GUAR SEED ESTIMATION IN INDIA FOR THE YEAR 2015-16 … · 2017-02-16 · 11th october, 2015 guar...

11th October, 2015

GUAR SEED ESTIMATION IN INDIA FOR THE

YEAR 2015-16 SUBMITTED TO SHEFEXIL

(ROUND 1)

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Geographical Coverage for Guar: pan India

OBJECTIVE OF THE FIRST ROUND

MP

UP Rajasthan

Gujarat

Haryana

Punjab

To assess the factors driving increase

or decrease in the area and yield of

Guar Seed production in India

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TOTAL SAMPLE SIZE DISTRIBUTION FOR THE FIRST ROUND

Gujarat 60

Banaskantha 15

Kucha 15

Mahesana 15

Sabarkantha 15

Haryana 60

Bhiwani 15

Hisar 16

Mahendaragarh 14

Sirsa 15

Madhya Pradesh 40

Gwalior 20

Morena 20

Punjab 25

Bhatinda 12

Fazilika 13

Rajasthan 170

Barmer 15

Bikaner 15

Churu 15

Gangapur 15

Hanumangarh 15

Jaipur 9

Jaisalmer 15

Jodhpur 15

Nagaur 15

Rajgach 1

Sawai Madhopur 15

Sikar 10

Tonk 15

Uttar Pradesh 38

Agra 20

Mathura 18

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RAINFALL COMPARISON – SEASON WISE Monsoon 2015 Monsoon Monsoon 2014

Source: India Meteorology Department

Rainfall figures are based on operational data. Small figures indicate actual rainfall (mm.), while bold figures indicate Normal rainfall (mm.) Percentage Departures of rainfall are shown in Brackets.

Change in Last Year Rainfall &

this year Rainfall for

Monsoon

AGRONOMIC PROFILE OF THE FARMERS STUDIED

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LAND DISTRIBUTION: AVERAGE LAND ACREAGE

9.0

13.3

19.8

12.0 12.2

8.8 8.7

14.2

19.7

12.2 12.2

8.8

Gujarat Haryana Madhya Pradesh Punjab Rajasthan Uttar Pradesh

Average of Total own land 2015 Average of Land Under various crop in Kharif 2015

MP guar farmers have the highest land acreage under Kharif crops followed by Haryana, Rajasthan and Punjab

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CHANGE IN AREA GUAR CROP

18%

17%

65%

Increase Decrease Same as last year

27%

5%

35%

19%

42%

8%

20%

8%

10%

37%

32%

87%

45%

92%

71%

63%

GUJARAT (60)

HARYANA (60)

MADHYA PRADESH(40)

PUNJAB (25)

RAJASTHAN (170)

UTTAR PRADESH (38)

DECREASE INCREASE Same as last year

• Area under guar has mostly remained the same across most of the states. • Gujarat has however reported the highest increase in area among the farmers surveyed

Reasons for increase in area Reasons for decrease in area

Good price realization of guar Lower price realization compared to Jowar

Less efforts required Not happy with the price realization

Loss in castor last year

Crop change

Base (393)

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CROP SHIFT

BAJRA CASTOR FODDER COTTON EMPTY LAND GROUNDNUT JOWAR MUNG

Total % of respondents who have shifted from

other crops to Guar

Gujarat 13% 38% 4% 4% 21% 0% 4% 17% 40%

Madhya Pradesh 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 10%

Punjab 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 8%

Rajasthan 82% 0% 0% 6% 0% 12% 0% 0% 10%

Overall 49% 19% 2% 4% 11% 4% 2% 9% 12%

CROP SHIFT FROM OTHER CROPS TO GUAR

BAJRA CASTOR FODDER COTTON GROUNDNUT EMPTY LAND JOWAR

Total % of respondents who have shifted from

Guar to other crops

Gujarat 0% 20% 7% 27% 0% 27% 20% 25%

Madhya Pradesh 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2%

Rajasthan 97% 0% 0% 0% 3% 0% 0% 19%

Overall 67% 6% 2% 8% 2% 8% 6% 12%

CROP SHIFT FROM GUAR TO OTHER CROPS

• In Gujarat, it is largely shift from Castor to Guar, whereas in the other states, it is mostly shift from Bajra

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7%

89%

4%

June

July

August

Month of Sowing Week of Sowing

75%

1%

6%

1%

2%

2%

7%

6%

1%

June

July

August

Week 4 Week 3 Week 2 Week 1

Month of Harvesting Week of Harvesting

84%

1%

15%

October

November

December

42% 38%

1%

4%

1%

3% 10%

October

November

December


SOWING & HARVESTING OF GUAR CROP : OVERALL Base (393)

• Majority of the sowing happened in July & specifically in the first week of July. • While harvesting is to be done primarily in October in first & second week .

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Month of Sowing

5%

85%

100%

80%

99% 97%

17% 15% 20%

1% 3%

21%

57%

Gujrat Haryana MadhyaPradesh

Punjab Rajasthan UttarPradesh


SOWING & HARVESTING OF GAUR CROP : STATE WISE

2%

65% 70%

100%

35%

100% 100% 100%

28%

Gujrat (60) Haryana (60) MadhyaPradesh (40)

Punjab (25) Rajasthan(170)

UttarPradesh (38)

June July August

Week of Sowing

100% 100% 100% 99% 100%

3% 1%

97%



UttarPradesh (38)

October November December

3%

78%

20%

73%

16%

83%

23%

56%

26%

84%

13%

24%

1%

HARYANA MadhyaPradesh

PANJAB Rajasthan Uttar Pradesh


Month of Harvesting Week of Harvesting

• Majority of the sowing happens in July & specifically in the first week of July. • While harvesting is to be done primarily in October in first & second week .

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6%

94%

Hybrid Seeds Local Seeds

TYPE OF SEEDS SOWN

58%

98% 95% 92% 98% 100%



UttarPradesh (38)

Local Seed Distribution

• Hybrid seed usage is very low, with the highest hybrid seed usage reported in Gujarat

16%

8%

44%

12%

16%

4%

ANKUR

AVANI

DANTIVADA-1

DOUBLE ANKUR

GUJARAT-1

SWATI

Hybrid Varieties

Base (25)

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75%

25%

Yes No

TYPE OF IRRIGATION USED FOR GUAR

1% 6%

93%

Drip Irrigation Other's Well / Tube well Own Well / Tube well

Base (294) Base (393)

Do you have Irrigation facility ? Type of irrigation used ?

Those who have irrigation facility

• 75% of the farmers studied have irrigation facilities for the crop • Punjab has the highest irrigation and UP has the Least

88% 88%

70%

96%

68% 55%

12% 12%

30%

4%

32% 45%

Gujarat (60) Haryana (60) MadhyaPradesh (40)


UttarPradesh (38)

Yes No

60%

98% 96% 100% 100% 100%

30%

2% 4% 2% 8%



UttarPradesh (21)

Own Well / Tube well Other's Well / Tube well

Canal Drip Irrigation

Those who have irrigation facility

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STATUS OF RAINFALL DURING SOWING : OVERALL

Very bad Bad Satisfactory Good Very Good

Pre-sowing rainfall 3% 0% 1% 75% 21%

Post sowing rain fall (15 days from sowing) 8% 3% 49% 39% 0%

Post sowing rain fall (15-30 days from sowing)

11% 35% 52% 1% 0%

Post sowing rain fall ( > 30 days from sowing)

44% 51% 4% 1% 0%

• During the Pre-sowing and initial days after sowing, the rainfall has been good • However after 30 days of sowing rainfall has been very poor

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STATUS OF RAINFALL DURING SOWING : STATE WISE

18%

2% 1% 5% 5%

90%

100% 100%

86%

68% 75%

10% 13%

26%



UttarPradesh (38)

Very bad Bad Satisfactory Good V Good

Pre-sowing rainfall Post sowing rain fall (15 days from sowing)

Post sowing rain fall (15-30 days from sowing) Post sowing rain fall ( > 30 days from sowing)

80%

42%

5% 12%

41%

68%

12%

58%

95% 88%

51%

26%

3% 7%

3% 5% 1% 3%

80%

42%

5% 12%

41%

68%



UttarPradesh (38)


72%

8%

53%

10%

20%

41%

63%

13%

47%

90%

80%

59%

37%

7% 1%



UttarPradesh (38)

Very bad Bad Satisfactory Good

55%

15%

3% 12%

77%

18%

96%

49%

68%

17% 23%

83%

4%

51%

29%

2%



UttarPradesh (38)


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PERCEPTION ON THE CROP

90%

2% 8%

Bad compared to last year Better than last year

Same as last year as

78%

72%

100%

56%

100%

100%

13%

2%

8%

27%

44%

GUJARAT (60)

HARYANA (60)

MADHYA PRADESH(40)

PUNJAB (25)

RAJASTHAN (170)

UTTAR PRADESH (38)

Bad compared to last year Better than last year

Same as last year as

• Majorly the crop is reported as bad this year compared to last year

GUAR SEED ESTIMATION IN INDIA FOR THE YEAR 2015-16 … · 2017-02-16 · 11th october, 2015 guar...

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