Growing water scarcity in agriculture: future challenge to global water security by Malin Falkenmark...

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Growing water scarcity in agriculture: future challenge to global water security by Malin Falkenmark Philosophical Transactions A Volume 371(2002):20120410 November 13, 2013 ©2013 by The Royal Society

Transcript of Growing water scarcity in agriculture: future challenge to global water security by Malin Falkenmark...

Page 1: Growing water scarcity in agriculture: future challenge to global water security by Malin Falkenmark Philosophical Transactions A Volume 371(2002):20120410.

Growing water scarcity in agriculture: future challenge to global water security

by Malin Falkenmark

Philosophical Transactions AVolume 371(2002):20120410

November 13, 2013

©2013 by The Royal Society

Page 2: Growing water scarcity in agriculture: future challenge to global water security by Malin Falkenmark Philosophical Transactions A Volume 371(2002):20120410.

Precipitation including ±1 s.d. as a function of climate aridity.

Malin Falkenmark Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A 2013;371:20120410

©2013 by The Royal Society

Page 3: Growing water scarcity in agriculture: future challenge to global water security by Malin Falkenmark Philosophical Transactions A Volume 371(2002):20120410.

Effect on crop yield (green circles) of alternative water losses on a farmer's field outside Niamey, Niger.

Malin Falkenmark Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A 2013;371:20120410

©2013 by The Royal Society

Page 4: Growing water scarcity in agriculture: future challenge to global water security by Malin Falkenmark Philosophical Transactions A Volume 371(2002):20120410.

Two dimensions of blue water scarcity: population-driven shortage/water crowding (horizontal axis), and exploitation level/water stress (vertical axis), assuming environmental flow reserve of

30% of availability.

Malin Falkenmark Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A 2013;371:20120410

©2013 by The Royal Society

Page 5: Growing water scarcity in agriculture: future challenge to global water security by Malin Falkenmark Philosophical Transactions A Volume 371(2002):20120410.

Country-by-country diagnosis of food water potentials on current croplands in water-scarce countries by 2050.

Malin Falkenmark Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A 2013;371:20120410

©2013 by The Royal Society

Page 6: Growing water scarcity in agriculture: future challenge to global water security by Malin Falkenmark Philosophical Transactions A Volume 371(2002):20120410.

The global water cycle and some basic functions: moisture feedback, point a; consumptive blue water use, point b; run-off depletion, point c (adapted from [54]).

Malin Falkenmark Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A 2013;371:20120410

©2013 by The Royal Society