputedastheweightedaveragetimetothereceiptofallfuturecashflows,usingastheweightsthedollaramountsoftheprincipalpaydowns.
Source:DoubleLineCapitalLP
CoreFixedIncomeFund
BarclaysCapitalU.SAggregateIndex
AveragePrice $102.42 $105.75
Duration 4.52 5.61
Average Life 6.57 7.69
68
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PortfoliocompositionasofMay30,2014.Subjecttochangewithoutnotice.BankLoans=Adebtfinancingobligationissuedbyabankorsimilarfinancialinstitutiontoacompany.CommercialMortgageBackedSecurities(CMBS)=CommercialMortgageBackedSecurities.Securitizedloansmadeoncommercialratherthanresidentialproperty.CollateralizedLoanObligations(CLOs)=AformofsecuritizationwherepaymentsfrommultiplemiddlesizedandlargebusinessloansarepooledtogetherandpassedontodifferentclassedofownersinvarioustranchesCash =Cashholdingincludethevalueofassetsthatcanbeconvertedintocashimmediately.Canincludemarketablesecurities,suchasgovernmentbonds,banker'sacceptances,cashequivalentsonbalancesheetsthatmayincludesecuritiesthatmaturewithin90days.Government=Governmentdebt(alsoknownaspublicdebtornationaldebt)ismoney(orcredit)owedbyanylevelofgovernment;eithercentralgovernment,federalgovernment,municipalgovernmentorlocalgovernment.MortgageBackedSecurities(MBS)=Amortgagebackedsecurity(MBS)isanassetbackedsecurityordebtobligationthatrepresentsaclaimonthecashflowsfrom mortgageloans,mostcommonlyonresidentialpropertyEmergingMarketsFixedIncome=Emergingmarketdebt(EMD)isatermusedtoencompassbondsissuedbylessdevelopedcountries.InvestmentGrade(IG)andHighYieldCorporates(HY)=Investmentgradeandnoninvestmentgradecorporatecredit.Bondsissuedbycorporationstoraisemoneyinordertoexpanditsbusiness.CreditdistributionisdeterminedfromthehighestavailablecreditratingfromanyNationallyRecognizedStatisticalRatingOrganization(S&P,Moodys,andFitch).AbondratedBBBorhigherwouldbeconsideredInvestmentGrade.AnybondratedBBBorbelowwouldbeHighYield.Source:DoubleLineCapitalLP.Sectorallocationsaresubjecttochangeandshouldnotbeconsideredarecommendationtobuyorsellanysecurity.
CoreFixedIncomeFundPortfolioComposition
69
Cash3%
Govt19%
MBS29%EM
15%
IGCorporate15%
CMBS7%
BankLoans6%
HYCorporate3%
CLO3%
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PortfoliocompositionandcreditratingsasofMay30,2014.Portfoliocompositionissubjecttochangewithoutnotice.CreditdistributionisdeterminedfromthehighestavailablecreditratingfromanyNationallyRecognizedStatisticalRatingOrganization(S&P,Moodys,andFitch).
Cash =Thevalueofassetsthatcanbeconvertedintocashimmediately.Canincludemarketablesecurities,suchasgovernmentbonds, banker'sacceptances,cashequivalentsonbalancesheetsthatmayincludesecuritiesthatmaturewithin90days.Government =Governmentdebt(alsoknownaspublicdebtornationaldebt)ismoney(orcredit)owedbyanylevelofgovernment;eithercentralgovernment,federalgovernment,municipalgovernmentorlocalgovernment.Agency =MortgagesecuritieswhoseprincipalandinterestareeffectivelyguaranteedbytheU.S.GovernmentagencyincludingFannieMae(FNMA)orFreddieMac(FHLMC).InvestmentGrade=AbondisconsideredinvestmentgradeifitscreditratingisBBB ofhigherbyStandard&PoorsorBaa3byMoodys.Ratingsbasedoncorporatebondmodel.Thehighertherating,themorelikelythebondistopaybackatpar/$100centsonthedollar.BelowInvestmentGrade(BelowIG)=Alsoknownasjunkbondisasecurityratedbelowinvestmentgrade.Thesebondsareseenashavinghigherdefaultriskor otheradversecreditevents,buttypicallypayhigheryieldsthanbetterqualitybondsinordertomakethemattractive.Theyarelesslikelytopaybackatpar/$100centsonthedollar.CreditqualitymaybeassessedbydifferentagenciesfordifferentbondsforreasonsbeyondthecontroloftheFund.NR=NotRated.Securitiesthatarenotratedbythethreeratingagencies.Source:DoubleLineCapitalLP.
CoreFixedIncomeFundPortfolioCreditQualityBreakdown
70
Cash3%
Govt19%
Agency16%
InvestmentGrade32%
BelowIG28%
Unrated2%
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LiveWebcasthostedby:
JeffreyGundlach
ChiefExecutiveOfficer
June10,2014
PennyForYourThoughts
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IndexDescriptionsBarclaysCapitalUSAggregateIndex TheBarclaysCapitalUSAggregateIndexrepresentssecuritiesthatareSECregistered, taxable,anddollardenominated.TheindexcoverstheUSinvestmentgradefixedratebondmarket,withindexcomponentsforgovernmentandcorporatesecurities,mortgagepassthroughsecurities,andassetbackedsecurities.Thesemajorsectorsaresubdividedintomorespecificindicesthatarecalculatedandreportedona regularbasis.BarclaysCapitalUSTreasuryIndex ThisindexistheUSTreasurycomponentoftheUSGovernmentindex.PublicobligationsoftheUSTreasurywitharemainingmaturityofoneyearormore.BarclaysCapitalUSTreasury10YearIndex Thisindexisthe10yearcomponentoftheUSGovernmentindex.BarclaysCapitalCapitalUSTreasury30YearIndex Thisindexisthe30yearcomponentoftheUSGovernmentindex.BarclaysCapitalUSHighYieldIndex TheBarclaysCapitalUSHighYieldIndexcoverstheuniverseoffixedrate,noninvestmentgradedebt.Eurobondsanddebtissuerfromcountriesdesignatedasemergingmarkets(e.g.Argentina,Brazil,Venezuela,etc.)areexcluded,butCanadianand globalbonds(SECregistered)ofissuersinnonEMGcountriesareincluded.Originalissuezereos,stepupcouponstructures,144Asandpayinkind(PIK,asofOctober1,2009)arealsoincluded.BofAMerrillLynchUSGovernmentIndex(GOAO) TheMerrillLynchUSGovernmentIndextrackstheperformanceofUSgovernment(i.e.securitiesintheTreasuryandAgencyindices.)BofAMerrillLynchUS15+YearTreasuryIndexLongTreasuries(G802) ThisindexisasubsetoftheBofAMerrillLynchUSTreasuryIndexincludingallsecuritieswitharemainingtermoffinalmaturitygreaterthan15years..BofAMerrillLynchUSCorporateIndex(COAO)InvestmentGrade TheMerrillLynchCorporateIndextrackstheperformanceofUSdollardenominatedinvestmentgradecorporatedebtpubliclyissuedintheUSdomesticmarket.Qualifyingsecuritiesmusthaveaninvestmentgraderating(basedonanaverageofMoodys,S&PandFitch)andaninvestmentgraderatedcountryofrisk(basedonanaverageofMoodys,S&PandFitchforeigncurrencylongtermsovereigndebtratings).Securitiesmusthaveatleastoneyearremainingtermtofinalmaturity,afixedcouponscheduleandaminimumamountoutstandingof$250MM.BofAMerrillLynchUSAllConvertiblesIndex(VOSO) TheMerrillLynchAllConvertibleIndexisaruledrivenindex.whichincludesallbondsandpreferredstocksofU.S.registeredcompanies,whichhave$50millionormoreinaggregatemarketvalueandareconvertiblesinU.S.dollardenominatedcommonstocks,ADRsorcashequivalents.Pleasenoteaninvestorcannotinvestdirectlyinanindex.CRBCommodityIndex(CRY) Anunweightedgeometricaverageofsomeimportantcommodities.Itaveragespricesacross17commoditiesandacrosstime.Theindextracksenergy,grains,industrials,livestock,preciousmetals,andagriculturals.S&P500(SPX) S&P500isafreefloatcapitalizationweightedindexpublishedsince1957ofthepricesof500largecapcommonstocksactively tradedintheUnitedStates.StandardDeviation Sigma=standarddeviation.Itshowshowmuchvariationthereisfromtheaverage(mean,orexpected/budgetedvalue).Alow standarddeviationindicatedthatthedatapointtendtobeveryclosetothemean,whereashighstandarddeviationindicatedthatthe dateisspreadoutoveralargerangeofvalues.DowJones UBSDJCommodityIndex TheDowJonesUBS CommodityindexiscomposedofcommoditiestradedonU.S.exchanges,withtheexceptionofaluminum,nickelandzinc,whichtradeontheLondonMetalExchange(LME).Copper=CopperSpotPrice(HGI)Copperistheworldsthirdmostusedmetalbehindironandaluminumprimarilyusedinhighlycyclicalindustriesincludingconstructionandindustrialmachinerymanufacturing.SpotpricequotedinUSD/lb.Gold=GoldSpotPrice(Golds)TheGoldSpotpriceisquotedasUSDollarperTroyOunce.CrudeOil=Crudeoilvariesgreatlyinappearancedependingonitscomposition.WestTexasintermediate(WTI)=Texaslightsweetcrudeisusedasabenchmarkinoilpricing.Itslightbecauseofthelowdensityandsweetbecauseoflowsulfur.Brentcrude=Isamajortradingclassificationofsweetlightcrude.BrentistheoilmakeralsoknownasBrentBlend.VolatilityIndex(VIX)TheVIXshowsthemarket'sexpectationof30dayvolatility.Itisconstructedusingtheimpliedvolatilitiesofawiderangeof S&P500indexoptions. Thisvolatilityismeanttobeforwardlookingandiscalculatedfrombothcallsandputs. TheVIXisawidelyusedmeasureofmarketriskandisoftenreferredtoas the"investorfeargauge". 72
getIndexA1U.S. AggrIWS?requBack to In
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IndexDescriptions
BofAMerrillLynchUSDollarEmergingMarketsSovereignPlusIndex(IGOV)ThisindextrackstheperformanceofUSdollardenominatedemergingmarketandcrossoversovereigndebtpubliclyissuedintheeurobondorUSdomesticmarket.QualifyingcountriesmusthaveaBB1orlowerforeigncurrencylongtermsovereigndebtrating(basedonanaverageofMoodys,S&P,andFitch).BofAMerrillLynchU.S.HighYieldCashPayIndex(J0A0)BelowInvestmentGradeTheMerrillLynchHighYieldIndextrackstheperformanceofUSdollardenominatedbelowinvestmentgradecorporatedebt,currentlyinacouponpayingperiod,thatispubliclyissuedintheUSdomesticmarket.Qualifyingsecuritiesmusthaveabelowinvestmentgraderating(basedonanaverageofMoodys,S&PandFirthforeigncurrencylongtermsovereigndebtratings).Musthaveoneyearremainingtofinalmaturityandaminimumoutstandingamountof$100MM.BofAMerrillLynchInternationalGovernmentIndex(NOGO)TheMerrillLynchInternationalIndextrackstheperformanceofAustralia,Canadian,French,German,Japan,Dutch,SwissandUKinvestmentgradesovereigndebtpubliclyissuedanddenominatedintheissuersowndomesticmarketandcurrency.Qualifyingsecuritiesmusthaveatleastoneyearremainingtermtofinalmaturity,afixedcouponscheduleandaminimumamountoutstanding.BofAMerrillLynchMortgageBackedSecuritiesIndex(MOA0)ThisindextrackstheperformanceofUSdollardenominatedfixedrateandhybridresidentialmortgagepassthroughsecuritiespubliclyissuedbyUSagenciesintheUSdomesticmarket.30year,20year,15yearandinterestonlyfixedratemortgagepoolsareincludedintheIndexprovidedtheyhaveatleastoneyearremainingtermtofinalmaturityandaminimumamountoutstandingofatleast$5billionpergenericcouponand$250MMperproductionyear withineachgenericcoupon.BofAMerrillLynchU.S.MunicipalSecuritiesIndex(UOA0)ThisindextrackstheperformanceofUSdollardenominatedinvestmentgradetaxexemptdebtpubliclyissuedbyUSstatesandterritories,andtheirpoliticalsubdivisions,intheUSdomesticmarket.Qualifyingsecuritiesmusthaveatleastoneyearremainingtermtofinalmaturity,afixedcouponscheduleandaninvestmentgraderating(basedonMoodys,S&PandFitch).Minimumsizevarybasedontheinitialtermtofinalmaturityattime ofissuance.BarclaysCapitalGlobalEmergingMarketsIndex TheBarclaysCapitalGlobalEmergingMarketsIndexrepresentstheunionoftheUSDdenominatedUSEmergingMarketsindexandthepredominatelyEURdenominatedPanEuroEmergingMarketsIndex,coveringemergingmarketsinthefollowingregions:Americas,Europe,MiddleEast,Africa,andAsia.AswithotherfixedincomebenchmarksprovidedbyBarclaysCapital,theindexisrulesbased,whichallowsforanunbiasedviewofthemarketplaceandeasyreplicability.JPMorganInvestmentGradeCorporateIndex JPMorganInvestmentGradeCorporateIndexincludesperformanceofUSdollardenominatedinvestmentgradecorporatedebtpubliclyissuedintheUSdomesticmarket.Qualifyingsecuritiesmusthaveaninvestmentgraderating(basedonanaverageofMoodys,S&PandFitch)andaninvestmentgraderatedcountryofrisk(basedonanaverageofMoodys,S&PandFitchforeigncurrencylongtermsovereigndebtratings).Securitiesmusthaveatleastoneyearremainingtermtofinalmaturity,afixedcouponscheduleandaminimumamountoutstandingof$250MM.DrawDown Thepeaktotroughdeclineduringaspecificrecordperiodofaninvestment,fundorcommodity.Adrawdownisusuallyquotedasthepercentagebetweenthepeakandthetrough.NAV Amutualfund'spricepershareorexchangetradedfund's(ETF)persharevalue.Inbothcases,thepersharedollaramountof thefundiscalculatedbydividingthetotalvalueofallthesecuritiesinitsportfolio,lessanyliabilities,bythenumberoffundsharesoutstanding.CMO Atypeofmortgagebackedsecuritythatcreatesseparatepoolsofpassthroughratesfordifferentclassesofbondholderswith varyingmaturities,calledtranches.Therepaymentsfromthepoolofpassthroughsecuritiesareusedtoretirethebondsintheorderspecifiedbythebonds'prospectusTIPS TreasuryInflationProtection.Atreasurysecuritythatisindexedtoinflationinordertoprotectinvestorsfromthenegativeeffectsofinflation.TIPSareconsideredanextremelylowriskinvestmentsincetheyarebackedbytheU.S.governmentandsincetheirparvalueriseswithinflation,asmeasuredbytheConsumerPriceIndex,whiletheirinterestrateremainsfixed.CPI ConsumerPriceIndex.Ameasurethatexaminestheweightedaverageofpricesofabasketofconsumergoodsandservices,such astransportation,foodandmedicalcare.CashFlow Cashflowmeasuresthecashgeneratingcapabilityofacompanybyaddingnoncashcharges(e.g.depreciation)andinterestexpensetopretaxincome.73
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IndexDescriptionsBofA/MerrillLynchHighYieldCashPayCCCratedIndex(JOA3) .AcomponentoftheBofA/MerrillLynchHighYieldCashPayIndexconcentratingonCCCratedHighYieldcreditonly.BofA/MerrillLynchHighYieldCashPayBBratedIndex(JOA1) .AcomponentoftheBofA/MerrillLynchHighYieldCashPayIndexconcentratingonBBratedHighYieldcreditonly.BofA/MerrillLynchHighYieldCashPayBratedIndex(JOA2) .AcomponentoftheBofA/MerrillLynchHighYieldCashPayIndexconcentratingonBratedHighYieldcreditonly.BofA/MerrillLynchCreditIndexBBBratedIndex(COA4) .AcomponentoftheBofA/MerrillLynchCreditIndexconcentratingonthelowerratedBBBinvestmentgradecredits.BofA/MerrillLynchCreditIndexAratedIndex(COA3) .AcomponentoftheBofA/MerrillLynchCreditIndexconcentratingontheAratedinvestmentgradecredits.BofA/MerrillLynchCreditIndexAAAratedIndex(COA1) .AcomponentoftheBofA/MerrillLynchCreditIndexconcentratingonthehighestratedAAAinvestmentgradecredits.BofAMerrillLynchUSTreasuryIndex(G0Q0)TheMerrillLynchUSTreasuryIndextrackstheperformanceofUSdollardenominatedsovereigndebtpubliclyissuedbytheUSgovernmentinitsdomesticmarket.Qualifyingsecuritiesmusthaveatleastoneyearremainingtermtofinal maturity,afixedcouponscheduleandaminimumamountoutstandingof$1billion.BofAMerrillLynchUS1015YearTreasuryIndexLongTreasuryTheMerrillLynchUS1015TreasuryIndextrackstheperformanceofUSdollardenominated1015yearsovereigndebtpubliclyissuedbytheUSgovernmentinitsdomesticmarket.ItisasubsetoftheBofAMerrillLynchU.S.TreasuryIndex(GOQO).BofAMerrillLynchMunicipalIndexTheMerrillLynchMunicipalBofAMerrillLynchCurrent10yearUSTIndex Thisindexisthe10yearcomponentoftheUSGovernmentindex.BofAMerrillLynchCurrent30yearUSTIndex Thisindexisthe30yearcomponentoftheUSGovernmentindex.JPMorganCorporateEMBIBroadDiversifiedIndex(JBCDCOMP) Thisindextrackstheperformanceofinvestmentgradecorporatedebtpublicallyissuedacrossarangeofemergingmarketcountries.ShanghaiIndex TheShanghaiStockExchangeCompositeisacapitalizationweightedindextrackingdailypriceperformanceofallAandBshareslistedontheShanghaiStockExchange.ThisindexwasdevelopedDecember19,1990withabasevalueof100.S&P/CaseShillerCompositeHomePriceIndex TheCaseShillerHomePriceIndices,onecomprisedofpricechangeswithinall20metropolitanmarkets,andanothercomprisedofpricechangeswithinthefollowingsubsetof10metropolitanmarkets:Boston,Chicago,Denver,LasVegas,LosAngeles,Miami,NewYork,SanDiego,SanFranciscoandWashingtonDC.Inadditiontothose10markets,the20HomePriceindexreflectspricechangesforAtlanta,Charlotte,Dallas,Detroit,Minneapolis,Phoenix,Portland,SeattleandTampa.NASDAQ Acomputerizedsystemthatfacilitatestradingandprovidespricequotationsonmorethan5,000ofthemoreactivelytradedover thecounterstocks.Createdin1971,theNasdaqwastheworld'sfirstelectronicstockmarket.Transports TheIndustrialsSectorincludescompanieswhosebusinessesaredominatedbyoneofthefollowingactivities:Themanufactureand distributionofcapitalgoods,includingaerospace&defense,construction,engineering&buildingproducts,electricalequipmentandindustrial machineryUtilities Apublicutilityisabusinessthatfurnishesaneverydaynecessitytothepublicatlarge.Publicutilitiesprovidewater,electricity,naturalgas,telephoneservice,andotheressentials.Utilitiesmaybepubliclyorprivatelyowned,butmostareoperatedasprivatebusinesses.BasisPoint Abasispointisaunitthatisequalto1/100th of1%,andisusedtodenotethechangeinafinancialinstrument.REIT RealEstateTrust.Asecuritythatsellslikeastockonthemajorexchangesandinvestsinrealestatedirectly,eitherthrough propertiesormortgagesDuration Durationisacommonlyusedmeasureofthepotentialvolatilityofthepriceofadebtsecurity,ortheaggregatemarketvalueofaportfolioofdebtsecurities,priortomaturity.Securitieswithalongerdurationgenerallyhavemorevolatilepricesthansecuritiesofcomparablequalitywithashorterduration.
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IndexDescriptionsBofA/MerrillLynchInflationLinkedIndex(G0Q1) TheBofAMerrillLynchUSInflationLinkedTreasuryIndextrackstheperformanceofUSdollardenominatedinflationlinkedsovereigndebtpubliclyissuedbytheUSgovernmentinitsdomesticmarket.CitigroupTIPS(SBUSILSI) . Itmeasuresthereturnsoftheinflationlinkedbondswithfixedratecouponpaymentsthatarelinkedtoaninflationindex.The priceofeachissueintheUSLSIisadjustedbyusinganindexratio.Theindexratioisdeterminedbydividingthecurrentinflationindexlevelbytheinflationindexlevelatthetimeofissueofthesecurity.Theinflationindexispublishedonamonthlybasis,andtheintramonthindexratioiscalculatedusinglinearinterpolation.BarclaysCapitalCMBSIndex trackstheperformanceofUSdollardenominatedsecuritizedcommercialmortgagebackedsecurities.Russell2000 measurestheperformanceofthesmallcapsegmentoftheUSequityuniverse.Russell2000isasubsetoftheRussell3000indexrepresentingapproximately10%ofthetotalmarketcapitalizationofthatindex.S&PGSCI isacompositeindexofcommoditysectorreturnrepresentinganunleveraged,longonlyinvestmentincommodityfuturesthatisbroadlydiversifiedacrossthespectrumofcommodities.S&PGSCIAgriculture isacompositeindexofagriculturecommodityfuturesunleveraged,longonlyinvestment.BarclaysCapitalUS30YearTIPSIndex .BarclaysCapital30yearTIPSontherunindexquotedinUSDollarstradedintradayCitigroupEconomicSurpriseIndex .TheCitigroupEconomicSurpriseIndicesareobjectiveandquantitativemeasuresofeconomicnews.Theyaredefinedasweightedhistoricalstandarddeviationsofdatasurprises(actualreleasesvsBloombergsurveymedian).Apositivereadingof theEconomicSurpriseIndexsuggeststhateconomicreleaseshaveonbalancebeatingconsensus.Theindicesarecalculateddailyinarollingthreemonthwindow.TheweightsofeconomicindicatorsarederivedfromrelativehighfrequencyspotFXimpactsof1standarddeviationdatasurprises.Theindicesalsoemployatimedecayfunctiontoreplicatethelimitedmemoryofmarkets.DAX ThisindexistheGermanStockIndexisatotalreturnindexof30selectedGermanbluechipstockstradedontheFrankfurtStockExchange.CAC40 ThisindexthemostwidelyusedindicatoroftheParismarket,reflectstheperformanceofthe40largestequitieslistedinFrance,measuredbyfreefloatmarketcapitalizationandliquidity.FTSE100 Isacapitalizationweightedindexofthe100mosthighlycapitalizedcompaniestradedontheLondonStockExchange.MexicoIPC TheMexicanIPCindexisacapitalizationweightedindexoftheleadingstockstradedontheMexicanStockExchange.HangSeng TheHangSengChinaEnterprisesIndexisafreefloatcapitalizationweightedindexcomprisedofHshareslistedontheHongKong StockExchangeandincludedintheHangSengMainlandCompositeIndex.KOSPI ThisindexisacapitalizedweightedindexofallcommonsharesontheKoreanStockExchanges.Nikkei225 TheNikkei225Stockaverageisapriceweightedaverageof225topratedJapanesecompanieslistedintheFirstSectionofthe TokyoStockExchange.AustraliaAORD S&P/ASXAllOrdinariesrepresents500largestcompaniesintheAustralianequitiesmarket.IndexconstitutesaredrawnfromeligiblecompanieslistedontheAustralianStockExchange.BrazilBovespaIndex(IBOV)TheBovespaIndexisagrossreturnindexweightedbytradedvolumeandiscomprisedofthemostliquidstockstradedontheSaoPauloStockExchange.TheBovespaIndexhasbeendivided10timesbyafactorof10sinceJanuary1,1985.ShanghaiIndex(SHCOMP)TheShanghaiStockExchangeCompositeIndexisacapitalizationweightedindex.TheindextracksthedailyperformanceofallAsharesandBshareslistedontheShanghaiStockExchange.TheindexwasdevelopedonDecember19,1990withabasevalueof100.BSEIndiaSensitiveIndex(Sensex)TheSensexisacapweightedindex.Theselectionoftheindexmembershasbeenmadeonthebasisofliquidity,depthandfloatingstockadjustmentdepthandindustryrepresentation.S&PLSTALevLoanIndex(BankLoans) CreatedbytheLeveragedCommentary&Data(LCD)teamatS&PCapitalIQ,thereviewprovides an overviewandoutlookoftheleveragedloanmarketaswellasanexpansivereviewoftheS&PLeveragedLoanIndexandsubindexes. Thereviewconsistsofindexgeneralcharacteristics,results,riskreturnprofile,default/distressstatistics, andrepaymentanalysis.Itisnotpossibletoinvestdirectlyinanindex.Citigroup3MonthTBill(SBMMTB3) 3MonthUSTBillinUSdollars.
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DisclaimerImportantInformationRegardingThisReportIssueselectionprocessesandtoolsillustratedthroughoutthispresentationaresamplesandmaybemodifiedperiodically.Suchchartsarenottheonlytoolsusedbytheinvestmentteams,areextremelysophisticated,maynotalwaysproducetheintendedresultsandarenotintendedforusebynonprofessionals.DoubleLinehasnoobligationtoproviderevisedassessmentsintheeventofchangedcircumstances.Whilewehavegatheredthisinformationfromsourcesbelievedtobereliable,DoubleLinecannotguaranteetheaccuracyoftheinformationprovided.Securitiesdiscussedarenotrecommendationsandarepresentedasexamplesofissueselectionorportfoliomanagementprocesses.Theyhavebeenpickedforcomparisonorillustrationpurposesonly.Nosecuritypresentedwithiniseitherofferedforsaleorpurchase.DoubleLinereservestherighttochangeitsinvestmentperspectiveandoutlook withoutnoticeasmarketconditionsdictateorasadditionalinformationbecomesavailable.ImportantInformationRegardingRiskFactorsInvestmentstrategiesmaynotachievethedesiredresultsduetoimplementationlag,othertimingfactors,portfoliomanagementdecisionmaking,economicormarketconditionsorotherunanticipatedfactors.Theviewsandforecastsexpressedinthismaterialareasofthedateindicated,aresubjecttochangewithoutnotice,maynotcometopassanddonotrepresentarecommendationorofferofanyparticularsecurity,strategy,orinvestment. Pastperformanceisnoguaranteeoffutureresults.ImportantInformationRegardingDoubleLineInpreparingtheclientreports(andinmanagingtheportfolios),DoubleLineanditsvendorspriceseparateaccountportfolio securitiesusingvarioussources,includingindependentpricingservicesandfairvalueprocessessuchasbenchmarking.ToreceiveacomplimentarycopyofDoubleLinescurrentFormADVPartII(whichcontainsimportantadditionaldisclosureinformation),acopyoftheDoubleLinesproxyvotingpoliciesandprocedures,ortoobtainadditionalinformationonDoubleLinesproxyvotingdecisions,pleasecontact DoubleLinesClientServices.ImportantInformationRegardingDoubleLinesInvestmentStyleDoubleLineseekstomaximizeinvestmentresultsconsistentwithourinterpretationofclientguidelinesandinvestmentmandate.WhileDoubleLineseekstomaximizereturnsforourclientsconsistentwithguidelines,DoubleLinecannotguaranteethatDoubleLinewilloutperformaclient'sspecifiedbenchmark.Additionally,thenatureofportfoliodiversificationimpliesthatcertainholdingsandsectorsinaclient'sportfoliomayberisinginpricewhileothersarefalling;or,thatsomeissuesandsectorsareoutperformingwhileothersareunderperforming.Suchoutorunderperformancecanbetheresultofmanyfactors,suchasbutnotlimitedtoduration/interestrateexposure,yieldcurveexposure,bondsectorexposure,ornewsorrumorsspecifictoasinglename.DoubleLineisanactivemanagerandwilladjustthecompositionofclientsportfoliosconsistentwithourinvestmentteamsjudgmentconcerningmarketconditionsandanyparticularsecurity.TheconstructionofDoubleLineportfoliosmaydiffersubstantiallyfromtheconstruction ofanyofavarietyofbondmarketindices.Assuch,aDoubleLineportfoliohasthepotentialtounderperformoroutperformabondmarketindex.Sincemarketscanremaininefficientlypricedforlongperiods,DoubleLinesperformanceisproperlyassessedoverafullmultiyearmarketcycle.
AsofDecember31,2013theDoubleLineTotalReturnBondFundheld23.78%inFannieMae(FNMA),6.60%inFreddieMac(FHLMC)and 0.00%inGinnieMae(GNMA).AsofDecember31,2013theDoubleLineCoreFixedIncomeFundheld1.49%inFannieMae(FNMA),1.20%inFreddieMac(FHLMC)and0.11%inGinnieMae(GNMA).Fundholdingsandsectorallocationsaresubjecttochangeandarenotrecommendationstobuyorsellanysecurity.
ReferencestootherFundsshouldnotbeinterpretedasanofferofthosesecurities.Diversification doesnotassureaprofitorprotectagainstalossinadecliningmarket.Opinionsexpressedaresubjecttochangeatanytime,arenotaguaranteeandshouldnotbeconsideredinvestmentadvice.
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