GSM 3G Market Update 161209
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Transcript of GSM 3G Market Update 161209
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 1/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
GSM/3G MARKET UPDATEDecember 16, 2009
Global mobile Suppliers Association (GSA)
www.gsacom.com
GSA Secretariat Tel +44 1279 439 667
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GSA makes considerable effort to ensure that the content is accurate; however, such content is provided without
warranty in currentness, completeness or correctness. Reproduction of this material for non-commercial use is
allowed if the source is stated. For other use please contact the GSA Secretariat via email to [email protected]
www.gsacom.com/rss/gsanews.php4Follow GSA on Twitterwww.twitter.com/gsacomwww.linkedin.com/groups?gid=2313721
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Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 2/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
HSPA network deployments/launches
WCDMA Network Launches
EDGE Operators Worldwide
3G Services and Applications
Mobile broadband success stories
HSPA Devices availability
Evolution to LTE
UMTS 900 Global Status
Mobile Broadband Spectrum
EDGE Evolution
HSPA Evolution (HSPA+)
Evolution of Network Speeds
LTE Operator Commitments
Digital Dividend spectrum
Facts-based research by GSA
Leveraging strong links in the industry
Objective analysis
GSA surveys, reports, regular updates
~60 charts, maps
Mobile Broadband Growth
Global mobile Suppliers Association (GSA) Representing leading GSM/EDGE, WCDMA-HSPA, LTE suppliers globally
Promoting GSM/EDGE/WCDMA and evolved systems for successful
delivery of mobile broadband, enhanced multimedia, voice services
3GPP Market Representation Partner
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 3/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
Global reach
The GSA website www.gsacom.com is
targeted to the industry, operators,
regulators, analysts, media, government,
consultants, suppliers, services/apps
developers, content industry, and
distribution channels
RSS newsfeed www.gsacom.com/rss/gsanews.php4
LinkedIN Group: www.linkedin.com/groups?gid=2313721
Twitter www.twitter.com/gsacom
Mobile site http://gsacom.mobi
Visitors to GSA website came from 193 countries30 November 08 – 30 November 09
#1 USA#2 UK#3 China#4 Japan#5 India#6 Sweden#7 Germany#8 France#9 Taiwan#10 Canada#11 Finland#12 Australia#13 South Korea#14 Brazil#15 Italy#16 Netherlands#17 Singapore#18 Russia#19 Turkey#20 Hong Kong
13,600 + file downloads average/month in Q3 09
960+ press/industry reports Q1 – Q3 09
Ranking of where
visitors to the GSA
website came from:(Google Analytics)
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 4/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
Hot reports
November 2009 top document downloads
Evolution of Network Speeds
# 5
# 6
# 4
www.gsacom.com
GSM/3G Market Update# 2
All available as free downloads
Evolution to LTE Information Paper
Update on Global HSPA Evolution (HSPA+) commitments
# 3
# 1
Mobile Broadband Growth – Reports from Operators Worldwide
World map – LTE commitments
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 5/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
GSA is now on LinkedIN
Invitation to join the GSA Group on LinkedIN www.linkedin.com/groups?gid=2313721
757 Members
News, technology and market updates
Discussions
Networking
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 6/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
GSA – new Member companies
SpiderCloud Wireless
www.spidercloud.com
Velocent Systems
www.velocent.com
Also see dedicated page:
www.gsacom.com/about/members.php4?m=37
www.gsacom.com/downloads/pdf/Call_Trace_WP_Velocent_GSA.php4
Also see this paper from
Velocent Systems
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 7/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
The continuing global GSM and WCDMA success story
GSM/WCDMA market share
= 89.5%
Market share grew 1.2% in
past year
4 billion GSM/WCDMA subs
passed in October 2009
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 8/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
GSM success in all regions
See growth charts for all regions and
key markets at
www.gsacom.com/news/statistics.php4
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 9/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
Data growth in all regions
Download this chart and other
mobile data-related charts at
www.gsacom.com/news/statistics.php4
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 10/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
Mobile Broadband growth successConsistent reports from operators worldwide of traffic and revenue growth
www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/info_papers.php4
Report from GSA – December 2009
Mobile Broadband Growth www.gsacom.com
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 11/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 12/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
cdmaOne
GSM
TDMA
2G
PDC
CDMA2000
1x
First Step into 3G
GPRSGSM/3G
89.5%
cdma
9.8%
Evolution of Mobile Systems to 3G- Drivers: capacity, data speeds, lower cost of delivery -
for revenue growth
EDGE
WCDMA
3G phase 1 Evolved 3G
3GPP Core
Network
CDMA2000
1x EV/DO Rev 0
HSDPA/HSUPA
Q3 09 market share
EDGE
Evolution
EV/DO
Rev A
© GSA - 2009
EV/DO
Rev B
HSPA+
others
0.7%
Market share according to subscriptions data provided by Informa Telecoms & Media
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 13/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
LTE Evolution
LTE
HSPA+
HSPA
3G/WCDMA
D/L peak rate 384 kbps 14.4 Mbps 21/28/42/84 Mbps > 150+ Mbps 1 Gbps target
3GPP radio access evolution
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 14/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 15/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
World’s first LTE networks launched
On December 15, 2009 TeliaSonera
launched the world’s first LTE services in
Sweden and Norway.
The LTE networks cover the central city
areas of Stockholm and Oslo and initially
will be used for mobile data services.
Coverage roll-out to more cities in each
country will continue in 2010.
TeliaSonera’s press release:http://feed.ne.cision.com/wpyfs/00/00/00/00/00/10/35/95/wkr0011.pdf
WEBCAST
http://media.fronto.com/streaming/teliasonera/091214/
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 16/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
315 Commercial WCDMA Operators in 132 countries
Source:
GSA 3G/WCDMA-HSPA Launches Worldwide survey
December 4, 2009
www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/wcdma_databank.php4
WCDMA is the leading 3G system globally
• over 73% commercial 3G networks share
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 17/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
354 HSPA network commitments
HSPA Operator Commitments Survey: GSA –
December 4, 2009
GLOBAL economies of scale today in HSPA-enabled mobile broadband
303 HSPA networks commercially launched
~ 96% of commercial WCDMA networks are HSPA-enabled
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 18/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
HSPA subscriptions growth worldwide
244% HSPA annual
growth to June 09
167 million HSPA
subscriptions: June 09
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 19/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
GSA HSPA Devices Survey: December 3, 2009
Key Findings: www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/wcdma_databank.php4
1,875 HSPA devices launchedby 197 suppliers
780 new HSPA user devices launched in past 12 months
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 20/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
HSUPA device availability
159% YoY growth
156 HSUPA products support* or
are upgradeable for 5.76 Mbps
(peak) or higher
(compared to 51 devices Dec 08)
Download chart www.gsacom.com/news/statistics.php4
GSA HSPA Devices Survey: December 3, 2009
Key Findings: www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/wcdma_databank.php4
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 21/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
Convergence features in HSPA devices
1,875 HSPA Devices
471 phones incorporate 802.11/WiFi (91% annual growth)
447 phones incorporate GPS/A-GPS (136% annual growth)
163 phones incorporate mobile TV (various standards)
“phones” category includes smartphones
More analysis in the Key Findings reportGSA HSPA Devices Survey: December 3, 2009
Key Findings: www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/wcdma_databank.php4
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 22/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
HSPA devices by operating frequency
More analysis in
GSA HSPA Devices Survey - Key Findings : December 3, 2009
www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/wcdma_databank.php4
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 23/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
GAMBoD – www.gsacom.com/gambod
GSA’s analysis tool for HSPA devices
More comprehensive analysis, personalized to individual needs, is
available using GAMBoD (GSA Analyzer for Mobile Broadband
Devices) www.gsacom.com/gambod
GAMBoD: analysis tool for HSPA devices, for searches by supplier,
form factor, features, downlink/uplink speeds, operating frequency
Results are presented as lists, spreadsheets, or charts which may be
inserted into documents or presentations
RSS feed can be set up to alert when new devices are added
For use only by GSA website registered users we categorize as being
from GSA member organizations or from mobile network operators
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 24/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
HSPA Evolution (HSPA+)
- market reality today
Downlink evolution
64QAM instead of 16QAM = 50% improvement
Using multiple antennas – MIMO (multiple input, multiple output) will be possible; 2 at the base station and 2 at the terminal will double the bit rate
This will mean the ability to deliver a downlink data speed of 42 Mbps peak on a 5 MHz carrier
Uplink evolution
Using 16QAM instead of QPSK modulation means doubling uplink rate up to 11.5 Mbps
Reduced latency
Further evolution of HSPA utilizes combinations of and MIMO technologies to reach 84 Mbps peak on the downlink, and 23 Mbps peak uplink
And further evolution beyond that ……..
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 25/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
HSPA Evolution (HSPA+)
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 26/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
28 Mbps DL is market reality42 Mbps expected by year end
Latest: see HSPA+ information updates paperGlobal HSPA+ Network Commitments and Deployments –
www.gsacom.com
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 27/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
The majority of WCDMA-HSPA networks are complemented with GSM/EDGE for service continuity in areas where WCDMA-HSPA coverage is not available, to ensure that users will receive a good experience of most 3G services
233 of 354 HSPA network operator commitments (66%) also committed to EDGE
EDGE can today deliver user data speeds up to 300 kbps peak; more coming with EDGE Evolution
Over 80% of HSDPA user devices also support GSM/EDGE
(excluding notebooks)
EDGE contributes to mobile broadband successMost HSPA networks combine EDGE with HSPA for 3G services delivery
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 28/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
478 GSM/EDGE commitments in 189 countries
443 commercial GSM/EDGE networks in 181 countries
Source: GSA EDGE Fact Sheet July 7, 2009
www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/edge_databank.php4#EDGE_Fact_Sheet
EDGE – global, mature technology
Over 80% of commercial GPRS networks
globally have committed to EDGE
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 29/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
EDGE networks expansion
Download charts www.gsacom.com/news/statistics.php4
Source: GSA EDGE Fact Sheet July 7, 2009
www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/edge_databank.php4#EDGE_Fact_Sheet
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 30/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
EDGE Evolution - potential benefits:
2 – 3 times increase in EDGE bit rates
2 – 3 times spectral efficiency gain (for voice & data capacity)
Halve the latency (roundtrip time)
All achieved with low impact on the GSM/EDGE network
Standardized in 3GPP Release 7
Leading manufacturers committed; commercialization expected from 2009
Operators stress service continuity as being very important
WCDMA evolution to HSDPA is a key driver for EDGE Evolution (GERAN
Evolution) since reducing the performance gap is the priority
Evolved GERAN - Drivers and goals
EDGE Evolution
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 31/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
Peak speeds of EDGE Evolution features within
3GPP Release 7 specifications
DL speed up to 1.2 Mbps per user expected
standard enables up to 1.9 Mbps per user
Dual Carrier first phase implementation 10 TSL per user; standard enables
up to 16 TSL per user
EGPRS-2 DL (REDHOT) level B maximum 118.4 kbps per TSL
UL speed up to 474 kbps per user, standard enables up to 947 kbps per user
EGPRS-2 UL (HUGE) level B with maximum 118.4 kbps per TSL
Peak implementation today 4 TSL per user; standard enables up to 8 TSL
per user
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 32/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
GSA Information Paper “EDGE Evolution” www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/info_papers.php4
Dual Carrier is the first step in evolving EDGE,
bringing the prospect of doubling today’s EDGE
speeds to 592 kbps on existing EDGE-capable
networks. Commercial downlink Dual Carrier
solutions are expected to be introduced in 2009.
EGPRS-2 level B+ is standardized in the newly-
released 3GPP Release 8, providing a wider pulse
shaping filter to enable higher average end user
throughput, and therefore better coverage
compared to level B.
Commercial solutions for EGPRS-2 level B+ in the
downlink are expected to be introduced in 2010.
Dual Carrier –the first step in evolving EDGE
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 33/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
Mobile broadband frequency bands
WCDMA systems incl. HSPA are deployed in 850, 900, 1700, 1800, 1900, 2100 MHz
Most operate in IMT-2000 core band 1920-1980/2110–2170 MHz (referred to as 2100 MHz)
850, 900 MHz deliver coverage and cost efficiencies and are increasing in importance. The eco-system in these bands is rapidly strengthening
700 MHz: 62 MHz of Digital Dividend spectrum auctioned in US; will be auctioned later in other countries in the Americas, and elsewhere
2.50 - 2.69 GHz band is anticipated as the largest new spectrum resource
New UHF Digital Dividend spectrum is becoming available in all regions
excellent for extending mobile broadband to rural and semi-urban areas, and to improve in-building performance in built up areas
Region 1 (Europe, Middle East and Africa) identified 790-862 MHz for mobile services
Region 2 (Americas) identified 698-806 MHz
Region 3 (Asia) some countries (e.g. China, India, Japan) identified 698-862 MHz while others identified 790-862 MHz
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 34/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
The 2.50 - 2.69 GHz band is anticipated as the largest new spectrum resource for mobile broadband services in the foreseeable future. It is identified by the ITU as the IMT extension band and is needed due to traffic growth in 3G/HSPA networks
It is large enough to allow multiple operators to deploy technologies utilizing wide channels, such as the 2 x 20 MHz channels for the highest data speeds of LTE
The CEPT band plan was included in CEPT Decision (05)05, agreed by consensus in 2005 by its 48 member countries. It includes a commitment to make the band available from 2008 depending on market demand. The plan comprises 2 x 70 MHz paired FDD spectrum separated by 50 MHz of unpaired spectrum for FDD downlink or TDD
Sweden implemented the Decision; first country to auction 2.6 GHz spectrum in compliance. Finland, Norway, Hong Kong and Singapore have completed similar auctions.
Forthcoming allocations likely in 2009/10 include Austria, Denmark, France, Germany, Netherlands, Spain, UK,,, …... and in Latin America: Chile, Colombia, Mexico, Brazil
2.6 GHz band
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 35/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
2.6 GHz is a key band for LTE in Europe
and Asia
Teliasonera, Elisa and DNA have been granted licences and 2.6 GHz spectrum and will build LTE
networks in Finland
Several auctions of 2.6 GHz spectrum are scheduled or planned
throughout European markets during 2010 and onwards which will be
key spectrum for LTE
TeliaSonera Sweden is deploying LTE using nationwide 2x20 MHz 2.6 GHz spectrum and
announced commercial service in Stockholm launched on December 15, 2009
In Hong Kong, 2x15 MHz blocks of 2.6 GHz FDD spectrum have been auctioned, and won by
China Mobile, Genius Brand and CSL Limited
Telenor and Netcom have been granted licences and 2.6 GHz spectrum and will build LTE
networks in Norway
TeliaSonera announced LTE commercial service in Oslo launched on December 15, 2009
Source of data: GSA Information Paper “Evolution to LTE” – December 10, 2009
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 36/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
Spectrum below 1 GHz850, 900 MHz
Growing awareness and appreciation of the benefits of deploying mobile broadband systems
in re-farmed 900 MHz band:
systems today referred to as UMTS900 (or WCDMA-HSPA900)
UMTS900 gaining traction amongst operators and regulators across Europe, Asia, Oceania,
Middle East, Africa, Russia
Regulatory obstacles in Europe being removed
The 20-year old GSM Directive has been amended, allowing mobile broadband systems
in re-farmed 900 and 1800 MHz spectrum
UMTS900 eco-system is rapidly developing, including HSPA user devices
UMTS900 and UMTS2100 deployments are complementary
Similar benefits obtained with HSPA in 850 MHz band; commercial systems today in Australia,
New Zealand, and the Americas
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 37/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
UMTS900 = cost reduction in rural/suburban areas
UMTS900 Operator Case Study on Elisa
www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/info_papers.php4
UMTS900 has an economic motivation –
it is a business decision
Increased coverage
Significant CAPEX, OPEX savings
Re-use existing sites
Faster rollout
Improved voice service
Improved in-building penetration
GSA UMTS900 operator case study
Elisa, Finland
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 38/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
“Site optimization gave customers a kick up in performance for 2G service as well as access to UMTS900”
“The extended reach of 900 MHz means we can deliver better quality and wider coverage across sparsely populated areas, as well as enhanced depth of coverage”
“UMTS900 has been critical in bringing up the depth of coverage into people’s homes, so they get a similar experience in both voice and data coverage, making it amore economically feasible solution for expansion”
“By having a technology that allows us to get into more places at a lower cost, we can deliver more services. For example, we can grow our small and medium business and consumer market penetration”
“Amongst other applications, UMTS900 implementation is a case study for how we will utilize new spectrum arising from the Digital Dividend”
GSA UMTS900 operator case study
Optus, Australia
UMTS900 = improved user experience of MBB and voice
UMTS900 Operator Case Study on Optus
www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/info_papers.php4
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 39/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
UMTS900 commercialization
208 UMTS900-HSPA devices launched
14 commercial UMTS900 systems
Updates: UMTS900 Global Status report
www.gsacom.com
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 40/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
UMTS900 – operator insights
Recommended download – www.gsacom.com
UMTS900 Update: New Operator Insights
Presentation by Dr Eetu Prieur, Elisa Finland
Developing A Fully Inclusive Mobile Broadband
Strategy: Bringing Mobile Broadband To Remote And
Rural Areas
Presentation by Dr. Eetu Prieur, Elisa at IIR Mobile
Broadband World, London, September 23, 2009
Elisa launched the world's first UMTS900 (HSPA)
system in Finland in November 2007 and are now
upgrading to HSPA+. In his presentation Dr Eetu Prieur
explains why UMTS900 is “a 100% clear go”.
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 41/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
UMTS850 networks in commercial service(WCDMA-HSPA)
UMTS850 commercial launch: October 06
World’s largest UMTS 850 network. Telstra's Next G™ network covers more than 1.9 million
square kilometres. The Next G™ network provides mobile broadband access to 99 per cent of Australians, spanning city to country
including many remote coastal and rural communities (www.telstra.com.au)
56 commercial UMTS-HSPA networks throughout the Americas; several operating in the 850 MHz band
Strong UMTS850 ecosystem exists today including643 HSPA devices (plus notebooks) in the market
which operate in the 850 MHz band
(Source: GSA HSPA Devices survey – December 3, 2009)
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 42/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
Digital Dividend Spectrum
Digital Dividend spectrum is excellent for extending mobile
broadband to rural and semi-urban areas, and to improve in-building
performance in built up areas
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 43/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
700 MHz band Digital Dividend spectrum
700 MHz is a key band for LTE deployments
700 MHz LTE deployments include Verizon Wireless, AT&T Mobility, several regional players
Verizon Wireless has set up trial networks in Boston and Seattle
700 MHz spectrum availability will extend throughout Americas. This could be earliest in
Chile where LTE trials are planned by Entel PCS, Claro and Movistar. Subtel (regulator)
expected to soon launch a spectrum auction (2.6 GHz, 700 MHz)
The Indian government has formed a task group to develop a national band plan at 700 MHz
Consultations on future use of 700 MHz have commenced in New Zealand
Verizon Wireless
LTE commercial launch in up to 30 markets scheduled by end 2010
Nationwide by end 2013
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 44/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Sweden and Switzerland have confirmed they will allocate 790–862 MHz for mobile broadband services. The UK government proposes ring-fencing of some Digital Dividend spectrum so that operators can push 3G beyond their license obligation of 80% population. In return, operators would receive an indefinite extension to their 3G licences
In Germany, trials are underway with some local authorities in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern to use digital dividend frequencies to provide HSPA or LTE broadband services to communities without broadband possibilities. An auction of 790-862 MHz spectrum will be held soon.
In Italy, Communications Undersecretary, Paolo Romani, announced that frequencies vacated during the analogue switch off will be auctioned
Belgium is undertaking a consultation on the Digital Dividend, as is Poland
Czech Republic regulator CTU has undertaken a 2nd round of consultation on the 470-862 MHz band. A 3rd round of consultation is likely in the Autumn
Norway stated (September 2009) 790-862MHz to be allocated to mobile broadband (auction expected 2010)
In Ireland, Comreg began a Digital Dividend review at its annual conference in October 2008
In Slovakia the regulator TU launched a public consultation calling for comments by April 3rd, 2009
In Spain, the Industry Ministry recently issued a press release indicating digital dividend spectrum would likely be reserved for cellular, especially for mobile Internet broadband, from January 2015
In Portugal, public consultations on the Digital Dividend closed on May 13, 2009
Serbia recently completed a consultation on the Digital Dividend
Europe Digital Dividend: 790-862 MHz
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 45/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
Examples of the digital switchover timetable in Europe:
• Belgium (Flanders region), Finland, Germany, Luxembourg, the Netherlands,
Sweden, Switzerland: already switched over
• 2010: includes Austria, Denmark, Estonia, Malta, Slovenia, and Spain
• 2011 – 2012: includes Bulgaria, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Greece, France, Hungary,
Ireland, Italy, Lithuania, Latvia, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, the United Kingdom,
regions of Wallonia and Brussels (Belgium)
Europe Digital TV transition timetable
It is clear that political debate on the Digital Dividend is entering the mainstream
in other parts of the world – particularly Africa, India, Latin America
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 46/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
LTE: Long Term Evolution
LTE is the next step in the user experience
LTE is essential to take mobile broadband to the mass market
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 47/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
The industry direction is to LTE
Traffic rising/revenue falling
40x – 100x traffic increase
may need to be supported
across several frequency bands
Mobile broadband is gaining momentum
from widespread 3.5G deployments, flat
rate data tariffs, and availability of
internet friendly mobiles
LTE is needed to accommodate huge traffic growth
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 48/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
Benefits of LTE
Spectrum flexibilityCan use new or re-farmed spectrum, FDD and TDD
Variable channel bandwidth
Improved performanceHigher capacity, peak and user data rates
Higher bandwidth
“always on”; enhanced user experience
Lower costIP-based flat network architecture; Low OPEX
High degree of self configuration/optimization
High re-use of assets including sites
Complements 3G/HSPAAddresses high capacity requirements
Seamless service continuity/multimode devices
Next generation solution for 3GPP and 3GPP2
Peak downlink: > 150 Mbps
Typical user experience: 10-100 Mbps
Typical user UL rate: 5-50 Mbps
Year 2010: LTE performance
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 49/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
Excellent Mobile Broadband TodayVoice and full Range of IP Services
Enhanced User ExperienceImproved voice and data capability
Rel-7 Rel-8
HSPA+
Rel-9 & beyond
(HSPA Evolved)
Rel-8
LTE
Rel-9 Rel-10
LTE - A
LTE leverages new, wider
and TDD spectrum
Rel-99
WCDMA
Rel-5 Rel-6
HSPA
2009 - 2010 2011+ - - - - - - - - - >
The Roadmap
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 50/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
LTE system design
Downlink based on OFDMA: Orthogonal Frequency Division Multiple Access, for
improved spectral efficiency, capacity etc
QPSK, 16QAM and 64QAM modulation schemes supported
Uplink based on SC-FDMA: Single Carrier – Frequency Division Multiple Access.
Technically similar to OFDMA but better suited for uplink from hand-held devices
(battery power considerations)
BPSK, QPSK, 8PSK and 16QAM modulation schemes supported
Designed for both paired and unpaired spectrum use
Designed for FDD and TDD use
Macro-diversity (soft handover) no longer required
Circuit-switched connectivity no longer supported
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 51/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
LTE Standard
LTE Release 8 Major Parameters
LTE-Release 8 User Equipment Categories
™ ETSI has registered "LTE" as a trademark for the benefit of the 3GPP Partners
LTE is specified in 36 series technical specifications
The LTE Release 8 specifications can be found on www.3gpp.org
Access Scheme UL DFTS-OFDM
DL OFDMA
Bandwidth 1.4, 3.5, 10,15, 20MHz
Minimum TTI 1msec
Sub-carrier spacing 15kHx
Cyclic prefix length Short 4.7usec
Long 16.7usec
Modulation QPSK, 16QAM, 64QAM
Spatial multiplexing Single layer for UL per UE
Up to 4 layers for DL per UE
MU-MIMO supported for UL and DL
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 52/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
Evolution of the 3GPP Core Network
- SAE
The 3GPP core network has also undergone System
Architecture Evolution (SAE) in the same timeframe
as LTE, optimizing it for packet mode and, in particular,
for the IP-Multimedia Subsystem (IMS), which supports
all access technologies, including fixed wire-line access.
This allows:
Improvements in latency, capacity, throughput
Simplification of the core network, and optimization for
IP traffic and services, and expected growth
Simplified support & handover to non-3GPP access
technologies
The result is the evolved packet system (EPS) that
consists of the core network part, the evolved packet
core (EPC) and the radio network evolution part, the
evolved UTRAN (E-UTRAN), i.e. LTE. The EPS is
also standardized within 3GPP Release 8 (March 2009)
and is the baseline for implementations.
The architecture is based on an
evolution of the existing GSM/WCDMA core
network, with simplified operations and
smooth, cost-efficient deployment
There are two nodes in the SAE architecture user plane; the LTE base
station (eNodeB) and the SAE Gateway. This flat architecture reduces the
number of involved nodes in connections. LTE base stations are
connected to the core network over the S1 interface
Source: Ericsson
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 53/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
Is LTE ready?
Standards are complete (Release 8 – March 2009)
LTE has global acceptance by leading operators worldwide
Infrastructure systems are shipping and being installed now
Spectrum is available to support initial system deployments
In trials LTE performance consistently meets or exceeds expectations
LTE is poised for market entry, with several trials and commercial deployments on-going, and
several operator launch plans already announced
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 54/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
Who is committed?
51 LTE network commitments worldwide
51 LTE network commitments in 24 countries
Up to 19 LTE networks in service by end 2010
Up to 36 LTE networks in service by end 2012
Source of data: GSA Information Paper “Evolution to LTE” – December 10, 2009
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 55/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
Global LTE Commitments
Source of data: GSA Information Paper “Evolution to LTE” – December 10, 2009
Charts and maps are available at
www.gsacom.com/news/statistics.php4
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 56/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
Global LTE Commitments
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 57/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
LTE eco-system is building
Several LTE device platforms are already announced by leading vendors, including
Altair, Qualcomm, Infineon, LG, Samsung, ST-Ericsson, 4M Wireless
Test instruments/systems already available from several vendors
GSA expects many of today’s 190 HSPA device manufacturers to participate in the
LTE market, with others also coming in
First LTE user devices are modems; Samsung GT-B3710 launched (TeliaSonera)
LTE handsets expected in the market around 2010-2011
Verizon Wireless LTE Device Requirements Specification
published April 2009 (700 MHz)
World’s first LTE USB modem announced at CommunicAsia 2009
Mobile phones, computer & consumer electronics devices (notebooks,
netbooks, UMPCs, gaming devices, cameras, PMPs, etc.) will incorporate
embedded LTE connectivity
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 58/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
Voice over LTE
AT&T
Telefonica
TeliaSonera
Verizon
Alcatel-Lucent
Nokia Siemens Networks
LTE is likely to be deployed with a focus on data services connectivity for PCs, netbooks, etc
Voice service will be introduced as a second step
The One Voice initiative – announced on November 4, 2009, aims for industry agreement on a harmonized way to implement voice and SMS over LTE, based on existing standards.
As LTE is a pure IP technology, traditional voice and SMS services must be implemented over the packet network
One Voice uses current open standards to define the minimum mandatory set of functionality for interoperable IMS-based voice & SMS in LTE
IMS basic capabilities and voice including supplementary services
Real-time media negotiation, transport and codecs
LTE radio and evolved packet core capabilities
Functionality that is relevant across the protocol stack and subsystems
Orange
Vodafone
Ericsson
Nokia
Samsung
Sony Ericsson
The One Voice
initiative is
backed up by
the largest
players in the
industry
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 59/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
TD-LTE
TD-LTE is positioned as the next evolution in TD-SCDMA family and a natural progression
From 3GPP standards perspective: commonality with FDD
From vendor perspective: increasing use of software defined radio techniques
From operator perspective: spectrum availability, flexible base stations
TD-LTE trials now
Timescales established for prototype, dual-mode and multimode devices
In-service estimated as 2012-2013
Li Yizhong, Minister of Industry and Information Technology, stated recently that TD-SCDMA subscribers in China
are expected to reach 80 million by 2011. China Mobile aims to cover 238 cities by end 2009. China Mobile posted
1.327 million 3G/TD-SCDMA subscribers total at end August 2009 and set a target of 3 million by end 2009
The LTE market will include TD-LTE as well as FDD systems
Early TDD Spectrum for LTE (TTD-LTE)
IMT Extension Center Gap 2570–2620 MHz
2.3 TDD I.e. 2300 – 2400 MHz
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 60/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
In the DL, the PDCCH contains a
number of extra bits specific to TDD
The P-SCH, S-SCH and PHICH
also differ from FDD. Other
channels are unchanged
FDD v TDD DL PHY differences
FDD v TDD UL PHY differences
TDD operation affects the timing,
control and frame structure.
For the UL channels, the key
changes are the PRACH channel
and sounding.
TD-LTE- comparison of FDD and TDD modes
DwPTS: sent from eNodeB as part of synchronisation
GP: empty guard band
UpPTS: sent from UE as part of synchronisation
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 61/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
Recommended download – www.gsacom.com
From TD-SCDMA to TD-LTE (Presentation by Aeroflex
Asia at 4G Wireless Broadband Evolution seminar)
- Where we are today
- Next steps
- The role of TD-LTE
- Looking forward
Presentation by Stephen Hire, Director of Marketing,
Aeroflex Asia at the 4G Wireless Broadband Evolution
seminar - Hong Kong, September 7, 2009 - jointly
organized by GSA and Hong Kong Science and
Technology Parks (www.hkstp.org)
Aeroflex (www.aeroflex.com) is a member
organization of the Global mobile Suppliers
Association (GSA)
TD-LTE- more information
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 62/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
Spectrum for LTE deployments
An operator may introduce LTE in „new‟ bands where it is easier to deploy 10 MHz or 20 MHz
carriers
e.g. 2.6 GHz band (IMT Extension band) or Digital Dividend spectrum 700, 800 MHz
Or in re-farmed existing mobile bands e.g. 850, 900, 1700, 1800, 1900, 2100 MHz
Eventually LTE may be deployed in all of these bands – and others later
2.6 GHz (for capacity) and 700/800 MHz (wider coverage, improved in-building) is a good
combination
LTE offers a choice of carrier bandwidths: 1.4 MHz to 20 MHz; the widest bandwidth will be
needed for the highest speeds
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 63/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
LTE deployment - Sweden
2.6 GHz spectrum has been auctionedTele2 Sweden and Telenor
Sweden are to build a
nationwide LTE network
through a new JV, “Net4
Mobility”
Operators will share
spectrum in the 900 MHz
and 2.6 GHz bands
Shared GSM network also
planned to extend reach by
30 – 50%
900 MHz can be used for 3G
“The present licences in the 900 MHz band will be
renewed and it will be possible for the operators to
phase in new technology for mobile broadband
while at the same time continuing to offer GSM
mobile telephony. The entire frequency space
available in the 900 MHz band will be assigned,
which will enable entry of a new stakeholder through PTS
approving the transfer of frequencies to the operator Hi3G.”
Press release, PTS, 13.03.09
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 64/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
Other frequency bands for LTE
LTE FDD will most likely in future be
deployed in existing cellular bands too,
including:
850 MHz
900 MHz
AWS (1700/2100 MHz)
1800 MHz
1900 MHz
2100 MHz
TD- LTE
Early TDD Spectrum for LTE (TTD-LTE)
IMT Extension Center Gap 2570–2620 MHz
2.3 TDD I.e. 2300 – 2400 MHz
LTE FDD
Future possibilities:
450 – 470 MHz
3.6 GHz
Future TDD possibility
3.6 GHz
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 65/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
Update from the LTE/SAE Trial InitiativeLSTI
LSTI is an open initiative driven by Vendors
and Operators launched in May 2007
Its objectives are to:
• Drive industrialization of 3GPP LTE/SAE
technology
• Demonstrate LTE/SAE capabilities against
3GPP
and NGMN requirements
• Stimulate development of the LTE/SAE
ecosystem
www.lstiforum.org
Recommended download
For the latest results, including Proof of Concept
Activity, Interoperability Testing, Friendly
Customer Trials, Milestone Plan, etc. download
“Update from the LTE/SAE Trial Initiative” at
www.gsacom.com
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 66/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
LTE-Advanced
3GPP made a formal submission to the ITU,
meeting the deadline of October 7, 2009, proposing
that LTE Release 10 & beyond (LTE-Advanced) be
evaluated as a candidate for IMT-Advanced.
The submission was made jointly in the name of the
3GPP Organizational Partners: ARIB, ATIS, CCSA,
ETSI, TTA and TTC.
(GSA is a Market Representation Partner in 3GPP)
3GPP plans to complete its work on LTE-Advanced
specifications by 2010/2011
Further information:
Source of data: GSA Information Paper “Evolution to LTE” – December 10, 2009
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 67/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
LTE-Advanced (Information update)
Recommended download
PRESENTATION
Beyond Mobile Broadband - What Is LTE-Advanced & What Will It Offer to Your Network?
Log in and go to
www.gsacom.com/downloads/pdf/LTE_Advanced__Peter_Merz_NSN.php4
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 68/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
LTE: A single global standard
LTE is on track, attracting global industry support
LTE is the natural migration choice for GSM/HSPA operators. LTE is also the next generation mobile broadband system of choice of leading CDMA operators, who are expected to be in the forefront of service introduction
As a result of collaboration between 3GPP, 3GPP2 and IEEE there is a roadmap for CDMA operators to evolve to LTE
Successful handovers between CDMA and LTE networks have been demonstrated and announced (August 2009)
The LTE-TDD mode (TD-LTE) provides a future-proof evolutionary path for TD-SCDMA
With LTE we have one single global standard, securing and driving even higher economies of scale and importantly, simplifying roaming
Source: Evolution to LTE: GSA Information Paper
www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/info_papers.php4
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 69/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
Evolution to LTE – regular updates
Information Paper
Presentation slide deck
www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/info_papers.php4
New!
www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/info_papers.php4
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 70/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
Wireless broadband global forecasts
ABI Research forecasts by 2013 operators will spend over US$ 8.6 billion on LTE base stations infrastructure
Strategy Analytics forecasts global LTE handset growth from 70 million units in 2012 to 150 million by 2013
Source: Analysys Mason
Insight, July 31, 2008
Pyramid Research predicts LTE will grow faster than 3G
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 71/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
Key events supported by GSAThe listed events are endorsed by GSA
Discounts are available to GSA members for most events
More information and links to organizers’ websites at www.gsacom.com/events/index.php4
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 72/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
GSA at Mobile World Congress 2010
GSA will be participating at Mobile World Congress
Contact point at the Show: Trade Fair Ltd
Hall 1 Gallery Level
Stand: 1.1 HS43
Meeting and interview requests via:
Lucy Turner, GSA email: [email protected]
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 73/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
LTE Forum 2010 – Stockholm, 27-28 April, 2010
LTE Forum 2010 will help operators to identify the
evolutionary steps to LTE (Long Term Evolution), to
understand the drivers for migrating, and to
determine what they need to be doing now to
ensure their network remains competitive.
Presentations from mobile operators and other
industry experts will help delegates to understand
why, when and how to migrate
to LTE, and what they should be doing now to
ensure their networks remain competitive into the
future. GSA is an endorsing association and will
be participating in this event
More information
www.lteforum2010.com
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 74/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
New IMS Report
The Moriana IMS and RCS Report 2009
Exclusive 17.5% discount for visitors to the GSA website
This new market study from The Moriana Group www.morianagroup.com is an
analysis of original research conducted by Moriana in 2009 into the state of the
IMS industry. And what key stakeholders actually think and have experienced in
terms of IMS industry activity. The resulting report provides a rich set of data from
which conclusions can be made regarding real activity and the likely future
direction of the industry.
Visit www.gsacom.com/store/ims_rcs.php4
to order the report, or download sample pages
Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009www.gsacom.com
Slide no. 75/75GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009
Evolution to LTE: GSA Information Paper
www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/info_papers.php4
www.gsacom.com/rss/gsanews.php4
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website: www.gsacom.com
Charts and maps available at www.gsacom.com/news/statistics.php4
Register for updates/press releases/downloads www.gsacom.com/php/register_form.php4
60+ charts, graphs, maps
www.gsacom.com/news/statistics.php4